Giants @ Panthers
- (Smith)
Passing Game Thoughts: Eli Manning’s
510 yards through the air last week in New York’s wild win
over the Buccaneers vaulted him to the league lead in passing
yards with 723. Wideout Hakeem Nicks gained 199 of those yards,
and Victor Cruz added 179, giving each 237 receiving yards for
the season, which is tied for the most in the NFL. All three are
lock-solid fantasy starters, however the foot injury that Nicks
is dealing with will keep him out of this game. With the loss
of Nicks, another player fantasy owners can start with confidence
is tight end Martellus Bennett. He almost certainly wasn’t
drafted to be a starter for fantasy owners, but he’s caught
a touchdown in each of his first two games, and is an integral
part of the Giants passing attack.
The G-Men will be facing a Carolina pass defense that is 13th
in the league, but did allow 325 yards to Drew Brees last week,
so invulnerable they are not. Still, it should be noted that opposing
wideouts have failed to gain a cumulative total of 100 yards against
the Panthers in their first two games, though that’s something
we fully expect to change this week.
Running Game Thoughts: Ahmad Bradshaw had to leave the Giants
game last week with what is being described as a neck injury,
and unfortunately for his fantasy owners there was no indication
he will not suit up. Andre Brown filled in admirably against the
Bucs, with 71 yards on 13 carries and one touchdown and will start.
First-round pick David Wilson had only three carries in the game,
gaining six yards, as Giants coach Tom Coughlin apparently does
not yet trust him after his lost fumble in Week 1.
The Panthers had a poor run defense last season, and haven’t
started 2012 showing a whole lot of improvement. They are currently
28th in the NFL against the run, having given up 95 yards on the
ground to Tampa’s Doug Martin in Week 1 and 110 last week
to Pierre Thomas.
Projections:
Eli Manning: 290 pass yds, 3 TD, 1 INT
Victor Cruz: 105 rec yds, TD
Ramses Barden: 70 rec yds, TD
Rueben Randle: 30 rec yds
Martellus Bennett: 55 rec yds, TD
Andre Brown: 75 rush yds, TD / 20 rec yds
David Wilson: 20 rush yds / 10 rec yds
Passing Game Thoughts: Cam Newton
threw for 303 yards with one touchdown and two picks in his team’s
Week 1 loss to Tampa, and followed that up last week with 253
yards and a score against New Orleans. He’s eighth in the
league in passing yards with 556, and 210 of those have gone to
wideout and fantasy stalwart Steve Smith, who is fifth in the
NFL in receiving yards. Smith doesn’t have a touchdown catch,
but Brandon LaFell does. LaFell, who is 17th in the league in
receiving yards, has looked like a legit No. 2 wideout, and is
worthy of fantasy consideration this week.
One of the reasons that LaFell deserves contemplation for a start
is the Giants pass defense. They are 22nd in the league in that
department, and tied for 26th in passing scores allowed. Only
Tampa Bay has allowed more receiving yards and fantasy points
to wide receivers.
Running Game Thoughts: After a mind-bogglingly dismal ground attack
in Week 1, the Panthers reignited their running game against the
Saints. Newton led the way with 71 yards and a score, DeAngelo
Williams added 69 yards and a touchdown, and Jonathan Stewart
ran for 51 yards. Stewart’s status for this week is similar
to that of the aforementioned Bradshaw’s. Stewart has an
ankle injury, did not practice on Tuesday or Wednesday and his
status for Thursday’s game is not known but we’re
expecting him to be Inactive. If he can’t go, Mike Tolbert
will be in line for more carries.
The Giants run defense is squarely in the middle of the NFL pack,
ranking 16th out of 32 teams. They held Tampa’s Martin to
66 yards on 20 carries, which is 3.3 yards per carry. But that’s
half of the average DeMarco Murray had against them in Week 1,
when he ran for 131 yards on 20 carries.
Projections:
Cam Newton: 280 pass yds, 1 TD, 1 INT / 45 rush yds, TD
Steve Smith: 110 rec yds, TD
Brandon LaFell: 80 rec yds
Greg Olsen: 45 rec yds
DeAngelo Williams: 70 rush yds, TD / 15 rec yds
Mike Tolbert: 20 rush yds
Prediction: Giants 28, Panthers
21 ^ Top
Lions @ Titans
- (Smith)
Passing Game Thoughts: Stafford’s
585 yards are fifth in the league through the season’s first
two weeks, but he’s tied with Blaine Gabbert for 22nd among
quarterbacks in fantasy scoring because he’s tossed four
interceptions and only two touchdowns. Calvin Johnson is, of course,
his main target, and while he’s compiled 205 receiving yards
in two games, he has yet to score a touchdown. That should change
in a hurry. Tight End Brandon Pettigrew does have a touchdown
catch, and fantasy owners should be on the lookout for another
one from him this week because the Titans have allowed a league-high
five touchdowns to tight ends through two games.
Tennessee has struggled to defend the pass in the season’s
first two weeks. They are 20th in the league in pass defense,
tied for 26th in touchdown passes allowed, 29th in opponents’
passer rating allowed, and dead last in completion percentage
allowed.
Running Game Thoughts: Kevin Smith
has been solid for the Lions, and his fantasy owners, ranking
12th among running backs in fantasy scoring. But Mikel Leshoure
will suit up for the first time this week, and is almost certain
to slice into Smith’s numbers.
Tennessee hasn’t had difficulty just stopping the pass.
They’re also 30th in the NFL in run defense, and it’s
not liked they’ve faced overwhelming opposition. They allowed
San Diego’s Jackie Battle and Curtis Brinkley to run for
a combined 112 yards and two touchdowns last week, and gave up
125 yards and a score to Stevan Ridley in Week 1.
Projections:
Matthew
Stafford: 315 pass yds, 3 TD, 1 INT
Calvin
Johnson: 115 rec yds, 2 TD
Brandon
Pettigrew: 65 rec yds, 1 TD
Titus
Young: 50 rec yds
Nate
Burleson: 35 rec yds
Tony
Scheffler: 25 rec yds
Kevin
Smith: 50 rush yds, 1 TD / 15 rec yds
Mikel
Leshoure: 35 rush yds
Passing Game Thoughts: Many fantasy
owners figured Jake Locker would blossom this season, and give
them the added bonus of rushing yards due to his athleticism,
but he’s been a fantasy disaster so far – only Brandon
Weeden has fewer fantasy points among starting quarterbacks than
Locker. Wideout Kenny Britt returned last week but did little,
catching only one pass for five yards and was targeted just twice.
Nate Washington has only four catches so far this season, but
Jared Cook has snared seven balls.
Though the Lions are 25th in opponents passer rating allowed,
they are sixth in the league in pass defense. Detroit hasn’t
allowed a receiver to gain more than 73 yards in either of their
first two games, but it should be noted that the teams they’ve
played – San Francisco and St. Louis – are not offenses
that rely on a vertical passing game.
Running Game Thoughts: We told you
that Locker has been a fantasy disaster, and he has, but his troubles
pale in comparison to what Chris Johnson has done to his fantasy
owners. A likely top-five pick in fantasy drafts, Johnson has
all of 21 rushing yards and six fantasy points. Here are just
a few running backs with more fantasy points than Johnson: Curtis
Brinkley, Daryl Richardson, and Joique Bell. Need we say more?
Detroit’s run defense hasn’t been as stout as their
pass defense, but they’ve been solid. The Lions rank 17th
in the league against the run and 16th in yards per carry allowed.
They held Steven Jackson to 53 yards in Week 1, but Frank Gore
ran for 89 yards and a touchdown against them last week.
Projections:
Jake
Locker: 260 pass yds, 1 TD, 2 INT
Nate
Washington: 65 rec yds
Kenny
Britt: 55 rec yds, 1 TD
Jared
Cook: 45 rec yds
Kendall
Wright: 30 rec yds
Damian
Williams: 20 rec yds
Chris
Johnson: 65 rush yds, 1 TD / 35 rec yds
Prediction: Lions 34, Titans 20
^ Top
Jaguars @ Colts
- (Smith)
Passing Game Thoughts: Though Blaine
Gabbert had to leave last week’s game against the Texans,
he is expected to play this week. Not that it matters to fantasy
owners, because he’s a non-entity in fantasy football, with
good reason. He had a good Week 1, but reverted to form last week,
completing only seven of his 19 throws for 53 yards and a score.
Gabbert threw for a total of 210 yards with two touchdowns and
one pick in two games against the Colts last season. Among their
receivers, only Laurent Robinson is fantasy-worthy, and that’s
as a back-up. He has eight receptions for 115 yards this season.
We’ve discussed the fact that the Jaguars have little passing
game to speak of, but if they are going to move the ball through
the air, it should be this week against Indy. The Colts are 25th
in the NFL in pass defense and 26th in completion percentage allowed.
Running Game Thoughts: After no
training camp to speak of, Maurice Jones-Drew has come in and
done decently, considering his lack of preparation. He’s
run for 137 yards and is averaging 4.4 yards per carry, but has
yet to find the end zone. MJD thrashed the Indy run defense last
year. He ran for 114 yards and a touchdown against them in Week
10, and 169 yards in Week 17.
