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Favorites & Fades


Week 3

By: Gravy Collins | Ken Ilchuk | Nick Caron | HC Green
Updated: 9/25/22

Thursday:

PIT @ CLE


Sunday Early:

DET @ MIN | BAL @ NE | NO @ CAR | HOU @ CHI

KC @ IND | PHI @ WAS | BUF @ MIA | CIN @ NYJ | LV @ TEN


Sunday Late:

JAX @ LAC | ATL @ SEA | LAR @ ARI | GB @ TB

SF @ DEN


Monday:

DAL @ NYG

Notes:
- Green highlight indicates plus matchup (top eight)
- Red highlight indicates negative matchup (bottom eight)
- Lines and totals updated Sunday morning

Steelers @ Browns - (Green)
Line: CLE -4.0
Total: 38.5

CLE FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.6
CLE FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.19
CLE FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.7
CLE FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.19

No Brainers: RB Najee Harris, WR Diontae Johnson, TE Pat Freiermuth

Favorite: N/A

On the Fence: WR George Pickens

Pickens got a lot of hype during the preseason, but the rookie has done little through two games, managing just one reception for 23 yards in Week 3. Could the winds of change be blowing, though? Mitch Trubisky indicated he wanted to push the ball down the field more often in the wake of their loss to New England, and he singled out Pickens as someone that could get more looks. Mike Tomlin has preached patience, but Trubisky is acutely aware that Kenny Pickett is waiting in the wings. Playing Pickens would be a roll of the dice to be sure but given how much Cleveland struggled to cover the Jets itís a risk that carries upside.

Fade: WR Chase Claypool

While Claypool continues to log a lot of snaps, his receptions arenít going anywhere with eight grabs covering a paltry 44 yards (5.5 YPR). He gained 36 yards on the ground in Week 1 to make up for it, but last Sunday he didnít have a carry. The Steelersí passing game isnít currently doing enough to support two viable fantasy wideouts, much less three, so itís a leap of faith to play anyone beyond Johnson. This Thursday Iím thinking a changeup might be in order, hence Pickens ahead of Claypool.

PIT FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.13
PIT FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.11
PIT FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.4
PIT FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.27

No Brainers: RB Nick Chubb, RB Kareem Hunt

Favorite: WR Amari Cooper

In Week 1, JaíMarr Chase logged 10 receptions, 129 yards, and a TD against Pittsburgh. This past Sunday it was Nelson Agholor posting a 6-110-1 line. After a quiet Browns debut, Cooper caught nine passes for 102 yards and a score in Week 2. In the process he more than doubled anyone else on the team in both receptions and yards, and he had the lone passing TD from Jacoby Brissett. Cooper would make a solid WR3 on Thursday Night Football and might even push into WR2 territory.

On the Fence: N/A

Fade: TE David Njoku

Two weeks in and we still haven’t seen any sign of the expanded receiving role that many projected for Njoku when he inked a massive contract to stay in Cleveland. Don’t bet on that changing in Week 3, either, after the Steelers held New England’s tight end combo of Hunter Henry and Jonnu Smith to zero catches on four targets in Week 2. Even with the tight end position in general being down thus far in fantasy, Njoku doesn’t belong in your starting lineup this week.

Prediction: Browns 20, Steelers 16 ^ Top

Lions @ Vikings - (Green)
Line: MIN -6.0
Total: 53.0

MIN FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.10
MIN FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.15
MIN FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.14
MIN FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.11

No Brainers: RB DíAndre Swift, WR Amon-Ra St. Brown, TE T.J. Hockenson

Favorite: RB Jamaal Williams

Even with Swift (ankle) dinged up, Williams played just 21 snaps to Swiftís 31 this past Sunday. In terms of usage, however, the former Packer compiled 13 total touches to seven for Swift. With Detroitís stud back not practicing on Wednesday, we could be looking at another week where the team leans more heavily on Williams, though Dan Campbell did indicate that Swift was feeling better this week than last. The Vikings have struggled against the run through two games, allowing 137 per outing and 5.3 per carry. That gives Williams flex value.

On the Fence: QB Jared Goff

Itís been years since Goff was a consistent source of fantasy value, and while he hasnít been airtight this season, he did throw for four touchdowns last Sunday. As it happens, it was Goffís best performance since he last faced this weekís opponent, having passed for 296 yards and three TDs last December when the Lions picked up their first win of the 2021 season. That, combined with Minnesotaís inability to defend Jalen Hurts on Monday night, makes Goff a viable QB1. Still, would it shock anyone if he fell flat?

Fade: N/A

DET FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.4
DET FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.1
DET FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.8
DET FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.13

No Brainers: RB Dalvin Cook, WR Justin Jefferson

Favorite: QB Kirk Cousins

After a strong opener, Cousins was abysmal in primetime (a phenomenon weíve seen more than once during his career). The Eagles applied steady pressure and the veteran tossed three interceptions -- and there were almost others, too. Detroit had its issues with Carson Wentz last Sunday, and theyíre unlikely to be able to apply that same kind of heat on Cousins, who threw for 340 yards and a pair of TDs in that December loss to the Lions. Look for Cousins to bounce back in Week 3 and carry top-10 value.

