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 Rankings/Projections > Dynasty Rankings  
Updated: 5/13/2021
Doug Orth | Archive | Email |


Free agency has passed and the NFL Draft is in the rear view mirror as well, which means rosters - at least for fantasy purposes - are pretty much set.

My offseason view on dynasty rankings is significantly different than it is during the season. For starters, my main focus in the offseason is loading up on as much proven young talent as possible. During the season, I am more concerned about what I already have on my roster and making the subtle moves necessary in order to secure a championship.

In short, potential takes on a much more significant part of dynasty rankings in the offseason than usual. Based on the turnover rate in the NFL each year (roughly 25 percent), it seems foolish to assign much weight to anything more than three years at any position simply because the odds suggest that 60-70 percent of the players in these rankings will be insignificant at the end of the 2023 season.

Here are the main criteria I have chosen to take into consideration while ranking quarterbacks:

Considerations for QB
  • Talent
  • Four years of solid (or better) production remaining
  • Age
  • Age/skill of supporting cast
  • Durability
  • Proven consistency
  • Coaching/scheme stability/situation
These rankings are for PPR leagues. I will release my next set of rankings before the start of the 2021 regular season. Players with an up arrow are those that moved up eight or more spots from my previous set of rankings in March. Likewise, a down arrow represents a drop of eight or more spots.
 
Upside = Upside   Risk = Risk
QUARTERBACKS
Chg Rank Player Tm Age
  1 Patrick Mahomes KC 26
  2 Kyler Murray ARI 24
  3 Josh Allen BUF 25
  4 Lamar Jackson BAL 24
  5 Dak Prescott DAL 28
6 Trevor Lawrence JAC 22
  7 Justin Herbert LAC 23
  8 Deshaun Watson HOU 26
  9 Joe Burrow CIN 24
Tier 2
  10 Russell Wilson SEA 33
  11 Aaron Rodgers GB 37
12 Trey Lance SF 21
13 Justin Fields CHI 22
  14 Matthew Stafford LAR 33
  15 Ryan Tannehill TEN 33
  16 Matt Ryan ATL 36
Tier 3
  17 Jalen Hurts PHI 23
  18 Tua Tagovailoa MIA 23
19 Zach Wilson NYJ 22
  20 Kirk Cousins MIN 33
  21 Carson Wentz IND 28
  22 Tom Brady TB 44
Tier 4
23 Mac Jones NE 23
24 Baker Mayfield CLE 26
  25 Sam Darnold CAR 24
  26 Daniel Jones NYG 24
27 Derek Carr LV 30
Tier 5
  28 Jared Goff DET 27
  29 Jameis Winston NO 27
  30 Jordan Love GB 23
  31 Jimmy Garoppolo SF 30
  32 Drew Lock DEN 25
Tier 6
  33 Ben Roethlisberger PIT 39
  34 Cam Newton NE 32
35 Davis Mills HOU 23
36 Kellen Mond MIN 22
  37 Andy Dalton CHI 34
  38 Taysom Hill NO 31
39 Ryan Fitzpatrick WAS 39
  40 Teddy Bridgewater DEN 29
 
COMMENTS
  Lamar Jackson, BAL: Coaching staff issuing assurances of more balanced attack in 2021 and beyond.

  Deshaun Watson, HOU: Buy low if possible, but do so with the understanding he may not see the field in 2021.

  Joe Burrow, CIN: Underrated running ability, pinpoint accuracy and trio of stud WRs secured for the long-term.

  Matthew Stafford, LAR: May have the best combination of a supporting cast and play-calling in his career in 2021.

  Ryan Tannehill, TEN: Continued success not a given following departure of OC, Corey Davis and Jonnu Smith.

  Matt Ryan, ATL: Hard to think of a more talented trio of pass-catchers on one team right now.

  Sam Darnold, CAR: Hard to ignore how much better his situation is now than at any time since he became a pro.

  Daniel Jones, NYG: Has all of the weapons he could ask for at his disposal now.


Doug Orth has written for FF Today since 2006 and been featured in USA TODAY's Fantasy Football Preview magazine since 2010. He is also a high-stakes player who often appears as a guest analyst on a number of national sports radio shows, such as Sirius XM's 'Fantasy Drive.' Doug is also a member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association.