If you survived the mayhem from last weekend’s six-bye disaster,
then Week 8 should be a piece of cake … unless your quarterback
is Lamar Jackson or your top receiver is Davante Adams. Be concerned
if you start Aaron Rodgers or Aaron Jones who shared a huddle with
the aforementioned Covid-19 positive Adams and make preparations
in case they suddenly can’t play Thursday night too. Just
in … Allen Lazard also placed on the Covid-19 list.
Byes: Baltimore, Las Vegas
“It is a very lonely life that a man leads, who becomes
aware of truths before their times.” – Thomas Brackett
1) There is no way any Bears’ quarterback could be successful
in 2021 given what management has done to the offensive line.
True. The Bears lead the league in sacks allowed and the primary
reason can be directly attributed to a horrible offensive line.
Over the offseason Chicago didn’t resign their RT Bobby Massie, and then cut LT Charles Leno. The result was predictable
with 26 sacks and 84 pressures on just 229 drop backs. While Justin Fields is obviously not ready to be a starting NFL quarterback,
he’s not getting much help from the team and management.
It would have been a much better plan to let Andy Dalton suffer
through all of 2021 and allow Fields to learn from the sidelines.
Don’t quit on Fields in dynasty leagues, just stash him.
2) Bill Belichick held Tom Brady back from being “the
best he could be.”
Apparently. Brady has thrown four-or-more touchdown passes in
8-of-23 regular season games under head coach Bruce Arians (34.8%)
and threw four touchdowns 29 times in 285 games under Belichick
(10.2%). Could it be that “GM Bill” doesn’t
know how to put together a wide receiver corps (except for perhaps
2007)? The Tampa Bay pass catchers; Mike Evans, Chris Godwin,
Antonio Brown and tight end Rob Gronkowski might be the best group
ever and two of them came to Florida at the express direction
3) The most efficient running back in PPR fantasy is Austin
Fact. Ekeler averages 1.29 fantasy points every time he touches
the ball. He is one of just six backs who average at least one
point-per-touch (Kareem Hunt, D’Andre Swift, Jonathan Taylor,
Aaron Jones and James Robinson). If you see any of these guys
getting more touches due to a change in offensive strategy or
injuries to their primary backups, then they should be elite options
for DFS or trade targets even at a premium price.
4) Did we finally see head coach Sean Payton remember why Alvin
Kamara is an elite back?
Yes. It started in Week 5 against Washington, but was most evident
Monday night in Seattle. Kamara saw eight targets against the
WFT and 11 targets against the Seahawks. Something obviously changed
after a zero-target game against the Giants in Week 4. Fantasy
players can now breathe easier that Kamara will be the guy they
drafted. That was in doubt after four games this season where
he averaged just 3.5 targets and 14.5 FPts/G.
5) Roberts Woods will not be the “1B” to Cooper Kupp’s “1A”.
This is Kupp’s year and Woods isn’t going to rebound
to be an equal for fantasy players. And it has nothing to do with
talent. It’s just that Matthew Stafford is a different quarterback
from Jared Goff and sees the field differently. Under Goff, the
pair were almost exactly equal with Kupp producing 481.2 fantasy
points and Woods 480.0 points over the two years from 2019-20
(each played 31 games). This season has been all Kupp who has
scored 30-or-more points in four of seven games while Woods has
just one game above 15 fantasy points (27 points in Week 5). If
you followed Stafford’s career in Detroit, he always had
one primary receiver, not two equals. Think Calvin Johnson and
“Alternative facts.” - Kellyanne Conway
The Eagles’ Jalen Hurts is the “King” of fourth-quarter
Close, but no. He’s actually No. 2 in fourth-quarter scoring.
No. 1 is Patrick Mahomes. The two of them have separated themselves
from the rest of the league as the chart below will show. Interesting
that 10 of the 14 top fourth-quarter producers come from teams
with losing records. This is where fantasy separates from real
life. In fantasy, its better if your quarterback is playing from
2) Tua Tagovailoa is ranked 23rd in fantasy points and is therefore
not a fantasy-worthy option.
False. The numbers are lying to you if you just look at his 20.2
FPts/G average. In fact, he was injured early on in the game against
Buffalo. If you take the three games he started and completed,
he’s averaging 26.8 FPts/G and that would rank him eighth
overall. Whether he can withstand a season of pounding is another
story, but if he’s healthy, he’s fantasy-worthy.
3) “I can’t find a tight end to replace idle Mark Andrews and
You must not be looking very hard. There is the Bengals’
C.J. Uzomah (ranked ninth over the past three games and rostered
in just 20% of all leagues) averaging 12.7 FPts/G and Ricky Seals-Jones
(53% rostered) averaging 12.0 FPts/G over the last trio of games.
4) Justin Tucker is not the most consistent placekicker in fantasy
He may not be the best each year, but he will never hurt you.
In fact, in his nine previous seasons he’s produced between
8.0-8.8 FPts/G in every season. Guess what? In 2021 he’s
averaging 8.1 FPts/G. He’s Mr. Consistency. If you need
a kicker because if injury, bye or ineptitude try the Vikings’
Greg Joseph (9% rostered) who has double digits in three of his
last four games and already had his bye weekend.
5) The Texans’ Tyrod Taylor is finally due back from injury,
but on a bad Texans’ team he’s not fantasy-worthy.
Alternate facts. Taylor is averaging 8.1 fantasy points per quarter
this season. He produced 26.6 fantasy points in his first game
this season and had 17.8 fantasy points halfway through the second
quarter of game two before a hamstring injury on a touchdown run
sidelined him. The Texans figure to be behind with a defense yielding
29 PPG (ranked 27th). They have very little running game with
Mark Ingram, David Johnson and Phillip Lindsay all averaging below
4.0 ypc. Therefore it will be up to Taylor to produce points and
as the chart from “the first lie” shows, being behind
is usually good for fantasy quarterbacks.