On the Fence: WR Adam Thielen

Thielen actually led the Vikings in receiving in Week 3, hauling in four passes for 52 yards, though most of that seemed to come in garbage time with the Eagles playing soft coverage. The 32-year-old did little in two meetings with Detroit a season ago, managing just three catches for 40 yards combined. Despite his struggles, Thielen could be rolled out as a WR3 given the state of the Lionsí pass defense. Only five teams have allowed more passing yards than Detroit, which has had three WRs go for at least 75 yards in a game already.

Fade: TE Irv Smith

Shut out in Week 1, Smith was on the receiving end of Minnesotaís lone touchdown on Monday night, finishing with a 5-36-1 line. He also had a critical drop, however, of what likely wouldíve been a long TD. While the Lions did allow Commanders TE Logan Thomas to score in Week 2, Smith, who has only played 43 percent of the snaps to date, hasnít shown enough to be inserted into your fantasy lineup this Sunday.

Prediction: Vikings 30, Lions 24 ^ Top

Ravens @ Patriots - (Caron)
Line: BAL -2.5
Total: 44.5

NE FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.26
NE FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.24
NE FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.19
NE FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.23

No Brainers: QB Lamar Jackson, TE Mark Andrews

Favorite: WR Rashod Bateman

The volume hasnít quite been there yet for Bateman to truly be considered a ďno-brainer,Ē but so far through two games as the Ravensí top wide receiver option, Bateman appears to be filling the shoes left by Marquise Brown. Bateman has scored long touchdowns in each of his two games so far and his 12 targets are double what any other wide receiver in Baltimore has seen. Bateman has a matchup this week against a solid Patriots defense, but they struggled to contain Jaylen Waddle and Tyreek Hill in Week 1, so a fellow field-stretcher like Bateman looks like a good bet to produce for fantasy this week.

On the Fence: J.K. Dobbins

Dobbins continues to practice in full this week and while there are no guarantees that heíll suit up, it seems likely that heíll return to his role as the teamís top running back right away. The other backs in Baltimore havenít done anything to separate themselves and Dobbins is by far the most talented of the bunch. Heíll almost certainly still be splitting touches even when he does return, but this is an offense that excels at running the ball, so heís not a bad Flex option in deep leagues if he is active.

Fade: RB Kenyan Drake, RB Mike Davis, RB Justice Hill

Whether Dobbins is active or not, the rest of the Baltimore backfield looks every bit like the committee disaster that we expected it to be in his absence. Drake somewhat surprisingly dominated the running back snaps in Week 1 and just when we were ready to consider him a potential fantasy contributor, he suddenly fell to third on the team in running back snaps behind both Mike Davis and Justice Hill. This was despite the Ravens leading by multiple scores throughout most of the contest, so there isnít even a game script excuse. This is just a situation to avoid altogether, if possible, especially if Dobbins is back.

BAL FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.1
BAL FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.14
BAL FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.1
BAL FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.8

No Brainers: N/A

Favorite: WR Jakobi Meyers

The Patriots have scored just 24 points through two games, so thereís not much to be excited about in this offense, but one player who continues to be slept on for fantasy purposes is wide receiver Jakobi Meyers. Meyers quietly continues to operate as New Englandís top wide receiver option and heís now seen nearly a 30 percent target share through two games. He hasnít scored a touchdown yet so his numbers are a bit deflated, but Meyers has two double-digit fantasy games already and looks in line for a potential smash day against a Baltimore defense that was horrendous against the Dolphins wide receivers in Week 2.

On the Fence: QB Mac Jones

Baltimore has allowed the most fantasy points to opposing QBs so far, including a six-touchdown day to Tua Tagovailoa this past week, so if thereís any opponent that can get this Patriots offense moving in the right direction, it might just be the Ravens. Mac Jones has obviously been disappointing so far, but this is almost certainly a game where heíll need to sling the ball early and often in order to stay close on the scoreboard. Look for him to surpass 40 pass attempts for the first time this season and that should make him a borderline starter against this bad Baltimore secondary.

Fade: TE Hunter Henry

Henry was many fantasy managersí safety valve during draft season as he has been an excellent source of touchdowns during his time in New England, but thus far things couldnít be much worse for him. Not only has he been targeted just four times through two games, but Henry has also actually been out-targeted and out-produced by fellow tight end Jonnu Smith. While this looks like a potentially nice day for the Patriots' passing game as a whole, there are probably better fantasy options on your waiver wire who are at least being utilized by their teams in the passing game.

Prediction: Ravens 27, Patriots 17 ^ Top

Saints @ Panthers - (Ilchuk)
Line: NO -2.5
Total: 41.0

CAR FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.29
CAR FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.10
CAR FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.30
CAR FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.20

No Brainers: WR Michael Thomas

Favorite: WR Jarvis Landry

Landry came back to earth in Week 2 with four catches for just 25 yards after a breakout performance in Week 1. After watching QB Jameis Winston throw three picks and recklessly heave ill-advised pass after ill-advised pass downfield against the Bucs, I expect HC Dennis Allen to reel in his QB in Carolina this week. Allen is a defensive guy, and defensive guys break out in hives when the ball starts flying all over the place on offense. Look for more ball control and more quick read stuff from Winston, which will put Landry and Michael Thomas in rebound territory. Landry is a solid WR3 with some back-end WR2 potential this week, especially if RB Alvin Kamara is limited at all.

