Here we go again.

Five Big Boards in five days.

It's go time.

With just over a week to go before the NFL season opener and just under two weeks before most of the teams kick off, the time to talk has passed. As such, allow me to bypass the usual pleasantries this week and get to the good stuff.

While I will provide the bulk of my analysis this week into this article, I will add any insights that I think are particularly helpful to owners in standard, half-point, TFC and FFPC leagues in those respective Big Boards as the week progresses.

Before I get to the boards, I would like to remind readers about two key points:

1) The standard the industry uses to measure accuracy among analysts is overall scoring, but I am more concerned with projected consistency and matchups. Consistency tends to lead to big fantasy numbers at the end of the season and championships while inconsistency and bad matchups at the wrong time usually lead to frustration. Someday, I hope the industry catches on to my way of thinking. Until then, I’ll try to win as many titles as possible and help you do the same.

2 ) Much like the past four seasons, I want to provide readers with a clear risk sign. If a player is a moderate risk – be it due to injury, off-field, etc. – you will see a next his name. If I feel a player is a severe risk, you will see a next to his name. While I feel like I have accounted for each player’s “risk” with their spot on the Big Board, you may be more or less inclined to deal with that risk than I am. This is just another way of helping you take a look at the board and quickly identifying which players stand a good chance to frustrate you at some point this season.

Please note the different colors to the “Pos” column below; it is my hope taking this step will allow owners to delineate where one tier ends (regardless of position) and where another one begins, essentially using the same concept NFL teams do with a horizontal board during the NFL Draft. (Although it is not a perfect example, here is the kind of thing I am talking about in case the term “horizontal board” is unfamiliar to you.) When a player at one position interrupts a "run" at another position, you can generally assume the early part of that tier has ended. The fact each tier is a different color is merely to easily separate tiers; there is no hidden message or anything of that sort.

Let’s revisit the color-coding system before we start:

Red – A very difficult matchup. For lower-level players, a red matchup means they should not be used in fantasy that week. For a second- or third-tier player, drop your expectations for them at least one grade that week (i.e. from WR2 to WR3). For elite players, expect them to perform one level lower than their usual status (i.e. RB1 performs like a RB2).

Yellow – Keep expectations fairly low in this matchup. For lower-level players, a yellow matchup is a borderline start at best. For a second- or third-tier player, they can probably overcome the matchup if things fall right. For the elite players, expect slightly better than average production.

White – Basically, this matchup is one that could go either way. In some cases, I just don’t feel like I have a good feel yet for this defense. Generally speaking, these matchups are winnable matchups for all levels of players.

Green – It doesn’t get much better than this. For non-elite players, the stage is basically set for said player to exploit the matchup. For the elite player, this matchup should produce special numbers.

Quarterback – Talent, aggressiveness of the offensive scheme, durability, offensive line play and difficulty of schedule.

Running back – Talent, job security, durability, percentage of team's backfield touches and red-zone importance.

Wide receiver – Talent, targets/game, scheme fit and the quality of quarterback play.

Tight end – Talent, importance to the team in the red zone, targets/game, scheme fit and the quality of quarterback play.

Reminders:

1. This Big Board is designed for leagues which require owners to start one quarterback, two running backs, three receivers, a tight end and a flex.

2. "Value" and SSI are tools I use to help me set up the Big Boards. I do not follow either one blindly, since there has to be a human component in such endeavors in order to account for certain "intangibles".

Here is the scoring system that I used to rank the players in the PPR format:

