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Week 14



Pittsburgh Steelers at New England Patriots
Game Preview & Fantasy | Results & Schedule | Offense Stats | Defense Stats | Weather | History

Game Preview
Mike Krueger

Predicted Score: Patriots 30, Steelers 20

New England: Nothing like a matchup of the number one passing offense going against the number one passing defense. This is the can't-miss game of the week, one I hope to be enjoying in some swanky midtown sports bar in New York. The Patriots have "escaped" with two wins the last couple weeks "only" scoring 31 and 27 points in the process. Common in the two "close victories" is the double coverage of Randy Moss as Philadelphia and Baltimore decided to make Brady earn his money somewhere else. I imagine the Steelers will copycat this philosophy so look for Donte Stallworth and/or Wes Welker to be the main targets of Brady's passes. Maroney and the running game should be ignored as the Steelers aren't too shabby against the run either (77 yds/game).

  • Start: QB Tom Brady, WR Randy Moss, WR Wes Welker, WR Donte Stallworth
  • Consider: RB Laurence Maroney, TE Ben Watson
  • Sit: RB Sammy Morris, Patriots D/ST

Pittsburgh: Back to back close games have us all thinking the Patriots are human again and here comes the toughest opponent remaining on their schedule. With respect to the Jets, Dolphins, and Giants, the Steelers offer the best chance at spoiling New England's perfect season. Their defense is best in the league, first in points and passing yards allowed, and unlike the Eagles or Ravens, the Steelers have legitimate weapons on offense, both on the ground and through the air. One of those weapons, wide receiver Santonio Holmes, has practiced this week and is expected to play. I can't in my right mind pick the Steelers here, as road loses at Arizona, Denver, and New York (Jets) still stick in my mind but this should be a good contest as the Patriots are going through their "lull" for the season… it remains to be seen if the Steelers can take advantage.

  • Start: QB Ben Roethlisberger, RB Willie Parker, WR Hines Ward, WR Santonio Holmes, TE Heath Miller
  • Consider: K Jeff Reed
  • Sit: Steelers D/ST, WR Cedrick Wilson, WR Nate Washington




Krueger's Rankings/Projections 
Pittsburgh Steelers
Rank Player Projections
QB 6 Ben Roethlisberger Pass: 265, 2 Rush: 0, 0
RB 13 Willie Parker Rush: 90, 0 Rec: 2-15, 0
WR 8 Hines Ward Rec: 7-90, 1
WR 45 Santonio Holmes Rec: 3-50, 0
WR 78 Nate Washington Rec: 2-30, 0
TE 8 Heath Miller Rec: 5-50, 1
 
New England Patriots
Rank Player Projections
QB 1 Tom Brady Probable: Shoulder Pass: 290, 3 Rush: 0, 0
RB 37 Laurence Maroney Rush: 45, 0 Rec: 3-20, 0
RB 48 Heath Evans Rush: 0, 0 Rec: 2-10, 0
WR 4 Wes Welker Rec: 9-110, 1
WR 5 Randy Moss Rec: 5-70, 1
WR 32 Donte' Stallworth Rec: 4-60, 0
TE 12 Ben Watson Rec: 3-35, 1

View all Week 14 Rankings or Projections
Past Results and Remaining Schedule
Pittsburgh Steelers
Week Date Opp H/A Score Dif
1 2007-09-09 CLE A W 34-7 +27
2 2007-09-16 BUF H W 26-3 +23
3 2007-09-23 SF H W 37-16 +21
4 2007-09-30 ARI A L 14-21 -7
5 2007-10-07 SEA H W 21-0 +21
6   Bye      
7 2007-10-21 DEN A L 28-31 -3
8 2007-10-28 CIN A W 24-13 +11
9 2007-11-05 BAL H W 38-7 +31
10 2007-11-11 CLE H W 31-28 +3
11 2007-11-18 NYJ A L 16-19 -3
12 2007-11-26 MIA H W 3-0 +3
13 2007-12-02 CIN H W 24-10 +14
14 2007-12-09 NE A L 13-34 -21
15 2007-12-16 JAC H    
16 2007-12-20 STL A    
17 2007-12-30 BAL A    
New England Patriots
Week Date Opp H/A Score Dif
1 2007-09-09 NYJ A W 38-14 +24
2 2007-09-16 SD H W 38-14 +24
3 2007-09-23 BUF H W 38-7 +31
4 2007-10-01 CIN A W 34-13 +21
5 2007-10-07 CLE H W 34-17 +17
6 2007-10-14 DAL A W 48-27 +21
7 2007-10-21 MIA A W 49-28 +21
8 2007-10-28 WAS H W 52-7 +45
9 2007-11-04 IND A W 24-20 +4
10   Bye      
11 2007-11-18 BUF A W 56-10 +46
12 2007-11-25 PHI H W 31-28 +3
13 2007-12-03 BAL A W 27-24 +3
14 2007-12-09 PIT H W 34-13 +21
15 2007-12-16 NYJ H    
16 2007-12-23 MIA H    
17 2007-12-29 NYG A    

Offense Stats Comparison
  PIT
 Offense 
NE
 Offense 
NFL
 Average 
Points for 23.8 36.7 21.8
Rushing yards 115.5 107.3 107.2
Rushing yards per attempt 3.46 3.95 3.94
Completion % 68.8% 66.5% 61.1%
Passing yards 191.5 311.0 218.1
Passing yards per completion 10.36 11.33 10.59
Passing yards per attempt 7.13 7.53 6.47
Interceptions 1.0 0.3 1.1
Fumbles lost 0.3 0.0 0.8
Sacked 3.3 2.0 2.2
Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game through Weeks 8 to 13 of the 2007 season after deducting the best and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per pass completion, yards per pass attempt and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on totals through Weeks 8 to 13 with no adjustment.

Defense Stats Comparison
  PIT
 Defense 
NE
 Defense 
NFL
 Average 
Points against 12.3 18.0 21.8
Rushing yards 69.5 84.0 107.2
Rushing yards per attempt 3.53 3.81 3.94
Completion % 51.0% 60.6% 61.1%
Passing yards 138.5 199.0 218.1
Passing yards per completion 7.99 11.53 10.59
Passing yards per attempt 4.08 6.99 6.47
INT return 0.3 1.0 1.1
Fumble recoveries 1.3 1.0 0.8
Sacks 2.0 2.7 2.2
 

Weather
Check the current weather forecast for New England from Weather.com.

Team vs. Team History
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. New England Patriots
 Season   Week   Date   Vis   Home   Score   Winner 
2002 1 2002-09-09 PIT NE 14-30 NE
2004 8 2004-10-31 NE PIT 20-34 PIT
2004 CF 2005-01-23 NE PIT 41-27 NE
2005 3 2005-09-25 NE PIT 23-20 NE
Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2006 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.




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