Indianapolis has been solid against the run through their first
two games, ranking 14th in the league in run defense and 10th
in yards per carry allowed. They held Adrian Peterson to just
60 yards on 16 carries last week, though did allow three scores
on the ground to the Bears in Week 1.
Projections:
Blaine
Gabbert: 195 pass yds, 1 TD, 2 INT
Laurent
Robinson: 70 rec yds
Justin
Blackmon: 40 rec yds, 1 TD
Mike
Thomas: 25 rec yds
Marcedes
Lewis: 15 rec yds
Maurice
Jones-Drew: 80 rush yds, 1 TD / 35 rec yds
Passing Game Thoughts: After struggling
in Week 1, Andrew Luck settled down last week against the Vikings
and threw for 224 yards and two touchdowns. Most of Indy’s
receiving corps from last season has departed, with the exception
of Reggie Wayne. He’s started off the season rewarding his
fantasy owners with a pair of games in which he’s amassed
double-digit fantasy points. Last season, Wayne only had three
receptions for 13 yards against the Jags in Week 10, but rebounded
to post 72 yards on eight catches in Week 17.
The Jaguars are 17th in the league against the pass, but are the
only squad that has not allowed a passing score in either of their
first two games. They have been somewhat vulnerable to tight ends,
as Owen Daniels led the Texans in receiving against them in Week
1, and Kyle Rudolph compiling 67 yards for the Vikings last week.
Running Game Thoughts: Donald Brown
is finally the Colts’ feature back after sharing the load
with Joseph Addai in previous seasons. His results have been mixed,
rushing for 48 yards and a score on nine carries against the Bears
but for just 45 yards on 16 carries last week. Brown didn’t
have a lot of success in two games against the Jags last season,
with only 77 yards on 23 carries.
Jacksonville’s run defense ranks 31st in the league so far,
and they are tied for last (with New Orleans) in rushing scores
allowed. But that shouldn’t come as a total shock considering
they squared off against Adrian Peterson in Week 1 (84 yards,
two touchdowns) and the Texans duo of Arian Foster (110 yards,
one touchdown) and Ben Tate (74 yards, two touchdowns) last week.
Projections:
Andrew
Luck: 230 pass yds, 2 TD, 1 INT
Reggie
Wayne: 80 rec yds, 1 TD
Coby
Fleener: 55 rec yds, 1 TD
Donnie
Avery: 45 rec yds
Kris Adams: 20 rec yds
Donald
Brown: 85 rush yds, 1 TD / 20 rec yds
Prediction: Colts 24, Jaguars 14
^ Top
Chiefs @ Saints
- (Smith)
Passing Game Thoughts: Matt Cassel
has only tossed three touchdowns and has just as many interceptions
this season, not to mention a pair of lost fumbles, but he’s
currently 11th among quarterbacks in fantasy scoring, thanks in
large part to his 45 rushing yards and one rushing score. Wideout
Dwayne Bowe had 102 yards and even though his two touchdowns last
week against Buffalo were in garbage time, it all counts the same
to fantasy owners, and he continues to be an every week starter
in fantasy leagues.
New Orleans is 26th in the NFL in passing yards given up, and
is allowing 12.5 yards per pass attempt, which is nearly three
yards more than any other team. They allowed Robert Griffin III
the light them up for 320 yards and two scores in Week 1, and
Cam Newton to beat them for 251 yards and a score last week, and
have allowed a 100-yard receiver in each of their first two games
(Pierre Garcon, Steve Smith).
Running Game Thoughts: Jamaal Charles
got off to a good start in Week 1, running for 87 yards on 16
carries in his first game back since a knee injury last year.
But he had only three yards on six carries before an injury took
him out of last week’s game (he’s expected to play
this week). That opened the door for Peyton Hillis, and he did
gain 66 yards on 11 totes, but also lost a fumble.
No team has allowed more rushing yards through the season’s
first two weeks than the Saints, who are also 20th in the league
in yards per carry allowed and tied for last in rushing scores
allowed. They allowed a trio of Panthers to run for at least 50
yards last week, and Washington’s Alfred Morris gained 96
yards with two scores in Week 1.
Projections:
Matt
Cassel: 260 pass yds, 1 TD, 1 INT
Dwayne
Bowe: 85 rec yds
Jonathan
Baldwin: 65 rec yds, 1 TD
Dexter
McCluster: 40 rec yds
Tony
Moeaki: 25 rec yds
Jamaal
Charles: 95 rush yds, 2 TDs / 20 rec yds
Peyton
Hillis: 40 rush yds / 15 rec yds
Passing Game Thoughts: Despite throwing
four interceptions in two games, Drew Brees is third in fantasy
points among quarterbacks because he’s also thrown for at
least 325 yards and four touchdowns. The team’s passing
attack still has loads of weapons, with the most consistent being
tight end Jimmy Graham, who has a touchdown in each of his first
two games. But Brees spreads the ball around, and running back
Darren Sproles led the team with 13 catches and 128 yards last
week.
Kansas City’s pass defense ranks 18th in the league, but
like the Saints, give up big plays, and are allowing 9.5 yards
per pass attempt, which is 29th in the NFL. They’re also
tied for 26th in touchdown throws allowed, are one of nine teams
without an interception, and their one sack this season is the
fewest in all of football.
Running Game Thoughts: The Saints
have a trio of running backs to choose from, but chose last week
not to give Darren Sproles a single carry. But that was just fine
with fantasy owners, because we mentioned how he did in the passing
game, and it allowed Pierre Thomas and Mark Ingram to split the
load. Thomas ran for 110 yards on nine carries and Ingram ran
for 53 yards and one score, getting the bulk of the work with
16 carries. We probably aren’t going to see too many games
with Sproles not getting a single carry, so fantasy owners shouldn’t
be concerned that last week was the start of a trend.
The run defense employed by the Chiefs has been even worse than
their pass defense. They are 27th in the NFL against the run,
26th in yards per carry allowed, and tied for 23rd in rushing
scores given up. Though they held Michael Turner in check during
Week 1, C.J. Spiller destroyed them for 123 yards and two touchdowns
a week ago.
Projections:
Drew
Brees: 310 pass yds, 3 TD, 1 INT
Jimmy
Graham: 90 rec yds, 2 TD
Marques
Colston: 60 rec yds
Lance
Moore: 50 rec yds, 1 TD
Devery
Henderson: 25 rec yds
Mark
Ingram: 60 rush yds, 1 TD
Darren
Sproles: 40 rush yds / 55 rec yds
Pierre
Thomas: 35 rush yds / 20 rec yds
Prediction: Saints 31, Chiefs 21
^ Top
Jets @ Dolphins
- (Marcoccio)
Passing Game Thoughts: For a game
and a half, the Jets passing attack was looking like the Joe Montana
era 49ers. Then came the second half of the game at Heinz Field
last weekend and it was the 2012 preseason all over again. After
a perfect deep throw by Mark Sanchez to wide receiver Stephen
Hill that went incomplete (but should have drew a pass interference
flag), which would have put the team in position to take a 17-3
lead, the passing game fell apart. The Jets did not complete a
pass to a wide receiver in the second half until their last drive
of the game, as a harried Sanchez threw wobbly pass after wobbly
pass. Santonio Holmes caught a nice first-quarter touchdown and
drew some pass interference penalties but also had some untimely
drops and ran a few bad routes as the game slipped away. Against
a depleted Miami secondary, we should get a clearer picture of
where the Jets and Sanchez really are.
Cornerback Vontae Davis was shipped off to Indianapolis for a
second-round pick this offseason, and the pass defense of the
Dolphins has suffered as a result. The unit is ranked 30th in
the league right now, allowing 313.5 yards per game and two touchdowns
over the first two weeks. They’ve faced two average passing
attacks in Houston and Oakland and could be in real trouble when
they face the league’s upper-level quarterbacks. Fortunately
for them, that isn’t happening this week when Sanchez comes
down to Florida.
Running Game Thoughts: The Jets running game was also off to a
good start in the first half at Pittsburgh, as Shonn Greene took
advantage of the gaping holes his linemen were creating for him.
He was forced to leave the game after taking a blow to the head
and stumbling around before Sanchez directed him off the filed.
Somehow, despite all the concussion concerns in the league, he
was able to re-enter the game, but was totally ineffective. There’s
been no word on his status for this week, but presumably he should
be available. Don’t be surprised to see offensive coordinator
Tony Sparano unleash the wildcard offense more extensively than
he has during the first two weeks, as he makes his return to Miami
on Sunday.
The Miami run defense has absolutely stymied two of the league’s
most talented rushers in Arian Foster and Darren McFadden—while
holding opponents to 2.2 ypc on the season. Opposing teams have
averaged only 53 yards per game against the Dolphins to start
the season. It’s unlikely an average runner like Greene
will have much success in Miami this week.
Projections:
Mark Sanchez: 265 pass yds, 2 TDs, 1 INT / 15 rush yds
Tim Tebow: 35 rush yds, 1 TD
Santonio Holmes: 55 rec yds, 1 TD
Stephen Hill: 85 rec yds, 1 TD
Jeremy Kerley: 30 rec yds
Dustin Keller: 20 rec yds
Shonn Greene: 45 rush yds / 5 rec yds
Bilal Powell: 10 rush yds / 15 rec yds
Passing
Game Thoughts: Rookie quarterback Ryan Tannehill had a
much better showing in Week 2 than he did in his NFL debut. Tannehill
completed 18 of 30 passes for 200 yards and a touchdown to tight
end Anthony Fasano against the Raiders. He also ran in a touchdown.