PPR Big Board - Top 200 OVR Pos Player Risk Tm Age Value SSI FPts/G FPts 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 1 WR1 Antonio Brown PIT 28 173.24 985.0 23.0 92.0 2 WR2 Odell Beckham Jr. NYG 23 156.45 961.3 25.6 102.5 3 WR3 Julio Jones ATL 27 172.36 983.8 27.1 108.5 4 RB1 David Johnson ARI 24 146.37 907.5 19.3 77.0 5 WR4 A.J. Green CIN 28 137.89 935.0 21.5 86.0 6 RB2 Ezekiel Elliott DAL 21 145.31 906.0 20.8 83.0 7 WR5 Allen Robinson JAC 23 126.40 918.8 19.8 79.0 8 RB3 Lamar Miller HOU 25 144.60 905.0 21.1 84.5 9 WR6 Brandon Marshall NYJ 32 119.32 908.8 20.0 80.0 10 RB4 Todd Gurley LA 22 141.77 901.0 20.4 81.5 11 RB5 Adrian Peterson MIN 31 139.83 898.3 14.5 58.0 12 WR7 Keenan Allen SD 24 111.37 897.5 18.4 73.5 13 RB6 Eddie Lacy GB 26 78.84 812.0 14.7 44.0 14 TE1 Rob Gronkowski NE 27 112.25 917.5 15.4 61.5 15 WR8 DeAndre Hopkins HOU 24 121.09 911.3 19.3 77.0 16 RB7 Le'Veon Bell PIT 24 135.76 892.5 13.5 13.5 17 WR9 Dez Bryant DAL 27 123.74 915.0 18.6 74.5 18 WR10 Randall Cobb GB 26 100.76 882.5 17.0 51.0 19 WR11 T.Y. Hilton IND 26 106.42 890.5 17.8 71.0 20 WR12 Mike Evans TB 23 118.44 907.5 16.8 67.0 21 RB8 Devonta Freeman ATL 24 61.16 787.0 16.8 67.0 22 WR13 Jarvis Landry MIA 23 95.46 875.0 18.8 75.0 23 WR14 Sammy Watkins BUF 23 48.61 808.8 13.8 55.0 24 RB9 LeSean McCoy BUF 28 99.70 841.5 13.5 54.0 25 WR15 Brandin Cooks NO 22 72.48 842.5 15.0 60.0 26 WR16 Amari Cooper OAK 22 102.53 885.0 18.8 75.0 27 WR17 Jordy Nelson GB 31 70.71 840.0 14.3 43.0 28 WR18 Alshon Jeffery CHI 26 76.01 847.5 16.8 67.0 29 WR19 Donte Moncrief IND 23 92.81 871.3 18.0 72.0 30 RB10 Mark Ingram NO 26 98.99 840.5 16.4 65.5 31 RB11 Jamaal Charles KC 29 108.36 853.8 19.6 78.5 32 WR20 Demaryius Thomas DEN 28 91.92 870.0 16.4 65.5 33 WR21 Eric Decker NYJ 29 73.54 844.0 17.4 69.5 34 RB12 Doug Martin TB 27 100.23 842.3 14.3 57.0 35 WR22 Jeremy Maclin KC 28 44.19 802.5 14.9 59.5 36 QB1 Aaron Rodgers GB 32 76.54 927.5 28.8 86.4 37 QB2 Cam Newton CAR 27 73.36 923.0 26.2 104.6 38 RB13 Danny Woodhead SD 31 54.80 778.0 17.0 68.0 39 RB14 Matt Forte NYJ 30 44.19 763.0 12.5 50.0 40 TE2 Jordan Reed WAS 26 87.50 882.5 15.1 60.5 41 TE3 Greg Olsen CAR 31 44.19 821.3 13.5 54.0 42 RB15 Latavius Murray OAK 26 78.84 812.0 14.4 57.5 43 RB16 Carlos Hyde SF 24 82.73 817.5 17.4 69.5 44 RB17 C.J. Anderson DEN 25 39.77 756.8 15.4 61.5 45 WR23 Golden Tate DET 28 64.52 831.3 15.0 60.0 46 WR24 Julian Edelman NE 30 67.18 835.0 16.6 66.5 47 RB18 Jeremy Hill CIN 23 55.33 778.8 12.8 51.0 48 WR25 Doug Baldwin SEA 27 56.57 820.0 18.4 73.5 49 WR26 Marvin Jones DET 26 52.15 813.8 14.1 56.5 50 QB3 Russell Wilson SEA 23 71.06 919.8 26.8 107.2 51 QB4 Drew Brees NO 37 60.81 905.3 26.3 105.2 52 QB5 Andrew Luck IND 26 70.53 919.0 27.9 111.6 53 RB19 Giovani Bernard CIN 24 17.32 725.0 9.5 38.0 54 RB20 Jeremy Langford CHI 24 1.94 703.3 13.3 53.0 55 TE4 Travis Kelce KC 26 11.31 774.8 12.9 51.5 56 WR27 Sterling Shepard NYG 23 59.22 823.8 15.0 60.0 57 RB21 Thomas Rawls SEA 23 20.86 730.0 15.3 61.0 58 RB22 Frank Gore IND 33 26.16 737.5 10.9 43.5 59 WR28 Emmanuel Sanders DEN 29 43.49 801.5 15.3 61.0 60 TE5 Delanie Walker TEN 32 45.43 823.0 14.1 56.5 61 TE6 Coby Fleener NO 27 13.26 777.5 14.3 57.0 62 WR29 Michael Floyd ARI 26 18.56 766.3 14.6 58.5 63 RB23 Charles Sims TB 25 33.76 652.8 11.1 44.5 64 WR30 Michael Crabtree OAK 28 44.19 802.5 15.9 63.5 65 WR31 Larry Fitzgerald ARI 33 47.73 807.5 14.0 56.0 66 RB24 Rashad Jennings NYG 31 13.26 