Auction drafting is my favorite way to build a fantasy football
team. While the general idea of this format is to allow every
owner an equal opportunity to acquire players, it also combines
the ability to value a player’s potential contribution with
managing a budget, all while testing a drafter’s patience.
Perhaps most importantly, it also tests the conviction a fantasy
manager has in certain players more than a snake draft ever will.
Opportunity cost is a huge consideration.
Furthermore, auction drafts reward the prepared and punish the
unprepared. In snake drafts, it is obvious to anyone using a well-organized
draft board when a player is slipping. In auctions, managers need
to be keenly aware of the available players and balance that against
their remaining funds. Owners must decide what players they like
the most and to what lengths they are willing to go to secure
their services, which is perhaps the best part of auctions - along
with the aforementioned fact that every manager has an equal opportunity
to land a player - at least at the beginning of the draft.
It has been said that you get whom your league-mates allow you
to get in snake drafts, while you get to decide exactly how you
want to build your team in auctions. I think that is a great way
to look at the difference between the two formats. It is also
why I believe auctions should be the standard way of drafting.
This coming season will mark the 17th year I have represented
FF Today in The
Huddle Expert Auction League. Over the first 16 seasons, I
have made the six-team playoff 13 times and advanced to the championship
game on eight occasions, winning it all four times. Suffice
it to say that my approach has proven to be effective.
This year’s draft took place on Aug. 21, so keep that date
in mind as you review how I valued each player and the prices
they went for in this draft.
General Auction Considerations/Strategies
Below are some of the rules I live by in auctions and some of
the reasons I have enjoyed so much success in this format. There
are obviously more than 10 auction rules to observe, but this
should be a helpful list for most managers.
1. Use auction values customized to your league's
settings.
This may seem like an obvious statement, but you might be surprised
how many fantasy managers fail to do it. One size does not fit
all. For the veteran manager who wants to create his/her own (which
I recommend), this objective can be achieved by studying the values
of players in your league over the last year or two - especially
for those at the top of each position. When you can be confident
in the price ceiling for the top players at each position, it
makes valuing every other player below them much easier. My SSI
(Success Score Index) also makes assigning values easy once I
have determined what the ceiling is (or should be). I also like
to get a sense as to how many players at a particular position
go for a double-digit bid (i.e., six quarterbacks went for $10
or more, 15 running backs went for $20 or more, etc.). I set my
prices for players at what I believe should be their ceiling,
so I do not go over my valuation on a player unless there is a
specific objective I am trying to accomplish at that particular
moment. Perhaps my only exception to the last rule: I may go up
to $2 over on one of "my guys."
2. Find an easy way to identify "my guys."
Time is of the essence in most auctions, so fantasy managers
should have a quick and easy way to identify a player they are
targeting as they scroll up and down their lists. (I underlined
the players below that I specifically targeted on Aug. 20.) One
of the best features of an auction is that every fantasy manager
has the same opportunity to land each player. If you want a certain
player enough, odds are you will probably get him - at least until
the money starts running out.
3. Identify the players you want as the core of your
team.
This is slightly different from the preceding paragraph in that
we are talking about selecting a group of two or three players
whom you would ideally build your team around if the draft plays
out perfectly. (Be realistic and set your sights on players from
different valuation levels.) This does not mean you set your sights
on Bijan Robinson, Ja'Marr Chase and Josh Allen. It is possible
in an auction, but it makes it difficult to fill out the rest
of your roster with players good enough to support them.
4. Setting positional budgets is overrated.
While I can see how it might be helpful for the new auction player,
I have never set a pre-draft budget by position for any auction.
Much like snake drafting, fantasy owners should do whatever they
can to avoid backing themselves into a corner or creating more
obstacles for themselves. Some snake drafts shake out in a way
that it becomes obvious a receiver-heavy approach makes sense,
while others play out in a way where running backs should be the
focus. A similar thing can happen in auctions. What if your budget
for running back is 40 percent and half of the other owners' budgets
are 45-50 percent? Chances are that your running back-centric
focus will need to become receiver-focused, making it one more
thing you need to adjust to on the fly. It makes more sense to
figure out before the draft how you want to build around Brian
Thomas Jr. or Jalen Hurts or whomever you deem as an acceptable
low-end RB1 if your initial RB-centric plan does not come to fruition.
5. Nominate with a purpose.
Nominating early in an auction draft should be about either securing
your foundation pieces or setting the expectation for a tier.
In other words, if I nominate Ja'Marr Chase and believe he is
an elite WR1, it should be because I want him or because I want
to know if I can trust my valuations for the rest of that tier.
I tend to nominate "buzzy" players in the early rounds
with an eye on trying to get my fellow league-mates to "chase
the cheese" with their virtual wallets. Other times, I will
target my nominations with an eye on getting a specific manager
to open up his/her checkbook on a player in hopes of eliminating
him/her from competition for another player at the same position
I want more. I will do this late in drafts to lower the cost of
a player I have my eye on even more than he is already being discounted.
6. It's OK to enforce prices, but do not become THE
league's price enforcer.
Just like snake drafts, auction drafting is about collecting
value. Do not allow the bidding to stop on Josh Allen at $11 (assuming
a $200 cap). Seize him at $12 and figure out how to reconfigure
your draft plan after that. With that said, your job is to build
the best team possible. Your job is not to enforce prices on every
player who is going too cheaply.
