Round 4

4.01 - TE Ja'Tavion Sanders, Panthers

Team Fit: Widely considered the second-best tight end prospect in the class, Sanders has a realistic shot of beating out Tommy Tremble and/or Ian Thomas for the starting job at some point in 2024. The two-time first-team All-Big 12 selection is cut from the same cloth as Gerald Everett. Like Everett, Sanders enters the league as a mediocre blocker, which will likely keep him from being a full-time player right away. Still, he offers enough after the catch (346 yards in 2023 - fourth best among FBS tight ends) to make his mark.

What does it mean in redraft (12 teams)? This has the feel of a tight end by committee early. Even then, it may be too much to ask a short quarterback like Bryce Young to work the middle of the field consistently. Sanders should not be drafted outside of tight end-premium leagues.

Where should I expect him to go in my rookie drafts? Sanders will probably not be selected before the fourth round in superflex or one-quarterback leagues.

4.02 - WR Troy Franklin, Broncos (Draft Profile)

Team Fit: Franklin does not have overwhelming competition in front of him, but he will still have trouble overtaking the top four receivers on the depth chart if a Courtland Sutton trade does not happen or an injury does not strike Josh Reynolds, Marvin Mims or Tim Patrick. Besides his prolific speed, the biggest thing working in Franklin's favor is that Denver drafted his quarterback at Oregon (Bo Nix). How quickly that comes into play is another story, but it seems reasonable that HC Sean Payton intends on using Franklin in the same field-stretching role that Devery Henderson and Robert Meachem made popular years ago for Payton with the Saints.

What does it mean in redraft (12 teams)? Even if Franklin balls out in camp and somehow overtakes Reynolds and/or Patrick, the best we can probably hope for in 2024 is to be the Broncos' third receiver in what will likely be a mediocre offense. He has a shot to be relevant on occasion this season, but it is a long shot.

Where should I expect him to go in my rookie drafts? There is a case to be made for Franklin to be drafted in the early part of the third round of superflex or one-quarterback leagues. There should be better dart throws available at that time, however.

4.07 - TE Theo Johnson, Giants

Team Fit: New York is likely preparing for life after Darren Waller. Johnson is one of the few tight ends in this draft class who offers somewhat similar skills should the veteran retire. The 23-year-old Ontario native is highly athletic (4.57, 39.5" vertical, 10' 5" broad and 4.19 short shuttle), but he will likely begin his rookie season no higher than second on the depth chart behind Daniel Bellinger even if Waller retires. If Waller plays, he could easily be a regular inactive early in the season.

What does it mean in redraft (12 teams)? There is a path to relevancy for Johnson, but it will require him to stand out in camp. If Waller gets hurt early or retires and Johnson reminds the coaching staff of a younger version of Waller, Bellinger could remain in more of a blocking role. Even in that scenario, the Giants will likely field another mediocre offense again in 2024. Johnson does not need to be drafted in most leagues.

Where should I expect him to go in my rookie drafts? Johnson probably does not warrant consideration before the fourth round in superflex or one-quarterback leagues.

4.10 - WR Javon Baker, Patriots

What does it mean in redraft (12 teams)? There were not many players drafted on Day 3 this year that have a chance at starting Week 1. Baker is one of the exceptions. Bourne would be a complementary receiver on most teams and Douglas is ideally suited to be in the slot, which means there is an opening for a receiver who can stretch the field and create separation. Baker can do those things. While he will begin camp as a fifth or sixth receiver at best in what projects to be a bad offense, he would be my pick to be the winner of the third receiver job (with the upside for much more). Even if all of my assumptions are correct, Baker will likely be available off waivers throughout the offseason and into the preseason.

Where should I expect him to go in my rookie drafts? Although I think he is one of the best dart throws from this draft, Baker figures to go no earlier than the third round of superflex or one-quarterback leagues.