On the Fence: RB Alvin Kamara

Rib injuries are tricky and really painful. Every slight movement, every twist, every breath has pain potential attached to it. Then you throw in football contact and the potential for re-injury and itís not hard to envision a scenario where, even if he plays this week, he could be limited. Heís a flex option for me this week until I know heís really ready to go.

Fade: WR Chris Olave

Olave is talented as a player and gifted as an athlete, but I just canít see the Saints targeting him 13 times a game as they did last week. With Winston still getting up to speed after his ACL tear last season, and now dealing with back and ankle injuries, itís clear heís not ready to play his best. The Saints coaching staff needs to protect him Ė from defensive pressure and himself Ė and go back to the short and intermediate passing game, which is going to limit Olaveís opportunities as the deep threat in this offense.

NO FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.20
NO FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.23
NO FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.20
NO FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.28

No Brainers: RB Christian McCaffrey

Favorite: WR Terrace Marshall Jr.

HC Matt Rhule said Marshall is coming off his best week of practice. The uptick in performance coincides with fellow WR Shi Smithís groin injury. That could mean some WR3 action for Marshall. It was college, but he excelled out of the slot at LSU, and with a stout Saints defense coming to town with plans to shut down WRís D.J. Moore and Robbie Anderson, there could be some favorable matchups for Marshall, particularly on 3rd down. Heís a sneaky flex option this week.

On the Fence: WR D.J. Moore

Moore has been a 1,000-yard receiver each of the last three seasons despite some pretty uneven QB play in Carolina. Unfortunately, even by Panthersí standards this passing attack is faltering. Moore is the best receiver on the team, and QB Baker Mayfieldís arrival was supposed to be a boon for Mooreís fantasy value, but it hasnít shaken out that way. Until this offense gets on track, he no more than a low-ed WR2.

Fade: WR Robbie Anderson

Mayfield has completed just 53% of his passes through three games at a clip of just 6.8 yards per attempt. Thatís not the stuff explosive passing attacks are made of, and itís certainly not a formula for success for a receiver whose job it is to take the top off a defense. Andersonís value is linked to his ability to make plays downfield and thatís just not happening on a consistent basis right now.

Prediction: Saints 18, Panthers 13 ^ Top

Texans @ Bears - (Green)
Line: CHI -3.0
Total: 39.0

CHI FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.23
CHI FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.13
CHI FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.13
CHI FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.30

No Brainers: WR Brandin Cooks

Favorite: RB Dameon Pierce

Watching the Packers run around and through the Bears defense on Sunday night one can only wonder what the 49ers mightíve done in Week 1 had: a) the field conditions not been atrocious, and b) Elijah Mitchell not suffered a knee injury. Chicago had no answer for Aaron Jones, both as a runner or receiver, and Pierce should get plenty of opportunities after running for 69 yards on 15 carries in Week 2. You can consider plugging the rookie in as a low-end RB2 or strong RB3.

On the Fence: RB Rex Burkhead

After logging 19 combined touches and 70 total yards in the opener, Burkhead didnít have a carry against the Broncos this past Sunday and finished with just two grabs for nine yards. If the Texans want to copy Green Bayís attack they could plug the veteran into the AJ Dillon role, sending him primarily between the tackles to wear down the Bearsí interior. Itís a risky play, but Burkhead might offer flex value.

Fade: N/A

HOU FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.19
HOU FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.6
HOU FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.10
HOU FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.18

No Brainers: RB David Montgomery

Favorite: N/A

On the Fence: RB Khalil Herbert

Through two games, Herbert is averaging 6.4 yards per carry. Heís not seeing anywhere near the volume of snaps as Montgomery, who has played 99 to Herbertís 24, but the Bears need something offensively. The Broncos found some success against Houston by running the tandem of Javonte Williams (15-75-0) and Melvin Gordon (10-47-0), so perhaps this is the week Herbert gets more opportunities. You could roll him out in a flex slot if youíre in need.

Fade: QB Justin Fields, WR Darnell Mooney, TE Cole Kmet

Itís hard to even make sense of Chicagoís passing attack right now. In Week 1 it was easy to chalk it up to bad weather. This past Sunday night, however, the conditions were just fine, and the Bears only attempted 11 passes. Their lone gain of more than 20 yards came off a flea flicker, and even in limited drop backs Fields was sacked three times and tossed an interception. With the passing game going nowhere, Mooney and Kmet have been nonfactors with the tight end having yet to record a catch in 2022. Itís not that all three of them donít have talent and some level of weekly upside, but right now the smart move is to stay clear of the lot until the Bears join the 21st century offensively.

Prediction: Bears 19, Texans 17 ^ Top

Chiefs @ Colts - (Ilchuk)
Line: KC -5.5
Total: 51.0

IND FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.18
IND FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.18
IND FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.23
IND FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.6

No Brainers: QB Patrick Mahomes, TE Travis Kelce

Favorite: RB Jerick McKinnon

Against a Colts defense that is allowing just 2.7 yards per rush through two games, I expect the Chiefs to use their backs out of the backfield as receivers in the short passing game. That fits more of what HC Andy Reid wants to do anyway, and it should put McKinnon in line for a more significant work load this week. Clyde Edwards-Helaire has split the touches in the passing game with McKinnon, but the latter has been a main target in the red zone outside of TE Travis Kelce.

