Each week weíll review some interesting data points related
to player usage; information I consider to be among the most predictive
and actionable in fantasy football. The truth doesnít always
lie in the stats but usage tells the story of how a coaching staff
intends to utilize a player.
Here are some of the most important usage statistics for Week 12:
The Jags coaching staff was serious when they said
they wanted to get back to riding Leonard Fournette after he
played on only 71% of the snaps in Week 11. Although the Jaguars
trailed throughout the game, they stayed committed to the run,
and Fournette played on 95% of the snaps. He received 24 carries
(97 yards and 2 TDs) and also received a team-high 12 targets
(9-62). He should be relied on by all fantasy owners down the
Miles Sanders played almost all of the snaps (84%)
and again did very little on the scoreboard (12-63, 3-23).
However, he did average 5.3 ypc, so he is certainly capable
of if he could get a larger workload. Keep an eye on whether
Jordan Howard returns in Week 13, as the Eagles get the Dolphins.
Jonathan Williams started for the Colts and played
on 67% of the snaps. Even though Jordan Wilkins was active,
we found out afterward that he was only going to be used in
case of emergency. Williams had another stellar performance
(26-104-1, 3-17), so it is reasonable to expect him to garner
another start in Week 13 against the Titans.
David Montgomery received 62% of the snaps but again
failed to produce behind a poor Bears offensive line (13-22,
2-9). He is unusable the rest of this season.
Brian Hill played on 59% of the snaps, and yet again
produced a poor line (9-14, 3-13). He was playing against
a good rush defense, but he was out-produced by rookie Qadree Ollison (8-20-1), so it appears his chances are running out.
Nick Chubb saw his snap share decrease to 57% (the
same as Kareem Hunt), but he dominated in rushing touches
(21 rushes to Huntís 8). He also received 4 targets
to Huntís 3, showing he is still the clear-cut starter
on this team. Both, however, should be very usable down the
It is unclear what the Denver coaching staff is trying
to do with their running backs. In Week 12 Royce Freeman out-snapped
Lindsay (56% to 54%), a switch from Week 11, but Lindsay still
received 14 touches to Freemanís 4. This strange snap
count situation was likely due to the Broncos falling behind
and going into their hurry-up offense, as they prefer Freeman
in passing-down situations for some reason. Lindsay produced
13-57, but did not get enough opportunities.
Aaron Jones and Jamaal Williams split the snaps 51%
to 49%. While Jones had two more carries, he received only
1 target while Williams received 8! This is utterly flabbergasting
since Jones has shown himself to be an excellent pass-catcher,
but it seems this is the role they like for Williams. Williams
also received 11 carries which is particularly frustrating
for Jonesí fantasy owners, as this situation makes both
tough to trust. Owners will have to hope for better results
against opponents who are easier to move the ball against.
Bo Scarbrough played on 51% of the snaps and produced
18-98. Although it seems futile to trust any Detroit running
back, this commitment by the coaching staff was nice to see.
Sony Michel played his most snaps since Week 6, and
dominated the running back carries. He produced 20-85, a 4.3
ypc, but when he doesnít get in the end zone he is not
worth starting since heís a zero in the pass game. He
should be avoided in fantasy unless you are in a pinch.
The crazy Tampa Bay backfield situation continues.
In the past five weeks Ronald Jonesí snap share has
been: 27%, 53%, 47%, 31%, 50%. It is nearly impossible to
know when he will receive adequate work, so he is only a desperation
play. In Week 12 he scored a touchdown, but he only received
15 touches to Barberís 11.
Chris Carson saw his touches diminish in Week 12
as Rashaad Penny got hot. Carson played on 54% and Penny on
46% (Pennyís highest of the season), and Penny got more
and more touches as the game went on. Carson finished with
8-26 (3.3 ypc) and 4 receptions for 31 yards, while Penny
finished with 14-129 (9.2 ypc). Penny also scored. This is
a very important situation to keep an eye on, as Penny may
move into the starting role making him a must-grab if heís
on the wire.
Those hoping to see Derrius Guice get a true shot
at a starter workload were disappointed. He played on only
43% of the snaps, and while that is up from last week, it
was still not enough for him to make a significant fantasy
impact. Both Guice and Peterson received 10 carries, and both
caught one pass.
Josh Jacobs saw his snap share fall to the lowest
of the season (39%). He also had a terrible day production-wise
(10-34, 1-2). He was pulled when the game got out of hand,
and those who have been counting on Jacobs to have a big finish
to the year have to be disappointed with this effort against
the Jets. He should be able to rebound in Week 13 against
the Chiefsí poor rushing defense.
Jaylen Samuels has apparently fallen out of favor
with the Steelers coaches. Even with Conner inactive, Samuels
played on only 30% of snaps, and received only 5 touches.
Benny Snell was the clear lead-back without Conner, and he
played on 49% of the snaps (21-98). If Conner is again out
in Week 13, Snell is the play.
DeVante Parker seems to have turned a corner in Miami.
He played on 100% of snaps for the first time this season and
again led the team in receiving (6-91).
Tyler Boyd finally returned to relevance in Week
12 (5-101-1). He played on every offensive snap.
Odell Beckham Jr. and Jarvis Landry played on 99%
and 93% of snaps respectively, and both produced against the
Dolphins (as expected). Owners were relieved to see Beckham
score for only the second time this season, but it was Landry
who again was the teamís leading receiver (10-148-2).
