While there may be a few leagues in which you are truly toast, I
want to remind you that in the vast majority of situations you can
still turn this season around. Conversely, if your team is rocking,
you can also be hit by the Covid or injury bug and see your fortunes
head in the wrong direction. It is important in both situations
to continue studying what is really going on in each game, each
week, so you can make the best possible moves and put yourself in
a position to win. Below I will dive into the usage data for the
Week 6 games and see what we can learn.
Running Back
In what should have been an excellent spot for David Montgomery,
he produced only 97 yards of total offense, including 4 receptions
for 39 yards. He didn’t kill you since the receiving work
was there, but 19 carries for only 58 yards against a poor rush
defense shows just how poor the Chicago offensive line has been.
He played on 85% of the snaps, so he should remain in most lineups.
But temper your expectations.
We may have finally seen the passing of the torch in Detroit.
Still, Patricia played D’Andre Swift on only 38% of snaps,
Adrian Peterson on 35%, and Kerryon Johnson on 22%. But Swift
went from barely carrying the ball before the bye to receiving
14 carries in Week 6. He turned those into 116 yards and two
scores on the ground. Those results should be enough to get
additional rushing work moving forward, but we’ll have
to wait and see.
Nothing could have prepared us for the awful day out of Alexander Mattison against a poor Falcons defense. Not only did see just
10 carries for a measly 26 yards, but he also only played on
48% of the snaps. The Vikings played Ameer Abdullah on 29% and
Mike Boone on 9%. If you played Mattison, take solace in the
fact that you did the right thing, even though the result was
terrible.
Phillip Lindsay was the best player on the Broncos’
offense on Sunday. He returned from injury and ran for 101 yards
on 23 carries against a good Patriots defense. It will be interesting
to see how snaps are split once Melvin Gordon returns.
Belichick went all Belichick with the running backs on Sunday.
He gave White 31 snaps, Burkhead 18 snaps, and Harris 12 snaps.
Harris had 6 carries, Burkhead 5, and White 4, but White had
9 targets (8-65). It appears that White is again the only back
worthy of flex consideration on this team.
J.D. McKissic led Washington backs in snaps, at 53%. Antonio Gibson played on only 37%. McKissic had 14 touches while Gibson
had 13. It is now a pretty even split, which is not what I expected
after recent comments from Ron Rivera about giving Gibson more
work. McKissic is a nice option if you need a back who will
get touches, since he is in on a lot on passing downs and Washington
will trail often.
Mark Ingram’s time seems to have come. He played on
only 9 snaps, while Dobbins played on 30 and Gus Edwards played
on 32. Dobbins received 9 carries and 4 targets, while Edwards
received 14 carries. Ingram (ankle) received only 5 carries.
If Dobbins is on your wire, he makes a nice addition, especially
if the Ravens add to his workload over the course of the season.
With Miles Sanders injuring his knee, I could see the Eagles
giving Jason Huntley a shot at some carries. The rookie is extremely
fast and is a name to keep in mind if Sanders is out for a while.
It seems they see Boston Scott as a change-of-pace back and
I don’t see him getting double-digit carries.
Myles Gaskin continues to play well as the lead back in Miami,
and has likely cemented his role as the starter for the rest
of the season. He played on 70% of the snaps and took 18 carries
for 91 yards, and also caught 4 balls for 35 yards. He is a
good play in decent matchups moving forward.
On only 57% of the snaps, Ronald Jones had a huge day on
the ground (23-113-2). Arians continues to rotate him out for
third downs, even for the ineffective LeSean McCoy. It remains
to be seen what the split of carries will look like once Leonard Fournette returns, but Jones owners are hoping his three good
performances in a row will relegate Fournette to back-up duty.
Knowing Arians’ history, don’t count on it.
Darrell Henderson played on 53% of the snaps and Malcolm Brown played on 45%. But Henderson got almost all the rushing
work (14-88) while Brown only got 2 carries and Akers got zero
touches. For now, Henderson is the starter and the back to own.
In what many were seeing as his send-off as a starter, Clyde Edwards-Helaire made a statement for why he should continue
to be the lead back in Kansas City. He took 26 carries for 161
yards, regularly making nice reads and showing off his vision
and elusiveness. He played on 67% of the snaps, and it is anyone’s
guess how snaps will be split moving forward. My take is that
Le’Veon Bell will play around 45% of the snaps, CEH on
around 40%, and the other backs will get the scraps.
