Prediction: Falcons 24, Panthers 20
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today
Player Rankings and Projections
|
| Carolina Panthers |
| Rank |
Player |
Projections |
| QB 4 |
Cam Newton |
Pass: 235, 2 TD Rush: 35, 0 |
| RB 7 |
Jonathan Stewart  |
Rush: 85, 1 TD Rec: 2-15, 0 |
| RB 56 |
Mike Tolbert |
Rush: 15, 0 TD Rec: 1-10, 0 |
| RB 71 |
DeAngelo Williams   |
Rush: 5, 0 TD Rec: 0-0, 0 |
| WR 10 |
Kelvin Benjamin |
Rec: 6-80, 1 TD |
| WR 73 |
Jerricho Cotchery |
Rec: 2-30, 0 TD |
| WR 78 |
Philly Brown |
Rec: 2-25, 0 TD |
| TE 1 |
Greg Olsen |
Rec: 7-70, 1 TD |
| K 17 |
Graham Gano |
FG: 2/2 XP: 2/2 |
| DEF 25 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
|
| Atlanta Falcons |
| Rank |
Player |
Projections |
 QB 9 |
Matt Ryan |
Pass: 280, 2 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
| RB 23 |
Devonta Freeman |
Rush: 45, 0 TD Rec: 3-20, 0 |
| RB 29 |
Jacquizz Rodgers |
Rush: 40, 0 TD Rec: 2-15, 0 |
| WR 5 |
Julio Jones |
Rec: 7-90, 1 TD |
| WR 24 |
Roddy White |
Rec: 5-65, 1 TD |
| WR 53 |
Harry Douglas |
Rec: 4-45, 0 TD |
| WR 95 |
Devin Hester |
Rec: 1-15, 0 TD |
| TE 32 |
Levine Toilolo |
Rec: 2-20, 0 TD |
| K 21 |
Matt Bryant |
FG: 1/1 XP: 3/3 |
| DEF 17 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
Game Notes
WINNER IS NFC SOUTH CHAMPION...  Panthers Have won 11 of past 12 in Dec... QB Cam Newton has won 3 of past 4 starts vs. Atl. In 7 career starts vs. Atl., has 11 pass TDs & 4 rush TDs. Has 3,013 pass yards, his 4th career 3,000-yard season... In past 3, RB Jonathan Stewart has 352 rush yards (117.3 per game) & 2 TDs (1 rush, 1 rec.). Rushed for 2 TDs in 11/15/09 meeting, 1 of 4 games with 2+ rush TDs. RB DeAngelo Williams has scored 50+ yard TD via rush (74 yards) & rec. (53) in career vs. Atl... Among rookies, WR Kelvin Benjamin is 2nd with 999 rec. yards & 3rd with 9 rec. TDs & 72 catches. Had 9 catches for 109 yards & TD in Week 11. TE Greg Olsen has TD in 5 of past 6 meetings. Has TD in 3 of past 4 at Atl. Has career-high 82 catches & 981 yards. Rookie WR Philly Brown had 1st TD catch (47 yards) in last meeting... Since entering NFL in 2012, LB Luke Kuechly leads league with 465 tackles. DE Charles Johnson has 9 sacks in past 7 meetings, incl. 6.5 in past 3 at Atl. Has 7.5 sacks in past 11.
 Falcons QB Matt Ryan has won 5 of past 6 home starts vs. Car. with 105.1 rating (11 TDs, 3 INTs). Has 4,434 pass yards, 4th consecutive 4,000-yard season. Has 4 of 5 4,000-yard seasons in team history. Aims for 5th in row with 300+ pass yards... RB Steven Jackson had 94 scrimmage yards in last home meeting (53 rec., 41 rush). Rookie RB Devonta Freeman had 31-yard TD run last week... WR Julio Jones leads NFC with 100 catches & 1,535 rec. yards. In his past 3, has 28 catches for 555 yards (185 per game) & 2 TDs. WR Roddy White aims for 6th in row vs. Car. with TD (6 TDs in past 5). In past 5 meetings, has 40 catches for 536 yards (107.2 per game) & 6 TDs... CB Desmond Trufant leads team with 15 PD. Aims for 4th meeting in row with INT or FR. Trufant & CB Robert McClain each had INT last week. S Kemal Ishmael had INT in Week 11. Leads team with 4 INTs. LB Paul Worrilow leads team with 136 tackles. Aims for 3rd meeting in row with sack. DE Osi Umenyiora had 86-yard FR-TD last week.
