Passing
Game Thoughts: Despite being a rookie, Dak Prescott has
been a fantasy QB1 when the matchup is right and has produced
week in and week out. However this could be a difficult matchup
as he faces a strong Vikings’ pass defense that is allowing
only 206.8 passing yards per game and has allowed only one quarterback
to finish in the top 15 over the past ten games. Prescott’s
weapons and high floor, in part due to his rushing abilities,
still makes him a viable option for fantasy teams however. Dez
Bryant faces a difficult matchup whether he lines up against Terrence
Newman or Xavier Rhodes as the Vikings have clamped down on outside
wide receivers all season. Rhodes should see the most time on
Bryant, and the corner has allowed his man to only score one touchdown
all season. On the other hand, slot receivers have fared much
better against the Vikings and Cole Beasley has been a Prescott
favorite all season. Jason Witten has had somewhat of a resurgent
season and the Vikings have fared poorly against tight ends, that
is until they shut Eric Ebron out on Thanksgiving day (says this
disgruntled Ebron owner).
MIN FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.29
MIN FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.21
MIN FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.31
MIN FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.17
Running Game Thoughts: Rookie Ezekiel Elliott is on a record setting
pace and has surpassed 120 yards in eight of his last nine games.
Running behind one of the best offensive lines in recent years
and with the power, agility and balance that Elliott posses, his
floor is high each week and he’ll now face a run defense
in serious decline. Minnesota opened the season strong against
the run but have allowed nearly 120 yards per game over the last
six weeks. The game script should play into Elliott seeing another
one of his patented high workloads as the Dallas defense has played
much better than expected and Minnesota lacks the weapons on offense
to pose much of a challenge.
Passing
Game Thoughts: Stefon Diggs missed last week with a knee
injury but is practicing this week and is expected to play on
Thursday Night. While the knee injury could slow him down, Diggs
has been on fire recently and sees heavy targets from Sam Bradford.
Dallas has handled outside receivers well this season but Diggs
lines up in the slot 70 percent of his snaps and Dallas has allowed
inside receivers to eat them up all season. In recent weeks Jamison
Crowder, Steve Smith, Eli Rogers, Jordan Matthews and Randall
Cobb have combined for a 38-347-4 stat-line against the Cowboys.
Kyle Rudolph has seen his targets drop considerably since Norv
Turner was replaced by Pat Shurmer but he has managed to remain
an adequate option for fantasy lineups by scoring touchdowns,
and this should be a favorable matchup for him.
DAL FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.14
DAL FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.30
DAL FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.8
DAL FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.5
Running Game Thoughts: Minnesota ranks 32nd in rushing yards
and now faces the third-ranked Cowboys run defense which is allowing
only 88.1 rushing yards per game and has yielded only 5 rushing
touchdowns. While the two-man committee of Matt Asiata and Jerick
McKinnon had one of its better games on Thanksgiving Day, it’s
still hard to recommend either of them here. Perhaps Asiata can
power his way to another score but even with a touchdown his upside
is still limited as he sees only about 40 percent of the snaps.
Making matters worse, the depleted Minnesota offensive line suffered
another blow when it lost center Joe Berger last week to a concussion.
It’s difficult to see the Vikings running the ball well
on Thursday Night.
Passing
Game Thoughts: Ryan Tannehill has been on somewhat of a
roll, with 697 passing yards, 7 touchdown passes and 1 interception
in his last three games, but runs into a Ravens defense this week
that’s been a buzzsaw at home. Overall the Ravens are allowing
222.9 passing yards per game with 20 touchdowns allowed and 11
interceptions. They have only allowed three top 10 quarterbacks
this season. In other words Tannehill’s hot streak could
be coming to an end. As far as his targets go, it’s starting
to look like second year player DeVante Parker is overtaking Jarvis
Landry as the team’s top option in the passing game. Parker’s
targets are on the rise while Landry’s production is on
the decline (WR39 over the last nine weeks). Landry was always
a volume dependant fantasy producer, so his owners cannot like
the fact that Parker and to some extent Kenny Stills are taking
serious cuts out of the passing game pie.
BAL FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.22
BAL FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.32
BAL FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.10
BAL FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.29
Running Game Thoughts: Jay Ajayi’s production had nowhere
to go but down after he burst onto the scene with back to back
200-yard games in his first two outings as a feature back. He
had 529 yards in his first three games as the workhorse, followed
by 201 yards in his last three games. Now he’ll be facing
the top ranked run defense in Baltimore. The Ravens are allowing
only 74.9 rushing yards per game and have only allowed four runners
to cross the goal-line. With Ajayi not seeing much usage in the
passing game, this could be a tough week for him to see much production.
Passing
Game Thoughts: Joe Flacco has only finished in the top
half of quarterback scoring twice this season, and facing a resurgent
Miami defense this week, he likely won’t increase that number.
Mike Wallace and Steve Smith, on the other hand, have been fantasy
starting options for most of the season, but will have a tough
time facing off against the Dolphins who have allowed just two
top 20 wide receivers over their past eight games. Overall the
‘Phins are allowing only 229.7 passing yards with 17 passing
touchdowns on the season. This should be a low scoring affair
on Sunday.
MIA FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.16
MIA FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.24
MIA FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.16
MIA FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.11
Running Game Thoughts: Kenneth Dixon has seen his snaps rise in
each game since he returned which has rendered Terrance West not
even RB2 worthy. The now near even split between the two backs
has made it difficult for either to gain much fantasy value outside
of bye weeks and deep leagues. West is used in goal-line situations
while Dixon sees more passing game work further diluting their
value, as each caps the upside of the other. Miami has yielded
a lot of yards this season (132.2 yards per game), so one of the
two could end up having a nice week, it’s just difficult
to choose the right one unless Dixon eventually pushes West aside.
Passing
Game Thoughts: Carson Wentz got off to a hot start during
his first three weeks but since the team’s Week 4 bye, he’s
only thrown for 6 touchdowns and has been a fantasy afterthought.
