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Favorites & Fades

Week 15

By: Mike Krueger | Ken Ilchuk | Nick Caron | HC Green
Updated: 12/17/22





Sunday Early:



Sunday Late:

ARI @ DEN | NE @ LV | CIN @ TB | TEN @ LAC




- Green highlight indicates plus matchup (top eight)
- Red highlight indicates negative matchup (bottom eight)
- Lines and totals updated Sunday morning

49ers @ Seahawks - (Krueger)
Line: SF -3.5
Total: 42.5

SEA FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.12
SEA FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.2
SEA FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.27
SEA FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.2

No Brainers: RB Christian McCaffrey

Favorite: WR Brandon Aiyuk

The 49ers keep taken hits. First it was Jimmy Garoppolo (foot) as now do-everything wide receiver Deebo Samuel is out with an ankle injury. We should expect the offense to lean on McCaffrey but a slight bump in targets should be coming for Brandon Aiyuk whoís put together a solid low-end WR2 fantasy season to date. Jauan Jennings and Ray-Ray McCloud should round out the top three options for a banged-up Brock Purdy (ribs) but are down the pecking order behind McCaffrey, Aiyuk and potentially tight end George Kittle in the passing game.

On the Fence: TE George Kittle, QB Brock Purdy (ribs)

Speaking of Kittle, the 49ers tight end has been more miss than hit lately with reception totals of 3, 2 and 4 his last three games while failing to crack 30 receiving yards. His last decent game (4-84-2) was Week 11 against the tight end sieve Arizona Cardinals. The good news here is that everyone moves up a rung with Deebo out, and the matchup is juicy against Seattle whoís given up the fourth-most receiving yards and second-most fantasy points to the position.

Purdy has landed at QB18 and QB8 in his two games since taking over for Jimmy G, with his QB8 finish juiced by a rushing TD. Heís thrown 2 touchdowns in both games and completed passes at very respectable 70 percent clip. Losing Deebo and playing in discomfort isnít a great formula for success even in a beatable matchup with the Seahawks. The rookie feels more like a mid-range QB2, lacking QB1 upside.

Fade: N/A

SF FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.30
SF FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.32
SF FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.10
SF FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.30

No Brainers: N/A

Favorite: WR DK Metcalf, Tyler Lockett

The 49ers havenít made things easy on opposing quarterbacks with just 12 passing TDs allowed on the season and they limited Geno to a 197-0-1 line back in Week 2. That said, wide receivers have had some success against this bunch and the narrow distribution of targets in the Seattle offense should allow decent days for DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett. Metcalf has seen double-digit targets in two of his last three games and Locket has scored in six straight. Both are riskier plays than normal but should be in your starting lineup.

On the Fence: RB Kenneth Walker

Walker missed Week 14 with what Pete Carroll described as a "jammed ankle" which forced Travis Homer into a lead role, playing 91% of the snaps against the Panthers. With Walker off the injury report, we should see him back in his normal role with Homer mixing in on some passing downs. The 49ers are the worst possible matchup for running backs this season giving up the fewest rushing yards (751) and fantasy points to the position. When these two teams faced off back in Week 2, the Seattle running backs combined for a 12-23-0, 6-39-0 line. Depending on how deep your bench is, Walker is someone you’re likely to play, but he’s a risky RB2 this week given the injury and matchup.

Fade: N/A

Prediction: 49ers 24, Seahawks 21 ^ Top

Colts @ Vikings - (Green)
Line: MIN -3.5
Total: 47.5

MIN FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.3
MIN FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.12
MIN FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.1
MIN FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.14

No Brainers: RB Jonathan Taylor

Favorite: WR Michael Pittman Jr.

Coming off a 1,000-yard campaign in 2021, Pittman has been a victim of Indianapolisí porous quarterback play. The third-year pro hasnít topped 100 yards in a game since Oct. 16, and he has just two touchdowns on the season. If there was ever a week for Pittman to deliver, though, itís this one. The Colts are coming off their bye, and the Vikings are dead last in pass defense, allowing 287.2 yards per game. Theyíll also be playing on short rest Saturday night. Roll the dice on Pittman as your No. 3 receiver with respectable upside.

On the Fence: QB Matt Ryan

While Ryan has been bad for most of 2022, he has at least flashed the form that once made him the NFL MVP, most notably passing for 389 yards and 3 TDs against the Jags in Week 6 and 356 yards and 2 TDs against Tennessee in Week 4. He hasnít topped 250 yards in four starts under Jeff Saturday, but the Vikings do an awful lot of bending, so it wouldnít be shocking to see Ryan pile up some yards. Whether he can get the Colts into the end zone is suspect, but thereís at least a pathway to value with Ryan this week.

Fade: N/A

IND FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.23
IND FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.7
IND FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.32
IND FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.18

No Brainers: RB Dalvin Cook, WR Justin Jefferson, TE T.J. Hockenson

Favorite: N/A

On the Fence: QB Kirk Cousins

Donít let the 54 points that Indianapolis allowed before their bye fool you. They have a solid defense, and that game with Dallas was 21-19 entering the fourth quarter before the Colts collapsed under an avalanche of turnovers. For the year, Indy is one of just four teams allowing fewer than 190 passing yards per game, and their 32 sacks rank right in the middle of the NFL. Cousins threw for a season-high 425 yards in Week 14, but it came in a loss, and the Vikings want a balanced attack. Donít view Cousins as more than a fringe QB1 play this Saturday.

Fade: WR Adam Thielen

Going by seasonal averages, there may not be much production to go around for any Vikings receiver not named Jefferson. Thielen is a pure possession target at this stage of his career, averaging a shade over 10 yards per catch on the year and having topped 70 yards in a game just once. If he finds the end zone, he might deliver WR3 value, but he has just four of Cousinsí 20 TD passes on the season. Check your other options before deploying Thielen as a borderline WR3/flex.

Prediction: Vikings 27, Colts 20 ^ Top

Ravens @ Browns - (Green)
Line: CLE -3.0
Total: 38.5

CLE FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.21
CLE FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.3
CLE FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.17
CLE FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.28

No Brainers: QB Lamar Jackson (knee), TE Mark Andrews

Favorite: N/A

On the Fence: RBs J.K. Dobbins/Gus Edwards

Despite flashing a not-all-that-encouraging gait on a long run, Dobbins still racked up 120 yards and a touchdown on 15 carries in his return from IR. Edwards, meanwhile, posted a 13-66-0 line against the Steelers. The duo split snaps almost down the middle with Dobbins playing 26 to Edwards 21 -- Kenyan Drake logged 11. Both figure to be heavily involved in the offense once again in Week 15, given the teamís ongoing issues with quarterback health and Clevelandís well-documented struggles against the run. Still, when thereís no clear hierarchy, thereís risk, which is where we find ourselves with Baltimoreís backfield. Relying on Dobbins or Edwards as more than an RB3 or flex play would be a risky endeavor.

