Last week’s question: Have
you found ways of playing “mini fantasy seasons” in
anticipation of COVID complications for the NFL?
In my column for Week
7, I was delighted to share Kim’s model for creating mini-seasons
within the 2020 NFL season for fantasy enthusiasts who decided
not to commit to their regular leagues in anticipation of canceled
games or a COVID-shortened season.
The general theme of the responses was, “Why not just play DFS
instead?” Slow your roll, DFS fans; we’ll get there. First, let’s
look at one of the more interesting suggestions. Dan recommended
what sounds like a fun (if difficult-to-automate) series of prop-like
bets based on positional performance:
We sometimes do sidebets called “Call It with Confidence,”
which is about making fantasy predictions based on how confident
you are about those predictions. It can be about any categories
you want, but we typically focus on the top 3 performers each
week at the relevant skill positions (QB, RB, WR, TE, K, and
defense).
The trick is that to get any credit at all, you have to get
your first answer right. After that, you only keep getting credit
until one of your answers is wrong.
The fun part is you get to set your own order based on your
confidence. If you’re pretty certain Travis
Kelce will be a top 3 TE this week, but clueless about who
the top QBs will be, you would make TE your first pick and QB
a later pick. If you’re super-confident about Russell
Wilson, but TE matchups have you bewildered, you would do
the opposite.
The result is that 2 owners who give the exact same answers
could get completely different scores. The owner who gets the
first 3 answers right and the next 3 wrong would get 3 points,
but the owner who gives 1 wrong answer, 3 right answers, and
then 2 more wrong answers would get zero points. It’s brutal
(and fun!) because it’s so critical to be correct about the
answer you have the most confidence in.
That does sound fun, Dan. I see how a few friends could easily
handle that information exchange via email with scoring being
no big chore (as long as the number of participants stays manageable).
Sadly, Dan went on to mention that even though he tried to get
his whole league involved in this model after suspending the draft
for 2020, the only people who agreed to participate are the ones
who have traditionally participated in these side bets.
I also heard from Jerry, who said that he wasn’t interested in
mini-fantasy seasons:
The draft is fun because it’s an investment that sets a tone
for the whole season. I don’t want to make that sort of investment
for a fantasy league to run through some abbreviated season
every few weeks. I would rather just play DFS.
This point was echoed (to a degree) by Snafu:
There are lots of ways for fantasy leagues to stay active even
if they didn’t have a fantasy draft in 2020: survivor pools,
calling over/unders, predicting division champs, and lots of
statistical categories to explore (TD passes from QBs, turnovers
recovered by defenses, whatever you want to focus on). But in
the age of the internet, I just don’t see the appeal of running
your own special contests when you can find sports books and
DFS challenges online. If your league is on hold until 2021
and you want some fantasy action, why wouldn’t you just play
DFS?
I like Snafu’s version of that question because he managed to
ask it without being snarky. I like it so much, in fact, that
I’m using it as...
This Week’s Question: Has DFS Become More Or Less Important
To Your Fantasy Experience During COVID?
Although I see how DFS could easily fill any voids left by fantasy
leagues that decided to postpone activities until 2021, I have
no idea whether this is actually happening to a considerable degree
among fantasy enthusiasts.
I enjoy DFS, but my enthusiasm for it in 2020 is, if anything,
lower than usual because I am involved in fewer than usual fantasy
leagues this year. I have no idea whether my own experience is
typical or exceptional or whether I’ll feel the same way
about DFS a month from now. The deeper we get into the 2020 season,
the more “back to normal” I feel about my fantasy
experience, & I could easily finish the season feeling the
same way about DFS as usual (that it’s fun--especially when
I hit on a long shot tournament ticket--but not quite as emotionally
engaging and satisfying as a traditional fantasy season with a
true champion declared at the end).
What about you? Is the appeal of DFS in the time of COVID greater
than usual, less than usual, or unchanged from other seasons?
Let me know in the comments below or by emailing
me.
Survivor Pool Pick (Courtesy of Matthew Schiff)
#3: Philadelphia over Dallas: 3-4 (Bal, KC, az, sf, LAR,
min, was)
Yes, your survivor pool expert has truly gone nuts. First off,
he is picking the E-A-G-L-E-S, the low-flying Iggles, the freaking
Eagles! Secondly, he is picking them against a Cowboys team that
needs a divisional win more than anything else right now. However,
the Cowboy defense is giving up an average of 34 points per game,
and Andy Dalton
is still in the concussion protocol, with Dak
Prescott gone for the season (broken ankle). Carson
Wentz should have rookie Jalen
Reagor back in the lineup to stretch the Cowboys secondary
and perhaps Dallas
Goedert filling in for Zach
Ertz at TE. But even if Wentz doesn’t have Reagor or Goedert
available, he will still be Carson Wentz, a competent starting
QB in the NFL--which is more than can be said for Ben
DiNucci, the rookie third stringer likely to be under center
for Dallas. Even if Ezekiel
Elliott manages to take a lot of pressure of DiNucci (which
he might), the disparity in QB experience should be enough, all
by itself, to have Philadelphia marching in “Victory” formation.
#2: KC over NY Jets: 5-2 (ind, AZ, TB, BAL, sf, MIA, LAC)
This is the biggest no-brainer in history. The Jets can’t beat
anyone, especially not the Chiefs, whose only loss in the last
year and a half is against Las Vegas, whom they play the weekend
before Thanksgiving. Andy Reid didn’t win the Super Bowl last
year by taking games off, and if you are fortunate enough NOT
to have used KC yet, this is your lock of the week.
#1: Tampa Bay over NY Giants: 6-1 (KC, GB, IND, LAR, BAL,
ne, BUF)
Anyone who has followed my portion of this column knows that I
am a diehard (but pragmatic) Giants fan. I always want the Giants
to win, but I can see as clearly as anyone else when a loss is
in the cards. Tom
Brady has the Bucs thinking playoffs despite Chris
Godwin being on IR. Although Leonard
Fournette was added to the team, Ronald
Jones has proven to be the steady back, and Gronk has reestablished
himself as Brady’s go to red zone receiver now that he is in football
shape. While the G-men have improved on defense, it’s the Tampa
Bay defense that will be the difference maker in this game. Daniel
Jones will continue to learn what blitz looks are this week,
and the Giants will be lucky to come back home healthy, let alone
win the game. Look for a double-digit win by the Bucs in this
one.
Mike Davis has been writing about
fantasy football since 1999--and playing video games even longer
than that. His latest novel (concerning a gamer who gets trapped
inside Nethack after eating too many shrooms) can
be found here.