It doesn’t help that the Eagles have arguably the worst
collection of wide receivers in the league, with only slot man
Jordan Matthews offering any kind of consistency or ability to
make plays. Matthews left last week’s game early in the
second half with an ankle injury, but is expected back for what
should be a decent matchup. The Bengals have allowed slot receivers,
Quincy Enunwa, Jarvis Landry, Cole Beasley and Jamison Crowder,
to all record at least five receptions in recent weeks with all
but Landry also scoring a touchdown. Outside of Matthews only
tight end Zach Ertz has any fantasy appeal, with him seeing an
uptick in targets and Cincinnati giving up the sixth most receptions
to tight ends on the season.
CIN FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.9
CIN FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.12
CIN FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.27
CIN FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.4
Running Game Thoughts: Ryan Mathews is likely to miss another
game, leaving the bulk of the carries to rookie Wendell Smallwood
and veteran Darren Sproles. Smallwood has shown some flashes this
season, but the team is likely to go pass heavy, as it has all
season even when Mathews was healthy, despite Cincinnati fielding
the 28th ranked run defense.
Passing
Game Thoughts: Andy Dalton and the Bengals played last
week without two players, A.J. Green and Giovani Bernard, who
had accounted for 45.9% of the team’s targets and 49.4%
of the team’s receiving yardage earlier in the season. It
was tight end Tyler Eifert who picked up most of the slack seeing
24% of the team’s targets and hauling in 5 catches for 68
yards and a score. The Eagles are the second worst matchup in
the league for opposing fantasy tight ends but Eifert should see
enough work to be eligible for your line-up. Tyler Boyd was the
more productive receiver over Brandon LaFell last week, but his
ceiling is somewhat limited as a possession type receiver.
PHI FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.24
PHI FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.25
PHI FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.13
PHI FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.31
Running Game Thoughts: Jeremy Hill did see his workload increase
last week with the loss of Bernard, but he was still out-snapped
(52%-49%) by Bernard’s replacement Rex Burkhead. Hill owners
have to be pleased to see an increase in targets (6) which should
continue with Burkhead being far less effective than Bernard was
in the pass catching role. The matchup gets better for Hill this
week against the middle of the pack Eagles run defense. With the
volume, the fantasy numbers should follow.
Passing
Game Thoughts: Eli Manning started off the season slowly,
but has thrown for three or more touchdowns in four games since
Week 6. Manning’s hot streak of course coincided with Odell
Beckham breaking out of his slump. The Giants started moving him
around in formations in an effort to shake up the defensive attention
he was getting and as a result, he’s scored 8 touchdowns
in the last seven games. Manning personally apologized to rookie
Sterling Shepard for not targeting him last week, which means
the master route runner, should be peppered with targets this
week. However the Steelers have done a good job with containing
slot receivers, but perhaps the Giants will also move Shepard
around, and the rookie has shown an ability to play outside like
he did earlier in the season when Victor Cruz was seeing most
of his time in the slot.
PIT FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.25
PIT FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.5
PIT FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.29
PIT FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.13
Running Game Thoughts: Rashad Jennings has been mostly ineffective
this season and the Giants just have not been able to establish
a running game. Things don’t get any easier this week as
the Steelers field the league’s 8th ranked run defense,
allowing only 95.3 yards per game. The team has been reluctant
to get rookie Paul Perkins involved so it will be Jennings and
his 3.4 ypc average plodding through yet another game once again.
In a game where the Steelers could potentially put a lot of points
up on the board, the running game is not likely to get on track
this week.
Passing
Game Thoughts: One certainty in fantasy football is that
Ben Roethlisberger at Heinz Field is a no-brainer start, each
and every time. However, he will face a Giants team that has only
allowed one top 10 quarterback all season so maybe expectations
should be tempered a little. The revamped Giants defense is loaded
in the secondary and has only allowed 10 touchdown passes all
season. To make it worse on Roethlisberger, their pass rush is
starting to come on strong which could force him into a few mistakes.
With that said, Big Ben has tossed 15 touchdown passes in his
four games at home this season and I will therefore refer you
back to the opening sentence. While the Giants secondary is very
strong overall, they do not possess one “shut down”
cornerback that should scare off Antonio Brown owners. Outside
of Brown only Eli Rogers should warrant consideration as the rest
of the Steeler pass catchers have been inconsistent especially
with Sammie Coates no longer a viable option after looking like
a force during a hot streak earlier in the season.
NYG FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.31
NYG FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.20
NYG FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.22
NYG FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.16
Running Game Thoughts: Le’Veon Bell will also face a difficult
matchup this week, but his owners surely do not care. Bell’s
size, speed, quick feet, patience and pass catching ability make
him one of the safest players in fantasy football. It took him
five games to find the endzone, but now he has scored at least
one touchdown in three consecutive weeks. He will face a Giants
rush defense that is allowing only 89.1 yards per game, but even
if he was somehow bottled up as a runner his usage in the passing
game gives him an incredibly high floor. DeAngelo Williams may
be back this week to return to the backup role, but Bell seldom
comes off the field when he’s healthy, making Williams merely
a handcuff for fantasy purposes.
Passing
Game Thoughts: Since taking over as the starting quarterback,
Colin Kaepernick is 6th in quarterback scoring per game, in large
part due to his rushing statistics. Kaep has 373 rushing yards
which ranks him 16th overall in rushing and second among quarterbacks
despite playing in only six games. Tight end Vance McDonald has
been Kaep’s favorite target when he does throw the ball
seeing 18.3% of the targets since Week 7. The rest of the 49ers
passing offense has been basically irrelevant since Kaepernick
took over, but with him getting better in the passing game each
week that could change. Jeremy Kerley and Quinton Patton have
each had their fare share of decent outings, but the consistency
just isn’t there.
