Outlook: Over his past four years, Josh Allen has finished as the fantasy QB1 in 2023, QB2 in 2022, QB1 in 2021, QB1 in 2020. To say that he's on a "Mount Rushmore of all-time fantasy quarterbacks" pace would be an understatement. There are plenty of quarterbacks who can provide consistent, high-end passing numbers or who can deliver the "Konami code" effect of practically cheating due to how effective they are as runners, but practically no one in the history of the game has done both of those things at the same time for this many seasons in a row.

Allen might be a unicorn at the position, but it's hard to argue that his forecast for the 2024 season is looking a bit murky. With both Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis leaving, Allen is now left with a group of highly inexperienced pass-catching weapons, most of whom lack the physical ability to be one-for-one replacements for either Diggs or Davis, let alone both. Sure, Allen has shown the ability to make due with inferior weapons when Diggs and Davis have been banged up, but what happens when defenses know that those players are gone and can instead allocate more resources to preventing him from scrambling, particularly in the red zone? Time will tell.

Despite these concerns, Allen should remain an elite fantasy asset this season as the entire Buffalo offense has been built around him. Look for him to remain one of the league's most aggressive passers while also being the Bills' defacto goal-line running back, giving him a great floor for fantasy production while still providing high-end QB1 upside.

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Outlook: Saddled with a receiver group that struggled throughout the season and produced just one wideout with more than 500 yards, Mahomes' numbers trended downward. He finished with 4,183 yards and 27 TDs, both representing his lowest output since 2019 when he played in 14 games, and tossed a career-high 14 interceptions. With his targets struggling to separate, Mahomes ran more than ever, setting personal bests in carries (75) and rushing yards (389), though he failed to score a touchdown.

Despite the Chiefs' run to another Super Bowl title, Kansas City made upgrading the receiver room a priority during the offseason, signing Marquise Brown and spending a first-round pick on Xavier Worthy in hopes that they can combine with second-year pro Rashee Rice to form a quality top three. There are plenty of other high-round draft picks as well -- Skyy Moore, Mecole Hardman, Kadarius Toney -- so perhaps enough of them will step up to give Mahomes some better options.

From a talent standpoint, Mahomes remains the standard bearer in the NFL. At 29 (in September), he's in the prime of his career. He's seen it all, done it all, and he doesn't get rattled when things don't go his way. He just hangs in there and makes plays. Ideally, he'll run a little less this year and pass a bit more. While not quite on par from a fantasy perspective with Josh Allen and maybe Jalen Hurts, Mahomes is still a top-five QB on draft day and probably the most reliable.

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Outlook: Dak Prescott finished the 2023 season as the QB3 in fantasy football, averaging 23.9 points per game. This impressive finish did, however, happen during a season where overall quarterback performance was down across the league, with only Josh Allen and Jalen Hurts having standout seasons. Despite his high ranking, it was actually Prescott's fourth-highest-scoring season on a per-game basis when including his five-game stint in 2020.

Prescott's success in 2023 was largely due to his efficiency through the air, as he rushed for only 242 yards and two touchdowns. He threw for 36 touchdowns and nine interceptions, a significant improvement over his 2022 performance where he threw 23 touchdowns and 15 interceptions. However, without a substantial rushing ceiling, Prescott lacks the game-breaking potential of some other fantasy quarterbacks. This has led to him being drafted behind players like Anthony Richardson, C.J. Stroud, and even Kyler Murray in some leagues.

The offseason brought challenges for Prescott, including the loss of left tackle Tyron Smith. Although the Cowboys addressed this by drafting Tyler Guyton in the first round, there are concerns about a potential dip in Prescott's blind-side protection. Additionally, Prescott is dealing with a foot injury that, while reportedly not serious, has caused him to wear a walking boot.

Overall, Prescott is a safe, albeit not very exciting, low-end QB1 for the 2024 season. He offers mid-QB1 upside if things go his way, but his lack of rushing production and potential issues with pass protection temper his ceiling. Fantasy managers can rely on Prescott for consistent performance, but he may not provide the game-breaking edge needed to dominate at the quarterback position.

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Outlook: Bookend injuries to his calf, then wrist doomed Burrow's 2023 fantasy season, and leave some serious questions about his immediate and long-term future. The tendon tear in his wrist was a rare injury, and the rehab has been extensive, but positive. A fully healthy and effective camp will go a long way to setting the tone for an offense that's breaking in a new coordinator, has major changes on the O-line and will be taking one more shot at a chip before some major roster decisions come to pass. On the field, defenses have gone to two high safety looks to teams like the Bengals, and Burrow has been forced into a shorter field. After a monster 8.9 yards per attempt average in 2021, that number fell to 7.4 and 6.3 the following two years. In limiting the big play, defenses have conceded short area throws, and the Cinci offense just has had to work harder for big chunk plays.

If you are a healthy Burrow truther, then come in close for some additional good news. With Joe Mixon off to Houston and very little left in the backfield, the Bengals could very well be one of the most prolific pass offenses in the NFL. They were 7th in the league in pass attempts each of the last two years and that was with their former workhorse Mixon, and half a season of Jake Browning behind center. Burrow has the swagger and determination to get his team back in the conversation, and he was lights out in games against San Francisco, Buffalo and Houston before the wrist gave out. Injury, not talent questions will deflate his value, but Burrow possesses the ability, weapons, and scheme to have top-3 upside.

