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Favorites & Fades

Week 13

By: Mike Krueger | Ken Ilchuk | Nick Caron | HC Green
Updated: 12/4/22



Sunday Early:



Sunday Late:

MIA @ SF | SEA @ LAR | LAC @ LV | KC @ CIN




- Green highlight indicates plus matchup (top eight)
- Red highlight indicates negative matchup (bottom eight)
- Lines and totals updated Sunday morning

Bills @ Patriots - (Caron)
Line: BUF -3.5
Total: 43.5

NE FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.16
NE FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.32
NE FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.26
NE FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.8

No Brainers: QB Josh Allen, WR Stefon Diggs

Favorite: WR Isaiah McKenzie

It’s been a volatile season for McKenzie, but if Week 12 is any indication, we need to be paying closer attention to the Bills’ slot wide receiver. McKenzie saw a season-high 10 targets against the Lions on Thanksgiving, including a huge jump in snap share from his previous contest. The Bills will likely need to spread the Patriots defense out if they’re going to find success against them and that’s exactly the type of setup that favors McKenzie. He isn’t an obvious starter in any format, but he’s a sneaky player who’s available on a ton of waiver wires and is a legitimate option as long as he’s playing this much in one of the league’s best offenses.

On the Fence: RB Devin Singletary

Getting excited about a below-average pass-catching running back in one of the league’s least run-heavy offenses is pretty difficult, so it’s not surprising that the name Devin Singletary still returns a collective “meh” from the fantasy football world. Still, the Bills’ top running back remains a fairly high-floor option, particularly in non-PPR formats. Even in PPR, though, the fact that he’s seen at least 13 carries in five of his past six contests means that he rarely completely busts. Of course, his ceiling isn’t particularly high, either, and he’s playing against a very good Patriots defense, so don’t get overly excited about Singletary who is a low-end RB2 in this matchup.

Fade: WR Gabriel Davis

Many fantasy managers had delusions of grandeur about Gabe Davis heading into 2022, but through 12 weeks, he now sits outside of WR2 range and there’s not a lot of reason to think that things will get better going forward. Not only is his quarterback fighting through injuries, but now we’ve seen Isaiah McKenzie begin to be utilized. This increased target competition, in addition to the fact that Davis was already far behind Stefon Diggs in the pecking order, just makes it difficult for him to ever really give fantasy managers much of a floor. But to make matters worse, Davis isn’t even delivering much of a ceiling. He’s been held to under 12 points in four of his past five games and his one big game during this stretch came against the Vikings in Week 10 in a contest that went to overtime. He saw just five targets against the Lions this past week and he’s been over seven targets just once all season. Yes, Davis can occasionally give you the “three catches for 171 yards and two touchdowns” games like he did in Week 5 against Pittsburgh, but he might be fantasy football’s biggest boom/bust player this season and a matchup against New England makes it much more likely that we’ll see the “bust” side of that coin here in Week 13.

BUF FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.21
BUF FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.20
BUF FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.8
BUF FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.25

No Brainers: N/A

Favorite: RB Rhamondre Stevenson

Rhamondre Stevenson has definitely earned the title of a “no-brainer” this season, but fantasy managers could be a little concerned after looking at his seven carries in Week 12. Fret not, though, as Stevenson still delivered for fantasy purposes with a monster nine-catch game in that contest. He’s now caught 33 passes over his past five games, making him one of the safest options among all running backs throughout the league as he is utterly game-script independent. To make things even better for him, Damien Harris (thigh) is back on the injury report and could miss this week’s game, thus catapulting Stevenson back into being a borderline top-five fantasy back.

On the Fence: WR Jakobi Meyers

Jakobi Meyers saw just four targets in Week 12, which tied for the second-fewest amount he’s seen in a game this season. In fact, he’s been targeted at least six times in all but three games he’s played this season, nearly doubling DeVante Parker, who is the next-closest wide receiver on the roster. The problem is that the Patriots' offense just is not particularly productive to begin with, so his opportunities are rarely downfield or in the end zone. Add in the fact that Meyers is dealing with a shoulder injury that has him listed as questionable this week and you’ve got a truly difficult fantasy situation to analyze. Meyers will probably have to be started in most deep leagues, but managers who have him in shallow leagues probably have players who have a higher ceiling while also not risking things with an injured player.

Fade: TE Hunter Henry

The tight end position hasn’t felt this bad in many years so it’s easy to look at a 15-point box score from a tight end and have some excitement. That’s what Patriots tight end Hunter Henry provided in Week 12. With a deeper look into things, though, you’ll see that Henry is still only playing about 70 percent of the Patriots’ offensive snaps in an offense that ranks in the bottom half of the league in points per game. Yes, he scored a touchdown this past week, but it was on just five total targets, which is actually the most he’s had since Week 6. Don’t chase the touchdown against Buffalo’s excellent defense, as they’ve given up the eighth-fewest fantasy points per game to the tight end position this season.

Prediction: Bills 24, Patriots 17 ^ Top

Titans @ Eagles - (Caron)
Line: PHI -4.5
Total: 44.5

PHI FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.31
PHI FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.8
PHI FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.24
PHI FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.26

No Brainers: RB Derrick Henry

Favorite: WR Treylon Burks

Rookie wide receiver Treylon Burks had a tough start to his career as he struggled to get things going before suffering a multi-week injury. In his three games since returning to the lineup, Burks has established himself as the clear-cut WR1 in this Tennessee offense. Certainly, the Titans remain an extremely run-heavy offense so being their WR1 doesn’t guarantee any sort of results, but Burks has seen six or more targets in each game since he’s been back. He scored a very fluky touchdown on a fumble recovery this past week which helped elevate his fantasy points so don’t expect that to happen again, but there’s plenty to like about Burks against this Philadelphia defense that just got done giving up 110 yards and a touchdown to fellow rookie Christian Watson. There isn’t much to like in this offense aside from Derrick Henry, but Burks is talented enough to be a real difference-maker as a WR3/Flex in fantasy.