CHI FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.19
CHI FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.28
CHI FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.5
CHI FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.20
Running Game Thoughts: The 49ers have gained 40.5 percent of
their yards on the ground, the highest in the league and Carlos
Hyde has been very effective when he’s been healthy. While
Blaine Gabbert and especially Colin Kaepernick have been a big
part of the team’s running game, the offense has flowed
through Hyde and he’s handled the heavy workloads well.
This week he’ll face a Bears team that is allowing the 5th
fewest fantasy points to running backs this season, but with Hyde
still likely to see 18-24 touches he’s still a solid option.
Passing
Game Thoughts: Matt Barkley threw two bad interceptions
last week but played far better than anyone could have expected
and ended up with a nice stat-line (316-3-2). He finished last
week as a QB1 and a few bad drops kept him from even greater heights.
The 49ers have allowed a second worst 26 passing touchdowns on
the season. While it would be a risky move to insert Matt Barkley
into starting line-ups during a crucial Week 13 matchup, the potential
reward is a top 5 QB performance. Marquess Wilson saw 11 targets
last week and turned them into 8 receptions for 125 yards and
a score making him another high risk/high reward type play this
week. The speedy Wilson had some nice chemistry with Barkley but
a one game sample size is not an ideal baseline and Wilson did
drop what should have been two other easy touchdowns.
SF FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.3
SF FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.1
SF FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.1
SF FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.18
Running Game Thoughts: Jordan Howard has 768 rushing yards since
taking over as the Bears feature back. Those totals could be even
better if not for the Bears constantly falling behind and needing
to abandon the run. Howard has 520 of those yards in the first
half of games. This week the Bears should be able to stay close
throughout the game and Howard will face the league’s worst
run defense (171 ypg and 14 TDs allowed). This could potentially
be a monster game for the rookie.
Passing
Game Thoughts: Brock Osweiler has been the worst fantasy
performer this season among all starting quarterbacks in the league.
His deep ball accuracy and overall poor performance has destroyed
the statistics of star wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins, who was
able to thrive despite an anemic carousel of quarterbacks last
season but has only caught 55 balls for 610 yards and three scores
with Os under center. This week the duo will face a Packers team
giving up the third most fantasy points per game to opposing wide
receivers and 260.6 yards per game with 22 touchdowns overall,
yet it’s still hard to recommend Hopkins. Hopkins has been
reduced to a WR3 at best, but he has some upside this week at
least. Tight End C.J. Fiedorowicz has been one of Osweiler’s
favorite targets but almost all of his targets come in close range
of the line of scrimmage limiting his upside. This is a passing
attack to avoid even in a favorable matchup.
GB FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.12
GB FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.22
GB FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.3
GB FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.8
Running Game Thoughts: Lamar Miller has been a solid RB2 all
season based solely on volume but the poor passing game has limited
his ability to put up huge statistics and he’s only managed
two weeks as a RB1. Under 5% of his carries have come inside the
10 yard line, despite the fact that Houston really has no better
short yardage options at the running back position. His heavy
workload is all that he really has going for him right now until
the passing game finds its way.
Passing
Game Thoughts: Aaron Rodgers is on pace to shatter his
career high in pass attempts and has looked very sharp after a
slow start to the season. He’s been a top six quarterback
in six straight games, and with no running game to speak of Green
Bay should continue to put the ball in the air. Davante Adams
and Jordy Nelson have been the biggest beneficiaries of the high
volume passing game, and each are at worst WR2 options each week.
Houston has a tough pass defense allowing only 209.2 passing yards
per game and only 14 passing touchdowns on the season, but has
been more vulnerable in recent weeks and will be unlikely to slow
down the surging Packer passing attack.
HOU FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.28
HOU FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.11
HOU FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.30
HOU FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.28
Running Game Thoughts: The Packers running game can best be summed
up by the following: Since Eddie Lacy went down in Week 6, the
Packers’ leading rusher has been Aaron Rodgers with 196
yards. James Starks’ return two weeks ago has made things
slightly better but the veteran has seen his better days. He’s
rushed for just 99 yards since coming back from injury but has
been used in the passing game (13 receptions) enough to give him
some fantasy value.
Passing
Game Thoughts: Travis Kelce is making a run to finish the
season as the top fantasy TE of 2016. As good as the targets and
yards have been in making him a must start, his lack of touchdowns
is a reminder that this offense’s ceiling isn’t very
high. Alex Smith enters the week ranked 27th in fantasy points
per game near guys named Osweiler, Keenum and Gabbert. Smith isn’t
a good start any week but he should have the opportunity to post
respectable numbers this week. The Falcons are the worst defense
against the pass and will be playing without one of their best
pass defenders in Marcus Trufant. Jeremy Maclin (groin) returned
to practice this week and should be available barring a set back.
His return casts a shadow on Tyreek Hill’s ability to be
a productive fantasy asset with fewer targets. If healthy going
into the weekend, Maclin should be a huge boost for the offense
making him a low end WR2. Conversely, Albert Wilson gets pushed
back down the depth chart and off of the fantasy radar for Week
13.
ATL FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.1
ATL FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.4
ATL FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.15
ATL FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.6
Running Game Thoughts: Spencer Ware has averaged 18 touches a
game over Kansas City’s last three games but he doesn’t
have a single touchdown over that same span. It doesn’t
look like the Chiefs are going to give him the workload he needs
to be a true RB1 and this week’s match up against the Falcons’
tenth ranked rush defense (98.8 rushing yards allowed per game)
dampens his Week 13 outlook. However, Atlanta has been susceptible
against running backs in the passing game, giving up over 200
receiving yards to opposing RBs in their past two contests. The
Chiefs may not be a high octane offense but I don’t see
them completely struggling to move the ball against this defense.
Consider Ware a useful RB2 this week and hope the team gets him
more involved in the passing game. Charcandrick West gets a decent
amount of playing time for a backup running back (played 33 snaps
in Week 12) but that has not translated into much work carrying
the football. He’s bench fodder at this point with modest
upside as a handcuff option for Ware’s owners with the playoffs
just around the corner.
