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1. Jacksonville Jaguars - Aidan Hutchinson, DE, Michigan
It looks as if Hutchinson’s separating himself to be the
clear first overall pick in this draft. The Jaguars have options
along the offensive line, leaving pass rushing as a clear hole
in their roster. Hutchinson recorded 14 sacks with 16.5 tackles
for a loss as a senior at Michigan. He’s also one of the
safest prospects in this draft, giving Jacksonville’s defense
a potential All-Pro player without adding much risk because of
his motor.
Previous Pick - Evan Neal, OT, Alabama
2. Detroit Lions - Malik Willis, QB, Liberty
This is one of the most difficult picks of the entire draft. On
one hand, this feels extremely aggressive for Detroit. On the
other hand, it makes far too much sense. They stated that they’ll
create their offense to the strength of their quarterback, which
suggests the Lions are at least considering Willis. This would
be an ideal landing spot, as he could start his career behind
Jared Goff
before taking over. Willis would give Detroit an elite quarterback
prospect, and we’ve consistently seen the position overdrafted
in the past. I do feel this is a bit aggressive, but he’s the
type of player that could turn around a franchise if he hits his
ceiling.
Previous Pick - Aidan Hutchinson, DE, Michigan
3. Houston Texans - Ikem Ekwonu, OT, NC State
New head coach Lovie Smith heaped praise on Davis
Mills, calling him their quarterback heading into the season.
This is far too early in this particular draft to select his replacement,
meaning they’ll have to shift their focus elsewhere. Although
the Texans have several holes, they should be focused on giving
Mills every opportunity to find success early in his career. Houston
could look to further their rebuild by trading Laremy Tunsil,
opening a massive hole at tackle. Ekwonu could immediately step
in and fill that hole. He could be the top overall pick in this
draft, and he’d be a top player for the Texans for years to come.
Previous Pick - Ikem Ekwonu, OT, NC State
4. New York Jets - Travon Walker, DE, Georgia
The Jets could go a few different ways with this pick, although
some of the prospects seem to be trending in different directions.
Kyle Hamilton was a popular pick here, but he’s falling down the
draft board a bit. They could also take Ahmad Gardner, who could
go higher than most expect. I’m leaning toward Walker taking a
massive leap from my first mock. He’s making waves in the draft
community, and New York would benefit from a pass rusher as much
as they would with help in the secondary. Walker could end up
in the top-5, and the Jets could use the help along their defensive
front.
Previous Pick - Kyle Hamilton, S, Notre Dame
5. New York Giants - Evan Neal, OT, Alabama
Neal is losing a bit of momentum at this point in the process,
but there’s very little reason to believe he falls too far. Head
coach Brian Daboll already said he’s studying old film of Kenny
Golladay and Kadarius
Toney to get the most out of them this season. With Neal being
the clear best tackle at this point in the draft, they can help
Daniel Jones
out a bit more in what should be a make-or-break season for the
quarterback. Regardless of his success, Neal with Andrew Thomas
would set New York’s line for the future.
Previous Pick - Kayvon Thibodeaux, DE, Oregon
6. Carolina Panthers - Charles Cross, OT, Mississippi
State
The Panthers are in an extremely interesting position. They need
a quarterback, but there have been reports that they have made
calls about Kirk
Cousins. This is a bit too high to select another quarterback
in this draft, so Carolina can either acquire a veteran or trade
down if they want a QB. Since I’m not projecting trades here,
I’m shifting my focus elsewhere. Instead of taking a quarterback,
they can get an outstanding pass-blocking left tackle. Once Carolina
gets their quarterback of the future, they’ll have his blindside
protected for years to come with Cross.
Previous Pick - Charles Cross, OT, Mississippi State
7. New York Giants - Kayvon Thibodeaux, DE, Oregon
“The Giants could luck their way into an elite pass rusher with
this pick. They struggled to consistently get pressure on the
quarterback last season, ranking in the bottom third of the NFL
in sacks, hurry rate, and pressure rate. Thibodeaux was seen as
the clear favorite for the first overall pick before the season.
He returned to form in 2021, posting 49 tackles, 12 for a loss,
and 7 sacks for the Oregon Ducks. Thibodeaux comes with as much
upside as any pass rusher in this draft class and he’ll pair well
with Azeez Ojulari,
who enjoyed a solid rookie season. Although there are some concerns
with Thibodeaux’s overall ability, he’s going to be an elite pass
rusher from early in his career, which is exactly what the Giants
need.”
This was my initial analysis for New York taking Thibodeaux with
their first pick in the draft in my last mock. Evan Neal fell
in this one, though, and he was the clear pick in that situation.
With that being said, it’s all still true, and the Giants could
luck their way into Thibodeaux with the Panthers having more pressing
issues than an edge rusher.