On the Fence: N/A

Fade: QB Ryan Tannehill

An offense that runs the ball as much as the Titans do with one individual player doesn’t typically allow many other players to be relevant for fantasy purposes and that’s what we’ve seen in Tennessee for most of Ryan Tannehill’s time there. Sure, Tannehill is a fine mid-to-low-end QB2 in SuperFlex leagues, but he’s providing absolutely no rushing ceiling anymore and he hasn’t thrown more than two touchdown passes in any game this season. The Eagles have given up the second-fewest fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks so far this season, so don’t fall into the trap of, “what if the Eagles get ahead and the Titans have to throw?” That doesn’t work for Tennessee. They will run the ball and if that doesn’t work, they will run it some more. Stay away from anyone in this passing game other than Treylon Burks for now.

TEN FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.6
TEN FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.28
TEN FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.3
TEN FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.9

No Brainers: QB Jalen Hurts

Favorite: RB Miles Sanders

Miles Sanders had an absolutely gigantic day against the Packers in Week 12, rushing for 143 yards and a pair of touchdowns. His performance was a strong reminder of why we should almost always be paying attention to more than just total fantasy points each week. Sanders had been held to less than six points in each of his previous two games, but his usage remained strong. He’s now carried the ball at least 12 times in all but one game this season. He’s still mostly a non-factor in the passing game, but Sanders is almost operating in a Derrick Henry-like role, albeit with less physical talent, as a 1990s-style between-the-tackles back who has legit 30-touch upside depending on the game script. The Eagles are one of the league’s best teams and players who touch the ball 20 times in offenses like this can easily be league winners. The Titans are a top-five defense against opposing running backs this season, so don’t expect a repeat performance of what he did against the Packers, but Sanders remains a strong RB2 who has weekly high-end RB1 upside if the game script breaks well for him.

On the Fence: WR A.J. Brown, WR DeVonta Smith

In an offense with as consolidated of a target share as the one in Philadelphia, it’s been a bit surprising to see A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith struggle to produce high-quality fantasy weeks for the better part of the past month or so. Brown finally got into the end zone this past week, breaking his two-game scoreless streak, but he’s been held to fewer than 16 points in each of his past four games. Smith, meanwhile, has been seeing a high level of opportunities as of late with at least eight targets in four of his past five games, but he hasn’t even reached 14 points in any of those contests. It’d be understandable for fantasy managers to deploy a “wait and see” approach with these two receivers, but don’t forget that both of these guys have shown the ability to put up week-winning performances in the right situations. That’s what we’re banking on here in Week 13 against a Titans defense that has given up the third-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers this season. This secondary is struggling mightily and it would be surprising if neither Brown nor Smith is able to exploit it.

Fade: WR Quez Watkins

He’s scored a touchdown in back-to-back games along with reaching 80 yards receiving in the game before that, but Quez Watkins is not someone who fantasy managers will want to be banking on here in Week 13. Watkins hasn’t exceeded five targets in any game this season, so you’re entirely banking on a touchdown from him if you want to have any sort of fantasy production. Having Watkins as a viable third option is great for Jalen Hurts, but we need to be avoiding him in our fantasy lineups.

Prediction: Eagles 26, Titans 20 ^ Top

Packers @ Bears - (Green)
Line: GB -4.0
Total: 44.5

CHI FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.14
CHI FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.6
CHI FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.23
CHI FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.28

No Brainers: RB Aaron Jones, WR Christian Watson

Favorite: QB Aaron Rodgers (ribs)

Despite checking out of last Sunday night’s loss to Philly with a rib injury, which was on top of an already broken thumb, Rodgers looks to be on track to start in Chicago. Before departing, Rodgers and the Packers offense was finding its groove against a highly rated Eagles defense. Between that upward trend, Watson’s emergence, the Bears’ porous defense, and Rodgers’ history in Chicago, the 39-year-old could be dusted off and placed in your starting lineup as a low-end QB1.

On the Fence: RB AJ Dillon

Dillon played just 21 snaps in Week 12, his third-lowest total of 2022, but he turned his 11 touches into 88 yards and a touchdown. That it was the bruising back’s first score since the opener is an indictment of just how poorly Green Bay’s offense has executed in the red zone this year. The Jets racked up 158 yards on the ground against Chicago last week with third- and fourth-stringers, so the outlook is rosy for Dillon in terms of the matchup. As has been said, before, Rodgers likes to throw, so you can never bank on the Packers committing to the run. Play Dillon as a flex to hedge your bets.

Fade: WR Allen Lazard

The emergence of Watson as a force in the passing game has led to a major decline in production from Lazard. Over the past three weeks, during which Watson has scored a half-dozen times, Lazard has 10 catches, 126 yards, and no TDs -- that after scoring in five of his first seven games this year. He’s a strong blocker, so he continues to lead the receivers in snaps, but he no longer appears to be the apple of Rodgers’ eye. Still, you could pencil Lazard in as a flex if you’re in need.

GB FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.25
GB FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.7
GB FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.22
GB FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.24

Update: Justin Fields is expected to start.

No Brainers: QB Justin Fields (shoulder), RB David Montgomery

Favorite: TE Cole Kmet

With Darnell Mooney (ankle) placed on IR and done for the season, Kmet might serve as the No. 1 option in Chicago down the stretch. He was the most targeted player in Week 12, and he has emerged as a force in the red zone after a very slow start with five TDs in his last five games. Given the state of the Bears’ wide receivers, Kmet has a chance to enter no-brainer territory. With questions at quarterback for this Sunday, however, let’s just call him a nice midrange TE1.

On the Fence: N/A

Fade: WR Chase Claypool

I envision one of two scenarios here: a) Fields plays and the Bears run the ball even more often than the Eagles did on Monday night, or b) Trevor Siemian makes a second straight start and relies on the running game and short passes to the backs and tight ends. Either way, Claypool is best left on the bench until his involvement offensively ticks up.

