Highlighting a few key risers and fallers,
the Dynasty Dashboard assists in keeping you on top of
player valuation changes as they are developing. Further, a deep
sleeper or largely overlooked player worthy of consideration for
a spot on your roster will also be identified each week. Keep
an eye on the dashboard and drive your team toward dynasty league
success.
This being the last installment of the Dynasty Dashboard this
season, I thought it would be useful to provide my player rankings
at each of the primary positions. By no means do I pretend that
my rankings are any more special or precise than those of the
next fantasy writer out there, but I do hope they are valuable
to you if only for the fact that they stimulate thought and make
you consider, or perhaps reconsider, your current stance on certain
players. It is worth noting that I have players at each position
ranked and grouped in tiers. Typically, there is only a small
difference in my valuation of the listed players in a given tier.
The highest-ranked player in a tier will have a value that is
very close to that of player in the middle or bottom of that tier.
Often times it simply comes down to preferences or team needs
to really differentiate between players in a particular tier.
Quarterbacks
It may seem controversial to some, but Robert Griffin III is
my top-rated QB. He edges out Aaron Rodgers by a hair, but both
are phenomenal players to serve as building blocks for your team.
However, Griffin’s rushing stats and age (6+ years younger
than Rodgers) are just enough to put him nominally ahead of Rodgers.
Things get more interesting in the second tier, with Andrew Luck
and Cam Newton at the head of that pack. A month ago, I had Newton
a few spots lower, but he has charged upward lately. Drew Brees
and Tom Brady are currently in front of Matt Ryan and Matthew
Stafford in my rankings, but for rebuilding teams, these duos
would probably flip.
The third tier at QB is made up mostly of established veterans.
Peyton Manning has been great this year and is well deserving
of being ranked at least this high, yet I have some concern given
his neck issues and age. Andy Dalton is the one of the relatively
young QBs in this tier. The Bengals QB has been great in his first
two years and is in a favorable situation to put up numbers going
forward. Russell Wilson has been special during his rookie season
and if the offense is ever opened up more for him, he could become
a big stats producer. Phillip Rivers is the player that I nearly
dropped into the next tier. The loss of Vincent Jackson along
with Antonio Gates slowing has dinged Rivers’ value significantly.
However, the emergence of Danario Alexander is one small, bright
light for Rivers owners.
The fourth tier is sort of a mixed bag of QBs. There is some youth
in this tier that has alluring upside and there is also some aging
vets that seem to have some gas left in the tank, but the needle
could point to empty sooner than many of us expect. This was supposed
to be the year when Joe Flacco finally emerged as a big-time QB,
but it just hasn’t happened and I worry that we’ve
already seen his best. Ryan Tannehill has had some ups and downs
this year, but I have liked what I have seen from him. An upgrade
to his receiving corps over the next two years could greatly help
the young QB. Michael Vick pulls the rear of this tier, and while
his days in Philadelphia are likely numbered, he may surface somewhere
else as the short-term starter. Say what you will about his real-life
value as a QB, but his fantasy production is always solid.
The next two groupings of QBs largely consist of below-average
NFL starters and guys that are currently waiting in the wings.
Christian Ponder started off the year playing really well during
the first few weeks, but has struggled for the bulk of the season.
I have trouble seeing him being much of a fantasy factor in future
campaigns. Alex Smith is an intriguing player, but his upside
is very limited even if he gets an opportunity to start elsewhere.
Chad Henne has been decent for Jacksonville post Gabbert injury,
but he is not likely the answer for the team as they go forward.
Tim Tebow could actually be interesting in Jacksonville. His time
in New York has been a snooze, but if some team were to gamble
on Tebow, he is capable of putting up some nice fantasy numbers.
Running Backs
Arian Foster tops the list at RB, but I was conflicted with
this ranking. Adrian Peterson has been so dominant the second
half of the season that he probably deserves the top spot. But
the fact that he turns 28 years old in March made me withhold
the #1 ranking from him. The guy is superhuman, but how long can
he keep up his elite level of play? Trent Richardson’s yards
per carry leave something to be desired, but he is having a very
good rookie year, particularly when you take into account the
subpar team he is surrounded with at the moment. The rookie is
a strong runner that is very capable in the passing game as well.
Leading the second tier of RBs is another rookie; the “muscle
hamster,” Doug Martin. The first-year Buccaneer has been
excellent in the second half of the season and his future looks
very bright. LeSean McCoy slipped a few spots due to his mediocre
play this season and the fact that Bryce Brown has filled in so
well in his absence. Further, it remains to be seen how he will
fit in a potentially new offensive scheme if Andy Reid leaves
Philly. C.J. Spiller has could post huge numbers now that he has
emerged as the top RB in Buffalo. Owners that have been patient
with him are being handsomely rewarded. Those that gave up on
him prematurely should be kicking themselves.
