It’s the final three weeks of the regular season, but not
the time to relax. Prepare for the playoffs. Look for favorable
matchups. If you have clinched a playoff spot, make trades that
make sense for weeks 14-16. Fortis fortuna adiuvat … fortune
favors the bold!
Byes: Green Bay, New York Giants, Seattle, Tennessee
“Facts are the enemy of truth.” - Miguel de Cervantes
1) Matthew Stafford owners were screwed by Lions management.
True. Not surprising considering head coach Matt Patricia comes
from the Bill Belichick School of Informational Releases. “He
felt really good through the course of the week, so that was all
positive from that standpoint," said Patricia. OK, then why
was it necessary to do additional scanning on Friday? Apparently,
backup Jeff Driskel knew he was starting on Saturday, but it wasn’t
until Sunday morning that rumors of Stafford not playing began
to surface. Likely too late for you to make a trade for a viable
quarterback or a waiver claim. Gamesmanship over honesty? If Steelers
coach Mike Tomlin was fined “six figures” for not
being truthful about Ben Roethlisberger’s injury in Week
2, Patricia should feel the same heat. (Truth in reporting, I
do not start Stafford in any of my six fantasy leagues, so this
isn’t sour grapes).
2) Since Week 8, Ryan Fitzpatrick and Sam Darnold have scored
more points than Aaron Rodgers.
3) “Buying low” on Allen Robinson and Calvin Ridley
should pay off down the stretch.
Although both Ridley and Robinson are averaging less than 10
FPts/G, both could be useful over the final three weeks of the
fantasy regular season. Ridley has a favorable schedule facing
Carolina (16th in FPts allowed to wide receivers), Tampa Bay (32nd)
and New Orleans (21st). Robinson goes up against the Rams (12th),
Giants (31st) and Lions (23rd).
4) It could be a tough week to get big production from the running
5) Christian Kirk and Darius Slayton have been top-10 wideouts
over the past three games.
Surprisingly, yes. Kirk is averaging 19.7 FPts/G and Slayton
18.2. That puts him ahead of bigger names like Julio Jones, Cooper Kupp and Davante Adams. While Kirk is owned in 82% of all leagues,
Slayton is available in four-out-of-five fantasy leagues.
“Errors do not cease to be errors simply because they’re
ratified into law.” - E.A. Bucchianeri
1) Philip Rivers, at age 37, is still a viable option.
False. For six years, Rivers has been the model of consistency,
averaging between 21.1 and 22.4 fantasy points per season. However,
in 2019 he’s averaging just 19.9 fantasy points and an even
uglier 15.7 points over the past three games. This despite Los
Angeles throwing the ball 61.6-percent of the time versus 56.2-percent
in 2018. He’ll still be out there every week because the
Chargers have failed to draft/trade/sign his successor, but he
is not a QB1 or even a reliable bye week option. Rivers is completely
schedule dependent. He does have a “weaker” opponent
this Monday (Kansas City) before a bye and a poor matchup versus
Denver to complete the fantasy regular season.
2) The absence of Rob Gronkowski has made a big difference in
New England’s scoring average.
False. Poor New England without “Gronk” can’t
score this season? In fact, the team is averaging 30 ppg while
their tight end production is next-to-last, No. 31 of 32 teams
(18-248-1). Their 270 points in nine games compares favorably
to their scoring average for the previous four seasons (2018 –
27.2, 2017 – 28.6, 2016 – 27.6 and 2015 – 29.1).
Let Gronk enjoy his after football life. Belichick and Tom Brady
will still find a way.
3) Damien Williams has been a complete disappointment this season
after being selected high on Draft Day.
His season totals are disappointing, but if you have been paying
attention … he’s back. He’s scored 20.8 and
15.9 fantasy points the past two games. LeSean McCoy was a healthy
scratch. It’s Williams now. He should be a very good option
against the bottom-10 Chargers (allowing21.3 FPts/G to RBs) at
Estadio Azteca in Mexico Monday night.
4) If Stafford doesn’t play, there is no way to trust
the Lions receivers to produce.
I love Kenny Golladay when Stafford plays, but I still trust
him to be solid if it’s Driskel under center. Golladay saw
nine targets in Week 10 and produced 57 yards and a score despite
just three receptions. Marvin Jones caught 5-of-6 for 77 yards.
I’d stay away from Danny Amendola who appeared to be the
safety valve catching 4-of-8 for just 29 yards. Driskel can only
get better in a second straight start.
5) The most unlikely player led the Seahawks in targets Monday.
It was fourth-string tight end Jacob Hollister, who along with
D.K. Metcalf led the team with 10 targets. The former Patriots
TE started the season behind Will Dissly, Ed Dickson and Luke Willson. He’s become a solid option for Russell Wilson with
three touchdowns and 12 receptions in two November games. Although
the Seahawks are on bye this weekend, Hollister (7%-owned) should
be picked up if you need a tight end.