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 Rankings/Projections > Dynasty Rankings  
Updated: 3/2/2020
Doug Orth | Archive | Email |

My offseason view on dynasty rankings is significantly different than it is during the season. For starters, my main focus in the offseason is loading up on as much proven young talent as possible. During the season, I am more concerned about what I already have on my roster and making the subtle moves necessary in order to secure a championship.

In short, potential takes on a much more significant part of dynasty rankings in the offseason than usual. Free agency reshuffles the deck every year and can allow a second-string player to emerge as the more established veteran either chases a bigger paycheck, a Super Bowl ring or both. The draft introduces a number of new variables into the fantasy equation but can also knock a few of the veterans near the bottom of the rankings off the charts completely.

Based on the turnover rate in the NFL each year (roughly 25 percent), it seems foolish to assign much weight to anything more than three years at any position simply because the odds suggest that three-fourths of the players in these rankings will be insignificant at the end of the 2022 season.

Here are the main criteria I have chosen to take into consideration while ranking quarterbacks:

Considerations for QB
  • Talent
  • Four years of solid (or better) production remaining
  • Age
  • Age/skill of supporting cast
  • Durability
  • Proven consistency
  • Coaching/scheme stability/situation
These rankings are for PPR leagues, where each touchdown is worth six points. I will release my next set of rankings after the NFL Draft.
Upside = Upside   Risk = Risk
Chg Rank Player Tm Age
  1 Patrick Mahomes KC 24
  2 Lamar Jackson BAL 23
  3 Deshaun Watson HOU 24
  4 Kyler Murray ARI 22
  5 Russell Wilson SEA 31
Tier 2
  6 Carson Wentz PHI 27
  7 Aaron Rodgers GB 36
  8 Dak Prescott DAL 26
  9 Josh Allen BUF 23
  10 Baker Mayfield CLE 24
  11 Matthew Stafford DET 32
  12 Matt Ryan ATL 34
Tier 3
  13 Daniel Jones NYG 22
  14 Sam Darnold NYJ 22
  15 Jameis Winston FA 26
  16 Jared Goff LAR 25
  17 Cam Newton CAR 30
  18 Kirk Cousins MIN 31
Tier 4
  19 Ryan Tannehill FA 31
  20 Jimmy Garoppolo SF 28
  21 Philip Rivers FA 38
  22 Ben Roethlisberger PIT 38
  23 Drew Brees FA 41
Tier 5
  24 Derek Carr LV 29
  25 Drew Lock DEN 24
  26 Andy Dalton CIN 32
  27 Gardner Minshew JAC 23
  28 Dwayne Haskins WAS 22
  29 Tom Brady FA 42
  30 Jacoby Brissett IND 27
Tier 6
  31 Tyrod Taylor LAC 30
  32 Mitchell Trubisky CHI 25
  33 Marcus Mariota FA 26
  34 Taysom Hill NO 29
  35 Teddy Bridgewater FA 27
Tier 7
  36 Jarrett Stidham NE 23
  37 Ryan Fitzpatrick MIA 37
  38 Nick Foles JAC 31
  39 Joe Flacco DEN 35
  40 Josh Rosen MIA 23
  Carson Wentz, PHI: Scary injury history, but he managed to stay relevant in 2019 despite a myriad of injuries to supporting cast.

  Cam Newton, CAR: Total crapshoot if Newton can get fully healthy and/or recapture old form.

  Ben Roethlisberger, PIT: Age combined with elbow surgery makes him risky to bet on for more than two seasons.

  Taysom Hill, NO: Appears ready to handle larger wild-card role in 2020 before taking over starting QB job in 2021.

Doug Orth has written for FF Today since 2006 and been featured in USA Today’s Fantasy Football Preview magazine since 2010. He hosted USA Today’s hour-long, pre-kickoff fantasy football internet chat every Sunday in 2012-13 and appears as a guest analyst on a number of national sports radio shows, including Sirius XM’s “Fantasy Drive”. Doug is also a member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association.