Accumulating fantasy points as a quarterback has a pretty direct
correlation to playing time. The more you play the higher you rise
on the Total Fantasy Points list. But accumulating fantasy points
in an efficient manner tells us much more about a quarterbackís
Winston scored 137.1 fantasy points while touching the ball just
193 times over seven games before a left ACL injury ended his
season. Thatís scoring a league-high .710 points every time
he either threw or ran the ball. Maybe watching Drew Brees and
learning under Sean Payton really did him some good. More about
Winston later on.
There are a few more interesting facts which can be deduced from
the chart below of almost all of the 2021 quarterbacks who took
For those quarterbacks who managed to play a full season of games,
Joe Burrow was the ďmost efficient.Ē This probably isnít
surprising as he threw 34 touchdown passes and 4611 yards against
just 14 INTs and also rushed for a pair of scores though running
isnít really part of his game. He also managed these numbers
despite an offensive line which yielded the third-most sacks (55)
and second-worst sack percentage (9%). With Bengals management making
a concerted effort in the off-season to improve the OL (added Laíel
Collins, Alex Cappa and Ted Karras in free agency), Burrow could
be even better in 2022. Donít sleep on Burrows and be blinded
by ďbiggerĒ name quarterbacks.
Russell Wilson didnít get a lot of love during the 2021
season but most of his issues were injury related complaints.
Before his finger injury Wilson completed 90-for-125 (72%) for
1196 yards, 10 touchdowns and just one interception. His new receivers
in Denver may not be Tyler Lockett and DK Metcalf, but beware
of underestimating how Jerry Jeudy, Courtland Sutton and Tim Patrick
will improve with the arrival of Wilson and help keep Wilson playing
at a very high level.
The league had already caught up to Patrick Mahomes before this
season and the loss of Tyreek Hill will only emphasize this fact.
Beware of overvaluing the Chiefsí signal caller. This isnít
2018, itís 2022.
Itís difficult to have faith in Derek Carr even with the
addition of All-Pro Davante Adams. Heís not very efficient
and he doesnít add anything with his legs. Sure, his numbers
should improve with a receiving corps of Adams, Hunter Renfrow
and Darren Waller, but donít expect top-five. Heís
never thrown for more than 32 touchdowns and never averaged more
than 21.6 FPts/G. Even his 4,804 passing yards in 2021 was bolstered
by three OT games to start the season when he averaged 401 ypg.
He averaged just 257 passing yards the final 14 games. Low end
QB1 is your goal if you draft Carr.
Matt Ryan isnít a fantasy star anymore and the shift to
run-centric Indianapolis isnít suddenly going to change
that. The Colts may win more under Ryan than Wentz, but they arenít
suddenly going to change their spots and throw the ball all around
the yard. As with Mahomes, this isnít 2018 when Ryan averaged
26 FPts/G and his efficiency rated out at .650.
Mac Jones led all rookies who saw significant playing time (Trey Lanceís 109 touches arenít significant enough to qualify),
but none produced a top-25 season. There were just too many factors
blocking their way. The OL in Chicago for Justin Fields, the receiving
corps in New England for Jones, the offensive scheme for the Jets
and Zach Wilson and the complete disarray of the Jacksonville
franchise for No.1 overall pick Trevor Lawrence. I see the Jetsí
and Jaguarsí second-year quarterbacks making the most significant
improvements from this group of young QBs.
Now back to our most efficient quarterback of 2021 Ė Winston.
Iím a bit concerned that he wonít be ready to play
opening day after hearing he was still limping around during last
weekís OTAs. Also, the retirement of Sean Payton should
not be underestimated. Even though Pete Carmichael is still the
OC under new coach Dennis Allen (formerly the DC), it was Payton
who directed this offense. And the Michael Thomas saga continues.
This is the longest running ankle injury in the history of sports.
Without a healthy Thomas to go along with new additions Jarvis Landry and rookie Chris Olave, itís hard to see the passing
game clicking. There are just too many questions for me to put
my 2022 season in Winstonís hands. I would, however, be
willing to take a flyer on him as my backup at his current ADP