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Favorites & Fades


Week 11

By: Mike Krueger | Ken Ilchuk | Nick Caron | HC Green
Updated: 11/20/22

Thursday:

TEN @ GB


Sunday Early:

PHI @ IND | LAR @ NO | CHI @ ATL | WAS @ HOU

NYJ @ NE | DET @ NYG | CAR @ BAL | CLE @ BUF


Sunday Late:

LV @ DEN | CIN @ PIT | DAL @ MIN

KC @ LAC


Monday:

SF @ ARI

Notes:
- Green highlight indicates plus matchup (top eight)
- Red highlight indicates negative matchup (bottom eight)
- Lines and totals updated Sunday morning

Titans @ Packers - (Green)
Line: GB -3.5
Total: 40.5

GB FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.30
GB FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.15
GB FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.22
GB FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.25

No Brainers: RB Derrick Henry

Favorite: N/A

On the Fence: N/A

Fade: QB Ryan Tannehill, WRs Treylon Burks/Robert Woods

Make no mistake, the Titans are coming into Lambeau Field this Thursday with the intent of running all over the leagueís No. 26 run defense (140.6 yards per game) because a) thatís what they do, and b) their own D has spent more than 160 snaps on the field in their past two games. The Packers also sit third in pass defense, so this is a matter of projecting the Titans using their strength against Green Bayís weakness. Even in Week 10 when Denver locked down Henry, Tannehill still threw for just 255 yards and 2 TDs -- even that included a 63-yard score on a flea flicker -- with only 34 of them going to Burks and Woods. Stay clear of them all.

TEN FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.4
TEN FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.29
TEN FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.4
TEN FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.5

No Brainers: RB Aaron Jones

Favorite: WR Allen Lazard

Lazard was quiet in Week 10, catching just three passes for 45 yards. It marked just his third game of the season without a touchdown, and it was the second time in his last six outings heíd finished with less than 50 yards. Thatís a long-winded way of saying it feels like an outlier. Last Sunday was Christian Watsonís coming out party, and it was the type of performance that teams will take note of. The rookieís speed should open things up for Lazard, who remains Aaron Rodgersí most trusted target. Pencil Lazard in as a WR3 with some upside.

On the Fence: WR Christian Watson

After weeks of injuries and dropped balls, the rookie receiver finally flashed the skills that made him the 34th overall pick in this year’s draft. Watson shook off some early struggles to haul in an over-the-shoulder bomb for a touchdown. Things got better from there, and he finished the game with four receptions, 107 yards, and three TDs. Now the question becomes whether what we saw will jumpstart the rest of his first season or will we look back on it in two months as an isolated performance? If you want to play Watson as a flex it’s a worthwhile gamble. Just keep your expectations in check.

Fade: N/A

Prediction: Packers 23, Titans 19 ^ Top

Eagles @ Colts - (Ilchuk)
Line: PHI -6.5
Total: 45.5

IND FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.23
IND FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.10
IND FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.32
IND FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.12

No Brainers: QB Jalen Hurts, WR DeVonta Smith

Favorite: WR A.J. Brown (ankle)

The Colts are allowing opposing QBís to complete nearly 70% of their passes at a 6.5 yards per attempt clip. Brown only had one catch last week, but in the three games leading up to the loss to the Commanders, he was averaging 5 catches for 95 yards per game. He also had five scores in that stretch. Weíll have to monitor his ankle injury over the weekend, but Iím looking for a bounce back week from Brown in the WR1 rankings.

On the Fence: TE Tyree Jackson

Jackson is an uber-athletic former QB who was activated from the practice squad this week. He, and not Grant Carcaterra or Jack Stoll, is the likely replacement for the injured Dallas Goedert as the pass catching tight end. The last time he was in this spot (Week 18 2021) he had three catches for 22 yards and a score. Heís a sneaky pickup this week who could be key for some ownersí playoff push as Goedert is expected to miss significant time.

On the Fence: RB Miles Sanders

The Colts own one of the toughest run defenses in the NFL, allowing just 3.4 yards per carry, and they donít give up many touchdowns on the ground in the red zone. Sanders was down last week (RB41 in PPR leagues), and I think he struggles again on Sunday as Indy focuses on stopping Sanders and QB Jalen Hurts on the ground.

PHI FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.31
PHI FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.14
PHI FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.24
PHI FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.22

No Brainers: N/A

Favorite: RB Jonathan Taylor

As good as the Eagles have been against the pass this year, they are yielding a surprising 4.7 yards per carry on the season. With Taylor showing last week (147 rushing yards) that he is back to full health, expect the Colts to ride their workhorse once again. If they are going to compete in this game, it will have to happen on the ground, where they can attack the weakness of this defense while eating clock and keeping Jalen Hurts and company off the field.

On the Fence: QB Matt Ryan

Ryan, a surprise starter last week, is coming off one of his better games of the season (222-1-0, 4-38-1; QB7). But the Eagles have the best pass defense in the NFL and have allowed the second-fewest fantasy points per game to QBís this season. Ryan may be efficient, working the play-action game off Jonathan Taylorís ground attack, but it wonít be a big day against Darius Slay and company.

On the Fence: WR Michael Pittman Jr.

Pittman has now failed to reach 60 receiving yards in four straight games, and six out of nine games this season. This week he will likely draw coverage from one of the NFLís top cover corners in Darius Slay.