Wide receiver Brandon Marshall was jettisoned over the offseason
for two third-round picks, leaving role players like Brian Hartline,
Davone Bess and Legedu Naanee as the top options at wideout, so
it will be tough sledding for the rookie signal caller most weeks.
It was Hartline that stepped it up last week, grabbing nine balls
for 111 yards. And while he may be the best bet for production
going forward, expectations should be tempered.
Darrelle Revis missed last week’s game with a concussion
but has been cleared for contact and should return this week.
Without a dominant receiver to worry about, however, it wouldn’t
be such a bad thing if he were forced to sit one more week. The
Jets pass rush had a tough time bringing down the big and mobile
Ben Roethlisberger last week and will need to do a better job
against a similarly big and athletic, but far less experienced,
Tannehill.
Running Game Thoughts: Reggie Bush set a career high in rushing
yards last season, finally producing like everyone thought he
would when New Orleans made him the second overall pick in the
2006 draft. Last week, he rushed for a career high 172 yards (with
two touchdowns) on 26 carries, further cementing his newfound
feature-back status. Bush has learned to not dance around and
bounce everything to the outside, with good results. He added
weight and muscle tone, which has allowed him to successfully
become an adequate North-South runner, while still possessing
the straight-line speed to break big plays. Rookie runner Lamar
Miller also showed some big-play ability, subbing in while Daniel
Thomas sat with concussion issues. With his 65 yards with a touchdown
performance last week, Miller just may have earned himself the
right to be active on game days going forward.
Projections:
Ryan Tannehill: 215 pass yds. 1 TD, 1 INT / 20 rush yds
Legedu Naanee: 10 rec yds
Davone Bess: 55 rec yds, 1 TD
Brian Hartline: 60 rec yds
Anthony Fasano: 25 rec yds
Lamar Miller: 30 rush yds
Reggie Bush: 85 rush yds, 1 TD / 30 rec yds
Prediction: Jets 27, Dolphins
17 ^ Top
Buccaneers @ Cowboys
- (Marcoccio)
Passing Game Thoughts: Josh Freeman
followed up an efficient yet unexciting Week 1 with an up-and-down
Week 2. Freeman threw for two touchdowns (one bouncing off an
opponent's helmet into the arms of Mike Williams) and two interceptions
while competing just over 50 percent of his passes against a depleted
Giants secondary. Freeman at least took a few more chances downfield,
connecting on long touchdowns to deep threat Vincent Jackson and
the aforementioned one to Williams. However, he should not be
on anyone’s fantasy radar as anything more than an adequate
backup QB. Head Coach Greg Schiano plans to run a very conservative
offense in Tampa Bay when his defense allows it, so fantasy owners
should expect Vincent Jackson’s production to be inconsistent,
as it was in San Diego. And they should probably not expect Jackson,
in a conservative offense with subpar quarterback play, to very
often surpass the 128 yards with a score that he racked up in
the Meadowlands.
The Cowboys pass defense was not very good last season, allowing
244.1 ypg and 24 touchdowns, but they have performed much better
in 2012. The team signed UFA Brandon Carr and drafted Morris Claiborne
with their first-round pick in order to help keep opposing passing
games in check. So far, so good, as the team is ranked third in
passing yards against, allowing only 160 ypg, and has surrendered
only one passing touchdown in each game.
Running Game Thoughts: Rookie back Doug Martin looked fairly
average against a poor Carolina run defense, and he didn’t
fare much better in Week 2, despite finding the end zone on a
nifty eight-yard cut-back run. Martin is averaging only 3.7 ypc
through two weeks, but his owners are surely encouraged by the
44 carries that he has received so far through two games. Production
is production, whether it's volume based or not, and is all fantasy
owners ultimately care about. The loss of tackle Joseph Davin
was a tough break for a team that wants to base its offense on
a power rushing scheme, but the staff isn’t shying away
from giving the ball to the rookie and being content with the
modest results. Last year’s starting running back, LeGarrette
Blount, was seldom used to spell Martin in Week 1 and did not
see any carries at all in Week 2. Blount may not even be worth
carrying as a handcuff for Martin owners, as former Giant D.J.
Ware has seemed to surpass him in the running back pecking order.
The Cowboys have allowed 132 ypg on the ground through two weeks,
so expect Tampa Bay to continue its focus on running the ball.
Dallas will be hoping to get nose tackle Jay Ratliff back this
week after he missed the first two games. While Ratliff is undersized
for the position, he’s a disruptive force in the middle
of the line and should help solve some of the issues the team
has had stopping the run.
Projections:
Josh Freeman: 195 pass yds 1 TD, 1 INT / 20 rush yds
Vincent Jackson: 55 rec yds
Mike Williams: 40 rec yds, 1 TD
Dallas Clark: 30 rec yds
Doug Martin: 105 rush yds, 1 TD / 20 rec yds
Passing Game Thoughts: As good as
Tony Romo and the Dallas passing game looked in Week 1 at the
New York, they looked equally bad in Week 2 at Seattle. Tight
end Jason Witten uncharacteristically dropped a few key passes,
and wide receiver Dez Bryant could not get untracked against a
big and physical Seattle secondary. Week 1 waiver-wire darling
Kevin Ogletree crashed back to Earth hard, catching only one pass
in Seattle. While a repeat of Week 1 should not be expected, Ogletree
should not be immediately sent back to the wire, as better days
will come when the team faces weaker defensive backs. Miles Austin
scored for the second consecutive week, and has great chemistry
with Romo. The former Monmouth College star should be in for another
great season if he can stay healthy.
Tampa Bay’s pass defense wasn’t any good in 2011
(238.4 ypg, 30 TDs allowed) and may be worse in 2012. They allowed
Cam Newton to throw for over 300 yards in Week 1 and Eli Manning
to surpass 500 yards in Week 2. Steve Smith, Brandon LaFell, Hakeem
Nicks and Victor Cruz were all able to run free against the outmanned
secondary of the Buccaneers, so Bryant and Austin owners should
be salivating.
Running Game Thoughts: DeMarco Murray finished Week 1 with 144
yards on the ground but was kept under wraps in Week 2 as the
Boys fell behind early to the Seahawks. Murray had only 12 carries
and finished with 44 yards. He has been the only show in town
for Dallas, however, as Felix Jones has hardly seen the field.
As one of the few true workhorse backs in the league, the powerful
and speedy Murray, in what is generally a high-powered offense,
should not disappoint often.
The Buccaneers, who struggled mightily to stop the run in 2011
(156.1 ypg, 26 TDs allowed), held the Carolina rushing attack
to a meager 10 yards on 13 carries in Week 1. However, they didn’t
fare as well against journeyman fourth-year running back Andre
Brown, who ran for 71 yards and a score on only 13 carries after
replacing the injured Ahmad Bradshaw. Its looking like Week 1
may have been an aberration for Tampa Bay.
Projections:
Tony Romo: 285 pass yds 2 TDs
Dez Bryant: 65 rec yds, 1 TD
Miles Austin: 95 rec yds
Kevin Ogletree: 30 rec yds, 1 TD
Jason Witten: 55 rec yds
DeMarco Murray: 95 rush yds, 1 TD / 30 rec yds
Prediction: Cowboys 21, Buccaneers
17 ^ Top
Bengals @ Redskins
- (Marcoccio)
Passing Game Thoughts: Andy Dalton
and the Bengals passing attack seemed overwhelmed in their Week
1 matchup against Baltimore but bounced back quite nicely against
in-state rival Cleveland, who were playing without their top cornerback
in Joe Haden. Dalton finished with 318 yards and three touchdowns
in his most productive outing as a professional. We all know about
second-year mega-talent A.J. Green, but diminutive slot receiver
Andrew Hawkins should be popping up on radars, especially in PPR
leagues. Hawkins is small and quick, and he should continue being
a frequent target of the weak-armed but smart and accurate Dalton.
Hawkins has surely been added in most leagues by now, and he may
start moving into starting lineups soon. The Bengals run a variation
of the West Coast offense and are starting to accumulate the right
parts to make it work effectively—a smart accurate quarterback,
an explosive receiver that can gain yards after the catch, and
a tough quick receiver that can make things happen in the middle
of the field.
The Redskins defense took two huge hits this week, which should
affect both their pass and run defense. The bigger blow was the
loss of pass rush specialist Brian Orakpo, who was placed on the
IR after blowing out his arm. The Skins' suspect secondary really
needs the protection of an aggressive pass rush, and defensive
coordinator Jim Haslett will now need to be a little more creative
to make it work.
Running Game Thoughts: Many predicted that BenJarvus Green-Ellis
would fail outside of the friendly confines of the explosive New
England offense. However, the hard-charging, sure-handed back
has fit in nicely into the Bengals offense and has produced well,
averaging 4.3 ypc for 166 yards and a score through two games.