7. Keep 'em guessing and do not be afraid to force
the action. At the same time, do not rush into action too quickly.
Many auction players equate the draft room to playing poker.
One of the keys to being a good poker player is never giving your
opponents a tell. Nominate players you want and ones you do not
(do the latter too much too early or else you might be stuck with
a few $1 players you do not want). Do the same with your bidding.
If you are consistently changing things up with your nominations
and your bidding, the other managers in your league will not be
able to get a read on you … which becomes important if you
play with the same managers year after year.
Do not hesitate to be the man or woman in the draft room who
knows what he or she wants. Force the action. If someone puts
out a bid and you consistently counter just as soon as the other
manager closes his/her mouth, it can make the other manager a
bit timid. Another way to force the action is to jump bid (only
on players that you know will fetch a fair amount). When a manager
puts out a $15 bid and you quickly bump it up to $25, it can be
a bit intimidating to some in the draft room.
While forcing the action can be a good thing, do not be too eager
to do it right away. Every auction is different, but it is usually
a good idea to let other managers set the market. Did Ashton Jeanty
go for $40 for some reason? OK, it might end up being a soft running
back market. Did CeeDee Lamb go for $55? OK, it may not be worth
your time to invest in the high-end receiver market.
8. Use your free time (i.e. sitting out an auction
on a player you have no desire to roster) to monitor the roster
needs and (especially) the budgets of the other managers. Also,
develop a sense of when to use "the hammer" when you
have it.
The first sentence should be self-explanatory. It comes into
play more in the middle part of your draft and definitely toward
the end of it. The second sentence is one of the best parts of
an auction: a player you desire is available and you have the
most money (and/or the highest max bid) remaining. For example,
Trey Benson has somehow escaped nomination through 150 picks and
no one else in the room can bid more than $5. As long as you trust
yourself not to pursue any other eye candy, feel free to watch
other owners continue to pass him by - making him an even better
value. If that does not sound like fun (it should), then the moment
you realize you have "the hammer" is about the time
you should drop it on the rest of the room. If Benson only draws
a $2 bid, then you should be able to drop the hammer on your next
desired target.
9. Track what your league-mates are doing.
This ties in somewhat with No. 7 and No. 8. A next-level move
for veteran auction players is to chart who bids almost exclusively
on players he/she nominate. Occasionally, a manager is guilty
of doing this. Even if only one or two managers do this in your
league's auction, it could remove them from competing against
you for another player later in the draft.
10. For the love of all that is good, do not leave
money on the table in an auction!
There is a reason this piece of advice is in virtually every
auction draft piece. There is absolutely no reason to leave an
auction with any money on the table unless there is some connection
between your auction budget and your FAAB. One of the most egregious
examples I have witnessed was in a high-stakes auction four years
ago where an owner left $17 on the table. Using this draft as
an example, $17 would allow you to do any of the following: draft
R.J. Harvey, upgrade from Aaron Jones to Omarion Hampton or land
Emeka Egbuka. DO NOT LEAVE MONEY ON THE TABLE!!!!
Pre-draft
My primary focus entering this draft was building this team around
a strong receiving corps and two clear starting running backs.
More specifically, I wanted one of my clear alpha receivers and
three of my top 25 wideouts. At running back (assuming I get what
I want at receiver), I want two low-end RB1s. I would prefer to
have a third back who I can confidently start right away. (Jordan
Mason or J.K. Dobbins would be ideal targets for what I want there
this year.) At quarterback, I am mostly value shopping - as I
am of the belief there are at least 16 players I am confident
in starting most weeks. Evan Engram will be the target at tight
end in most of my leagues. I have not always done the best job
of drafting youth in this league in recent years, so I want to
continue making that a priority in this draft.
The Draft
As I have done in recent seasons, I thought it would be a good
idea if readers could access the entire auction on a bid-by-bid
basis. For those degenerates who love to see an auction strategy
unfold, analyzing a draft this way can help provide some insight
into when and why certain decisions were made.
Once again, players whose names are underlined were my targets
entering this draft, which is a task I would encourage all auction
drafters to perform before their auction drafts. The most important
thing to do here is to pick players to target from several different
tiers and expected cost valuations.
Below you will find the actual prices that secured a player’s
services in the aforementioned Huddle Auction (Hud $) and the
price I valued them at (My $). A dash in the second column means
a player was not nominated. The green highlight in the
price columns represents winning bids for FF Today. I
will follow each position group with some of my thoughts.
All values are based on a $200 cap and players are organized
by “My $”. All of the players who were nominated are
included. I removed several players who are unlikely to go in
auctions in 12-team leagues with 18-man rosters or for other common-sense
reasons. The colors in the "Pos" column give me a clear
indicator of how I have players tiered at that position.
Required starters: 1 QB, 2 RBs, 3 WRs, 1 Flex, 1 K and 1
Defense/Special Teams unit.