On the Fence: WR JuJu Smith-Schuster

Despite the opportunity to do so, Smith-Schuster has failed to establish himself as the clear WR1 on this team. He is second on the team to Kelce with 11 targets through two games, and he averaged over 13 yards per catch in Week 1. However, a good Chargers defense shut him down in Week 2, and the Colts defense is another good unit. That being said, Mahomes will go to the air, and Smith-Schuster has as good a chance as any to be the top dog this week.

Fade: RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire

CEH is averaging a ridiculous 7.7 yards per rush and 10.9 yards per reception. But through two games he has just 22 total touches. Thatís not enough volume to make him fantasy relevant, and a solid Colts defense will be keying on him. I think Iím looking elsewhere for my RB2 this week.

KC FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.9
KC FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.2
KC FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.9
KC FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.16

No Brainers: RB Jonathan Taylor

Favorite: RB Nyheim Hines

Hines is third on the team in targets and leads the Colts with 10 receptions and 8.7 yards per catch. With WRís Michael Pittman and Alec Pierce in questionable health, and KC allowing just 3.9 yards per carry and stacking the box against RB Jonathan Taylor, Hines could be a top target for an offense that could have to throw the ball 40 times this week. His ability to align in the slot or in the backfield gives him enough versatility to contribute significant value in Week 3.

On the Fence: WR Michael Pittman Jr.

Pittman opened the season with an impressive nine catches for 121 yards. But then he was sidelined by injury in Week 2. He figures to draw some tough matchups with this Chiefs secondary this week, and Matt Ryan has been spreading the ball around, even to the other team four times in the past two weeks. He could step right back into the leading role, or he could disappoint.

Fade: QB Matt Ryan

Speaking of disappointing, Ryan has been that. He threw three interceptions against a bad Jaguars team last week and is completing just 60% in a highly friendly system for QBís over the last two weeks. Now, in comes a Kansas City defense that is allowing less than 6.0 yards per attempt and can take the ball away. Ryan is barely bringing QB2 value in this one.

Prediction: Chiefs 23, Colts 13 ^ Top

Eagles @ Commanders - (Caron)
Line: PHI -6.5
Total: 47.5

WAS FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.12
WAS FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.4
WAS FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.6
WAS FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.22

No Brainers: QB Jalen Hurts, WR A.J. Brown, TE Dallas Goedert

Favorite: RB Miles Sanders

After a couple of years of frustrating usage, we might finally be seeing Miles Sanders emerge as a strong fantasy option here in 2022. While Sanders still only played just over 50 percent of the teamís running back snaps in Week 2, he completely dominated the backfield touches for the second week in a row. His usage in the passing game continues to fluctuate, but Sanders is the clear RB1 in this committee and heís now touched the ball 35 times through two games while producing nearly six yards per carry. Look for that to continue this week against a Commanders defense that has been beaten up by opposing running backs so far this season.

On the Fence: WR DeVonta Smith

The Eagles made it a point to get Smith involved in Week 2 after he dropped a donut on fantasy managers in Week 1, as he caught all seven of the passes that came his way for 80 yards in the Eaglesí blowout win over the Vikings on Monday night. Smith now faces a Commanders defense that has struggled against opposing passing games so far this season, although theyíve really only been truly beaten up by opposing teamsí WR1s. With Smith solidly behind A.J. Brown in the pecking order, look for him to have a solid, albeit not huge fantasy day.

Fade: RB Kenneth Gainwell, RB Boston Scott

The Eagles backfield is very much a committee, but things are beginning to lean more in Sandersí direction after Week 2. Kenneth Gainwell didnít help his case, either, as he dropped a pass that led to a fourth-quarter interception against the Vikings. Thankfully the game was already well in-hand at that point so coaches might overlook it, but both he and Scott are far behind Sanders in snaps and touches right now and they would need a goal-line touchdown to have any fantasy value.

PHI FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.22
PHI FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.7
PHI FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.17
PHI FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.7

No Brainers: QB Carson Wentz, WR Terry McLaurin

Favorite: WR Curtis Samuel

Samuelís surprising Week 1 performance became even more interesting as he followed it up with another big game in Week 2. Samuel now leads the Commanders in receptions (15), and targets (20), and is tied for the team lead in receiving yards (133) as he currently ranks as a fantasy WR1 through two games. Obviously, we canít expect this type of usage to continue, but even if it takes a step back, Samuel remains an interesting option for fantasy purposes. Washington is clearly drawing up plays specifically to get him the ball and heís even getting carries, so thereís a decent chance that he remains a weekly fantasy starter for the foreseeable future.

On the Fence: RB Antonio Gibson

Gibson has given fantasy managers two usable weeks, but the Week 2 performance leaves much more to be worried about than we had coming out of Week 1. Gibson gained just 28 yards on the ground on 12 carries while catching two passes for 13 yards, but he saved his fantasy day against the Lions by scoring a touchdown. His lack of usage in the passing game should be concerning for fantasy managers and while heís still probably a starter in most leagues, donít be surprised if he falls back to being a frustrating player to own, starting this week against an Eagles defense that looked lights-out against Minnesota.

