Unless you drafted a “plug and play” quarterback
like; Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts or Joe Burrow, you
might have a question whether to start a quarterback from time to
time.
Perhaps you have two solid quarterbacks and go back and forth
depending on the matchup. Who in their right mind would want his
quarterback going up against the San Francisco 49ers stingy defense?
Or the Jets tough cornerback duo of Sauce Gardner and D.J. Reed?
Or the Eagles sack-happy defense?
Additionally, there is always the road game versus home game
discussion. Most of the time, the edge favors starting the guy
in front of his home fans. But not always. And it’s very
important to know where the exceptions lie.
Below are the home and road splits from last season for most
of this year’s starting quarterbacks.
(Note: Five starters are missing from the list; the three rookies
and two with too small a sample size Jordan Love and Sam Howell.
Also, there are two Arizona starters because Kyler Murray could
miss have the season).
I’d like to point out a few significant findings.
1) The Lions’ Jared
Goff played elite quarterback at home (league-high 109.3 rating)
with a dynamic 23-3 TD-INT ratio, but on the road he ranked in
the bottom half of the league and over eight games managed just
six touchdown passes. A solid backup would be a better option
when the Lions aren’t playing at Ford Field.
2)Jimmy
Garoppolo, now in Las Vegas, was the opposite of Goff. He
was better on the road than at home throwing for 50 more yards
a game in six road contests and 11 touchdowns versus five in five
games at home.
3)Matthew
Stafford was less than mediocre at home with as many INTs
and touchdown passes (7). It might have been a fluke, or he might
be showing all the years of wear and tear and hits. Beware here.
4)Justin
Herbert was better on the road than he was in front of the
home crowd (maybe they were still Rams fans in the stands and
not Charger fans since they share a stadium). He ranked just 18th
at SoFi Stadium and ninth on the road with a 95.3 rating and a
14-4 TD-INT ratio.
5) Also better on the road than at home was
last year’s surprise top-10 fantasy quarterback Geno
Smith. He raised his QB Rating 12 points on the road. Smith
also threw just as many touchdown passes both home and away (15)
with one less interception and an average 25 more yards on the
road.
6) Meanwhile, Josh
Allen was disappointing on the road with a QB rating 16.7
points lower, though his 15 touchdown passes and six rushing touchdowns
more than made up for his eight interceptions.
7) Another visiting quarterback you might want
to stay away from is the Vikings’ Kirk
Cousins. Eleven touchdown passes were countered with 10 INTs
away from U.S. Bank Stadium. Plus, it doesn’t help that he rarely
adds value with his legs.
8) Oh, and you might want to fade Aaron
Rodgers on the road. He was horrible in 2022. He averaged
a miniscule 212.3 ypg through the air with 11 touchdowns against
nine picks. Or… do you need to fade him in every game not at Lambeau
Field? With a new team and new receiving corps, this statistic
might not be relevant. Never mind, not all statistics are relevant.
9)Lamar
Jackson was a better fantasy option on the road than at home.
He threw for 48.3 more yards and more touchdowns (12-5) away from
M&T Bank Stadium.
10) Just don’t draft or start Baker
Mayfield. He wasn’t good at home or on the road. Getting to
throw to Mike Evans
and Chris Godwin
might make him moderately better, but he’s never helped any receiver
be elite, or even top-20. Jarvis
Landry in 2019 (83-1174-6), was the best he’s ever produced,
ranking 21st that season at 12.7 FPts/G.