Quarterbacks
Hud $
My $
Pos
Player
Tm
Age
SSI
21
20
QB1
Lamar Jackson
BAL
28
4.2
21
18
QB2
Josh Allen
BUF
29
3.3
13
18
QB3
Jayden Daniels
WAS
24
3.3
11
17
QB4
Jalen Hurts
PHI
27
2.8
16
15
QB5
Joe Burrow
CIN
28
1.6
9
12
QB6
Patrick Mahomes
KC
29
-0.1
5
9
QB7
Baker Mayfield
TB
30
-0.9
5
8
QB8
Caleb Williams
CHI
22
-0.9
3
7
QB9
Kyler Murray
ARI
28
-1.1
5
7
QB10
Dak Prescott
DAL
32
-1.5
2
6
QB11
Bo Nix
DEN
25
-1.6
2
6
QB12
Brock Purdy
SF
25
-1.7
1
5
QB13
Justin Fields
NYJ
26
-1.9
4
4
QB14
J.J. McCarthy
MIN
22
-2.0
5
4
QB15
Drake Maye
NE
22
-2.2
1
4
QB16
Justin Herbert
LAC
27
-2.2
1
4
QB17
Jordan Love
GB
26
-2.2
3
4
QB18
Trevor Lawrence
JAC
25
-2.3
1
3
QB19
C.J. Stroud
HOU
23
-2.4
1
2
QB20
Jared Goff
DET
30
-3.0
2
2
QB21
Bryce Young
CAR
24
-3.0
-
1
QB22
Tua Tagovailoa
MIA
27
-3.7
-
1
QB23
Cam Ward
TEN
23
-4.2
-
1
QB24
Geno Smith
LV
34
-4.5
-
1
QB25
Matthew Stafford
LAR
37
-4.6
1
1
QB26
Michael Penix Jr.
ATL
25
-5.0
-
1
QB27
Daniel Jones
IND
28
-5.8
-
1
QB28
Sam Darnold
SEA
28
-6.1
1
1
QB29
Aaron Rodgers
PIT
41
-6.2
Observations: It has been well documented that
the quarterback position is the four dual-threats, Burrow in his
own tier (depending on your level of belief in him waking up the
ghost of 2013 Peyton Manning) and then everyone else in 2025. Things
did not exactly play out like that in this draft with Burrow going
for $16, but it should surprise no one if he pushes for 5,000 yards
passing and 50 total touchdowns. (Even with a slow start last year,
he fell 82 yards and five scores short.) Hurts ($11) was unquestionably
the best bargain at the position in this draft. (Shame on me for
not being more fluid in my draft plan, although I am quite happy
with Prescott and Herbert.) It will never look quite right for Mahomes
going for a single-digit amount ($9), but it makes sense given the
current state of his receiving corps and the uncertain status of
Rashee Rice. After Mahomes, no quarterback went for more than $5.
That should be the expectation in most auctions for the remainder
of the offseason.
My strategy: Especially in
leagues that award four points per passing touchdown (as this
one does), I want my starting quarterback to be a capable run
threat at the very least. If I am convinced he has massive rushing
upside, then I will usually go the extra mile to acquire him.
If there is reason to believe that rushing upside comes attached
to a good play-caller and a coach who will play with pace, then
we are talking about most of the ingredients it takes for a quarterback
to have a special season. If managers are not as enthralled with
rushing upside at quarterback as I am, there is nothing wrong
with just accepting the best bargain of the top 10 quarterbacks
above and backing him up with a $1 signal-caller. My preference
is to carry only one quarterback, however.
With that said, I actually accomplished my goal of landing a
mobile quarterback when I won the rights to Herbert. The expectation
in Los Angeles this year is that we will see more of the quarterback
who ran for at least 40 yards in a game three times after Week
7 after rushing for a total of 34 yards through his first games
a year ago. (The plantar fascia injury he suffered last August
and the high-ankle sprain he suffered about a month later did
him no favors as far as seeing more work as a runner in 2024.)
I have been slowly warming up to Prescott all summer. This is
a player who has two QB3 and one QB6 finishes on this resume in
the last three seasons in which he stayed healthy. Despite all
the talk about how Dallas intends to run the ball in 2025, the
combination of an uninspiring group of running backs, a (likely)
weak defense and the best group of receivers he has had in a while
suggests he could be in line for 600-plus attempts.
Total spent at QB: $6
Running Backs
Hud $
My $
Pos
Player
Tm
Age
SSI
51
52
RB1
Bijan Robinson
ATL
23
11.1
46
48
RB2
Jahmyr Gibbs
DET
23
9.2
44
48
RB3
Christian McCaffrey
SF
29
9.1
42
44
RB4
Saquon Barkley
PHI
28
6.7
38
43
RB5
Derrick Henry
BAL
31
6.5
44
42
RB6
Ashton Jeanty
LV
21
5.8
28
41
RB7
Bucky Irving
TB
23
5.6
31
40
RB8
Jonathan Taylor
IND
26
5.1
36
40
RB9
Chase Brown
CIN
24
5.1
31
39
RB10
De'Von Achane
MIA
23
4.9
30
38
RB11
Josh Jacobs
GB
27
4.5
31
35
RB12
Kyren Williams
LAR
24
3.7
26
34
RB13
Omarion Hampton
LAC
22
3.5
24
33
RB14
Kenneth Walker
SEA
24
3.2
26
30
RB15
Chuba Hubbard
CAR
26
2.7
23
30
RB16
James Cook
BUF
25
2.6
18
30
RB17
Alvin Kamara
NO
30
2.4
27
29
RB18
Breece Hall
NYJ
24
2.3
17
27
RB19
RJ Harvey
DEN
24
1.9
24
26
RB20
TreVeyon Henderson
NE
22
1.7
20
24
RB21
James Conner
ARI
30
1.1
13
22
RB22
David Montgomery
DET
28
0.8
15
21
RB23
Tony Pollard
TEN
28
0.7
10
20
RB24
Isiah Pacheco
KC
26
0.6
9
20
RB25
Aaron Jones
MIN
30
0.6
20
18
RB26
D'Andre Swift
CHI
26
0.5
11
16
RB27
Kaleb Johnson
PIT
22
0.2
5
16
RB28
Jaylen Warren
PIT
26
0.2
8
13
RB29
J.K. Dobbins
DEN
26
-0.6
9
13
RB30
Jordan Mason
MIN
26
-0.9
10
11
RB31
Jacory Croskey-Merritt
WAS
24
-1.1
8
10
RB32
Tyrone Tracy Jr.