681.8 13.3 53.0 67 WR32 John Brown ARI 26 46.85 806.3 16.9 67.5 68 WR33 DeSean Jackson WAS 29 15.91 717.5 11.6 46.5 69 QB6 Eli Manning NYG 35 47.20 886.0 23.2 92.7 70 QB7 Philip Rivers SD 34 47.55 886.5 23.5 93.9 71 RB25 DeMarco Murray TEN 28 14.67 721.3 12.3 49.0 72 WR34 Tyler Lockett SEA 23 13.26 758.8 13.9 55.5 73 WR35 Tavon Austin LA 25 15.91 717.5 10.1 40.5 74 WR36 Stefon Diggs MIN 22 0.88 741.3 15.6 62.5 75 RB26 Melvin Gordon SD 23 0.53 701.3 13.3 53.0 76 WR37 Kelvin Benjamin CAR 25 35.36 790.0 12.3 49.0 77 WR38 Corey Coleman CLE 22 4.42 746.3 11.5 46.0 78 WR39 Jordan Matthews PHI 24 10.61 755.0 11.7 35.0 79 QB8 Tom Brady NE 39 57.98 901.3 0.0 0.0 80 WR40 DeVante Parker MIA 23 32.70 786.3 16.0 64.0 81 RB27 Chris Ivory JAC 28 2.30 703.8 11.5 46.0 82 RB28 Derrick Henry TEN 22 30.94 656.8 7.9 31.5 83 WR41 Josh Gordon CLE 25 22.98 707.5 0.0 0.0 84 WR42 Allen Hurns JAC 24 19.45 767.5 13.1 52.5 85 RB29 Ryan Mathews PHI 28 0.35 700.0 12.3 37.0 86 TE7 Antonio Gates SD 36 5.30 751.3 15.4 61.5 87 TE8 Gary Barnidge CLE 30 4.24 764.8 12.4 49.5 88 RB30 DeAngelo Williams PIT 33 13.79 720.0 19.1 76.5 89 RB31 Isaiah Crowell CLE 23 21.74 731.3 10.6 42.5 90 RB32 Jonathan Stewart CAR 29 7.95 711.8 9.6 38.5 91 QB9 Carson Palmer ARI 36 66.82 913.8 26.1 104.2 92 QB10 Ben Roethlisberger PIT 34 70.53 919.0 22.1 88.4 93 RB33 Duke Johnson CLE 22 12.90 718.8 9.9 39.5 94 TE9 Zach Ertz PHI 25 22.10 790.0 12.3 37.0 95 RB34 T.J. Yeldon JAC 22 46.85 634.3 10.0 40.0 96 RB35 Spencer Ware KC 24 41.54 641.8 4.9 19.5 97 WR43 Vincent Jackson TB 33 7.07 730.0 12.5 50.0 98 QB11 Blake Bortles JAC 24 25.99 856.0 24.5 97.8 99 QB12 Kirk Cousins WAS 28 3.36 814.5 22.5 89.9 100 WR44 Travis Benjamin SD 26 21.21 710.0 13.4 53.5 101 WR45 Kevin White CHI 24 42.43 800.0 11.6 46.5 102 RB36 Matt Jones WAS 23 19.62 728.3 14.8 59.0 103 TE10 Julius Thomas JAC 28 16.79 782.5 16.1 64.5 104 TE11 Martellus Bennett NE 29 4.24 764.8 11.5 46.0 105 WR46 Willie Snead NO 23 48.61 671.3 9.1 36.5 106 TE12 Tyler Eifert CIN 25 23.86 792.5 9.5 9.5 107 QB13 Tyrod Taylor BUF 27 22.10 788.0 19.1 76.3 108 WR47 Tajae Sharpe TEN 21 129.05 557.5 3.3 13.0 109 RB37 Arian Foster MIA 30 25.99 663.8 11.8 47.0 110 RB38 Ameer Abdullah DET 23 0.00 700.5 9.6 38.5 111 RB39 Christine Michael SEA 25 117.56 534.3 2.9 11.5 112 RB40 Bilal Powell NYJ 27 67.00 605.8 7.8 31.0 113 QB14 Matthew Stafford DET 28 0.00 819.3 23.5 93.8 114 RB41 James White NE 24 5.66 692.5 16.5 66.0 115 RB42 Darren Sproles PHI 33 86.97 577.5 9.8 29.5 116 TE13 Jason Witten DAL 34 33.76 711.0 11.4 45.5 117 TE14 Dwayne Allen IND 26 68.06 662.5 8.4 33.5 118 WR48 Mike Wallace BAL 30 39.77 681.3 11.8 47.0 119 WR49 Markus Wheaton PIT 25 16.79 716.3 13.4 53.5 120 WR50 Michael Thomas NO 21 11.49 723.8 10.0 40.0 121 RB43 Tevin Coleman ATL 23 25.10 665.0 10.5 42.0 122 WR51 Kamar Aiken BAL 27 11.49 723.8 11.1 44.5 123 WR52 Mohamed Sanu ATL 27 94.58 606.3 7.0 28.0 124 QB15 Derek Carr OAK 25 19.98 791.0 22.8 91.3 125 WR53 Kenny Stills MIA 24 153.80 522.5 3.0 12.0 126 RB44 Theo Riddick DET 25 42.25 640.8 9.6 38.5 127 TE15 Eric Ebron DET 23 0.00 758.8 12.4 49.5 128 WR54 Will Fuller HOU 22 140.54 541.3 12.3 49.0 129 WR55 Phillip Dorsett IND 23 30.94 696.3 13.8 55.0 130 WR56 Torrey Smith SF 27 22.10 771.3 13.8 55.0 131 RB45 Jay Ajayi MIA 23 117.03 535.0 4.1 16.5 132 RB46 Chris Johnson ARI 30 109.78 545.3 5.4 21.5 133 QB16 Marcus Mariota TEN 22 41.72 760.3 20.1 80.5 134 QB17 Jameis Winston TB 22 