construction came fairly easy for me this week. The Buccaneers /
Falcons game sporting two weak defenses along with its high over/under
(57.5) offered an easy game to target. We had a relatively easy
call at quarterback along with Todd Gurley who is still underpriced
for his production. Fitting in the right wide receivers and how
to handle the late-breaking news on Dalvin Cook and the Redskins
receivers were keys to the week.
Here’s a look at my cash game Lineup for Fanduel in Week
Matt Ryan ($8300) and Jameis Winston ($7400) were obvious considerations
given the positive game environment. I briefly thought about Cam Newton ($8400) facing a Redskins defense that just got torched
by Drew Brees but there really wasnít any reason to move
away from Winston facing a depleted Falcons defense that had already
given up 300-yard passing days to Newton, Brees, and Andy Dalton.
Even with Winston making his first start of the season, he was
a layup for cash games at his price. I did slightly prefer Ryan,
and wouldíve moved up to him if I could find the extra $900
but I wasnít going to sacrifice other spots on my roster
to do so.
Given the injury situation across the league we had a lot of
options at the running back position. I saw some other DFS analysts
grumbling about this, but having a plethora of viable options
at a position can lead weaker DFS players to make mistakes, which
helps everyone whoís paying close attention. Yes, the right
plays may not be as obvious but the more decisions that need to
be made, the more experienced and well-informed DFS players should
benefit in the long run.
The one easy decision this week was Toddy Gurley. The more difficult
decisions came at the other two running back spots, assuming you
were going to use three running backs on your roster. At the high
end, Melvin Gordon ($8800) was my top non-Gurley play with Christian
($8400) McCaffrey and James Conner ($8200) under consideration.
We had plethora of good options in the mid-range including Joe Mixon ($7500) who was back to assuming his bellcow role facing
a porous Steelers defense in a home game with a total hovering
around 50. T.J. Yeldon ($7100) was projected to see the bulk of
running back touches in Jacksonville with Leonard Fournette ruled
out, but he was slightly less appealing given the JAC/DAL game
environment, especially since we had Tevin Coleman ($6300) as
an option who typically sees around 17-20 touches when Devonta Freeman is on the shelf.
Once Isaiah Crowell was good to go, that removed Bilal Powell
($5800) from cash game consideration, but we did get some value
open up at the low-end when Dalvin Cook was ruled out. I messed
around with some Latavius Murray ($5600) lineups, who was in a
good TD-expected spot, but didnít land on anything I was
comfortable with. Coleman was the weakest RB in my lineup but
the $700 savings from Coleman to Murray didnít allow me
enough money to get up to Gordon. In the end I stuck with my original
RB group as I didnít feel comfortable blowing up my roster
late Sunday morning.
We all know that itís been awhile since Julio Jones ($8500)
has scored a touchdown. However, you couldnít ignore Julioís
history against the Bucs including his 12-253-2 blowup game last
season at home against this same defense. While the TD-expectation
was increased but shaky, it was difficult to see him getting less
than 10 targets in this game and with the with upside being huge,
I was happy to have him over other solid high-priced options like
Adam Thielen ($8600) and DeAndre Hopkins ($9000). Julio was 70%
percent owned in most double-ups.
Tyler Boyd ($6300) was a strong play given A.J. Green would be
shadowed by Joe Haden who heís had some struggles with in
the past and Boyd has carved out a solid role in this offense.
He felt safer than other options in the mid-range like Calvin Ridley ($6700) who I liked quite a bit but didnít want two
Falcons receivers in my cash lineup, and John Brown ($6300) but
I preferred the better game environment for Boyd over Joe Flaccoís
My ďdefenses and matchups donít matterĒ pick
of the week was Emmanuel Sanders. We had a lot of good options
in the mid-range at wide receiver and I was definitely out on
a limb with Sanders who was 1-3 percent owned in the double-ups
I participated in. Robert Woods ($7300) and Jarvis Landry ($6900)
were strong considerations along with Chester Rogers ($5700) at
the low-end who has seen 11 targets from Andrew Luck in each of
last two games. I had a 2v2 debate here with Woods and Rogers
vs. Sanders and Boyd. The latter had a safer TD projection and
while I was concerned with the matchup for Sanders, the Rams pass-D
doesnít have the bite we expected prior to the season and
I was confident the Broncos would be playing from a trailing position
most of this game.
With no Rob Gronkowski, Travis Kelce, Zack Ertz and Jimmy Graham
not on the main slate we were left with a bunch of ďmehĒ
at the tight end position this week. I wasnít going to pay
up for Eric Ebron ($6500) and his enormous amount of injuries
and while I liked Jordan Reed ($6200) with a depleted Redskins
receiving corps limiting the options for Alex Smith, I couldnít
make his salary fit. I also like David Njoku ($5500) for the similar
reasons but in the end, I was happy to go along with the crowd
and take a shot at one of cheap tight ends. C.J. Uzomah ($5100),
Vance McDonald ($4600) and Cameron Brate ($4500) were the three
main considerations given my roster construction. With Boyd already
locked into my roster and O.J. Howard declared active, McDonald
became the play..
Until Fanduel gives us a decision, there is really no decision
to be made. Gurley ($9500) is a lock in cash games.
The Browns ($3200) were one of my favorite defenses this week
regardless of price. Their attacking style generates sacks and
turnovers which is what weíre looking for at the position.
Philip Rivers is very competent at getting the ball out quick
to Keenan Allen and his running backs but heís very stationary,
making him prone to sacks and is comfortable throwing picks in
bunches. The Texans ($4700) were my top play of the week but there
was no way I was fitting them into this lineup construction. I
also considered Miami ($3500) at the low end but the extra $300
savings to Cleveland came in handy.
Winston, Gurley, Julio and Boyd were all locks for me. Winston
was the top scoring quarterback on the slate but I was cursing
quite a bit at halftime of the early games, wishing I had used
Latavius Murray over Tevin Coleman. Thankfully I got bailed out
by Colemanís late touchdown. Moving forward, we canít
bank on 17-20 touches for Coleman when Freeman is out given Ito
Smithís growing usage. Emmanuel Sanders hitting was the
obvious key to this lineup. Iíll need to re-watch the tape
and check the data but it appears Sanders might have played a
little more on the outside than normal with Courtland Sutton in
the slot. Tyler Boyd ran hot with two TDs and Julio met expectations
but once again couldnít find the endzone. All three of bargain
tight ends were within a couple fantasy points of each other so
having one over the other didnít offer any real advantage.
The Browns-D was abused on the ground by Chargers. Hell, even
Keenan Allen rushed for 44 yards on 4 carries as Gregg Williams
couldnít figure out how to stop the end-arounds. In the
end, Iíll live with a bad defensive pick if lets me get
the players I want at the more predictable positions.
Itís nice be back in the green after a week in the red.