NYG
25
-1.5
9
10
RB33
Zach Charbonnet
SEA
24
-1.5
2
9
RB34
Rhamondre Stevenson
NE
27
-1.7
17
9
RB35
Trey Benson
ARI
23
-1.9
4
8
RB36
Jaylen Wright
MIA
22
-1.9
3
8
RB37
Tyjae Spears
TEN
24
-1.9
4
7
RB38
Cam Skattebo
NYG
23
-2
3
6
RB39
Braelon Allen
NYJ
21
-2.1
6
6
RB40
Bhayshul Tuten
JAC
22
-2.6
5
6
RB41
Travis Etienne
JAC
26
-2.9
3
6
RB42
Jaydon Blue
DAL
21
-2.9
2
5
RB43
Isaac Guerendo
SF
25
-3
4
5
RB44
Javonte Williams
DAL
25
-3.2
2
5
RB45
Kyle Monangai
CHI
23
-3.3
2
4
RB46
Najee Harris
LAC
27
-3.7
8
4
RB47
Austin Ekeler
WAS
30
-3.8
3
4
RB48
Dylan Sampson
CLE
20
-3.8
7
4
RB49
Rachaad White
TB
26
-3.9
1
3
RB50
Woody Marks
HOU
24
-4.2
1
3
RB51
Brashard Smith
KC
22
-4.2
-
3
RB52
MarShawn Lloyd
GB
24
-4.2
4
3
RB53
Nick Chubb
HOU
29
-4.4
9
3
RB54
Quinshon Judkins
CLE
21
-4.5
1
1
RB55
Chris Rodriguez
WAS
26
-4.7
6
3
RB56
Tank Bigsby
JAC
23
-4.8
2
2
RB57
Justice Hill
BAL
27
-4.9
2
2
RB58
DJ Giddens
IND
21
-5.1
2
2
RB59
Ray Davis
BUF
25
-5.4
2
2
RB60
Tyler Allgeier
ATL
25
-5.6
-
2
RB61
Sean Tucker
TB
23
-5.7
1
1
RB62
Blake Corum
LAR
24
-5.7
2
1
RB63
Will Shipley
PHI
22
-5.9
1
1
RB64
Raheem Mostert
LV
33
-6
-
1
RB65
Jarquez Hunter
LAR
22
-6
4
1
RB66
Jerome Ford
CLE
25
-6.1
-
1
RB67
Devin Neal
NO
22
-6.3
2
1
RB68
Joe Mixon
HOU
29
-6.4
1
1
RB69
Rico Dowdle
CAR
27
-6.7
-
1
RB70
Ty Johnson
BUF
27
-7.2
-
1
RB71
Tahj Brooks
CIN
23
-7.8
4
1
RB72
Ollie Gordon II
MIA
21
-7.9
6
1
RB73
Brian Robinson Jr.
WAS
26
-7.9
2
1
RB74
Roschon Johnson
CHI
24
-8.1
1
1
RB83
Miles Sanders
DAL
28
-9.7
1
1
RB86
Kareem Hunt
KC
30
-10.4
2
1
RB94
Kendre Miller
NO
23
-13.8
-
1
RB95
Emanuel Wilson
GB
26
-19.8
1
1
RB96
Dameon Pierce
HOU
25
-22.3
Observations: As a whole, the managers did a great job of
not overvaluing this position (in terms of letting the bids for
the elite backs get out of hand). This should not be the expectation
in most leagues. (I participated in an auction on Aug. 24 that saw
three running backs fetch bids of at least $53.)
For whatever reason, Bucky
Irving ($28) is not garnering the same respect as the rest
of the running backs going in the first two rounds in both of
the non-King's Classic auctions I have participated in this summer.
While Irving may lack overall RB1 upside, it is hard to argue
that he cannot finish alongside the likes of De'Von
Achane ($31) and Chase
Brown ($36). With that said, Brown came up for auction well
before Irving (and I thought Brown was a bargain). It is interesting
to note that 11 running backs went for $30 or more, while another
nine went for at least $20. If a manager does not mind sacrificing
depth at running back (settling for $1-2 running backs for your
bench), one could easily make the case to spend about $65 to pair
up Derrick Henry
($38) and Omarion
Hampton ($26). Or Henry and Irving ($28). Or Jonathan
Taylor ($31) and Josh
Jacobs ($30) and drop $100-plus or more on high-end receivers.
I am going to need someone to explain to me why RJ
Harvey ($17) continues to be available for less than $20.
Despite serving as the home for such legendary talents as Javonte
Williams, Samaje
Perine, Jaleel
McLaughlin and Audric
Estime over the last two seasons, Denver running backs have
combined for a league-high 214 receptions (on 270 targets) over
that time. For whatever reason, J.K.