Passing
Game Thoughts: Matt Ryan failed to reach 300 yards passing
in four of the Falcons’ past five outings but he still boasted
an 11:3 touchdown to interception ratio. He’s having a fine
rebound season but he seems to have settled into being more of
a top ten fantasy option rather than a top five quarterback. The
Chiefs have not been able to sustain their early success against
the pass giving up the fourth most fantasy points per game to
opposing quarterbacks over the past five weeks. Similarly, they
are one of three teams that have allowed receivers to gain over
1,000 receiving yards since Week 8. Adding more intrigue to Matt
Ryan’s upside is the steady contributions of Taylor Gabriel
who steps up when other team’s lock down Julio Jones. The
five-foot, eight-inch 25 year old out of Abilene Christian has
gone over 50 receiving yards in four straight games with touchdowns
in three of them. He’s been the sixth best fantasy wideout
over that stretch and should be owned in all formats. I was surprised
Austin Hooper wasn’t worked into the offense more last week
and fear he won’t be used much outside of the red zone where
the team has multiple options to score. His inconsistency in the
offense pushes him into the TE2 tier for Week 13.
KC FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.4
KC FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.18
KC FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.2
KC FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.30
Running Game Thoughts: Twelve weeks into the season and Devonta
Freeman has only one game with over 18 carries. Kansas City has
been great against the run lately and that could lead to a sub
par outing for Freeman but five of Freeman’s seven touchdowns
on the year have come at home. He will be a middle of the pack
RB2 unless the team gives him more touches. That will be tough
on a team that has repeatedly used Tevin Coleman to share the
workload when healthy. Coleman’s return to the field last
week didn’t come with a lot of success yet he still found
pay dirt to salvage his fantasy day. The Falcons will need at
least one or two big plays from Coleman, likely as a receiver,
in order to secure a victory and stay out in front of the Bucs
for the division lead.
Passing
Game Thoughts: Trevor Siemian is dealing with a foot sprain
making his status for this weekend’s game up in the air.
He’s done a good job of turning things around but he didn’t
practice on Wednesday or Thursday. HC Gary Kubiak has already
started Siemian coming off a “no-practice” week and
he has stated that he could do so again this week. I’d expect
Paxton Lynch to be the starter and check back on Sunday morning
to confirm. Whoever lines up under center for the Broncos this
weekend will be in for an uphill battle so I wouldn’t recommend
using Siemian or Lynch. Jags HC Gus Bradley has done a good job
at defending the pass this season. Jacksonville has allowed the
second fewest fantasy points per game to opposing wide receivers
over the past five weeks. That downgrades the outlook for Demaryius
Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders as well. Thomas and Jalen Ramsey will
be more fun to watch on the field than in your starting lineup.
I’m not expecting huge things for Sanders either but he
offers more PPR potential. That’s why I would consider Jordan
Norwood as a flex option in deep leagues, especially if Paxton
Lynch is given the start. Virgil Green seems to fall short no
matter how many balls come his way so it will be Norwood and the
running backs that stand to see a few more check downs.
JAC FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.26
JAC FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.15
JAC FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.26
JAC FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.27
Running Game Thoughts: Devontae Booker has been a mild disappointment
since taking over for C.J. Anderson in Week 7. During that span
he has averaged just over 10 fantasy point in standard leagues
making him more of a RB3/Flex than a reliable RB2. Over the past
two weeks, however, Denver has made adjustments and the rushing
attack is starting to rebound. Booker’s production over
the past three weeks (which is only two games due to a bye) places
him 23rd amongst all fantasy running backs. In standard scoring
leagues he has been slightly better than Jay Ajayi, Spencer Ware,
Carlos Hyde and Jeremy Hill during that span. On a week to week
basis he may not bring the same amount of upside as those guys
but Denver’s quarterback situation should lead to plenty
of touches for Booker this week making him a low end RB2 for Week
13.
Passing
Game Thoughts: The good news for the Jags’ passing
game is that Blake Bortles has consistently been finding a way
to toss at least two touchdowns over the past month and a half.
The bad news is that he has only averaged only 236.4 passing yards
in that time and is playing the NFL’s best team at sacking
the quarterback. The fact that Bortles hasn’t been able
to shake his propensity for throwing interceptions only makes
me sour on the fantasy prospects for the Jags even more. The only
receiver with considering in this game is Allen Robinson and he
proved last week how his luck changes when the passing game hits
the skids. If your team doesn’t have anyone better than
Robinson to start as a WR3/Flex then you probably aren’t
headed to the fantasy playoffs. Marqise Lee has caught touchdowns
in consecutive weeks but the lack of passing yards from this team
make all of the secondary options a touchdown or bust fantasy
option for Week 13. That includes TE Ben Koyack who is in line
for snaps following injuries to Julius Thomas and Marcedes Lewis.
DEN FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.32
DEN FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.10
DEN FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.32
DEN FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.24
Running Game Thoughts: Jacksonville will need a solid running
game to slow down the Denver pass rush but that’s no sure
thing with Chris Ivory expected to be sidelined with a hamstring
injury for this game. The injury would seemingly open the door
for T.J. Yeldon (ankle) to assume a larger workload against a
forgiving Denver rush defense but he too is nursing an injury.
He’s made progress this week and appears to be on track
to start but anyone thinking about using Yeldon will want to invest
some time on Sunday to monitoring the pre game injury reports
to be sure. Denard Robinson has had some success but he’s
only worth a spot start in your flex slot if Yeldon is ruled out
prior to game time. This looks like a situation that is more likely
to hurt your lineup than help it so avoid it unless you don’t
mind the risk of being burned.
Passing
Game Thoughts: For all the talk about Mathew Stafford having
an MVP season he sure has fallen flat lately. There isn’t
a single 300-yard passing game since Week 3 and he has thrown
only five touchdowns over the past six weeks. The truth is that
this passing game has struggled against teams that are deep in
the secondary. The Saints are not going to be confused with such
a team so I’m bullish on a nice bounce back game from Stafford
and company. The numerous options that Detroit can deploy in the
passing game will create plenty of mismatches and outlets to have
success against New Orleans. Golden Tate and Anquan Boldin have
been more successful in the short and intermediate passing game
while Marvin Jones struggles to be a consistent deep threat. There
should be enough need for the Lions to continue to pass the ball
to allow more than one of Detroit’s pass-catchers to have
a fruitful fantasy day in Week 13. The question is which one?