Fade: WR Jahan Dotson

Fading a player whoís scored three touchdowns through his first two professional games sounds crazy on the surface and certainly there are plenty of situations where he should still be in fantasy lineups, but the peripheral numbers for Dotson are a bit concerning for this week. Dotson has caught just seven passes so far this season, three of which went for touchdowns, which is clearly an unsustainable rate, but heís also been targeted just 10 times thus far. With Washington leaning so heavily on Curtis Samuel and Terry McLaurin, there just arenít many opportunities to go around for Dotson. He may get into the end zone again this week, but if he doesnít, thereís a pretty good chance that he duds in this one against an Eagles defense that completely locked up the Vikingsí wide receivers this past week.

Prediction: Eagles 31, Commanders 23 ^ Top

Bills @ Dolphins - (Caron)
Line: BUF -4.5
Total: 54.0

MIA FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.2
MIA FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.29
MIA FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.26
MIA FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.2

No Brainers: QB Josh Allen, WR Stefon Diggs

Favorite: WR Gabriel Davis

Gabe Davis put fantasy managers in a bind this past week when he missed the Billsí game against the Titans. While Buffalo won anyway, we got some usable fantasy information in his absence as it was veteran Jake Kumerow who started in Davisí place on the outside, opposite Stefon Diggs, while both Isaiah McKenzie and Jamison Crowder continued to play almost exclusively out of the slot. Thereís no question that the team views Davis as the second option in their passing game. Davis has practiced early this week so itís looking good that heíll be back on the field on Sunday against the Dolphins. Field-stretching wide receiver Rashod Bateman went for 108 yards and a touchdown against Miami in Week 2 and Davis should be in line for plenty of work down the field if heís able to go.

On the Fence: TE Dawson Knox

A foot injury kept tight end Knox on the sidelines during practice on Wednesday and heís currently listed as questionable heading into Sundayís contest. In Week 2, Knox did see increased volume from his Week 1 dud but still was only targeted four times in a game where Gabe Davis sat out, which leaves open some serious concerns that he is purely a touchdown-or-bust type of tight end. Sure, most non-elite tight ends essentially are touchdown-or-bust, but Knox looks to be even more dependent on a score to be useful for fantasy. Thankfully this is a game that could end up being a shootout and that would likely mean more passes coming Knoxís way.

Fade: RB Devin Singletary

While Devin Singletary is still operating as his teamís RB1, the Bills are telling us with their actions that this is a full-blown committee backfield on a team that runs the ball at one of the lowest rates in the league. To make matters worse, that trend continued even when the Bills got out to a huge lead against the Titans in Week 2. With Singletary seeing just under 10 percent of his teamís targets through two games, itís hard to justify putting Singletary in fantasy lineups right now. The volume just isnít there.

BUF FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.32
BUF FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.30
BUF FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.24
BUF FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.25

No Brainers: WR Tyreek Hill, WR Jaylen Waddle

Favorite: QB Tua Tagovailoa

Week 2 might just have been Tua Tagovailoaís coming out party as not only an NFL quarterback, but also a viable weekly fantasy asset. He threw for a whopping 469 yards and six touchdowns in the come-from-behind victory over the Ravens, primarily making use of speedster wide receivers Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle to torch the Ravensí secondary. This week he faces a Buffalo defense that has been excellent against opposing quarterbacks, but this is a much different-looking Dolphins team than in years past and head coach Mike McDaniel has found a way to get his receivers open at a higher rate than any team in the league so far. Donít expect another huge game from Tua, but there are quite a few fantasy QBs who were drafted ahead of Tua that should be on the bench in favor of him this week.

On the Fence: RB Raheem Mostert

The Dolphins' backfield is likely to be annoying for fantasy this season, but we got an interesting glimpse into what might happen when the team falls behind on the scoreboard. Most fantasy analysts believed that Chase Edmonds would be almost exclusively on the field if the Dolphins fell behind in games, due to his pass-catching expertise, but it was Raheem Mostert who actually out-snapped and out-touched Edmonds despite the fact that the Dolphins were behind by 21 points at half-time. Mostertís 10.9 fantasy point performance was not anything special, but his usage is interesting and heís a player whoís certainly on the rise, even against a very good Buffalo defense.

Fade: TE Mike Gesicki

The tight end position has been a dumpster fire throughout the league so far so itís easy to get caught up in impressive individual plays and allow them to cloud your judgment on players. One of those players is Mike Gesicki. Gesicki made one of the most athletic catches youíll see all year when he scored his first touchdown of the season against the Ravens. With that said, heís still actually second on his team this season in snaps at the tight end position, behind Durham Smythe. The problem is that Gesicki is a notoriously poor blocker and the Mike McDaniel offense prioritizes that out of its tight end position, so it leaves him watching from the sidelines in a lot of situations. Until his usage increases, we should be fading Gesicki for fantasy purposes and not chasing fluky touchdowns.

Prediction: Bills 33, Dolphins 24 ^ Top

Bengals @ Jets - (Caron)
Line: CIN -6.0
Total: 45.0

NYJ FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.14
NYJ FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.8
NYJ FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.18
NYJ FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.14

No Brainers: RB Joe Mixon, WR JaíMarr Chase

Favorite: WR Tee Higgins

After leaving Week 1 with a concussion, Higgins bounced back in nice fashion in Week 2, catching six passes for 71 yards and a touchdown on a team-leading 10 targets against the Cowboys. While Chase is still the alpha in this passing game, Higgins has not fallen so far behind that he canít be considered a strong fantasy option. The Jets have already given up quality fantasy days to Rashod Bateman, Devin Duvernay and Amari Cooper and thereís no reason to think that Higgins wonít again see a heavy target share in this game.