4.13 - WR Devontez Walker, Ravens

Team Fit: Walker had an awful week of practice at the Senior Bowl, which may have been the primary reason why he was not drafted on Day 2. He will begin his pro career behind Zay Flowers, Rashod Bateman and Nelson Agholor as the likely fourth receiver in Baltimore. Walker's 4.36 speed and 40.5-inch vertical illustrate the kind of receiver he is: a scary deep threat who can win his fair share of battles in contested-catch situations (10-for-18 in 2023 at North Carolina). Given Bateman's injury history to this point in his career, the Ravens likely felt it necessary to protect themselves with a decent backup plan. The reason "backup plan" is included here is that Baltimore just signed Bateman to an extension the same week of the draft. There is a possibility the Ravens also view Walker as Agholor's replacement once his contract runs out at the end of the season.

What does it mean in redraft (12 teams)? Walker likely needs an injury to Bateman or Agholor to be relevant. Even then, he would have to battle Flowers, Mark Andrews and Isaiah Likely for targets in what should be a run-centric offense built around Derrick Henry. Walker figures to be little more than a part-time deep threat in 2024.

Where should I expect him to go in my rookie drafts? There is too much working against Walker to expect production before 2025. Flowers and Andrews are the primary options in the passing game and will remain so for a while. Walker will likely go no earlier than the fourth round of superflex or one-quarterback leagues.

4.15 - TE Erick All, Bengals

Team Fit: There is not much of an immediate need at tight end after Cincinnati signed Mike Gesicki this offseason, but it has been a while since the former second-round pick made much of an impact in the league. Drew Sample is primarily a blocker, which gives All a chance to break through and claim a starting job at some point. That possibility seems remote in 2024, however. With that said, All's biggest issue has been durability - not talent. With Sample's contract giving the team an easy out in 2025 (no dead cap charge if he is released after this season), the Bengals may view All as Sample's eventual replacement for now.

What does it mean in redraft (12 teams)? Not much. Gesicki should be the primary pass-catching option at tight end this season. Even if he is not, Cincinnati has plenty of options at receiver. All is someone to monitor in deep tight-end premium leagues, but that is about it.

Where should I expect him to go in my rookie drafts? Iowa has a history of producing great tight ends. All is not on the same level as George Kittle, Noah Fant or T.J. Hockenson, but there is some talent here. With that said, All should not go before the fourth round of most rookie superflex or one-quarterback league drafts.

4.20 - RB Jaylen Wright, Dolphins

Team Fit: The arrival of Wright likely signals the end of the road for Jeff Wilson Jr., as Raheem Mostert and De'Von Achane are set in their roles for at least one more year. (Achane obviously longer than that.) HC Mike McDaniel's desire to field a track team on offense is usually behind every acquisition the team makes, and that is the case here as well after Wright blazed a 4.38 time at the 2024 NFL Scouting Combine. While a fourth-round pick at running back is not a huge commitment, Miami traded up to get him. It feels as though the Dolphins are hoping Wright shows enough in 2024 to give them the option of moving on from Mostert at the end of the year if the 32-year-old shows any signs of decline.

What does it mean in redraft (12 teams)? Mostert has enough of an injury history to make Wright worthy of a stash in larger leagues, but it is just as likely Achane would get more work in such a scenario and Wright would be more of a true backup than 1B option. Wright does not need to be drafted in most regular-sized leagues.

Where should I expect him to go in my rookie drafts? The potential of Wright taking over for Mostert in 2025 is realistic enough that Wright should come off the board in the late second or early third round of most rookie superflex or one-quarterback league drafts.

4.21 - TE AJ Barner, Seahawks

Team Fit: Barner gives Seattle a bit more of a well-rounded tight end than it already has in Noah Fant or Pharaoh Brown. While that sounds like a good thing for him, Fant's job should be safe for a while. The Seahawks could have a different plan to use their tight ends under new OC Ryan Grubb than former OC Shane Waldron had, but it will be incredibly difficult for Barner to find regular work in the passing game when Fant- a more talented pass-catcher - has struggled to do the same. Grubb is expected to build his offense around the running game and rely heavily on DK Metcalf, Tyler Lockett and Jaxon Smith-Njigba.