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Outlook: Despite playing extremely well in relief of Jimmy Garoppolo as a rookie, there were plenty of reasons for skepticism as to whether Purdy was the real deal. For the most part, those questions have been answered -- and the one lingering doubt regarding how much credit belongs to the quarterback and how much is a mix of scheme and a deep pool of talent to throw to doesn't matter since the architect and playmakers are all back for 2024.

In his first full year as a starter, Purdy finished fifth in passing yardage (4,280) and third in TDs (31) despite sitting out the finale. Granted, he did have a few stinkers, most notably his Christmas night debacle against the Ravens, and he was shaky at times during the playoff run, but the 49ers should enter the new season with an even higher level of confidence in their field general.

While not the most physically gifted of quarterbacks, the 24-year-old does a good job of buying time in the pocket and is smart with the football. His lack of running ability limits his fantasy appeal to a degree, leaving him on the fringes of QB1 territory, though with a few rushing TDs and playing a full 17-game schedule he could crack the position's top 10.

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Outlook: Anthony Richardson proves to be one of the most intriguing and polarizing options at quarterback in 2024. He played just two full games last season, scoring 21.9 and 29.6 points in these contents. He also appeared in two additional games but played less than 40 percent of snaps. In one of these games, he managed to score 17.7 points on just 18 offensive snaps. Truly absurd.

Richardson now comes off the board as the QB5. His ADP is almost exactly in line with fellow sophomore QB C.J. Stroud, so Richardson can often be scooped up as the QB6.

We know what we're getting with Richardson when he's on the field. He's is far from a high-quality passer, finishing his rookie season with a 59.5 completion percentage. With Richardson, inefficient passing truly doesn't matter from a fantasy perspective. In his two full starts, he had 40+ rushing yards and found the endzone in both games.

We know that having rushing ability at QB provides a massive edge. Richardson has the ability and willingness to tack on 50+ rushing yards in any given week. He also has the frame to be used as a battering ram at the goal-line. With this skill set, a season with 600-plus rushing yards and 10+ TDs on the ground is very realistic.

Richardson is one of a handful of QBs who can truly finish as the QB1. The only real question is, can he stay healthy? I am willing to take this bet every time and love grabbing Richardson in drafts.

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Outlook: Most expected the Cardinals to be bad last year, and they were. They just weren't quite bad enough to get a shot at Caleb Williams... or Jayden Daniels... or Drake Maye. Whether Arizona would've actually pulled the trigger on one of those rookie signal-callers is purely speculation, whereas the reality of the situation is that Murray will once again lead the Cardinals, albeit with a shiny new weapon in the form of Marvin Harrison Jr, who was selected fourth overall (after those three QBs).

Last season, Murray was working his way back from a torn ACL suffered on Dec. 12, 2022, and he missed the first nine games recovering. He returned in November and led the team to a 3-5 record down the stretch, which included wins over playoff teams Pittsburgh and Philadelphia. The numbers were decent but unspectacular: 1,799 yards passing, 244 yards rushing, and 13 total TDs -- projected over a 17-game schedule that comes to 3,823 yards passing, 519 yards rushing, and 28 combined touchdowns.

Those look like plausible numbers for Murray, who should be feeling better athletically after another full offseason to train, and getting those games under his belt should've knocked off any rust. Still, there are always going to be durability concerns for the 5-foot-10, 207-pound quarterback. Beyond his ACL injury, we've seen Murray get banged up every year. It's not always to a level that he misses time, but what makes him special is his ability to extend plays, and that exposes him to hits.

He has some nice ascending weapons with Harrison and Trey McBride, and a second year under OC Drew Petzing should help as well. Murray looks like a low-end No. 1 fantasy quarterback for 2024. Just be sure if you draft him as QB1 that you have a capable backup as insurance.

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Outlook: It's typical for most franchises to struggle to transition away from HOF quarterbacks, as the Steelers, Saints, Broncos, and Patriots can all attest to. The Cheeseheads up north simply shrug and find a new one, as Jordan Love's debut season could indeed set them up until 2040.

After languishing on the bench behind the mercurial Aaron Rodgers, Love finally got his shot last season. After a quick start, Love and the team cooled considerably, and an early season four-game losing streak seemed to have the doubters saying "I told you so". In the season's first nine games Love had a shaky 14-10 touchdown to interception ratio as Green Bay labored to score points. But an immensely young offensive core seemed to gel, and the return of a running game seemed to give balance to a languishing offense. From Week 11 on, Love surged, piling up a staggering 18 touchdowns with only a single interception. The team subsequently caught fire as well, going 6-2, locking up the wild card, and coming within a wisp of making it all the way to the Super Bowl. Love was masterful down the stretch, looking totally in control of the offense, and making off schedule plays with his arm and legs.

With a monster contract extension on the horizon, deep receiver room, and an offensive head coach that is a genius as scheming guys open, Love truly sits in the catbird seat. While his 2023 touchdown numbers (36 total) will be very hard to duplicate, Love should remain a safe floor value pick as your QB1 and has upside for more if Christan Watson can bring a consistent vertical element back to the offense.

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