Prediction: Packers 27, Bears 20 ^ Top

Jaguars @ Lions - (Green)
Line: DET -1.0
Total: 51.5

DET FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.1
DET FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.18
DET FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.2
DET FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.4

No Brainers: RB Travis Etienne (foot), WR Christian Kirk

Favorite: QB Trevor Lawrence

As the adage goes, progress isn’t always a straight line. On that front, I present the case of Trevor Lawrence, whose rookie season was ruined by Urban Meyer, and whose sophomore campaign has been marked by fits and starts. Things appear to be trending up recently, however, as the former No. 1 overall pick hasn’t thrown an INT since October, and he’s coming off his best game as a pro: 29-for-37, 321 yards, and 3 TDs in a come-from-behind win against a tough Ravens team. He’ll look to build on that versus the NFL’s 29th-ranked pass D (259.9 yards per game), so make sure he’s in your lineup as a solid QB1.

On the Fence: WR Zay Jones

Jones has quietly emerged as a quality volume option for Lawrence, being targeted 24 times over the past two games and turning that into 19 catches for 213 yards. He hasn’t been a force in the red zone, scoring just once among his 58 receptions, but that level of involvement generates opportunity each week. Given that, Jones makes a lot of sense as a low-end WR3 in Motown.

Fade: N/A

JAC FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.8
JAC FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.15
JAC FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.14
JAC FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.12

No Brainers: RB Jamaal Williams, WR Amon-Ra St. Brown

Favorite: N/A

On the Fence: RB D’Andre Swift

Detroit seems to be happy with the three-back rotation they trotted out the past two weeks with Williams posting 62 snaps, Swift getting 45, and Justin Jackson 43. Despite an increase in snaps, Swift continues to log 10 or fewer touches, having not eclipsed that mark since Week 1. His modest two-game scoring streak also came to an end after having an apparent Thanksgiving TD overturned on replay. There’s always the chance that Swift will break something, giving him upside value as a flex, but he hasn’t gone for more than 50 yards in a game since Week 2, so the path is narrow.

Fade: WR D.J. Chark

Chark returned from the injured list last Thursday and was on the receiving end of one of Jared Goff’s two TD passes. He finished with just 16 yards on two catches, though, and saw fewer looks than Kalif Raymond. Josh Reynolds also returned in that game but was limited to eight snaps. With another week-plus to heal, Reynolds could eat into Chark’s workload. Bottom line: outside of St. Brown, nobody involved with the Lions’ passing attack is worth playing.

Prediction: Jaguars 31, Lions 27 ^ Top

Browns @ Texans - (Ilchuk)
Line: CLE -8.0
Total: 46.5

HOU FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.30
HOU FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.1
HOU FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.28
HOU FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.14

No Brainers: WR Amari Cooper

Favorite: RB Nick Chubb

Chubb has grown into a full-grown stud. He’s averaging 18 carries per game over the last five, and that stretch includes two 100-yard games, a 90-yard effort, and five total touchdowns. This week, he faces a Texans team that is giving up an NFL-high 25.6 fantasy points per game to RB’s this season. He’s a top tier RB1 play against a defense that will now also have to account for Deshaun Watson at QB.

On the Fence: QB Deshaun Watson

If you have him, you’re itching to play him. You didn’t keep him on your bench all this time to not play him now that he’s active and ready to go. Plus, he comes back against his old team. It all points to a storybook return. But the truth is Watson hasn’t played football at NFL game speed in a really long time. This could go boom or bust, but it feels more like a boom.

Update: David Njoku is Out. Harrison Bryant is expected to start.

Fade: TE David Njoku (knee)

Njoku has gotten a steady dose of targets all season, and he’s made some spectacular grabs. But he has less than 50 receiving yards on 10 targets over the last two weeks, and he’s dealing with his second knee injury in a month. Even if he plays, look for Harrison Bryant to steal touches at some point.

No Brainers: None

CLE FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.19
CLE FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.2
CLE FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.18
CLE FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.29

Favorite: RB Dameon Pierce

Pierce is coming off two tough games (15 carries, 16 yds), and his touches are down because this team continues to fall behind early. If the Texans can pound the ball with Pierce, though, they can limit that scenario and take advantage of a Cleveland run defense that is giving up over 24.0 fantasy points per game to RB’s.

Update: Brandin Cooks is Out.

On the Fence: WR Brandin Cooks

Cooks is supposed to be the top WR in this offense but he’s scored 1 touchdown the entire season and has yet post a 100-yard game. He hasn’t accepted those reins, but neither has anyone else. He’s not a viable fantasy option based on production, but another week for QB Kyle Allen could see some chemistry building between receiver and quarterback.

Fade: QB Kyle Allen

Allen had a solid outing in Week 12, but this team isn’t going to score enough for him to be a viable fantasy option, especially with no prime targets in the passing game.

Prediction: Browns 23, Texans 14 ^ Top

Jets @ Vikings - (Green)
Line: MIN -3.0
Total: 44.5

MIN FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.4
MIN FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.11
MIN FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.4
MIN FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.10

No Brainers: N/A

Favorite: WR Garrett Wilson

Even when Zach Wilson was under center, the rookie receiver showed an ability to produce, topping 90 yards in two of his previous three games leading into Week 12 and the switch to Mike White. Wilson caught five passes for 95 yards and a pair of TDs -- his first since Week 2 -- against the Bears, cementing his status as the top option in the passing game ahead of the likes of Elijah Moore and Corey Davis. Minnesota ranks dead last in pass defense, allowing 276.1 yards per game on the season, so there’s every reason to plug Wilson into your lineup as a WR2.

On the Fence: QB Mike White

White stepped in last Sunday and immediately elevated the offense, passing for 315 yards and 3 TDs in a 31-10 romp over Chicago. As noted, the Vikings are 32nd against the pass on the year, and they just gave up 382 yards to Mac Jones on Thanksgiving. So why isn’t White a favorite? Two reasons: 1) his strong play in Week 12 came against a Bears defense that hasn’t stopped anyone of late, and 2) the last time White had a big game in 2021, his next full start finished with 0 TDs and 4 INTs in a blowout loss. You can make a case for White as a low-end QB1, but there’s some risk involved.

Update: Michael Carter is Doubtful.

