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Regular Season, Updated: 9/7/2020

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 Lamar Jackson, BAL (Bye: 7)
Height: 6’3”   Weight: 200   DOB: 1997-01-07   Age: 24
College: Louisville   Draft: 2018 Round 1 (32) 
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2018BAL1699 170 1,201 6 3 147 695 5 183.6 11.5
2019BAL15265 401 3,127 36 6 176 1,206 7 463.0 30.9
2020 (Projected)BAL 282 440 3,255 30 12 165 988 6 417.6  

Outlook: Last year in this spot I wrongly (VERY WRONGLY) assumed that Jackson would struggle to be an efficient full-time quarterback. For years NFL teams have taken ultra-athletic quarterbacks and tried to shoehorn them into more "typical" roles as drop-back passers. Well the Ravens bucked tradition and instead of trying to change the player to fit the offense, they went ahead and built the entire thing around a generational talent. The result? A statistical season for the ages and perhaps a blueprint on how to build a team around a player who breaks the mold.

Twenty-five players attempted more passes than Jackson, but he still led the league with 36 touchdown passes, tack on another 7 on the ground, (to only 6 interceptions) and Jackson had one of the most efficient statistical seasons of all time. While throwing like a QB1, he also, not surprisingly, ran like a RB1, putting up a 176-1206 line (yes, that's 6.9 yards per carry!). Think about that for a second. Jackson played so well that he could have been a top tier option at TWO different positions. I'd love to see the numbers on the percentage of fantasy championships won by Jackson owners!

What can you expect for your Jackson investment in 2020? History says that repeating the ground numbers is going to be incredibly difficult. 2019 was a historical season for the former Heisman winner, and with teams better prepared for what the Raven's want to do, his development as a passer, and the desire to keep him healthy, you have to believe some of his rush attempts will be trimmed. Oh don't get me wrong, Jackson will still likely double the rushing total of the next quarterback below him, but a simple regression in his overall efficiency has to be expected. The one giant early season advantage the Ravens have is continuity. With the insanity and uncertainty of this offseason, Baltimore will be far ahead in their preparation. I won't be guilty of doubting Jackson again, so even with some regression in stats, his insanely high weekly floor makes him the No.1 quarterback on my board.

 Patrick Mahomes, KC (Bye: 10)
Height: 6’2”   Weight: 225   DOB: 1995-09-17   Age: 25
College: Texas Tech   Draft: 2017 Round 1 (10) 
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2017KC122 35 284 0 1 7 10 0 15.2 15.2
2018KC16383 580 5,097 50 12 60 272 2 494.1 30.9
2019KC14319 484 4,031 26 5 43 218 2 339.4 24.2
2020 (Projected)KC 373 566 4,582 34 9 56 229 2 400.0  

Outlook: Kansas City's $450 Million man Patrick Mahomes will be one of the top two quarterbacks selected in all fantasy drafts this season and that's after what has to be considered a "down" year in 2019. Mahomes missed roughly 2.5 games with a knee injury, but still finished as a top 10 fantasy QB on the season and the No.6 QB in fantasy points per game. His 16-game pace would've put him at 4,606 yards, 30 touchdowns and six touchdowns, which is a far cry from the absolutely insane performance he had in 2018, but we should've been expecting at least somewhat of a drop off. It would've been practically impossible for Mahomes to produce another 5,000-yard, 50 touchdown season through the air. What he did provide, however, was still plenty good enough to be considered an elite fantasy QB.

The crazy thing is that what we saw in 2019 might just be Mahomes' floor from a fantasy standpoint. Injuries led to some less-than-ideal situations as superstar wide receiver Tyreek Hill and starting running back Damien Williams both missed multiple games. This led to the Chiefs relying on rookie Mecole Hardman at wide receiver and veteran LeSean McCoy at running back, which really hurt their explosiveness and Mahomes' upside suffered a bit as a result.

Once the Chiefs were back to being healthy, however, Mahomes continued his blistering pace in the playoffs when he threw for over 300 yards per game, including 10 touchdowns and just two interceptions. He was also highly productive on the ground, which should show us that he's capable of an even higher ceiling than perhaps he was given credit for before.

The Chiefs' offense hasn't changed much this offseason, but they did add another pass catching specialist at running back in first round selection Clyde Edwards-Helaire, which should only serve to help Mahomes produce even more in the passing game. Lamar Jackson is coming off of a historic season, but there's plenty of reason to have more faith in Mahomes given that his floor is significantly higher while he still possesses other-worldly, league-winning upside.

