Last week, I asked
readers to name the best bench stash of 2019 (even if circumstances
haven’t yet broken the player’s way). I expected to
get at least one vote for Brian Hill--perhaps from an owner who,
having blown his FAAB budget on Hill, wanted to convince himself
that Hill would take him to the Promised Land. But there was no
such prediction before Hill’s dud of a day vs. Carolina.
I’m not expecting one now.
TomJ thinks it might be worth rolling the dice on Josh Gordon:
I want to wait and see about Lockett's injury. I'm skeptical
that a multi-day hospital stay is going to leave him 'just fine'
for the upcoming important fantasy weeks. So...Josh Gordon might
be the stash that helps me the most (apologies for using the word
'stash' in reference to Gordon, who honestly seems like a good
guy, but I can't pass that up).
I mean...it seems plausible that we won't ever get the Josh Gordon
who destroyed the league for 12 weeks years ago. But Josh Gordon
and DK Metcalf on the same team? That seems like cheating. If
he ends up with a bigger role in an offense like Seattle (unlike
the Pats, who seem aggressive about denying major involvement
to anyone who isn't the quick-twitch slot guy), he could be big.
I like TomJ’s thinking in general (and his “stash”
joke in particular), but I’m probably biased by the fact
that I have Gordon in the FFToday Staff League and would love
to see him deliver in Seattle (though I got used to seeing him
fail to deliver as a Patriot). If the Patriots (who acquired Mohamed Sanu and appear to be leaving the door open for a return by Antonio Brown) had thought Gordon was worth keeping, they would have kept
him. I’m worried that there may not be any there there anymore.
(But I hope TomJ is right.)
Keith decided to tell me who the best bench stash wouldn’t
be:
No idea who the best bench stash will be (Mattison maybe?). But
I can tell you who it won’t be: a Kansas City running back.
Even if you have Shady and both Williamses on your roster, you
will never know who to start.
I hear this loud and clear. In one league, I have both Damien Williams and LeSean McCoy. That’s maddening enough. I wouldn’t
take Darrel Williams even if I had a free bench spot for him because
it would just give me one more option NOT to use.
Bruce took Keith’s “Mattison maybe” guess and
ran with it:
It’s gotta be Alexander Mattison whether you have Dalvin Cook or not. I have him as a handcuff in one league and a dart
throw in another. I think he’s even more valuable if you
don’t have Cook because it’s always possible that
Cook will remain the main man through Week 16. In my opinion,
even if Mattison doesn’t touch the ball once in weeks 13-16,
he’s still gotta be the top guy because of what he could
do if anything happens to Cook.
I certainly understand the faith in Mattison. He could goose
you in a way that a guy like Sanu probably won’t, but he
could easily pay dividends that are simply out of reach for other
players that you snagged off waivers and waited on.
My thanks to everyone who responded.
This Week’s Question: What’s been your biggest surprise
at QB?
I’m not gonna lie. Cam Newton wrecked me at QB this season.
I couldn’t let him slip past the 9th round in any of my
drafts. And anytime I take a QB in the first ten rounds, that’s
the only one I draft. I ain’t got time for blowing all kinds
of draft capital on QBs.
I wasn’t worried about replacing Cam with a suitable alternate
if things didn’t work out, but none of the targets I mentioned
in my preseason QB write-up were available in the FFTSL.
Back in June, in what turned out to be my most understated prognostication
of the preseason, I said that I would much rather have Lamar Jackson
in the 12th than Carson Wentz in the 7th.
Response 1: Ya think?
Response 2: Wentz and everybody else.
Needless to say, Jackson was not available to me after I gave
up on Cam.
I also wrote that I preferred Jameis Winston in the 10th to Drew Brees in the 6th. Winston is currently ranked 10th in the FFTSL,
whereas Brees is 33rd (though Bree’s injury obviously complicates
matters).
Of course, neither Winston nor Brees was available to me after
the draft, so it didn’t matter which one I preferred.
I also said that I preferred Josh Allen in the 11th to Russell Wilson in the 7th. Allen is currently QB 8 (not quite 50 points
on the season behind Wilson at QB 2).
But since neither of those guys had any chance of surviving the
draft, let’s talk about my longshot call on Derek Carr in
the 14th over Matt Ryan in the 6th. Ryan (QB 12) has outscored
Carr (QB 17) by only 2 points per game. Surely I pounced on Carr
as soon as I realized Cam was a bust.
Nope. Carr was taken as well.
Since abandoning hope in Newton, I have had to rely on some very
ugly streaming options at QB, including Andy Dalton, Ryan Tannehill,
and Jeff Driskel. If only I had passed on Cam in the 9th, I would
have taken 2 late round shots on QBs, and I think at least 1 of
them would have worked out. But Cam dug a hole for me at QB that
I’m still trying to escape. I would never have pulled the
trigger on him in the 9th if I had thought there was any chance
of this season being the complete bust that it has been for him.
What did you get most wrong at QB? Reply in the comments below
or by emailing me.
Survivor Pool Picks (courtesy of Matthew Schiff)
#3 Bears over Giants (9-2; PHI, BAL, SF, lar, NE, WAS,
GB, NO, SEA, ind, MIN)
The Bears are 6-point favorites at home vs. the Giants, which
makes sense considering how fierce Khalil Mack can be and how
turnover-prone Daniel Jones has been. There’s also some
reason to think that Saquon Barkley still isn’t fully recovered
from his ankle injury, so the Bears may not have to work very
hard to contain the New York offense. But we wouldn’t resort
to a pick like this if we had better options. The Giants are coming
off the bye, Daniel Jones has flashed more than a little promise
as a rookie, and Barkley may be ready to rumble. With Chicago
fans losing faith in Mitchell Trubisky by the week, this game
might not offer the Bears as much of a home field advantage as
Vegas seems to think.
#2 Bills over Broncos (6-5; HOU, BAL, NE, ind, kc, lac,
SF, MIN, BUF, no, car)
If you can take the Patriots over the Cowboys, good for you. That
pick isn’t eligible for any of the slots in this column.
The second-most lopsided spread of the week has the Saints as
9.5-point favorites over the Panthers, but you can see that we’ve
blown picks in the NFC South two weeks in a row, so we would probably
steer clear of any NFC South contest even if we could pick the
Saints again. We traditionally look for inter-divisional matchups
with the favorite playing at home, and that takes us to the Bills
as 4-point favorites over the Broncos. Gulp. These are the kinds
of choices people make in Week 12.
Fun Fact: DeVante Parker is outperforming Odell Beckham, Jr. at
this point of the season. But that probably won’t be enough
for the lowly Dolphins to beat the Browns in Cleveland. The Browns
have no doubt been a disappointment this season, but they are
4-6 in a competitive AFC North. They’re definitely not the
playoff contenders the Dawg Pound hoped for, but they’re
also a reasonably talented team capable of beating the likes of
Miami. At running back the Browns have two viable options in Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt. The Dolphins, by contrast, have traded
Kenyan Drake and waived Mark Walton (leaving them with Kalen Ballage,
who is not a viable option). When in doubt in 2019, pick against
Miami.
Mike Davis has been writing about fantasy football since 1999--and
playing video games even longer than that. His latest novel (concerning
a gamer who gets trapped inside Nethack after eating too many shrooms)
can be found here.