Prediction: Giants 31, Falcons 27
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today
Player Rankings and Projections
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Atlanta Falcons |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 4 |
Matt Ryan |
Pass: 305, 2 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
RB 34 |
Steven Jackson |
Rush: 50, 0 TD Rec: 1-5, 0 |
RB 53 |
Jacquizz Rodgers |
Rush: 15, 0 TD Rec: 1-10, 0 |
WR 2 |
Julio Jones |
Rec: 8-110, 1 TD |
WR 10 |
Roddy White |
Rec: 7-80, 1 TD |
WR 47 |
Devin Hester |
Rec: 4-45, 0 TD |
TE 23 |
Levine Toilolo |
Rec: 3-30, 0 TD |
K 13 |
Matt Bryant |
FG: 2/2 XP: 3/3 |
DEF 29 |
Defense / ST |
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Game Notes
Falcons In 2 starts vs. NYG, QB Matt Ryan has 110.1 rating. Had 142.6 rating in last meeting, incl. 82.1 comp. pct. (23 of 28) & 3 TDs. When Ryan starts & has 100+ rating, Falcons are 36-2 (.947)... In only game at NYG (10/2/05 with StL), RB Steven Jackson had rush TD & rec. TD, 1 of 4 such games in career. RB Antone Smith had 48-yard rush TD last week. Has 5 career TDs (4 rush, 1 rec.) & avg. 46.5 yards per TD... WR Julio Jones had 2 TDs in last meeting. Is 2nd in NFL with 447 rec. yards. WR Roddy White had TD last week. Since 2007, White ranks 4th in NFL with 640 rec. & 8,671 rec. yards. WR Harry Douglas had 3 catches for 83 yards (27.7 avg.) in last game vs. NYG. WR-PR-KR Devin Hester has 3 TDs (rush, rec., PR) in past 2... DE Osi Umenyiora played 9 seasons with NYG & ranks 4th in team history with 75 sacks, incl. 3 seasons with 10+ sacks. DE Kroy Biermann had sack in last meeting.
Giants Have won 2 in row, outscoring opp. 75-31... QB Eli Manning had 4 pass TDs & 1 rush TD last week with 300 yards & 117.5 rating. Has won 4 of past 5 starts vs. Atl. (incl. playoffs). Has started 155 consecutive games, longest active streak by QB... RB Rashad Jennings has rushed for 231 yards (115.5 per game) in past 2. Rookie RB Andre Williams had career-best 15 att. & 66 yards last week, incl. 1st TD... TE Larry Donnell had career-high 3 TDs in Week 4, 1st NYG TE to accomplish feat since 1962. Ties for 1st among NFC TE with 4 rec. TDs. Entered 2014 with 3 catches. WR Victor Cruz aims for 3rd 100-yard game in row. Has 11 catches for 215 yards (107.5 per game) & TD in past 2. WR Rueben Randle has 8 TDs in past 11 home games. Had 8 catches for 89 yards last week... Giants had 4 INTs last week: CB Prince Amukamara, S Quintin Demps, S Antrel Rolle & CB Trumaine McBride. McBride also had FF & FR. DE Mathias Kiwanuka had sack & FF in Week 4. DE Jason Pierre-Paul is only DE in NFL with 2 INT-TDs since 2012.
Results and Schedule
Atlanta Falcons |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2014-09-07 |
NO |
H |
W 37-34 |
+3 |
2 |
2014-09-14 |
CIN |
A |
L 10-24 |
-14 |
3 |
2014-09-18 |
TB |
H |
W 56-14 |
+42 |
4 |
2014-09-28 |
MIN |
A |
L 28-41 |
-13 |
5 |
2014-10-05 |
NYG |
A |
|
|
6 |
2014-10-12 |
CHI |
H |
|
|
7 |
2014-10-19 |
BAL |
A |
|
|
8 |
2014-10-26 |
DET |
H |
|
|
9 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
10 |
2014-11-09 |
TB |
A |
|
|
11 |
2014-11-16 |
CAR |
A |
|
|
12 |
2014-11-23 |
CLE |
H |
|
|
13 |
2014-11-30 |
ARI |
H |
|
|
14 |
2014-12-08 |
GB |
A |
|
|
15 |
2014-12-14 |
PIT |
H |
|
|
16 |
2014-12-21 |
NO |
A |
|
|
17 |
2014-12-28 |
CAR |
H |
|
|
|
|
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New York Giants |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2014-09-08 |
DET |
A |
L 14-35 |
-21 |
2 |
2014-09-14 |
ARI |
H |
L 14-25 |
-11 |
3 |
2014-09-21 |
HOU |
H |
W 30-17 |
+13 |
4 |
2014-09-25 |
WAS |
A |
W 45-14 |
+31 |
5 |
2014-10-05 |