 Dak Prescott, DAL (Bye: 10)
Height: 6’2”   Weight: 226   DOB: 1993-07-29   Age: 27
College: Mississippi State   Draft: 2016 Round 4 (37) 
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2017DAL16308 490 3,325 22 13 57 357 6 326.0 20.4
2018DAL16356 526 3,885 22 8 75 305 6 348.8 21.8
2019DAL16388 596 4,902 30 11 52 277 3 410.8 25.7
2020 (Projected)DAL 387 596 4,530 28 12 71 304 4 392.9  

Outlook: Dak posted career highs in passing yards (4,902), passing touchdowns (30), and pass attempts (596) last season in route to an impressive third-overall finish based on fantasy points per game, behind only Lamar Jackson and Jameis Winston. Prescott's 25.7 points per game were nearly four points more per game than in 2018, despite the fact that he rushed for only three rushing touchdowns compared to six in each of his first three seasons in the league.

You can make a strong argument that Prescott boasts the best wide receiving corps in the NFL, with rookie CeeDee Lamb joining an already stacked group of Amari Cooper and Michael Gallup. Add in Zeke Elliott out of the backfield and an improving Blake Jarwin at tight end, and you have a complete set of receiving threats for Dak that should give him another shot at finishing as a top-5 QB.

No other team in the NFL averaged more yards per game than the Cowboys (431.5), yet the team failed to make the playoffs and head coach Jason Garrett was replaced by former Packers HC Mike McCarthy. Considering McCarthy is an offensive-minded head coach who kept offensive coordinator Kellen Moore on staff to call the plays, Dallas should be in line to be another gold mine for fantasy production in 2020.

 Kyler Murray, ARI (Bye: 8)
Height: 5’10”   Weight: 207   DOB: 1997-08-07   Age: 23
College: Oklahoma   Draft: 2019 Round 1 (1) 
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2019ARI16349 542 3,722 20 12 93 544 4 344.5 21.5
2020 (Projected)ARI 374 585 4,154 25 13 97 513 3 377.0  

Outlook: The No.1 overall NFL Draft pick from 2019, Kyler Murray burst onto the fantasy scene with a top-10 quarterback season as he finished with 3,772 passing yards, 20 TDs and 12 INTs. Those numbers aren't particularly exciting, but Murray proved those hyping him for fantasy to be correct as he delivered an additional 544 rushing yards along with four scores on the ground.

The Kliff Kingsbury Air Raid offense didn't exactly work to perfection as the Cardinals struggled to move the ball at times, but there are certainly takeaways that should give some hope that this could be one of the league's next great fantasy-rich environments. The Cardinals finished the season with the fourth-most offensive plays run per second, which by definition provides more opportunity for fantasy points than the slower-paced offenses. That certainly benefits Murray, as he quietly finished inside the top 10 quarterbacks in pass attempts as a rookie despite the Cardinals having a very productive rushing attack. It should be assumed that Kingsbury is going to do what it takes to put points on the board, but the Cardinals didn't select Murray with the No.1 overall pick in 2019 and trade for DeAndre Hopkins in order to grind the ball between the tackles. They want to pass, and that should make Murray a fairly safe bet to produce an upper-half QB1 fantasy season here in 2020.

In addition to what will likely be even more volume through the air, the Cardinals passing offense could also be more efficient this season. While the passing game wasn't particularly bad in 2019, they also missed out on quite a few touchdowns. In fact, Arizona scored 47 percent of their touchdowns by running the ball in 2019 - a number far higher than the league average. That happened despite Murray finishing in the top 10 in passing attempts within the red zone, with 75 attempts. This should tell us that Murray is almost certainly due for some positive regression in the way of touchdowns through the air, if for no other reason than that he was statistically unlucky in that category as a rookie.

Of course, part of the reason that the Cardinals struggled when passing the ball in the red zone is that the team lacked a real difference-making red zone target. They addressed that issue this offseason by trading for perennial All-Pro wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins. Hopkins joins the Cardinals after delivering three straight top-10 fantasy wide receiver seasons with the Texans. He's one of the best jump ball receivers in the league and is a strong candidate to lead the NFL in receiving touchdowns. Hopkins' 31 touchdowns over the past three seasons are most in the league over that stretch.

