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Josh Allen, BUF: Allen's has increased his fantasy production each year he's been in the league.
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Patrick Mahomes, KC: Will loss of Hill ding Mahomes' value? QB will need to spread the ball around in 2022.
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Justin Herbert, LAC: Had nine 300-yd games in 2021. You'll find Herbert near the top of the QB stats in 2022.
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Tom Brady, TB: 5300 yards, 43 TDs at age 44.
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Kyler Murray, ARI: Murray's best receiving weapon will miss the first six weeks.
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Dak Prescott, DAL: Downturn in rushing was made up for with 37 passing TDs in 2021.
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Jalen Hurts, PHI: Not impressive as a passer but off-season couldn't have gone better for him.
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Joe Burrow, CIN: Appendectomy will cost him a couple weeks in camp. Likely hit the high end of his range last season.
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Lamar Jackson, BAL: Most dynamic runner at the position.
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Matthew Stafford, LAR: Elbow issue is something to watch. 41 TDs will be tough to duplicate.
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Russell Wilson, DEN: Was his down year in 2021 the beginning of a trend? Denver hopes not.
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Aaron Rodgers, GB: How will Rodgers fare without a stud WR? Last time he threw double-digit INTs was 2010.
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Kirk Cousins, MIN: 35 and 33 passing TD the last two seasons. The low-end QB1 you feel ambivalent about drafting.
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Derek Carr, LV: Carr has the weapons to outperform his ADP but he'll need 30-plus passing TDs due to lack of rushing.
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Trey Lance, SF: Borderline QB1 given rushing ability.
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Ryan Tannehill, TEN: Back-to-back seasons with 7 rushing TDs. Loss of A.J. torpedoes Tannehill's fantasy value.
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Tua Tagovailoa, MIA: If Tua continues to be mediocre, it won't be for a lack of weapons.
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Justin Fields, CHI: Rushing ability is intriguing but team lacks weapons and outlook is poor.
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Trevor Lawrence, JAC: Disastrous rookie year (12 TDs, 17 INTs) will have Lawrence cheap in drafts.
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Matt Ryan, IND: A good fit for Indy's offense but doesn't move the needle in fantasy. QB2.
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Jared Goff, DET: Goff (QB23 last season) will need to play well if all of these mouths are going to get fed.
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Zach Wilson, NYJ: Knee injury suffered Preseason Week 1. Struggled as rookie but has a better supporting cast in Year 2.
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Carson Wentz, WAS: Too inconsistent for NFL teams but better that what's available. Mid-range QB2.
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Mac Jones, NE: Finished as QB26 last season. Not enough juice to warrant consideration in redraft leagues.
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Davis Mills, HOU: Off the fantasy radar but someone to keep an eye on in 2-QB leagues.
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Deshaun Watson, CLE: Six-game suspension handed down by arbitrator will likely be increased.
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Daniel Jones, NYG: Fantasy owners will need to see it before they believe it with Jones. New regime could make it happen.
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Jameis Winston, NO: With Taysom Hill focusing on TE, the job is Winston's alone. Coming off mid-season ACL tear.
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Marcus Mariota, ATL: Rushing ability is intriguing but lacks weapons and team outlook is poor.
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Baker Mayfield, CAR: Move has been made. Frontrunner to start Week 1.
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Drew Lock, SEA: Camp battle with Geno Smith. Yuck. Baker Mayfield a possibility.
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Kenny Pickett, PIT: Camp battle with Mitchell Trubisky. Avoid.
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Sam Darnold, CAR: Likely to lose QB competition with Baker.
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Jimmy Garoppolo, SF: Permission to seek trade has been granted. Has been cleared (shoulder) to start practicing.
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= Upside
= Risk