On the Fence: TE Hayden Hurst

Thereís no question that Chase and Higgins are the top two pass catchers for the Bengals, but if youíre looking for a sneaky third option, tight end Hayden Hurst is interesting. Hurst has already been targeted 15 times this season, catching 10 of those passes. While heís only accumulated 70 yards and hasnít scored a touchdown yet, his usage makes him interesting at a position that lacks much consistency as it is. The Jets did contain Mark Andrews to just five catches for 52 yards, but that was partially because Rashod Bateman and Devin Duvernay combined for three touchdown receptions and the game was over relatively early. Hurst is a decent low-end TE1 option this week.

Fade: QB Joe Burrow

While weíre confident that Chase and Higgins will deliver usable fantasy numbers, the likelihood of a shootout in this game does not seem strong. The Bengals have benefited from playing against some pretty bad quarterbacks so far, but theyíve only allowed two total passing touchdowns and their Week 3 opponent is Joe Flacco, so this could end up being a blowout in their favor. The Bengals are five-point road favorites, and thereís a decent chance that this will become the first big Joe Mixon game of 2022. Burrow wonít likely give you an awful fantasy day, but there might be better options available that is more likely to shoot out.

CIN FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.27
CIN FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.22
CIN FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.27
CIN FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.17

No Brainers: N/A

Favorite: WR Garrett Wilson

Wilson broke out this past week, catching eight passes for 102 yards and two touchdowns in the Jetsí victory over the Browns. He has now out-targeted Elijah Moore by 10 and Corey Davis by eight through two games and it is becoming clear that heís Joe Flaccoís favorite weapon in the passing game. The Bengals have been excellent against opposing wide receivers so far this season, but theyíve also faced Mitchell Trubisky and Cooper Rush, so there might not be a ton to take from that. Flacco really isnít much better than those players, but at least heís shown a strong connection with Wilson and this could be another game where the Jets need to pass to keep things close.

On the Fence: RB Michael Carter

Carter is splitting carries almost equally with rookie Breece Hall, but whatís important is that heís seeing more work in the passing game. The Jets could fall behind in this one, which might lead to a game script similar to Week 1 which saw Carter catch seven passes. Heís potentially usable, but only in PPR formats.

Fade: RB Breece Hall

The rookie scored a receiving touchdown on his only target in Week 2 but otherwise had a weak fantasy output with only seven total rush attempts. The Jets just arenít a good enough offense that two running backs can be useful weekly fantasy options. Itís worth noting that Hall did catch six passes in the Jetsí Week 1 loss to the Ravens and that he might again see work in the passing game, but heís playing behind Carter in those situations so his opportunities will be limited.

Prediction: Bengals 24, Jets 20 ^ Top

Raiders @ Titans - (Ilchuk)
Line: LV -2.0
Total: 45.0

TEN FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.7
TEN FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.17
TEN FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.5
TEN FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.9

No Brainers: QB Derek Carr, WR Davante Adams, TE Darren Waller

Favorite: RB Josh Jacobs

Jacobs is averaging almost 4.5 yards per carry this season, yet still seems like the forgotten step child in this offense, averaging less than 15 carries a game. However, this week the Raiders face a Tennessee team that is yielding an uncharacteristic 6.0 yards per rush, among the worst in the NFL. Even in this ďBradyĒ offense that lives on the short passing game over the run, it makes sense to exploit that. Look for Jacobs to get a little bigger load carrying the mail, and with Brandon Bolden and Ameer Abdullah injured and/or ineffective, Jacobs could stay on the field on 3rd down. Heís shown some receiving chops with two catches for 28 yards this season.

On the Fence: WR Mack Hollins

Hunter Renfrow is feeling the effects of Isaiah Simmonsí hit at the end of last weekís game against the Cardinals and is still not practicing. He seems headed for the inactive list this week, which would elevate Hollins to WR2 status. Heís actually coming off a game in which he led the Raiders in receiving with seven catches on eight targets. But while he has been on the field and running a high percentage of routes, it still feels like any additional targets created by Renfrowís absence will going first to Davante Adams and Darren Waller. I donít expect more than a slight uptick for Hollins, but as he showed last week, he could surprise.

Fade: All RBís NOT Named Josh Jacobs

Brandon Bolden was supposed to be HC Josh McDanielsí answer for the ďJames White RoleĒ in this offense. But he produced minimally in Week 1 before going down with a hamstring injury. Ameer Abdullah would seem to be next in line, but despite being active in both games, he has just one reception and two targets. Zamir White had a strong showing in the preseason after a stellar career at Georgia, but he too has been limited to a single carry. This looks like a one-pony show in the run game.

LV FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.8
LV FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.3
LV FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.16
LV FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.4

No Brainers: N/A

Favorite: RB Derrick Henry

HC Mike Vrabel said after this weekís blowout loss to the Bills that his team would get back to work, back to basics, and try to go win a football game. Thatís coachspeak for, ďweíre going to be physical, and weíre going to run the ball down their throats.Ē Henry is due for a breakout game after a slow start, and the Raiders will stack the box with eight and nine defenders until QB Ryan Tannehill and company get back on track. But look for Vrabel to stay committed to the run and his marquee back. Henry is their best player. If they are going to get right, itís going to be on his back.