Fade: RB Michael Carter (ankle)

Carter (ankle) bowed out with an ankle injury in Week 12, and his status for this week’s matchup with the Vikings is TBD. Even if he suits up, however, Carter will likely share snaps with Zonovan Knight and potentially Ty Johnson or James Robinson, who was a healthy scratch last Sunday. With so much uncertainty surrounding the status of New York’s backfield, Carter shouldn’t be viewed as more than a risky flex. If he’s inactive, however, you should consider plugging Knight in as an RB3.

No Brainers: RB Dalvin Cook, WR Justin Jefferson, TE T.J. Hockenson

Favorite: N/A

NYJ FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.24
NYJ FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.22
NYJ FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.30
NYJ FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.18

On the Fence: WR Adam Thielen

Thielen is coming off arguably his best game of 2022, catching nine passes for 61 yards and a touchdown. The veteran has been steady in terms of targets, being thrown to at least seven times in nine of 11 games this season, but the production has never risen above middling -- he has just one effort of more than 70 yards this year. His high usage gives him a shot at WR3 value, but the Jets feature a top-10 pass defense (197.5 yards per game) that provides Thielen with meaningful downside.

Fade: QB Kirk Cousins

Beaten from pillar to post by the Cowboys in Week 11, Cousins came back four days later to pass for 299 yards and 3 TDs against a talented Patriots defense. Things don’t get much easier this Sunday, though, as the Jets boast a nasty defensive front (their 34 sacks rank seventh in the NFL) and an opportunistic secondary -- the Jets are one of just two teams with more interceptions (12) than touchdown passes allowed (10). It’s not that Cousins can’t be deployed this week, but if you have a decent alternative you’d do well to consider it.

Prediction: Vikings 26, Jets 21 ^ Top

Steelers @ Falcons - (Ilchuk)
Line: ATL -1.0
Total: 42.5

ATL FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.11
ATL FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.12
ATL FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.6
ATL FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.11

No Brainers: N/A

Favorite: TE Pat Freiermuth

Freiermuth had three catches on four targets for 39 yards last week against the Colts. It was his worst day in nearly two months. But despite what seems like an effort to open things up a bit more for QB Kenny Pickett, I expect Freiermuth to remain a staple in the young QB’s progressions, no matter the matchup. He’s a low-end TE1.

On the Fence: WR George Pickens

Pickens, as talented a rookie as there is right now, is putting together an impressive highlight reel with some spectacular grabs. But he is still dropping some easy ones. There has been talk of him moving into the WR1 role on this team, and the numbers back that up. Nearly a third of his catches for the season have come in the last three games, and he’s averaging nearly 20 yards per catch over the last two weeks. He gets a great matchup against the Falcons this week, but it looked like the Steelers were still trying to get the ball to Diontae Johnson last week. If Pickens gets targets, he’s ready to pop.

Fade: Any Steelers’ RB

Jaylen Warren (hamstring) was out a week ago but is expected to play. Najee Harris (abdominal) left last week’s game and sat out practice on Thursday. Benny Snell (knee) came in and filled in nicely, but Anthony McFarland Jr. was stealing touches all game. It appears that Warren will be the lead back but it seems a given that this will be some kind of committee setup that fantasy owners will want to stay away from. If you want to take a shot against the Falcons run defense, then Warren is your best bet.

PIT FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.7
PIT FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.17
PIT FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.1
PIT FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.20

No Brainers: None

Favorite: RB Cordarrelle Patterson

On the surface, some will look and see that Patterson split carries with Tyler Allgeier in Week 12. However, it’s worth noting that with TE Kyle Pitts out of the lineup, Patterson drew a season-high five targets against Washington. A former WR playing RB, I’m thinking that it will be Patterson who sees a bump in regular targets in Pitts’ long-term absence, and not WR Drake London. Look for more dual threat value from Patterson, and more scoring opportunities in the coming weeks.

On the Fence: RB Tyler Allgeier

Allgeier’s 11 carries against Washington were his most in a game since Week 8 when Cordarrelle Patterson was still sidelined. If my hunch is right, and Patterson is now moving to more of an H-Back/Receiver role with TE Kyle Pitts on IR, that could mean an uptick in touches and production in the ground game for Allgeier. This is still a team that wants to run the ball, so that’s a good place to be. He’s a solid flex option this week until we see how the new lineup shakes out.

Fade: WR Drake London

The Falcons’ 1st-round pick has a just three catches on seven targets for 31 yards over the last two games and is averaging less than 8.0 yards per catch over the last five weeks! While some thought he’d see more opportunity with Kyle Pitts out indefinitely, all he’s seen is more coverage rolled to his side. There’s also a good chance he’s hit the rookie wall right now on a team that doesn’t score much.

Prediction: Steelers 24, Falcons 17 ^ Top

Broncos @ Ravens - (Green)
Line: BAL -9.5
Total: 39.5

BAL FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.10
BAL FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.24
BAL FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.5
BAL FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.22

No Brainers: WR Courtland Sutton

Favorite: RB Latavius Murray

What began as a backfield tandem of Melvin Gordon and Javonte Williams is now basically just Murray, who had 13 of the team’s 15 RB carries in Week 12 -- he also played 49 snaps to six for Marlon Mack. Murray has been reasonably effective in six games since signing with the Broncos, averaging 60.5 total yards per game and scoring three TDs. The Ravens are a stout run defense, allowing just 82.0 yards per game on the ground (second), but with Denver’s passing game an unmitigated disaster there could be a lot of touches for Murray, who is a strong RB3.

On the Fence: N/A

Fade: WR Jerry Jeudy (ankle)

After missing two games with an ankle injury, Jeudy is likely to return in Week 13. It probably doesn’t much matter. With Russell Wilson stuck in a season-long rut, the Broncos rank last in the NFL in scoring at a paltry 14.3 points per game. Before getting hurt, Jeudy had topped 50 yards in five straight outings, though he managed only one touchdown during that time. His return might cut into Sutton’s targets a bit, but it also wouldn’t be surprising to see them keep Jeudy on a snap count and not turn him loose for a full workload. At best, Jeudy could be viewed as a flex.