Fade: QB Tyler Huntley (concussion)

Huntley suffered a concussion last Sunday, and his status for their Saturday meeting with the Browns is still unknown. He has cleared the concussion protocol but HC John Harbaugh has declined to name a starter for Sunday. Even if he plays, however, the Ravens are likely to take measures to protect Huntley, which could include fewer designed runs. Given that his running ability is the main source of his already suspect fantasy appeal, Huntley should be benched in Cleveland this weekend.

BAL FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.11
BAL FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.26
BAL FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.6
BAL FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.16

No Brainers: RB Nick Chubb, WR Amari Cooper, TE David Njoku

Favorite: WR Donovan Peoples-Jones

Although Cooper is the more accomplished receiver and gets the must-start badge, it has been Peoples-Jones that has led Cleveland in receiving in each of Watsonís first two starts. That includes an 8-114-0 line against the Bengals during which he was targeted a dozen times. While the Ravens are among the league leaders in INTs (14), they also rank 26th in passing yardage allowed (249.2 per game), so there should be room to work for the likes of Cooper, Njoku, and Peoples-Jones. As a low-end WR3 or flex, DPJ offers some tangible upside.

On the Fence: QB Deshaun Watson

Largely abysmal in his first game back, Watson at least flashed signs of returning to form versus Cincinnati, passing for 276 yards, 1 TD, and 1 INT while adding 33 yards on the ground. The team still isnít finishing drives -- 16 offensive points in Watsonís two starts -- but it feels like progress is being made. As noted above, the Ravens rank 26th in the league in pass defense, so thereís some definite upside with Watson. Of course, youíd need to take a chance on Cleveland performing better in the red zone against a solid all-around Baltimore defense.

Fade: RB Kareem Hunt

Any hopes that Huntís passing-down role would expand with Watson at quarterback have thus far proved fruitless. Heís played 52 snaps in the last two games, which is actually down from the previous two-game stretch when he played 64. Hunt did log 11 touches in Week 13, but he was right back down at six last week. With him filling a tertiary role these days, Hunt is best parked on your bench.

Prediction: Browns 20, Ravens 16 ^ Top

Dolphins @ Bills - (Caron)
Line: BUF -7.0
Total: 43.5

BUF FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.26
BUF FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.23
BUF FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.12
BUF FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.26

No Brainers: WR Tyreek Hill

Favorite: WR Jaylen Waddle

Back-to-back down games for wide receiver Jaylen Waddle certainly has fantasy managers scrambling. The Dolphins wide receiver has just three receptions over his past two games and now he faces a Bills defense that has locked up opposing wide receivers over their own past two contests. If thereís something to be excited about, though, it should be that Miami will almost certainly need to air the ball out in order to keep up with the Buffalo offense. Josh Allen and the Bills havenít been particularly effective as of late, but Allen threw for 400 yards when these teams matched up back in Week 3. Tua Tagovailoa threw the ball just 18 total times in that contest, which led to just four receptions for Waddle (which he converted for over 100 yards), but their offense has certainly become much more pass-focused as the year has gone on. Look for Waddle to see somewhere between five to eight targets for the day, which should be enough to give him a decent enough floor while also providing the high ceiling that we love.

On the Fence: QB Tua Tagovailoa

Considered a dark horse MVP candidate just a few weeks ago, Miami quarterback Tua Tagovailoa has taken a step back in recent contests, culminating in a truly awful performance this past week against the Chargers. Tagovailoa has now thrown for just four touchdowns over his past three games, this coming right after a three-game stretch in which he threw for three scores in each contest. Itís completely reasonable to begin questioning whether or not the Dolphins' offense has been ďfigured outĒ by opposing defenses, but the Miami QB has still been able to avoid turning in any real stinkers for fantasy, other than due to injury. One concern for fantasy managers is that this game will take place in Buffalo where the weather is expected to be cold and snowy, but itís also worth noting that, despite some big plays made by Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle throughout the season, the Miami offense is actually much more of a short-passing game than they are a long one. This should allow them to continue to run about the same offense that theyíre used to, so donít allow that to change your views too much on the Dolphinsí offense here in Week 15.

Fade: RB Raheem Mostert, RB Jeff Wilson (hip)

Much like the offense we saw when he was with the 49ers, Dolphins head coach Mike McDaniel has been frustrating fantasy managers with his usage of running backs so far this season. It looked for a few games like Jeff Wilson was taking over the Miami backfield, but then suddenly, without warning, the team pivoted back to previous starter Raheem Mostert over the past two weeks. Even with that change, though, neither back has been useful for fantasy over the past two games. They now face a Buffalo defense that ranks in the top 10 in containing opposing fantasy running backs. The Bills had a short blip during the middle of the season where they allowed Aaron Jones and Dalvin Cook to both rush for over 100 yards against them, but otherwise, theyíve held every other opposing running back theyíve faced to fewer than 80 rushing yards. In fact, they held the then-Miami backfield of Chase Edmonds and Mostert to 32 yards on the ground on 15 carries back in Week 3. This is a difficult-to-predict backfield right now unless we get an indication that Wilson is going to be limited with his hip injury.

MIA FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.5
MIA FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.14
MIA FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.18
MIA FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.4

No Brainers: QB Josh Allen, WR Stefon Diggs

Favorite: TE Dawson Knox

Itís been a bad season for tight ends throughout the NFL and particularly a disappointing year for Bills tight end Dawson Knox, but thereís reason for optimism as Buffalo heads into this important Week 15 divisional battle against Miami. Knox was targeted a season-most seven times this past week against the Jets, catching four of those passes for 41 yards and a touchdown - just his third score of the year. Those numbers donít sound particularly interesting, but they become something to watch when we consider that heís now facing a Miami defense that has given up the fourth-most points per game to opposing tight ends this season. Eight different tight ends have gone into double-digit PPR points against the Dolphins so far in 2022. While Knox himself was held to four catches for 25 yards against Miami back in Week 3, Josh Allen was able to complete an additional five passes for 44 yards to other Buffalo tight ends that day, bringing the team total to nine receptions for 69 yards, and that came on a day in which the Bills scored just 19 points. Assuming that theyíll be airing the ball out a decent bit again this weekend, look for Knox to be one of the main targets, especially when the team gets near the end zone.