With the addition of Hopkins, the Cardinals are fairly stacked at wide receiver with Hopkins, Larry Fitzgerald and Christian Kirk as the perceived starters, alongside 2019 rookies Andy Isabella, KeeSean Johnson and Hakeem Butler down the depth chart. There's a lot of firepower and diversity in that group, so look for Kingsbury to get the best players on the field for each situation, which should only serve to help Murray.

One thing that's a bit concerning from a fantasy standpoint is that the Cardinals did struggle to protect Murray as he was sacked a league-most 48 times in 2019. Much of that can be attributed to Murray wanting to do too much with the ball and not getting rid of it quickly enough, but the risk of injury is always higher for quarterbacks when they're taking big hits. Unfortunately, the Cardinals didn't make any significant additions to their offensive line this offseason other than when they selected potential starting tackle Josh Jones in the third round of the NFL Draft. Rookie quarterbacks often do take a big step forward in reading defenses in their second season so this could become a non-issue for Murray, but given his small frame, it's still something that does make him a bit riskier than the other quarterbacks being selected around him in fantasy drafts. Still, he's a dark horse candidate to win NFL MVP if the Cardinals take a big step forward as he's one of the few players who could rival Lamar Jackson as a dual-threat pass-run quarterback.

 Russell Wilson, SEA (Bye: 6)
Height: 5’11”   Weight: 206   DOB: 1988-11-29   Age: 32
College: Wisconsin   Draft: 2012 Round 3 (12) 
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2017SEA16339 553 3,983 34 11 95 586 3 411.8 25.7
2018SEA16280 427 3,448 35 7 67 376 0 350.0 21.9
2019SEA16341 516 4,110 31 5 75 342 3 381.7 23.9
2020 (Projected)SEA 321 494 3,950 30 8 74 361 3 371.6  

Outlook: If it wasn't for the monster season that Lamar Jackson delivered, there would've been a real case to be made for Seattle quarterback Russell Wilson to win his first NFL MVP award in 2019. Wilson exceeded 4,000 passing yards for the third time in his professional career while adding 31 touchdowns with only five interceptions. It was Wilson's third straight season of over 30 passing touchdowns as the Seahawks bounced back to throwing the ball over 500 times again after Wilson threw just 427 passes in 2018.

Still an "establish the run" offense under Brian Schottenheimer despite having one of the great quarterbacks of this era, the Seahawks' re-commitment to the passing game only brought them back up to 22nd in the NFL in passing plays per game. Incredible career efficiency has allowed Wilson to remain a fantasy stud despite significantly lower passing volume than most other elite fantasy QBs and that should tell us that we're likely seeing closer to the fantasy floor for Wilson rather than his ceiling.

Despite it long being an issue for the team, the Seahawks once again made no significant investments in the offensive line this offseason. In fact, the offensive line might be even worse, as they let guard D.J. Fluker and center Justin Britt walk. They did draft LSU guard Damien Lewis in the third round, but there's no guarantee that he'll even see the field in 2020. Seattle did add a field stretcher in Phillip Dorsett and a reliable veteran tight end in Greg Olsen, but they really made no hugely significant improvements to the offensive situation as a whole.

A continued deterioration of the defense and the loss of two road-grading offensive linemen could lead to Seattle actually finding themselves needing to pass the ball more often in 2020 than ever before under Wilson. That could mean a bit of a dip in efficiency if defenses know the pass is coming, but an increase in volume would almost certainly lead to a positive effect on Wilson's fantasy production.

Wilson is still considered one of the more elusive quarterbacks in the league and while he does still flash rushing ability from time to time, the days of him running for an average of more than 30 yards per game are probably in the rear view mirror. Nevertheless, he's a player who can comfortably contribute around 20 rushing yards per game, which remains an added value over most of the veteran quarterbacks.

He's one of only a few fantasy quarterbacks who have realistic QB1 overall upside and while he may not be likely to reach quite that level given the offense he's in, Wilson does offer an excellent floor along with a reasonable expectation to finish in the top five at the position.

 Deshaun Watson, HOU (Bye: 8)
Height: 6’2”   Weight: 221   DOB: 1995-09-14   Age: 25
College: Clemson   Draft: 2017 Round 1 (12) 
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2017HOU7126 204 1,699 19 8 36 269 2 199.9 28.6
2018HOU16345 505 4,165 26 9 99 551 5 397.4 24.8
2019HOU15333 495 3,852 26 12 82 413 7 379.9 25.3
2020 (Projected)HOU 341 525 3,834 25 13 89 482 5 369.9  

Outlook: Deshaun Watson again finished in the top five at the quarterback position in 2019, although his statistical output waned some from 2018. His interception rate was up and his completion percentage was down; he also rushed for less yardage. Nevertheless, he had a very solid season and led the Texans to a victory in the playoffs.