18.21 793.5 19.6 78.3 135 RB47 Shaun Draughn SF 28 112.96 540.8 6.3 25.0 136 RB48 Devontae Booker DEN 24 43.66 638.8 8.8 35.0 137 RB49 C.J. Spiller NO 29 141.77 500.0 9.8 39.0 138 TE16 Clive Walford OAK 24 30.94 715.0 11.6 46.5 139 TE17 Jared Cook GB 29 103.41 612.5 4.3 13.0 140 TE18 Virgil Green DEN 28 52.15 685.0 8.1 32.5 141 WR57 Devin Funchess CAR 22 51.27 667.5 9.3 37.0 142 WR58 Tyler Boyd CIN 21 70.71 640.0 5.6 22.5 143 WR59 Rishard Matthews TEN 26 58.34 657.5 10.3 41.0 144 RB50 LeGarrette Blount NE 29 53.39 625.0 6.4 25.5 145 RB51 DeAndre Washington OAK 23 87.68 576.5 8.0 32.0 146 RB52 Terrance West BAL 25 48.08 632.5 10.8 43.0 147 WR60 Ted Ginn Jr. CAR 30 104.30 592.5 7.9 31.5 148 TE19 Vance McDonald SF 26 83.97 640.0 6.4 25.5 149 QB18 Ryan Fitzpatrick NYJ 33 8.31 807.5 19.6 78.3 150 QB19 Ryan Tannehill MIA 28 8.31 807.5 22.2 88.6 151 TE20 Kyle Rudolph MIN 26 68.94 661.3 12.0 48.0 152 TE21 Jimmy Graham SEA 29 63.64 668.8 8.4 33.5 153 WR61 Anquan Boldin DET 35 46.85 673.8 10.4 41.5 154 WR62 Eli Rogers PIT 23 48.61 671.3 9.6 38.5 155 QB20 Matt Ryan ATL 31 37.48 766.3 21.6 86.5 156 TE22 Zach Miller CHI 31 100.06 617.3 6.6 26.5 157 RB53 James Starks GB 30 122.33 527.5 6.3 19.0 158 RB54 Shane Vereen NYG 27 118.79 532.5 9.1 36.5 159 RB55 Justin Forsett BAL 30 62.76 611.8 10.9 43.5 160 RB56 Jerick McKinnon MIN 24 83.62 582.3 7.6 30.5 161 WR63 Brandon LaFell CIN 29 72.48 637.5 7.1 28.5 162 WR64 Davante Adams GB 23 55.68 661.3 8.3 25.0 163 TE23 Charles Clay BUF 27 63.64 668.8 10.0 40.0 164 TE24 Will Tye NYG 24 91.04 630.0 6.8 27.0 165 RB57 Alfred Morris DAL 27 144.78 495.8 3.8 15.0 166 RB58 Kenneth Dixon BAL 22 65.41 608.0 0.0 0.0 167 RB59 Tim Hightower NO 30 121.98 528.0 2.9 11.5 168 RB60 C.J. Prosise SEA 22 82.20 584.3 7.3 29.0 169 QB21 Andy Dalton CIN 28 8.49 807.3 16.6 66.2 170 QB22 Robert Griffin III CLE 26 73.19 715.8 19.8 79.0 171 RB61 Dion Lewis NE 25 36.77 752.5 0.0 0.0 172 WR65 Chris Hogan NE 27 131.70 553.8 5.4 21.5 173 WR66 Jermaine Kearse SEA 26 83.09 622.5 10.1 40.5 174 WR67 Terrance Williams DAL 26 126.40 561.3 8.3 33.0 175 RB62 Chris Thompson WAS 25 190.39 431.3 6.4 25.5 176 RB63 Benny Cunningham LA 26 160.16 474.0 4.0 16.0 177 WR68 Seth Roberts OAK 25 98.11 601.3 8.8 35.0 178 TE25 Austin Seferian-Jenkins TB 23 68.06 662.5 6.1 24.5 179 WR69 Terrelle Pryor CLE 27 98.99 600.0 10.9 43.5 180 RB64 Tyler Ervin HOU 22 120.56 530.0 4.5 14.0 181 RB65 Darren McFadden DAL 29 128.52 518.8 8.3 16.5 182 WR70 Chris Conley KC 23 97.23 602.5 7.5 30.0 183 WR71 Breshad Perriman BAL 22 78.67 628.8 6.6 26.5 184 WR72 Sammie Coates PIT 23 11.49 723.8 1.1 4.5 185 WR73 Jamison Crowder WAS 23 73.36 636.3 6.6 26.5 186 WR74 Braxton Miller HOU 23 88.39 517.5 10.5 42.0 187 QB23 Brock Osweiler HOU 25 74.42 714.0 20.6 82.4 188 QB24 Joe Flacco BAL 31 44.37 756.5 21.4 85.4 189 TE26 Crockett Gillmore BAL 24 30.94 715.0 8.6 34.5 190 WR75 Josh Doctson WAS 23 67.18 645.0 5.8 23.0 191 WR76 Pierre Garcon WAS 30 72.48 637.5 6.6 26.5 192 WR77 Laquon Treadwell MIN 21 24.75 705.0 9.0 36.0 193 WR78 Jaron Brown ARI 26 161.75 495.0 1.5 6.0 194 TE27 Dennis Pitta BAL 31 89.27 632.5 8.6 34.5 195 QB25 Alex Smith KC 32 53.39 743.8 20.5 81.9 196 RB66 Zach Zenner DET 24 132.94 512.5 3.5 14.0 197 RB67 Charcandrick West KC 25 151.50 486.3 2.4 9.5 198 RB68 Paul Perkins NYG 21 98.46 558.3 2.1 8.5 199 RB69 Cameron Artis-Payne CAR 26 109.42 545.8 2.1 8.5 200 WR79 Dorial Green-Beckham PHI 23 68.06 627.5 5.9 23.5