Results and Schedule
| Carolina Panthers |
| Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
| 1 |
2014-09-07 |
TB |
A |
W 20-14 |
+6 |
| 2 |
2014-09-14 |
DET |
H |
W 24-7 |
+17 |
| 3 |
2014-09-21 |
PIT |
H |
L 19-37 |
-18 |
| 4 |
2014-09-28 |
BAL |
A |
L 10-38 |
-28 |
| 5 |
2014-10-05 |
CHI |
H |
W 31-24 |
+7 |
| 6 |
2014-10-12 |
CIN |
A |
T 37-37 |
0 |
| 7 |
2014-10-19 |
GB |
A |
L 17-38 |
-21 |
| 8 |
2014-10-26 |
SEA |
H |
L 9-13 |
-4 |
| 9 |
2014-10-30 |
NO |
H |
L 10-28 |
-18 |
| 10 |
2014-11-10 |
PHI |
A |
L 21-45 |
-24 |
| 11 |
2014-11-16 |
ATL |
H |
L 17-19 |
-2 |
| 12 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
| 13 |
2014-11-30 |
MIN |
A |
L 13-31 |
-18 |
| 14 |
2014-12-07 |
NO |
A |
W 41-10 |
+31 |
| 15 |
2014-12-14 |
TB |
H |
W 19-17 |
+2 |
| 16 |
2014-12-21 |
CLE |
H |
W 17-13 |
+4 |
| 17 |
2014-12-28 |
ATL |
A |
W 34-3 |
+31 |
| WC |
2015-01-03 |
ARI |
H |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Offense Stats Comparison
| |
CAR
Offense |
ATL
Offense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points for |
17.7 |
25.8 |
21.7 |
ATL |
| Rushing yards |
169.3 |
88.8 |
111.9 |
CAR |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
5.06 |
3.73 |
4.21 |
CAR |
| Completion % |
59.7% |
68.6% |
62.5% |
ATL |
| Passing yards |
230.0 |
312.5 |
230.2 |
ATL |
| Passing yards per completion |
10.90 |
11.17 |
10.67 |
ATL |
| Passing yards per attempt |
6.51 |
7.66 |
6.67 |
ATL |
| Interceptions |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
CAR |
| Fumbles lost |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
- |
| Sacks allowed |
2.0 |
1.0 |
2.4 |
ATL |
| 3rd down conversions |
42.5% |
46.4% |
39.0% |
ATL |
| 4th down conversions |
100.0% |
100.0% |
46.3% |
- |
| Time of possession |
36:08 |
30:42 |
30:03 |
CAR |
|
|
|
Defense Stats Comparison
| |
CAR
Defense |
ATL
Defense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points against |
16.3 |
22.0 |
21.7 |
CAR |
| Rushing yards |
90.0 |
92.5 |
111.9 |
CAR |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
4.47 |
4.33 |
4.21 |
ATL |
| Completion % |
59.8% |
64.3% |
62.5% |
CAR |
| Passing yards |
166.0 |
303.8 |
230.2 |
CAR |
| Passing yards per completion |
8.94 |
12.18 |
10.67 |
CAR |
| Passing yards per attempt |
5.34 |
7.83 |
6.67 |
CAR |
| INT return |
0.7 |
1.5 |
0.9 |
ATL |
| Fumble recoveries |
0.7 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
CAR |
| Sacks |
2.7 |
1.3 |
2.4 |
CAR |
| 3rd down conversions |
34.4% |
41.8% |
39.0% |
CAR |
| 4th down conversions |
50.0% |
33.3% |
46.3% |
ATL |
| Time of possession |
23:52 |
29:18 |
30:03 |
CAR |
|
|
Special Teams Stats Comparison
| |
CAR |
ATL |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Yards per punt return |
5.8 |
14.8 |
8.7 |
ATL |
| Yards per kick return |
17.3 |
23.5 |
23.1 |
ATL |
| Yards allowed per punt return |
19.6 |
9.3 |
8.7 |
ATL |
| Yards allowed per kick return |
27.8 |
21.8 |
23.1 |
ATL |
|
|
|
Misc Stats Comparison
| |
CAR |
ATL |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Penalties |
4.3 |
5.3 |
6.5 |
CAR |
| Penalty yards |
36.3 |
46.8 |
54.8 |
CAR |
|
|
Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 11 to 16 of the 2014 season after deducting the best
and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per
pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on
totals through Weeks 11 to 16 with no adjustment.