Dobbins has not been used much as a receiver during his NFL
career. He also has not proven to be very durable. The other potential
contributor in this backfield is McLaughlin, who has not stood
out enough in HC Sean Payton's mind to dissuade the organization
from spending a second-round pick on Harvey.
Payton's offenses typically throw to the running back about 130
times per season. Even if we combine the highest target totals
in the careers of Dobbins (38 last season) and McLaughlin (36
in 2023), that leaves roughly 60 targets for the rookie. Of course,
that assumes McLaughlin will have something more than a bit role,
which seems unlikely. The point of all this is that Harvey not
only has contingent upside in the event Dobbins misses time (which
has happened every season he has been a pro), but he also could
have 90-target upside if Payton decides at any point this season
that Harvey has earned his "Joker wings." On a different
yet related note, please draft Dobbins ($8). While there is a
chance this backfield ends up being utilized in a way Payton has
never utilized a backfield, the Dobbins-Harvey combo feels a lot
like Mark Ingram-Alvin Kamara or Ingram-Pierre Thomas from his
New Orleans days. The beauty about pairing them up is that both
could return RB2 value most weeks and serve as each other's handcuff.
My strategy: My valuations were off more than
normal for this league for some reason this season, although some
of that may have been because we had to replace half of our usual
managers. Still, I would have expected the high-end running back
market to fetch more than it did after last season's "return
of the running back" performance. While this market was not
so reasonable that a manager could conveniently fit two high-end
RB1s on the same roster, I would not blame someone who wanted
to try it if they could see early in the proceedings that the
market was as soft as this one was.
I did not really get to execute my usual strategy at this position
after securing Henry ($38) and Chase
Brown ($36) within the first 24 players to be nominated. I
could be mad that my early spending took me out of the market
for bargains later on, but I am not going to complain about landing
two of my top nine running backs. As I have continued to play
in this league over the years, I have grown more comfortable with
the notion of locking down two low-end RB1s and taking my chances
that I will find a gem or two on waivers over the course of the
season. Short of that, I am also comfortable prioritizing the
handcuffs of the backs I end up drafting to serve as my bench
depth at the position. (Yes, it completely slipped my mind to
secure Tahj Brooks.)
Total spent at RB: $81
Wide Receivers
Hud $
My $
Pos
Player
Tm
Age
SSI
54
52
WR1
Ja'Marr Chase
CIN
25
11.1
51
49
WR2
CeeDee Lamb
DAL
26
10.2
46
46
WR3
Justin Jefferson
MIN
26
7.6
40
44
WR4
Malik Nabers
NYG
22
6.0
43
44
WR5
Drake London
ATL
24
6.0
33
42
WR6
Amon-Ra St. Brown
DET
25
5.8
42
42
WR7
Brian Thomas Jr.
JAC
22
5.7
41
41
WR8
Nico Collins
HOU
26
5.3
41
40
WR9
A.J. Brown
PHI
28
5.2
37
40
WR10
Puka Nacua
LAR
25
5.0
32
38
WR11
Ladd McConkey
LAC
23
4.1
24
36
WR12
Davante Adams
LAR
32
3.9
30
34
WR13
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
SEA
23
3.6
26
32
WR14
Tee Higgins
CIN
26
3.2
22
31
WR15
Marvin Harrison Jr.
ARI
23
3.1
27
30
WR16
Tetairoa McMillan
CAR
22
3.0
25
30
WR17
Tyreek Hill
MIA
31
3.0
24
29
WR18
DeVonta Smith
PHI
26
2.9
25
29
WR19
Garrett Wilson
NYJ
25
2.9
25
28
WR20
Calvin Ridley
TEN
30
2.9
19
28
WR21
Courtland Sutton
DEN
29
2.7
16
26
WR22
George Pickens
DAL
24
2.5
22
25
WR23
Mike Evans
TB
32
2.3
21
25
WR24
Jameson Williams
DET
24
2.3
19
24
WR25
Terry McLaurin
WAS
29
2.2
16
24
WR26
DK Metcalf
PIT
27
2.2
16
23
WR27
Jaylen Waddle
MIA
26
2.1
22
23
WR28
D.J. Moore
CHI
28
2.0
13
22
WR29
Rome Odunze
CHI
23
1.9
16
22
WR30
Travis Hunter
JAC
22
1.9
12
19
WR31
Stefon Diggs
NE
31
1.4
11
19
WR32
Rashee Rice
KC
25
1.4
11
19
WR33
Chris Olave
NO
25
1.4
13
17
WR34
Zay Flowers
BAL
24
1.0
9
17
WR35
Jakobi Meyers
LV
28
1.0
17
17
WR36
Emeka Egbuka
TB
22
0.9
16
16
WR37
Xavier Worthy
KC
22
0.9
12
14
WR38
Ricky Pearsall
SF
24
0.3
3
14
WR39
Josh Downs
IND
24
0.2
5
13
WR40
Khalil Shakir
BUF
25
0.0
8
13
WR41
Jerry Jeudy
CLE
26
0.0
3
12
WR42
Rashid Shaheed
NO
26
-0.1
5
12
WR43
Jauan Jennings
SF
28
-0.1
10
12
WR44
Deebo Samuel
WAS
29
-0.4
7
12
WR45
Michael Pittman Jr.