Picking at No. 12 spot in both of my most important leagues, I have wavered most of this month on what players I want falling in my lap at the turn. After much internal deliberation, I'm fairly certain I will do no worse than some combination of Allen Robinson, Lamar Miller, Brandon Marshall, Adrian Peterson and Jamaal Charles. Or so I thought. ESPN's Adam Teicher pretty much squashed what enthusiasm I had for Charles just a couple of hours before I was ready to put my finishing touches on this Big Board. I was ready to make him my No. 12 or No. 13 pick if the aforementioned players were all taken ahead of me. Now, I think we have to look at Charles like an older Le'Veon Bell in that both will probably be nearly useless in fantasy for the first 3-4 weeks of the season, with their handcuffs likely to come off the board in the seventh or eighth round area. I still very much like a healthy Charles this season, but what makes his case worse than Bell's is that his return to his "normal" role is very much uncertain. Week 2 makes him an incredible value in the second round, but Week 6 makes using anything more than a fifth-round pick on him hard to swallow. Now, I'm leaning toward jumping aboard the Eddie Lacy contract-year express.

The first green tier is my high-end question-mark cluster. We already know about Bell's suspension. After him, we have Allen's inability to complete a full season in three tries, Lacy's weight drama and concussion history, Gronk's own injury history as well as being tied to Jimmy Garoppolo to four games, a much-improved supporting cast around Hopkins (not to mention his second-half "fade") and playing for a coach who wants to lean on the running game, and Bryant losing his quarterback for roughly half of the season. All of these players could easily find their way into either one of the first two tiers by season's end if things go their way, but each "issue" is significant enough to back off each slightly as well.