What does it mean in redraft (12 teams)? Nothing to see here. Even if Fant AND Brown get hurt, Barner might be hard-pressed to return TE2 value.

Where should I expect him to go in my rookie drafts? Barner is likely a fifth-round option in superflex or one-quarterback league drafts.

4.25 - RB Bucky Irving, Buccaneers

Team Fit: Chase Edmonds and Sean Tucker failed to distinguish themselves behind Rachaad White last season, so there is an opening for someone like Irving to step up as the primary backup. Unfortunately for the 5-8 and 192-pound Irving, he profiles as more of a change-of-pace option in the NFL - in the Michael Carter mold - and not as a big back that would complement White's game. Perhaps the intent with this selection was so the offense would not have to change much when White needs a break. Either way, Irving and White's strengths are too similar to expect the former to lose many touches to the latter.

What does it mean in redraft (12 teams)? Irving will have some handcuff value if he can win the primary backup job in Tampa, but his size will likely be a big factor in him being unable to earn enough touches to be anything more than a committee back even if White gets hurt.

Where should I expect him to go in my rookie drafts? Perhaps the Buccaneers hope Irving can be their De'Von Achane, but that is a stretch given the former's 4.55 speed and poor testing numbers (in the vertical and broad jumps) at the Combine. Irving seems likely to go in the fourth or fifth round of most superflex or one-quarterback league drafts.

4.27 - RB Will Shipley, Eagles

Team Fit: Kenneth Gainwell is entering the final year of his rookie contract, so the addition of Shipley is almost certainly an indication that Philadelphia expects him to replace Gainwell as the primary backup to Saquon Barkley in 2025. Shipley is a bit of a dollar-store Christian McCaffrey in terms of his versatility and some of his movements, but there is almost no chance of him serving as anything more than a part-time passing-down back for the Eagles.

What does it mean in redraft (12 teams)? Gainwell has been good enough for long enough that he will almost certainly be the lead back in a committee with Shipley in 2024 if Barkley gets hurt. That role would have some value for managers in deeper leagues, but it is not enough to consider him a good stash this season.

Where should I expect him to go in my rookie drafts? Once again, there is not much reason to expect Shipley to earn a big enough piece of the pie in this backfield at any point over the next 2-3 years to use anything more than a fourth- or fifth-round pick in most superflex or one-quarterback league drafts.

4.28 - RB Ray Davis, Bills

Team Fit: Buffalo was unable to utilize Zack Moss correctly when he was still on the roster, but the hope is that the Bills will not make a similar mistake with Davis. The San Francisco native became the first player in college football history to rush for at least 1,000 yards at three different schools (Temple, Vanderbilt, Kentucky) and did so with programs not exactly overflowing with NFL talent, including two SEC schools. The most likely explanation as to why Davis lasted as long as he did is that he will turn 25 years old a couple of weeks before Thanksgiving and already piled up 840 offensive touches in his college career. On the bright side, Buffalo needed a powerful complement to James Cook and got one in Davis, who is also very competent as a receiver.

What does it mean in redraft (12 teams)? This is one of my favorite fourth-round picks. Davis will almost certainly begin the season as Cook's primary backup and likely as the preferred option near the goal line (when Josh Allen does not call his own number). In an offense that figures to lean more heavily on the run without Stefon Diggs, Davis should have RB3 upside with Cook healthy and high-end RB2 upside if he misses time.

Where should I expect him to go in my rookie drafts? Davis' age will likely push him into the third round of most rookie drafts, although a strong case can be made for him to go in the middle of the second.

4.29 - RB Isaac Guerendo, 49ers

Team Fit: The 49ers cannot help themselves when it comes to taking running backs in the middle rounds, although there is probably a good explanation for why they chose Guerendo: Elijah Mitchell and Jordan Mason are both in the final year of their rookie contracts. Mitchell is set to become an unrestricted free agent after the season and Mason is set to become a restricted free agent. Thus, Guerendo is probably been viewed by the organization as Mitchell's successor. The 23-year-old was likely attractive to HC Kyle Shanahan & Co. for multiple reasons, not the least of which included his 4.33 speed, 41.5" vertical and 10' 9" broad jump. Christian McCaffrey will turn 28 years old in early June, so it behooves San Francisco to have an explosive athlete like Guerendo in the pipeline.