On the Fence: RB Devin Singletary

There was some concern after a confusing gameplan in Week 13, but we learned this past week that Buffalo running back Devin Singletary did not lose his job to James Cook. He still only carried the ball eight times for 39 yards in a low-scoring game against the Jets, but Singletaryís role as the primary back in Buffalo appears to be intactóat least for now. Unfortunately, his role on fantasy squads is not nearly as solidified as he has been quite disappointing in most games. Singletary has failed to reach even 90 rushing yards in a game yet this season and heís basically useless in the passing game most weeks. Heís scored four touchdowns over his past five games, which has allowed him to deliver a few RB2 performances over that stretch, but heís essentially a touchdown-or-bust type of player. If he is going to be utilized in the passing game, though, it might be here against the Dolphins. The last time he played them, Singletary caught a career-high nine passes for 78 yards and a touchdown, carrying him to by far his biggest fantasy performance of 2022. Heís certainly far from a must-start player at this point, but you could do worse if youíre dealing with some injuries at the position.

Fade: WR Gabriel Davis, WR Isaiah McKenzie

Davis has now been held to fewer than 40 receiving yards in five of his past seven games and hasnít reached 100 yards in any of those contests. His two touchdowns over that stretch have allowed him to avoid being a complete dud for fantasy, but thereís no question that heís failed to live up to the pre-season hype that saw him being selected in the single-digit rounds of almost all fantasy drafts. Meanwhile, teammate Isaiah McKenzie has also had his struggles, as heís been held to fewer than 50 receiving yards in eight of his past nine games while only scoring one touchdown during that stretch. To make matters worse, veteran Cole Beasley is signing with the Bills, which is almost certainly going to break into McKenzieís playing time in specific and it could be as early as this week. The Bills passing game just is not producing enough right now that anyone other than Stefon Diggs can really be trusted as a reliable starter. Dawson Knox is fine because he plays such a garbage position to begin with, but itís probably best to avoid the non-Diggs wide receivers in the Buffalo passing game for now, until we start to see Josh Allen performing better.

Prediction: Bills 24, Dolphins 17 ^ Top

Falcons @ Saints - (Ilchuk)
Line: NO -4.0
Total: 43.5

NO FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.18
NO FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.20
NO FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.14
NO FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.32

No Brainers: None

Favorite: RBís Cordarrelle Patterson & Tyler Allgeier

Some owners who were big beneficiaries of Pattersonís breakout in 2021, and his hot start to 2022 may be surprised to see his name here. Since returning from injury in Week 9, he is averaging about 14 touches per game and about 4.5 yards per carry in the run game. Thatís a slide from where he was pre-injury, but the production has been consistent. In that same span, Allgeier is averaging about 11 total touches per game and averaging nearly 5.5 yards per carry. Would we like it better if they werenít splitting the load? Of course. But both are solid flex options, or even RB3ís in deeper leagues, and they could see an increased load as the Falcons transition to rookie QB Desmond Ridder. Why these two are not more involved as receivers out of the backfield is beyond me.

On the Fence: QB Desmond Ridder

Iíve seen Ridder listed as a potential low-end QB2 this week. I suppose he could pop. Heís talented, mobile, and has a strong arm, and there is little to no tape on him. That could give him some potential juice in this game. But the Saints have a solid defense, Ridder is a rookie, and based on how HC Arthur Smith has always viewed offense, Iím not sure heís going to open up the playbook or the passing game for Ridder. Of course, they do have to kind of figure out what the kid has, so heís going to have to let him throw the ball at some point.

Fade: WR Drake London

Of course, just when London is coming off his best game of the season, they pull the QB. London has at least 5 catches in two of his last four games, and nearly a third of his targets have come in the last four games. Again, it seems like it would be wildly out of character for HC Arthur Smith to suddenly start having his QB chucking the ball all over the field, so I think London is set for a step back in production this week.

ATL FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.9
ATL FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.15
ATL FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.5
ATL FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.7

No Brainers: RB Alvin Kamara

Favorite: WR Chris Olave

Olave has essentially been the Saints weekly leader in all things receiving since day one. Heís averaging 8 targets and 6 catches per game with nearly 75 receiving yards per game and will easily surpass the 1,000-yard mark as a rookie as long as he stays healthy. Heís had two weeks to prepare for a Falcons defense that is allowing 23.9 fantasy points per game to opposing wide receivers on the season.

On the Fence: TE Juwan Johnson

Johnson was emerging as one of Andy Daltonís go-to guys in the passing game before an ankle injury slowed him in Week 12. Coming off the bye week, he should be healthy and a solid consideration for TE2, or even low-end TE1 duties, but reports are that he has continued to be limited in practice this week. Watch the injury reports.

Fade: WR Jarvis Landry

What a huge disappointment. Landry hasnít had as many as five catches or even 40 receiving yards in a game since Week 1, and thatís even with Michael Thomas being on the sidelines. Andy Dalton has topped 300 yards once this season and Landry is playing about 50% of the snaps. There simply isn't enough usage and volume here to consider Landry as a Flex option.

Prediction: Saints 30, Falcons 14 ^ Top

Cowboys @ Jaguars - (Ilchuk)
Line: DAL -4.0
Total: 48.5

JAC FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.8
JAC FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.10
JAC FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.11
JAC FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.8

No Brainers: QB Dak Prescott, RB Tony Pollard, WR CeeDee Lamb, TE Dalton Schultz

Favorite: WR Noah Brown

Brownís four catches for 85 yards on six targets in Week 14 marked his best game in over a month. Earlier this season, Brown was a productive WR2/WR3 option, but after a mid-season lull, Brown could emerge as a sneaky flex play on an offense with a wide range of weapons in a game that could turn into a shootout.

On the Fence: WR Michael Gallup

Gallupís stock is on a slight upswing as he seems to be earning a larger role in the pass attack. He has at least six targets in four of the last five games and can find the end zone. On the flip side, even with a slightly elevated role, there are still too many mouths to feed in this offense and heís surpassed 50 receiving yards in a game just once all season.

Fade: WR T.Y. Hilton

So it looks like it could be Hilton, and not OBJ, who gets the first chance to boost this passing attack. But I think Hiltonís role will be more decoy than weapon. Heís a perimeter receiver coming off a poor 2021 campaign whose greatest contribution will be giving CeeDee Lamb the ability to move around the formation and attack from different parts of the field.

DAL FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.29
DAL FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.28
DAL FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.19
DAL FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.27

No Brainers: QB Trevor Lawrence, WR Christian Kirk

Favorite: WR Zay Jones

I have always loved Jones. Heís incredibly athletic and explosive, with a huge catch radius and is capable of making the spectacular grab. Heís finally found a home in Jacksonville and has double-digit targets with at least eight catches in three of the Jagsí last four games. His rise has coincided with QB Trevor Lawrenceís maturation, and despite playing against a Dallas D that can get after the QB, I see them both putting up solid numbers in Week 15.