Previous Pick - Devin Lloyd, LB, Utah
8. Atlanta Falcons - Jermaine Johnson, Edge, Florida State
The Falcons featured arguably the worst pass rush in the NFL last
season. They ranked last in pressure rate while also ranking in
the bottom five in hurry and knockdown rate. Johnson at this pick
would be a reach at this point in the process, but he’s the best
remaining edge rusher. Atlanta could go with a cornerback, which
would make more sense in terms of most big boards. The emphasis
should fully be on adding a pass rusher here, though. Johnson
recorded 70 tackles, 17.5 for a loss, and 11.5 sacks for Florida
State last season. He also looked outstanding at the Senior Bowl,
and Johnson could continue to climb as the offseason continues.
Previous Pick - Jermaine Johnson, Edge, Florida State
9. Seattle Seahawks - Ahmad Gardner, CB, Cincinnati
The Denver Broncos traded Seattle this pick in the deal for Russell
Wilson. Oddly enough, the pick stays the same. The Seahawks
have several holes throughout their roster, and they have the
ability to take the best player available here. They could opt
for a wide receiver if they are trading DK
Metcalf, but Gardner is the clear CB1 in this draft, and he
can immediately help their secondary.
Previous Pick - Ahmad Gardner, CB, Cincinnati (Denver Broncos)
10. New York Jets - Kyle Hamilton, S, Notre Dame
We have a similar situation to the New York Giants #7 pick earlier.
I had the Jets selecting Hamilton fourth overall in my first mock,
but his value has slid a bit. Still, everything I said previously
stands, and he would be a steal at this point.
“The Jets could go with several players here, and a safety could
be a bit of a reach (at four, not 10). With that being said, Hamilton
comes with elite versatility and has the potential to become one
of the best play-making safeties in the NFL. He boasts plenty
of range, tremendous ball skills, and can play around the line
of scrimmage. In only seven games at Notre Dame last season, Hamilton
recorded 34 tackles, including 2 for a loss, with 3 interceptions
and 4 pass deflections. Generally, safeties aren’t selected this
high in the draft, but there are very few players at the position
that can change the game the way Hamilton can.”
Previous Pick - Trevor Penning, OT, Northern Iowa
11. Washington Commanders - Drake London, WR, USC
For whatever reason, Washington was willing to trade for Carson
Wentz, solidifying their quarterback for this season. It’s
a bit too early to take a shot on anyone left, specifically after
giving up picks for Wentz. Instead, they can add another great
receiving option to pair with Terry
McLaurin. London boasts elite range as a receiver, and he’d
be an outstanding complement to the way McLaurin plays. He’d add
a new dimension to the Washington offense that they didn’t have
last season.
The Vikings are in dire need of a high-end cornerback after consistently
missing on them in recent years. Stingley looked like an elite
talent throughout his freshman season, and he was touted as the
next elite cornerback prospect. Stingley’s success tailed off
over his last two seasons, although it’s only been 10 total games.
He flashed enough as a freshman to be considered in the top half
of the draft, and he could be the difference-maker Minnesota’s
been looking for on the backend of their defense. The question
is whether the Vikings are willing to take the risk on him or
if they’d rather select a safer prospect who doesn’t boast as
much upside.
Previous Pick - Derek Stingley Jr., CB, LSU
13. Houston Texans - Trent McDuffie, CB, Washington
The Texans get this pick as a part of the Deshaun
Watson trade with the Cleveland Browns. There are a few different
ways they could go here, although they desperately need help at
cornerback. McDuffie hasn’t given up any touchdowns over his last
15 games at Washington, and he has the potential to become a difference-maker
in the NFL. He’s seen as one of the safer prospects in this draft,
and he’ll immediately add talent to the Houston secondary.
The Ravens are a team that generally drafts the best player available,
although they separately need help on the interior offensive line.
Luckily, Linderbaum is one of the best center prospects in recent
memory, and he is arguably the best player available at this point
in the draft. He can immediately step in for the departing Bradley
Bozeman as an upgrade at the position. Linderbaum is athletic
enough to handle any style of play Baltimore needs from him, and
he would make the offense with Lamar
Jackson that much more dangerous.
Previous Pick - Tyler Linderbaum, C, Iowa
15. Philadelphia Eagles - George Karlaftis, Edge, Purdue
The Eagles struggled to get pressure on opponents throughout last
season. They ranked in the bottom-11 of the NFL in pressure percentage.
They also ranked second-last in sacks. Karlaftis only recorded
4.5 sacks last season, although he also had 10 tackles for a loss
and 2 forced fumbles. The key here is that Karlaftis consistently
got pressure on his opponents, suggesting the sacks should follow
in the NFL. He’ll immediately be an upgrade for Philadelphia,
as they’ll need to find new ways to get pressure on opposing quarterbacks
if they are going to continue to blitz at one of the lowest rates
in the NFL.