He’s even chipped in a few receptions, something he wasn’t
asked to do in New England. BJGE isn’t flashy and will seldom
break a big play, but he follows a long tradition of straight-ahead,
pound-the-rock runners in the Marvin Lewis era in the Queen City.
The Redskins have handled opposing runners fairly well so far
this season, allowing only 91.5 ypg with no rushing touchdowns.
The loss of defensive end Adam Carriker is a blow to the run defense,
but it should not be a devastating one. Amazingly, 37-year-old
middle linebacker London Fletcher keeps plugging away and playing
at a high level for the Skins. Still, this is a matchup that probably
favors the Skins, especially if the Bengals are forced to keep
up with the suddenly high-powered Washington offense.
Projections:
Andy Dalton: 245 pass yds 2 TDs, 1 INT
A.J. Green: 75 rec yds, 2 TDs
Andrew Hawkins: 40 rec yds
Armon Binns: 50 rec yds
Jermaine Gresham: 30 rec yds
BenJarvus Green-Ellis: 55 rush yds, 1 TD / 10 rec yds
Passing Game Thoughts: As a fellow
“III”, it’s great to see Robert Griffin III
playing beyond what anyone could have expected from the rookie.
The youngster has shown tremendous poise, accuracy, and athleticism
and is likely finding his way into starting lineups after being
drafted as a high-upside backup. Griffin is a perfect fit in a
Shanahan passing offense that relies on the quarterback rolling
out of the pocket while keeping his eyes downfield. The team has
also packaged some designed quarterback runs into the offense,
which allowed Griffin to rush for 82 yards and two scores in a
loss to the Rams. Griffin was without top wide-out Pierre Garcon
in Week 2, and its up in the air whether Garcon will return this
week. Rookie Aldrick Robinson moved into the starting lineup after
Garcon left in Week 1 and has looked the part, despite his lack
of pedigree. Second-year wide receiver Leonard Hankerson hauled
in a 68-yard strike for Griffin’s lone passing touchdown
against St. Louis and could find his role increased, especially
if Garcon sits again. Veteran Santana Moss has mostly been employed
out of the slot, and because the team has not run a lot of three-wide
receiver sets, he’s not produced much during the first two
weeks. He may find himself on the waiver wire in most leagues
if he fails to get involved again this week.
Cincinnati has been abused by division rivals Joe Flacco and
rookie Brandon Weeden the last two weeks and will look to right
the ship against the rookie Griffin this week. Opponents have
averaged 308 passing yards and two touchdowns per game against
the Bengals over the first two weeks, so Griffin is set up to
keep his hot streak going.
Running Game Thoughts: If you read this piece last season, you
know that I practically gave up trying to predict what Shanahanigans
would happen on a week-to-week basis with the Redskin rushing
attack. The team has been more predictable so far, and it’s
hard to imagine that they will move on from sixth-round rookie
Alfred Morris anytime soon, as long as he keeps producing. In
typical Shanahan fashion, the late-round afterthought moved up
the depth chart ahead of last season’s productive tandem
of Roy Helu and Evan Royster and has been a success thus far.
The hard charging Morris has little wiggle or deception in his
running style, but with his one cut and go mentality, he fits
well in the zone blocking scheme. It would be nothing short of
shocking if Morris wasn’t the bell cow this week, after
coming close to 100 yards rushing in each of the first two games
and finding the end zone twice.
Cincinnati has allowed 126 ypg and three touchdowns over the
first two weeks, which bodes well for Morris keeping the job at
least one more week. The team was hit hard by offseason injuries
to its defense, and a turnaround seems unlikely.
Projections:
Robert Griffin III: 285 pass yds 2 TDs, 1 INT / 35 rush yds
Aldrick Robinson: 85 rec yds, 1 TD
Santana Moss: 35 rec yds
Leonard Hankerson: 60 rec yds, 1 TD
Fred Davis: 25 rec yds
Alfred Morris: 95 rush yds, 1 TD
Prediction: Redskins 24, Bengals
21 ^ Top
Rams @ Bears
- (Anderson)
Passing Game Thoughts: After a mediocre
passing attack in Week 1, the Rams blew up in Week 2 against the
Redskins to the tune of 310 yards and three touchdowns (with one
interception). The star of the Rams' air-show was receiver Danny
Amendola, who recorded an eye-popping 15 catches for 160 yards
and a touchdown. Sam Bradford was accurate and, for the most part,
not under too much pressure. While this pass offense will not
explode most weeks, thanks to a lack of elite playmakers and a
semi-conservative game plan, the receiving corps is fairly deep
and Bradford is smart enough to find the mismatches the defense
presents. Speaking of defenses, the Bears' pass defense put up
a fairly good showing against the Packers' elite passing game
this past Sunday, allowing just 219 yards through the air and
a single touchdown while picking off a pass and sacking Aaron
Rodgers five times. While it is still early, the Bears are tied
for second in sacks and now face a below-average Rams offensive
line. Look for the Rams to throw a ton of dump-offs, screens,
and short passes in order to keep Bradford upright for most of
the game. The beneficiary of this plan should once again be Amendola,
a decent WR3 this week, though do not expect double-digit catches
again this time. No other Rams passing game player is recommended
in this matchup in most standard leagues.
Running Game Thoughts: Against the
Skins last week the Rams put up a very respectable 151 yards while
averaging a healthy 5.6 ypc. This was not only on the back of
Steven Jackson (58 yards). Rookie Daryl Richardson (83 yards)
filled in admirably when SJax went down with a groin injury. Word
out of St. Louis is that Jackson could have gone back in if he
needed to, so look for him to start this week, although Richardson
has probably earned an increased role. The Bears, on the other
hand, let up just over a hundred yards to the Packers last week
and have looked pretty stout in run defense thus far. The difference
here is that the Bears have not faced a running back as talented
as Jackson, and so I see the Rams being pretty successful on the
ground (think 125-plus yards) as long as the game does not get
out of hand early. Jackson should be a very good RB2 in this matchup,
unless he has an unforeseen setback with his injury this week.
In the very slight chance that Jackson does not suit up, Richardson
would make a very intriguing high-end RB3 or flex choice.
Projections:
Sam
Bradford: 220 pass yds, 1 TD, 1 INT
Danny
Amendola: 85 rec yds
Brandon
Gibson: 40 rec yds, 1 TD
Steve
Smith: 40 rec yds
Steven
Jackson: 90 rush yds, 1 TD, 25 rec yds
Daryl
Richardson: 35 rush yds, 15 rec yds
Passing Game Thoughts: Anyone who
watched the Bears play last week knows their passing game was
plain awful. There were dropped passes, lots of interceptions
(4), lots of sacks (7), and little yardage and touchdowns (126/1).
It was a totally different look then their very productive Week
1 performance over the Colts (333 yards, 2 TDs). In this matchup,
I look for something right down the middle of the first two weeks.
The Rams have an emerging defensive line that can certainly put
pressure on the awful Bears line, but the defense as a whole still
gives up passing yardage in chunks and is prone to giving up big
plays through the air (two plays of over 50 yards in two games).
Look for a slight rebound from Cutler and Brandon Marshall in
this matchup, although there is still no other Bears passing game
player on the fantasy radar as of yet.
Running Game Thoughts: The big news
here of course is that Matt Forte is out of this contest, and
probably the next few as well. The good news for the Bears is
that Michael Bush is talented enough to not allow much of a drop-off.
In limited action, Bush has put up 96 yards on 26 carries (3.7
ypc), while adding two touchdowns. The Rams are coming off a game
where they gave up 176 yards on the ground to the Skins, and are
now averaging a league worst 5.5 ypc to opposing offenses. On
their home turf, I expect the Bears to run more than usual in
order to exploit the defense and take some pressure off Cutler.
Bush is certainly a recommended start here and should put up low-end
RB1 numbers this week.
Projections:
Jay
Cutler: 225 pass yds. 2 TD, 2 INT
Brandon
Marshall: 80 rec yds, 1 TD
Earl
Bennett: 45 rec yds
Alshon
Jeffery: 35 rec yds
Michael
Bush: 110 rush yds, 1 TD, 20 rec yds
Prediction: Bears 27, Rams 23 ^
Top
Bills @ Browns
- (Anderson)
Passing Game Thoughts: While the
Bills passing offense is not putting a ton of yards on the stat
sheet yet this year (373 yards total), they are somewhat surprisingly
tied for the league lead in passing touchdowns so far with five.
Starting any member of the Bills passing offense is a risky proposition
again this year, although Stevie Johnson is off to a decent start
with 111 yards and two touchdowns—but just six catches through
two games. The Browns passing defense, especially without Joe
Haden (out again this week), was atrocious versus the Bengals
last week, giving up 318 yards and three touchdowns, although
they did pick off one pass and register six sacks in the process.
I look for this matchup to be the Bills' best so far, as I envision
a back-and-forth type of game, where Fitzpatrick should take advantage
of an over-matched secondary while dumping off a bunch of passes
to C.J. Spiller. While it is still hard to recommend starting
Fitzpatrick in all but the largest (or 2-QB) leagues, Stevie Johnson
should certainly have another productive day, and even Scott Chandler
makes an interesting sleeper at tight end, especially in TD-heavy
formats.
