Prediction: Saints 31, Buccaneers 20
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today
Player Rankings and Projections
|
Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 28 |
Mike Glennon |
Pass: 220, 1 TD Rush: 10, 0 |
RB 23 |
Doug Martin |
Rush: 65, 0 TD Rec: 2-15, 0 |
RB 41 |
Bobby Rainey |
Rush: 25, 0 TD Rec: 3-25, 0 |
WR 40 |
Vincent Jackson |
Rec: 6-75, 0 TD |
WR 72 |
Louis Murphy |
Rec: 3-35, 0 TD |
TE 13 |
Austin Seferian-Jenkins |
Rec: 4-50, 1 TD |
TE 36 |
Brandon Myers |
Rec: 2-20, 0 TD |
K 28 |
Patrick Murray |
FG: 2/2 XP: 2/2 |
DEF 30 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
|
New Orleans Saints |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 1 |
Drew Brees |
Pass: 330, 3 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
RB 16 |
Khiry Robinson |
Rush: 65, 1 TD Rec: 1-10, 0 |
RB 38 |
Pierre Thomas |
Rush: 25, 0 TD Rec: 4-25, 0 |
WR 22 |
Marques Colston |
Rec: 6-75, 1 TD |
WR 37 |
Brandin Cooks |
Rec: 5-65, 0 TD |
WR 82 |
Kenny Stills |
Rec: 1-20, 0 TD |
WR 86 |
Joe Morgan |
Rec: 1-10, 0 TD |
TE 1 |
Jimmy Graham |
Rec: 7-85, 1 TD |
K 24 |
Shayne Graham |
FG: 1/1 XP: 4/4 |
DEF 20 |
Defense / ST |
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|
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Game Notes
Buccaneers QB Mike Glennon had 1st career 300-yard game (302 yards, 2 TDs) last week in win at Pit. Threw 2 TD passes in only start vs. NO (12/29/13)... In his last game vs. NO, RB Doug Martin rushed for 144 yards. Had rush TD last week... In 10/21/12 meeting, WR Vincent Jackson had 7 catches for career-high 216 yards (30.9 avg.) & TD. Had GW TD catch with 7 seconds left in Week 4. Among active players (min. 300 catches), has NFL-best 17.2 rec. avg. Rookie WR Mike Evans had 1st career TD last week. WR Louis Murphy had 6 catches for 99 yards in TB debut in Week 4... Since 2013, LB Lavonte David is only player in NFL with 150+ tackles (181), 5+ sacks (7) & 5+ INTs (5). Aims for 3rd in row with FF. Had 1.5 sacks in 9/15/13 game vs. NO. LB Mason Foster had 85-yard INT-TD vs. NO in 9/15/13 meeting. DT Gerald McCoy has 1.5 sacks in past 2 meetings. Has 9.5 sacks in past 11. DE Michael Johnson had 2 sacks & FF last week. DE DA'QUAN BOWERS had sack in Week 4, his 1st of season.
Saints QB Drew Brees has won 5 in row vs. TB & has 113.3 rating in those 5. Aims for 5th in row vs. TB with 300+ yards. In past 4 meetings, has 3 games with 4 TD passes. In past 9 at home, is 9-0 & has completed 256 of 346 (74 pct.) for 3,128 yards with 29 TDs vs. 3 INTs for 125.7 rating. Since joining NO in 2006, leads NFL with 39,936 pass yards & 290 pass TDs... RB Khiry Robinson had career-long 62-yard run last week & career-best 87 yards. RB Pierre Thomas had rush TD in last meeting & has 3 TDs in past 5 vs. TB. TE Jimmy Graham has 15 catches for 250 yards (125 per game) & 2 TDs in past 2 meetings. Aims for 3rd in row vs. TB with TD. Has 11 TDs in past 10 at home. Since 2011 (incl. playoffs), leads NFL TEs with 318 catches, 4,057 yards & 42 TDs. WR Kenny Stills had 76-yard TD in last game vs. TB. WR Brandin Cooks leads NFL rookies with 23 catches... LB Junior Galette had 2 sacks in last meeting. In past 4 vs. TB, DE Cameron Jordan has 3 sacks, 3 FFs & FR. CB Keenan Lewis had INT in last meeting. Since entering NFL in 2009, S Jairus Byrd has 22 INTs, most by NFL S. S Kenny Vaccaro had sack last week.