What does it mean in redraft (12 teams)? Mitchell and Mason will probably make Guerendo irrelevant for most of this season, so it would take a rash of injuries for the rookie to be worth stashing in seasonal leagues.

Where should I expect him to go in my rookie drafts? Guerendo probably will not be drafted before the fourth round in most leagues, but he might be a shrewd add for the McCaffrey owners late in the third.

4.34 - RB Braelon Allen, Jets (Draft Profile)

Team Fit: Breece Hall is firmly entrenched as the featured back in New York, so Allen is set to battle Israel Abanikanda and others for the backup job. Neither Abanikanda nor Allen runs with the power one would expect for backs their size. If Allen can ever find the form that made him such a revelation as a freshman at Wisconsin, he would easily take over as the primary backup. Be that as it may, neither backup figures to take much work away from Hall.

What does it mean in redraft (12 teams)? Abanikanda will likely go into camp as the early favorite to be the primary backup in New York. With that said, Hall will not lose much work to either back and the most likely outcome if Hall gets hurt is that Abanikanda and Allen split duties.

Where should I expect him to go in my rookie drafts? Allen might go in the third round of rookie drafts because his name has been on managers' minds since 2021. However, he stands little chance of carving out a meaningful as a Jet for as long as Hall is on the roster, so he probably should come off the board in the fourth round.

4.35 - WR Jacob Cowing, 49ers

Team Fit: HC Kyle Shanahan & Co. have seemingly been searching for a speed receiver for most of their time in San Francisco. Danny Gray has yet to work out due largely to injuries, so it appears the 49ers doubled up with Ricky Pearsall (4.41) and Cowing (4.38). As long as Deebo Samuel and Brandon Aiyuk remain on the roster, it appears Cowing will enter camp as the fifth receiver behind the aforementioned two, Jauan Jennings and Pearsall. However, the 49ers also have to keep the receiver cupboard full with Aiyuk entering the final year of his rookie contract.

What does it mean in redraft (12 teams)? As things stand now, San Francisco is stacked at receiver, so Cowing is a long shot to contribute in fantasy in 2024.

Where should I expect him to go in my rookie drafts? Cowing is probably deserving of a selection in the late fourth round, but the long-rumored trade of either Samuel or Aiyuk would need to happen for Cowing to return any hint of value before 2025.

Round 5

5.12 - RB Audric Estime, Broncos

Team Fit: Estime is a power back with some big-play ability (he averaged 4.27 yards after contact in 2023 - fourth best in FBS - and ranked third in the country with 14 rushes of 20-plus yards in 2023). Javonte Williams currently occupies that role in Denver, although his career has not progressed as many expected it to through three NFL seasons. Estime will not turn 21 years of age until Week 1 of the regular season, so HC Sean Payton may be preparing for a future without Williams since it is unlikely that the Broncos want to change Jaleel McLaughlin or Samaje Perine's role in the offense. One key to Estime's potential success will be to maintain his current weight because it appeared as though he was in the 230-pound range throughout most of last season. (He looked more like Jerome Bettis on tape despite whatever story the stats tell about his explosiveness.)

What does it mean in redraft (12 teams)? The problem for Estime is finding a spot on the game-day roster in 2024. Williams is not going anywhere, McLaughlin is already a Payton favorite and Perine plays a lot on passing downs.

Where should I expect him to go in my rookie drafts? Some things need to go right for Estime just to be on the active roster right away, so he will probably slide into the fourth round in rookie drafts.

