| NFC 
              East: DAL | NYG | PHI 
              | WAS NFC North: 
              CHI | DET | GB 
              | MIN
 NFC South: 
              ATL | CAR | NO 
              | TB
 NFC West: 
              ARI | STL | SF 
              | SEA
 
 With many drafters either in the middle of drafting their teams 
              or about to start, some of my loyal readers asked for updated projections 
              they could use to either complement their use of the Cheatsheet 
              Compiler/Draft Buddy or maybe just to impress their friends. 
              Whatever the reason, many of the projections below have changed 
              for my initial release (AFC 
              and NFC) earlier this month. 
              So, in an effort to help your draft-day experience a successful 
              one, let’s get right into the updated projections.
 Note: My final Big Board will hit the site on Thursday. If you have any questions regarding the color-coding below, please 
                refer to my last Big Board. 
                Otherwise, the key to the stats is below, in case they are not 
                self-explanatory: PYd – Passing YardsPTD – Passing touchdowns
 RuYd – Rushing Yards
 RuTD - Passing touchdowns
 ReYd – Receiving yards
 ReTD - Receiving touchdowns
 Rec - Receptions
 
 NFC EAST Thoughts: One of the most impressive 
                players I have seen this preseason is Jones, who appears to have 
                added a lot of muscle to his frame. Long considered a speedy complementary 
                back, Jones has transformed himself into an every-down back and 
                the Cowboys are viewing him as one as well, which is the most 
                important thing. Because Austin has sat out the preseason, we 
                haven’t been able to get any hint on how much of an effect 
                Bryant will have on Austin’s final numbers. Until further 
                notice, Romo appears to trust Witten the most, followed by Austin 
                and then Bryant. Expect Bryant to be on the receiving end of a 
                lot of short passes until Romo gets fully comfortable with him, 
                with the idea being that Bryant’s YAC ability will serve 
                as an extension of the running game.
 Thoughts: It’s unclear whether or not Manning is treating 
              this preseason like most fans do, but he is hitting less than 50% 
              of his passes and has yet to throw for a score in 55 attempts. Despite 
              his penchant for turning the ball over, Manning has become a low-end 
              QB1 in recent years thanks to consecutive 4,000-yard, 27+ TD pass 
              seasons and his durability (103 straight regular-season starts). 
              Still, Manning is a divisive player in fantasy because for all his 
              good games, he never appears all that far away from a bad one either. 
              Be that as it may, my opinion on Manningham’s outlook this 
              fall has skyrocketed recently. With Kevin Boss and Steve Smith gone 
              and Manningham likely to move in the slot when the team goes three-wide, 
              the chances he has a huge season are pretty good. Consider him a 
              top-notch WR2 in 12-team leagues with the potential to out-produce 
              Nicks this season.
 
 
 Thoughts: Anyone that has caught a glimpse of the Eagles this preseason 
              has to be a bit concerned with the less-than-stellar protection 
              Vick is getting from his offensive line. Even with two rookie starters 
              (C Jason Kelce, G Danny Watkins), it’s an issue that figures 
              to get ironed with respected OL coach Howard Mudd. Still, it is 
              troubling that HC Andy Reid – a former OL coach himself – 
              seems to have this problem with his line every year, although Vick’s 
              tendency to extend plays does increase the number of pressures and 
              sacks the Eagles allow. The biggest change is to Maclin, who will 
              probably start the season a bit slow after dealing with his mysterious 
              illness over the summer. Since he is practicing now, it can be assumed 
              that he will contribute sooner than later, however. I cannot seem 
              to bring myself to add Steve Smith to the projections yet. One would 
              assume he would overtake Avant, but Avant is one of the better slot 
              options in the league himself and a trusted receiver in this offense. 
              Cooper is the one big WR Philly has, so his role as a potential 
              red-zone option appears safe as well.
    Thoughts: Make fun of the preseason all you want, but the Redskins 
                have been quite impressive so far. Beck and Grossman have both 
                looked good enough to make HC Mike Shanahan appear prophetic for 
                staking his reputation on his QBs. Davis is enjoying a fine training 
                camp and preseason as well, helping ease the potential loss that 
                a completely healthy Cooley would have on this offense. But the 
                most impressive player so far has been Hightower, who may be the 
                first RB with a bit of staying power under Shanahan in some time. 
                He doesn’t have the explosiveness of Helu, but he has been 
                sound in just about every other facet of the game so far and avoided 
                his biggest bugaboo to this point – fumbles. At this point, 
                that might be the only thing that keeps Hightower from keeping 
                a stranglehold on this job all season long.
  NFC NORTH Thoughts: On my final Big Board, Forte is the first player I have 
              listed outside the 14 “studs” in PPR. His durability 
              and contributions to the passing game are the primary reasons for 
              that, but the presence of Barber will likely drive his owners crazy 
              when it comes to touches at the goal line. Since Williams decided 
              to show up to camp out of shape – and disappoint his biggest 
              fan (OC Mike Martz) in the process – I have dropped him significantly 
              from my initial projections. Why the Bears have decided to go this 
              far into the preseason with their two best WRs third and fourth 
              on the depth chart is beyond me.
 