Results and Schedule
Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2014-09-07 |
CAR |
H |
L 14-20 |
-6 |
2 |
2014-09-14 |
STL |
H |
L 17-19 |
-2 |
3 |
2014-09-18 |
ATL |
A |
L 14-56 |
-42 |
4 |
2014-09-28 |
PIT |
A |
W 27-24 |
+3 |
5 |
2014-10-05 |
NO |
A |
|
|
6 |
2014-10-12 |
BAL |
H |
|
|
7 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
8 |
2014-10-26 |
MIN |
H |
|
|
9 |
2014-11-02 |
CLE |
A |
|
|
10 |
2014-11-09 |
ATL |
H |
|
|
11 |
2014-11-16 |
WAS |
A |
|
|
12 |
2014-11-23 |
CHI |
A |
|
|
13 |
2014-11-30 |
CIN |
H |
|
|
14 |
2014-12-07 |
DET |
A |
|
|
15 |
2014-12-14 |
CAR |
A |
|
|
16 |
2014-12-21 |
GB |
H |
|
|
17 |
2014-12-28 |
NO |
H |
|
|
|
|
|
New Orleans Saints |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2014-09-07 |
ATL |
A |
L 34-37 |
-3 |
2 |
2014-09-14 |
CLE |
A |
L 24-26 |
-2 |
3 |
2014-09-21 |
MIN |
H |
W 20-9 |
+11 |
4 |
2014-09-28 |
DAL |
A |
L 17-38 |
-21 |
5 |
2014-10-05 |
TB |
H |
|
|
6 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
7 |
2014-10-19 |
DET |
A |
|
|
8 |
2014-10-26 |
GB |
H |
|
|
9 |
2014-10-30 |
CAR |
A |
|
|
10 |
2014-11-09 |
SF |
H |
|
|
11 |
2014-11-16 |
CIN |
H |
|
|
12 |
2014-11-24 |
BAL |
H |
|
|
13 |
2014-11-30 |
PIT |
A |
|
|
14 |
2014-12-07 |
CAR |
H |
|
|
15 |
2014-12-15 |
CHI |
A |
|
|
16 |
2014-12-21 |
ATL |
H |
|
|
17 |
2014-12-28 |
TB |
A |
|
|
|
|
Offense Stats Comparison
|
TB Offense |
NO Offense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points for |
18.0 |
23.8 |
23.1 |
NO |
Rushing yards |
96.5 |
131.3 |
113.5 |
NO |
Rushing yards per attempt |
4.54 |
5.25 |
4.18 |
NO |
Completion % |
60.0% |
71.4% |
64.4% |
NO |
Passing yards |
194.3 |
294.5 |
241.7 |
NO |
Passing yards per completion |
9.59 |
10.24 |
10.71 |
NO |
Passing yards per attempt |
5.76 |
7.32 |
6.90 |
NO |
Interceptions |
1.3 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
NO |
Fumbles lost |
1.3 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
NO |
Sacks allowed |
2.0 |
1.3 |
2.0 |
NO |
3rd down conversions |
43.5% |
57.1% |
43.2% |
NO |
4th down conversions |
50.0% |
50.0% |
46.2% |
- |
Time of possession |
26:27 |
30:16 |
30:06 |
NO |
|
|
|
Defense Stats Comparison
|
TB Defense |
NO Defense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points against |
29.8 |
27.5 |
23.1 |
NO |
Rushing yards |
115.3 |
123.5 |
113.5 |
TB |
Rushing yards per attempt |
3.69 |
4.41 |
4.18 |
TB |
Completion % |
75.8% |
65.7% |
64.4% |
NO |
Passing yards |
272.5 |
272.5 |
241.7 |
- |
Passing yards per completion |
10.90 |
11.60 |
10.71 |
TB |
Passing yards per attempt |