On the Fence: RB Travis Etienne

Etienne is dominating the backfield work for this team and continues to dominate the snap count, but it has been a rough four-week stretch with another stingy defense on the horizon. The Jags will feed him the ball in an effort to keep the Cowboys pass rush at bay, but it could be another tough day this week. His last trip to the endzone was in Week 9.

Fade: TE Evan Engram

The Cowboys are allowing just 4.1 fantasy points per game to opposing TEís this year, best in the NFL. While Engram went off last week against Tennessee (11-162-2), it was his first game with more than five catches since Week 5.

Prediction: Jaguars 33, Cowboys 31 ^ Top

Lions @ Jets - (Caron)
Line: NYJ -2.5
Total: 44.5

NYJ FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.25
NYJ FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.22
NYJ FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.30
NYJ FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.17

No Brainers: WR Amon-Ra St. Brown

Favorite: N/A

On the Fence: WR D.J. Chark

Note that rookie Jameson Williams is not (yet) on the list, as he has been targeted just three times over his first two professional games while playing a grand total of 21 snaps. These numbers are well behind both Amon-Ra St. Brown and Josh Reynolds, as well as recent breakout D.J. Chark. We have to expect that Williams is going to continue to see his usage increase, but Chark also returned from injury recently and has stepped into a much bigger role in the Detroit offense over the past three weeks. Heís playing nearly every snap for the Lions and has been targeted a total of 18 times over those three games, resulting in a 98-yard performance in Week 13 and a 94-yard performance in Week 14. Chark would normally be a ďFavoriteĒ on this list, but it seems likely that he will draw a lot of attention from Jets cornerback Sauce Gardner who has been exceptional in coverage. The Jets are a defense that funnels a lot of passes from opposing quarterbacks to the middle of the field, which could be good for St. Brown but itís not likely to result in a third straight excellent day for Chark. Still, Chark is playing enough snaps and the Lions' offense is moving the ball well enough that heís worthy of a look in deeper leagues as a WR3/Flex.

Fade: QB Jared Goff, RB DíAndre Swift, RB Jamaal Williams

Lions quarterback Jared Goff is now coming off of back-to-back 20-point fantasy performances, but the New York Jets boast a top-10 defense in containing opposing quarterbacks this season and they havenít allowed a 200-yard passer since Week 11. More interestingly, they have allowed just one quarterback to exceed 250 passing yards (Joe Burrow in Week 3) against them so far this season. The upside just isnít strong enough to justify putting Goff in your lineup, even though heís likely going to be able to distribute the ball to a couple of receivers in order to make them useful for fantasy.

The Detroit running backs wonít have an easy day, either, as they face a New York defense that has given up the 10th-fewest fantasy points per game to opposing running backs so far in 2022. Only one running back (Raheem Mostert in Week 5) has reached the 100-yard rushing mark against them and theyíve only given up two rushing touchdowns over their past six games. Jamaal Williamsí efficiency has been abysmal as heís averaged fewer than four yards per carry in six straight contests. Heís been a touchdown machine over that time, but even getting into the end zone in most of those games hasnít allowed him to be a real fantasy difference-maker, as heís exceeded 12 fantasy points just once during this six-game stretch.

DíAndre Swift looked like he was headed in the right direction when he saw 18 touches against the Jaguars in Week 13, but things fell crashing back to Earth this past week when he saw just nine touches, including six carries, in a win over the Vikings. Swift has now failed to exceed 10 touches in all but one game since he returned from injury back in Week 8. Heís simply not seeing enough volume to be startable at the moment.

Update: Zach Wilson will start at QB over Mike White (ribs).

DET FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.1
DET FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.24
DET FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.3
DET FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.5

No Brainers: WR Garrett Wilson

Favorite: RB Zonovan Knight

Late-season breakout Zonovan Knight dominated touches in the Jets backfield this past week, even with Michael Carterís return. There was a lot of concern that heíd see his usage tail off in a big way once Carter got back onto the field, but it was Knightís 19 touches on offense that dwarfed Carterís eight. Itís important that we donít get too overzealous about Knight as a closer look at the numbers will tell us that it was actually Carter who slightly out-snapped Knight on the day, even though he didnít touch the ball nearly as often. Nevertheless, thereís still plenty of reason to have optimism about Knight this week. Mike White is expected to play this weekend which should continue to give the New York offense a higher ceiling than what we had seen earlier this year. Note that Zach Wilson has been elevated to the No.2 quarterback position over Joe Flacco. Either way, Knight is a solid RB2 this week.

On the Fence: WR Elijah Moore

A concussion knocked Corey Davis out of the Jetsí Week 14 matchup against the Bills, which seemed to directly result in increased usage for fellow wide receiver Elijah Moore. Moore ended up being targeted 10 times in the contest, catching six of the passes for 60 yards. While his performance wasnít anything spectacular, it should raise some interest for him this week as the Jets match up against the Lions and their horrendous pass defense. Detroit has given up the third-most fantasy points per game to opposing wide receivers this season, including a monster game to Justin Jefferson this past week that coincided with big performances from both Adam Thielen and K.J. Osborn. If Davis is inactive, Moore makes for a sneaky start in what could end up being a shootout.

Fade: WR Denzel Mims, WR Braxton Berrios

Corey Davis potentially missing this weekís game with a concussion would theoretically mean increased playing time and opportunities for depth pass catchers in the New York offense, but donít fall into the trap of starting these fringe Jets pass catchers. Berriosí playing time saw almost no increase from the point when Davis went out and prior to the concussion against the Bills. Meanwhile, Mims did see an increase in snaps but was still only targeted five times on the day. The Detroit defense is bad enough that one of them could get into the end zone, but itís much more likely that weíre going to see Garrett Wilson, Elijah Moore and tight end Tyler Conklin produce useful fantasy numbers.

Prediction: Jets 26, Lions 23 ^ Top

Chiefs @ Texans - (Ilchuk)
Line: KC -14.0
Total: 49.5

HOU FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.32
HOU FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.1
HOU FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.29
HOU FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.15

No Brainers: QB Patrick Mahomes, TE Travis Kelce

Favorite: RB Isiah Pacheco

HC Andy Reid historically does not like to run the ball, which is why backs like Jerick McKinnon have days like he did last week in this offense. But Pacheco seems to have beaten the odds and found a way to Reidís heart with at least 13 carries in each of the last five games. He has at least 66 rush yards in every game during that span, including a 100-yard game, an 80-yard effort, and a 70-yard game. He also has caught six of six targets in the last three weeks. Against a Texans defense that has been gashed by the run this season, I think Pacheco is in line for his second 100-yard game of 2022Öas long as Andy gives him the ball.