IND
27
-0.4
9
10
WR46
Jayden Reed
GB
25
-0.6
6
10
WR47
Christian Kirk
HOU
28
-0.6
4
9
WR48
Rashod Bateman
BAL
25
-0.7
7
8
WR49
Matthew Golden
GB
22
-1.1
6
8
WR50
Keenan Allen
LAC
33
-1.3
3
9
WR51
Cedric Tillman
CLE
25
-1.3
5
8
WR52
Demario Douglas
NE
24
-1.4
3
8
WR53
Chris Godwin
TB
29
-1.6
2
7
WR54
Jayden Higgins
HOU
22
-1.7
12
7
WR55
Jordan Addison
MIN
23
-1.8
2
6
WR56
Brandon Aiyuk
SF
27
-1.9
1
6
WR57
Hollywood Brown
KC
28
-2.3
1
6
WR58
Pat Bryant
DEN
22
-2.3
2
5
WR59
Wan'Dale Robinson
NYG
24
-2.5
6
5
WR60
Cooper Kupp
SEA
32
-2.5
1
5
WR61
Adam Thielen
CAR
34
-2.7
7
4
WR62
Darnell Mooney
ATL
27
-3.1
2
4
WR63
Darius Slayton
NYG
28
-3.2
8
4
WR64
Keon Coleman
BUF
22
-3.3
4
4
WR65
Marvin Mims Jr.
DEN
23
-3.4
-
3
WR66
Andrei Iosivas
CIN
25
-3.5
1
3
WR67
Tre Harris
LAC
23
-3.6
1
3
WR68
Xavier Legette
CAR
24
-3.7
-
2
WR69
Dyami Brown
JAC
25
-3.8
-
2
WR70
Tyler Lockett
TEN
32
-4.0
1
2
WR71
Romeo Doubs
GB
25
-4.0
6
2
WR72
Joshua Palmer
BUF
25
-4.0
-
2
WR73
Elic Ayomanor
TEN
22
-4.2
-
1
WR74
Dontayvion Wicks
GB
24
-4.2
3
1
WR75
Luther Burden III
CHI
21
-4.5
1
1
WR86
Calvin Austin
PIT
26
-6.4
-
1
WR87
Alec Pierce
IND
25
-6.5
2
1
WR88
Dont'e Thornton Jr.
LV
22
-6.7
1
1
WR91
Tory Horton
SEA
22
-6.8
2
1
WR92
Isaac TeSlaa
DET
23
-7.0
1
1
WR110
Troy Franklin
DEN
22
-9.0
1
1
WR111
Tre Tucker
LV
24
-9.1
Observations: Once again, the spending at this position was
more reasonable than you will find in most casual or high-stakes
leagues. While I cannot see myself paying more than $50 for a player
anymore, Chase ($54) would probably be the one I would be willing
to do it for if I felt so inclined. It is probably not very surprising
that eight receivers attracted winning auction amounts of at least
$40, although there was one manager responsible for three of those
bids. (More on that below.) Amon-Ra St. Brown ($33) was the first
player to come up for bid and predictably came at a bargain rate.
Year after year, there is one team in this league that drops
an inordinate amount of money at receiver and tries to piece it
together everywhere else. This year, this team spent $174 at the
position, highlighted by his winning auctions for CeeDee Lamb
($51), Chase ($54), Nico Collins ($41) and Tee Higgins ($26).
While there have been many examples of a team selling out at one
position like this over the years, I am not sure I have ever seen
such an extreme example of selling out at receiver and trying
to piece it together everywhere else. This manager is unsurprisingly
a high-stakes player. It is an all-or-nothing approach that you
have to respect on some level because there is so little room
for error or injury. If any of the three receivers I mentioned
miss time during the year - which seems likely given the lack
of durability of Collins and Higgins - then this manager likely
lacks enough horses to win consistently.
There is something to be said about any manager who has enough
confidence in his/her ability to hit on enough late-round picks
or work the waiver wire to address likely shortcomings at four
or five fantasy positions (in his case, QB1, RB1, RB2 and TE).
With that said, there is a strong chance one of the managers in
your auction league will employ a similar strategy, so be prepared
to pivot to another top-seven option at receiver if your auction
plan depends somewhat on landing one. (I recommend getting at
least one elite option, but I do not think it is necessary if
you can get two high-end WR2s.)
I think a strong case to be made for managers to spend minimally
at quarterback and tight end (no more than $5 apiece) to reserve
as much room as possible for Chase ($54). (He went for $63 in
my high-stakes auction four days later.) I cannot bring myself
to do that, if only because my experience of playing over 16 or
so years has taught be how difficult it is to build a solid starting
lineup - much less have reasonable bench depth - when you have
someone accounting for more than 25 percent of your fantasy payroll.
In all, 39 receivers drew bids of at least $10, which means every
team in a 12-team league that requires three starters at wide
receiver should have at least three of those kinds of wideouts.
With that said, the position is so deep that strong WR3 options
like Jakobi Meyers ($9), Josh Downs ($3) and Jauan Jennings ($5)
still manage to fall through the cracks. I have said for most
of the summer there are roughly 10 WR1s, roughly 18 WR2s and probably
another 10-15 who I feel good about being my WR3.
Jameson Williams ($21) is a curious case. There has been nary
a negative word uttered about him all offseason, yet he has been
available for $21 or less in both of my recent auctions. I can
understand it if he compare his cost to that of more proven receivers
such as Mike Evans ($22) or Courtland Sutton ($19), but would
anyone be overly surprised if he produces at the same clip as
DeVonta Smith ($24) or Garrett Wilson ($25) or even Tetairoa McMillan
($27)?