Prediction: Eagles 24, Colts 16 ^ Top

Rams @ Saints - (Ilchuk)
Line: NO -2.5
Total: 39.0

NO FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.19
NO FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.20
NO FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.14
NO FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.32

No Brainers: TE Tyler Higbee

Favorite: WR Van Jefferson

The Ramsí offense is ailing and failing, and this is a total flier. Jefferson has eight targets over the last two games since returning from injury and actually found the end zone last week. Cooper Kupp is on IR, Allen Robinson appears to be completely off the radar or in the doghouse, the offensive line is a shambles, the Saints D is particularly tough on TEís (tough sledding for Tyler Higbee?). All of that could mean Jefferson is in for a larger role this week, regardless of which QB plays. Matthew Stafford might play, but he hasnít been cleared yet through the concussion protocol.

On the Fence: QB Matthew Stafford

Speaking of Stafford, he was back at practice Wednesday, but he still has not cleared concussion protocol. If he does play, he is certainly an upgrade over John Wolford. However, he has been uneven at best this season, and will be playing behind a MASH unit of an offensive line, and without go-to receiver Cooper Kupp, who is on IR. Expect the Saints, who have shut down TEís all season, to take away Tyler Higbee and make life even more difficult for Stafford.

On the Fence: Any Rams RB

You would think with your starting QB on the sideline, your offensive line in shambles, and your receiving corps injured or ineffective, you might consider running the ball a bit. Nope. Itís just not in HC Sean McVayís DNA. In last weekís loss to the Cardinals, they ran the ball 12 times. Twelve. Donít look for that to change any time soon, or any time at all.

LAR FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.27
LAR FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.22
LAR FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.10
LAR FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.31

No Brainers: WR Chris Olave

Favorite: TE Juwan Johnson

Johnson has become the Saints primary receiving target at TE with at least four catches and 40 receiving yards in three of the last five games. Teams seem to have come up with a blueprint for how to take away Alvin Kamara in the passing game, and with Michael Thomas out, and Jarvis Landry limited, Johnson figures to maintain a certain level of fantasy viability.

On the Fence: RB Alvin Kamara

Kamara has been the heartbeat of the Saints offense this season. But with just three catches in each of the last two games, teams have taken him away as a check down threat. Heís also had to take on more of a role in the run game with Mark Ingram sidelined with an MCL injury, which may be a factor. The Saints simply arenít running enough plays. Just 47 in Week 10 and 51 in Week 9. All of that could mean a hit to Kamaraís fantasy value.

On the Fence: QB Andy Dalton

Dalton started out playing efficiently, but now seems headed for the bench whenever the Saints feel like Jameis Winston (back) is ready. At this point, on or off the field, heís not a fantasy option.

Prediction: Saints 16, Rams 10 ^ Top

Bears @ Falcons - (Ilchuk)
Line: ATL -3.0
Total: 48.0

ATL FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.11
ATL FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.13
ATL FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.1
ATL FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.9

No Brainers: QB Justin Fields

Favorite: TE Cole Kmet

If QB Justin Fields continues to run the way he has in recent weeks, heís going to be in play as a QB1, especially if he can get well in the passing game against a struggling Falcons secondary. But one thing heís done well consistently is build some chemistry with Kmet. The TE is second on the team to Darnell Mooney in targets, catches, and yards, including 9 catches for 115 yards over the last two games. Heís also found the end zone five times over the last three games, making him Chicagoís leading scorer for the season to this point. Heís a sure TE1 this week in a game where Fields should have an easier time finding passing lanes.

On the Fence: RB David Montgomery

Montgomery has been significantly outplayed by Khalil Herbert this season, but with Herbert headed to IR, Montgomery should step into a significantly increased role, and even though heís not Herbert, he is still averaging over 4.0 yards per carry. Perhaps a bigger snap share will help get him in rhythm and bring some needed production. Heís an RB2 this week.

On the Fence: WR Chase Claypool

Chicago parted with some significant draft capital to bring in Claypool, but the early returns havenít been there. Both Claypool and the coaches have noted this week that learning the offense is a big challenge for receivers. He has just three catches for 21 yards over his first two games with the club. Maybe heís still getting settled in, and maybe heíll break out this week against these Falcons. But until he produces consistently in this system he should be left on the sidelines.

No Brainers: N/A

CHI FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.16
CHI FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.5
CHI FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.23
CHI FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.28

Favorite: TE Kyle Pitts

While Pitts was held under 30 yards receiving for the seventh time in nine games last week, itís worth noting that he has been targeted at least seven times in each of the last three contests. This Bears defense will bring pressure, so QB Marcus Mariota will be looking for his outlet. The Bears staff seems interested in trying to get him the ball, and I think this week the matchup works. Heís a low-end TE1 due to injury at the position across the league.

On the Fence: RB Tyler Allgeier

Caleb Huntley led the team in rushing last week, but he has just 12 touches combined over the last two games. Cordarrelle Patterson has been active, but not the same player since returning from IR. Despite the three-man platoon, Allgeier is the best-suited back to take advantage of a Bears defense that is allowing over 22 fantasy points per game to RBís on the season. The question is how many touches he gets, but heís an interesting flex option this week.

On the Fence: QB Marcus Mariota

Mariota has shown flashes of brilliance and flashes of awful, but he has thrown multiple TD passes in three of the last five games. The problem is the combination of his inconsistency and the Falconsí run-driven offense has limited him to 200+ passing yards in a game just three times all season. Heís out of play and his performance has every Falconsí receiver on the sideline as well.

