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 Rankings/Projections > Dynasty Rankings  
Updated: 5/7/2020
Doug Orth | Archive | Email |




My offseason view on dynasty rankings is significantly different than it is during the season. For starters, my main focus in the offseason is loading up on as much proven young talent as possible. During the season, I am more concerned about what I already have on my roster and making the subtle moves necessary in order to secure a championship.

In short, potential takes on a much more significant part of dynasty rankings in the offseason than usual. Free agency reshuffles the deck every year and can allow a second-string player to emerge as the more established veteran either chases a bigger paycheck, a Super Bowl ring or both. The draft introduces a number of new variables into the fantasy equation but can also knock a few of the veterans near the bottom of the rankings off the charts completely.

Based on the turnover rate in the NFL each year (roughly 25 percent), it seems foolish to assign much weight to anything more than three years at any position simply because the odds suggest that three-fourths of the players in these rankings will be insignificant at the end of the 2022 season.

Here are the main criteria I have chosen to take into consideration while ranking quarterbacks:

Considerations for QB
  • Talent
  • Four years of solid (or better) production remaining
  • Age
  • Age/skill of supporting cast
  • Durability
  • Proven consistency
  • Coaching/scheme stability/situation
These rankings are for PPR leagues, where each touchdown is worth six points. I will release my next set of rankings in early August.
 
Upside = Upside   Risk = Risk
QUARTERBACKS
Chg Rank Player Tm Age
  1 Patrick Mahomes KC 24
  2 Lamar Jackson BAL 23
  3 Kyler Murray ARI 22
  4 Dak Prescott DAL 26
Tier 2
  5 Deshaun Watson HOU 24
  6 Russell Wilson SEA 31
  7 Carson Wentz PHI 27
  8 Joe Burrow CIN 23
Tier 3
  9 Aaron Rodgers GB 36
  10 Matt Ryan ATL 35
  11 Daniel Jones NYG 23
  12 Josh Allen BUF 24
  13 Baker Mayfield CLE 25
  14 Matthew Stafford DET 32
Tier 4
  15 Tua Tagovailoa MIA 22
  16 Drew Lock DEN 24
  17 Jared Goff LAR 25
  18 Justin Herbert LAC 22
  19 Sam Darnold NYJ 23
Tier 5
  20 Ryan Tannehill TEN 31
  21 Tom Brady TB 42
  22 Kirk Cousins MIN 31
  23 Jimmy Garoppolo SF 28
  24 Ben Roethlisberger PIT 38
  25 Derek Carr LV 29
  26 Teddy Bridgewater CAR 27
  27 Drew Brees NO 41
Tier 6
  28 Dwayne Haskins WAS 23
  29 Gardner Minshew JAC 24
  30 Jarrett Stidham NE 23
  31 Jordan Love GB 21
Tier 7
  32 Philip Rivers IND 38
  33 Taysom Hill NO 29
  34 Tyrod Taylor LAC 30
  35 Mitchell Trubisky CHI 25
  36 Andy Dalton DAL 32
  37 Jameis Winston NO 26
  38 Jalen Hurts PHI 21
  39 Cam Newton FA 31
  40 Nick Foles CHI 31
 
COMMENTS
  Deshaun Watson, HOU: Loss of DeAndre Hopkins is a gut punch, but dual-threat ability should keep him very relevant.

  Joe Burrow, CIN: Underrated running ability could help him make a push for low-end QB1 status as a rookie.

  Baker Mayfield, CLE: With o-line fortified and playmakers healthy, former No. 1 pick should rebound in a big way.

  Drew Lock, DEN: Extremely young but extremely talented supporting cast at his disposal.

  Ryan Tannehill, TEN: Unlikely to maintain last season's incredible efficiency.

  Jalen Hurts, PHI: Taysom Hill 2019 or Lamar Jackson 2018 role? Bet on the latter.


Doug Orth has written for FF Today since 2006 and been featured in USA Today’s Fantasy Football Preview magazine since 2010. He hosted USA Today’s hour-long, pre-kickoff fantasy football internet chat every Sunday in 2012-13 and appears as a guest analyst on a number of national sports radio shows, including Sirius XM’s “Fantasy Drive”. Doug is also a member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association.