Strategy: When it comes to auctions, I typically
like shopping at the bottom of the top tier and the top of every
other tier. What does that mean? For example, at receiver in this
draft, A.J. Brown ($41) is on the borderline of players who I
think are worthy WR1s. Conversely, Davante Adams ($24) is on the
high end of my WR2s and has been the WR12 in my rankings for a
while. McMillan is an example of a player who I believe should
be a strong WR2 with low-end WR1 upside. As you can tell from
my rankings above, I was able to land three of my top 16 wideouts.
This kind of balance reduces the pressure for Brown to keep up
with Chase and Lamb while enabling me to close the gap with a
pair of WR2s. When comparing this auction with the high-stakes
auction I did four days later, it may now be in my best interest
to settle for Sutton instead of McMillan and use that savings
to draft a solid RB3.
Because the receiver position is so deep, it is probably the
one position where it is easiest to gain a micro-edge. By paying
the lowest cost I can reasonably expect to pay for a WR1 and backing
that up with two players I expect to be high-end WR2s, I am using
a WR2-caliber player against my opponent's WR3 most weeks. Meyers
is a very capable WR3, so I should be able to gain an edge with
him over my opponent's best flex option.
Total spent at WR: $103
Tight Ends
Hud $
My $
Pos
Player
Tm
Age
SSI
29
30
TE1
Trey McBride
ARI
25
5.1
31
30
TE2
Brock Bowers
LV
22
4.8
19
24
TE3
George Kittle
SF
31
3.0
7
16
TE4
Evan Engram
DEN
30
1.6
12
13
TE5
Travis Kelce
KC
35
1.1
9
11
TE6
Mark Andrews
BAL
29
0.9
9
11
TE7
T.J. Hockenson
MIN
28
0.9
4
10
TE8
Jake Ferguson
DAL
26
0.8
5
9
TE9
Tucker Kraft
GB
24
0.7
13
9
TE10
Sam LaPorta
DET
24
0.7
3
8
TE11
David Njoku
CLE
29
0.6
8
7
TE12
Tyler Warren
IND
23
-0.1
5
4
TE13
Colston Loveland
CHI
21
-0.7
2
4
TE14
Hunter Henry
NE
30
-0.8
3
3
TE15
Dallas Goedert
PHI
30
-1.0
-
3
TE16
Dalton Kincaid
BUF
25
-1.1
1
3
TE17
Zach Ertz
WAS
34
-1.2
1
3
TE18
Kyle Pitts
ATL
24
-1.5
1
2
TE19
Brenton Strange
JAC
24
-1.9
-
2
TE20
Chigoziem Okonkwo
TEN
25
-1.9
-
2
TE21
Elijah Arroyo
SEA
22
-2.0
1
1
TE22
Pat Freiermuth
PIT
26
-2.1
1
1
TE23
Theo Johnson
NYG
24
-2.2
1
1
TE24
Isaiah Likely
BAL
25
-2.7
-
1
TE25
Darren Waller
MIA
32
-2.9
-
1
TE26
Juwan Johnson
NO
28
-3.0
-
1
TE27
Mason Taylor
NYJ
21
-3.0
-
1
TE28
Ja'Tavion Sanders
CAR
22
-3.6
-
1
TE29
Mike Gesicki
CIN
29
-4.1
-
1
TE30
Tyler Conklin
LAC
30
-4.2
1
1
TE31
Jonnu Smith
PIT
29
-4.5
-
1
TE32
Cade Otton
TB
26
-4.6
1
1
TE37
Cole Kmet
CHI
26
-5.9
Observations: From the "it might be something, it
might be nothing" file … eight tight ends drew double-digit
bids in this draft last season and two more attracted at least
$8. This year, only five went for more than $10. That could be
the product of a few variables, not the least is what is expected
to be one of the better low-end TE1 groups in years. From T.J. Hockenson ($9) and Jake Ferguson ($4) being completely healthy
to Tucker Kraft ($5) generating hype from his head coach about
being featured in the same way George Kittle is in San Francisco
to Evan Engram ($7) being Sean Payton's new "Joker,"
there is ample reason to believe at least two or three of the
non-elite options could and probably will emerge as league-winning
options. No one should be surprised if Tyler Warren ($8) or David Njoku ($3) proves he deserves mention in that group as well.
Last season, 26 tight ends were drafted in this league. This
season, that number dipped to a more reasonable 23. With that
said, I struggle to understand why more than 20 would be drafted
if we are working under the assumption that the low-end TE1 group
is good in 2025. If it is happening because people are uncertain
about the quality of the low-end TE1 group, I guess I can understand
it. From a pure upside perspective, however, carrying a backup
tight end for any other reason than because he has a good chance
of becoming a weekly starter is a waste of a roster spot. It makes
much more sense to use that roster spot on an upside swing at
running back or receiver.
My strategy: Much as I have advocated at other
positions, I have no desire to pay top dollar for any player when
I believe at least two or three other options will perform at
a similar level at a lower cost. Still, I have mixed feelings
when it comes to paying up for tight ends in auctions this year.