Previous Pick - George Karlaftis, Edge, Purdue
16. Philadelphia Eagles - Andrew Booth Jr., CB, Clemson
This draft class has several outstanding cornerback options with
only Ahmad Gardner separating himself from the rest of the options.
With Derek Stingley Jr. and Trent McDuffie already off the board,
the Eagles can slide to the next best at the position. Booth can
immediately slide into a big role for Philadelphia, as he’s a
high-IQ option in the secondary. He’s one of many cornerbacks
in this class that boasts Pro Bowl potential.
Previous Pick - Trent McDuffie, CB, Washington
17. Los Angeles Chargers - Devin Lloyd, LB, Utah
The Chargers are in a position where they could select an offensive
tackle, edge rusher, linebacker, or defensive tackle. Luckily
at this point, all of those positions have high-end talent available.
It’s a great problem to have, although I’m penciling in Lloyd,
who has the potential to be taken in the top-10 depending on how
the draft shakes out. He’s a sideline-to-sideline linebacker with
the ability to rush the passer. Lloyd will add tremendous versatility
to the Chargers defense, making them that much more dangerous.
Previous Pick - Travon Walker, DE, Georgia
18. New Orleans Saints - Trevor Penning, OT, Northern
Iowa
The Saints have a few key holes they could plug here, but they
re-signed Jameis
Winston and Tre’Quan Smith in free agency. They’ll also be
getting Michael
Thomas back for this season. New Orleans lost Terron Armstead
to the Miami Dolphins in free agency, though, and they have a
massive hole at offensive tackle now. If they want any chance
of success, they’ll need to keep Winston upright, and Penning
gives them the best chance of that with this pick.
Previous Pick - Treylon Burks, WR, Arkansas
19. Philadelphia Eagles - Garrett Wilson, WR, Ohio State
The Eagles added two key defensive pieces earlier in this draft,
meaning they can shift to the offensive side of the ball here.
They could add Kenyon Green to help fix their offensive line,
but it could be more important to get Jalen
Hurts more weapons. Garrett Wilson is coming off of an outstanding
season at Ohio State, posting 70 receptions for 1,058 yards and
12 touchdowns over 11 games. He flashed game-changing potential
throughout his collegiate career, and Wilson would be an elite
option to pair with DeVonta
Smith in their offense.
Previous Pick - Garrett Wilson, WR, Ohio State
20. Pittsburgh Steelers - Jordan Davis, DT, Georgia
With Malik Willis off the board, the Steelers could select Kenny
Pickett. With that being said, he isn’t a can’t miss prospect,
and they added Mitchell
Trubisky in free agency. Although that likely doesn’t get
many fans excited, there is some potential there and it’s likely
enough for them to pass on a quarterback here. Instead, they can
add the best defensive tackle in the draft and continue to lean
on their defense for their success. Davis is massive and can take
on multiple blockers. He’ll help everyone around him and giving
TJ Watt more opportunities to make game-changing plays is something
Pittsburgh could fall in love with.
Previous Pick - Malik Willis, QB, Liberty
21. New England Patriots - Kyler Gordon, CB, Washington
The Patriots took a surprising step forward with Mac
Jones at quarterback last season. They still rely heavily
on their defense, though, and J.C.
Jackson could leave in free agency. The Patriots could use
their first-round pick to select his replacement, allowing the
team to continue to rely on their defense while the young quarterback
continues to progress. Gordon recorded 2 interceptions and 7 pass
deflections over 12 games for Washington last season. He’s a player
that boasts the ability to cover WR1s in the NFL once he finds
his footing, and that’s the type of player New England would love
to select here.
Previous Pick - Kyler Gordon, CB, Washington
22. Green Bay Packers - Treylon Burks, WR, Arkansas
The Packers received this pick from the Las Vegas Raiders in the
Davante Adams
trade. It only makes sense that they use it on his replacement.
Granted, Green Bay doesn’t draft wide receivers in the first,
but they may not have a choice this season. Burks has game-changing
potential that he flashed at Arkansas, and Aaron
Rodgers could potentially mold him into a high-end wide receiver
in the NFL. The Packers could look for a safer player here, but
they need to replace arguably the best receiver in the league.
Upside is one of the only ways to do that.
Previous Pick - Jordan Davis, DT, Georgia (Las Vegas Raiders)
The Cardinals were able to get plenty of pressure on opposing
quarterbacks last season, but they also blitzed at one of the
highest rates in the NFL. I initially slated David Ojabo into
this pick, but he recently tore his Achilles, which will likely
slide him out of the first round. Instead, the Cardinals can shift
their focus to Mafe, who is another high upside edge rusher. He
consistently improved at Minnesota, recording 34 tackles, 10 for
a loss, and 7 sacks during his senior season. He could potentially
take some of the pressure off of the Arizona defense.