Starting any Detroit receiver brings a very low floor so weigh
your options carefully. I always prefer to rely on targets in
tough choices and that means Anquan Boldin’s 18 over the
past two weeks would make him the best fantasy option this week.
Eric Ebron should see more opportunities in this game but he continues
to be plagued by the sheer number of mouths to feed in this offense.
NO FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.17
NO FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.3
NO FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.19
NO FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.14
Running Game Thoughts: Theo Riddick has turned into this season’s
Danny Woodhead. That skill set makes him extremely valuable in
keeping pace with the Saints high scoring ways. He has been limited
in practice this week with an ankle injury but that isn’t
expected to keep him out of action. Make sure to check in prior
to kickoff to ensure he will be active for Week 13. Dwayne Washington
and Zack Zenner haven’t been able to carve out enough of
a role in the offense to justify using them as a flex options
this week. Justin Forsett has been inactive now that Detroit’s
other running backs have returned to health so he is well off
the fantasy map this weekend. Unless Riddick is unexpectedly held
out of this game, there really isn’t any other trustworthy
fantasy rusher on Detroit’s roster.
Passing
Game Thoughts: New Orleans sits two games behind the Falcons
in the NFC South and takes on a Detroit team that is 2-3 on the
road in 2016. New Orleans and fantasy owners alike have gotten
huge dividends from Michael Thomas. Outside of Brandon Coleman,
Thomas has excelled near the goal to the point where he is now
tied for fourth most amongst NFL receivers with seven touchdown
receptions. His 77 percent catch rate after eleven games ranks
second in the league behind only Julio Jones so he doesn’t
need much volume to keep his fantasy owners happy. Cooks is coming
off a zero-target game against the Rams and you can bet Drew Brees
will get the ball to his top receiver early in this contest to
ease any concerns about his place atop the depth chart. Thomas
and Cooks are quickly emerging as one of the best receiving duos
in the league but that doesn’t mean you should overlook
Willie Snead. He’s still the starter opposite Cooks and
sees enough looks to be a consistent flex option in deep PPR leagues.
Coby Fleener did his best to prove me wrong yet again after catching
all four of his targets a week ago. He’s getting squeezed
by the running backs in the passing game and isn’t likely
to post huge numbers with Brees spreading the ball around.
DET FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.11
DET FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.26
DET FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.24
DET FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.1
Running Game Thoughts: I think it is fair to say that the Saints
have finally found the right mix for the running game. Any doubt
that Mark Ingram was bothered by an injury were erased following
his huge Week 12 effort (167 total yards on only 15 touches).
He’s been better while working in tandem with Tim Hightower
and that plan shouldn’t change this week against the Lions.
Detroit’s front seven have been better than average against
the run this year so Ingram will have a tough time repeating his
numbers from a week ago. That doesn’t mean he can’t
be a quality RB2 but his owners shouldn’t be as bullish
this week with the tailback still unlikely to see more than his
typical workload. Meanwhile, Tim Hightower continues to be a quality
flex option for over a month now while playing in an offense that
has gained more yards per game than any other team in the NFL
this season. He has reached double digit fantasy points in four
of his last five games and has gone over 50 yards receiving in
each of the past two weeks.
Passing
Game Thoughts: Facing the eleven men posing as a defensive
unit for the Saints, Jared Goff’s second career start looked
far better than his first in the box score. Goff only managed
214 yards, but he threw three touchdowns against just one interception.
He certainly looked better on the field than Case Keenum ever
did. Much like Keenum, Goff keyed in on Kenny Britt (5-52-1).
After a dud opener with Goff at the helm, last week’s game
renewed my confidence that Britt will be fine with Goff. The Patriots
just let Ryan Fitzpatrick throw for 269 yards and two scores and
they should lead this week’s game wire to wire, creating
plenty of opportunities for Goff to throw.
NE FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.15
NE FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.19
NE FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.23
NE FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.21
Running Game Thoughts: If you like low floor, low ceiling flex
options, then Todd Gurley is the man for you. Gurley did his usual
thing last week, rushing for 50 yards, catching a handful of passes,
and otherwise a whole lot of nothing. Bill Belichick knows Gurley
is the Rams’ best player. He will erase Gurley. The score
will also likely erase the Rams’ running of the ball. All
in all, this is a terrible spot for Gurley. Just like last week,
if you have alternatives, bench him.
Passing
Game Thoughts: Tom Brady on one knee is better than your
QB with two knees. That’s just how it goes. A hobbled Brady
operating without Rob Gronkowski still threw it up 50 times last
week. Drew Brees just threw for 310 yards and 4 touchdowns against
the Rams. The Rams season is over and this team has quit on Jeff
Fisher (rightfully so). After surprisingly playing last week,
Gronk left last week’s game with a back issue and apparently
he herniated a disc the previous week and never should’ve
been playing to begin with. His season is over. Julian Edelman
continues to see double digit targets and his PPR value appears
to be restored. Malcolm Mitchell was the recipient of both Brady
touchdown passes last week. He’s a raw, but talented player
and will have games like this. There will also be games where
Brady completely ignores him. Mitchell is going to be a nice NFL
player, but he is not there yet. Martellus Bennett will start
for the remainder of the season and while he’s not my cup
of tea, this is a game where I expect four Brady touchdowns, so
Marty B is a viable option.