ATL |
H |
|
|
6 |
2014-10-12 |
PHI |
A |
|
|
7 |
2014-10-19 |
DAL |
A |
|
|
8 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
9 |
2014-11-03 |
IND |
H |
|
|
10 |
2014-11-09 |
SEA |
A |
|
|
11 |
2014-11-16 |
SF |
H |
|
|
12 |
2014-11-23 |
DAL |
H |
|
|
13 |
2014-11-30 |
JAC |
A |
|
|
14 |
2014-12-07 |
TEN |
A |
|
|
15 |
2014-12-14 |
WAS |
H |
|
|
16 |
2014-12-21 |
STL |
A |
|
|
17 |
2014-12-28 |
PHI |
H |
|
|
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Offense Stats Comparison
|
ATL Offense |
NYG Offense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points for |
32.8 |
25.8 |
23.1 |
ATL |
Rushing yards |
121.8 |
120.3 |
113.5 |
ATL |
Rushing yards per attempt |
4.77 |
3.73 |
4.18 |
ATL |
Completion % |
66.7% |
66.9% |
64.4% |
NYG |
Passing yards |
322.3 |
231.3 |
241.7 |
ATL |
Passing yards per completion |
12.39 |
9.95 |
10.71 |
ATL |
Passing yards per attempt |
8.26 |
6.65 |
6.90 |
ATL |
Interceptions |
1.5 |
1.3 |
0.8 |
NYG |
Fumbles lost |
1.0 |
0.8 |
0.6 |
NYG |
Sacks allowed |
1.3 |
1.5 |
2.0 |
ATL |
3rd down conversions |
55.1% |
45.3% |
43.2% |
ATL |
4th down conversions |
50.0% |
40.0% |
46.2% |
ATL |
Time of possession |
29:31 |
31:34 |
30:06 |
NYG |
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Defense Stats Comparison
|
ATL Defense |
NYG Defense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points against |
28.3 |
22.8 |
23.1 |
NYG |
Rushing yards |
153.5 |
101.3 |
113.5 |
NYG |
Rushing yards per attempt |
4.55 |
4.05 |
4.18 |
NYG |
Completion % |
65.2% |
58.9% |
64.4% |
NYG |
Passing yards |
276.3 |
254.5 |
241.7 |
NYG |
Passing yards per completion |
12.85 |
13.39 |
10.71 |
ATL |
Passing yards per attempt |
8.37 |
7.89 |
6.90 |
NYG |
INT return |
0.5 |
1.8 |
0.8 |
NYG |
Fumble recoveries |
1.3 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
ATL |
Sacks |
0.8 |
2.3 |
2.0 |
NYG |
3rd down conversions |
43.4% |
37.5% |
43.2% |
NYG |
4th down conversions |
100.0% |
50.0% |
46.2% |
NYG |
Time of possession |
30:54 |
28:26 |
30:06 |
NYG |
|
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Special Teams Stats Comparison
|
ATL |
NYG |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Yards per punt return |
15.3 |
6.6 |
8.5 |
ATL |
Yards per kick return |
25.6 |
23.1 |
23.6 |
ATL |
Yards allowed per punt return |
12.3 |
15.0 |
8.5 |
ATL |
Yards allowed per kick return |
28.4 |
18.3 |
23.6 |
NYG |
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Misc Stats Comparison
|
ATL |
NYG |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Penalties |
6.8 |
6.0 |
6.9 |
NYG |
Penalty yards |
63.0 |
48.0 |
59.5 |
NYG |
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Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 1 to 4 of the 2014 season with no adjustment. Once
more weeks are played, these stats will tabulate the last 6 weeks results and deduct the
best and worst value from the data set.
Weather
Team vs. Team History
Atlanta Falcons vs. New York Giants |
Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
2000 |
6 |
2000-10-08 |
NYG |
ATL |
13-6 |
NYG |
2002 |
6 |
2002-10-13 |
ATL |
NYG |
17-10 |
ATL |
2003 |
10 |
2003-11-09 |
ATL |
NYG |
27-7 |
ATL |
2004 |
11 |
2004-11-21 |
ATL |
NYG |
14-10 |
ATL |
2006 |
6 |
2006-10-15 |
NYG |
ATL |
27-14 |
NYG |
2007 |
6 |
2007-10-15 |
NYG |
ATL |
31-10 |
NYG |
2009 |
11 |
2009-11-22 |
ATL |
NYG |
31-34 |
NYG |
2011 |
WC |
2012-01-08 |
ATL |
NYG |
2-24 |
NYG |
2012 |
15 |
2012-12-16 |
NYG |
ATL |
0-34 |
ATL |
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Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database. WC = Wild-Card
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