On the Fence: TE Austin Hooper

In 2018 and 2019 with the Falcons, Hooper posted over 70 catches per season, averaged nearly 10 yards per catch and recorded 10 TDs in that span. The guy is an athletic seam-stretcher who can catch and run. He split time with David Njoku for two years in Cleveland, but this guy can play. Despite that, he has just two catches on seven targets through two games. With QB Ryan Tannehill playing panicked behind a banged up and ineffective o-line, Hooper is the guy who can provide an outlet against a Raiders pass rush that can be dangerous. Hooper is also the guy who can pull a safety out of the tackle box and free up running room for Henry with his ability to run the seam, but he needs to be given a chance.

Fade: QB Ryan Tannehill

Tannehill is now 0-2 and coming off a terrible performance against the Bills. It appears he has lost his franchise left tackle Taylor Lewan for the season, and the rest of the o-line has been inconsistent at best. Job one this week is going to be to run the ball and Tannehill wonít be asked to be anything more than a game manager. Thatís the best plan this week against a Raiders defense that hasnít gotten to the QB yet this season, but will apply constant pressure on the pocket, which has been Tannehillís weakness.

Prediction: Raiders 23, Titans 18 ^ Top

Jaguars @ Chargers - (Collins)
Line: LAC -3.0
Total: 42.5



LAC FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.16
LAC FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.16
LAC FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.21
LAC FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.12

No Brainers: None

Favorite: WR Christian Kirk

More time was spent this offseason talking about Kirkís contract than his actual talent on the field. He and the Jaguars have used the first two games to justify that money. Kirk is averaging 9 targets a game, 21.3 FPts/G and scored twice on Sunday. So far so good! The money-where-your-mouth-is moment might be this weekend. The Chargers have only allowed 122 yards and 1 TD to WRs in the first two games, so be warned. He is emerging as their number one, so expect him to cash in this week.

On the Fence: QB Trevor Lawrence

Is this the point when Lawrence turns the corner? Or does this only happen when the Jags play the Colts? I guess we will have to wait for Week 6 to test that theory. Lawrence has averaged 16 FPts/G this season and is trending in the right direction as his QB rating jumped from 75 to 121.6 between week 1 and 2. The positives are there, but the fence-sitting is related to the Chargers defense, which allowed only 17.3 points to Patrick Mahomes last Thursday. Lawrence is getting there, but this isnít the week for him to make the leap.

Fade: RB Travis Etienne

Pre-season speculation had Etienne as the third-down receiving back who could also steal some carries from an ďailingĒ James Robinson. The speculation was just that and now those who spent an early draft pick on Etienne are the ones who are feeling lousy. Robinson hasnít missed a beat and has secured lead back status. He is averaging 17.9 FPts/G to Etienneís 8.4. The 25-12 touch disparity this past Sunday should let us know where this ďcompetitionĒ stands. Play Robinson, sit Etienne and try not to play the ďI passed on who?Ē draft day game with yourself.



JAC FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.15
JAC FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.20
JAC FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.11
JAC FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.21

No Brainers: (A flak jacket for) QB Justin Herbert

Favorite: WR Mike Williams

If Keenan Allen (hamstring) is out again, Williams should garner the bulk of the targets. He was the center of attention Thursday night, as he saw ten targets and cashed in with an 8-113-1 stat line en route to 25.3 points. He hopefully will be ready for action as the Jags have given up 4 TDs already this season to WRs, sixth most in the league. Even if Allen returns, Williams has come back to life and to say he will be a factor the rest of the year isnít a stretch.

On the Fence: RB Austin Ekeler

When Ekeler said he wouldnít be a fantasy star this offseason, we should have listened. He hasnít found the endzone yet this year, which is ok, slow starts happen to everyone. But against KC he wasnít even getting his chances. He only handled 58% of the rushes to the tune of 14 for 39 yards. He did rally in the 4th quarter and finished with nine catches for 55 yards. But 14.8 FPts/G isnít what players signed up for by taking him in the first round. The match-up against Jacksonville is a mixed bag. The Jags have not allowed a TD to an RB yet this year. They rank seventh in yards allowed (117 yards total) against RBs but in yards receiving (138 yards) they are dead last. Ekeler has to show-out in this one or the sheer volume of panic trades/offers early next week might break the internet.

Fade: Josh Palmer, DeAndre Carter

With Allen out, it was good seeing Williams step up, but did anyone else use this chance to their advantage? Josh Palmer (4-30-1) had the best day, seeing the most targets with 8. DeAndre Carter (3-55) caught all targets thrown his way. The Jags allow 35.9 FPts/G which is 19th, which will leave room for one of these two to fill the void. Palmer should be on your roster, but I would stay away from starting either of them until someone claims the spot for their own.

Prediction: Chargers 27, Jaguars 21 ^ Top

Falcons @ Seahawks - (Collins)
Line: SEA -1.0
Total: 42.0

SEA FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.17
SEA FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.9
SEA FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.25
SEA FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.10

No Brainers: That Arthur Smith is already angry at your question.

