While it is a bad idea to overreact to the statistics from one week,
a playerís snap count and target count do tell us something about
how he will be used going forward. In some cases, the information
is irrelevant. For example, the Vikings only threw 10 passes on
Sunday because they had control of the game and their defense was
dominant. That will not happen regularly, if ever again this season,
so it should not be given too much weight.
However, some usage information can help us, and begin to paint
a picture about how a team will use a player. Here are a few pieces
of data that are interesting and potentially actionable:
Christian McCaffrey played 100% of snaps. For all the
talk about giving him more breathers, it is just hard to take
the guy off the field.
Kerryon Johnson played 57% of snaps and Derrick Henry
played 59% of snaps. That should scare folks away from Johnson
and encourage owners of Henry to sell high. Neither has RB1 potential
with that percentage of snap count, on offenses that are not dynamic.
Mark Ingram played in only 32% of the snaps, likely because
the Ravens were so far ahead. The fact that he still put up over
100 yards and two touchdowns suggests some serious upside in closer
Trey Quinn played 97% of the snaps for the Redskins,
and Terry McLaurin played in 93%. They are the two receivers to
keep an eye on, for a team who will be behind on a weekly basis.
Brandin Cooks did not do much this week, but he played
in 92% of the Ramsí snaps. Better days are ahead.
Donte Moncrief played 90% of the snaps and did nothing
with them, dropping multiple catchable passes. Bench him, maybe
Mecole Hardman played 60 snaps for the Chiefs (78%).
He did not have a catch, but that is telling that he was on the
field for virtually every snap once Tyreek Hill left with injury.
They were not prepared to use him in Week 1, but he is next on
the depth chart and is a great pick up this week.
It is unclear who will replace Devin Funchess in the
lineup after his collarbone injury. Several Colts played a similar
percentage of snaps (Deon Cain 17%, Parris Campbell 29%, Zach Pascal 37%, Chester Rogers 40%). Ironically Cain has the most
potential as an outside threat, but keep an eye on snap percentages
in Week 2.
A.J. Brown put up 100 receiving yards in only 22 snaps
(43%). He is one to keep an eye on, even in a run-first offense.
Kyle Rudolph played in 100% of the Vikings snaps, but
put up no stats. That is a function of the Vikings only throwing
10 passes, and dominating the game thoroughly. They simply didnít
need to throw the ball, and wanted to control the clock instead.
Rudolph will rebound!
played in only 73% of snaps and still dominated. I do not believe
his Week 1 was a fluke. He is the next big thing at tight end.
Eric Ebron was in for 25 snaps; Jack Doyle was in for
43. Ebronís value is capped without Luck on the field.
Blake Bell, the number two tight end for the Chiefs,
was in on 47 snaps. He could have value this season in the right
matchup or situation, or if you are desperate for tight end help.
Mark Andrews put up a monster game (8 receptions, 108
yards, and a touchdown) and was in the game for only 43 snaps
(42%). When he is on the field, he is the first place Lamar Jackson
looks on many plays.
Likewise, Delanie Walker had a huge game but only played
on 29 snaps (48%)! He is also the first read for Mariota much
of the time.