had numerous injury situations to monitor this week which created
value, especially at the running back and wide receiver positions.
We also had an easy game target (KC @ PIT) with a total of 52.5,
filled with core plays for cash and tournaments. Locking in players
from this game, choosing the right value plays at running and being
on the right side of the Gurley/Kamara decision were the keys to
successful lineups. Here’s a look at my cash game lineup for
Fanduel in Week 2.
Brees seemed like an obvious target, playing at home against
the Browns but considering we could save $1200 by dropping down
Roethlisberger ($7600) playing at home in an expected shootout,
the decision to leave Brees off my lineup was an easy one. Other
considerations were Cam
Newton ($8200), Matthew
Stafford ($7700) and Deshaun
Watson ($7400). I liked the bounceback spot for Stafford,
playing against a burnable 49ers secondary but Roethlisberger
was an easy call given his price and my projections – Big Ben
was my No.3 ranked QB on the week. Given the relatively loose
pricing on Fanduel it didn’t make much sense to go bargain shopping
below Roethlisberger's cost.
A couple key choices had to be made at running back this week.
At $7000, James Conner is still underpriced given his massive
role. He was a lock to play the majority of running back snaps
in a fantasy friendly offense in a game with big upside. Conner
was a no-brainer.
Knowing I wanted to jam in Antonio Brown, a value running back
was going to be needed. Luckily we got two to choose from this
week. Devonta Freeman was ruled out with a knee injury and it
became clear on Saturday that Leonard Fournette was likely going
to miss with a hamstring injury. That opened the door for Tevin Coleman ($5900) and T.J. Yeldon ($6200) to see increased roles.
I strongly considered Yeldon but felt Coleman was a better bet
to see 20 touches (as he did in 3 games without Freeman last season)
while I was less confident in Yeldon’s usage given the Jags
are comfortable with Corey Grant and were more likely to involve
him in the offense. While Coleman and Yeldon were in my same rankings
tier, I had Coleman two spots higher and was happy to take the
$300 savings. My next key decision at running back came at the
Flex position. But first…
Antonio Brown ($8900) was a lock for me. Playing at home, in a
matchup against a weak Chiefs secondary was too good to ignore.
It seems a lot of other folks had the same idea as Brown was roughly
80% owned in the double-ups I participated in.
Finding two other value wide receivers wasn’t difficult given
I was high on the Detroit pass-catchers. Kenny
Golladay ($5700) seemed underpriced given the Lions pass-happy
approach and their propensity to avoid the tight end in the passing
game. I had Golladay projected higher than Marvin
Jones ($6800) making Kenny G. an easy call. I also liked Emmanuel
Sanders ($6800) to build off his Week 1 performance (10-135-1).
His matchup was decent against the average Raiders secondary.
Dante Pettis, who a lot of people were interested in this week,
was a never a strong consideration for me even though he was likely
headed for a starting role in a game that figured to feature a
decent amount of scoring. I had Golladay projected much higher,
felt like his floor was safer and didn’t need the extra
savings ($1200) to get the players I wanted. Plus, it felt a little
dirty to run two pass catchers from the 49ers (more on that below)
without using Jimmy G. at quarterback.
George Kittle ($5600) and Jack Doyle ($5600) were my main considerations
for a value tight end in a week were I felt the need to jam in
a high priced RB and WR. Both saw generous usage last week (Doyle
94% of snaps, Kittle 77% of snaps) and both had decent matchups.
Given we knew Marquise Goodwin would miss the game, I gave Kittle
a slightly higher than normal target expectation and liked his
TD upside over Doyle. Other TE considerations included Ricky Seals-Jones
($5200) and Jared Cook ($5000).
As I talked about last week,
it makes sense more often than not to use a running back in the
Flex position as production and volume are less volatile than
the wide receiver position.
With enough money left over to grab one of the top RBs, my last
key decision was Todd Gurley ($8900) vs. Alvin Kamara ($9000).
I left $200 on the table with this lineup so I could’ve
selected either back. Both were in my top tier for the week with
Kamara being ranked No.1 and Gurley No.2 among RBs. I don’t
typically hedge with my cash game lineup but I strongly considered
running two lineups, one with Gurley in the Flex, the other with
Kamara in the Flex. In the end I stuck to my guns and let it ride
with Gurley who saw a 94% snap usage to Kamara’s 81% in
Week 1 and was slightly less likely to get pulled at the goaline.
The Texans ($4500) were my target most of the week as the underachieving
Titans offense with a banged up offensive line and an ailing Marcus Mariota (elbow) seemed like a prime target for sacks and turnovers.
Then, late in the week, we heard Blaine Gabbert may get some playing
time even if Mariota was the starter. Perfect. However, I couldn’t
make the salary work and if I was going to punt at a position
in order to get the players I wanted, it would have to be at defense.
The Bucs ($3300) looked atrocious last week giving up 40 points
to Drew Brees and the Saints, but playing at home against an Eagles
team with a depleted wide receiving corps, missing pass-catching
Darren Sproles and a shaky Nick Foles at quarterback was more
than enough positives to plug in Tampa for a $1200 savings.
I typically won’t stack a lineup with 3 players from one team
in a cash game, but if there was ever an exception to the rule,
this was the week. Given the pricing, usage rates and projections
for the Steelers it made sense to lock in Big Ben, Conner and
Brown into a Fanduel cash game lineup. The right choice between
Coleman vs. Yeldon and Gordon vs. Kamara was critical and allowed
me to cruise to a comfortable week in 50/50s and double ups.