5.31 - RB Tyrone Tracy Jr., Giants

Team Fit: New York was one of the few spots that needed an infusion of talent at running back, so it seems a bit comical the Giants drafted one who did not commit to the position until his sixth and final college season. (He spent the first five at receiver.) Devin Singletary should have a stranglehold on the job in 2024, but there is very little on the depth chart after him. At the very least, Tracy's receiver background should make him a mismatch weapon in the passing game. However, the former Iowa transfer is more than just a big former receiver; he shows a surprising ability to keep his feet through contact and even power through it. Even his ability to recognize and pick up the blitz is advanced for a player making such a late transition to a new position. While it may be hyperbolic to say the Giants might have selected their own version of Tony Pollard, the statement may not be far from the truth.

What does it mean in redraft (12 teams)? Tracy has a realistic shot of overtaking Eric Gray and winning the backup job, which would make the former Indiana Gatorade Player of the Year a potential handcuff. On a low-upside offense like the one the Giants will likely have, that alone is not enough of a role to make Tracy viable in fantasy. However, Tracy's background as a receiver makes him a potential option over Singletary on passing downs. That might be enough to make the rookie worth a pick in the final rounds.

Where should I expect him to go in my rookie drafts? The upside in New York's offense is not great, but the fact Tracy might be one play away from taking over ownership of the backfield is worth stashing on the bench in the fourth round.

Round 6

6.05 - RB Kimani Vidal, Chargers

Team Fit: It is no secret the new regime overhauled most of the offense this spring. Los Angeles will enter camp with J.K. Dobbins, who is no sure thing to return to form anytime soon after tearing his Achilles, and Gus Edwards leading the backfield. How long it stays that way may depend on Vidal (seriously). Vidal was wildly impressive at Troy, finishing third in the nation in rushing yards in 2023 while leading the FBS with 47 carries of 10-plus yards in 2023 and ranking No. 2 in the FBS with 94 forced missed tackles. The great-nephew of Hall of Fame baseball player Hank Aaron is a 5-7 and 213-pound dynamo who surprises with his burst, contact balance/power and pass protection skills. One of the few reasons why he lasted as long as he did in the draft was that he handled 873 offensive touches with the Trojans. Vidal's arrival likely puts Isaiah Spiller on notice at the very least. If Dobbins is unable to flash his previous form, then Vidal only needs to outperform Spiller in camp to have a path to share work with Edwards.

What does it mean in redraft (12 teams)? Of the 12 backs I studied the most, Vidal graded out at No. 5. It is not a stretch to say that Vidal could lead this backfield if some likely things happen over the course of the summer and early fall. The Sun Belt Player of the Year should be drafted late in deeper leagues and monitored in more traditional formats.

Where should I expect him to go in my rookie drafts? Vidal will probably not be selected in the first three rounds, but he should be. He is definitely worth a dart throw after the first two rounds.

6.08 - WR Malik Washington, Dolphins

Team Fit: Washington may not challenge Tyreek Hill or Jaylen Waddle for playing time, but the Dolphins have a use for an explosive slot receiver that should be an upgrade over Braxton Berrios. The University of Virginia standout is unlikely to stretch the field or dominate in the red zone, but he has all the makings of a player capable of turning a short pass on third-and-long into a first down consistently. Think of Washington as a younger version of Jamison Crowder. Washington's 4.47 speed does not fit the typical Miami profile for a skill-position player, but he is quick, explosive (42.5" vertical) and does some of his best work after the catch. (He was tied for fifth among FBS wide receivers with 24 forced missed tackles for Northwestern in 2022 before leading all FBS receivers with 35 for Virginia in 2023.)

What does it mean in redraft (12 teams)? Of the 17 receivers I studied the most, Washington graded out in a tie for 10th. Washington is unlikely to steal many targets from Hill, Waddle, Jonnu Smith and De'Von Achane. At least as a rookie, he will probably be a better real-life player for Miami than a fantasy option.

Where should I expect him to go in my rookie drafts? Washington is another player who will probably fall outside of the top three rounds, but the Dolphins' offense has not had a slot option like him since HC Mike McDaniel took over. He is worth rolling the dice on in the fourth round of rookie drafts.