On the Fence: RB Jerick McKinnon

McKinnon is coming off a huge day in Week 14 that saw him snatch two touchdown passes. But the one thing Houston does pretty well is defend the pass. And the way they play keeps everything in front of them and limits the big play. McKinnon may have a tough time repeating last weekís heroics, despite his recent resurgence in the system. This may be a game that sees TE Travis Kelce get back on track before McKinnon.

Fade: WR Marquez Valdes-Scantling

Valdez-Scantling has been inconsistent all season, and at best heís the third option in the passing game for KC. Heís the deep vertical threat in this system, and against Houstonís two-deep safety looks, I donít think heís going to be able to break that umbrella coverage and make an impact play.

KC FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.4
KC FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.11
KC FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.4
KC FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.20

No Brainers: None

Update: Nico Collins and Brandin Cooks are out.

Favorite: WR Chris Moore

Moore caught 10 of 11 passes for 124 yards in the Week 14 loss to Dallas. With Nico Collins likely out due to injury, and the Texans down to Rex Burkhead at RB, Moore seems as good a choice as any for some serious production this week, especially against a Chiefs defense that has been susceptible to the pass at times. It also wonít hurt that the Texans could be in catch-up mode for most of this game. We're waiting to see if Brandin Cooks is able to suit up this week. He has been spotted at practice.

On the Fence: RB Rex Burkhead

With Dameon Pierce sidelined due to an ankle sprain, and Eno Benjamin very curiously released, Burkhead is about all that is left. He has 26 carries for 80 yards on the season, and 14 of those carries came in Week 1. Dare Ogunbowale has 21 touches on the season. Both will be involved but Burkhead should be the preferred option.

Fade: QB Davis Mills

Mills seems to have lost the confidence of HC Lovie Smith, and now Jeff Driskel is taking all of the red zone snaps, eliminating any sort of fantasy value (how ever small) Mills may have had. Take note that some leagues (Yahoo!) have Driskel eligible at tight end and could be worth a flier their if need be.

Prediction: Chiefs 41, Texans 31 ^ Top

Eagles @ Bears - (Green)
Line: PHI -8.5
Total: 48.5

CHI FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.16
CHI FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.4
CHI FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.23
CHI FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.29

No Brainers: QB Jalen Hurts, RB Miles Sanders, WR A.J. Brown

Favorite: WR DeVonta Smith

You could make a fairly compelling case for Smith as a no-brainer given his prominent role in a high-powered offense. On the contrarian side, the Alabama product has only topped 100 yards twice in a game this year, and he has finished with 50 yards or less five times in his last eight outings. However you want to view it, Smith looks like a quality option here as Chicagoís defense is among the NFLís worst -- even though itís their run defense that has been particularly odious -- and their secondary has been compromised by injury. View Smith as a low-end WR2/high-end WR3 here.

On the Fence: TE Dallas Goedert (shoulder)

On IR since mid-November, Goedert is eligible to return this Sunday after Philly opened his practice window Wednesday. Now, if they activate him before Sundayís game with the Bears it might be very tempting to plug him right back into your lineup. Donít. Odds are the Eagles would ease him back into game action as theyíre currently in the driverís seat for the top seed and have a very winnable matchup with the Bears this Sunday. Better to be conservative this time of year unless you have no other option.

Fade: N/A

PHI FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.28
PHI FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.18
PHI FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.26
PHI FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.25

No Brainers: QB Justin Fields, RB David Montgomery

Favorite: TE Cole Kmet

As suspected, Kmet led the Bears in targets (7) and receptions (6) in their last game before the bye with the second-year tight end effectively replacing WR Darnell Mooney (ankle) as Fieldsí No. 1 option. The Packers chose to go heavy zone coverage there to keep eyes on Fields, which opened things up for the passing attack. Weíll see if the Eagles look to play it the same way or rely on their pass rush to win while their quality corners lock up Chicagoís suspect wideouts. Either way, Kmet figures to get a lot of looks and is worth a TE1 slot.

On the Fence: N/A

Fade: WR Chase Claypool

After catching seven passes in his first four games with Chicago combined, Claypool hauled in five balls in Week 13. That was the good news. The bad news is that he gained just 28 yards (5.6 YPC) and lost a fumble. He also finished behind Equanimeous St. Brown and NíKeal Harry in receiving yardage. Claypoolís usage (6 targets) can be viewed as a positive sign, but heís still not someone to plug into your lineup.

Prediction: Eagles 41, Bears 23 ^ Top

Steeelers @ Panthers - (Ilchuk)
Line: CAR -3.0
Total: 37.5

CAR FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.15
CAR FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.16
CAR FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.8
CAR FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.24

No Brainers: TE Pat Freiermuth

Favorite: RB Najee Harris

Harris hasnít rushed for 100 yards in a game yet this season, but he has totaled at least 80 in three of the last four, and heís becoming more of an option around the goal line with four scores in the last four contests. With QB Kenny Pickett either playing after his second concussion of the season, or sitting this one out, the run game figures to play a more prominent role in the game plan this week.

Update: Kenny Pickett is out.

On the Fence: WR George Pickens

Word is that the Steelers want Pickens to fill the WR1 role, but heís seen a stumble in production in recent weeks. However, heís managed to make the most of limited targets, averaging at least 20.0 yards per catch in three of the last four contests. However, with QB Kenny Pickett out or potentially limited, Pickens may have to wait another week for a return to form.

Fade: QB Kenny Pickett

Pickett suffered his second concussion of the season last week, so it sems likely that heíll be sitting this one out, yielding to either Mason Rudolph or Mitchell Trubisky, who have been splitting practice reps this week. But even if he plays, Iím not expecting a big passing day from the Steelers.

PIT FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.10
PIT FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.19
PIT FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.7
PIT FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.22

No Brainers: None

Favorite: RB DíOnta Foreman

Foreman has taken over the RB1 role in Carolina under HC Steve Wilks, and even though he is ceding some carries to Chuba Hubbard, he still has at least 20 totes in three of the last four games and has 74 or more yards in each of those contests. With Carolina going ultra conservative in the pass game with Sam Darnold back under center, Foreman should expect 25-30 carries this week and fantasy owners can expect solid RB2 production.

On the Fence: WR D.J. Moore (ankle)

Moore got shut out for just the second time in his career last week in Seattle, but prior to that to that he seemed to be back to being D.J. Moore with Sam Darnold at QB. The problem is Darnold hasnít thrown for 200 yards in either of his recent starts, and the plan looks to be to run the ball and control possession in the passing game Ė things that donítí necessarily add up to big fantasy production for your WR1.