Running Game Thoughts: Unless you
have been living under a rock you know the Bills run game this
year has been all about C.J. Spiller—since the moment Fred
Jackson left the first game with a knee injury. Compiling nearly
300 yards over two games with a league-leading 10.1 ypc average,
Spiller has also added three rushing touchdowns thus far. In both
games, Spiller has finally shown the world why he was a top 10
NFL draft pick a few years back, displaying burst, speed, decisiveness,
and cutback ability. The Bills currently lead the NFL in rushing,
and this matchup should mean a hold on that lead by the time the
week is over. While the Browns rush defense has been about average
the first two games, they were mostly being attacked through the
air, so it is not really a true measure. Look for Spiller to get
another 15-plus rushes in this contest and put up decent RB1 numbers
again, especially if the Browns can’t keep pace with the
Bills and Buffalo goes into a run-the-clock-out game plan.
Projections:
Ryan
Fitzpatrick: 230 pass yds, 2 TD, 1 INT
Steve
Johnson: 90 rec yds, 1 TD
Scott
Chandler: 50 rec yds, 1 TD
Donald
Jones: 30 rec yds
C.J.
Spiller: 115 rush yds, 1 TD, 40 rec yds
Passing Game Thoughts: The Browns
passing attack did a complete 180 from the previous awful week,
putting up 322 yards through the air and scoring two touchdowns,
while not turning it over at all. Brandon Weeden looked poised
and decisive as he spread the ball around to eight different receivers,
including yardage and target leader Mohammed Massaquoi (5 catches,
90 yards). While the Browns are at least a few more good games
away from recommending anyone in their passing game, they have
shown signs of life and have put Massaquoi and Greg Little (5
catches, 57 yards) back on the fantasy radar, even as tiny blips
for the time being. The better news for the Browns passing attack
is that the Bills pass defense has been well below average (23rd
in passing yards allowed), even though they have faced two teams
who have more conservative, run-based attacks (Jets and Chiefs).
While I am not expecting record-breaking numbers from the Browns
passing game, they should put up decent numbers as a whole and
remain the game for most, if not all, of the four quarters.
Running Game Thoughts: In his second
NFL start, Trent Richardson had a coming-out party that made the
people that drafted him early breathe a big sigh of relief. Richardson
racked up 109 yards on the ground, a healthy 5.7 ypc average,
and added a touchdown to his resume. He looked much more explosive
in his second game and found plenty more holes, thanks in large
part to the Bengals defense being forced to, at least moderately,
respect the passing game. The other good news for Richardson owners
was that he was the only running back to actually get a carry
in the game, making him a true workhorse. The Bills rush defense
has been inept this season, letting up an average of 134 yards
per contest, good for 24th in the league. Look for Richardson
to have another borderline RB1 game, as the score should be close
and the Browns should lean on their most talented weapon.
Projections:
Brandon
Weeden: 215 pass yds, 1 TD, 2 INT
Mohamed
Massaquoi: 50 rec yds, 1 TD
Greg
Little: 45 rec yds
Josh
Gordon: 30 rec yds
Trent
Richardson: 105 rush yds, 1 TD, 35 rec yds
Prediction: Bills 28, Browns 24
^ Top
49ers @ Vikings
- (Anderson)
Passing Game Thoughts: If there
were one word to describe the 49ers passing game so far this year
it would be efficient. While they are not putting up huge yardage
(392) or touchdown (4) numbers thus far, they are not turning
the ball over (not once) and they are completing a high number
of passes (70%). In the receiving department, Vernon Davis and
Michael Crabtree have been the stars, both totaling over 100 yards
so far. The Vikings, who last year were among the league leaders
in sacks, have been relatively good against the pass early on,
but they have not played their best competition so far—only
the Jaguars and Colts. Their pass defense was very bad last year,
and I expect them to regress as the year goes along. In this matchup,
I look for the 49ers to exploit a relatively weak pass defense
early on and let their elite defense put the game out of reach.
I’m still not recommending Alex Smith as a fantasy starter,
simply because the 49ers' game plan is too conservative, but Davis
makes a great TE1 and Crabtree I believe can be counted on for
decent WR3 numbers this week.
Running Game Thoughts: So far, so
good for Frank Gore, who many owners passed over in drafts this
summer because of his age and injury history. In two games, Gore
has amassed over 200 yards on the ground and scored twice, averaging
a healthy 6 ypc, albeit against mediocre defenses. As one of the
better fantasy handcuffs, Kendall Hunter has also looked good
in limited action, piling up 64 yards. While the Vikings run defense
is above average, the 49ers game plan will not change drastically,
they will run and run some more throughout all four quarters.
Because their defense should easily keep them in this game, I
see another nice running day for the Niners and would certainly
recommend Gore as a top 15 option at RB this week.
Projections:
Alex
Smith: 215 pass yds, 2 TD, 1 INT
Vernon
Davis: 50 rec yds, 1 TD
Michael
Crabtree: 65 rec yds
Mario
Manningham: 40 rec yds
Frank
Gore: 90 rush yds, 1 TD, 15 rec yds
Kendall
Hunter: 30 rush yds, 25 rec yds
Passing Game Thoughts: I really
believe the Vikings passing offense will eventually be a good
unit, but this is a bad matchup for them in both real life and
fantasy football. Besides not throwing an interception this year,
Ponder has also put up decent yardage numbers (515) and looked
very accurate, completing an amazing 75 percent of his passes.
What is deceiving about these numbers is that the Vikings have
played some bad teams so far (JAX and IND), and his longest pass
completion has only been for 29 yards (tied for 27th in NFL).
On the other side of the ball, the 49ers have faced two of the
league’s most potent passing offenses (Green Bay and Detroit)
and have still held their own, rating right around the middle
in most passing defense categories. In this matchup, I look for
the front seven of San Francisco to pressure Ponder and force
him into some tough throws, decreasing his accuracy and limiting
his yardage totals. Even though I do not expect big numbers from
the Vikings pass game overall this week, I would still start Harvin
as a low-end WR2 and perhaps even Kyle Rudolph as a decent top
12 option at TE.
Running Game Thoughts: This matchup
may be the most intriguing to watch, as one of the league’s
best running backs face off against perhaps the league’s
best rush defense. Adrian Peterson stunned some people, as he
not only played in the Vikings first two games, but played very
well. This week Peterson has stated that he feels better than
he did the previous two weeks, and he will no doubt carry a big
load at home as the Vikings' best weapon. While the 49ers have
once again started off as a stingy run defense (sixth in yards
allowed), they have not played an offense or a player that runs
as well as the Vikings and Adrian Peterson do. While I do not
expect Peterson to break 100 yards, as very few do against San
Fran, I do expect him to get more carries than he has the first
two weeks and put up low-end RB1 numbers. Start Peterson with
confidence unless you somehow have other RB options on your team
who are in the top 8.
Projections:
Christian
Ponder: 180 pass yds, 1 TD, 2 INT, 10 rush yds
Percy
Harvin: 70 rec yds, 15 rush yds
Kyle
Rudolph: 40 rec yds, 1 TD
Michael
Jenkins: 35 rec yds
Adrian
Peterson: 75 rush yds, 1 TD, 15 rec yds
Toby
Gerhart: 20 rush yds, 10 rec yds
Prediction: 49ers 30, Vikings 20
^ Top
Patriots @ Ravens
- (Anderson)
Passing Game Thoughts: While they
may not be putting up numbers like many people expected in the
passing game, the Patriots are still a pass-first team and are
still going to be very effective at doing it. While only scoring
one touchdown against Arizona last week, the Pats still managed
316 yards and now have well over 500 on the year. Tom Brady is
still completing passes at a high rate (66%), and is still spreading
the ball around to five or six receivers each game. With Aaron
Hernandez out of this game, there are three main guys to watch
for: Welker, Lloyd, and Gronkowski. While Welker has been getting
the attention for not being involved as much as in previous years,
he still led the team in yardage last week and has a respectable
eight catches for 109 yards so far. To me, the bigger surprise
is Brandon Lloyd, who is getting a ton of targets but has yet
to catch the long ball or score a touchdown. Of course Gronk is
still Gronk, catching a touchdown in both games and leading the
team in yardage. While the Ravens do put pressure on opposing
quarterbacks and almost always create a turnover or two, they
also tend to let up big chunks of yardage through the air. While
sacking and intercepting Michael Vick twice last week, they also
let him throw for 371 yards and complete nearly 72 percent of
his passes. I expect similar results this week from Brady, although
the Ravens home field advantage may help slow down the Pats a
bit. Start Brady, Welker, Gronk, and Lloyd with confidence, as
the yardage should be there even if a lot of touchdowns are not.
Running Game Thoughts: While the
Pats have, in recent years, split a lot of the carries in the
backfield, Stevan Ridley has thus far received over 66 percent
of the carries in their run game. He has done so quite effectively
as well, running for nearly 200 yards at a rate of 5 ypc. While
the Pats remain a pass-happy team, the coaching staff seems to
trust Ridley, and he should at least have the opportunity to run
in all four quarters of this game since the Pats offense should
keep it close, if not obtain a flat-out lead. While run defense
has traditionally been one of the Ravens' strengths, this year
Baltimore has given up over a hundred yards in each of the first
two weeks. While they may not be as stingy as years past, their
defense will be fired up at home against a bitter rival, so I
would look for the Pats run game to be slowed down significantly.