DEN FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.32
DEN FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.19
DEN FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.31
DEN FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.19

No Brainers: QB Lamar Jackson, TE Mark Andrews

Favorite: N/A

On the Fence: RB Gus Edwards

Edwards returned from a two-game absence to pace the team’s backs with 16 carries, 52 yards, and a touchdown, relegating Kenyan Drake and Justice Hill to afterthoughts. He had a critical fumble, however, so it’ll be interesting to see if Edwards continues to operate as the clear focal point of the running game or not. Prior to last week, Denver had been a tough group defensively as well, so they have the talent and scheme to limit Baltimore’s ground game. Deploy Edwards as a low-end RB3 or flex, and any risk should be mitigated.

Fade: WR Devin Duvernay

Duvernay is a stand in for all of Baltimore’s receivers (read: Demarcus Robinson, DeSean Jackson, etc.). Ever since Rashod Bateman was lost to injury, the receiver corps has struggled outside of a couple encouraging efforts from Robinson. Last Sunday was just the latest example as, even in a quiet week from Andrews, the Ravens were led in receiving yardage by backup TE Josh Oliver. It seems impossible that an NFL team can consistently not produce a single playable wideout in a given week, but that’s where we are with Baltimore. Stay away from all of them.

Prediction: Ravens 24, Broncos 13 ^ Top

Commanders @ Giants - (Caron)
Line: WAS -1.5
Total: 40.5

NYG FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.26
NYG FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.16
NYG FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.27
NYG FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.6

No Brainers: N/A

Favorite: WR Terry McLaurin

He’s had two down weeks in a row, but Terry McLaurin’s outlook continues to look much stronger with Taylor Heinecke behind center than it did with Carson Wentz. McLaurin has now seen at least six targets in every one of Heinecke’s starts - we just need the offense as a whole to give him some more opportunities to get into the end zone. The Giants' defense has been very good against opposing wide receivers this season, but they’ve struggled against the top options on opposing teams, especially as of late. CeeDee Lamb, Amon-Ra St. Brown, Nico Collins, both Tyler Lockett and DK Metcalf, and Christian Kirk have all gone over 15 fantasy points against this defense over their past five games, so that trend should give fantasy managers some confidence in starting McLaurin who has clearly reestablished himself as the top dog in the Washington passing game.

On the Fence: RB Antonio Gibson

It looked like Antonio Gibson (foot) was going to run away with the Washington backfield as we left Week 11, but things got a bit more complicated this past week when Robinson re-took the snap lead in Washington’s win over Atlanta. A nine-carry day with only three receptions against the Falcons should definitely give fantasy managers a bit of pause heading into this tough matchup against the Giants. Still, the truth is that we should have known that a game against a team like Atlanta was going to be a grind-fest, and that’s much more catered to a back like Robinson than it is Gibson. Assuming that the Commanders will need to be more big play-oriented with their offense against a team like New York, and potentially utilize their passing game more often, this contest looks a lot more like a “Gibson game” than what we saw this past week. We could still get burned, but banking on the player who’s been the top back for the majority of the team’s recent games seems like a good option.

Fade: RB Brian Robinson Jr.

There’s no question that we saw the very best of Robinson’s young NFL career this past week. The rookie tailback saw a milestone as he earned his first 100-yard rushing performance while also adding a career-high 20 receiving yards and his first career receiving touchdown. This could very easily be looked at as a passing of the torch moment as Robinson did look objectively better than Gibson for probably the first time all season, but this is still very much a split backfield and, despite his touchdown this past week, Robinson has mostly been a non-factor in the passing game. He’s a risky start this week on the road against the Giants.

WAS FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.15
WAS FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.29
WAS FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.15
WAS FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.31

No Brainers: RB Saquon Barkley

Favorite: WR Darius Slayton

Giants’ wide receiver Darius Slayton is currently listed on the injury report with an illness, so we’ll need to keep an eye on him as we head into this weekend’s games. If he does play, though, Slayton needs to be on fantasy radars as he has now produced at least 11 fantasy points in four of his past five games. This has corresponded with multiple injuries to other wide receivers in the Giants' offense as the team has been left with very few proven, viable targets in their passing game. Slayton looked like he was being phased out earlier this season, but he’s now the clear WR1 in this offense. It’s not a great passing game, but this type of consistent production should be overlooked, especially against a Washington defense that barely ranks outside of being a bottom-10 defense against opposing wide receivers in weekly fantasy points conceded.

On the Fence: QB Daniel Jones

Don’t be scared off by a mediocre performance against a good Dallas defense on Thanksgiving. Daniel Jones is no superstar and he very well may not be the future in New York, but he hasn’t been terrible for fantasy purposes. The Commanders have also struggled against the mobile quarterbacks they’ve faced this season. They allowed Jalen Hurts to score over 55 total fantasy points against them in his two games, while also allowing Justin Fields to rush for 88 yards against them and Marcus Mariota to finish with 49 yards on the ground just this past week. Jones isn’t a must-start by any means, but he’s a nice fill-in option if needed.

Fade: WR Richie James

Richie James has produced back-to-back games with double-digit PPR fantasy points, but his usage is still extremely minimal as he’s seen just nine total targets in those two games. His touchdowns in back-to-back weeks are more likely to be fluke than they are the beginning of some new trend of him becoming a decent starting option in seasonal formats. Pay attention to what happens with him, but don’t bother with him for now.

Prediction: Giants 20, Commanders 17 ^ Top

Dolphins @ 49ers - (Krueger)
Line: SF -4.5
Total: 45.5

SF FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.28
SF FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.31
SF FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.16
SF FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.30

No Brainers: WR Tyreek Hill

Favorite: WR Jaylen Waddle

Waddle has taken a backseat to Tyreek Hill this season but he’s still delivering for fantasy owners on a consistent basis. He’s likely to pass 1000 yards on the season this week and has already matched his TD total from last year (6). At 17.2 yards per catch, Miami’s No.2 receiver is a big play waiting to happen. The 49ers are middle of the pack against the position but have given up five 100-yard receiving games. Deploy Waddle as you typically would as an easy WR2.