Prediction: Bears 27, Falcons 23 ^ Top

Commanders @ Texans - (Ilchuk)
Line: WAS -3.0
Total: 41.5

HOU FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.28
HOU FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.1
HOU FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.30
HOU FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.15

No Brainers: WR Terry McLaurin

Favorite: RB Brian Robinson Jr.

Robinson seems to be taking over the RB1 role in Washington with an increased share of the carries every week. Heís only averaging about 3.5 yards per carry over the last two games, but he runs very hard and is a physical back. The Texans are on tap this week, and they have given up over 1600 rushing yards (most in the NFL) and 13 rushing touchdowns (4th-most). They are also yielding 5.2 yards per carry and 22.0 fantasy points per game (most in the NFL). I think Robinson is in a great matchup and is my dark horse RB2 this week.

On the Fence: RB Antonio Gibson

Gibsonís carries have diminished with the emergence of Brian Robinson, and Iím okay with that. His value has been as a receiver out of the backfield. The problem is heís only had more than three catches in a game once in the last month, and he totaled less than 20 receiving yards in three of those games. Even though heís still been involved, if heís not catching passes, heís probably not helping your fantasy team.

On the Fence: WR Curtis Samuel

Samuel hasnít been targeted more than four times in a game in Taylor Heinekeís last three starts at QB and hasnít had more than three catches in a game in that span. Heís playing a distant second fiddle to Terry McLaurin and wonít be a fantasy option until Carson Wentz is back behind center.



WAS FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.13
WAS FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.27
WAS FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.9
WAS FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.30

No Brainers: RB Dameon Pierce

Favorite: WR Nico Collins

Collins returned last week after missing two games with an abdominal injury and had 10 targets right out of the box. He was still getting up to game speed presumably, catching only five of them. But with Brandin Cooks being hurt and mostly ineffective, and Chris Moore the top receiving target in recent weeks, it sems like Houston is ready to give Collins a shot at WR1 work. He gets a strong matchup against Washington this week and looks like a good back end WR2 play.

On the Fence: WR Brandin Cooks

Cooks returned from injury in Week 10 and never really got going, which is sort of the story of his season. He hasnít posted a 100-yard game all season and hasnít even had an 80-yard effort since Week 1. Plus, he has just one touchdown on the season. To say heís been a disappointment is an understatement. The Texans should be looking to throw the ball against the Washington secondary, so he could get a nice target share. The question is what heíll do with it?

On the Fence: WR Chris Moore

Moore has been the Texansí go-to guy in the passing game the last couple weeks with seven catches on 11 targets and 113 yards and a score. But with Brandin Cooks and Nico Collins both returning to the fold, Moore will take on the WR3 role and fall back to his usual target share, which wonít be enough to keep him viable in most leagues.

Prediction: Commanders 17, Texans 13 ^ Top

Jets @ Patriots - (Caron)
Line: NE -3.5
Total: 37.5

NE FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.14
NE FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.32
NE FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.29
NE FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.7

No Brainers: N/A

Update: Corey Davis is Out.

Favorite: WR Garrett Wilson

Rookie wide receiver Garrett Wilson is coming off of back-to-back respectable fantasy days for the first time in his career when playing with Zach Wilson and that should have fantasy managers excited about his potential this week. Wilson gets to face the very same Patriots defense that he went off for six catches and a career-high 115 yards against just three weeks ago. Heís become the clear WR1 in this offense and while this is expected to be a low-scoring game, Wilson should see a fair number of targets that will allow him to be a productive WR3/Flex play this week.

On the Fence: RB Michael Carter, RB James Robinson

The Jets backfield has been extremely difficult to predict this season aside from the short stretch when Breece Hall was operating as the bell cow. It appears as if weíre back to a full-blown committee in New York, with Michael Carter and James Robinson essentially splitting backfield duties right down the middle. This makes it very difficult to truly recommend either player, as a difficult matchup against a good New England defense probably means that each back will need a touchdown to be valuable for fantasy and itís unlikely that it happens for both of them. If youíre searching for a trend, Carter has still seen more snaps in each of the two games the Jets have played since acquiring Robinson, although the totals were much closer in Week 9 than they were in Week 8. Both players are low-end RB2/Flex plays in this one as the position as a whole is pretty beat up at the moment.

On the Fence: TE Tyler Conklin

The fantasy season started off hot for tight end Tyler Conklin, but since then weíve seen him produce just one fantasy-relevant game over his past six starts. While itís true that this two-touchdown game did come against the very same New England defense that heís facing again here in Week 11, the overall trends are quite down for Conklin overall. The tight end position overall is a total dumpster fire, so you could probably do worse than Conklin if you want to chase the production he had against the Patriots before, but keep in mind that New England has only allowed those two touchdown receptions to tight ends over their past five contests.

NYJ FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.17
NYJ FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.21
NYJ FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.28
NYJ FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.18

No Brainers: RB Rhamondre Stevenson

Favorite: WR Jakobi Meyers

Heís not a flashy option, but Jakobi Meyers continues to operate as perhaps the NFLís least-respected team WR1. Meyers has only failed to reach double-digit PPR fantasy points once this season and he even got pretty close in that contest, meaning that his floor is quite high on a weekly basis. His ceiling is also fairly low given the Patriotsí low-volume passing offense, but it is worth noting that Meyers saw a season-high 13 targets the last time he faced the Jets back in Week 8, and he caught nine of those passes for 60 yards and a touchdown.