The next tier at this position has several players that are capable
of big things, but have had trouble shaking the injury bug. Darren
McFadden, DeMarco Murray, and Ryan Mathews have to figure out
how to stay on the field in order to have the level of impact
that they are capable of. Mathews is a particularly intriguing
RB for 2013, as SD could have a new coaching staff in place, and
their view of Mathews could vary significantly from the current
regime. Stevan Ridley and Alfred Morris are in the mix in this
group, despite having far less game-breaking ability. Both probably
fall into the churner or compiler category, but these types can
be very valuable in fantasy football if things line up in their
favor. And this appears to the case for each.
Right now, I have David Wilson ranked ahead of Ahmad Bradshaw.
I could change my mind on this, but the flashes of brilliance
the younger player has shown recently makes me believe that his
ceiling could be extremely high, worthy of a ranking ahead of
the much more well-round Bradshaw. Reggie Bush is a player that
could be higher if it was clear that he’d be primary back
for someone next year, but that is looking less-than-certain at
this juncture. He may find himself in a smaller RBBC role sooner
rather than later. Mark Ingram has been playing better lately,
yet remains a fish out of water in New Orleans. In a different
situation he could potentially churn out multiple 1,000-yard seasons,
but the Saints use a more specialized attack out of the backfield
and Ingram’s role for the team is fairly modest.
The fifth group of RBs is made up mostly of proven RBs that have
limited upside or those that are getting a little long in the
tooth. Frank Gore has passed the eye test for me routinely this
season; looking quick and powerful running the ball, but his age
is a concern. Knowshon Moreno is an interesting option at RB that
has looked great filling in for the injured Willis McGahee. Some
may call for Ronnie Hillman to play more, but John Fox loves his
veterans, and Moreno now finds himself in a nice situation to
produce (with defenses focusing on Manning and air attack). Chris
Wells is a player that can produce when he is healthy, even in
the less-than-ideal Arizona offense. I still like his odds of
being “the guy” for the Cardinals when 2013 opens.
Moving onto the sixth tier, the group of players contained therein
are mostly youthful RBs that have yet to fully develop. In my
view, Lamar Miller has the potential to be a productive lead RB
for the Dolphins. Ben Tate has been very good at times in Houston
and Daryl Richardson has been surprisingly productive serving
as the change-of-pace back in St. Louis. Bilal Powell and Daniel
Thomas have been decent in secondary roles during their second
seasons, but neither has jumped off the screen to me as guys potentially
ready to serve as the lead back for their respective teams. Only
time will tell.
The seventh and eighth tiers of RBs are made up of wildly varying
players, both in points in their career arc and their skill sets.
Guys like Michael Turner and DeAngelo Williams could still produce
another respectable season or two, or they could each fall off
the map in the blink of an eye. Then there are guys like Kendall
Hunter, Jacquizz Rodgers and LaMichael James; each of whom I believe
are not suited to be lead backs, yet they have enough playmaking
ability to produce with potentially limited touches in a RBBC.
Michael Bush has value to Forte owners as a handcuff, but offers
very little outside of that. Toby Gerhart is a RB that has spent
his entire career behind a truly special RB, in Adrian Peterson.
If Gerhart can work his way into even a timeshare situation for
a new team eventually, he could gain some fantasy relevance, but
I’m not holding my breath.
Wide Receivers
At the midpoint of the season, I had A.J. Green edging out Calvin
Johnson as the top WR on my board. However, since that point,
Green has cooled a bit and Johnson has been on fire. Week 8 is
the last time that Detroit’s superstar WR failed to post
a 100-yard game. Currently, Johnson is my #1 WR, but Green is
keeping it close. The second tier of WRs is filled primarily with
young players that have huge upsides. I could see a case for any
of these guys being ranked at #3, but ultimately I went with Julio
Jones. The combination of his skill set and Atlanta’s shift
to a more pass-friendly team made me give him the nod amongst
this group. Dez Bryant could potentially be a couple of spots
higher, but there are some risks associated with him that holds
him back a bit in my rankings.