I’d consider Ridley a low-end RB2 in this matchup, based
on the volume of touches he may get, but I wouldn’t expect
huge numbers this week.
Projections:
Tom
Brady: 305 pass yds, 2 TD, 1 INT
Rob
Gronkowski: 70 rec yds, 1 TD
Brandon
Lloyd: 55 rec yds, 1 TD
Wes
Welker: 75 rec yds
Julian
Edelman: 45 rec yds
Stevan
Ridley: 60 rush yds, 1 TD, 15 rec yds
Passing Game Thoughts: It’s
obvious the Ravens are leaning a bit more on the pass this year
compared to years past, as Joe Flacco has become more comfortable
and more in control of this offense. Last week against the Eagles,
one of the league’s better pass defenses, the Ravens still
threw it 42 times, completing 22 for 232 yards. The Ravens have
two decent receivers (Torrey Smith and Anquan Boldin), along with
Ray Rice coming out of the backfield, but it has actually been
tight end Dennis Pitta, with 13 catches for 138 yards and a score,
who is their early-season leader. While the Patriots pass defense
has given up the seventh least pass yards thus far, this number
is misleading because the two teams they’ve faced (Arizona
and Tennessee) have weak to below-average offenses in general.
The Pats pass defense last year was horrible, and while it looks
to have improved some this year (especially the pass rush), I
predict that they will begin to revert to their old ways against
a more legit quarterback and offensive line. I see Flacco as a
high-end QB2 this week and would also consider taking a small
gamble on Torrey Smith to breakout, as the Pats defense has been
prone to giving up the big play.
Running Game Thoughts: While the
pass has become more prevalent in Baltimore, Ray Rice still remains
their best weapon, and he is off to a good start with 167 yards(6.4
ypc) and two touchdowns. As a team, Baltimore is currently top
10 in rushing yards, yards per carry, and touchdowns. Against
the rush, the Pats certainly do look improved and might actually
be fairly stout this year, thanks to All-Pro Vince Wilfork and
a few new rookies (Dont'a Hightower and Chandler Jones) that have
contributed early up front. Currently the Pats have given up the
5th least yards on the ground and have been holding opposing runners
to a very low 2.6 ypc, tied for second in the league. Much like
their pass defense, the Pats have not yet faced a unit on the
ground as strong as Rice and the Ravens offensive line, so I would
still easily start Rice—just do not expect him to make your
whole week this time, as New England should do a decent job against
the run.
Projections:
Joe
Flacco: 265 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT
Torrey
Smith: 85 rec yds, 1 TD
Dennis
Pitta: 45 rec yds, 1 TD
Anquan
Boldin: 50 rec yds
Ray
Rice: 85 rush yds, 1 TD, 40 rec yds
Prediction: Ravens 30, Patriots
27 ^ Top
Falcons @ Chargers
- (Caron)
Passing Game Thoughts: The highly
touted Atlanta Falcons passing game hasn’t disappointed
in 2012. Through two games, Matt Ryan has thrown for five touchdowns
with no interceptions, dispersing the ball well to Roddy White,
Julio Jones and even veteran tight end Tony Gonzalez. Ryan, the
second-highest scoring fantasy quarterback in the league thus
far, hasn’t cracked the 300-yard mark yet, but that’s
likely due to the Falcons having large leads during both games.
This week, Ryan and the high-flying Falcons offense will challenge
a San Diego Chargers defense which has allowed just one passing
touchdown in each of their first two contests. Though they have
kept the opposing passing games out of the end zone, the Chargers
haven’t been challenged by the Oakland or Tennessee passing
games. Atlanta will be sure to test them early and often, so it
will be interesting to see whether the Chargers are truly capable
of containing a high quality passing game.
Running Game Thoughts: After years of being one of the league’s
most consistent runners, it appears the wheels may finally be
falling off “The Burner.” Michael Turner, who has
run for over 1,300 yards in each of his three healthy seasons
as a Falcon, has failed to reach 50 yards in either of his first
two games. Though he did score a touchdown early against the Broncos,
Turner hasn’t had the same type of power and speed that
we’ve come to know him for. To make matters worse, Turner’s
head could be in another world during this game due to a potential
suspension following a drunk driving charge.
Turner and the Falcons running game could be in for a long day
as they go up against a San Diego Chargers defense which has allowed
just 62 yards on the ground through the first two games. In doing
so, the Chargers have shut down two of the league’s most
talented backs in Darren McFadden and Chris Johnson. Michael Turner
could very well make it three in a row. Though McFadden did exploit
a soft defensive scheme by the Chargers in Week 1 by cashing in
with 15 receptions, Turner is notoriously bad in PPR leagues and
most, if not all of the team’s passes to running backs will
be headed toward Jacquizz Rodgers.
Projections:
Matt Ryan: 265 pass yds, 2 TD, 1 INT, 15 rush yds
Julio Jones: 95 rec yds, 1 TD
Roddy White: 75 rec yds, 1 TD
Tony Gonzalez: 40 rec yds
Harry Douglas: 20 rec yds
Jacquizz Rodgers: 20 rush yds, 15 rec yds
Michael Turner: 60 rush yds
Passing
Game Thoughts: 2011 was a season to forget for four-time
Pro Bowler Philip Rivers who threw a career-worst 20 interceptions.
Though it doesn’t look like the previously elite Rivers
is back quite yet, his Week 2 performance against the Titans reminded
fantasy owners that he can still produce some big numbers, especially
against teams that don’t generate much of a pass rush. Rivers
tossed three touchdown passes and added 284 yards through the
air against Tennessee and will look to continue that hot streak
in Week 3 when he stays home to face the Falcons.
The Atlanta defense, who without top corner Brent Grimes, intercepted
future Hall of Fame quarterback Peyton Manning an astounding three
times in just one quarter of play. Philip Rivers did look good
in Week 2, but we still aren’t sure whether his days of
throwing multiple interceptions in games are behind him, so it’s
hard to trust that he won’t be another victim of the surprisingly
pesky Atlanta secondary who have already intercepted five passes
in two weeks.
Running Game Thoughts: The Chargers miss Ryan Mathews. Through
two games, the team’s leading rusher is journeyman Jackie
Battle whose two touchdowns are also a team-best. Unfortunately,
Battle’s 69 yards on the ground aren’t much to write
home about and his touchdowns came in a game when almost no one
in the fantasy universe could’ve possibly had him in their
lineup. On the bright side, it does sound like Mathews will be
back this week and perhaps that will finally give the Chargers
the balance they need.
Projections:
Philip Rivers: 300 pass yds, 2 TD, 2 INT
Malcom Floyd: 90 rec yds, 1 TD
Robert Meachem: 55 rec yds
Antonio Gates: 60 rec yds, 1 TD
Ryan Mathews: 50 rush yds, 40 rec yds
Jackie Battle: 20 rush yds
Prediction: Falcons 23, Chargers
20 ^ Top
Eagles @ Cardinals
- (Caron)
Passing Game Thoughts: It hasn’t
been the prettiest start to the season for the Eagles and quarterback
Mike Vick, but with two wins under their belt, the Philadelphia
fans can’t complain too much. Vick’s six interceptions
are a surprisingly high number, but his 688 yards passing are
actually second-best in the league behind only Eli Manning and
his monster Week 2 performance. Vick also continues to add yardage
on the ground, which has helped make up for his mistakes. The
biggest question for the Eagles passing game at the moment is
whether or not wide receiver Jeremy Maclin will be able to suit
up for Week 3. After battling through a hip injury last week,
Maclin suffered another setback during the game and has been in
and out of practice throughout the week.
If Maclin can’t play, the Eagles could be in for a long
day through the air as the Arizona defense is coming off of an
amazing Week 2 performance where they held the high-powered New
England passing game to just one touchdown in an unexpected win
in Foxboro. Patrick Peterson has made improvements in his game
this season and Adrian Wilson remains one of the league’s
most underappreciated, elite-level safeties. If Vick and his top
targets in the passing game can’t get in sync early, look
for them to lean heavily on the running game which could include
an increased number of designed QB runs for Vick himself.
Running Game Thoughts: Coming off of a monster 2011 season, which
saw him score 20 touchdowns, LeSean McCoy has started his 2012
campaign off strong with two solid performances. His 225 yards
from scrimmage are a nice number and although he has gotten into
the end zone once so far, one has to assume that more touchdowns
are in line for this shifty young back as he and the Eagles offense
still have some kinks to work out before they’re moving
at full steam. McCoy, who touches the ball 20+ times almost every
week, might be the single safest fantasy running back in the league
right now.
Arizona’s run defense has been touched up over the first
two weeks when it comes to yardage, but they still haven’t
allowed anyone to crack 100 yards on their own and no opposing
back has scored a touchdown. With Arizona’s pass defense
as productive as it has been, Philadelphia will very likely be
looking to run the ball in Week 3. That could mean upwards of
25 touches for LeSean McCoy and a potentially big day for one
of the biggest fantasy studs in the league.
