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Andrew Swanson | Archive | Email |
Staff Writer


DFS Targets for Wildcard Weekend
1/3/20


Note: Salary amounts are DraftKings pricing

Quarterbacks

H2H/Cash - Russell Wilson @ Philadelphia $6,800

Picking quarterbacks in the DFS playoffs is difficult, as teams who make the playoffs typically have strong defenses. In the case of the wild card weekend, the two quarterbacks who take on defenses that rank in the top 15 in points allowed are Russell Wilson against Philadelphia, and Josh Allen against Houston. While I think Allen has more upside and a chance to deliver a monster game, Wilsonís matchup against the Eagles appears to be more of a safer play. Drew Brees at home is also worthy of consideration.

Other option to consider - Drew Brees vs. Minnesota

GPP - Josh Allen @ Houston - $6,500

Josh Allen is capable of posting 30-point games when he utilizes his legs and not just his arm. However, he is also capable of turning the ball over and killing your DFS lineup. That boom or bust characteristic, mixed with a matchup against the worst defense in the wild card round, makes Allen an attractive GPP play.

Other option to consider - Kirk Cousins @ New Orleans

Fade - Ryan Tannehill @ New England - $6,300

It may sound like an interesting contrarian play, with Mike Vrabel going back to Foxboro to play his old coach. The Pats just got beat at home against Miami, Tom Brady is old and over the hill, and the Pats have nobody on offense. Until I see it with my own eyes, I will bet against anyone going into Foxboro to take on the Pats in the playoffs, even someone as hot right now as Ryan Tannehill.


Alvin Kamara

Running Backs

H2H/Cash - Alvin Kamara vs. Minnesota - $7,400

Kamara is one of the biggest busts in season-long fantasy after finishing the regular season with six total touchdowns just one year after posting 18 TDs. Owners may be hesitant to play him, but Kamara has been a beast over the past two weeks with four rushing touchdowns in two games. While it can be hard to run on the Vikings, they can be beat with receptions out of the backfield to running backs, and Kamara is going to be a significant factor catching passes this weekend.

Other option to consider - Dalvin Cook @ New Orleans

GPP - Devin Singletary @ Houston - $6,000

Singletary has been quiet in his last two games with fewer than ten fantasy points. But you need to remember those games were against the Pats and the Steelers, two of the better teams in the league at stopping the run. Houston is terrible against the run, and Singletary should be heavily used in both the ground and passing game. The return of J.J. Watt does give me some pause, but I still think the rookie is going to come through with a good game.

Other option to consider - Boston Scott vs. Seattle

Fade - Derrick Henry @ New England - $8,200

Henry finished strong last week with 211 rushing yards and three touchdowns to secure a playoff spot for Tennessee and win the rushing title. It was an impressive game, and Henry has been nothing short of spectacular this year, but I am not willing to pay over 8k for any running back going against New England, especially in a playoff game at Foxboro.

Wide Receivers

H2H/Cash - Michael Thomas vs. Minnesota - $9,300

Thomas has been head and shoulders above all fantasy wide receivers this season with a whopping six games of over 30 fantasy points. In a full PPR format, he is worth every penny, especially this week against a Minnesota team that gave up the 8th-most points to wide receivers. Good cornerbacks canít stay with Thomas, and an over the hill corner like Xavier Rhodes will have his hands full.

Other option to consider - Tyler Lockett @ Philadelphia

GPP - Adam Thielen @ New Orleans - $6,200

This pick will take a leap of faith, but consider my logic on before you dismiss Thielen this week. Of all the games over the wild card weekend, the Saints/Vikings game has the highest over-under and could be a high scoring game. The Saints may opt to keep Marshawn Lattimore on Stefon Diggs instead of Thielen based on the latterís struggles as of late and the fact that Thielen has been limited most of the year with a hamstring injury. Thielen has the skill set to be a monster; he just needed the right situation. This win or go home game against New Orleans could be the one.

Other option to consider Ė D.K. Metcalf @ Philadelphia

Fade - A.J. Brown @ New England - $7,400

In keeping with my theme of avoiding Titans, I am not betting on a rookie wide receiver going against Stephon Gilmore and Bill Belichick in the playoffs. Sure, Brown could bust a long one, but I don’t want to risk it based on some of the other solid options at wide receiver.

Tight End

H2H/Cash - Jared Cook vs. Minnesota - $4,900

Only Tyler Higbee has averaged more fantasy points at the tight end position than Jared Cook over the past five games, and that includes a game in which Cook left in the first quarter with a head injury against the 49ers. Cook is the red zone threat for the Saints and could be a monster in this game if the Vikings try to double Michael Thomas. Although Minnesota has been stout against tight ends this season, I still think Cook comes through with a big game this Wild Card weekend.

Other option to consider - Dallas Goedert vs. Seattle

GPP - Ben Watson vs. Tennessee $2,700

Outside of the tight ends for the Eagles and Jared Cook, I am not a fan of any of the tight ends playing this weekend. If you are looking for a low-cost tight end who could be a coin flip for a touchdown, Watson against the Titans could pay off. Watson has been MIA this season and not worthy of a play, but Tennessee does give up the 8th-most points to tight ends, and he could be more involved this week.

Other option to consider - Dawson Knox @ Houston

Fade - Kyle Rudolph @ New Orleans - $3,500

New Orleans can be beaten in the passing game, but they have been more vulnerable to wide receivers than tight ends. Rudolph has terrible as of late, and he is just as likely to goose you as he is to score a touchdown.

Defense & Special Teams

High Priced Option Worthy of the Cost: Patriots $3,400 vs. Titans

Well Priced with Upside: Eagles ($2,800) vs. Seahawks