Weather
Dome Stadium
Team vs. Team History
| Carolina Panthers vs. Atlanta Falcons |
| Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
| 2000 |
3 |
2000-09-17 |
ATL |
CAR |
15-10 |
ATL |
| 2000 |
9 |
2000-10-29 |
CAR |
ATL |
12-13 |
ATL |
| 2001 |
2 |
2001-09-23 |
CAR |
ATL |
16-24 |
ATL |
| 2001 |
11 |
2001-11-25 |
ATL |
CAR |
10-7 |
ATL |
| 2002 |
7 |
2002-10-20 |
CAR |
ATL |
0-30 |
ATL |
| 2002 |
12 |
2002-11-24 |
ATL |
CAR |
41-0 |
ATL |
| 2003 |
4 |
2003-09-28 |
ATL |
CAR |
3-23 |
CAR |
| 2003 |
14 |
2003-12-07 |
CAR |
ATL |
14-20 |
ATL |
| 2004 |
4 |
2004-10-03 |
ATL |
CAR |
27-10 |
ATL |
| 2004 |
15 |
2004-12-18 |
CAR |
ATL |
31-34 |
ATL |
| 2005 |
13 |
2005-12-04 |
ATL |
CAR |
6-24 |
CAR |
| 2005 |
17 |
2006-01-01 |
CAR |
ATL |
44-11 |
CAR |
| 2006 |
1 |
2006-09-10 |
ATL |
CAR |
20-6 |
ATL |
| 2006 |
16 |
2006-12-24 |
CAR |
ATL |
10-3 |
CAR |
| 2007 |
3 |
2007-09-23 |
CAR |
ATL |
27-20 |
CAR |
| 2007 |
10 |
2007-11-11 |
ATL |
CAR |
20-13 |
ATL |
| 2008 |
4 |
2008-09-28 |
ATL |
CAR |
9-24 |
CAR |
| 2008 |
12 |
2008-11-23 |
CAR |
ATL |
28-45 |
ATL |
| 2009 |
2 |
2009-09-20 |
CAR |
ATL |
20-28 |
ATL |
| 2009 |
10 |
2009-11-15 |
ATL |
CAR |
19-28 |
CAR |
| 2010 |
14 |
2010-12-12 |
ATL |
CAR |
31-10 |
ATL |
| 2010 |
17 |
2011-01-02 |
CAR |
ATL |
10-31 |
ATL |
| 2011 |
6 |
2011-10-16 |
CAR |
ATL |
17-31 |
ATL |
| 2011 |
14 |
2011-12-11 |
ATL |
CAR |
31-23 |
ATL |
| 2012 |
4 |
2012-09-30 |
CAR |
ATL |
28-30 |
ATL |
| 2012 |
14 |
2012-12-09 |
ATL |
CAR |
20-30 |
CAR |
| 2013 |
9 |
2013-11-03 |
ATL |
CAR |
10-34 |
CAR |
| 2013 |
17 |
2013-12-29 |
CAR |
ATL |
21-20 |
CAR |
| 2014 |
11 |
2014-11-16 |
ATL |
CAR |
19-17 |
ATL |
|
Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.
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