On the Fence: N/A

On the Fence: RB Damien Harris

Patriots running back Damien Harris is back this week after missing Week 9 with an illness (the Patriots were on a bye in Week 10). That should allow him to resume his role as the RB2 in the New England offense, operating behind Rhamondre Stevenson. While Harris has carried the ball at least 11 times in four of his seven games this season, his fantasy production has not been there as he is no longer getting all of the goal-line carries like he did in 2021. In fact, he hasnít scored a touchdown since Week 4 and while thereís always a chance that he sneaks into the end zone, his lack of usage in the passing game makes him almost completely touchdown-dependent on relatively low volume. Heís someone who you could start if youíre absolutely desperate, but otherwise, you almost certainly have someone on your bench who gives you a higher upside.

Prediction: Patriots 20, Jets 17 ^ Top

Lions @ Giants - (Caron)
Line: NYG -3.0
Total: 44.5

NYG FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.21
NYG FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.26
NYG FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.26
NYG FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.13

No Brainers: WR Amon-Ra St. Brown

Favorite: RB Jamaal Williams

The backfield committee in Detroit continues to be puzzling as the Lions activated young superstar DíAndre Swift in Week 8, but have since given him just 13 total carries over his past three games. Meanwhile, Jamaal Williams continues to see a monster workload, as heís seen 50 carries over that same three-game stretch, scoring three total touchdowns in those contests. Williams has now carried the ball at least 10 times in every game, including 15 or more carries in six of his past seven games. That kind of workload makes him a very strong play in pretty much any matchup, even if Swift does start to get more involved again. The Giants have been fairly good against opposing running backs this season, but they have given up 100-yard rushing days to four different backs already and Dameon Pierce nearly got there this past week as well. Williams is a strong RB2 with RB1 upside if he continues to see goal-line work.

On the Fence: RB DíAndre Swift

While DíAndre Swift has scored in two of the three games heís played in since returning from injury, itís tough to be very excited about a player whoís barely touching the ball. Swift has now seen just 17 total touches over this three-game stretch and it leads us to believe that heís probably still not fully healthy. Heís a risky play against a Giants defense thatís been particularly good at containing backs in the passing game, but itís also difficult to sit a player like him who has the physical ability to completely take over a fantasy game.

On the Fence: WR Josh Reynolds, WR Kalif Raymond

Amon-Ra St. Brown has reestablished himself as the clear-cut top target in this Detroit passing game, having seen 30 targets over his past three games. That type of volume makes it very difficult for other players to get involved in the passing game, especially since the Lions have been leaning so heavily on their running game in recent weeks. Jared Goff has thrown the ball fewer than 30 times in three of his past four games, including just four touchdown passes over that stretchóa far cry from the 38 pass attempts he averaged through the first four weeks of the season when he had thrown 11 total touchdown passes. Add in the fact that the Lions are on the road, facing a Giants defense that has given up the seventh-fewest fantasy points to opposing wide receivers this season, and itís easy to see why players like Josh Reynold and Kalif Raymond are even worse plays than they normally are. Neither player possesses the requisite target share to be a strong option in this one.

DET FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.1
DET FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.9
DET FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.7
DET FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.3

No Brainers: RB Saquon Barkley

Favorite: QB Daniel Jones

Heís now nine starts into the season and Giants quarterback Daniel Jones is still yet to throw for even 225 yards in a single game this season. Heís only thrown for two touchdowns in three of his games and heís been held to no passing touchdowns in four of them. Still, despite those disgusting numbers, Jones has actually been a viable fantasy quarterback more often than not, and itís typically been because of his legs. Jones is on pace for 731 rushing yards on the year, as heís been contributing about 43 rushing yards per game - or the equivalent of just over one passing touchdown per game with his rushing. Now he faces a Lions defense that has given up more fantasy points per game to opposing quarterbacks than any other team. They also have given up huge rushing days to Jalen Hurts and Justin Fields, while allowing both Geno Smith and Aaron Rodgers to reach 40 or more rushing yards against them. This is about as good of a matchup as someone rostering Daniel Jones could possibly ask for, so get him in your lineup if youíre in need of an upside QB this week.

On the Fence: WR Darius Slayton

Itís been tough to find much to be excited about in this New York Giants offense this season aside from Saquon Barkley, but one player whoís had a bit of a reemergence has been wide receiver Darius Slayton. Slaytonís season started off extremely slow as he was playing way down the depth chart, but heís boosted himself back up in recent weeks, having now produced double-digit fantasy points in three of his past four opportunities. Slayton has still not seen more than seven targets in any game this season, which is not surprising given the Giantsí overall low passing game volume, but heís been highly effective with the targets he is seeing and that makes him a sneaky WR3/Flex against a Detroit defense that has given up the seventh-most fantasy points per game to opposing wide receivers so far this season.

On the Fence: WR WaníDale Robinson

The Giants traded away Kadarius Toney which seemingly should have meant an increase in opportunities for wide receiver WaníDale Robinson, but that simply hasnít come to fruition. The rookie has seen just five targets over his past two games. To make matters worse, Robinson is now dealing with a hamstring injury that has held him out of practice as of Thursday and actually got worse throughout the week. This matchup against a bad Detroit secondary might look juicy on paper, but we need to take a wait-and-see approach with Robinson before we put him in our lineups.