The first red tier that begins with Cobb and ends with Donte Moncrief is where a lot of Zero-RB drafters will be hoping to snag their final starting receiver in all likelihood, while those owners who selected a back in the first round will be hoping they can find that one wideout who can go toe-to-toe with Antonio Brown, Odell Beckham Jr. or Julio Jones on a somewhat regular basis. Evans at WR12 probably feels too low to some, but it is worth noting he averaged 16.3 PPR fantasy points in six full games without Vincent Jackson last year (as opposed to 14 FPPG in eight contests with him). I'm well aware of Evans' limitless talent and ability to go off at any moment, but I'm not sure I'm ready to trust a player whose work ethic has been called into question by his coach as my WR1. If Jackson endures another injury-plagued season and Evans is more focused this time around, then he could blow right past my ranking. The third-year pro is as good of candidate as any in this tier to play like a fantasy first-rounder, but I like the idea of my receiver being tied to Andrew Luck or Aaron Rodgers a bit more than Jameis Winston at the moment, which is why T.Y. Hilton and Randall Cobb are ranked higher.

I am no longer confident in Demaryius Thomas as a low-end WR1. It's easy for owners to make the case that if he managed a 100-catch season with a declining Peyton Manning, he should be able to do so with Trevor Siemian and/or Paxton Lynch, but it ignores the fact he is no longer in "Peyton's offense". Nor does it address the fact DT has been a horribly inefficient red-zone receiver in consecutive years. Can we make the case that Siemian - a seventh-round pick in 2015 who has never thrown a NFL pass and will be asked to "manage" games - is going to help Thomas catch 100 passes again and/or be better inside the 20? I'm not going there.

Doug Martin's stock has dropped a bit in my mind over the last couple of weeks as I have started to realize Charles Sims is probably in line for more work this year. I still firmly believe Martin could be money at fantasy playoff time, but the stars could also easily align for Sims as well. Not only would Sims become the feature back in all likelihood if injuries strike Martin like they did in 2013 and 2014, but the schedule is littered with high-powered offenses and I'm not sure Tampa Bay is equipped to deal with most of them defensively. While that should allow for plenty of work for Mike Evans and Vincent Jackson, it also mean Sims could be primed to improve on last year's surprising totals.