 
 Thoughts: I have made significant changes to my team projections 
                here, but not because of what I have seen in the preseason. Instead, 
                I realized that Best probably isn’t going to do exceed 4.5 
                YPC or receive 20 carries in all that many games this season. 
                However, OC Scott Linehan is fond of using his RBs heavily in 
                the passing game – and does a particularly good job at getting 
                Best out in space – so I believe I may actually have hit 
                the floor (and not the ceiling) for his potential in that regard. 
                At TE, I stole a significant of Scheffler’s catches and 
                gave most of them to Pettigrew, whose abilities as an all-around 
                TE help keep him on the field on just about every down. 
 Thoughts: Although I have made a few minor changes here, the 
                most notable is my belief that Starks will overtake Grant at some 
                point this season. HC Mike McCarthy has never been a RBBC coach, 
                so if Grant’s lack of burst continues into the regular season 
                – and there’s no reason to think it won’t – 
                then Starks can be expected to carry the load sooner than later. 
                (Think Cadillac Williams-LeGarrette Blount from last year.) Starks 
                has shown himself to be a capable receiver in the preseason and 
                is running with all the toughness one would expect out of a 6-2, 
                218-pound RB looking to stay healthy for the first time in years.
 Thoughts: I’ve played around with Peterson’s final 
                numbers a lot since my initial projections, but I believe I have 
                finally settled on a good range for him now. With OC Bill Musgrave 
                adding more plays to get the RB the ball in the passing game, 
                Peterson could push 50+ receptions, although a final determination 
                on whether he, Gerhart or Lorenzo Booker will get the most passing-game 
                work hasn’t been made public yet. Otherwise, Berrian gets 
                a nice bump as McNabb has not only shown faith in him so far, 
                but the team also feels as if they need him to be the field-stretching 
                element to make this offense more explosive. He’s worth 
                a look for owners rounding out their WR corps late in the draft.
 NFC SOUTH Thoughts: My opinion of Ryan has spiked over the last few weeks 
                (and that was before he posted 42 first-half passing attempts 
                in the team’s third preseason game), but it isn’t 
                for the reasons you might think. A healthy Douglas makes this 
                offense almost unstoppable most weeks as defenses will already 
                be stretched to defend White, Jones and Gonzalez as it is. While 
                Turner may not turn in his usual gaudy rushing numbers, I believe 
                it will have less to do with an age-related decline and more to 
                do with the level of production that will be coming out of the 
                passing game.
 Thoughts: Jimmy Clausen basically gift-wrapped the starting 
                job for Newton, who hasn’t exactly torn up the preseason 
                himself. Because he is a thick-built QB like Ben Roethlisberger, 
                Newton may be able to last the season physically even though he 
                will likely take some shots when he tries to make things happen 
                outside the pocket. I understand 3,000+ yards is a high number 
                for Newton, but he only needs 200 yards/game to hit that mark 
                over 15 games. I have come way down on Stewart, but that is only 
                because it is impossible to predict if/when Williams will get 
                hurt. Stewart has decent stand-alone value, but with Williams 
                and Newton likely to steal the few scoring chances the Panthers 
                will get each game, he might need a D-Will injury to be fantasy-relevant..
 
