Prediction: Saints 27, Buccaneers 17
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today
Player Rankings and Projections
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New Orleans Saints |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 5 |
Drew Brees |
Pass: 295, 2 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
RB 12 |
Mark Ingram |
Rush: 75, 1 TD Rec: 2-15, 0 |
RB 52 |
Khiry Robinson |
Rush: 15, 0 TD Rec: 1-10, 0 |
WR 31 |
Marques Colston |
Rec: 5-60, 1 TD |
WR 34 |
Kenny Stills |
Rec: 5-70, 0 TD |
WR 62 |
Nick Toon |
Rec: 2-35, 0 TD |
TE 2 |
Jimmy Graham |
Rec: 6-65, 1 TD |
TE 39 |
Ben Watson |
Rec: 1-10, 0 TD |
K 11 |
Shayne Graham |
FG: 2/2 XP: 3/3 |
DEF 13 |
Defense / ST |
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Game Notes
Saints QB Drew Brees has won 6 in row vs. TB with 103.3 rating. Aims for 6th meeting in row with 300+ pass yards. Has 4,671 yards, his NFL-record 9th consecutive 4,000-yard season. Since joining NO in 2006, leads NFL with 43,404 yards & 315 TDs... RB Mark Ingram has 907 yards and needs 93 for 1st career 1,000-yard season. RB Pierre Thomas had rush & rec. TD in Week 5. Has 3 TDs in past 2 meetings. RB Khiry Robinson had 89 rush yards & TD in Week 5... In past 2 at TB, TE Jimmy Graham has 17 catches for 303 yards (151.5 per game) & TD. Since 2011, leads NFL TEs with 349 catches, 4,342 yards & 46 TDs. WR Marques Colston has 50+ yards in 11 consecutive meetings. Saints have 3 players with 800+ rec. yards: Colston (851), WR Kenny Stills (849) & Graham (835)... LB Junior Galette has 3 sacks & safety in past 2 vs. TB. Has 15 sacks in past 19. DE Cameron Jordan aims for 3rd in row at TB with sack & FF. LB Curtis Lofton leads team with 135 tackles. CB Keenan Lewis has 12 PD, most on club.
Buccaneers QB Josh McCown won only start vs. NO (10/3/04 with Az.)... In 2 home meetings, RB Doug Martin has rushed for 229 yards (114.5 per game) & TD... WR Mike Evans ties for NFL rookie lead with 11 rec. TDs. Needs 1 rec. TD for most in season by Buccaneer. Has 9 TDs in past 8. Ranks 3rd among rookies with 997 rec. yards & needs 3 yards to reach 1,000. WR Vincent Jackson had 8 catches for 144 yards in Week 5. In past 2 at home vs. NO, has 12 catches for 293 yards (146.5 per game) & TD... Since 2013, LB Lavonte David is 1 of 2 in NFL with 250+ tackles (285), 5+ sacks (8) & 5+ INTs (5). Leads team with 141 tackles. Has led Buccaneers in tackles in all 3 NFL seasons. Had 1.5 sacks in last home meeting. LB Danny Lansanah had 33-yard INT-TD in Week 5. CB Johnthan Banks had INT in last meeting. DE JACQUIES SMITH has 5.5 sacks in past 6. CB Alterraun Verner had INT in last game vs. NO. LB Mason Foster had 85-yard INT-TD in last home game vs. NO.