Projections:
Michael Vick: 240 pass yds, 1 TD, 1 INT, 45 rush yds, 1 TD
Jeremy Maclin: 50 rec yds
DeSean Jackson: 80 rec yds, 1 TD
Jason Avant: 25 rec yds
Brent Celek: 50 rec yds
LeSean McCoy: 105 rush yds, 1 TD, 25 rec yds
Passing
Game Thoughts: For a team that is 2-0, the Arizona Cardinals
have been slow as molasses at moving the football on offense.
Even with Larry Fitzgerald split out wide on every play, the Arizona
QB tandem of John Skelton and Kevin Kolb have thrown for just
355 yards in two games. Despite the shocking win over the Patriots
in Week 2, Kolb did not look good and head coach Ken Whisenhunt
could have him on a short chain given that Skelton could be ready
to play against the Eagles in Week 3.
Whoever is throwing the ball will have a tough matchup as they
go up against one of the league’s most talented secondaries.
Led by cornerback Nnamdi Asomugha, the Eagles have completely
shut down each of the first two quarterbacks they’ve played
against. They’ve allowed just 350 passing yards and one
touchdown while forcing an impressive five interceptions. Unfortunately,
even Larry Fitzgerald can’t make the cut of being an automatic
start this week because of how bad he Arizona passing game has
been combined with the impressive Eagles pass defense.
Running Game Thoughts: Given the lackluster passing game, one
would assume that a 2-0 team would have made up for it with an
incredible rushing attack. That hasn’t been the case for
Arizona. Through two games, starting running back Beanie Wells
has rushed for just 58 yards. Second-year backup Ryan Williams
hasn’t looked any better, adding just 22 yards of his own.
Neither back has scored a touchdown nor have they contributed
significantly in the passing game. To say that the Arizona running
game has been pathetic would be an understatement. At this point,
it’s practically non-existent.
Things don’t look much better on paper this week either,
as Wells and Williams will look to break through an Eagles run
defense that has taken a huge step forward from the abysmal performance
they had in 2011. Linebacker DeMeco Ryans has made a world of
difference for this unit and with the secondary playing better
than ever, the Eagles’ front seven have been able to focus
very intently on stopping the opposing running game. Though Ray
Rice and the Ravens did break through with a nice Week 2 performance,
we just have to look back one week to a game where the Eagles
held Trent Richardson to just 39 yards on 19 carries. Richardson
isn’t quite to Ray Rice’s talent level yet, but Beanie
Wells and Ryan Williams can’t even hold a candle to Richardson.
Until they prove otherwise, the Cardinals running game is really
only a fantasy option for those in extremely deep leagues with
significant injury problems.
Projections:
Kevin Kolb: 165 pass yds, 1 TD, 2 INT
Larry Fitzgerald: 50 rec yds, 1 TD
Andre Roberts: 40 rec yds
Early Doucet: 30 rec yds
Todd Heap: 25 rec yds
Beanie Wells: 30 rush yds
Ryan Williams: 20 rush yds, 20 rec yds
Prediction: Eagles 30, Cardinals
16 ^ Top
Steelers @ Raiders
- (Caron)
Passing Game Thoughts: With their
top running back Rashard Mendenhall still recovering from a knee
injury which knocked him out of the 2011 season, the Pittsburgh
Steelers have fully established themselves as a pass-first offense
in 2012. Quarterback Ben Roethlisberger has already thrown 71
passes in two games, finding receivers Antonio Brown and Mike
Wallace on a regular basis, even tossing a touchdown pass to tight
end Heath Miller in each of the first two games.
Oakland’s secondary has played surprisingly well this season
despite being in their second season without one of the league’s
top cornerbacks, Nnamdi Asomugha. Of course, it has helped that
they’ve played against passing games that haven’t
fully come into their own. Philip Rivers is just now learning
how to move the ball consistently without Vincent Jackson while
rookie quarterback Ryan Tannehill is learning how to run an NFL
offense. Needless to say, the Steelers will be the most well oiled
passing machine that the Raiders have gone up against this season.
Running Game Thoughts: With Rashard Mendenhall finally making
strides to get back into the game, the duo of Isaac Redman and
Jonathan Dwyer may be coming to an end. And for fantasy owners,
it can’t come soon enough. Though they haven’t been
a complete disaster like some other running games this season,
the Steelers backs have combined for just 116 rushing yards and
one touchdown through the first two weeks. Mendenhall, who will
likely be eased back into playing time if he does get in the game
this week, could provide a much-needed jump start to give the
Steelers a more balanced offensive attack.
Perhaps the Steelers can get things going on the ground this
week when they go up against a Raiders defense which surrendered
249 rushing yards and three touchdowns to the Dolphins backs in
Week 2. While they did a nice job shutting down the Chargers RBs
in Week 1, the fact that they were completely unable to contain
Reggie Bush could have Jonathan Dwyer, Isaac Redman and Rashard
Mendenhall licking their chops.
Projections:
Ben Roethlisberger: 260 pass yds, 2 TD, 10 rush yds
Mike Wallace: 75 rec yds, 1 TD
Antonio Brown: 90 rec yds
Emmanuel Sanders: 40 rec yds
Heath Miller: 25 rec yds
Rashard Mendenhall: 60 rush yds
Jonathan Dwyer: 40 rush yds
Isaac Redman: 35 rush yds, 1 TD
Passing
Game Thoughts: When the Raiders made a big trade to acquire
Carson Palmer last season, they were hoping that the former Pro
Bowler might be able to summon his inner-2006 when the former
Bengal threw for over 4,000 yards with 28 touchdown passes and
only 13 interceptions. Though he has been a significant upgrade
from what the team has had for the past few seasons, Palmer hasn’t
delivered at quite the rate the black and silver had hoped for.
With wide receiver Denarius Moore having missed time, Palmer hasn’t
been able to get in-sync with any of his receivers on a consistent
basis. He has thrown for an impressive number of yards, but Palmer
has only thrown two touchdown passes in two weeks and unless the
running game gets moving more consistently, it’s going to
be tough for him to improve much on those numbers.
Palmer and the Raiders aerial attack will be matched up in Week
3 against a Pittsburgh Steelers defense that has traditionally
been elite in just about every category. With pass rushers like
Lawrence Timmons and LaMarr Woodley, the Steelers simply get after
the opposing quarterbacks. It hasn’t translated to any turnovers
through two weeks, but it is important to note that the Pittsburgh
defense has allowed less than 400 yards passing and that includes
a game against Peyton Manning and the Broncos.
Running Game Thoughts: Darren McFadden is unquestionably one
of the most physically talented running backs in the entire league.
His explosiveness, lateral quickness and top-end speed are elite
at his position. Unfortunately, two games into the 2012 season,
it simply hasn’t translated to fantasy success. McFadden
has rushed for a measly 54 rushing yards without getting into
the end zone. At this point, even backup running back Mike Goodson,
who scored a touchdown on a reception, has more fantasy points
than the borderline first round pick, McFadden. In PPR leagues,
McFadden did dazzle with 13 receptions in Week 1, but he came
back to Earth in Week 2 with only two.
For now, McFadden figures to still see almost every carry for
the Raiders offense which will make him hard to sit even against
top-level defenses like Pittsburgh. The Steelers have allowed
just 159 yards rushing to opposing backs through the first two
weeks of the season and just one touchdown in the form of a Week
1 goal line score to the Broncos’ Knowshon Moreno. Pittsburgh’s
run defense has long been elite and although McFadden has elite
talent, it’s probably going to be tough for him to find
much running room against this stingy defense. If McFadden is
going to do any damage, it’s probably going to happen as
a receiver. If the Raiders target him like they did in Week 1,
he could be a very useful contributor particularly in PPR leagues.
Projections:
Carson Palmer: 265 pass yds, 1 TD, 2 INT
Denarius Moore: 75 rec yds, 1 TD
Darrius Heyward-Bey: 40 rec yds
Rod Streater: 25 rec yds
Brandon Myers: 70 rec yds
Darren McFadden: 40 rush yds, 1 TD, 50 rec yds
Prediction: Steelers 27, Raiders
17 ^ Top
Texans @ Broncos
- (Caron)
Passing Game Thoughts: Sometimes
it doesn’t have to be pretty in order to get the job done.
That’s what owners of Houston quarterback Matt Schaub have
begun to realize as the Texans’ gunslinger has thrown for
just one touchdown pass and 461 total yards in the Texans’
two wins this season. A healthy Andre Johnson exploded in Week
1 with an eight catch, 119-yard performance that included a touchdown;
but the receiver followed it up with just three catches for 21
yards in Week 2. With the Texans’ running game and defense
working as well as they are, it could be a rollercoaster-like
season for the passing game, which will likely cause fantasy owners
many headaches.
If it wasn’t frustrating enough to be a Matt Schaub or
Andre Johnson owner, Week 3 could be the worst yet as Johnson
will almost certainly be shadowed by Broncos cornerback Champ
Bailey. Analysts keep waiting for the drop-off from Bailey, but
he continues to play at an elite level year after year. Through
two games, the opposing team’s perceived top receivers (Mike
Wallace and Julio Jones) have combined for just 51 yards receiving.