I feel comfortable with any of the other five running backs in the yellow tier as my RB2. While any of them could easily ascend into RB1 territory, each player is probably equally likely to disappoint as well. Woodhead is probably the safest bet of the bunch in this cluster, although it took a bit of a perfect storm for him to do what he did last year. Assuming Melvin Gordon can carry over his preseason play into the regular season, it's very likely San Diego won't give Woodhead 178 touches again in 2016. Forte gets downgraded due to his age and recent injury history, a presumed lack of goal-line work and the fact New York very much wants to keep Bilal Powell involved, but he should receive plenty of volume in the passing game even with Powell stealing a few targets. Latavius Murray has a great offensive line, but he still isn't passing the eye test for me. With more talent behind him this year, I don't think his numbers improve. Hyde could be a fantasy first-rounder next season IF he can play at least 14 games, but can we expect that to happen? Recent history suggests the answer is no, his schedule is brutal over the first 10 weeks of the season and Vance McDonald is looking like he'll be responsible for getting defenses to back off the line of scrimmage. C.J. Anderson is supposedly locked in as Denver's every-down back, but I fail to see how his situation is any better than Hyde's. Anderson has arguably a worse offensive line, is not set up for the same kind of volume and could have Devontae Booker nipping at his heels if he starts out slow again in 2016.

Giovani Bernard has yet to finish lower than 16th in PPR scoring in any of his three pro seasons. Jeremy Hill has an 11th- and 20th-place finish to his name, so predicting a top-20 finish for both doesn't seem like a stretch. Owners who go WR-WR-WR in the first three rounds could easily make a play to lock up both Bengals in Rounds 4 and 5, yet it's hard to fall in love with either one because of the other. This year, I'm going to lean ever so slightly to Hill because Cincinnati figures to make up for the early absence of Tyler Eifert as well as the departures of Marvin Jones and Mohamed Sanu by grinding it out. However, all those missing targets have to go to somebody, and Bernard seems like the best candidate after A.J. Green. The problem? With Green, Eifert and Hill all fair bets for 10 or more touchdowns, there aren't many scoring opportunities left over for Gio. With a ceiling of about 50 catches, very few touchdowns and about 12 or so carries per game, he's probably going to remain in the same mid-RB2 area he has called home since he came into the league.

I strongly considered putting Derrick Henry over DeMarco Murray above, but there is always one important little question that analysts need to know before making such a call (and one we never have enough information to make in August): When is the change going to take place (or will it)? If the Titans are truly as enamored with Henry in the passing game as they say they are, it shouldn’t take long for the rookie to steal most of the work Dexter McCluster is supposed to receive. At that point, it becomes a waiting game. Henry is the future of the Tennessee backfield, but how quickly does the coaching staff want to make it happen? I felt back in July the change would come in or around Week 5 as the Titans have a challenging four-game stretch against upper-level run defenses to open the season. Murray cannot afford to start slow or get hurt during this time, because there is a good chance he won't get his job back if he does. With Tennessee's commitment to the running game and the 2015 Heisman Trophy winner's surprising proclivity in the passing game, I believe Henry will outperform his late seventh-round ADP by at least a full round.

DeVante Parker is very deserving of being considered a breakout candidate. The problem is his body (and Kenny Stills) doesn't want to cooperate. Despite new HC Adam Gase doing just about everything in his power to make sure his second-year "X" receiver enters Week 1 healthy, last year's No. 14 overall pick seems to encounter one setback after another. Stills is having a very good preseason and may be higher on the passing-game totem pole at the moment, although there is no telling as to whether or not that is because Parker has missed as much time as he has. His durability is the only reason why he ranks in the same area as Josh Gordon - WR4s who owners hope can somehow their recent pasts to become WR1s or WR2s.

It's always a good thing I get (at least) two shots at this Big Board thing, because one thing is for certain every year: I fail to properly assess the few biases I have towards certain players the first time around. Antonio Gates was one of the few bright spots in my most important league last year, yet I had him ranked at No. 111 two weeks ago. The eight-time Pro Bowler is obviously nearing the end, but can we really argue with what he did in his 11 games last year (missed the first four due to suspension)? His 13.5 FPPG in PPR scoring was seventh at his position, only 0.7 less than sixth-place Greg Olsen. There's no question he remains Philip Rivers' favorite red-zone target, and it is worth noting his final line would have been 81-916-7 on 123 targets if his 11-game averages held up for 16 games. Is a statistical decline coming with the return of Keenan Allen and another year of NFL service? Probably. But does he deserve to go behind the likes of Tyler Eifert (could miss the first quarter of the season) or Zach Ertz (nine TDs in three NFL seasons)? I think not.