Offense Stats Comparison
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NO Offense |
TB Offense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points for |
20.5 |
15.0 |
21.7 |
NO |
Rushing yards |
94.0 |
53.8 |
111.9 |
NO |
Rushing yards per attempt |
4.30 |
3.21 |
4.21 |
NO |
Completion % |
71.4% |
51.8% |
62.5% |
NO |
Passing yards |
284.0 |
203.0 |
230.2 |
NO |
Passing yards per completion |
10.02 |
12.06 |
10.67 |
TB |
Passing yards per attempt |
7.16 |
6.25 |
6.67 |
NO |
Interceptions |
0.5 |
1.3 |
0.9 |
NO |
Fumbles lost |
0.8 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
NO |
Sacks allowed |
2.3 |
4.0 |
2.4 |
NO |
3rd down conversions |
44.6% |
32.1% |
39.0% |
NO |
4th down conversions |
33.3% |
25.0% |
46.3% |
NO |
Time of possession |
28:29 |
25:10 |
30:03 |
NO |
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Defense Stats Comparison
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NO Defense |
TB Defense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points against |
30.8 |
18.5 |
21.7 |
TB |
Rushing yards |
157.3 |
116.8 |
111.9 |
TB |
Rushing yards per attempt |
5.67 |
3.99 |
4.21 |
TB |
Completion % |
64.4% |
70.6% |
62.5% |
NO |
Passing yards |
250.3 |
226.5 |
230.2 |
TB |
Passing yards per completion |
11.86 |
9.35 |
10.67 |
TB |
Passing yards per attempt |
7.64 |
6.61 |
6.67 |
TB |
INT return |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
- |
Fumble recoveries |
0.0 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
TB |
Sacks |
0.8 |
3.0 |
2.4 |
TB |
3rd down conversions |
48.8% |
38.3% |
39.0% |
TB |
4th down conversions |
0.0% |
25.0% |
46.3% |
NO |
Time of possession |
31:16 |
34:51 |
30:03 |
NO |
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Special Teams Stats Comparison
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NO |
TB |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Yards per punt return |
11.1 |
4.7 |
8.7 |
NO |
Yards per kick return |
30.4 |
17.3 |
23.1 |
NO |
Yards allowed per punt return |
3.3 |
2.4 |
8.7 |
TB |
Yards allowed per kick return |
28.3 |
21.4 |
23.1 |
TB |
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Misc Stats Comparison
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NO |
TB |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Penalties |
4.3 |
7.3 |
6.5 |
NO |
Penalty yards |
34.8 |
65.3 |
54.8 |
NO |
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Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 11 to 16 of the 2014 season after deducting the best
and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per
pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on
totals through Weeks 11 to 16 with no adjustment.
Weather
Team vs. Team History
New Orleans Saints vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
2001 |
15 |
2001-12-23 |
NO |
TB |
21-48 |
TB |
2002 |
1 |
2002-09-08 |
NO |
TB |
26-20 |
NO |
2002 |
13 |
2002-12-01 |
TB |
NO |
20-23 |
NO |
2003 |
9 |
2003-11-02 |
NO |
TB |
17-14 |
NO |
2003 |
14 |
2003-12-07 |
TB |
NO |
14-7 |
TB |
2004 |
5 |
2004-10-10 |
TB |
NO |
20-17 |
TB |
2004 |
15 |
2004-12-18 |
NO |
TB |
21-17 |
NO |
2005 |
13 |
2005-12-04 |
TB |
NO |
10-3 |
TB |
2005 |
17 |
2006-01-01 |
NO |
TB |
13-27 |
TB |
2006 |
5 |
2006-10-08 |
TB |
NO |
21-24 |
NO |
2006 |
9 |
2006-11-05 |
NO |
TB |
31-14 |
NO |
2007 |
2 |
2007-09-16 |
NO |
TB |
14-31 |
TB |
2007 |
13 |
2007-12-02 |
TB |
NO |
27-23 |
TB |
2008 |
1 |
2008-09-07 |
TB |
NO |
20-24 |
NO |
2008 |
13 |
2008-11-30 |
NO |
TB |
20-23 |
TB |
2009 |
11 |
2009-11-22 |
NO |
TB |
38-7 |
NO |
2009 |
16 |
2009-12-27 |
TB |
NO |
20-17 |
TB |
2010 |
6 |
2010-10-17 |
NO |
TB |
31-6 |
NO |
2010 |
17 |
2011-01-02 |
TB |
NO |
23-13 |
TB |
2011 |
6 |
2011-10-16 |
NO |
TB |
20-26 |
TB |
2011 |
9 |
2011-11-06 |
TB |
NO |
16-27 |
NO |
2012 |
7 |
2012-10-21 |
NO |
TB |
35-28 |
NO |
2012 |
15 |
2012-12-16 |
TB |
NO |
0-41 |
NO |
2013 |
2 |
2013-09-15 |
NO |
TB |
16-14 |
NO |
2013 |
17 |
2013-12-29 |
TB |
NO |
17-42 |
NO |
2014 |
5 |
2014-10-05 |
TB |
NO |
31-37 |
NO |
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Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.
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