8.26 |
7.62 |
6.90 |
NO |
INT return |
0.3 |
0.0 |
0.8 |
TB |
Fumble recoveries |
1.3 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
TB |
Sacks |
2.3 |
1.3 |
2.0 |
TB |
3rd down conversions |
49.0% |
48.2% |
43.2% |
NO |
4th down conversions |
100.0% |
100.0% |
46.2% |
- |
Time of possession |
33:33 |
30:10 |
30:06 |
NO |
|
|
Special Teams Stats Comparison
|
TB |
NO |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Yards per punt return |
11.8 |
2.5 |
8.5 |
TB |
Yards per kick return |
24.3 |
24.3 |
23.6 |
- |
Yards allowed per punt return |
14.7 |
2.3 |
8.5 |
NO |
Yards allowed per kick return |
19.0 |
26.0 |
23.6 |
TB |
|
|
|
Misc Stats Comparison
|
TB |
NO |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Penalties |
6.8 |
3.8 |
6.9 |
NO |
Penalty yards |
51.3 |
29.0 |
59.5 |
NO |
|
|
Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 1 to 4 of the 2014 season with no adjustment. Once
more weeks are played, these stats will tabulate the last 6 weeks results and deduct the
best and worst value from the data set.
Weather
Dome Stadium
Team vs. Team History
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New Orleans Saints |
Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
2001 |
15 |
2001-12-23 |
NO |
TB |
21-48 |
TB |
2002 |
1 |
2002-09-08 |
NO |
TB |
26-20 |
NO |
2002 |
13 |
2002-12-01 |
TB |
NO |
20-23 |
NO |
2003 |
9 |
2003-11-02 |
NO |
TB |
17-14 |
NO |
2003 |
14 |
2003-12-07 |
TB |
NO |
14-7 |
TB |
2004 |
5 |
2004-10-10 |
TB |
NO |
20-17 |
TB |
2004 |
15 |
2004-12-18 |
NO |
TB |
21-17 |
NO |
2005 |
13 |
2005-12-04 |
TB |
NO |
10-3 |
TB |
2005 |
17 |
2006-01-01 |
NO |
TB |
13-27 |
TB |
2006 |
5 |
2006-10-08 |
TB |
NO |
21-24 |
NO |
2006 |
9 |
2006-11-05 |
NO |
TB |
31-14 |
NO |
2007 |
2 |
2007-09-16 |
NO |
TB |
14-31 |
TB |
2007 |
13 |
2007-12-02 |
TB |
NO |
27-23 |
TB |
2008 |
1 |
2008-09-07 |
TB |
NO |
20-24 |
NO |
2008 |
13 |
2008-11-30 |
NO |
TB |
20-23 |
TB |
2009 |
11 |
2009-11-22 |
NO |
TB |
38-7 |
NO |
2009 |
16 |
2009-12-27 |
TB |
NO |
20-17 |
TB |
2010 |
6 |
2010-10-17 |
NO |
TB |
31-6 |
NO |
2010 |
17 |
2011-01-02 |
TB |
NO |
23-13 |
TB |
2011 |
6 |
2011-10-16 |
NO |
TB |
20-26 |
TB |
2011 |
9 |
2011-11-06 |
TB |
NO |
16-27 |
NO |
2012 |
7 |
2012-10-21 |
NO |
TB |
35-28 |
NO |
2012 |
15 |
2012-12-16 |
TB |
NO |
0-41 |
NO |
2013 |
2 |
2013-09-15 |
NO |
TB |
16-14 |
NO |
2013 |
17 |
2013-12-29 |
TB |
NO |
17-42 |
NO |
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Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.
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