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Kirk Hollis | Archive | Email  
Staff Writer


Tuesday Morning Buzz
Fantasy Headlines from Week 5
10/11/16

Injuries continue to lessen in frequency and intensity, which allows for discussion to center on performance or lack thereof here at the Buzz. The landscape is changing from week to week, but we're here to put that shifting sand into a package and contain it. Off we go in this recap of Week 5 in fantasy football…

Tom Brady

Same ole' Tom: Tom Brady led all quarterbacks in yardage (406) in his first game back off suspension.


Tom Terrific is Back in the Fold


Tom Brady returned to the field of play in a big way Sunday (400-plus passing yards, 3 TDs) as almost everyone predicted that he would. The primary beneficiaries of his return aside from ecstatic Brady owners? How about Rob Gronkowski, James White, Martellus Bennett, and Chris Hogan. Gronkowski and Hogan both recorded 100-plus yard receiving days. Bennett, who was actually doing well without Brady, had the best day any tight end has had all season, scoring 24 fantasy points that included three touchdown receptions. As for White, his outlook in PPR leagues goes up drastically with Brady as White recorded 4 catches for 63 yards to go along with 26 yards rushing. About the only Patriot who stands to lose from Brady’s return is LeGarrette Blount, although Blount did still get 18 touches (only 37 yards). So, who can you count on moving forward from the Patriots offense? Brady for sure, but after that, it’s all a matter of how the Patriots game plan from week to week. Sometimes, they try to establish the run. Sometimes, they abandon it. All I know is that all the Patriot starters who have been hiding in the shadows are back in the sunlight. And that makes fantasy football a more exciting venture to be sure.

The Best Wide Receivers in Week 5 Were…?

Amongst the top ten wide receivers of the week were some guys that were only in a handful of lineups. Sammie Coates, Adam Thielen, and Cameron Meredith were all off the radar on Sunday morning, especially Thielen and Meredith. Both were the benefactors of injuries to Stefon Diggs and Kevin White. So, who will be the bigger factor moving forward? Considering Alshon Jeffery has yet to establish himself and White will be out much longer than Diggs (if White returns this year at all), Meredith is definitely the better short-term prospect. Three other wide receivers who finished in the top ten for the week, but probably were only in a few lineups here and there included Brandon LaFell, Tyrell Williams and Jeremy Kerley. LaFell has teased before, so I would be hesitant to get too excited about him. Kerley and Williams on the other hand, should be rostered by now in every league. These six receivers combined on Thursday/Sunday for 683 yards and 8 TDs. The most exciting position in fantasy football also remains the most unpredictable.

Philip Rivers: Cursed in the Real World/Blessed in the Fantasy World

It’s a debate for another day and a different website, but I believe Philip Rivers should be in the Hall of Fame. His career has been more tragic than any other quarterback in NFL history given how well he’s played vs. actual wins and losses. But, this is a fantasy football site. And, you’re reading this article to get fantasy insights, so let me give you one. Rivers is going to be a fantasy stud for the rest of this year. He knows that no lead is safe and truth be told, Melvin Gordon (3.35 YPC) is not producing at a high level except in terms of finding the end zone (7 TDs). Tyrell Williams and Travis Benjamin (both over 110 yards on Sunday) are stretching the field and rookie Hunter Henry is proving to be a great underneath threat (211 yards and 3 TDs the past three weeks). It all adds up to Rivers finishing this season in the top five in fantasy points among QBs. That is, if he doesn’t lose his mind first from all the last second losses.

Rookie Running Backs Continue to Shine

It has been so nice to see a player actually live up to the hype. Ezekiel Elliott was a consensus first-round fantasy pick as a rookie this season and I will admit that I had my doubts based on all the recent “can’t miss” RBs who have emerged on the scene over the last five years and then underperformed. Elliott’s efficient Sunday (134 yards on only 15 carries) was a performance reminiscent of days gone by with respect to the running back position and Elliott is now on pace for 2,005 yards from scrimmage and 16 TDs. That’s pretty salty. Another rookie RB gaining traction is Jordan Howard in Chicago as he has now recorded 295 yards from scrimmage since taking over for Jeremy Langford in Week 4. Howard looks like the real deal and has some very favorable fantasy matchups around playoff time. If you’re needing help at another position and you’re thinking of Howard as more of a No.3 RB, trade your No.2 guy for help and ride Howard going forward. Both rookies look to be in great shape in keeper/dynasty formats to be sure.

Is Lamar Miller A Bust?