Prediction: Giants 24, Lions 17 ^ Top

Panthers @ Ravens - (Green)
Line: BAL -13.0
Total: 41.5

BAL FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.8
BAL FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.18
BAL FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.5
BAL FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.16

No Brainers: RB DíOnta Foreman

Favorite: WR D.J. Moore

Following a brief two-week resurgence in which he caught 13 passes for 221 yards and 2 TDs, Moore has gotten back on the struggle bus, managing just six catches for 53 yards over his last two games. With P.J. Walker out due to an ankle injury, Baker Mayfield will return to the starting lineup. He did little during his earlier run, but the rise of Foreman provides some hope that the former No. 1 overall selection can pick his spots more effectively. The Ravens are a bottom-five pass defense for the season, so thereís definitely a path for Moore to deliver WR2 value in Week 11.

On the Fence: N/A

On the Fence: RB Chuba Hubbard

When Christian McCaffrey was traded away, the initial belief was that Foreman and Hubbard would share the role. Hubbard ended up missing two games with an ankle injury instead, and Foreman locked down the clear RB1 role in his absence. In fact, when Hubbard returned last Thursday, he logged fewer touches than Raheem Blackshear. Itís best to keep him out of your lineup against Baltimore.

CAR FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.15
CAR FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.6
CAR FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.8
CAR FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.20

No Brainers: QB Lamar Jackson, TE Mark Andrews

Favorite: N/A

Update: Gus Edwards is Inactive.

On the Fence: RBs Gus Edwards/Kenyan Drake

With Carolina featuring the 25th-ranked run defense (139.2 yards per game), there should be ample opportunity for the Ravens to impose their will on the ground. The question is what the split will look like. In the two games they played together, Edwards logged 27 carries to 18 from Drake, but the latter ran effectively in Baltimoreís last game, which Edwards missed due to injury. It appears the Ravens view Edwards as their top back right now with Drake in a complementary role. Until thereís more clarity, feel free to use Edwards as an RB3 and Drake as a flex.

On the Fence: WR Devin Duvernay

With Rashod Bateman (foot) lost for the season, Duvernay looks like the nominal No. 1 receiver. The key phrases there being ďlooks likeĒ and ďnominal.Ē Andrews is the only safe bet in Baltimoreís passing game, whereas Duvernay figures to ebb and flow along with the likes of Demarcus Robinson and James Proche. If youíre desperate and looking to plug in somebody from the Ravens receiving corps, Duvernay is the logical choice right now, but even then only as a flex.

Prediction: Ravens 27, Panthers 16 ^ Top

Browns @ Bills (Detroit) - (Caron)
Line: BUF -7.5
Total: 50.5

BUF FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.26
BUF FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.17
BUF FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.19
BUF FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.24

No Brainers: RB Nick Chubb

Favorite: WR Amari Cooper

A rough Week 10 game against the Dolphins has some fantasy managers questioning their decision to keep Amari Cooper in their lineup, but this is a player whoís done this kind of thing throughout his career. While Cooperís season-ending numbers usually look fine, itís also true that his game logs often are scarred by a handful of complete duds throughout the season. You have to take the good with the bad on a player like Cooper, especially given the offense heís in right now with Jacoby Brissett behind center. But if you can look beyond those games, youíll find that Cooper has reached the 20-point fantasy mark in four of his nine games already this season and heís been at least in the double-digits in six of his nine games with his new team. Heís facing a Buffalo defense that is quite good overall, but theyíve been exploitable by opposing WR1s this season. Most recently it was Justin Jefferson who went off against them, but players like Garrett Wilson, Romeo Doubs, JuJu Smith-Schuster and Cooper Kupp have all had nice fantasy days against this defense. Cooper should be in lineups as the clear top target in the Brownsí passing game.

On the Fence: WR Donovan Peoples-Jones, TE David Njoku

While the top receivers have done fairly well against the Bills, the Buffalo defense has done a great job of containing the complementary pieces in opposing offenses. They even havenít allowed a tight end touchdown yet this season. Donovan Peoples-Jones and David Njoku would be obvious fades if it werenít for the fact that both players have been pretty hot in their starts prior to this game. Peoples-Jones has scored double-digit fantasy points in four straight contests, including narrowly missing the 100-yard mark against the Dolphins this past week. Njoku is a bit shakier of a play as he remains limited in practice and could end up missing yet another game with the ankle injury that has hampered him. If he does play, though, heís been able to be useful at a position that is practically completely devoid of fantasy production, so itíll be hard to justify benching him for other players who have a far worse upside.

On the Fence: RB Kareem Hunt

The frustrating season for Kareem Hunt continued this past week as the back got just seven total touches against Miami and he has now failed to reach even double-digit points in six of his nine games so far this season. It might be tempting to try to get him in your lineup if you believe that the Browns will fall behind and end up wanting to put him on the field more in a pass-catching role, but Hunt has not yet exceeded four catches in a game this season, so youíre really grasping at straws if thatís the plan. Hunt remains probably the best handcuff RB in the league and he does touch the ball a bit each game, but donít play him against this very good Buffalo defense.

CLE FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.18
CLE FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.2
CLE FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.16
CLE FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.29

No Brainers: WR Stefon Diggs

Favorite: QB Josh Allen

The snow-pocalypse scheduled to hit Buffalo this weekend has caused this Bills/Browns game to be moved to Detroit, which is definitely a negative for the home-field advantage aspect of things, but it should be considered an overall positive for the Bills and their high-powered passing game. While his decision-making was a bit off at times, Josh Allenís arm looked fine as he threw for 330 yards and rushed for an additional 84 yards against the Vikings in Week 10. Now he faces a Browns defense thatís coming off of getting lit up for three touchdowns by Tua Tagovailoa. Get Allen in your lineup as usual.