If there is a reason to not blame Watson for his slight dip, it is that the Texans' offensive line was very poor at protecting him. For the second straight season, Watson was at the top of the league in sacks, taking 44 in the regular season and another 11 in the playoffs. The fact that he has consistently been excellent despite very poor protection is impressive.

A few things will change this season for Watson. First, Bill O'Brien will apparently no longer be calling plays. Offensive coordinator Tim Kelly, who will be in his second season in that role, will call the plays. How that will change the overall offense, and specifically the run/pass ratio, is to be seen.

Second, the Texans' best receiver, DeAndre Hopkins, is gone. This certainly hurts Watson, since the two had built a nice rapport and he must now work to build that same chemistry with two new receivers (Cooks and Cobb) - despite limited offseason work.

Third, the backfield has changed. Though Duke Johnson is still around and will likely continue flanking Watson on passing downs, David Johnson is now likely to be the primary back instead of Lamar Miller or Carlos Hyde. If David Johnson returns to his form of a couple seasons ago this could be a positive for the offense as a whole.

To this point in his career, Watson has been incredibly durable. If the sacks continue, however, you'd have to assume that will catch up with his body at some point. The Texans will likely look to limit his rushing to some degree to keep him healthy, even though the rushing ability is a key part of his fantasy value. I'd expect him to take a small step back without Hopkins, but overall I think he'll finish very close to the same place in the QB rankings during 2020.

 Matt Ryan, ATL (Bye: 10)
Height: 6’4”   Weight: 220   DOB: 1985-05-17   Age: 35
College: Boston College   Draft: 2008 Round 1 (3) 
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2017ATL16342 529 4,095 20 12 32 143 0 299.1 18.7
2018ATL16422 608 4,924 35 7 33 125 3 416.7 26.0
2019ATL15408 616 4,466 26 14 34 147 1 348.0 23.2
2020 (Projected)ATL 430 642 4,686 28 13 37 134 1 365.7  

Outlook: In 2019, Matt Ryan had another season that resembled his past. He completed just over 66% of his passes and threw for 4,466 yards. Unfortunately, in comparison with 2018, his touchdown rate came down and his interception rate doubled. The offense as a whole was not as efficient, particularly in the rushing game, as Devonta Freeman struggled with health and general ineffectiveness.

There is hope that 2020 will be a more successful season in Atlanta. First, the entire offensive line (of which every member was a first-round pick) comes in healthy. They will have an opportunity to grow and improve together, which should help both the running and passing game. Second, this is offensive coordinator Dirk Koetter's second season with the Falcons, and there have been reports that he is much more comfortable with the offense and its direction. Finally, the skill players around Ryan appear to be upgraded, with Todd Gurley in for Freeman and Calvin Ridley with another year of development under his belt.

The Falcons did lose Austin Hooper in free agency, and he was a bit of a security blanket for Ryan last season. But they brought in Hayden Hurst to replace him, and outside of the two needing to establish chemistry, there should not be much of a drop-off there. If the key players can stay healthy this season, it could be a prolific season for Ryan making him a very solid mid-to-late round pick in fantasy.

 Josh Allen, BUF (Bye: 11)
Height: 6’5”   Weight: 233   DOB: 1996-05-21   Age: 24
College: Wyoming   Draft: 2018 Round 1 (7) 
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2018BUF12169 320 2,074 10 12 89 631 8 254.8 21.2
2019BUF16271 461 3,089 20 9 109 510 9 339.5 21.2
2020 (Projected)BUF 310 517 3,622 22 11 105 535 7 364.6  

Outlook: Allen avoided the proverbial sophomore slump in 2019 by improving on his passing efficiency by six percentage points while throwing three fewer interceptions despite nearly 100 more pass attempts. Although his passing touchdown total of 20 was tied with Kyler Murray for the fewest for quarterbacks who played 16 games. His nine rushing touchdowns were the most at the position, and his 510 rushing yards helped compensate for the lack of passing production.

Very few fantasy quarterbacks carry as much hype as Allen as he enters his third year. A continued incremental in pass efficiency to a most 62% and a volume increase to just over 500 pass attempts would put him in line for a top-5 season, assuming he continues to run and be among the league leaders in rushing touchdowns.

