Prediction: Bengals 24, Patriots 20
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today
Player Rankings and Projections
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New England Patriots |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 26 |
Tom Brady |
Pass: 230, 1 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
RB 22 |
Stevan Ridley |
Rush: 65, 1 TD Rec: 0-0, 0 |
RB 30 |
Shane Vereen |
Rush: 35, 0 TD Rec: 4-30, 0 |
WR 25 |
Julian Edelman |
Rec: 7-75, 0 TD |
WR 66 |
Brandon LaFell |
Rec: 3-40, 0 TD |
WR 85 |
Danny Amendola |
Rec: 1-10, 0 TD |
TE 5 |
Rob Gronkowski |
Rec: 6-60, 1 TD |
TE 40 |
Tim Wright |
Rec: 1-10, 0 TD |
K 16 |
Stephen Gostkowski |
FG: 2/2 XP: 2/2 |
DEF 14 |
Defense / ST |
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Game Notes
Bengals Aim for 12th consecutive reg.-sea. home win... In past 11 reg.-sea. home games, QB Andy Dalton is 11-0 with 2,563 pass yards & 22 TDs for 97.7 rating. Bengals are 20-2 (.909) when Dalton posts 90+ rating. Has 33-18 (.647) record, highest win pct. of any QB in franchise history (min. 20 starts). Had 1st career TD catch in Week 3 vs. Ten... In past 6 at home, RB Giovani Bernard averages 99.5 scrimmage yards per game (597 total; 323 rush, 274 rec.) & 3 rush TDs. Rookie RB Jeremy Hill (Round 2, No. 55 overall) aims for 3rd in row with TD... Since entering NFL in 2011, WR A.J. Green has 4,066 receiving yards, most in AFC. Has 4 TDs in past 5 at home. Last week, WR Mohamed Sanu threw 2nd career TD pass (18-yarder to Dalton). For career, has completed all 4 pass attempts for 166 yards & 2 TDs. Only player in NFL history with 2+ TD passes, 150+ pass yards & 0 incompletions for career... Since 2012, Geno Atkins leads NFL DTs with 18.5 sacks. DE Carlos Dunlap aims for 4th in row with sack.
Patriots QB Tom Brady has won 4 of 5 career starts vs. Cin., passing for 1,134 yards with 10 TDs for 99.1 rating. Brady (49,940) needs 60 pass yards to become 6th QB in NFL history with 50,000 career... Since 2012, RB Stevan Ridley ranks 1st in AFC with 20 rush TDs. Averages 4.4 yards/att. (2,681 yards, 612 att.), highest avg. in club history (min. 500 att.)... WR Julian Edelman aims for 11th in row with 4+ rec. In past 4 at home, has 34 catches for 323 yards & 3 TDs. In only career meeting (NFL debut on 9/12/10), TE Rob Gronkowski had 1st career TD catch. Has TD catch in 7 of past 9, including 13-yarder last week... Defense is tied for 1st in AFC with 6 INTs... DT CHRIS JONES had 1.5 sacks in last meeting. Had half sack vs. KC, 1st of season. LB Jerod Mayo leads team with 40 tackles, including game-high 10 last week.