On one hand, we can look at players such as Brock Bowers ($31)
and Trey McBride ($29) and convince ourselves we are getting a
low-end WR1 at a discount. On the other hand, I cannot justify
spending that kind of money at the position when I believe someone
like Engram ($7) will end up posting about 80-85 percent of their
production at about 25 percent of their cost. As a result, I will
likely continue to take the best value I can find at the position
- I think Hunter Henry ($2) is a screaming value in most leagues,
as an example - and spend my money everywhere else.
Total spent at TE: $8
Kickers
Hud $
My $
Player
Tm
Age
2
2
Brandon Aubrey
DAL
30
1
1
Wil Lutz
DEN
31
1
1
Chris Boswell
PIT
34
1
1
Cameron Dicker
LAC
25
1
1
Chase McLaughlin
TB
29
-
1
Will Reichard
MIN
24
1
1
Tyler Loop
BAL
24
1
1
Jake Bates
DET
26
1
1
Ka'imi Fairbairn
HOU
31
-
1
Matt Gay
WAS
31
-
1
Daniel Carlson
LV
30
1
1
Jake Elliott
PHI
30
1
1
Brandon McManus
GB
34
1
1
Evan McPherson
CIN
26
Observations/strategy: Year after year, I look
for the same qualities in a kicker. I want someone with a strong
leg in a good offense. Additionally, I often target kickers who
play on teams with good or great defenses since coaches are more
likely to settle for field goals when they are confident in their
defense. Short of that, I look for a kicker on a team that I believe
will have a good offense but will bog down in the red zone because
it lacks a strong running attack. I was somewhat surprised that
last year's leading scorer at the position (Boswell) did not draw
more interest and was happy to grab him when someone decided to
bid me up on Aubrey ($2) within the first few rounds. While we cannot
expect Boswell to have the same kind of season he had in 2024, he
and Aubrey are arguably the best kickers in the league at the moment.
Total spent at K: $1
Defense / ST
Hud $
My $
Team
2
2
Broncos
1
2
Vikings
1
1
Ravens
1
1
Eagles
1
1
Steelers
-
1
Patriots
1
1
Texans
-
1
Colts
-
1
Seahawks
-
1
Rams
1
1
Cardinals
-
1
Chargers
1
1
Chiefs
-
1
49ers
1
1
Jets
1
1
Commanders
1
1
Lions
Observations/strategy: Conventional wisdom says
no one should spend more than one dollar on defense. In previous
years, I have generally advocated spending an extra dollar to get
one you love - assuming such an option exists. As my matchup grading
in this article suggests,
I have my doubts about most of the options this year. With that
said, I do feel a sense of comfort in getting the Vikings DST whenever
possible. While we cannot expect them to replicate last year's league-high
24 interceptions, I would argue that Minnesota improved on that
side of the ball and proved it could be a high-scoring unit last
year despite playing nearly a quarter of its games against the high-powered
offenses of the Lions and Packers - the other two teams to make
the playoffs out of the NFC North. If the Vikings DST falls off
this year, I doubt it will be by all that much.
Just like in snake drafts, fantasy managers risk having a forgettable
season if they try to get too cute. Last year in this league,
I was convinced Saquon Barkley and James Conner were going to
hit and I was right. I took a gamble on Jordan Mason as well,
who was probably the player who was the most instrumental to my
3-1 start. Why? Because the moment Mason came back to earth in
Week 5, my team tanked. Why did it happen? I got cute everywhere
else. I knew investing in the likes of Anthony Richardson, Marvin
Harrison Jr., Jonathon Brooks, Cooper Kupp, Diontae Johnson and
Kyle Pitts was risky, but I did it anyway.
When I look at this team, I see arguably the most complete starting
lineup in the league with very little depth. While that was not
necessarily the plan entering the draft, one of the consistent
themes in this league year after year is my ability to find quality
starters off waivers during the season. Last year's examples were
Drake Maye, Bo Nix and Jauan Jennings. It is something I would
prefer not to rely on, but I would rather have a very good starting
lineup to begin the season and trust my ability to find waiver-wire
gems to serve as my depth as opposed to a mid-tier lineup with
a great bench. Trading does not happen very often in this league,
so that is something else to consider as well.
The strength of this team is the quality of my starting options
at running back and receiver. Henry and Chase Brown are both high-volume
backs in great offenses who are likely to push for 300 touches.
A.J. Brown, Adams and McMillan each rank inside my top 16 receivers,
while Meyers is a strong WR3 who I get to use as a flex. If I
am right about Prescott throwing at least 600 times and Engram's
impact as the "Joker" in Denver, this team could roll.
My one regret from this draft is that I let my belief in McMillan
going for a good price interfere with my ability to realize the
deal Sutton was when he was available. While Sutton had not come
up for bid yet, the eight-dollar difference cost me a chance to
land one of my favorite RB3s this year in Mason. If one of my
starting running backs suffers an injury within the first week
or two of the season, I could really struggle to win games with
Wright or Rodriguez as my new RB2. Fortunately, there are at least
two backs on the waiver wire who could go a long way in alleviating
whatever concern I have about that scenario playing out.
Doug Orth has served as an analyst for FF Today since 2006 and
joined the Fantasy Points team before the start of the 2024 season.
He is also a highly successful high-stakes player who has not experienced
a losing money season in any of his 25 years in this hobby. Please
check him out on "The Football Diehards" podcast - courtesy
of Full Time Fantasy - on Wednesday nights with co-host JJ Wenner.