On the Fence: RB Jeff Wilson, Raheem Mostert

Revenge game for both Miami running backs who just recently were carrying the football for the 49ers. Mostert (knee) missed last week’s game and has been limited all week in practice. He’s played second fiddle to Wilson recently when both have been healthy, so this doesn’t seem like a spot for Mostert to see increased usage. Wilson saved his fantasy day last week with a trip to the endzone but only amassed 39 rushing yards and spent some time in the locker room with a calf issue. He’s not on the injury report this week and should be in-line for a standard workload against his former team. Given the negative matchup, Wilson is a Flex option in Week 13.

Fade: TE Mike Gesicki

The Dolphins have concentrated their passing offense to their two best options and unfortunately Gesicki isn’t one of them. Even at a terrible fantasy position, Gesicki isn’t registering, sitting at TE29 in fantasy points per game. While he has scored four times, he has just 24 catches on the season (T-24th) and fresh off a goose egg last week. Until Miami starts running more plays for their tight end, Gesicki is off limits.

MIA FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.5
MIA FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.21
MIA FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.19
MIA FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.3

No Brainers: TE George Kittle

Favorite: RB Christian McCaffrey

McCaffrey exploded for his best fantasy game of the season back in Week 8 against the
Rams posting a 18-94-1, 8-55-1 line and tossing a TD pass for good measure. Since then, he’s finished as the RB11, RB12 and last week the RB38 when he suffered an injury scare with his knee. He got back to practice Thursday and appears to be fine and should be called upon for 20 touches with Elijah Mitchell now on the shelf for at least six weeks. His usage in the passing game has been excellent since joining the 49ers, with at least six targets in every full game he’s played. Sure, we’ll probably see some Tyrion Davis-Price and maybe even some Jordan Mason, but expect McCaffrey to be the dominant lead back on one of the more entertaining games of the slate.

On the Fence: QB Jimmy Garoppolo, WR Deebo Samuel (quad)

Miami’s given up the fifth most fantasy points to quarterbacks but a big reason for the Dolphins woes against the position is due to the 297 rushing yards and two TDs they gave up to Lamar Jackson (119-1) and Justin Fields (178-1). Rushing certainly isn’t a part of Jimmy G’s game, so this matchup isn’t as great as it might first appear on paper. Garoppolo does have a full complement of playmakers at every skill position including Brandon Aiyuk who’s worked himself into the WR2 conversation every week.

With the 49ers a bit thin at the running back position, we may see Deebo get a few more carries this week. He’s averaging 3 carries over his last three games but 5 to 7 is in the range of outcomes depending on how much work Kyle Shanahan wants to give rookie Tyrion Davis-Price and/or Jordan Mason. Mason is more of a special teams player so it wouldn’t be a shock if Deebo soaks up some of Elijah Mitchell’s touches. Pay attention to Deebo’s injury status this weekend as he missed practice Thursday with a quad injury.

Fade: N/A

Prediction: 49ers 27, Dolphins 24 ^ Top

Seahawks @ Rams - (Krueger)
Line: SEA -6.5
Total: 40.5

LAR FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.23
LAR FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.25
LAR FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.9
LAR FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.21

No Brainers: RB Kenneth Walker

Favorite: QB Geno Smith, WR Tyler Lockett, WR DK Metcalf

I wasn’t on board with Geno as a fantasy asset to start the season and have been waiting for the tide to turn… except it hasn’t. The Seattle QB is now 9th in fantasy points per game and has an impressive 72.8 completion percentage. He now has five straight games with two passing TDs and this week takes on a Rams team playing out the string of a lost season that will be missing their defensive player, Aaron Donald, due to a sprained ankle.

Tyler Lockett (16) and DK Metcalf (24) are top 24 in PPR points per game and are the clear top two options in the Seattle passing game accounting for 45% of the team’s receptions. Lockett has scored a touchdown in four-straight games while Metcalf saw 15 targets in last week’s overtime loss to the Raiders. If Walker isn’t scoring any touchdowns this week, we know who will be.

On the Fence: N/A

Fade: TEs Noah Fant, Will Dissly

Both Seattle tight ends are seeing a decent snap rate (60%-plus) but neither are seeing enough volume to make you feel comfortable putting them into your lineup. Fant has 1 touchdown on the season and has posted exactly 34 yards each of the last two weeks. Dissly hasn’t scored since Week 4 and has a high-water mark of 45 yards (Wk7). There are better tight end options available.

SEA FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.12
SEA FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.3
SEA FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.25
SEA FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.2

No Brainers: N/A

Favorite: N/A

On the Fence: RB Kyren Williams

Williams got a healthy 70% snap share against the Chiefs last week and with Cam Akers (illness) missing practice time this week, Kyren is the only viable fantasy option to consider on this team. He’s shown enough receiving chops the last three weeks (8 targets, 7 catches, 63 yds) that even if the Rams fall behind early, he can be useful in the passing game. He’s a Flex if you’re desperate.

Update: John Wolford is expected to start at QB. Bryce Perkins may play as well.

Fade: QB Bryce Perkins, WR Van Jefferson, TE Tyler Higbee

The Rams are in a state of disrepair. They’ve lost their starting quarterback, their top two receivers and never established a running game. They still have to play the remaining games on the schedule and there’s likely to be some useful performances on occasion, but trying to dig for any fantasy relevant pieces of this offense is more trouble than it’s worth. Perkins has some rushing ability which theoretically gives him some QB2 appeal but he lacks any kind of consistent playmakers at receiver or tight end which quickly puts a cap on his upside. Higbee was bothered by a knee injury last week and failed to see a target while playing just 59% of the snaps. It’s best to steer clear of this bunch and take your fantasy chances elsewhere.

