Oh my, the chaos! The disorder! The mayhem! Six teams on bye and
a quarter of the league’s starting quarterbacks injured.
Multiple running backs sidelined. Wide receivers struggling without
their starting quarterbacks. What’s a fantasy owner to do?
This is why you drafted for depth. This is why you have been
working the waiver wire. If you have been working hard since draft
day, this weekend is your reward.
Byes: Carolina, Cincinnati, Dallas, Houston, New York Jets, Tennessee
“I think your team evolves every year. The more you
know about it, the better you can coach it.” – Bill
1) If you thought your team didn’t score enough, but you
still won, it’s because it was a very low-scoring week.
In fact, at every position except tight end, Week 6 combined
for their lowest weekly total of the season. Even at tight end,
the total was more than 100 points lower than the previous weekend.
Total Fantasy Points by Week
2) Looking further at the chart above, in a league where everything
is built to showcase the passing game, the passing game has become
3) The wide receiver position is suffering because of the lack
of good quarterback play.
Obviously. The league average of wide receiver fantasy points
scored for Week 1-4 was 1,118.5 points. That number has taken
a nose dive in the last two weeks. Wide receiver production dropped
14% in Week 5 and 15.5% in Week 6.
4) The running back position hasnít escaped this growing
Of the top-10 running backs, based on FPts/G, four have suffered
injuries which could keep them off the field for next weekend.
Devon Achane (25.9 FPts/G) and Kyren Williams (18.5) are definitely
going to miss multiple games while Christian McCaffrey (oblique)
and David Montgomery (ribs) are to be determined. Add in top-five
back Zack Moss, now splitting time with the return of Jonathan Taylor in Indianapolis, and fully half the top-10 running backs
are in disarray.
5) Tony Pollard misses Ezekiel Elliott.
Fact. In the past, Elliott was given most of the tough yardage
assignments (short yardage, goal line) leaving Pollard to enjoy
the more explosive plays. Without Zeke, Pollardís rushing average
is down from 5.2 ypc last season to 3.9 ypc this season and his
receiving is down from 9.5 yards per catch to 7.0 yards. Pollard
saw 14.5 touches per game in 2022 and is getting 20.2 chances
in 2023. At that pace (322 touches for 16 games), the question
is whether the team will wear out the 6í0, 209 lb. running back?
Pollard has never been used more than 232 times in any season
Ė college or pros.
“False words are not only evil in themselves, but they infect
the soul with evil.” - Plato
1) Top-10 running back Zack Moss is still a viable top fantasy
Iím leaning toward no. All-Pro Jonathan Taylor doubled
his touches from his first week back (Week 5) to last Sunday (seven-to-13).
Moss went in the opposite direction going from 25-to-13 touches.
The percentages are likely to continue in their current directions.
Both backs were active in the passing game with Moss leading Taylor
in targets 7-6. Both backs have their work cut out for them over
the coming weeks facing Cleveland and New Orleans, who rank 8th
and 2nd, respectively, in fantasy points allowed to opposing running
2) D.J. Moore, who ranks 11th in fantasy points per game (20.0),
Sorry, no. I have no faith in 23-year old Tyson Bagent from the
ďfootball factoryĒ Shepherd Rams. For those who donít
know, thatís a Division II school where he threw for 17,034
yards and a DII record 159 touchdowns. Iím willing to bet,
however, that none of the defenders he played against in college
will be the same as the guys heís got to throw against over
the next few games. Iíd have to say, stay away from the
Bears passing offense until Justin Fields returns.
3) Dameon Pierce is a viable long-term RB1.
False. Pierce, a fourth-round pick in 2022, may be going the
way of James Robinson in Jacksonville and Michael Carter for the
Jets. They each exploded onto the scene as a late-round draft
choice or an UDFA and become a fantasy stud. Then the team went
in a new direction despite the success. Jacksonville drafted Travis Etienne even after Robinson produced 17.9 FPts/G in 2020. The
Jetsí Carter averaged 11.2 FPts/G as a rookie in 2021 and
then they drafted Breece Hall who averaged 16.7 points last season.
The Texans traded for Devin Singletary (free agent in 2024) even
after Pierce averaged 13.1 FPts/G last season. Pierce is averaging
just 2.9 ypc this season. The running back room may be a long-term
weakness and I wouldnít be surprised if the Texans go running
back in round two in the next draft.
4) With all the quarterback issues for Week 7, its possible
Kenny Pickett could become viable option.
Probably not, though the statistics are mixed. Pickett currently
ranks No. 28 among quarterbacks with multiple starts. Even with
the expected return of Diontae Johnson the immediate future looks
to be a struggle for Pickett. The Steelers have no running game
to speak of, Najee Harris and Jaylen Warren have yet to produce.
The offensive line has allowed a 29.4% pressure rate - only Zach Wilson, Geno Smith and Daniel Jones have seen more pressure. The
only good news is the schedule. The Rams and Jaguars have been
very generous over the past three weeks. They rank 31st and 26th,
respectively in quarterback fantasy points allowed other that
5) If you have been stashing Elijah Mitchell all season, now
is your reward.
Nope. First, itís not guaranteed that Christian McCaffrey
wonít play in Week 7. Second, even if the 49ers take the
prudent strategy and make sure CMC is ready for later in the season
and the playoffs, itís not a given that Mitchell is their
first option. Mitchell only saw two carries last week while Jordan Mason rushed five times for 27 yards and a touchdown. Mason also
saw 10 carries for 69 yards and a score in Week 5. Heís
running well. If McCaffrey doesnít play in Week 7, this
is likely a split backfield against a Vikingsí run defense
which ranks fifth against opposing running backs allowing just
15.7 fantasy points per game.
6) The Eagles just signed Julio JonesÖ there is something wrong
with DeVonta Smith.
No, the Eagles signed Jones to a one-year deal for depth and
for a veteran who knows his place is to help the starters, former
teammate A.J. Brown and the struggling Smith. Jones could be a
decent No. 3 receiver taking the place of Quez Watkins and Olamide Zaccheaus. He doesnít have elite speed anymore, but heís
still got good hands, something Watkins doesnít have. After
a strong start in the first two games, Smith has lost his way
just as Brown exploded. Smith has just 17 catches for 156 yards
and zero scores since Week 3 while Brown has produced four consecutive
games with at least 127 receiving yards. Maybe Smith needs to
scream at Jalen Hurts like Brown did after Week 2?