On the Fence: RB Devin Singletary

Itís tough to fully trust a player who scored his only two rushing touchdowns of the season this past week, but Devin Singletary is someone who has to be considered a potential fantasy starter this week. Not only are there quite a few injuries to be navigating through which limits the pool to begin with, but Singletary has now touched the ball at least 12 times in five of his past six games. If Josh Allenís elbow injury is still bothering him, thereís a possibility that they continue to lean more heavily on Singletary than usual, and that definitely bodes well for him as he faces a Cleveland defense that has been truly awful against opposing running backs this season, having given up the second-most fantasy points per game to the position on the year.

On the Fence: WR Gabriel Davis

Bills wide receiver Gabe Davis is coming off of a huge game in which he saw 10 targets against the Vikings, catching six of them for 93 yards and a touchdown. However, itís worth considering that his performance came in a game that went to overtime and was one of the bigger shootouts of the season. This weekís contest in a neutral field environment against one of the leagueís most run-heavy offenses is not nearly as likely to lead to a shootout, which severely hampers Davisí ability to have a big game. We know that heís capable of producing even if he only gets a few targets, but Davis has also been held to fewer than seven fantasy points in half of his starts this season. His floor is extremely low in matchups like this, so donít chase last weekís point totals in your lineup this week.

Prediction: Bills 24, Browns 17 ^ Top

Raiders @ Broncos - (Krueger)
Line: DEN -3.0
Total: 41.5

DEN FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.32
DEN FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.19
DEN FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.31
DEN FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.14

No Brainers: WR Davante Adams

Favorite: RB Josh Jacobs

Given the Broncos-D has been exceptional against the pass this season, it stands to reason we should see a lot of Jacobs in this game. The Raiders workhorse saw 27 touches last week against the Colts and posted a 28-144-2, 5-31-0 line the last time he faced the Broncos back in Week 4. Heís played on 73% of the Raiders snaps this season and with the passing game down Hunter Renfrow and Darren Waller, Jacobs should be in line for a big workload in Week 11.

On the Fence: TE Foster Moreau

Moreau has basically been an every-down player with Waller out of the lineup playing 96% of the snaps last week, 97% in Week 9 and 100% in Week 8. You canít ask for much more from a plug-and-play tight end. While he did score his first touchdown of the season last week, a realistic expectation is only four to five targets. The matchup is neutral but given the lack of quality options, heís probably on the fringe of low-end TE1 territory.

On the Fence: QB Derek Carr, WR Mack Hollins

The Raiders (2-7) are coming of another bad loss and find themselves circling the drain at the bottom of the AFC West. An emotional Derek Carr at last weekís post-game press conference was referencing teammates not giving their best effort. The Broncos have given up just 6 passing TDs all yearÖ six, by far the fewest in the league. Carr threw for 188 scoreless yards the last time he faced Denver. If Carr is on your fantasy roster, Iíd be searching pretty hard to find another option this week.

LV FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.2
LV FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.4
LV FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.12
LV FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.6

No Brainers: N/A

Update: Jerry Jeudy is Out.

Favorite: WR Courtland Sutton

Weíll be monitoring the status of Jerry Jeudy as he left last weeks game after one snap with an ankle injury. It seems like heís trending towards playing but we likely wonít know for sure until Saturday. If Jeudy sits, Sutton should be the focal point of the Broncos passing game in a plus matchup. His lone touchdown came against the Raiders earlier this season and he now has double-digit targets in four games including last week against Tennessee. Sutton is on the WR2 list for Week 11.

On the Fence: QB Russell Wilson, TE Greg Dulcich

The matchup isnít going to get much better. The Raiders have given up 17 touchdown passes (T-3rd) and the second most fantasy points to quarterbacks. And Wilsonís best fantasy game this season came againstÖ you guessed it, the Raiders back in Week 4. However, thatís the only time heís thrown more than 1 touchdown in a game and Wilson ranks just 14th in rushing yards by quarterbacks. On the season, heís been a low-end QB2 but there is some upside this week if you can stomach it. Dulcich is playing 80% of the snaps for Denver and his route participation is ideal for mid-range TE1 plays.

On the Fence: RBs Melvin Gordon, Latavius Murray

The Broncos worked Chase Edmonds into the mix last week playing 19% of the snaps and further diluting a running back group that struggle to produce low-end RB2 numbers on a weekly basis. The overall environment of this offense isnít great but if the plus-matchups intrigues you, then perhaps Gordon is viable as Flex but otherwise, Iíd stay away.

Prediction: Broncos 23, Raiders 20 ^ Top

Bengals @ Steelers - (Green)
Line: CIN -3.5
Total: 39.5

PIT FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.9
PIT FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.23
PIT FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.2
PIT FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.21

No Brainers: RB Joe Mixon, WR Tee Higgins

Favorite: QB Joe Burrow

With JaíMarr Chase (hip) expected to miss another game, Burrow isnít quite a no brainer against the Steelers. In two outings minus his top target, the LSU alum has averaged 219 yards, 1.5 TDs, and 1 INT per game -- he also ran for a TD in Week 9, which was his fourth rushing score in five games. Burrow took it on the chin in the opener against the Steelers, getting sacked seven times and tossing four picks. Heís only thrown two in eight games since, however, and Pittsburgh hasnít been nearly as disruptive in subsequent weeks. Burrow feels like a midrange QB1 play here.

