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Week 13



Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts
Game Preview & Fantasy | Results & Schedule | Offense Stats | Defense Stats | Weather | History

Game Preview
Mike Krueger

Predicted Score: Colts 24, Jaguars 20

Indianapolis: Meeting number two between these teams takes on added importance with Jacksonville at 8-3 sitting just one game behind the 9-2 Colts. Indianapolis won the week seven battle 29-7; a game in which Jacksonville was without David Garrard for three quarters. The Colts will be short-handed once again as Marvin Harrison appears unlikely to play giving rookie Anthony Gonzalez another start. Running back Joseph Addai was in and out of last week's victory against Atlanta after sustaining a sprained neck. He is expected to pay but may give away carries to Kenton Keith. Notwithstanding the 44-17 beatdown the Jags put on Indy last December, you have to give the edge to the Colts here at home. The improved defense and Peyton Manning's savvy should be enough but expect a close game with Jacksonville having the ball at the end with a chance to win.

  • Start: QB Peyton Manning, RB Joseph Addai, WR Reggie Wayne, K Adam Vinatieri, TE Dallas Clark
  • Consider: WR Anthony Gonzalez, RB Kenton Keith
  • Sit: WR Marvin Harrison

Jacksonville: The Jaguars have a golden opportunity here and they fully understand it. "We know what's in front of us," Jaguars running back Fred Taylor said. "We know what's at stake." A loss to the Colts would all but give Indy the division and leave Jacksonville fighting for a wildcard spot. The Jags are on a roll, but is it enough to overcome their rival on the road? They've won three straight (TEN, SD, BUF) and have a 4-1 record away from their home turf. The running game with Taylor and Jones-Drew is in full swing (ranked 3rd ) and David Garrard still has not thrown an INT. A nice recipe for success but getting pressure on Manning is the key… something very few teams have done this season.

  • Start: RB Maurice Jones-Drew
  • Consider: Jaguars D/ST QB David Garrard, RB Fred Taylor
  • Sit: WR Dennis Northcutt, WR Ernest Wilford, TE Marcedes Lewis WR Matt Jones, K Josh Scobee




Krueger's Rankings/Projections 
Jacksonville Jaguars
Rank Player Projections
QB 19 David Garrard Pass: 200, 1 Rush: 15, 0
RB 8 Maurice Jones-Drew Rush: 85, 1 Rec: 4-30, 0
RB 31 Fred Taylor Rush: 55, 0 Rec: 1-10, 0
WR 40 Reggie Williams Rec: 5-65, 0
WR 74 Ernest Wilford Rec: 3-30, 0
WR 75 Dennis Northcutt Probable: Foot Rec: 3-30, 0
TE 22 Marcedes Lewis Rec: 2-25, 0
 
Indianapolis Colts
Rank Player Projections
QB 5 Peyton Manning Pass: 260, 2 Rush: 0, 0
RB 10 Joseph Addai Risk: Addai sprained his neck last week and was held out of practice Friday (team decision). Rush: 75, 1 Rec: 2-15, 0
RB 40 Kenton Keith Rush: 30, 0 Rec: 1-10, 0
WR 4 Reggie Wayne Rec: 6-80, 1
WR 30 Anthony Gonzalez Rec: 4-55, 0
TE 8 Dallas Clark Rec: 3-40, 1

View all Week 13 Rankings or Projections
Past Results and Remaining Schedule
Jacksonville Jaguars
Week Date Opp H/A Score Dif
1 2007-09-09 TEN H L 10-13 -3
2 2007-09-16 ATL H W 13-7 +6
3 2007-09-23 DEN A W 23-14 +9
4   Bye      
5 2007-10-07 KC A W 17-7 +10
6 2007-10-14 HOU H W 37-17 +20
7 2007-10-22 IND H L 7-29 -22
8 2007-10-28 TB A W 24-23 +1
9 2007-11-04 NO A L 24-41 -17
10 2007-11-11 TEN A W 28-13 +15
11 2007-11-18 SD H W 24-17 +7
12 2007-11-25 BUF H W 36-14 +22
13 2007-12-02 IND A L 25-28 -3
14 2007-12-09 CAR H    
15 2007-12-16 PIT A    
16 2007-12-23 OAK H    
17 2007-12-30 HOU A    
Indianapolis Colts
Week Date Opp H/A Score Dif
1 2007-09-06 NO H W 41-10 +31
2 2007-09-16 TEN A W 22-20 +2
3 2007-09-23 HOU A W 30-24 +6
4 2007-09-30 DEN H W 38-20 +18
5 2007-10-07 TB H W 33-14 +19
6   Bye      
7 2007-10-22 JAC A W 29-7 +22
8 2007-10-28 CAR A W 31-7 +24
9 2007-11-04 NE H L 20-24 -4
10 2007-11-11 SD A L 21-23 -2
11 2007-11-18 KC H W 13-10 +3
12 2007-11-22 ATL A W 31-13 +18
13 2007-12-02 JAC H W 28-25 +3
14 2007-12-09 BAL A    
15 2007-12-16 OAK A    
16 2007-12-23 HOU H    
17 2007-12-30 TEN H    

Offense Stats Comparison
  JAC
 Offense 
IND
 Offense 
NFL
 Average 
Points for 25.0 25.3 21.7
Rushing yards 124.0 110.8 105.5
Rushing yards per attempt 3.73 3.69 3.89
Completion % 56.2% 58.3% 61.7%
Passing yards 171.5 240.8 217.2
Passing yards per completion 11.75 11.30 10.45
Passing yards per attempt 6.60 6.59 6.45
Interceptions 0.5 1.0 1.0
Fumbles lost 0.5 0.3 0.8
Sacked 1.5 2.3 2.2
Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game through Weeks 7 to 12 of the 2007 season after deducting the best and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per pass completion, yards per pass attempt and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on totals through Weeks 7 to 12 with no adjustment.

Defense Stats Comparison
  JAC
 Defense 
IND
 Defense 
NFL
 Average 
Points against 20.8 13.3 21.7
Rushing yards 103.0 104.0 105.5
Rushing yards per attempt 4.33 3.58 3.89
Completion % 60.5% 57.7% 61.7%
Passing yards 257.8 148.5 217.2
Passing yards per completion 11.13 8.19 10.45
Passing yards per attempt 6.73 4.73 6.45
INT return 1.8 1.8 1.0
Fumble recoveries 0.5 1.0 0.8
Sacks 1.5 2.0 2.2
 

Weather
Dome stadium

Team vs. Team History
Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Indianapolis Colts
 Season   Week   Date   Vis   Home   Score   Winner 
2000 4 2000-09-25 JAC IND 14-43 IND
2002 1 2002-09-08 IND JAC 28-25 IND
2002 17 2002-12-29 JAC IND 13-20 IND
2003 3 2003-09-21 JAC IND 13-23 IND
2003 10 2003-11-09 IND JAC 23-28 JAC
2004 4 2004-10-03 IND JAC 24-17 IND
2004 7 2004-10-24 JAC IND 27-24 JAC
2005 2 2005-09-18 JAC IND 3-10 IND
2005 14 2005-12-11 IND JAC 26-18 IND
2006 3 2006-09-24 JAC IND 14-21 IND
2006 14 2006-12-10 IND JAC 17-44 JAC
2007 7 2007-10-22 IND JAC 29-7 IND
Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2006 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.




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