Miller was considered one of those can’t miss guys this season and Houston has by and large given him the opportunity to become a dominant performer with 115 touches through five games. That’s 23 touches a game. Sure, Miller had gained 80-plus yards rushing in each of his first two games, but he’s still averaging well below 4 yards a carry and is yet to find the end zone. When the Texans would rather throw a one-yard pass to DeAndre Hopkins for a TD than give the ball to Miller, that’s telling. Based on sheer volume, Miller remains a No.2 RB going forward, but as a No.1, he’s going to break your heart. Dial down expectations and hope that Brock Osweiler can keep defenses a little more honest going forward. If not, the Miller you’re seeing is the Miller you’re going to continue to get.

David Dominates and Larry Keeps Churning Along

While it’s true that Michael Floyd owners didn’t have much to cheer about last Thursday (no fantasy points), the TNF game actually produced big numbers for two of its stars. Thursday games are getting a reputation for being offensively challenged due to the short week that precedes them, but Arizona did a great job of feeding the ball to their two primary stars with Drew Stanton filling in at QB for the injured Carson Palmer. Both David Johnson and Larry Fitzgerald scored two touchdowns apiece and Johnson continues to be a yardage monster having gobbled up 695 yards from scrimmage thus far this season. At this point, only Ezekiel Elliott and Le’Veon Bell would be considered on Johnson’s level and he should remain the elitist of options for anyone luck enough to own him. If and when Palmer returns however, remember that he likes to spread the ball around. As such, understand that Fitzgerald’s production is going to vary much more from week to week than Johnson’s. Also considering how Fitzgerald wore down last year in November and December, he might also be a great sell high candidate.

Is T.Y. Hilton on the Verge of Elite Status?

The knock on Hilton has always been that he’ll have a big game and then follow it up with several “quiet” games that make him the ultimate feast or famine player. Starting him the week after an “outburst” has generally been discouraged by those who follow the week to week flow of fantasy football. That’s why the last three weeks (one touchdown each) have been so encouraging as Hilton has provided two of his patented high yardage games plus another in which he at least found the end zone. With stability at quarterback and Donte Moncrief (injury) not around to steal targets, Hilton appears to be headed for an elite season at wide receiver, but Moncrief’s return is the caveat to that. For now, this new version of T.Y. certainly has the attention of everyone who has seen his potential in huge, but inconsistent doses in the past.

The Two Good Sides of the Atlanta Offense

So, which dynamic duo for the Atlanta Falcons is going to show up in the weeks to come? Will it be the pitch and catch lightning in a bottle that is Matt Ryan and Julio Jones…or the RB monster that is Devonta Freeman and Tevin Coleman. In Week 5, Matt and Julio were relatively quiet vs. a tough Denver secondary, but Freeman and Coleman combined for an insane 286 yards from scrimmage and 2 TDs…against DENVER! It’s rare to say that two RBs on the same team should be week-in, week-out starters, but Atlanta appears to be the exception so far. One more tough matchup next weekend with Seattle awaits, but look for one of the Falcon duos to produce like they seemingly always do. With Seattle’s defense mirroring Denver’s, another Freeman-Coleman outburst is the more likely scenario.

Miami Viced

Adam Gase was supposed to bring balance to the force in Miami, but instead it's looking like more of the same from Ryan Tannehill and company after a promising start to the season on the offensive side of the ball. If you were thinking Tannehill and Jarvis Landry were a match made in heaven vs. the Titans defense, you weren't alone. Instead, we got a second straight week of 15 completions (or less) for less than 200 yards and 1 TD versus 3 interceptions. Miami appears to have everything in place to be a fantasy factor as a team, but the inconsistency is maddening. If you're going to go with Landry be advised: You're either going to get quiet or noisy. There doesn't seem to be much in between.

Monday Night Surprises and Confirmations

Here are the final thoughts of the week, courtesy of the NFC South matchup on Monday night. 48. That's the number of carries that Cameron Artis-Payne and Jacquizz Rodgers combined for with Rodgers netting 30 himself. If you started either guy just hoping for something decent, you bit off something much better. As for confirmations, Monday night was also a reminder that Greg Olsen is the tight end to own in 2016 and Mike Evans is one of the game's most consistent receivers. Olsen's 181 receiving yards represent how critical he is to the Carolina offense, whether it's Newton at QB or not. Jameis Winston, meanwhile, had his attempts dialed back on Monday and that is likely to continue with the Bucs committing zero turnovers for a change. Sometimes, what's good for a player's real world value negatively affects his fantasy value…

That's all for the Buzz in Week 5. I’m really looking forward to seeing whether or not the WR production falls back into the hands of the establishment next week. Or, will the insurgents rise to dominate another day...until then!