On the Fence: WR Tyler Boyd

With eight receptions, 82 yards, and a touchdown in Weeks 8 and 9, Boyd hasnít exactly filled the void left by Chaseís absence. Heíll get another chance this Sunday, so weíll see if the week off helps the Bengals make some tweaks offensively. Boyd caught a TD pass in Week 1 against the Steelers, but he finished with just 33 yards on four receptions. The veteran should be the No. 2 target behind Higgins this Sunday, and thatís enough to provide Boyd with flex potential.

On the Fence: N/A

CIN FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.29
CIN FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.24
CIN FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.27
CIN FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.17

No Brainers: WR Diontae Johnson, TE Pat Freiermuth

Favorite: N/A

On the Fence: RB Najee Harris

Harris (knee) is coming off his best game of the season, carrying the ball 20 times for 99 yards against the Saints. Heís dealing with discomfort in his knee, however, and the snap count between the second-year back and Jaylen Warren keeps narrowing -- last week it was 50 for Harris and 36 for Warren. Harris managed a paltry 26 yards against Cincinnati in Week 1, and he has just three touchdowns this season (and none since Oct. 16). Add all that up and Harris feels like a high-end RB3 at best right now.

On the Fence: QB Kenny Pickett

Pickett ran for a season-high 51 yards and a touchdown in Week 10, giving the rookie more rushing scores (3) than passing ones (2) for the year. That may not change this Sunday as the Bengals are one of just six teams to have allowed fewer than 10 TDs through the air this season. There is some late-season potential for Pickett given his athleticism and long leash, but this is a good week to keep him benched.

Prediction: Bengals 23, Steelers 20 ^ Top

Cowboys @ Vikings - (Green)
Line: DAL -1.5
Total: 48.0

MIN FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.5
MIN FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.25
MIN FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.3
MIN FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.11

No Brainers: RB Tony Pollard, WR CeeDee Lamb, TE Dalton Schultz

Favorite: QB Dak Prescott

While there were some bad reads and a couple of ill-advised throws that turned into INTs, Prescott played pretty well last Sunday, passing for 265 yards and 3 TDs alongside that pair of picks. Heíll need to be even better in Minnesota this Sunday where the Vikings rank 29th in pass defense, allowing 262.9 yards per game. Minnesota has mitigated the damage by intercepting 10 passes, making them one of six teams with double-digit picks on the season, but thatís a dangerous thing to rely on. Prescott looks like a solid QB1 for this weekendís showdown.

On the Fence: RB Ezekiel Elliott (knee)

Elliott has missed the past two games with a knee injury. It sounded like he was close to returning this past Sunday, however, so look for him to be back in uniform in Week 11. In his absence, Pollard has been a beast, piling up 275 yards and 4 TDs, which very much calls into question how touches will be divvied up once Elliott returns. We may get our answer this week, and at this point it would be smart to limit expectations on the longtime Cowboys back to no more than an RB3 with risk/reward capability.

On the Fence: N/A

DAL FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.24
DAL FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.28
DAL FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.13
DAL FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.26

No Brainers: RB Dalvin Cook, WR Justin Jefferson

Favorite: TE T.J. Hockenson

In two games since being acquired from the Lions, Hockenson has been targeted 19 times, catching 16 passes for 115 yards. The yards-per-reception fail to impress, and he hasnít gotten in the end zone, yet, but you canít overstate how important that level of involvement offensively is. The tight end position has been decimated by injury recently -- Zach Ertz (knee), Dallas Goedert (shoulder), and Darren Waller (hamstring) are all on the shelf -- and that puts Hockenson firmly in TE1 territory.

On the Fence: QB Kirk Cousins

For most of 2022, Cousins has been a high-floor, low-ceiling play. Last Sunday marked his first 300-yard outing of the season, and he has still yet to pass for more than two TDs in a game. Much of what was just written couldíve applied to Aaron Rodgers going into last weekend as well, but he threw for three touchdowns against the Cowboys. Dallas has been tough in general against the pass, though, ranking fourth in yards allowed and first in sacks. Cousins holds fringe QB1 potential in a matchup where he could over- or underperform that designation.

On the Fence: N/A

Prediction: Cowboys 27, Vikings 24 ^ Top

Chiefs @ Chargers - (Krueger)
Line: KC -5.0
Total: 52.0

LAC FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.22
LAC FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.3
LAC FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.21
LAC FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.23

No Brainers: QB Patrick Mahomes, TE Travis Kelce

Update: Mecole Hardman and JuJu Smith-Schuster are Out.

Favorite: WR Kadarius Toney

Itís tantalizing to think of what Toney can do with Mahomes at quarterback but we should probably temper our excitement and understand this offense isnít geared toward peppering one wide receiver with a boatload of targets. On the positive side for Toney, it looks like JuJu Smith-Shuster is probably going to sit this week and Mecole Hardman (abdomen) has been placed on IR which should force the former Giant into a larger participation role if Hardman sits on Sunday. Toney played 44% of the snaps last week. Justin Watson played 73% of the snaps and thereís no reason to think that Marquez Valdes-Scantling wonít see his typical 80% snap rate. So, talent and game environment give Toney a nice WR2 floor but it would take Hardman missing to feel good about Toneyís WR1 upside.