He is on the same page as Mayfield and can be trusted down
Amari Cooper played on 81% of snaps but was held
without a catch by Stephon Gilmore and the Patriots. Meanwhile,
Michael Gallup played on 98% of snaps and produced 4-55, and
Randall Cobb played on only 45% of the snaps and produced
4-86. Cooperís up-and-down career continues to frustrate
With Alshon Jeffery out, Jordan Matthews played on
96% of snaps but only produced 3-27. He is not able to separate
well enough and was released by the Eagles today.
Sterling Shepard returned after his concussion issues
and played on 95% of snaps. However, he produced only 5-15,
while Darius Slayton (4-67) and Golden Tate (3-33-1) were
much more productive. It may take him a bit to get on the
same page with Daniel Jones.
Allen Hurnsí upward trajectory continues, as
he played on 90% of snaps on Sunday and produced 4-42-1. He
is a worthy add for teams in need of WR help down the stretch.
Will Fuller returned from his hamstring injury and
had another huge game (7-140). With his injury history he
is difficult to trust, but he is also so able to have a huge
game any time he is on the field.
D.K. Metcalf played on 88% of the snaps and led the
team with 6 targets (3-35). Similarly, Lockett played on 86%
and had only 1 catch. Seattle struggled passing the ball against
an improving Eagles defense.
No Colts receiver is a good play the rest of the
way, unless T.Y. Hilton can prove he is fully recovered. In
Week 12, Hilton played on only 37% of the snaps (3-18), and
Zach Pascal (88%), Marcus Johnson (63%), and Chester Rogers
(61%) produced 12 yards total! Until the Colts show they can
pass the ball consistently, you cannot start any of them.
Cole Beasley had a nice day, playing on 81% of the
snaps and producing 6-76-1. He had 9 targets while John Brown
had only 4. Against above-average defenses, Beasley seems
to benefit as he is excellent at getting open despite the
coverage. The Bills play good defenses the rest of the way
(Cowboys, Ravens, Steelers, Patriots, and Jets), so look for
Beasley to have a nice finish to the season.
NíKeal Harryís usage jumped to 81% in
Week 12 with several Patriots starters out with injuries.
In terrible weather he had a couple of drops, but he still
caught his first touchdown. However, with Sanu and Dorsett
likely returning soon, Harry is difficult to trust going forward.
James Washington played on 78% of snaps and led the
Steelers in receiving again (3-98-1 on 7 targets). He seems
to finally be improving, but with sub-par quarterback play
the norm in Pittsburgh this season, he should be avoided.
Corey Davis returned from injury and played on 74%
of the snaps. A.J. Brown played on 70%. Davis received 3 targets
(2-29) and Brown received 5 targets (4-135-1). While Brown
certainly produced more, the Titans as a team passed only
18 times, while they ran the ball 33 times.
Julio Jones (shoulder) played on only 56% of the
snaps and produced 5-68 on 9 targets. Meanwhile, Russell Gage
played on 74% and produced 8-76 on 10 targets, and Calvin Ridley played on 85% and produced 6-85-1 on 14 targets. Gage
and Ridley are nice starts against poor passing defenses.
Emmanuel Sanders played on 67% of snaps but was not
needed in a blowout of the Packers. He only received 1 target
(1-15) and Deebo Samuel received 2 targets (2-50-1).
No Jets receiver received more than 5 targets. Robby Anderson did the most with his opportunities, producing 4-86-1
on 5. He also led the team with 83% of the snaps. Demaryius
Thomas produced 2-22 on 3 targets, and Jamison Crowder produced
only 2-18 on 4 targets. The Jets just didnít need to
pass the ball much against Raiders but better days are ahead
Jonnu Smith played on 94% of the snaps for the Titans
but did not have a reception. Again, the Titans passed only
18 times, so Smith (or Walker) will have better games when facing
defenses that force them to pass.
Mike Gesicki continues to trend upward. He played
his highest percentage of snaps on the season (90%) and produced
3-28-1 on 7 targets.
Dallas Goedert and Zach Ertz both played on 87% of
the snaps, and led the Eagles in receiving. Goedert produced
7-32 on 8 targets and Ertz produced 12-91-1 on 14 targets.
As long as the receivers are ailing, both are excellent plays.
Ryan Griffin scored again for the Jets and played
on 87% of the snaps. After the Jets signed him to an extension,
he should be rostered in all dynasty leagues and is a fine
play down the stretch in a desolate TE landscape.
Vance McDonald played on 85% of the snaps but had
only 1 reception. The Steelers are simply not able to pass
the ball effectively.
George Kittle returned from injury and played on
79% of the snaps. He dominated again, producing 6-129-1. If
he is active, you always start him.
Noah Fant played on 74% of the snaps against a very
good Bills defense. He was only able to produce 3-14 on 5
targets. Brandon Allen is not good enough to start an NFL
game, and that explains most of the Broncosí struggles.
He went 10-25 for 82 yards.
Ben Braunecker played on 71% of the snaps and received
4 targets, but only produced 2-9 and dropped an easy touchdown
pass. He is only a desperation play.
Jared Cook played on only 58% of snaps but had a
very productive week (6-99-1). He seems to have clicked with
Drew Brees and is a solid play going forward.
T.J. Hockenson played his lowest snap share of the
season (44%) and did not record a reception due to a shoulder