LAR FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.20
LAR FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.13
LAR FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.17
LAR FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.25
Running Game Thoughts: Given that I’m writing about the
games and Jeff Fisher is coaching them, I went ahead and looked
up Patriots running backs named “Brandon” and “Danny,”
because apparently those are the names of the guys Fisher is having
his team prepare for. Is any head coach more of a joke than Jeff
Fisher? How does he still have a job? As for players actually
on the Patriots, LeGarrette Blount only saw eleven carries last
week and although he was effective, managing 61 yards, that game
showed what happens when Blount fails to find the end zone. The
return of Dion Lewis has resulted in a three way timeshare for
snaps. It couldn’t have been much more evenly split between
Blount (27), James White (26), and Lewis (23). It is notable that
White didn’t see a single carry whereas Lewis saw six. Lewis
has probably passed White on the depth chart already, but White
is not going away. If you combine their passing game numbers,
you have a viable RB2 in PPR, but as long as they’re both
around, you can’t start either.
Passing
Game Thoughts: Delving into the Colts’ numbers against
the Steelers is wasted effort. Nothing this team does with Scott
Tolzien leading the charge matters. The good news is Andrew Luck
is on track to return Monday night. The Jets still sport one of
the league’s worst pass defenses and Luck is long overdue
for a monster effort and this could be the night he finally gets
it. Helping him out will be Donte Moncrief, who has scored in
every game since his return from injury. His touchdown prowess
notwithstanding, Moncrief has yet to top 55 yards since his return.
Last week’s six receptions were his season high. T.Y. Hilton
is widely regarded as the boom or bust option, but Moncrief has
been very touchdown or bust. I like his chances to get in this
week, but if he doesn’t, you will be sorely disappointed
with his production. As for Hilton, he took a vicious hit last
week to the back that ultimately forced him to leave the game.
He, too, is on track to play Monday, but be sure to monitor injury
reports as the game gets nearer. Hilton had a dud in Moncrief’s
first game back, but he’s been solid in the other two (I’m
ignoring last week’s shortened effort). If healthy, I have
no concerns about using Hilton.
NYJ FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.21
NYJ FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.17
NYJ FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.12
NYJ FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.22
Running Game Thoughts: Frank Gore’s dismal performance
last week also had a lot to do with Scott Tolzien. But prior to
that, Gore hadn’t really been impressing anyway. Gore has
just one 100-yard rushing game on the season (which required overtime)
and has rushed for 61 yards or fewer seven times including each
of the last five games. The Jets allow 85.9 rushing yards per
game. This is a bad spot for Gore.
Passing
Game Thoughts: The Jets insist on continuing to send Ryan
Fitzpatrick back out there. We know what he is at this point and
even in one of his better efforts, he still couldn’t beat
the Patriots. I’m not sure what the Jets’ goal is
here. Brandon Marshall returned to the end zone for the first
time since Week 5 and Quincy Enunwa caught all five of his targets
for 109 yards and a touchdown. The Colts have allowed 22 passing
touchdowns on the season and somehow recorded just three interceptions.
This situation couldn’t be much better, but I’m just
not buying these Jets receivers returning to relevance. Enunwa’s
usage is way too inconsistent and at this point, Marshall needs
to score to produce. Those are not things you can rely on. The
matchup is probably too good to bench Marshall, but do not expect
the old Brandon to miraculously return.
IND FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.2
IND FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.9
IND FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.9
IND FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.7
Running Game Thoughts: And we’re back to bad Matt Forte.
Just 27 yards on 13 carries and only 23 more yards on three receptions.
The Colts can’t stop anyone on the ground either, allowing
4.6 yards per carry, but Forte’s performances tend to come
in multiples and he’s on the downswing right now. With the
Jets season over, one must wonder if there will even be another
upswing. The remaining schedule is certainly favorable and Forte
has proven to be able to exploit bad run defenses. That’s
what we have here so despite last week’s outing and his
season trends, Forte is a strong option this week.
Passing
Game Thoughts: The passing numbers really aren’t
there, but Tyrod Taylor continues to be a viable weekly play at
quarterback mostly due to him being the league’s most efficient
runner at the quarterback position. This, combined with a great
matchup against a less-than-stellar Oakland secondary should make
Taylor a solid QB1 this week with an admittedly low ceiling, but
also a relatively high floor. As for receivers, with Robert Woods
still expected to miss this weekend’s game, the only other
viable fantasy option in the Buffalo passing game is Sammy Watkins
who returned to the field this past week. Watkins immediately
reminded fantasy owners of why he was considered one of the potential
breakout stars going into the 2016 season when he caught three
passes for 80 yards, including a deep bomb down the field against
the Jaguars in Week 12. Unfortunately, Watkins re-aggravated his
foot injury and has missed practice throughout the week. He’s
questionable to play Sunday and will be one of the most important
players for fantasy owners to watch on Sunday morning. If he does
play, he’s an ideal high-upside Flex option, but his downside
is also terrible, making him a very risky play.
OAK FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.6
OAK FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.7
OAK FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.7
OAK FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.9
Running Game Thoughts: The Jaguars held LeSean McCoy in check
for the most part a week ago, but McCoy flashed the big play ability
that makes him an excellent fantasy producer on a weekly basis
when he broke off an impressive 75-yard touchdown. He’s
dealt with a few injuries this season, but he’s still a
top five fantasy running back and with a matchup against an Oakland
defense that has surrendered over 100 rushing yards each game
and a total of three rushing touchdowns over their past two contests,
McCoy is a high-end RB1 this week.
Passing
Game Thoughts: He’s nursing a finger injury but Oakland
quarterback Derek Carr continues to be one of the league’s
biggest breakout stars. Carr has produced 18 or more fantasy points
(standard scoring) in seven of his 11 games this season and the
majority of that production has gone to his top two targets, Amari
Cooper and Michael Crabtree. Although the duo hasn’t been
particularly consistent as of late, both receivers have been great
fantasy producers this season and should continue to be low-end
WR1’s or high-end WR2’s, depending on the size of
your league. The Bills have given up six receiving touchdowns
to opposing wide receivers over their past four contests. With
Carr, Crabtree and Cooper arguably being the best QB-WR-WR combo
in the league, there’s no reason to avoid any of them in
a home game.