Another thing to like about Allen is the addition of Stefon Diggs to the receiving corps of John Brown and Cole Beasley. Diggs is one of the most polished route runners in the NFL and should give Allen a valuable weapon to lean on outside.

Based on total fantasy points scored, Allen already entered the top-10 at the position, scoring more points than Jared Goff, Aaron Rodgers, Philip Rivers, and Tom Brady. If he can continue to improve his efficiency while adding a similar level of production on the ground, he should be in line for at least a top 10 finish this season with top 5 upside.

 Carson Wentz, PHI (Bye: 9)
Height: 6’5”   Weight: 237   DOB: 1992-12-30   Age: 28
College: North Dakota State   Draft: 2016 Round 1 (2) 
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2017PHI13265 440 3,296 33 7 64 299 0 326.7 25.1
2018PHI11279 401 3,074 21 7 34 93 0 247.0 22.5
2019PHI16388 607 4,039 27 7 62 243 1 340.3 21.3
2020 (Projected)PHI 357 549 4,118 26 7 70 251 2 347.0  

Outlook: Carson Wentz played his first full season as a pro since his rookie year in 2016. He led an injury-depleted Eagles team to the NFC East crown, only to suffer a concussion in the Eagles' Wild Card round loss at home to the Seahawks.

On the positive side, Wentz topped 4k yards for the first time in his career, and he continues to be efficient with the ball as evident to his third consecutive season of only seven interceptions. On the negative side, he posted his third-straight declining season of average fantasy points per game.

The Eagles addressed deficiencies in the passing game with the selection of WR Jalen Reagor from TCU in the first round, and versatile quarterback/running back/wide receiver Jalen Hurts. Reagor should give the Eagles some much-needed depth at wide receiver, especially the deep threat option currently occupied by the oft-injured veteran, DeSean Jackson.

The overall value of all the Eagles position players took somewhat of a hit with the news of pro bowl tackle Brandon Books suffering a season-ending Achilles injury. Brooks' absence in games last season proved to be a huge issue for Wentz and the Eagles.

From a fantasy perspective, Wentz does provide a high ceiling with a solid floor. Although he will not likely throw for 40 touchdowns, he will not burn you with a ton of interceptions, and he can add some value on the ground. He is a solid option for owners who wait on the quarterback position until the end of the draft, especially with an opening week matchup against the Redskins.

 Matthew Stafford, DET (Bye: 5)
Height: 6’2”   Weight: 232   DOB: 1988-02-07   Age: 33
College: Georgia   Draft: 2009 Round 1 (1) 
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2017DET16371 565 4,446 29 10 29 98 0 348.1 21.8
2018DET16367 555 3,777 21 11 25 71 0 280.0 17.5
2019DET8187 291 2,499 19 5 20 66 0 207.6 25.9
2020 (Projected)DET 377 581 4,355 28 11 23 69 1 342.7  

Outlook: Despite starting the 2019 season playing some of the best football of his career under new coordinator Darrell Bevell, things cratered fast for Stafford and the Lions, as the Detroit captain missed his first games since 2010, and was eventually shelved for the season with broken bones in his back. With the head coach and general manager in the hot seat, and Stafford the focus of trade rumors this off-season, Stafford is clearly at a career crossroads in 2020.

Although nasty back injuries have hampered him the last two years, Stafford was dazzling for the first half of last season. His 25.9 FPts/G would have placed him in the top-3 at the position, and he was on pace for nearly 5,000 yards and 40 touchdowns before going down. Looking comfortable in a new offense that uses the run game to open up shots down the field, Stafford utilized one of the best deep balls in the game to great success. His 8.6 yards-per-attempt was 2nd in the NFL to only Ryan Tannehill (Things I thought I would never read for 500 Alex).

With this unprecedented offseason, offenses with continuity in coaching staff and personnel will have a big advantage, and Stafford and the Lions have both. Golladay is a blossoming stud, Jones and Amendola are the vets, and last years' top-10 pick T.J. Hockensen should be a threat to be respected. Throw in dynamic rookie D'Andre Swift as a receiver out of the backfield and Stafford arguably has the best of playmakers he's ever been surrounded with. If the line can keep up their end of the bargain, this offense can and should score plenty of points. That's a good thing, because a defense that got torched by the pass replaced their All-Pro corner with a rookie.