6.18 - TE Tanner McLachlan, Bengals

Team Fit: Just about everything that applied to Erick All above applies here as well. There is a decent chance the Bengals view All and McLachlan as their future at tight end beginning in 2025. McLachlan is likely in a better position to handle more passing-game work down the road if only because All is the better blocker right now. The 25-year-old and former walk-on has exceptional hands (he had zero drops in 2023 and 81.8 percent of his targets resulted in a reception) and adjusts to inaccurate throws with ease, making him something of a security blanket over the middle of the field.

What does it mean in redraft (12 teams)? Virtually nothing. McLachlan figures to struggle to find the field in 2024 with Mike Gesicki and Drew Sample expected to see the bulk of work. All was drafted two rounds ahead of McLachlan as well, meaning the Arizona product enters camp no higher than fourth on the depth chart.

Where should I expect him to go in my rookie drafts? McLachlan is worth stashing in deeper tight-end premium formats, but managers in superflex or one-quarterback leagues can probably let him slide.

6.29 - RB Dylan Laube, Raiders

Team Fit: Las Vegas wants to build a bully on offense, but there is always room for a versatile back like Laube on teams that want to establish the run. The parts of his resume at New Hampshire that likely stand out the most are his 171 career catches and 7,197 all-purpose yards. In short, he may never be a great runner in the NFL (he failed to top five yards per carry in either of his last two seasons at the FCS level), but he is a very good receiver - which makes him a natural complement for Zamir White. The first case for Laube making a semi-early impact on this roster is that Alexander Mattison is on a one-year contract and Ameer Abdullah is set to turn 31 in June. Laube's contributions as a returner also figure to guarantee him a roster spot.

What does it mean in redraft (12 teams)? There is a path to a bit of relevancy for Laube, although it would probably require Mattison to disappoint in camp (possible) and the Raiders to move on from Abdullah. If those two things happen, then Laube could be worth an add at some point during the season.

Where should I expect him to go in my rookie drafts? The odds are relatively long that Laube ever becomes relevant in fantasy, but his skill as a receiver gives him a chance. Still, the earliest he will go in most rookie drafts is the fourth round.

6.40 - WR Ryan Flournoy, Cowboys

Team Fit: The first three spots on the depth chart at receiver in Dallas appear set with CeeDee Lamb, Brandin Cooks and Jalen Tolbert, who flashed at times in 2023 and was likely one of the reasons the team deemed Michael Gallup expendable. With that said, Tolbert's emergence is far from a sure thing. Flournoy, who dominated at Southeast Missouri State in his final two college seasons, could push Tolbert for field-stretching duties as a rookie. The two-time, first-team Ohio Valley Conference selection has decent size (6-1, 202), good speed (4.44) and should offer a bit of run-after-catch upside. On the downside, he is not a great route-runner and will turn 25 years old during the season.

What does it mean in redraft (12 teams)? The best Flournoy can probably hope for as a rookie is to beat out Tolbert in camp. Even then, he cannot be expected to be as good as Gallup in 2024 (and we saw how little he was used even as Dallas went pass-heavy last season).

Where should I expect him to go in my rookie drafts? Flournoy is a poor bet to be relevant in fantasy anytime soon, but there is a case to be made to consider him in the fourth or fifth round.

Round 7

7.05 - WR Brenden Rice, Chargers

Team Fit: As bad as Los Angeles' depth chart looks after trading Keenan Allen and releasing Mike Williams, team brass will still likely give Quentin Johnston and Josh Palmer every chance to keep the perimeter receiver roles or allow second-round draft choice Ladd McConkey to take one of them. With that said, the son of Hall of Fame receiver Jerry Rice did not deserve to go this late in the draft and has a realistic shot of overtaking Johnston or Palmer at some point as a rookie. Caleb Williams' favorite target at USC last year is more comfortable at working the middle of the field than either veteran and may have better hands. The Chargers can also be looking at Rice taking over for Palmer after this year when his contract expires.