Kenyan Drake
finally showed something in Week 6, running hard between the
tackles and not dancing behind the line. It paid off, leading
to 164 yards and two scores, on 68% of the snaps. He also relegated
Chase Edmonds
to only 6 touches. If he continues to play like this, he could
return to being a top RB option. Just keep in mind it was against
the Cowboys.
Wide Receiver
For the first time this season, it looked like D.J. Moore
was the WR1 in Carolina. Like most weeks, both Moore and Anderson
played virtually every snap (94% & 87%), but Moore received
a whopping 11 targets on Sunday while Anderson received only
5. Moore only caught 5 of those targets, but the fact that he
Bridgewater was looking for him often is encouraging.
Some (myself included) thought we had seen the end of the
A.J. Green era in Cincinnati. But Green had a nice bounce-back
game in Week 6. He played on 79% of the snaps (Tee Higgins was
on 81% and Boyd on 78%, so they were in the game together on
almost every snap). Green received the most targets of the bunch
with 11, and caught 8 for 96 yards. Both he and Higgins (6-125
on 8 targets) are good weekly plays.
T.Y. Hilton is either a bench stash or a cut after this disastrous
week. In a great spot against Cincinnati he produced 1 reception
for 11 yards, on 5 targets. He led receivers in snaps, playing
on 94%. I honestly don’t know what’s gone wrong
for Hilton, but I will have to see several weeks of production
to even consider playing him again.
Zach Pascal, on the other hand, played virtually every snap
as well (92%) and produced nicely (4-54-1 on 7 targets). His
playing time will decrease once Michael Pittman returns, but
in the short term he is a nice option to fill in for you if
you need help at wide receiver.
Marcus Johnson is a name that will get some attention on
the waiver wire this week. He played on 62% of the snaps for
the Colts and received 8 targets (5-108). His status is very
tenuous, assuming Pittman returns somewhat soon, but he may
be worth grabbing if you are desperate.
Marvin Jones played on 81% of the snaps, leading all skill
players, but only had 2 receptions for 8 yards. He did receive
5 targets, which was behind only Golladay at 6, but it was yet
another disappointing day. It was likely due to the Lions getting
up early and never being threatened, so I would recommend holding
Jones if you have him. You should just only consider starting
him if they are against a good offense, in a game where the
Lions will have to throw often.
Jags’ WR target numbers: Chark 14, Cole 9, Shenault
7. In a game where they fell behind big, Minshew threw it often,
peppering his top three receivers. But the Detroit defense played
well, holding Chark to only 7-45 and Shenault to 3-10. Cole
did produce (6-143). All are options in good matchups, but it’s
just difficult to tell what defenses Minshew will be able to
move the ball against.
Justin Jefferson is emerging into a stud WR. He played on
89% of the snaps and received 11 targets (more than double Thielen’s
5). He caught 9 of them for 166 yards and two scores! He is
a weekly must-play, particularly against softer defenses where
a shootout is possible.
It appears Tim Patrick will be the WR1 for the rest of the
season in Denver. He played on 92% of snaps and received 8 targets,
finishing with 4-101. If he is still on your wire, I recommend
grabbing him. As Lock improves, he will have a decent amount
of upside.
It’s Terry McLaurin and everyone else in Washington.
He received 12 targets (7-74) and played on 96% of the snaps.
Kyle Allen also played a decent game on Sunday, which could
bode well for McLaurin moving forward.
Travis Fulgham has taken over as the primary outside receiver
for the Eagles, playing on 81% of the snaps and receiving 10
targets (6-75-1). It is possible that Jeffery, Jackson, or Reagor
will unseat him, but it is entirely possible they do not. Fulgham
is playing excellent football and I could see him continuing
to start for the whole season, especially since the Eagles do
not appear to be going anywhere in 2020.
Just a note here to mention that Jalen Reagor is likely to
return from the short-term IR soon, so if he is on your wire
he is worth picking up.
Chase Claypool led all Steelers WRs in snaps, playing on
78%. James Washington was next with 66%, and then JuJu with
65%. Juju appears to be fading as a fantasy asset, and I would
bench him if I had comparable options, until he shows more.
That day may not come.
Houston has a condensed number of skill players and they
all play a lot. That adds to the intrigue for Will Fuller (92%
and 11 targets) and Brandin Cooks (88% and 9 targets) moving
forward.
Adam Humphries played on only 55% of the snaps but made them
count. He got 6 targets and caught them all for 64 yards and
a score. As long as Corey Davis is out, he is a sneaky play.
Both Breshad Perriman and Jamison Crowder played on 89% of
the snaps for the Jets. They were targeted 8 and 13 times, respectively.