BUF FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.23
BUF FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.16
BUF FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.21
BUF FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.23
Running Game Thoughts: The yardage has been shaky, but the fantasy
production continues to impress as Latavius Murray has now scored
six rushing touchdowns in the five games he’s played since
returning from injury. He’s dealing with an ankle injury
that has limited him in practice this week, but Murray’s
usage is among the highest of any back in the league as of late
and that alone makes him a solid RB2 option. Buffalo has given
up an average of 97 rushing yards per game to opposing running
backs over their past five games and they’ve also given
up a total of five rushing touchdowns over that span. The high-end
upside isn’t there, but even if he averages under four yards
per touch, the 20-plus touches he’s getting each week means
that Murray’s floor is also quite high for an RB2.
Passing
Game Thoughts: He didn’t start the season off particularly
strong, but there are few fantasy quarterbacks playing better
right now than Washington’s Kirk Cousins. Cousins has thrown
10 touchdown passes with only one interception over his past four
games and he’s averaging a whopping 386 yards per game over
that stretch. While it’s unlikely that he’s going
to continue that kind of pace, his high-end production should
give fantasy owners some hope in this elite Arizona defense that
has given up the third-fewest fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks
so far this season. The biggest concern at the moment seems to
be the health of tight end Jordan Reed. Reed’s shoulder
could keep him out of this Sunday’s game, which would immediately
make Vernon Davis a viable TE1. The Redskins receivers have all
been performing lately, as well. New breakout receiver Jamison
Crowder has been the best, but Pierre Garcon has now caught a
total of 22 passes over is past four games and has reestablished
himself as an option in PPR formats. DeSean Jackson is still a
big play threat, but he’s also the riskiest of the bunch.
ARI FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.30
ARI FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.31
ARI FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.25
ARI FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.32
Running Game Thoughts: A successful pass-heavy approach against
the Cowboys meant a lower-than-usual workload for Redskins running
back Rob Kelley this past week. Kelley was held in check, rushing
for just 37 yards on 14 carries – his worst fantasy performance
since taking over the lead back role in Washington. Kelley had
previously touched the ball at least 21 times in three straight
games prior to his dud on Thanksgiving Day, though, so fantasy
owners shouldn’t be so quick to write him off. Unfortunately,
Kelley will be entering another tough situation this week as he’ll
be up against an Arizona defense that has given up the third-fewest
fantasy points to opposing running backs on the season. Only once
this season has an opposing team’s group of running backs
eclipsed the 100-yard mark against the Cardinals and while Kelley’s
high number of carries does give him enough of a floor to make
him a low-end RB2 in standard formats, he falls down to a mid-level
Flex option in PPR formats due to the pass-catching role continuing
to go to Chris Thompson.
Passing
Game Thoughts: Carson Palmer and the Cardinals were one
of the most successful passing games in 2015 and they’ve
showed signs of that this season, but the consistency just has
not been there. Even Larry Fitzgerald, who comes into Week 13
as the No. 13 fantasy wide receiver (standard scoring) hasn’t
been great as of late. Still, the targets continue to be there
for Fitzgerald and the other players in the offense are left to
fight over the scraps. Michael Floyd, John Brown and J.J. Nelson
have combined for just eight total catches between them over the
past two weeks and none of the bunch is particularly standing
out. Tight end Jermaine Gresham has made a bit of a splash on
the stat sheet with touchdowns in back-to-back games, but he is
not a high-upside option and should really only be considered
in two-TE formats. Due to Fitzgerald’s ability to be moved
all around the formation, including the slot, he doesn’t
have the same risk that many other opposing WR1’s do when
matched up against Josh Norman. Fitzgerald hasn’t caught
fewer than four passes in any game this season so he can be safely
deployed, as usual, but everyone else in this passing game –
including Palmer – should probably be avoided in most formats.
WAS FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.18
WAS FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.8
WAS FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.20
WAS FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.10
Running Game Thoughts: While Ezekiel Elliott is getting most of
the media attention at the running back position this season due
to his pure rushing numbers, it is actually Arizona’s David
Johnson who currently leads all backs in fantasy production, both
in standard or PPR formats. Johnson’s usage in the passing
game has been tremendous this season as he’s already pulled
in 55 catches, giving him an impressive floor irrespective of
the matchups he faces on a week to week basis. Johnson has not
scored fewer than 10 fantasy points (standard scoring) in any
game this season. Facing the Redskins’ 27th-ranked fantasy
run defense, Johnson should once again be considered one of the
premiere options in all of fantasy football this week.
Passing
Game Thoughts: As the NFL leader in targets with 133 this
season, Tampa Bay’s Mike Evans has cemented himself as a
top option just about every week. In fact, it might surprise some
to hear that Evans is currently the No. 1 fantasy WR in standard
scoring formats. Evans is a no-brainer stud option once again
in what could easily turn into a shootout this week as he and
the Bucs head to San Diego. The question in this passing game
is whether or not Jameis Winston, who himself has been quietly
creeping up into the QB1 option, is in for a good game. Winston
is coming off of a 220-yard, two touchdown performance against
the Seahawks, so a matchup against the Chargers should be a welcome
challenge despite the Chargers being a better secondary than some
might think. Tight end Cameron Brate is probably the only other
player in this passing game who should be considered for fantasy
purposes. Brate has had some nice games, but he’s been inconsistent
and thus falls into the muddy waters of being a low-end TE1 or
high-end TE2.
SD FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.13
SD FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.6
SD FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.18
SD FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.19
Running Game Thoughts: They’ve used a number of different
running back this season because of injuries, but one thing has
been sure – whoever starts in the Tampa Bay backfield has
been touching the ball heavily. Doug Martin has been that player,
having touched the ball an average of 23 times per game since
returning from injury. His production hasn’t been overly
amazing, but it’s tough time come across a running back
who’s touching the ball 20-plus times per game. That type
of usage could mean a very productive day against a San Diego
run defense that ranks 26th against opposing fantasy running backs.
