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 Rankings/Projections > Dynasty Rankings  
Updated: 2/19/2023
Mike Krueger | Archive | Email |

My off-season PPR dynasty rankings gaze into the future with a two-year emphasis. As the season begins, a more narrow approach to the rankings will occur as we try to win a championship. Positional dynamics play an important factor. We know that running backs tend to have shorter careers while top flight quarterbacks can stick in the league for 10-plus seasons.

Other considerations include age, contract situation, durability, consistency, supporting cast and more.

Upside = Upside   Risk = Risk
Chg Rank Player Tm Age
  1 Josh Allen BUF 26
  2 Patrick Mahomes KC 27
  3 Jalen Hurts PHI 24
Tier 2
  4 Lamar Jackson BAL 26
  5 Joe Burrow CIN 26
  6 Justin Herbert LAC 25
  7 Trevor Lawrence JAC 23
  8 Justin Fields CHI 24
Tier 3
  9 Dak Prescott DAL 29
  10 Tua Tagovailoa MIA 25
  11 Deshaun Watson CLE 27
  12 Kyler Murray ARI 25
  13 Daniel Jones NYG 25
  14 Trey Lance SF 22
Tier 4
  15 Russell Wilson DEN 34
  16 Kirk Cousins MIN 34
  17 Derek Carr LV 32
  18 Kenny Pickett PIT 24
  19 Geno Smith SEA 32
  20 Jordan Love GB 24
  21 Jared Goff DET 28
  22 Aaron Rodgers GB 39
  23 Matthew Stafford LAR 35
Tier 5
  24 Desmond Ridder ATL 23
  25 Sam Howell WAS 22
  26 Jimmy Garoppolo SF 31
  27 Sam Darnold CAR 25
  28 Mike White NYJ 28
  29 Mac Jones NE 24
  30 Brock Purdy SF 23
  31 Davis Mills HOU 24
  32 Jarrett Stidham LV 26
Tier 6
  33 Andy Dalton NO 35
  34 Ryan Tannehill TEN 34
  35 Carson Wentz WAS 30
  36 Colt McCoy ARI 36
  37 Matt Ryan IND 37
  38 Baker Mayfield LAR 27
  39 Teddy Bridgewater MIA 30
  40 Jameis Winston NO 29
Tier 7
41 Tom Brady TB 45
  42 Zach Wilson NYJ 23
  43 Gardner Minshew PHI 26
  44 Jacoby Brissett CLE 30
  45 Cooper Rush DAL 29
  46 Skylar Thompson MIA 25
  47 Kyle Trask TB 25
  48 Malik Willis TEN 23
  49 Taylor Heinicke WAS 30
  50 Marcus Mariota ATL 29
  51 Tyler Huntley BAL 25
  52 Bailey Zappe NE 23
  53 Sam Ehlinger IND 24
  54 Matt Corral CAR 24
  Josh Allen, BUF: A top 5 fantasy QB each of the last three seasons.

  Patrick Mahomes, KC: Two 5000-yard, 40-TD seasons.

  Jalen Hurts, PHI: Back-to-back double-digit rushing TDs seasons.

  Lamar Jackson, BAL: Will Lamar be back in BAL?

  Joe Burrow, CIN: Weapons keep Burrow in the top 10.

  Justin Herbert, LAC: Early rib injury derailed his 2022 season. Could use a deep threat.

  Trevor Lawrence, JAC: Add Ridley to the mix in 2023.

  Justin Fields, CHI: Has yet to become and adequate NFL thrower. Bears have No.1 overall pick.

  Dak Prescott, DAL: Maintaining low-end QB1 value when healthy.

  Tua Tagovailoa, MIA: Concussions cloud his long-term outlook.

  Deshaun Watson, CLE: Limited action in 2022 was underwhelming.

  Kyler Murray, ARI: ACL injury suffered 12/12/22.

  Daniel Jones, NYG: Coaching competence, rushing ability allowed Danny Dimes to grab high-end QB2 value.

  Trey Lance, SF: Broken ankle in September. Will he start in 2023?

  Russell Wilson, DEN: Disastrous 2022 will keep his stock low.

  Kirk Cousins, MIN: Consistent 4000-yard passer. Has Elite outside weapon.

  Derek Carr, LV: Leaving Las Vegas.

  Kenny Pickett, PIT: Needs improvement. Never threw more than 1 TD pass in any game last season.

  Geno Smith, SEA: Impressive career rebound in 2022.

  Jordan Love, GB: Could be Packers' starter in 2023.

  Jared Goff, DET: Pocket passer with low-rushing upside keeps him at mid-range QB2 value.

  Aaron Rodgers, GB: Likely out of Green Bay.

  Matthew Stafford, LAR: Despite health concerns, should be the Rams starter in 2023.

  Desmond Ridder, ATL: Got four games of work to close out 2022. Atlanta has the 8th pick in the draft.

  Sam Howell, WAS: QB competition with Wentz during camp?

  Jimmy Garoppolo, SF: May start in 2023, but may not be in SF.

  Mac Jones, NE: Offensive philosophy isn't going to allow Mac to shine.

  Brock Purdy, SF: 49ers have decisions make at QB.

  Davis Mills, HOU: Not the answer as a starting QB.

  Jarrett Stidham, LV: Got two starts to close out 2022. Does have rushing ability.

  Carson Wentz, WAS: QB competition with Howell during camp?

  Jameis Winston, NO: Back and perhaps other issues are keeping Winston from seeing the field.

Tom Brady, TB: Says he's retired.

  Zach Wilson, NYJ: On the way out of New York?

  Malik Willis, TEN: Didn't impress in 2022. Lost job late-season to Joshua Dobbs.