was an interesting week for lineup construction with the most popular
build locking in Kareem Hunt and Melvin Gordon at running back with
Ryan Fitzpatrick at quarterback. The choices you made at receiver
would largely define your day. Some people were able to choose wisely…
others did not.
Here’s a look at my cash game Lineup for Fanduel in Week
With Patrick Mahomes being priced $1100 higher than any other
quarterback, it made sense to pay down at the position, as it
typically does. Still, there were some quality options at the
high end including Aaron Rodgers ($8600), Matt Ryan ($8500) and
Philip Rivers ($8200) but ultimately landing in the mid-range
with Ryan Fitzpatrick ($7600) or Baker Mayfield ($7400) was going
to be optimal. Most took this approach as Fitzpatrick was 58 percent
owned in this double-up contest I’m highlighting while Ryan
(1.5%), Rodgers (4.4%) and Rivers (5.6%) had much lower ownership.
At the low end of the pay scale, Marcus Mariota ($6700) was somewhat
popular (5.6% owned) as an extreme salary saver and delivered
more than enough bang for his buck, outscoring Rodgers, Rivers,
Ryan and Fitzpatrick in Week 10.
I wasn’t overly excited with Fitzpatrick’s matchup
against the Redskins even though Washington ranks in the top 10
of fantasy points allowed to QBs, but given the pass-happy ways
in Tampa, plus Fitzpatrick playing at home, was more than enough
to make me feel good about him as my cash game QB. He became a
foundation piece early in the week and I never really gave serious
consideration moving off him.
I messed around with lineups containing Kareem Hunt ($9000),
Melvin Gordon ($8900) and Alvin Kamara ($8800), but could never
get comfortable enough at the wide receiver position to make it
work. In the end, I took the approach that many others did and
locked in Hunt and Gordon who were both double digit favorites
with high TD expectations. Both running backs were 70-plus percent
owned with Gordon topping the 80 percent ownership level in most
cash games. While still a good play, Kamara had some workload
concerns in a game where it was easy to speculate Mark Ingram
($6800) getting a few more touches than normal against a pitiful
Bengals defense that ranks in the top five in fantasy points allowed
My third choice at running back was between Dion Lewis ($5800)
and Mike Davis ($5800). Lewis had seemingly become the favorite
option in the Titans backfield the last two games out-touching
Derrick Henry 42 to 22 and figured to get all of the passing down
work should Tennessee find themselves in a hole to the Patriots.
Throw in some revenge game narrative for Lewis and he quickly
became my favorite over Davis who I thought would see the bulk
of work for the Seahawks but did had concerns Pete Carroll could
surprise us with more Rashaad Penny or C.J. Prosise than expected.
David Johnson ($6900) was the sharp play as it seems like the
switch of offensive coordinators is having the desired effect
we hoped it would - more David Johnson in space and in the passing
game. The matchup was beautiful but I wasn’t fully on board
with the Cardinals keeping this game close and didn’t feel
comfortable coming off Hunt or Gordon or finding the $1100 elsewhere
to improve off of Lewis.
Optimal lineup construction limited you to one high-priced receiver
or two in the high mid-range. Julio Jones ($8700), Davante Adams
($8600) and Michael Thomas ($8600) all were viable options if
you wanted to pay up at the position but I felt most comfortable
in the mid-range with Josh Gordon ($6700) who seemed a bit underpriced
given his role in the offense and an expected 7-9 looks with a
high aDOT. Marquez Valdes-Scantling ($5400) seemed like a great
salary saver who was locked into a starting role with Geronimo Allison out and Randall Cobb declared inactive on Sunday. The
last time MVS was in the position, he saw 10 targets in a loss
to Detroit and 6 targets for 103 yards against the 49ers. MVS
was 64.6% owned in this double-up.
Tyler Boyd was a consideration most of the week but I felt like
the loss of A.J. Green would really hamper the offense and wasn’t
confident Boyd would be able to take over a leadership role. I
considered a Boyd – Golladay pairing along with MVS but
felt like that grouping had too many question marks and contained
a lower floor than I felt comfortable with.
I had a 1 v 1 at the wide receiver position and ultimately it
decided my fate. With $7600 left, I had access to Tyreek Hill
($7600), Mike Evans ($7500), or Robert Woods ($7500). I liked
all the Rams receivers including Cooper Kupp but trying to parse
between these guys on a weekly basis is challenging. I quickly
ruled out Woods and focused my attention on the Hill vs. Evans
debate. I liked Hill quite a bit especially with Sammy Watkins
out but felt like Evans’ floor was a bit safer. This was
a coin-flip for me that I debated all the way to lineup lock and
somehow I knew this decision was going to make or break my DFS
week. Ultimately, I decided to use Evans in my cash lineup and
ran a Mahomes-Hill stack in tournaments.
What a dumpster fire this was. There’s wasn’t a lot
to like at the position this week and most (50.3%) decided to
use Jordan Reed ($5200) who’s been terrible most of the
season but did have the benefit of the Redskins being down Jamison Crowder and Paul Richardson. If you couldn’t stomach paying
up for Travis Kelce ($8000), then Jack Doyle ($5600), Jared Cook
($5500), David Njoku ($5400) were all up for consideration. Doyle
owners like me could only watch and tilt as Eric Ebron continued
to troll us with touchdown after touchdown while playing far fewer
snaps with a significant smaller target share.
Gordon ($8900)) was an early-week lock as part of my 3-headed
RB group that I routinely use in Fanduel cash. He was a no-brainer
given his usage in the running and passing game against a Raiders
team that’s thrown in the towel.
One bright spot in my losing lineup was the Redskins-D ($3400)
which I used a bit of a hedge against Fitzpatrick who we all know
has a propensity for turnovers. If Fitzpatrick was going to have
a bad game, it stands to reason the Redskins-D would benefit.
It was also well with the range of outcomes for both to have solid
performances as long as Fitzpatrick didn’t get benched…
something that concerns me less than other analysts. I would’ve
been more than happy for a combined 33 points from my quarterback
and defense regardless if it was Fitzpatrick finishing with 28
points and the Redskins posting a 5 or the result that actually
happened. This kind of scenario doesn’t show itself every
week, but every once in a while the salaries and matchups make
it a viable strategy.
It didn’t take long for the tilt to begin as Hill racked
up 75 yards and a touchdown on the Chiefs opening drive. Being
a Chiefs fan eased the pain a bit and all I could was hope Evans
could muster up a solid performance. Needless to say, the tilt
only increased as the early games concluded with Evans dropping
a TD from Fitzpatrick late in the fourth quarter. Derrick Henry,
Ebron and Davante Adams combined for 7 touchdowns soaking up all
the scoring opportunities for Lewis, Doyle and MVS. Outside of
my 1 v 1 at wide receiver, there really isn’t a lot I felt
-uncomfortable about prior to lock. Given that I had Fitzpatrick
as my QB, I probably should have come off Evans for Hill at wide
receiver given the likely TD options were condensed in KC with
Watkins out of the lineup. The “L” moves me to 7-3
on the season in 50-50’s and double-ups. We’ll try
and hop back on the winning side next week.