 Thoughts: While Ingram’s totals have slipped a bit, it 
                is only because I was admittedly low on Thomas’ initial 
                projections (and still might be if he puts together a full season). 
                Ingram’s ceiling is probably 12-13 TDs, but projecting that 
                high total for a part-time back with goal-line duties – 
                even in this explosive offense – is a bit more than I want 
                to do at this point. I believe Sproles is greatly undervalued 
                – especially in PPR leagues – in the 10th round or 
                later as a more durable player in the Reggie Bush role. With Colston’s 
                continued knee problems, Moore and Graham have been two of the 
                hotter topics in Saints’ camp. Graham’s role appears 
                pretty solid – a high-upside TE1 candidate who may take 
                over as Brees’ top red-zone target if Colston is unable 
                to stay healthy. Moore is a bit different, because his likely 
                final reception numbers this season figure to come as a result 
                of Colston’s health and Sproles’ ability to fill Bush’s 
                former role. His preseason groin injury is a bit of a concern, 
                so owners should draft him no higher than a WR4.
 Thoughts: Tampa Bay has remained relatively unchanged since my 
                initial projections.
  NFC WEST Thoughts: The loss of Ryan Williams greatly changed the outlook 
                of this offense as a whole. As a whole, fantasy owners have long 
                memories when players “burn” them, but Wells is looking 
                more like the RB we saw at Ohio State this preseason. He isn’t 
                going to impress the masses with his huge weekly fantasy totals 
                or contributions in the passing game in all likelihood, but my 
                projections for him are definitely attainable with no realistic 
                competition for carries. Stephens-Howling appears to be the next 
                in line and warrants a roster spot in deeper PPR leagues. I like 
                what I have seen from Roberts, but there is a strong belief that 
                he will be part of a committee attack opposite Fitzgerald.
 
 Thoughts: Last year, Bradford scored seven times (six passing, 
                one rushing) from the 3-yard line or closer. If Jackson can steal 
                half of those this year and return to a 4.0 YPC on 300 carries 
                with his customary 40+ receptions, I think he makes a strong case 
                for a very good RB2, if not a low-end RB1 in all leagues. Now 
                seen as a mid-level RB2 in fantasy, he has a shot to exceed expectations 
                for the first time in years. The biggest mover here is Kendricks, 
                who has shot up my most recent Big Board and stands to benefit 
                the most from OC Josh McDaniels’ offense, especially since 
                he is far and away the second-most dependable receiver in this 
                passing attack already.
 Thoughts: I made minor changes to most of the RBs and WRs, so 
                I’ll simply say that Gore’s contract issue could make 
                this season a rough one for his owners (and that’s not even 
                considering he is one of the bigger injury risks around at his 
                position). Hunter needs to be on the radar for owners in small 
                or deep leagues, because it figures to be a matter of when, not 
                if, he’ll see the field. He isn’t likely to be a feature-back 
                anytime soon, but he’ll be usable in fantasy in the event 
                Gore gets hurt. The new offense is TE-friendly, so Davis’ 
                only concern is the same as it has been since he became a strong 
                fantasy option – the accuracy of his QB. Expect him to remain 
                the team’s top receiver.
   Thoughts: So far this preseason, this passing game has struggled 
                just about as much as I expected it to before the preseason started. 
                Surprisingly, Jackson hasn’t been the main cause of the 
                struggles since he has been more accurate than expected when given 
                the chance to set his feet in the pocket. The biggest problem 
                has been the amount of pressure his rebuilt offensive line is 
                allowing. As long as this remains the case, everyone suffers. 
                As a result, players like Rice, Williams and Miller are all late-round 
                selections at best. On the bright side, Washington is slated to 
                eat into the RB timeshare more this season, so he has some low-end 
                appeal in deep PPR leagues. Expect the running game to be just 
                about as frustrating as the passing game from a fantasy perspective.
  Suggestions, comments, musings about the article 
                or fantasy football in general? E-mail 
                me.  Doug Orth has written for FF Today 
              since 2006, appeared in USA Today’s Fantasy Football Preview 
              magazine in each of the last two seasons and served as a weekly 
              fantasy football analyst for 106.7 The Fan in Washington, D.C. this 
              past season. He is also a member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association. 
              You can also follow him on 
              Twitter.
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