The third tier is led by Hakeem Nicks, a player whom I have been
very high on at times. Unfortunately, nagging injuries have held
him back and it seems as though Cruz has emerged as Eli’s
favorite target in New York. Toward the middle of this pack sits
Wes Welker. After a quiet Week 1, and given the fact that he was
already 31 years old, I was ready to write Welker off, but the
guy is simply a PPR beast. With two games left in the season,
he already has 100 catches; marking the fifth time in his career
he has done such. Vincent Jackson is another aging player that
just keeps putting up numbers. Even the move to Tampa Bay hasn’t
slowed him down.
Dwayne Bowe is a physical WR that could be near the top 10 if
he was in the right system with the right QB chucking him the
rock. This wasn’t the backdrop for him this year in Kansas
City, but he may be playing for a new team in 2013. Eric Decker
has a real shot at 1,000 yards and 10 TDs this year, and is definitely
worthy of being in the fourth tier. Having Peyton Manning behind
center has benefitted him greatly. Danario Alexander is a WR that
has burst onto the scene in the last two months. He is now the
top threat in the air for the Chargers and would be several spots
higher in my rankings if not for his gnarly injury history.
Justin Blackmon has shown a couple of flashes, so I have him ranked
higher than Cecil Shorts for the long-term. However, Shorts has
been remarkable this season, and any dynasty owner with him on
their squad should feel fortunate (assuming they landed him for
peanuts). Josh Gordon has a promising future in Cleveland, but
in order for Gordon to take the next step at WR, he will need
Weeden to progress substantially as a QB. Reggie Wayne is ancient,
but the receptions and yardage he has amassed this season with
Luck throwing him the ball is impressive. I like his odds of posting
another 1,000-yard season and see him as a great fit on a title-contending
dynasty team.
The sixth tier of WRs consists mostly of WRs that “are what
they are.” This group is not likely to develop into something
greater than what we’ve already seen from them. But don’t
get me wrong, Mike Williams is a capable WR3 or WR4 to have on
your roster and James Jones has been a TD machine while filling
some of the void left by an injured Jennings and Nelson. In the
seventh tier, Alshon Jeffery is one of my favorite upside potential
WRs. Chicago desperately needs someone to help Brandon Marshall
in the receiving game, and Jeffery has a real shot. Chris Givens
is a big play threat that could develop with another year in St.
Louis. Michael Floyd and Vincent Brown have shown us little to
this point, but I like both a lot as prospects moving forward.
The final two tiers at this position contain a wide variety of
players, but most have only modest value at this point and simply
are “shots in the dark” or either they have limited
upsides due to age and/or situation. These are primarily roster
fillers and not guys that are likely to have a big impact on your
team. However, some of these shots in the dark are receivers that
I definitely feel are worthy of stashing. Marvin Jones has a very
high ceiling, and while he will have competition for playing time
in Cincinnati next year, he could have a big impact if things
shakeout in his favor. And while Nick Toon hasn’t seen the
field this year, he has the skill set to be a solid possession
receiver and could eventually benefit from being in a great system
in New Orleans.
Tight Ends
The top three TEs have all had some injury issues to deal with
this season, yet they are far and away the top options at their
position. Rob Gronkowski, Jimmy Graham and Aaron Hernandez have
upside plus relative youth at their position. The next tier is
very small, consisting of only Jason Witten. The long-time Cowboy
has proven over numerous years to be an elite performer, but he
remains a solid notch below the top trio due to age as well as
diminishing upside. Still, any of the top four will put a fantasy
team in a nice place at the TE position.
The third tier of TE’s contains a mix of players, some that
are toward the end of the road and others that have not yet realized
their fullest potential. Greg Olsen is looking like the player
that Chicago thought they were drafting a few years ago. His football
divorce from Mike Martz a couple of seasons ago has resulted in
a nice boost in his production. Kyle Rudolph, Jermaine Gresham
and Coby Fleener all have very high ceilings, but need to take
that next, very important step. Owen Daniels is consistent, but
he lacks the upside of many of the younger players in this group.
Tony Gonzalez could have yet another top-five season in 2013,
or this could be the end of the road for him if he decides to
retire.
The fourth tier is chock-full of unsexy options that are largely
capable performers. Most fantasy owners probably don’t want
a guy like Brandon Meyers, Heath Miller or Dennis Pitta starting
for them on a weekly basis, but they could do far, far worse.
The remaining two tiers of TE’s provided are uninspiring.
These are mostly bye week fillers, backups and deep league stash
candidates. A few of these guys have had some nice moments this
season, but haven’t sustained a level of play worthy of
being regular or even semi-regular starters on most fantasy teams.
Ladarius Green and D.J. Williams could have some nice upside if/when
they ascend to a starting role for their current squads.
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