Fade: QB Sam Darnold

While Darnold is starting again, and winning, by the way, he has yet to throw for 200 yards in either of his starts (averaging 142 yards per game) and is posting just 6.6 yards per attempt with only two touchdowns, finishing as the QB18 and QB22.

Prediction: Panthers 21, Steelers 17 ^ Top

Cardinals @ Broncos - (Krueger)
Line: DEN -3.0
Total: 36.5

DEN FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.31
DEN FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.17
DEN FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.31
DEN FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.12

No Brainers: N/A

Favorite: RB James Conner

Itís been a one-man backfield in Arizona. Connerís snap percentages since Week 10 are 96%, 78%, 97%, bye, 95%. Ideal for fantasy owners. With touches of 24, 16, 28 and 21 in those games, the Arizona running back is an easy RB1 in any format. Sure, the loss of Kyler Murray (ACL) is going to hamper the offense but that may result in more usage for Conner. Denverís overall defense is solid but they have given up the 11th most rushing yards in the league including 100-yard games to Josh Jacobs x2, Travis Etienne and DíOnta Foreman.

On the Fence: WR DeAndre Hopkins

With Murray out for the season, the Cardinals will turn to Colt McCoy to finish out the string. Heís been respectable in a couple of spot starts earlier in the year but has had trouble getting the ball in the endzone with just one passing TD in three games. Hopkins (7-79-0) saw 11 targets last week after Murray left the game so his usage should be in question butís its reasonable to knock his projection down given the tough matchup against the leagueís best pass defense. Only the Colts have given up fewer passing yards to wide receivers making Hopkins more of a WR2 play this week.

Fade: WR Marquise Brown

Despite a solid target numbers since his return in Week 12, Brown has finished as the WR42 and WR56 in two games with a high-water mark of 46 yards. Heíll now be without Kyler Murray and from Given the low game total (35.5) and difficult matchup, Iíd be inclined to look for other options at my WR3 or Flex position.

ARI FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.6
ARI FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.8
ARI FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.16
ARI FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.1

No Brainers: N/A

Update: Russell Wilson is out. Brett Rypien will start at QB.

Favorite: TE Greg Dulcich

Dulcich is this weekís proud recipient of the Cardinals terrible defense against tight ends including a league-leading 950 yards and 9 TDs allowed to the position. The role for the Broncos tight end is solid, playing at least 72% of the snaps since Week 10, but the results have been hit or miss. He did see 8 targets in each of his last two games and you would think a similar target number should yield TE1 results in this matchup.

On the Fence: WR Jerry Jeudy

The Broncos passing game finally came to life somewhat last week, taking advantage of multiple Patrick Mahomesí interceptions. Russell Wilson had his best fantasy day of the season (247-3-1, 4-57-0) with all three touchdowns going to Jeudy. Obviously, the TDs arenít sustainable but with Courtland Sutton and Kendall Hinton both likely to miss with hamstring injuries, the Broncos donít have much else to turn to on the outside. Making matters worse, we may see Brett Rypien at quarterback if Wilson canít get cleared from his concussion. If Wilson is able to go, you can feel slightly more comfortable with Jeudy as your WR3.

Fade: RB Latavius Murray

Murrayís dismal showing last week (8-32-0, 3 catches, -1 yds) occurred with Mike Boone leaving due to an ankle injury and Marlon Mack out-producing him on five touches. Sure, the Broncos were in a huge negative game script (down 27-0 at one point) and the game flow should be better this week, but itís hard to get behind a 32-year-old running back averaging 3.9 yard per carry on a team playing out the string. Donít be surprised if we see more of Marlon Mack in this game.

Prediction: Broncos 23, Cardinals 17 ^ Top

Patriots @ Raiders - (Krueger)
Line: LV -1.0
Total: 44.5

LV FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.7
LV FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.5
LV FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.13
LV FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.9

No Brainers: N/A

Update: Damien Harris has been downgraded to Out. Rhamondre Stevenson is Questionable.

Favorite: RB Damien Harris (thigh)

Harris has missed the last two weeks with a thigh injury but did practice Wednesday and Thursday this week on a limited basis giving him a chance to jump back in the saddle as the Patriots lead running back. With Rhamondre Stevenson (ankle) likely out and this being the first week back for Harris, weíll be playing the guessing game on how much he will be limited, if at all. Kevin Harris and Pierre Strong Jr. will also be available but itís not out of the question for Damien to see 20 touches in this game. The game script should be positive against a Raiders defense thatís given up the fifth most fantasy points to running backs.

On the Fence: QB Mac Jones

You can see a path to Jones having a good game here especially if the Patriots shy away a bit from their run game with Rhamondre Stevenson (ankle) unlikely to play. Weíre not accustom to seeing spiked weeks from Mac, but it has happened a couple of time this season, most recently against Minnesota in Week 12 (382-2-0). The Raiders donít put up much resistance on defense and there are no weather concerns here. It would be nice to have DeVante Parkerís big-play ability but heís likely to sit with a concussion and the return of Jakobi Meyers (concussion) is also in question leaving the passing game thin at receiver. Nelson Agholor, Kendrick Bourne, Tyquan Thornton and Hunter Henry would have to do the heavy lifting if Jones were to reach a ceiling game.

Fade: N/A

NE FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.17
NE FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.31
NE FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.25
NE FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.13

No Brainers: RB Josh Jacobs, WR Davante Adams

Favorite: N/A

On the Fence: QB Derek Carr

Prior to last week, Carr had posted at least two touchdowns in five straight games. That streak came to an end against the Rams and Carr finished as the QB27 with a 137-0-2 line. On the season, Carr has been a middling QB2 as the running game with Josh Jacobs has been emphasized. His spiked games have come against below-average pass defenses (LAC, SEA, TEN) and despite ranking 17th in fantasy points allowed to QBs, New England has only given up one 300-yard game on the season. Iíll be on the ďbenchĒ side of the fence for Carr in Week 15.

Fade: TE Foster Moreau, TE Darren Waller

Waller has been bothered by a hamstring injury most of the season and hasnít played a game since Week 4. Heís eligible to return this week but itís unclear at this time if heíll be activated off IR and play. Even if he does, itís doubtful heíll be heavily involved in the gameplan and could be on a pitch count. Moreau has been filling for Waller much of the season and while heís consistently on the field playing almost every snap, this offense is feeding Josh Jacobs, Davante Adams and occasionally Mack Hollins. Thatís not leaving enough room for the tight end to be a consistent weekly option. Moreau hasnít topped 3 catches since Week 8. With every team on the field this week, Moreau loses even more value.

