Watson has been surprisingly bad at home this year with two 12-point
games at NRG Stadium against the Jags and the Panthers. I anticipate
that he will turn things around this week against a Falcons defense
that allows the 19th most points to quarterbacks, especially now
with S Keanu Neal out for the season. I plan on pairing Watson
with DeAndre Hopkins in a cash stack of two players who are due
for get-right performances.
Other options to consider - Tom
Brady @ Washington & Matt
Ryan @ Houston
Starting Dalton takes a bit of intestinal fortitude based on
the Red Rifle’s propensity to deliver terrible performances, especially
behind an offensive line that can best be described as a sieve.
The good news for Dalton is this game is not played in prime time
or against a divisional foe, and the Cardinals defense is one
of the worst in the league. Pair Dalton with Tyler Eifert or Auden
Tate for a nice GPP stack.
Other options to consider - Colt
McCoy vs. N.Y. Giants
There is not a high-priced quarterback worth fading this week,
so I will share with you a low-dollar option you should avoid
at all costs. Carr is playing the Bears on the road in London,
Tyrell Williams may be out with an injury, and Khalil Mack is
going to go bananas against his former team. Don’t get cute and
play Carr this week.
Zeke has the best matchup of any running back this week and is
worth paying the premium in cash games. The Eagles ran wild against
the Packers last week, exposing the weakness in the Green Bay
defense is running between the tackles. After posting a sub-3
yard per carry average against the Saints, the Cowboys will find
much more success this week against the Pack. The loss of Tyron
Smith is a concern, but I still think Zeke will have his best
game year to date.
A preseason favorite breakout rookie candidate in the fantasy
community, Montgomery has yet to live up the hype with four games
of 14 or fewer fantasy points this season, including last week’s
disappointing 53 yards on 21 carrels against the Vikings.
The one good thing that came out of the 2.5 yard per carry day
against the Vikings is the fact that head coach Matt Nagy finally
gave Montgomery over 20 carries in a game. I anticipate with Chase
Daniel under center Nagy will once again give Montgomery a large
volume of carries against the Raiders, which should result in
the biggest game of his young career.
With 130 total yards and two rushing touchdowns against the Packers
two weeks ago, it appeared as though Lindsay returned to his form
that made him a pro bowler in 2018. But with just nine carries
last week against the Jags and another tough matchup this week
against a Chargers team that allows the 5th fewest points to running
backs, I think I will look elsewhere this week.
This game has the makings of a get right day for the Vikings
passing game and a chance for Kirk Cousins to grease the squeaky
wheel that is Adam Thielen. Thielen came out and blasted Cousins
in an interview after last week’s loss to the Bears, complaining
that the offense needs to pass the ball more downfield. I am not
a big fan of Cousins, but just about any quarterback not named
Dwayne Haskins has found success passing against the G-men, and
this is the game for Thielen to have a big day.
Aaron Rodgers will not have his favorite target, Davante Adams,
this week due to a turf to injury as the Packers head south to
take on the Cowboys at Jerry’s World. Rodgers tends to lean on
guys he trusts when faced with tough matchups, and there is not
a healthy WR on the roster who has more rapport with Rodgers than
Allison.
Evans has been on a tear with four touchdowns over his last two
games, but this week he will likely be the one on the Bucs who
will get the Marshon Lattimore shadow coverage. Evans could sneak
in a touchdown, but of the two players in the Bucs pass offense,
I prefer Godwin this week.
The same logic that applies to Geronimo Allison this week makes
me interested in playing Jimmy Graham against the Cowboys. Graham’s
usage skyrocketed last week after Adams went down, and he will
once again be heavily targeted in what could be a sneaky high-scoring
game against Dallas.
The Arizona Cardinals give up a whopping seven more fantasy points
per game than the second-worst team in the league, the Tampa Bay
Bucs. All four tight ends that have faced Arizona have scored
at least one touchdown and reached 50 receiving yards. It is possible
that C.J. Uzomah could be the tight end on the Bengals who has
a big day, but my money is on Eifert.
Walker’s volume dropped to just two targets last week against
the Falcons, and the Titans take on a Buffalo team that has given
up the fewest points to opposing tight ends. Walker could catch
a fluke touchdown, but I would rather save the $600 and play Eifert
against the Cardinals.
Defense & Special Teams
High Priced Option Worthy of the Cost: Eagles
($3,700) vs. Jets
Well Priced with Upside: Titans ($3000) vs.
Buffalo