If the offense can ever get going, it appears they will be the
primary players to benefit, making Perriman worth keeping an
eye on.
Brandon Aiyuk led 49ers receivers with 85% of the snaps,
but he only received 3 targets (2-12-1). Deebo Samuel (6 targets)
and Kittle (10 targets) seem to still be Garoppolo’s favorite
targets, so Aiyuk will likely continue to have up and down production.
John Brown played on 96% of the snaps against the Chiefs
but caught zero balls, on 4 targets. The snap count is encouraging,
but you should probably sit Brown until he shows signs of life.
Christian Kirk played on 81% of the snaps and caught two
touchdowns, but he only had three targets. This passing offense
is going to be frustrating for all but Hopkins owners, but Kirk
should be owned and looks like the second option in the passing
game.
Tight Ends
Jimmy Graham continues to play most snaps (68% in Week 6).
Although it was rookie Cole Kmet who scored a touchdown this
week, Graham received 8 targets, which was only behind Allen Robinson (9), and posted 5 catches for 34 yards. He is not an
exciting option, but it looks like he will be steady for the
rest of the season.
Drew Sample played on 75% of the snaps but did not catch
his lone target. It is tough to bench tight ends in a pass-happy
offense who are playing so much, but Sample has to be benched
or dropped until he shows he can produce consistently.
Trey Burton was fantastic on Sunday, producing for the third
straight week. It seems he’s found a niche in the Indy
offense. He played on 56% of the snaps, and received 5 targets
(4-58-1). He also rushed one in for a score. With how dire the
TE landscape is, Burton is a must-add if you need help at the
position.
James O’Shaughnessy played on 75% of the snaps after
Tyler Eifert left with a neck injury, but he caught zero balls
on only one target. This offense doesn’t utilize tight
ends much and no Jags’ tight end is a good play as a result.
Hayden Hurst played on 85% of the snaps and caught all 4
of his targets for 57 yards and a score. It seems that all fantasy
owners aside from the owners of Kelce and Kittle will have to
gamble at tight end weekly, and Hurst is a nice option if he’s
on your roster. He is at least more predictable than Mike Gesicki!
Irv Smith had his second productive week in a row, turning
5 targets into 4 receptions for 55 yards. He played on 79% of
the snaps, a very nice number that hints that the coaching staff
is making an effort to get him more involved.
Logan Thomas played on 86% of the snaps (about his average
this season) but actually produced this week with Kyle Allen
playing relatively well. He caught 3 balls for 42 yards and
a score, on 4 targets. He remains a streaming option for those
desperate at the position.
Mark Andrews’ poor week is not all that surprising
when you consider that he only played on 51% of the snaps, while
Nick Boyle played on 77%. The Ravens did not have to throw it
much and were in control of the game most of the way. Better
days are ahead for Andrews, even if he’s only playing
half the snaps.
Zach Ertz received 10 targets but only caught 4 of them,
and then was injured (ankle). He is unlikely to play in Week
7, but Dallas Goedert is set to return from short-term IR. If
Goedert is on your wire, make him your top-priority add.
David Njoku has requested a trade from the Browns, after
he played on only 23 snaps on Sunday vs. the Steelers. Hooper
played on 40 snaps and rookie Harrison Bryant played on 21 snaps.
If Njoku is traded, he could be a very nice option down the
stretch, so keep him in mind as a waiver option.
With Jordan Akins out, Darren Fells played on 88% of the
snaps and saw 7 targets (6-85-1). Watch the next few weeks to
see if Fells has earned himself extra playing time even when
Akins returns.
Anthony Firkser had a huge Week 6, but much of it was due
to Jonnu Smith going down with an ankle injury in the first
half. Firkser finished with 9 targets and caught 8 for 113 and
a score. Tannehill threw it 41 times as the Titans were in comeback
mode, and Smith was out for most of the game, so don’t
overreact to this line.
Mike Gesicki played on 66% of the snaps and did not have
a target. The Dolphins were in control and did not have to pass,
but the other two tight ends both caught touchdowns. I am dropping
Gesicki in many leagues, as his inconsistency can kill even
good teams. If he’s your best option, just be prepared
that he can always put up a goose egg for you.
Rob Gronkowski played on 85% of the snaps and received 8
targets (5-78-1). He looks slow and clunky out there, but he
is producing. As long as he continues to get 5 or more targets,
he is a must-play option.
Kevin Scott is a fantasy pro who is the co-host for The Lowdown
Fantasy Football Podcast. He plays in over 40 leagues annually and
has made over $100,000 playing fantasy football. You can follow
him @kevinscottff.