Prediction: Seahawks 24, Rams 16 ^ Top

Chargers @ Raiders - (Krueger)
Line: LV -2.5
Total: 49.5

LV FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.3
LV FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.4
LV FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.12
LV FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.7

No Brainers: RB Austin Ekeler

Favorite: QB Justin Herbert, WR Keenan Allen

Herbert is coming off his best fantasy game of the season that included 38 rushing yards – a sign that he’s over his early season rib injury. The last time these two teams met (Week 1) Herbert finished with a 279-3-0 line. He’s thrown five touchdowns the last two weeks finishing as the QB3 and QB10 respectively. Part of the reason for his recent success has been the return of Keenan Allen who played 89% of the snaps last week and seems to be back on track after his hamstring injury. The Raiders have given up the 12th most fantasy points to wide receivers and the 3rd most fantasy points to quarterbacks.

On the Fence: WR Josh Palmer

Palmer is shaping up to be a Flex consideration this week given the positive game environment and a healthy Chargers team total of 26 points. He’s two weeks removed from his spiked week against the Chiefs (8-106-2) and should remain in the starting lineup assuming Mike Williams doesn’t return from his sprained ankle. He’s played the most snaps of any Chargers receiver the last two weeks but can sometimes get lost in the shuffle with both Austin Ekeler and Keenan soaking up targets. Despite being a neutral matchup for fantasy receivers, the Raiders have yet to give a 100-yard receiving game to the position.

Fade: N/A

LAC FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.13
LAC FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.5
LAC FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.21
LAC FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.13

No Brainers: WR Davante Adams, RB Josh Jacobs

Favorite: QB Derek Carr

We know this Raiders offense runs through two guys: Josh Jacobs and Davante Adams. The good thing for quarterback Derek Carr is he can throw to both, but despite the Raiders having the 8th highest pass rate in the league, Carr is a middling fantasy QB ranking as the QB17 in fantasy points per game. A couple games with zero TDs is the culprit. However, Carr is on a bit of a hot streak lately, throwing at least two TDs in each of his last four games, averaging 277 yards during that span and he posted a 295-2-3 line against this defense in Week 1. We’re expecting some points to be scored in this game (T 50.5) so Carr has some sneaky low-end QB1 upside.

On the Fence: TE Foster Moreau

Volume is the name of the game for the Raiders backup tight end. While Darren Waller (hamstring) has been on the shelf, Moreau gets a full-time role, playing nearly 100% of the snaps most weeks. Occasionally, he’ll be asked to stay in a block more than we like (Week 11) but more often than not, Moreau is a viable low-end TE1 play, running routes on a healthy amount of Vegas’ pass plays. His high-water mark in yardage (44 yds) is uninspiring, but he has found the endzone twice in the last three weeks.

Fade: N/A

Prediction: Chargers 27, Raiders 24 ^ Top

Chiefs @ Bengals - (Green)
Line: KC -2.0
Total: 52.5

CIN FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.29
CIN FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.23
CIN FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.29
CIN FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.15

No Brainers: QB Patrick Mahomes, TE Travis Kelce

Favorite: RB Isiah Pacheco

This is a probably a risky placement as despite pacing the Chiefs in rushing over the past three weeks (53 carries, 258 yards, 1 TD), Pacheco hasn’t played that many more snaps than Jerick McKinnon in that time -- the rookie logged 100 snaps to McKinnon’s 84. Two other factors that could work against Pacheco: 1) Andy Reid tends to lean on his proven players in big games, and 2) McKinnon is the pass-catching back, and the Chiefs may choose to focus their offense through the air against Cincinnati. Despite that, I like what Pacheco has been doing since becoming the primary ball carrier, and if KC does lean on the run, he could have a big day. Consider him a decent RB2.

On the Fence: WR JuJu Smith-Schuster

Smith-Schuster was on the rise in late October/early November, catching 22 passes for 325 yards and 2 TDs in a three-game stretch. He was concussed in Week 10, however, and had a 3-38-0 line last Sunday is his return after missing a game. It’s not that Smith-Schuster isn’t capable of having a big game against the Bengals, but that receiver room is awfully full now with Skyy Moore being worked in alongside Marquez Valdes-Scantling and Justin Watson (and maybe a returning Kadarius Toney). Smith-Schuster is still the top fantasy option, but he’d be a risky play as anything beyond a WR3.

Fade: N/A

KC FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.9
KC FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.13
KC FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.7
KC FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.17

Update: Joe Mixon remains in the concussion protocol as of Sunday morning.

No Brainers: QB Joe Burrow, RB Joe Mixon (concussion), WR Ja’Marr Chase (hip), WR Tee Higgins

Favorite: TE Hayden Hurst

As ever, the Bengals are a team full of no-brainers, assuming health. To that end, the expectation is that both Mixon and Chase will return in Week 13 after missing one and four games, respectively. Even with a full complement of weapons at Burrow’s disposal, however, Hurst could still chip in at low-end TE1 value. Over his last five games, the tight end has caught 23 of 29 targeted balls for 210 yards. The TDs have been missing, having last scored in Week 5, but given how badly Chase torched KC last season they figure to focus on slowing him up, which could give Hurst the chance to shine.

On the Fence: N/A

Fade: WR Tyler Boyd

Boyd’s production with Chase out of action was disappointing. In four games as the de facto No. 2 receiver, the veteran managed just 12 receptions, 140 yards, and a TD. Now he’ll slide back into a supplemental role. In two meetings with Kansas City a season ago, Boyd posted a combined 8-55-1 line. You could roll the dice on him as a flex, but the ceiling seems awfully low, making a bench slot more appropriate.

Prediction: Chiefs 34, Bengals 30 ^ Top

Colts @ Cowboys - (Caron)
Line: DAL -10.5
Total: 44.5

DAL FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.27
DAL FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.27
DAL FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.20
DAL FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.27

No Brainers: RB Jonathan Taylor

Favorite: WR Michael Pittman Jr.

It’s tough to look at Pittman’s 2022 season and not be a bit disappointed given where we were drafting him, but the Colts’ top pass catcher is still a solid high-end WR2 this season while occasionally delivering some solid WR1 numbers. It’s also worth noting that two of Pittman’s worst fantasy games this season came in games quarterbacked by Sam Ehlinger. Matt Ryan is not a high-level quarterback anymore, but he’s been pretty good for Pittman specifically, who he has targeted at least nine times in six separate games this season. That type of target volume is almost completely unattainable for anything other than mega-stud wide receivers, so take advantage of the fact that your league-mates are probably still undervaluing Pittman. Yes, he has a tough matchup this week against a very good Dallas defense, but he’ll likely still see plenty of volume and that should be enough to make him a solid WR2.