Prediction: Patriots 24, Raiders 23 ^ Top

Bengals @ Buccaneers - (Ilchuk)
Line: CIN -3.5
Total: 44.5

TB FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.20
TB FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.27
TB FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.20
TB FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.6

No Brainers: QB Joe Burrow, RB Joe Mixon

Favorite: WR JaíMarr Chase

This may seem obvious, but with Tyler Boyd (finger), Tee Higgins (hamstring), questionable and TE Hayden Hurst (calf) out of this game, Chase is about the only weapon left for QB Joe Burrow and he will force the ball to him. We canít trust HC Zac Taylor when it comes to Tee Higgins and his injury status, so we turn to Chase. He has at least 97 yards and seven catches in each of the last four games, and in two games against NFC South opponents this season (ATL, NO) heís totaled 15 catches on 21 targets for 262 yards and four touchdowns.

On the Fence: WR Trenton Irwin

As receivers started falling like wooden soldiers last week, it was Irwin who stepped up with two catches and a big TD. In fact, two of his last seven catches have been for scores. Heís a playmaker with a nose for the end zone, who could have some WR3/Flex value if Tyler Boyd and Tee Higgins remain sidelined due to injury.

Fade: RB Samaje Perine

Perine did a nice job during a three-game run as the RB1 in place of the injured Joe Mixon. With Mixon back in Week 14, Perine was working in a backup role. While he did have a healthy 43% snap percentage, he only had five touches, one of which found the endzone making his fantasy day somewhat fluky. With Tampa Bay stingy against the run, you can look elsewhere.

CIN FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.27
CIN FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.21
CIN FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.28
CIN FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.11

No Brainers: None

Favorite: RB Rachaad White

White is still splitting time with Leonard Fournette, but has at least 17 total touches in four straight games. Heís posted at least 75 total yards in three of those contests, making him a very solid RB2 value especially in PPR leagues. Last week White played 53% of the snaps while Fournette played 47%.

On the Fence: TE Cade Otton

As this offense has continued to sputter, Otton has remained steady. Ten of his 36 catches on the season have come in the last two games for 56 yards and a touchdown. Since QB Tom Bradyís arrival, the TEís other than Rob Gronkowski have been an afterthought in this offense, but Otton may be the guy to change that. Still, heís a reach as a low-end TE1.

Fade: WR Julio Jones

Jones hasnít practiced this week with a knee injury, and despite a slight uptick in production in recent weeks, it may be time to finally close the book on the former All-Pro for good. Heís seen double-digit fantasy points in just three games this season and hasnít topped 50 yards since Week 10.

Prediction: Bengals 17, Buccaneers 13 ^ Top

Titans @ Chargers - (Krueger)
Line: LAC -3.0
Total: 46.5

LAC FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.13
LAC FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.6
LAC FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.21
LAC FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.19

No Brainers: RB Derrick Henry

Favorite: TE Chigoziem Okonkwo

Weíve had a new face in the barren tight end landscape pop up in recent weeks. In fact, Chig is the TE9 in fantasy points scored over the last five weeks. He hasnít surpassed Austin Hooper on the depth chart but Tennessee is definitely running more two tight end sets with Treylon Burks out and drawing up plays for Chig and Hooper. Both played roughly 50% of the snaps last week and Chig has seen at least five targets in the last three games. More snaps on the field and more volume in the passing game would be nice, but for now, ride the efficiency while you can.

On the Fence: QB Ryan Tannehill

Tannehill found himself as the QB10 last week after a 254-2-1 line against Jacksonville and even tacked on 16 rushing yards, bad ankles and all. Heís routinely lived in QB2 territory and has yet to throw more than two touchdowns in a game. If you believe the Titans might get in a negative game script, falling behind a couple scores early, then Tannehill could exceed his typical value. But, with marginal weapons on the outside and a team that prefers to pound the ball when they can, itís difficult to get behind Tannehill this week even if stud safety Derwin James (quad) misses.

Fade: WR Robert Woods

Woods simply hasnít seen enough volume this season to be the trusted WR3 we were hoping for this pre-season. His 38-406-1 line through 14 weeks reads more like a WR5. Even with Treylon Burks out due to a concussion the Titans simply arenít targeting him enough, choosing to spread the ball around the multiple tight ends and even giving Derrick Henry more opportunities in the passing game than weíre used to. Continue to keep the veteran wideout on the bench.

TEN FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.2
TEN FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.30
TEN FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.2
TEN FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.3

No Brainers: RB Austin Ekeler

Favorite: QB Justin Herbert, WR Keenan Allen, WR Mike Williams

This game sets up nicely for the Chargers passing attack as typically teams prefer to throw the ball against the Titans defense. No problem, as only Tampa Bay throws the ball at a higher rate than the Chargers (65.6%). Herbert has been a little light in the TD department the last two weeks with just two scores for his effort but he does back-to-back 300-yard passing games leading to QB9 and QB11 finishes.

It's now back-to-back games with 14 targets for Keenan Allen. Austin Ekeler has caught 24 passes in the last three weeks and Mike Williams returned last week and posted a 6-116-1 line. This is the kind of offense we envisioned for the Chargers but it quickly became derailed due to injuries. With their big guns finally healthy, itís hard to envision this offense failing against one of the worst pass defenses in the league. Certainly, we could see something strange, but all of these guys are setup for good fantasy performances as we begin the first week of the playoffs in most leagues.

On the Fence: WR Josh Palmer

Palmer is capable of having a good game here, but with everyone healthy, heís going to be battling for targets with Ekeler and Gerald Everett in addition to Allen and Williams. Palmer saw a respectable six targets last week in a game the Chargers threw the ball 51 times. Certainly, a pass-heavy game plan is to be expected against Tennessee but weíll need to see another 50-attempt game from Herbert for Palmer to retain WR4 value.

Fade: N/A

Prediction: Chargers 27, Titans 24 ^ Top

Giants @ Commanders - (Caron)
Line: WAS -4.5
Total: 40.5

WAS FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.14
WAS FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.29
WAS FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.15
WAS FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.31

No Brainers: N/A

Favorite: RB Saquon Barkley

Itís sad to say, but Saquon Barkley is unfortunately not a ďno-brainerĒ after his 28-yard rushing day against the Eagles this past week. The Giants running back turned in his second single-digit fantasy performance over the past four weeks, which means that we have to really consider the other potential options on our bench. If youíre looking for some hope, though, itís not as if Barkley himself looks bad. You only have to go back one week prior to the Eagles game to find a nice fantasy day from Barkley in which he rushed for 63 yards and a touchdown while also catching five passes against the very same Washington defense heíll be facing here in Week 15. Barkley has had some down weeks recently, but heís still capable of some big spike weeks and probably needs to be in fantasy lineups, even against an improving Washington defense.