Previous Picks - David Ojabo, Edge, Michigan
24. Dallas Cowboys - Kenyon Green, OL, Texas A&M
The Cowboys need help along their offensive line, specifically
in the interior. Green is expected to play guard in the NFL, and
he could be a day one starter for Dallas. With that being said,
he boasts the upside to move out to tackle if need be. Green played
four different positions throughout his college career, and we’ve
seen versatile linemen be drafted at a premium in the past. I
expect that to be the case once again for Green during the draft.
Previous Pick - Kenyon Green, OL, Texas A&M
25. Buffalo Bills - Zion Johnson, G, Boston College
The Bills are a relatively complete roster, which will allow them
to go a number of ways with this pick. They could select a wide
receiver or cornerback, but I’m expecting them to add to their
offensive line. They should be competing for the Super Bowl this
season, and Johnson has the potential to start immediately, although
Buffalo could use him as a depth piece, which is always useful
for a deep run.
Previous Pick - Deonte Wyatt, DT, Georgia
26. Tennessee Titans - Chris Olave, WR, Ohio State
The Titans have several holes they can fill, but they desperately
need more wide receiver depth. Julio
Jones was recently released, and the group as a whole struggled
without A.J. Brown
last season. Dez
Fitzpatrick could continue to progress, but there are several
elite options in this draft, specifically available at this pick.
Olave’s found success in each of his last three seasons for Ohio
State. He posted 65 receptions for 936 yards and 13 touchdowns
over 11 games as a senior last season. Olave can immediately help
Tennessee’s passing game, and he’ll add another great young receiver
to pair with Brown when Jones leaves.
Previous Pick - Chris Olave, WR, Ohio State
27. Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Devonte Wyatt, DT, Georgia
Tampa Bay quietly has plenty of holes to fill, and they could
look to add to their defensive front with this pick. Wyatt comes
with elite size, and he can immediately take the pressure off
of the other pass rushers. Last season, Wyatt posted 39 tackles,
7 for a loss, and 2.5 sacks for Georgia. He could immediately
help Tampa Bay’s defensive line impact games in the way they could
need this season.
Previous Pick - Jameson Williams, WR, Alabama
28. Green Bay Packers - Bernhard Raimann, OT, Central
Michigan
Oddly enough, it feels as if the Packers could take two first-round
wide receivers in this draft. They already grabbed one with their
first pick, and I don’t believe they go that deep into the position
at this point, though. Instead, they need help along their offensive
line, specifically right tackle. Raimann is an athletic tackle
that has the potential to start from day one.
Previous Pick - Boye Mafe, Edge, Minnesota
29. Kansas City Chiefs - Jameson Williams, WR, Alabama
Kansas City traded Tyreek
Hill to the Miami Dolphins, and they received this pick as
part of the deal. They signed JuJu
Smith-Schuster and Marquez
Valdes-Scantling in free agency, although neither of those
players are likely to completely take over the offense. Instead,
they can draft Williams, who some believed was the best wide receiver
prospect in this draft prior to suffering a major injury. This
would be another win for the Chiefs.
The Chiefs are going to need help at safety, specifically if Tyrann
Mathieu leaves in free agency. Even if Mathieu stays, there
will be holes in the Kansas City defense that Hill can contribute.
Hill ended last season with 69 tackles including 4.5 for a loss
and 0.5 sacks. He also ended last season with 2 interceptions,
8 pass deflections, and 1 fumble recovery over 14 games. Hill
can fill the void at safety or he can shift over to their slot
corner position. His versatility can help Kansas City’s defense
immediately.
Previous Pick - Dax Hill, S, Michigan
31. Cincinnati Bengals - Roger McCreary, CB, Auburn
The Bengals added to their offensive line in free agency, and
that isn’t a major point of concern anymore. There also aren’t
any linemen available at this point that would make sense. Instead,
they can shift to their secondary. McCreary’s only available at
this point because of the depth of cornerback in this draft. He
comes with plenty of upside with the ability to play man or zone
coverages.
Previous Pick - Bernhard Raimann, OT, Central Michigan
32. Detroit Lions - Jahan Dotson, WR, Penn State
The Lions have several holes they need to fill, and they drafted
an edge rusher earlier in this draft. They can shift their focus
to their offense with their second pick. Amon-Ra
St. Brown broke out as a rookie last season, and he looks
to have an outstanding future in Detroit. Although D.J.
Chark signed with Detroit, it was a one-year deal, and I don’t
expect that to shift their focus off of Dotson here. Dotson isn’t
the biggest receiver, but he comes with plenty of explosion, great
hands, and tremendous route-running skills. He posted 91 receptions
for 1,182 yards and 12 touchdowns in 12 games for Penn State last
season. Dotson would make an outstanding pairing with St. Brown
for years to come.