What does it mean in redraft (12 teams)? Any time a young receiver with some skills is tied to a quarterback like Justin Herbert, there is a chance for relevancy. With that said, it seems unlikely to happen for Rice this year so long as Johnston and Palmer stay on the field.

Where should I expect him to go in my rookie drafts? Rice is well worth a dart throw in the fourth round. While there is no chance he will reach the same heights as his dad, it would not be a surprise to see him carve out a decent NFL career.

7.11 - TE Jaheim Bell, Patriots

Team Fit: New England may hope Bell can become the player it hoped it was getting in Jonnu Smith a few years ago. At 6-2 and 240 pounds with 4.61 speed and good run-after-catch ability (8.1 yards after the catch per reception at Florida State last year), he could give the Patriots some free yards that no other tight end on their roster (Hunter Henry and Austin Hooper) can. Most likely, New England will keep Bell as a third tight end in 2024 and ask him to complement Henry in 2025 after it likely moves on from Austin Hooper once his one-year deal expires.

What does it mean in redraft (12 teams)? Very little. The Patriots will have a hard enough time making Henry relevant this season.

Where should I expect him to go in my rookie drafts? Henry is already 30 years old, so Bell has a chance to be a decent fantasy option down the road. He is worth consideration in the fourth- or fifth-round area, but it seems unlikely he will be worth the wait in what figures to be a bad offense for another year or two.

7.33 - WR Cornelius Johnson, Chargers

Team Fit: Just about everything that was said about Brenden Rice above applies here as well. The one notable difference is that Johnson will have a significant head start on Rice based on playing for new HC Jim Harbaugh at Michigan over the last five seasons. Rice and Johnson figure to battle it out to be the fourth receiver on this roster, assuming Derius Davis does not go off during camp. Johnson could be viewed as a potential red zone weapon given his size (6-3 and 212 pounds) and wingspan (77 1/4").

What does it mean in redraft (12 teams)? Despite his ties to Harbaugh, Johnson will have enough problems being active on game days in 2024.

Where should I expect him to go in my rookie drafts? Johnson might be worth a shot in the fifth-round area, but the odds of him being much of a contributor anytime soon are long.

I will not discuss the following Day 3 prospects due to how unlikely it is that he will be useful in fantasy at any point in the early part of their careers:

4.23 TE Cade Stover, Texans - Houston just extended Dalton Schultz, who is likely no better than fourth on the team in targets behind Stefon Diggs, Nico Collins and Tank Dell.

4.31 TE Jared Wiley, Chiefs - Wiley will stick around on the roster because of draft capital, but this is a case of a good player going to a bad situation because of the talent that already exists on the roster. It will be no easy task for Wiley to beat out Noah Gray or Irv Smith for the right to play behind Travis Kelce, who signed a two-year extension.

4.32 RB Sione Vaki, Lions - Detroit announced Vaki as a running back, but he played a ton of safety at Utah. Even if he somehow sticks as the third running back on the roster, he is stuck behind Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery for the foreseeable future.

5.07 WR Anthony Gould, Colts - Gould would have had a good chance at relevancy if Indianapolis passed on Adonai Mitchell on Day 2. Even if he beats out Alec Pierce in camp (which seems like a long shot), he will be no higher than fourth on the depth chart at receiver behind Michael Pittman Jr., Mitchell and Josh Downs.

5.15 QB Spencer Rattler, Saints - Rattler has a decent shot of beating out Jake Haener in camp, but New Orleans is likely tied to Derek Carr for at least two more years.

5.17 WR Ainias Smith, Eagles - Smith is potentially being viewed as the team's top option as a kick and punt returner.

5.21 WR Jamari Thrash, Browns - Cleveland is set with Amari Cooper, Jerry Jeudy and Elijah Moore as its top three receivers. Cedric Tillman is the likely fourth receiver. It is possible Thrash is being viewed as Moore's potential replacement after his contract expires at the end of the season.

5.30 RB Rasheen Ali, Ravens - Ali should make the team as Keaton Mitchell (ACL) works his way back from injury, but even then the Marshall product will have a hard time seeing any work behind Derrick Henry and Justice Hill.

