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Week 11



Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons
Game Preview & Fantasy | Results & Schedule | Offense Stats | Defense Stats | Weather | History

Game Preview
Mike Krueger

Predicted Score: Buccaneers 17, Falcons 7

Tampa Bay: The Bucs sit atop the hapless NFC South which isn't saying much but they are in first place and are getting closer to full strength as running back Michael Pittman, tight end Alex Smith, and wide receiver Michael Clayton are all expected to be available this week. The return of Pittman could cut into the playing time of Earnest Graham who's coming off a 34-carry 124-yd performance against Arizona. Clayton has been a non-factor in the Bucs passing game so his return is a non-factor as Garcia routinely looks to Joey Galloway for big plays downfield. Tampa is the better team although their road record (1-3) leaves something to be desired. Let's see if they can buck the trend (sorry) and beat a below-average team on the road.

  • Start: WR Joey Galloway
  • Consider: RB Earnest Graham
  • Sit: TE Alex Smith, QB Jeff Garcia, WR Ike Hilliard, TE Jerramy Stevens

Atlanta: Before you start buying your playoff tickets Falcons' fans, your two-game winning streak came against teams (SF, CAR) with a combined record of 6-12. Amazingly enough this team is only 2 games back of the division leading Bucs… such is the NFC South. Atlanta has got some production out of there running game with Warrick Dunn topping the 100 total yards the last two weeks but that should quickly come to an end with Jerious Norwood back healthy, frustrating fantasy owners in the process. The Falcons are also contemplating a QB change as head coach Bobby Petrino has yet to name a starter but did make clear that Byron Leftwich, once healthy, would return to the lineup. Leftwich did practice Wednesday with the second-team offense.

  • Start: N/A
  • Consider: RB Warrick Dunn, WR Roddy White
  • Sit: TE Alge Crumpler, RB Jerious Norwood, QB Joey Harrington, WR Joe Horn, WR Michael Jenkins




Krueger's Rankings/Projections 
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Rank Player Projections
QB 18 Jeff Garcia Pass: 210, 1 Rush: 0, 0
RB 17 Earnest Graham Questionable: Ankle Rush: 75, 1 Rec: 2-10, 0
RB 42 Michael Bennett Rush: 10, 0 Rec: 1-10, 0
RB 43 Michael Pittman Questionable: Ankle Rush: 10, 0 Rec: 1-10, 0
WR 15 Joey Galloway Rec: 5-75, 1
WR 48 Ike Hilliard Probable: Calf Rec: 4-45, 0
WR 87 Michael Clayton Questionable: Ankle Rec: 1-20, 0
TE 29 Jerramy Stevens Rec: 2-20, 0
 
Atlanta Falcons
Rank Player Projections
QB 27 Joey Harrington Pass: 180, 1 Rush: 0, 0
RB 21 Warrick Dunn Rush: 75, 0 Rec: 1-10, 0
RB 48 Jerious Norwood Probable: Ankle Rush: 15, 0 Rec: 0-0, 0
WR 29 Roddy White Rec: 6-80, 0
WR 70 Michael Jenkins Rec: 3-35, 0
WR 89 Joe Horn Doubtful: Hamstring Rec: 1-15, 0
TE 20 Alge Crumpler Rec: 3-35, 0

View all Week 11 Rankings or Projections
Past Results and Remaining Schedule
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Week Date Opp H/A Score Dif
1 2007-09-09 SEA A L 6-20 -14
2 2007-09-16 NO H W 31-14 +17
3 2007-09-23 STL H W 24-3 +21
4 2007-09-30 CAR A W 20-7 +13
5 2007-10-07 IND A L 14-33 -19
6 2007-10-14 TEN H W 13-10 +3
7 2007-10-21 DET A L 16-23 -7
8 2007-10-28 JAC H L 23-24 -1
9 2007-11-04 ARI H W 17-10 +7
10   Bye      
11 2007-11-18 ATL A W 31-7 +24
12 2007-11-25 WAS H    
13 2007-12-02 NO A    
14 2007-12-09 HOU A    
15 2007-12-16 ATL H    
16 2007-12-23 SF A    
17 2007-12-30 CAR H    
Atlanta Falcons
Week Date Opp H/A Score Dif
1 2007-09-09 MIN A L 3-24 -21
2 2007-09-16 JAC A L 7-13 -6
3 2007-09-23 CAR H L 20-27 -7
4 2007-09-30 HOU H W 26-16 +10
5 2007-10-07 TEN A L 13-20 -7
6 2007-10-15 NYG H L 10-31 -21
7 2007-10-21 NO A L 16-22 -6
8   Bye      
9 2007-11-04 SF H W 20-16 +4
10 2007-11-11 CAR A W 20-13 +7
11 2007-11-18 TB H L 7-31 -24
12 2007-11-22 IND H    
13 2007-12-02 STL A    
14 2007-12-10 NO H    
15 2007-12-16 TB A    
16 2007-12-23 ARI A    
17 2007-12-30 SEA H    

Offense Stats Comparison
  TB
 Offense 
ATL
 Offense 
NFL
 Average 
Points for 15.7 16.3 21.3
Rushing yards 96.7 96.7 108.2
Rushing yards per attempt 3.81 4.06 3.95
Completion % 66.9% 56.7% 61.4%
Passing yards 237.0 167.0 213.6
Passing yards per completion 10.17 8.86 10.44
Passing yards per attempt 6.80 5.02 6.41
Interceptions 0.3 0.7 1.1
Fumbles lost 0.3 0.0 0.7
Sacked 2.0 2.3 2.0
Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game through Weeks 5 to 10 of the 2007 season after deducting the best and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per pass completion, yards per pass attempt and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on totals through Weeks 5 to 10 with no adjustment.

Defense Stats Comparison
  TB
 Defense 
ATL
 Defense 
NFL
 Average 
Points against 19.0 19.3 21.3
Rushing yards 125.3 99.7 108.2
Rushing yards per attempt 3.57 4.09 3.95
Completion % 60.6% 57.2% 61.4%
Passing yards 174.7 173.7 213.6
Passing yards per completion 10.40 9.69 10.44
Passing yards per attempt 6.30 5.54 6.41
INT return 0.7 2.0 1.1
Fumble recoveries 0.0 1.0 0.7
Sacks 1.7 1.0 2.0
 

Weather
Dome stadium

Team vs. Team History
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Atlanta Falcons
 Season   Week   Date   Vis   Home   Score   Winner 
2000 10 2000-11-05 TB ATL 27-14 TB
2002 5 2002-10-06 TB ATL 20-6 TB
2002 14 2002-12-08 ATL TB 10-34 TB
2003 3 2003-09-21 TB ATL 31-10 TB
2003 16 2003-12-20 ATL TB 30-28 ATL
2004 10 2004-11-14 TB ATL 14-24 ATL
2004 13 2004-12-05 ATL TB 0-27 TB
2005 11 2005-11-20 TB ATL 30-27 TB
2005 16 2005-12-24 ATL TB 24-27 TB
2006 2 2006-09-17 TB ATL 3-14 ATL
2006 14 2006-12-10 ATL TB 17-6 ATL
Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2006 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.




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