Results and Schedule
Cincinnati Bengals |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2014-09-07 |
BAL |
A |
W 23-16 |
+7 |
2 |
2014-09-14 |
ATL |
H |
W 24-10 |
+14 |
3 |
2014-09-21 |
TEN |
H |
W 33-7 |
+26 |
4 |
|
Bye |
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5 |
2014-10-05 |
NE |
A |
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6 |
2014-10-12 |
CAR |
H |
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7 |
2014-10-19 |
IND |
A |
|
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8 |
2014-10-26 |
BAL |
H |
|
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9 |
2014-11-02 |
JAC |
H |
|
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10 |
2014-11-06 |
CLE |
H |
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11 |
2014-11-16 |
NO |
A |
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12 |
2014-11-23 |
HOU |
A |
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13 |
2014-11-30 |
TB |
A |
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14 |
2014-12-07 |
PIT |
H |
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15 |
2014-12-14 |
CLE |
A |
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16 |
2014-12-22 |
DEN |
H |
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17 |
2014-12-28 |
PIT |
A |
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New England Patriots |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2014-09-07 |
MIA |
A |
L 20-33 |
-13 |
2 |
2014-09-14 |
MIN |
A |
W 30-7 |
+23 |
3 |
2014-09-21 |
OAK |
H |
W 16-9 |
+7 |
4 |
2014-09-29 |
KC |
A |
L 14-41 |
-27 |
5 |
2014-10-05 |
CIN |
H |
|
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6 |
2014-10-12 |
BUF |
A |
|
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7 |
2014-10-16 |
NYJ |
H |
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8 |
2014-10-26 |
CHI |
H |
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9 |
2014-11-02 |
DEN |
H |
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10 |
|
Bye |
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11 |
2014-11-16 |
IND |
A |
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12 |
2014-11-23 |
DET |
H |
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13 |
2014-11-30 |
GB |
A |
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14 |
2014-12-07 |
SD |
A |
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15 |
2014-12-14 |
MIA |
H |
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16 |
2014-12-21 |
NYJ |
A |
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17 |
2014-12-28 |
BUF |
H |
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Offense Stats Comparison
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CIN Offense |
NE Offense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points for |
26.7 |
20.0 |
23.1 |
CIN |
Rushing yards |
121.7 |
97.5 |
113.5 |
CIN |
Rushing yards per attempt |
3.58 |
3.71 |
4.18 |
NE |
Completion % |
65.9% |
60.7% |
64.4% |
CIN |
Passing yards |
262.3 |
201.0 |
241.7 |
CIN |
Passing yards per completion |
13.57 |
9.14 |
10.71 |
CIN |
Passing yards per attempt |
8.94 |
5.54 |
6.90 |
CIN |
Interceptions |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
CIN |
Fumbles lost |
0.0 |
0.8 |
0.6 |
CIN |
Sacks allowed |
0.0 |
2.5 |
2.0 |
CIN |
3rd down conversions |
35.1% |
36.2% |
43.2% |
NE |
4th down conversions |
0.0% |
33.3% |
46.2% |
NE |
Time of possession |
30:44 |
29:04 |
30:06 |
CIN |
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Defense Stats Comparison
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CIN Defense |
NE Defense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points against |
11.0 |
22.5 |
23.1 |
CIN |
Rushing yards |
112.3 |
129.8 |
113.5 |
CIN |
Rushing yards per attempt |
5.03 |
4.44 |
4.18 |
NE |
Completion % |
54.3% |
60.9% |
64.4% |
CIN |
Passing yards |
239.3 |
185.5 |
241.7 |
NE |
Passing yards per completion |
9.45 |
9.51 |
10.71 |
CIN |
Passing yards per attempt |
5.13 |
5.80 |
6.90 |
CIN |
INT return |
2.0 |
1.5 |
0.8 |
CIN |
Fumble recoveries |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
NE |
Sacks |
2.3 |
2.3 |
2.0 |
- |
3rd down conversions |
31.7% |
46.9% |
43.2% |
CIN |
4th down conversions |
50.0% |
0.0% |
46.2% |
NE |
Time of possession |
29:16 |
30:56 |
30:06 |
CIN |
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Special Teams Stats Comparison
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CIN |
NE |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Yards per punt return |
17.8 |
10.9 |
8.5 |
CIN |
Yards per kick return |
23.5 |
24.7 |
23.6 |
NE |
Yards allowed per punt return |
2.5 |
7.4 |
8.5 |
CIN |
Yards allowed per kick return |
28.3 |
20.0 |
23.6 |
NE |
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Misc Stats Comparison
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CIN |
NE |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Penalties |
6.0 |
8.3 |
6.9 |
CIN |
Penalty yards |
50.0 |
88.0 |
59.5 |
CIN |
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Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 1 to 4 of the 2014 season with no adjustment. Once
more weeks are played, these stats will tabulate the last 6 weeks results and deduct the
best and worst value from the data set.
Weather
Team vs. Team History
Cincinnati Bengals vs. New England Patriots |
Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
2000 |
12 |
2000-11-19 |
CIN |
NE |
13-16 |
NE |
2001 |
1 |
2001-09-09 |
NE |
CIN |
17-23 |
CIN |
2004 |
14 |
2004-12-12 |
CIN |
NE |
28-35 |
NE |
2006 |
4 |
2006-10-01 |
NE |
CIN |
38-13 |
NE |
2007 |
4 |
2007-10-01 |
NE |
CIN |
34-13 |
NE |
2010 |
1 |
2010-09-12 |
CIN |
NE |
24-38 |
NE |
2013 |
5 |
2013-10-06 |
NE |
CIN |
6-13 |
CIN |
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Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.
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