5.32 RB Keilan Robinson, Jaguars - Jacksonville is in good shape at running back with Travis Etienne, D'Ernest Johnson and Tank Bigsby.

5.35 WR Bub Means, Saints - New Orleans' top three receivers are Chris Olave, Rashid Shaheed and A.T. Perry. The team seems high enough on Perry that Means is unlikely to challenge him anytime soon.

5.36 QB Jordan Travis, Jets - The Florida State product will begin his pro career behind Aaron Rodgers and Tyrod Taylor.

5.38 RB Isaiah Davis, Jets - New York is already three-deep at running back. There appears to be little opportunity for touches behind Breece Hall. Israel Abanikanda and Braelon Allen offer more upside.

6.06 WR Jha'Quan Jackson, Titans - Good luck finding work behind Calvin Ridley, DeAndre Hopkins, Treylon Burks and Nick Westbrook-Ikhine anytime in the foreseeable future.

6.08 RB Jase McClellan, Falcons - Bijan Robinson and Tyler Allgeier are set as Atlanta's top two backs for a few more years.

6.09 WR Johnny Wilson, Eagles - Wilson is a raw talent with immense upside who could theoretically beat out DeVante Parker in camp. With that said, it is hard to see a path to relevancy behind DeVonta Smith and A.J. Brown.

6.11 WR Casey Washington, Falcons - Atlanta virtually remade its receiver room in one offseason. Washington will be hard-pressed to challenge Drake London, Darnell Mooney or Rondale Moore for targets anytime soon.

6.15 WR Tejhaun Palmer, Cardinals - Palmer will begin his pro career behind Marvin Harrison Jr., Michael Wilson, Greg Dortch and Chris Moore.

6.17 QB Joe Milton III, Patriots - There is a chance Milton sees some usage similar to what Jalen Hurts enjoyed in his rookie year. Milton's arm is strong enough that he could also be used to throw Hail Mary passes, but there is virtually no chance New England allows him to hinder Drake Maye's development in any other way.

6.27 PK Will Reichard, Vikings - Reichard is a fine kicker, but fantasy managers rarely use a rookie draft pick on one.

6.29 RB Jawhar Jordan, Texans - Houston is set with Joe Mixon, Dameon Pierce and special-teamer Dare Ogunbowale at running back. Perhaps he will take over for Ogunbowale after this season, but that is a role with no value in fantasy.

6.33 PK Joshua Karty, Rams - Karty is a fine kicker, but fantasy managers rarely use a rookie draft pick on one.

6.36 PK Cam Little, Jaguars - Little will battle Joey Slye in camp.

6.37 WR Jordan Whittington, Rams - Los Angeles is in good shape with Cooper Kupp, Puka Nacua, Demarcus Robinson and Tutu Atwell as its top four wideouts.

6.42 QB Devin Leary, Ravens - Leary will begin his pro career stuck behind Lamar Jackson and Josh Johnson.

7.15 WR Devaughn Vele, Broncos - Vele's 6-4 frame gives him a chance as a contested-catch option, but he is already 26 years old and will have trouble overtaking Courtland Sutton, Josh Reynolds, Marvin Mims, Troy Franklin and Tim Patrick.

7.21 WR Tahj Washington, Dolphins - Washington will likely serve as competition for Braxton Berrios and Malik Washington in the slot. Just as the case was stated above for Malik Washington, it will be hard for anyone to find regular targets behind Tyreek Hill, Jaylen Waddle, Jonnu Smith and De'Von Achane.

7.25 QB Michael Pratt, Packers - Jordan Love appears to be set as the long-term starter in Green Bay, so Pratt will battle (and likely beat out) Sean Clifford for backup duties.

7.26 TE Devin Culp, Buccaneers - Cade Otton is set as Tampa Bay's primary tight end. Culp could beat out Ko Kieft or Payne Durham for a roster spot. Even if Culp really surprises, Otton struggled for relevancy in this offense last season.