Kevin White was one of my early potential breakout-candidate selections this summer, but something seems amiss in Chicago. The Bears haven't come close to utilizing him in the deep passing game and he doesn't look comfortable catching the ball anyway. Chicago has only used him on bubble screens to this point, which is problematic because it suggests he still doesn't have a great grasp on the playbook and bodes poorly for the entire passing game should Alshon Jeffery miss significant time again this season. There's always the possibility the Bears are simply waiting to unleash White on the league in a couple of weeks (and I might buy that possibility if a noted offensive mind was on staff), but the histories of HC John Fox and new OC Dowell Loggains suggest to me he just isn't ready for primetime quite yet.

My only question about Tajae Sharpe is if there will be enough volume in the Tennessee passing game behind Delanie Walker to allow the fifth-round rookie to be something more than a WR4 in fantasy. The FBS leader in catches a season ago at Massachusetts has the requisite size (6-2) and hands to emerge as the Titans' top receiver and is well worth a 10th-round price tag. I'm not sure the Tennessee offense will allow him to become an every-week WR3 in fantasy, but there's otherwise very little not to love with Sharpe.

There are a ton of intriguing players in the 118-140 range of the Big Board, including Mike Wallace. Joe Flacco might be the only better fit for him than Ben Roethlisberger used to be, but there is so much uncertainty these days in Baltimore (specifically the roles of Breshad Perriman and Kamar Aiken) that I can't go any higher than I have him. Markus Wheaton has repeatedly campaigned for the outside receiver role, leaving an opening for Eli Rogers to take over the slot. I can easily a scenario in which this development greatly enhances or depresses his final numbers. Torrey Smith's fantasy stock rides on the Niners' decision to ride with Blaine Gabbert or Colin Kaepernick. Going with the former means Smith will have to become more of an intermediate receiver (unlikely), while a nod to the latter could easily free him up to be Chip Kelly's latest success story at receiver. Devontae Booker is one injury (and maybe an extended slow start by C.J. Anderson) away from potential RB2 status, although we can expect him to get some leash considering he signed a four-year deal this offseason. Clive Walford's floor is pretty solid in my opinion, as is his upside. My only question: If Amari Cooper takes another step forward, Michael Crabtree only takes a slight step back and the Raiders play with the lead more often this season, then where are Walford's (added) opportunities coming from?

Wrapping up the Top 150, I was surprised to learn I'm only a little bit higher on Jared Cook than his most, according to his late 12th-round ADP. His upside is such - playing with, by far, the best quarterback he's ever had throwing him the ball - that I'd be willing to move him up to the same range I currently have Eric Ebron (No. 127) if I knew for sure Richard Rodgers wasn't going to be a factor. I like Ryan Tannehill much more than his QB19 ranking, but Jarvis Landry seems to be the only constant he has. Yes, Miami has Arian Foster, DeVante Parker, Kenny Stills, Leonte Carroo and Jordan Cameron, but how many of those players have generated any enthusiasm in regards to their ability to stay healthy lately?

I very much like what I saw over the weekend as the Saints worked C.J. Spiller in with the first team, in much the same fashion I envisioned them doing so a season ago. I'm encouraged and believe Spiller is very much worth a late-round pick, but I'm not going to put a lot of faith in how HC Sean Payton decided to use his backs in one preseason game. In other words, buy but buyer beware.

Among the few names who just missed the Big Board that I'd still like to discuss is Philadelphia TE Trey Burton. He would have easily made the list if the Eagles didn't already have Zach Ertz and Brent Celek ahead of him, but the reason he is worthy of a mention here is because of the dire situation at receiver in Philly. Burton is highly versatile - he can play receiver and probably even quarterback in an emergency - and the case could be made he is the second-best wide receiver on the team after Jordan Matthews at the moment, even after the addition of Dorial Green-Beckham. I also didn't include Jesse James simply because he will almost certainly become useless in fantasy if/when Ladarius Green returns. At the moment, we aren't even privy to whether or not Green is having ankle problems or prolonged concussion symptoms. And speaking of Green, he is very much worth a stash on IR if your league has a spot for that. While there is an obvious reason why he isn't ranked or getting drafted in most leagues, he is a potential title-winning pick that can be had for a song.


Next: 0.5 PPR | Non-PPR | Ks & D/STs