On the Fence: RB Isiah Pacheco

The switch has been made as Clyde Edwards-Helaire saw just four snaps last week as rookie Pacheco and third-down back Jerick McKinnon got most of the running back work. While being the starting running back has a nice ring to it, the Chiefs simply arenít interested in running the ball very much. Only Tampa Bay throws at a higher rate and Pacheco hasnít seen much work in the passing game with only 3 catches on the season, limiting his upside. On the plus side, the Chargers arenít stopping people on the ground, giving up the third-most fantasy points to the position and the Chiefs have the highest implied team total (28.5) in Week 11.

On the Fence: N/A

KC FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.6
KC FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.8
KC FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.6
KC FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.10

No Brainers: RB Austin Ekeler

Update: Keenan Allen and Mike Williams are Questionable.

Favorite: WR Keenan Allen (hamstring), WR Mike Williams (ankle)

The Chargers fantasy prospects outside of Ekeler all come down to how healthy Keenan Keenan and Mike Williams are. Will they play, and if so, will they be limited? Assuming full strength, both would be in great spots against a Chiefs defense thatís given up the sixth-most points to the position. Problem is, Allen hasnít played since Week 1 making it difficult to trust him in his first game back. Williams is in a similar position having missed the last two games with a sprained ankle. Making matters worse for fantasy owners is this game is Sunday night and we may not know their status until 90 minutes before kickoff. Josh Palmer would be a WR2 option if both starters sit, or a Flex option if only one of Keenan or Williams are active.

On the Fence: QB Justin Herbert, TE Gerald Everett

Itís not difficult to figure out why Herbert hasnít been his fantasy self this season. Missing youíre top two receiving threats will do that to a quarterback. Sure, this is a high-total game and Austin Ekeler is capable of providing points in the passing game, but having Mike Williams and/or Keenan Allen would go a long way for Herbertís fantasy outlook against the Chiefs. Heíll do well to crack low-end QB1 numbers if both receivers sit.

Tight end Gerald Everett left last weekís game with a groin injury and has been limited in practice this week making him a risky play despite a decent matchup against the Chiefs. Tre' McKitty saw an increased snap share last week with Everett on the sidelines but probably isnít fantasy viable unless Everett and one of the starting receivers is ruled out.

On the Fence: N/A

Prediction: Chiefs 30, Chargers 27 ^ Top

49ers @ Cardinals - (Krueger)
Line: SF -8.0
Total: 43.5

ARI FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.7
ARI FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.12
ARI FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.20
ARI FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.1

No Brainers: RB Christian McCaffrey

Favorite: TE George Kittle

If you need another reason to start Kittle, the Cardinals represent the best matchup for tight ends in the league. Five tight ends have finished with six-plus catches against Arizona and no defense has given up more yards (778) to the position. Kittle was quiet last week (1-21-0) as the 49ers got their running game going against the Chargers and while that could certainly be the case again, the matchup is just too good not to feel comfortable about Kittle in Week 11.

On the Fence: RB Elijah Mitchell

In his first game action since Week 1, Mitchell played 35% of the snaps but saw 19 touches as the 49ers played from in-front against the Chargers. We could see a repeat performance as San Francisco is a touchdown favorite over Arizona which could result in a run-heavy gameplan by Kyle Shanahan. Still, McCaffrey should get first crack at getting the running game going and the 49ers head coach has been known to stick with the hot hand. Mitchell will likely get enough usage to be a Flex consideration and be a thorn in the fantasy side of McCaffrey.

On the Fence: WR Deebo Samuel

Deeboís fantasy stock has been trending down for weeks, especially with the addition of Christian McCaffrey to the offense. Brandon Aiyuk leads the team in receiving yards (567) and Deebo hasnít scored since Week 5. Heís likely to get two or three rushing opportunities per game but the receiving volume just isnít there anymore with only 1 game with 10+ targets. Heís simply isnít a WR1 anymoreÖ heck, he isnít even a WR2. Consider him a Flex consideration only moving forward.

SF FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.25
SF FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.31
SF FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.15
SF FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.27

Update: Kyler Murray is Questionable.

No Brainers: WR DeAndre Hopkins

Favorite: RB James Conner

We had a shakeup in the Arizona running back room this week as Eno Benjamin was surprising released after barely playing in Week 10. He was quickly grabbed off waivers by Houston indicating an off-field reason for his departure. The Cardinals also indicated that it was time to get Conner back to being a main figure in this offense, giving him 24 touches against the Rams while playing a whopping 96% of the snaps. That kind of usage is hard to come by making him an easy RB1 regardless of opponent. Given the Cardinals are dealing with injuries to Kyler Murray and Colt McCoy, expect to see a lot of work for Conner on Monday night against the 49ers.

On the Fence: WR Rondale Moore, TE Trey McBride

Rondale Moore has been a solid WR2 in PPR leagues the last three weeks (WR16, WR16, WR7) but his run may be coming to an end. Marquise Brown has been on the shelf since with a foot injury since Week 6 but could be on the field Monday night cutting into the targets for Moore. The slot role that Moore lives in will still be valuable but the volume may become shaky with both Hopkins and Brown on the outside. We’ll need to monitor reports over the weekend to see if Brown plays and how involved he is likely to be.

With Zach Ertz (knee) out for the season, rookie Trey McBride is a solid pickup at the position desperate for options. Last week McBride played 91% of the snaps which is what we’re looking for from our tight end plays. If you’re not rolling out Kelce, Andrews, Kittle, Hockenson, Higbee or Freiermuth, then McBride is certainly worth considering.

On the Fence: N/A

Prediction: 49ers 23, ARI 20 ^ Top