On the Fence: QB Daniel Jones

Jones threw for 200 yards and a touchdown while rushing for 71 yards against Washington back in Week 13. While the 200 yards through the air doesnít sound like anything specialóand itís notóthe reality is that it was one of just five times all season that Jones has been able to reach that milestone, despite the fact that heís been QB1 for fantasy on the year. Jones is a very low-volume passer, but his rushing ability really makes up for it as heís now scored at least 14 fantasy points in five straight games. Jones would probably be a ďfavoriteĒ on the list if he didnít have such a rough go of things this past week against Philadelphia. He was able to throw for and run for a touchdown, but he took an absolute beating at the hands of the Eaglesí defense who sacked him four times and hit him 12 times total throughout the afternoon. He ended up getting benched and replaced by Tyrod Taylor late in the contest and while thatís not really any indication that the team has lost faith in Jones as the score was out of hand at that point anyway, it should be a warning that his body could be banged up heading into this contest.

Fade: WR Richie James (concussion)

Giants wide receiver Richie James caught a team-high seven passes for 61 yards against the Eagles this past week while setting a new personal-best mark for the year with nine targets. Furthermore, he has now scored a touchdown in three of his past four games. The one game that he didnít score, though, was against the Commanders when he was held to just three catches for 20 yards on the day, including just three total targets. Heíll be facing that same defense here in Week 15. Itís not impossible to think of a situation in which a fantasy manager would be wise to start James, but heís probably not someone that most of us should be relying on, especially against a Washington defense that has started to look better as of late.

NYG FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.19
NYG FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.13
NYG FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.22
NYG FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.10

No Brainers: N/A

Favorite: RB Brian Robinson Jr.

Washington is coming off of their bye and they now get to face the very same team that they were up against prior to the bye, the New York Giants, but this time itís at home. Running back Brian Robinson really was the focal point of the Commandersí offense on that day, as his 23 touches helped bring Washington to a tie on the road. Robinson has now touched the ball at least 15 times in seven of his past eight games. Heís only scored two rushing touchdowns thus far, which has helped cloud the reality that he has essentially been a less-recognized, NFC version of Nick Chubb over the second half of the season. Robinson lacks the usage in the passing game to really deliver truly outstanding fantasy performances without scoring multiple touchdowns, but his volume as a runner is undeniable right now. He went for 96 yards on the ground against the Giants in his previous game and New York just allowed Miles Sanders to embarrass them for 144 yards and two touchdowns on the ground this past week. Trust the volume.

On the Fence: WR Jahan Dotson

Rookie wide receiver Jahan Dotson is finally playing more snaps than Curtis Samuel in recent weeks. He also saw a career-high nine targets against this Giantsí defense the last time he was on the field, which he converted into five receptions for 54 yards and a touchdown. Dotson has now scored five times in just 19 career receptions, which really highlights the fact that the Commanders are utilizing him as a red-zone specialist. Those types of players can be difficult to predict at times, but Dotson is finally starting to look healthy and should be a big part of the Commandersí gameplan here in Week 15. Understand that he could give you a dud, but if youíre looking for a WR3/Flex to put in your lineup, Dotson is a decent option.

Fade: RB Antonio Gibson

With Robinson really starting to take over this backfield in terms of touches, Antonio Gibsonís usage has seen a pretty significant dip. Heís now seen exactly nine carries in each of his past two games and he really isnít making much of a case to see those totals increase as he hasnít exceeded 4.0 yards per carry in a game since Week 7. His passing game usage is better than that of Robinson but still hasnít been anything too exciting even after the Commanders lost J.D. McKissic for the season. He hasnít caught more than three passes in a game since Week 8. A player who isnít seeing significant volume and isnít producing great results with the opportunities he does get just shouldnít be trusted in fantasy lineups. Leave Gibson on your bench here in Week 15.

Prediction: Commanders 23, Giants 20 ^ Top

Rams @ Packers - (Green)
Line: GB -7.0
Total: 39.5

GB FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.22
GB FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.9
GB FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.24
GB FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.23

No Brainers: N/A

Favorite: RB Cam Akers

After some frustrating times with the Rams, which included an unfulfilled trade request, Akers has emerged as their top back -- over the last two games, he has logged 73 snaps to 37 for Kyren Williams. The numbers havenít been great, but the former Seminole has scored three times in that stretch. Green Bay has one of the leagueís worst run defenses this season, allowing 154.8 yards per game (30th) and 5.0 YPC (T-29th). Itís a good week to bank on Akers as a high-end RB3 with solid RB2 upside.

On the Fence: N/A

Fade: QB Baker Mayfield

Considering he joined the team on Tuesday, Mayfieldís performance last Thursday night bordered on the miraculous. The former No. 1 overall pick took over after one series and passed for 230 yards and a touchdown, leading a 98-yard drive to topple Las Vegas with a late strike to Van Jefferson. Despite that, leaning on Mayfield this Monday night would be a mistake. His numbers with Cleveland and Carolina were poor, and his last trip to Lambeau Field included four interceptions. Keep away.

LAR FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.24
LAR FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.25
LAR FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.9
LAR FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.21

No Brainers: RB Aaron Jones, WR Christian Watson

Favorite: RB AJ Dillon

Dillonís usage has been frustratingly inconsistent this season to be sure, but heís coming off a couple of strong performances, compiling 88 yards in Week 12 and 119 yards in Week 13 while scoring in both -- his first two TDs since the opener. Part of his success against the Bears was due to Jones being banged up, but surely seeing how much teams donít want to deal with a 247-pound hammer on cold nights means weíll see more of him this Monday. Pencil Dillon is a midrange RB3.

On the Fence: QB Aaron Rodgers

The week off looks to have done Rodgers some good as he reportedly practiced without tape on his injured thumb and indicated his ribs were doing better as well. This Monday should also mark the return of Romeo Doubs, giving No. 12 a full complement of receivers. Will that be enough to finally push Rodgers over the 300-yard threshold for the first time in 2022? Weíll see. He threw for 307 yards and 2 TDs during LAís late-November visit a season ago, giving him QB1 upside for Week 15, albeit packed with some level of risk.

Fade: WR Allen Lazard

After scoring in five of his first seven games on the season, Lazard has gone without a touchdown the last four games. It’s no coincidence that Watson has scored eight times during that stretch. Although Lazard did lead the team in receiving in Week 13 with a 5-67-0 line, the aforementioned return of Doubs further muddies the water for a player that opened the year as the de facto No. 1 receiver in Green Bay. Now, Lazard shouldn’t be more than a flex.

Prediction: Packers 24, Rams 16 ^ Top