I can't imagine a world where this offense stays relatively healthy and doesn't score close to 30 points per game. Stafford is going to have to overcome a defense that isn't going to stifle teams for four quarters and has the talent at the skill positions to not have to play superman. As far as QB1 value goes, there won't be many better than Stafford.

 Drew Brees, NO (Bye: 6)
Height: 6’0”   Weight: 209   DOB: 1979-01-15   Age: 42
College: Purdue   Draft: 2001 Round 2 (1) 
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2017NO16387 537 4,338 23 8 33 12 2 322.1 20.1
2018NO15364 489 3,992 32 5 31 22 4 353.8 23.6
2019NO11281 378 2,979 27 4 9 -4 1 262.6 23.9
2020 (Projected)NO 378 517 4,138 32 8 29 23 1 343.2  

Outlook: Brees was actually the 6th-ranked quarterback in 2019 according to fantasy points scored per game (23.9) tied with Russell Wilson. His rank was pushed down because of time missed due to a broken hand. He was remarkably efficient, completing 74.3% of his passes (after completing 74.4% in 2018). He also had an impressive 7.1% touchdown rate and continued to avoid interceptions, throwing only 4 in 378 attempts.

Brees may not have as big of an arm at 41 years old as he did when he was younger, but that has not stopped him from being effective. He had the Saints within a whisper of the Super Bowl, and with an overall great roster and the coaching staff intact, they have another good shot to get there this season.

The Saints' offensive line has been a strength, and they drafted Cesar Ruiz in the first round of the 2020 NFL Draft. Ruiz could start at center or guard and likely replace Larry Warford in the starting lineup, who was released this offseason. The unit does a good job of keeping Brees from getting hit. In addition to that potential upgrade, the receiving corps added Emmanuel Sanders, who could be the long-needed second option at the position. This should help Brees not depend so heavily on Michael Thomas and simply find the open man - which could lead to an even better 2020 season.

The biggest red flag when it comes to Brees is his age, and all indications are that this is his final season under center. If his body breaks down, or if the Saints decide to use Taysom Hill more in 2020, that could hurt Brees statistically. But in all likelihood, he will be a steady, reliable option once again.

 Aaron Rodgers, GB (Bye: 5)
Height: 6’2”   Weight: 225   DOB: 1983-12-02   Age: 37
College: California   Draft: 2005 Round 1 (24) 
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2017GB7154 238 1,675 16 6 24 126 0 160.4 22.9
2018GB16372 597 4,442 25 2 43 269 2 361.0 22.6
2019GB16353 569 4,002 26 4 46 183 1 328.4 20.5
2020 (Projected)GB 366 582 4,130 26 6 44 194 1 335.9  

Outlook: New coaching staff for the first time in a decade, age, injuries catching up, whatever it was, it all added up to the worst statistical 16-game season in Rodgers's career. Toss in the fact that the Packers got mauled in the NFC Championship Game, and then TRADED UP for his replacement in the 1st round of the draft, and you wouldn't blame Rodgers for being a bit salty about the events of the last year.

It was very strange seeing the future Hall of Famer finishing the season toward the bottom of the QB1 rankings, but perhaps that's what the fantasy world should get used to. A few things are evident from the new front office and coaching regime. This offense is more run-game centric than they have been at any point in his career and they are adding personnel that matches this philosophy. No significant money or draft capital was spent on the passing game. Aaron Jones was one of the best all-around backs in the NFL last season, and the Pack spent a 2nd round pick on running back AJ Dillon from Boston College. Rookie Head Coach Matt LaFleur installed a run game that saw the Packers go from the fewest rushing attempts in the league in 2018 to the 13th most in 2019. And you honestly can't argue with the results. In his first season LaFleur led Green Bay to a 13-3 season and an appearance in the NFC title game.

2019 was the first steps in the remaking of the roster and offensive philosophy of the Packers. They are going to be a more balanced offense, and Rodgers will have to improve on his efficiency if he's going to see a jump in stats over last year. At times last season he looked very uncomfortable, but I expect a second year in the system will help, as will a full healthy season from Davante Adams - remember, he missed 4 games and the receivers behind him were not ready. I'm not ready to write off Rodgers as a fantasy stud just yet, as he is going to play with a giant cinderblock on his shoulder this season and has plenty of talent left to dominate. There are some incredibly talented, high-upside young players at the position, but I still take Rodgers and his weekly high floor to give me an advantage. The wheels might not be what they used to be, but that arm looks fine.