The Chargers have only held opposing teams’ running backs
without a touchdown in three of their 11 games so far this season,
so Martin is a good bet to hit paydirt in Week 13.
Passing
Game Thoughts: The hot streak continued this past week
for Philip Rivers who has now passed for multiple touchdowns in
four straight contests. His interceptions have been a bit high
as of late, but his overall numbers continue to impress enough
that he’s a viable QB1 in just about every format. Tampa
Bay is coming off of their best defensive performance of the season,
having held Russell Wilson to just 151 yards and no touchdowns
through the air this past week, but the Seattle passing game and
the San Diego passing game really are not comparable at this point.
Wide receiver Tyrell Williams has been spectacular as of late,
having put up 12 or more fantasy points (standard scoring) in
four of his past five contests and he has now established himself
as the team’s top pass catcher. Unfortunately, Williams
has missed significant practice time this week, leaving his status
for Sunday’s game in question. If Williams cannot play,
Dontrelle Inman figures to see an uptick in targets. Inman has
also been quietly productive as of late, including a six catch,
119-yard, one touchdown performance a week ago. Inman is a Flex
option even if Williams does play, but he could be a WR2 if he’s
the team’s top option this week. The San Diego tight ends
continue to produce at a very high level together, but they’re
vulturing targets from one another, which makes both of them a
fairly risky play so long as they’re both on the field.
TB FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.8
TB FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.14
TB FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.14
TB FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.15
Running Game Thoughts: Melvin Gordon’s fantasy production
has taken a bit of a dip over his past two games, but there’s
no question that he remains a high-upside option with a nice floor
to go along with it. Gordon has not touched the ball fewer than
14 times and he hasn’t scored fewer than eight fantasy points
(standard scoring) in any game this season. Tampa Bay is coming
off a great game against Seattle when they shut down a depleted
Seahawks running game. They haven’t been particularly good
against the run so far this season overall, though. The Bucs have
allowed opposing running backs to exceed 100 rushing yards against
them in six of their 11 games. With Gordon being among the most
likely backs in the league to get 20 or more touches this week,
he should be in most fantasy lineups as an RB1.
Passing
Game Thoughts: Cam Newton’s struggles through the
air continue as the reigning league MVP completed fewer than 50
percent of his passes for the second straight game this past week.
Newton’s fantasy production has been equally as shaky and
it’s really affecting his receivers. Greg Olsen, who started
the season off red hot, has now failed to eclipse even five fantasy
points (standard scoring) in four of his past five games. Wide
receiver Kelvin Benjamin finally got into the end zone this past
week for the first time since Week 4, but in a matchup against
arguably the best secondary in the entire league, Benjamin and
fellow wide receiver Ted Ginn just don’t seem like great
fantasy options. Newton is a borderline QB1, but understand that
his upside is limited in this game and he does have a fairly low
floor as well.
SEA FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.27
SEA FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.23
SEA FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.28
SEA FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.26
Running Game Thoughts: With the Panthers passing game struggling
to get much going, the team has to be happy with what they got
out of Jonathan Stewart this past week in what ended up being
a shootout against the Raiders. Stewart rushed for 96 yards and
a pair of touchdowns. He has now scored an impressive seven touchdowns
in about seven and 1/2 games. He hasn’t yet cracked 100
yards and that’s highly unlikely to happen against a Seattle
defense that has allowed the seventh-fewest fantasy points to
opposing running backs. Yes, the Seahawks have given up 100 or
more rushing yards to opposing running backs in five of their
past six games, but no team has rushed for more than 122 yards
against them over that stretch. With the Carolina offense struggling
to do much and going on the road to one of the most hostile environments
in the league, this is simply not a great matchup for Stewart
and the running game. Still, he’s a low-end RB2 given his
usage near the goal line.
Passing
Game Thoughts: He had been red hot, but Seattle quarterback
Russell Wilson got back to his early season struggles this past
week when he had a disastrous fantasy day, throwing for just 151
yards, no touchdowns and a pair of interceptions. For the first
time this season, however, Wilson seemed to finally be getting
things going with his legs. Wilson had not rushed for even 20
yards in any game prior to Week 12, but surprisingly rushed for
80 yards against the Buccaneers in what ended up being a Seattle
loss. With Wilson struggling to get things going, only Doug Baldwin
is a viable wide receiver in the Seattle. Fortunately, he’ll
be up against a Carolina defense that hasn’t been great
against opposing receivers this season. The Panthers have given
up at least 15 receptions to the position in five of their past
six contests. The only exception over that span was Week 10 against
the Chiefs. The other player to watch in this game is tight end
Jimmy Graham who may be as good as the best overall tight end
in Week 13. The Panthers have given up the second-most fantasy
points to opposing tight ends this season and Graham has been
a great fantasy tight end even in tough matchups this season.
CAR FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.7
CAR FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.29
CAR FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.11
CAR FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.3
Running Game Thoughts: With C.J. Prosise out for the remainder
of the season, fantasy owners got their first taste of the Thomas
Rawls show with the youngster being the feature back in Seattle.
Unfortunately, the results were not anywhere near what we saw
when Rawls was among the best fantasy running backs toward the
end of the 2015 season. Rawls rushed for just 38 yards on 12 carries
against a beatable Buccaneers defense this past week. The entire
Seattle offense was off in that game so it might just be an aberration,
but it was the second straight game in which Rawls has failed
to rush for even 60 yards. This trend is definitely not a good
thing as heads into an extremely difficult matchup against a Carolina
defense that has given up the second-fewest fantasy points to
opposing running backs so far this season. The Panthers have only
given up 80 or more rushing yards to opposing backs in three games
this season and they’ve only given up two total rushing
touchdowns to the position over their past 10 games. No one else
is really touching the ball in the Seattle backfield which does
give Rawls a respectable floor, but his upside is also quite limited
in this game. Feel free to roll him out as a low-end RB2 in standard
formats, but he’s more of a Flex in PPR formats.