Though Bailey hasn’t been locked in on those receivers throughout
the entire game, it’s his presence on the field that allows
the Broncos to shift their defense toward the big play targets,
taking away the long passes they make their money with. Andre
Johnson could be in for a similar situation, so although it might
be tempting to play your stud receiver, try to look elsewhere
if you have any decent options.
Running Game Thoughts: What is there to say about this rushing
attack that hasn’t already been said? Typically when we
see dual-headed backfields, it leads to fantasy owners being furious
about the production of both backs, neither of whom are producing
at a high enough level to be starters. That’s not the case
with the Texans. Through two games, Arian Foster has been his
usual elite self, rushing for 189 yards and three touchdowns while
Ben Tate has added 80 yards and two scores. Foster is certainly
“the guy,” but when the Texans get up big in games,
Tate has huge value and can be a decent flex play.
The dominating performances that the Texans have put in through
the first two weeks of the season have contributed to the success
that the running game has had as they’ve almost been exclusively
running the ball in the second half of games, grinding out the
clock in blowout victories. That’s unlikely to happen in
Week 3 against the Broncos who, while still learning to gel together
in a new offense, have been moving the ball well and throwing
points on the board with relative ease. Not only that, but the
Broncos have allowed just 114 yards and a single score against
the Steelers and Falcons backs in the first two weeks of the season.
Certainly Arian Foster is an every week must-start for fantasy
owners regardless of the opponent, but we might not see as much
of Ben Tate this week as we are accustomed to.
Projections:
Matt Schaub: 240 pass yds, 1 TD, 1 INT
Andre Johnson: 50 rec yds
Kevin Walter: 25 rec yds
Owen Daniels: 40 rec yds, 1 TD
Arian Foster: 90 rush yds, 2 TD, 20 rec yds
Ben Tate: 25 rush yds, 15 rec yds
Passing
Game Thoughts: After looking like the “Peyton of
old” was back in Week 1, Manning came crashing back down
into reality with an epically miserable first quarter of play
against the Falcons in Week 2. Manning’s arm didn’t
look like it had the same zip as it did even in Week 1 as he misfired
numerous times, resulting in three interceptions before 15 minutes
had even run off the clock. Though he and the Broncos offense
did start clicking later in the game, the rust was very apparent
for Manning who missed the entire 2011 season with a spinal injury.
If he’s hoping to get back on track, Peyton will have to
do it against a defense which currently tops the league in the
category of least fantasy points allowed to opposing quarterbacks
in 2012. Having held the Ryan Tannehill and Blaine Gabbert to
just 295 yards and one touchdown between the two of them, the
Texans secondary appears to be excellent this season. Of course,
Peyton Manning and his receivers Demaryius Thomas and Eric Decker
are a very obvious upgrade from the mediocre groups that the Dolphins
and Jaguars trot onto the field, so we may see the Texans’
ranking slip a bit following this week.
Running Game Thoughts: At 30 years old, tread should finally
be wearing off on the tires of Broncos running back Willis McGahee.
Somebody hasn’t told him that, though, as he ran around,
past and through the Atlanta Falcons for 113 yards and two touchdowns
in his team’s Week 2 loss. The loss is a key point in this
equation as it showed the Broncos are not going to abandon the
run. Better yet, the relative lack of success that Knowshon Moreno
has had, makes McGahee’s job very safe for right now.
He’ll need all the touches he can get in Week 3, as he
goes up against a Houston run defense which has allowed only 140
yards on the ground to opposing running backs this season. Oh,
and they’ve yet to allow a rushing score. Given the Broncos’
play calling and Peyton Manning’s unique ability to find
holes in opposing defenses, McGahee does have a chance to break
that trend and get into the end zone this week, but to expect
another two-touchdown performance out of him might be a bit much.
Projections:
Peyton Manning: 260 pass yds, 2 TD, 1 INT
Demaryius Thomas: 80 rec yds, 1 TD
Eric Decker: 60 rec yds, 1 TD
Brandon Stokley: 30 rec yds
Jacob Tamme: 45 rec yds
Willis McGahee: 60 rush yds, 1 TD
Prediction: Texans 30, Broncos
24 ^ Top
Packers @ Seahaws
- (Caron)
Passing Game Thoughts: It has been
a rough start to the season for fantasy owners who opted to snag
Green Bay quarterback Aaron Rodgers with a pick that may have
been the first overall selection of their fantasy draft. Though
he hasn’t been terrible, Rodgers has passed for 522 yards
and three scores through two weeks of play, which puts him on
pace for only 4,176 yards and 24 touchdowns with 16 interceptions.
We certainly expect that Rodgers will get back to playing at an
elite level, but at this point it is very obvious that the Packers’
offense, which missed Greg Jennings in Week 2, is not clicking
at its usual rate.
Jennings (groin) may not be back in Week 3 when the team heads
to Seattle to battle the Seahawks who are coming off of an impressive
victory over the Dallas Cowboys. Known for having some of the
most physically imposing defensive backs in the league, Seattle
was able to shut down Romo and the Cowboys, holding them to just
one touchdown through the air. Though Dallas does have some great
weapons on offense, the Cowboys probably don’t quite match
what the Packers have in terms of firepower. Expect a somewhat
decent bounce-back week from the Green Bay passing game even in
a tough environment.
Running Game Thoughts: When the Packers signed former Bengals
running back Cedric Benson this off-season, many expected that
the ground game might see an upgrade in 2012. Through two games
so far, it hasn’t quite been that way. Though Benson did
rush for 81 yards in Week 2 against the Bears, his Week 1 performance
against the 49ers when he ran for just 18 yards was a reminder
that this is still very much a pass-first offense even with the
addition of Benson. With James Starks nearing his way back into
the lineup, it could be an even more frustrating situation for
owners of either back as it is unlikely either will consistently
receive enough touches to be fantasy stars.
If Benson and Starks do get going, they’ll be doing it
against a Seattle defense which has allowed a league-best 72 yards
rushing on the season, with only one touchdown against them. Even
Dallas Cowboys running back DeMarco Murray had major struggles
against them as he rushed for less than 50 yards. Neither Benson
nor Starks is much of a receiver, so don’t look for them
to contribute in the passing game. At least for this week, it
might be best to completely avoid the Packers backfield situation
for fantasy purposes.
Projections:
Aaron Rodgers: 300 pass yds, 3 TD, 1 INT
Jordy Nelson: 105 rec yds, 1 TD
Randall Cobb: 70 rec yds
James Jones: 40 rec yds, 1 TD
Jermichael Finley: 50 rec yds, 1 TD
Cedric Benson: 50 rush yds
James Starks: 25 rush yds, 10 rec yds
Passing
Game Thoughts: For a rookie quarterback taken in the third
round, former Wisconsin quarterback Russell Wilson has exceeded
even the wildest expectations that his team could’ve possibly
set for him coming into the season. His victory last week against
the Cowboys was very impressive from a game management standpoint.
Of course, fantasy owners will be looking for more production
out of him if they want to consider taking a chance on him as
their starter, but thankfully he probably hasn’t been in
many lineups thus far as he learns the ropes in the NFL. Wilson
has spread the ball around very well, completing no more than
seven passes to any one receiver, but four or more to four different
receivers.
It does appear that Wilson’s favorite target has been former
Vikings standout Sidney Rice and that is likely the receiver that
the Packers will be keying on in Week 3. A season ago, Green Bay
ranked fifth-worst in the league in allowing points to opposing
quarterbacks as they were torched for 29 touchdowns on the year
and a league-worst 4,988 yards. It has only been two games, but
in 2012, things seem to be completely flipped as the Packers have
allowed just 337 yards passing while forcing four interceptions,
good enough for fifth-best. Russell Wilson certainly has the potential
to be a breakout star in the NFL this season, but for this week,
he’s probably not the best fantasy play. Keep him on your
bench for one more week before you consider throwing him in against
the Saints in Week 4.
Running Game Thoughts: “Beast Mode” was on display
in Week 2 as Marshawn Lynch sliced through the Cowboys defense
for 122 yards and his first score of the season. Through two weeks,
Lynch has already touched the ball 49 times, putting to rest any
concerns that rookie running back Robert Turbin would see any
significant touches early on. After exploding into the fantasy
elite discussion in 2011, Lynch seems to be well on his way to
repeating that success in 2012.
Lynch does have a favorable matchup this week, too, as he will
be at home again against a Packers defense that has already surrendered
300 yards from scrimmage to opposing running backs. Lynch has
been an absolute monster at home, rushing for an average of 118
yards and a touchdown in each of his past six games in Seattle.
The main worry here is whether the Seahawks will be able to keep
the Packers from scoring early because if they fall behind, it
could mean significantly less touches for Lynch who is not much
of a contributor in the passing game. Nevertheless, the matchup
is good here and given his status as one of the few backs in the
league who touches the ball 20+ times a game, he’s a must-start
in almost every format.
Projections:
Russell Wilson: 160 pass yds, 1 TD, 2 INT
Sidney Rice: 40 rec yds
Braylon Edwards: 25 rec yds, 1 TD
Golden Tate: 25 rec yds
Zach Miller: 20 rec yds
Anthony McCoy: 25 rec yds
Marshawn Lynch: 110 rush yds, 1 TD
Prediction: Packers 27, Seahawks
20 ^ Top
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