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 Rankings/Projections > Dynasty Rankings  
Updated: 5/6/19
Doug Orth | Archive | Email |

Free agency has passed and the NFL Draft is in the rear view mirror as well, which means rosters - at least for fantasy purposes - are pretty much set.

My offseason view on dynasty rankings is significantly different than it is during the season. For starters, my main focus in the offseason is loading up on as much proven young talent as possible. During the season, I am more concerned about what I already have on my roster and making the subtle moves necessary in order to secure a championship.

In short, potential takes on a much more significant part of dynasty rankings in the offseason than usual. Free agency reshuffles the deck every year and can allow a second-string player to emerge as the more established veteran either chases a bigger paycheck, a Super Bowl ring or both. The draft introduces a number of new variables into the fantasy equation but can also knock a few of the veterans near the bottom of the rankings off the charts completely.

Based on the turnover rate in the NFL each year (roughly 25 percent), it seems foolish to assign much weight to anything more than three years at any position simply because the odds suggest that three-fourths of the players in these rankings will be insignificant at the end of the 2021 season.

Here are the main criteria I have chosen to take into consideration while ranking quarterbacks:

Considerations for QB
  • Talent
  • Four years of solid (or better) production remaining
  • Age
  • Age/skill of supporting cast
  • Durability
  • Proven consistency
  • Coaching/scheme stability/situation
These rankings are for PPR leagues, where each touchdown is worth six points. I will release my next set of rankings before the start of the 2019 regular season. Players with an up arrow are those that moved up eight or more spots from my previous set of rankings. Likewise, a down arrow represents a drop of eight or more spots.
Upside = Upside   Risk = Risk
Chg Rank Player Tm Age
  1 Patrick Mahomes KC 23
  2 Deshaun Watson HOU 23
  3 Andrew Luck IND 29
  4 Aaron Rodgers GB 35
  5 Baker Mayfield CLE 24
  6 Russell Wilson SEA 30
Tier 2
  7 Carson Wentz PHI 26
  8 Cam Newton CAR 30
9 Kyler Murray ARI 21
  10 Lamar Jackson BAL 22
  11 Sam Darnold NYJ 22
  12 Jared Goff LAR 24
  13 Jameis Winston TB 25
Tier 3
  14 Kirk Cousins MIN 30
  15 Dak Prescott DAL 25
  16 Philip Rivers LAC 37
  17 Matt Ryan ATL 34
  18 Drew Brees NO 40
  19 Josh Allen BUF 23
  20 Derek Carr OAK 28
  21 Ben Roethlisberger PIT 37
  22 Tom Brady NE 41
  23 Mitchell Trubisky CHI 24
Tier 4
  24 Marcus Mariota TEN 25
  25 Jimmy Garoppolo SF 27
26 Dwayne Haskins WAS 22
  27 Matthew Stafford DET 31
  28 Andy Dalton CIN 31
Tier 5
  29 Josh Rosen MIA 22
30 Drew Lock DEN 23
31 Daniel Jones NYG 22
  32 Nick Foles JAC 30
  33 Joe Flacco DEN 34
  34 Eli Manning NYG 38
Tier 6
  35 Ryan Fitzpatrick MIA 36
  36 Ryan Tannehill TEN 30
37 Ryan Finley CIN 24
  38 Teddy Bridgewater NO 26
  39 Jacoby Brissett IND 26
40 Will Grier CAR 24
  Patrick Mahomes, KC: Expected loss of Tyreek Hill lowers ceiling to the point he could fall from top spot in 2019.

  Russell Wilson, SEA: Influx of rookie WRs does not fully relieve the sting of Doug Baldwin's likely retirement.

Kyler Murray, ARI: Obvious great fit in Air Raid, but what happens if Kliff Kingsbury is done in 2-3 years?

  Lamar Jackson, BAL: Public has gone too far on inaccuracy issues; upgrading receiving talent can only help.

  Josh Allen, BUF: Eight rushing TDs overshadowed 10:12 TD/INT ratio and 52.8 completion percentage; will upgraded supporting cast help?

  Derek Carr, OAK: Additions of Antonio Brown/Tyrell Williams/Hunter Renfrow may be single biggest facelift among QBs this season.

  Marcus Mariota, TEN: Above-average supporting cast; can new OC build a scheme around former No. 2 overall pick's vast talent?

Dwayne Haskins, WAS: Should have clear path to starting job, but supporting cast still needs help.

Doug Orth has written for FF Today since 2006 and been featured in USA Today’s Fantasy Football Preview magazine since 2010. He hosted USA Today’s hour-long, pre-kickoff fantasy football internet chat every Sunday in 2012-13 and appears as a guest analyst on a number of national sports radio shows, including Sirius XM’s “Fantasy Drive”. Doug is also a member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association.