On the Fence: N/A

Fade: WR Parris Campbell

Parris Campbell is the second option in a fairly low-scoring offense, which is a big part of what makes him a volatile option for fantasy purposes. He’s produced 18 or more fantasy points in three games this season, but he’s been held to below 12 points in every other contest, including this past week when he produced just two catches for 14 yards against Pittsburgh, who have been one of the league’s worst secondaries. Campbell now faces the Cowboys, who have been quite good against opposing wide receivers in 2022. Sure, they’ve had their struggles against the likes of Cooper Kupp, A.J. Brown, Mike Evans, Ja’Marr Chase, and Christian Watson, but aside from Watson, every one of those players has established himself as an elite talent at the position. Campbell is not at that level.

IND FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.22
IND FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.14
IND FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.32
IND FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.16

No Brainers: QB Dak Prescott, WR CeeDee Lamb

Favorite: RB Ezekiel Elliott

Ezekiel Elliott was still out-snapped by Tony Pollard in Week 12 but is trending in the right direction after nearly doubling his snap share total from Week 11. There’s no question that Pollard has been the more productive player between the two, but what ultimately matters is what the Cowboys coaches want to do. They’ve made it clear that this is, at worst, a split backfield with Elliott being the primary goal-line runner. He’s scored six touchdowns over his past four contests and Zeke had some real juice in his legs on Thanksgiving which should make fantasy managers confident in starting him against a Colts defense that just got done giving up 127 yards and two touchdowns on the ground to the Steelers trio of Najee Harris, Benny Snell, and Anthony McFarland.

On the Fence: RB Tony Pollard

We don’t have to like what the Cowboys are doing with their backfield, but we have to be willing to accept it. It was a fun few-week run with Tony Pollard being an elite fantasy option, but as long as Ezekiel Elliott is healthy, it doesn’t seem like Pollard is going to be able to truly take over this backfield. Of course, that doesn’t mean that Pollard can’t still be a quality fantasy asset, as he’s now touched the ball at least 13 times in five straight games, including this past week’s win over the Giants when he out-touched Elliott by a margin of 20 to 17. The problem with Pollard is that while he’s been by far the more explosive back between the two, he’s also clearly behind Elliott when it comes to goal-line touches. Nevertheless, he’s scored double-digit points in seven of his 11 starts, so he’s a very high-floor option with a decently high ceiling.

Fade: TE Dalton Schultz

It feels pretty dumb to put Dalton Schultz back on this list after having him here this past week when he finished as the TE1 for the week, but I maintain that this was a good procedural decision even if the outcome was bad. Schultz finished tied for 14th among TEs in targets for the week and 15th in yards. Among the top 10 tight ends for Week 12, none had fewer targets than Schultz’s four - it just so happens that he was able to get into the end zone twice - something that none of the others were able to make happen.

The tight end position is pretty bad overall, so it’s understandable if you just don’t have another decent option, but don’t chase the two-touchdown week. Schultz is playing a lot, but the Cowboys are allowing depth tight ends Peyton Hendershot and Jake Ferguson to play significant snaps alongside him, particularly in the red zone, so there’s no guarantee that red zone tight end targets will even go to Schultz. The Colts have only conceded one touchdown to an opposing tight end over their past eight games, so playing the “touchdown or bust” game against them is a pretty low-upside decision.

Prediction: Cowboys 27, Colts 17 ^ Top

Buccaneers @ Saints - (Ilchuk)
Line: TB -3.5
Total: 40.5

NO FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.17
NO FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.26
NO FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.11
NO FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.32

No Brainers: QB Tom Brady, WR Mike Evans

Favorite: WR Chris Godwin

Godwin has double-digit targets in five of his last six games, has piled up at least 70 receiving yards in four of those contests, including a 100-yard game, and has scored in each of the last two games. As QB Tom Brady struggles with consistency, Godwin has been his go-to guy over the middle in the short to intermediate areas of the field. Godwin is a solid WR2, especially in PPR formats.

On the Fence: RB Rachaad White

White has averaged 4.7 yards per carry over the last two games, rushing 22 times for 105 yards against Seattle, and 14 times for 64 yards against Cleveland. He also showed his receiving chops in Week 12 with 9 catches for 45 yards. Leonard Fournette is supposed to return to the lineup this week, but White is the more athletic, more explosive back and should be starting. He could be a 100 total yards a game guy if given the chance, but we’ll have to see how he slots in with Fournette this week.

Fade: Bucs’ TE’s

Cameron Brate hasn’t amassed 25 receiving yards in a game since Wek 4, and Cade Otten has gone over 50 just once in the last month and put up a zero in Cleveland. The TE position continues to be an afterthought in this offense, and with OT Tristan Wirfs out, I would expect added blocking duties for them in the gameplan this week.

TB FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.20
TB FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.30
TB FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.17
TB FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.5

No Brainers: N/A

Favorite: WR Chris Olave

Even with the return to the lineup of Jarvis Landry, historically a target hog, and the frustratingly average play of QB Andy Dalton, Olave continues to be the go-to guy in this passing attack. There is talk that Jameis Winston could return to the starting QB role this week, which should open up the offense a bit and give Olave a boost in production. He's a WR2 this week no matter who’s at QB.

On the Fence: TE Juwan Johnson

Johnson was on a run of three straight games with a TD before the 49ers shut him out last week. But Tampa is giving up nearly 9.0 fantasy points per game to TE’s this season, and the Cover Two shell they play is susceptible to guys like Johnson who can challenge on the seam and split the safeties. I expect him to start another run this week.

Fade: QB Andy Dalton

Even when Dalton plays “well” and doesn’t turn the ball over, he still brings little in the way of fantasy value. He’s the check down king, and it sounds like he may be headed to the bench for real in New Orleans.

Prediction: Saints 27, Buccaneers 24 ^ Top