Favorite: WR Drake London

London calling! I assume he is calling to let us know he has arrived, but we get it, we saw the game Sunday. The rookie did not look like one against the Rams, leading the team with 12 targets, 8 snags for 86 yards and a TD reception. The game plan has been to move the ball around and London has been enjoying the spread. He sits 15th in the league in targets and is averaging a robust 18.5 FPts/G. Seattle is 8th in the league allowing 30.7 points to WRs, but London looks like the real deal and I might just be calling his shot on Sunday.

On the Fence: TE Kyle Pitts

For everyone waiting for the Pitts breakout game, could this be it? People have been spitting mad after Pittsí sputtering start. His line has been awful, four catches for 38 yards on 10 targets. Those are his season totals! The ball is being spread around, much to his chagrin. London has quickly become the center of the offense and Arthur Smith cares not for your complaints, fantasy fan. Iím not sure why pundits think Seattle is going to make it all better, they are 23rd against TEs, but where are the targets? His PFF grade was 80.3 in his high utilization rookie year, but he is dragging along with a grade of 52.1 in 2022. Smith has two impact weapons now and only seems to be using one. Iím afraid the wait continues, so take a load off.

Fade: RB Cordarrelle Patterson

Patterson looked like a maniac in the season opener against the Saints. But we might have missed the injury to fellow RB Damien Williams and how that resulted in Patterson getting the bulk of the carries in Week 1. New week, new game plan. Tyler Allgeier (10-30) split carries equally with Patterson (10-41) and Patterson saw only one target and didnít haul in a single catch. The time-share is now upon us. Seattle is 23rd against RBs, so the small portion might now have to be equally distributed. The needle is pointing up on Allgeier and down for Patterson, which Iím sure he isnít crazy about.



ATL FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.11
ATL FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.27
ATL FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.3
ATL FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.5

No Brainers: Pete Carollís eternal enthusiasm

Favorite: WR DK Metcalf

Kind of hard to get happy after your offense gets shut out. Metcalf only saw six targets for a 4-35 day. I donít pretend to understand people, but you know what always cheers up WRs? Generous pass defenses at home. The Falcons are 3rd in points allowed to WRs at 50.6 FPts/G. Plenty of meat there for several people to feast (see below). Expect plenty of targets, explosive plays and a weird shade of green you donít know or like.

On the Fence: WR Tyler Lockett

It was Lockettís day on Sunday, leading the team with 11 targets and a 9-107 stat line. That was a marked improvement after his 3-28 start to the season on Monday night. As stated above, the Falcons are very generous to the WR position and are tied for the league lead with TDs allowed (5) and are seventh in yards. The opportunity seems to be there on Sunday, but Lockett notoriously runs hot and cold. Letís hope that he and Metcalf turn up the heat and give Geno Smith a chance to thrive.

Fade: RB Rashaad Penny

If you get blanked as an offense, normally there are multiple places to look at to find the struggle. A 48.2 PFF run-blocking grade might have something to do with why Penny never getting started against SF. He could have saved time and just run into a wall, rushing six times for a whopping 15 yards. Kenneth Walker is now healthy and will also syphon off carries as well. Things donít look any better as the Falcons have been stout against runners this year, only allowing 13.9 FPts/G which is sixth best. Penny will not have it easy for a second week in a row. Letís hope this doesnít become a pattern which might lead him to start banging his head against the wall.

Prediction: Falcons 24, Seahawks 17 ^ Top

Rams @ Cardinals - (Collins)
Line: LAR -3.5
Total: 48.5



ARI FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.3
ARI FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.5
ARI FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.15
ARI FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.1

No Brainers: WR Cooper Kupp

Favorite: TE Tyler Higbee

I feel like we have to pay respect to Higbee right now as he has been quietly ascending the TE ranks. No, seriously, look at his numbers. He is the seventh leading scorer and leads all TEs with 20 targets. Donít we all want a TE getting 10 targets a game? Ask Kyle Pitts drafters for a profane-laced answer to that. Higbee walks into Arizona to face a Cardinals D that has allowed 29.1 FPts/G to TEs this year, dead last in the league and are also dead last in TDs allowed with three. Higbee is your low-key play this week.

On the Fence: WR Allen Robinson

Good to see Robinson get off the mat and show everyone that the reports of his demise were premature. But letís not be too quick here. Cupp (14) and Higbee (9) still dominated the targets to Robinsonís five. His stat line was solid (4-53-1) and he saw his yards per target increase from 6 to 10.6. The question remains if he is third in the pecking order at this moment, or for the remainder of the season?

Fade: RB Darrell Henderson

That was an emotional 10-day roller coaster for those rostering Henderson or Cam Akers. The by-committee approach is official now, with Akers back in the driver seat. Akers (15-44) outrushed Henderson (10-47) but Henderson did see four of the five goal line carries, which resulted in a touchdown. Akers also took over the receiving duties will three targets to zero for Henderson. He is not to be thrown away, it is just a new day and expectations need to be adjusted, so letís keep our composure here.



LAR FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.5
LAR FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.28
LAR FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.2
LAR FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.31

No Brainers: QB Kyler Murray

Favorite: WR Marquise Brown

You get the impression the Cardinals are ready for an offensive explosion and this might be the week. The Rams have surrendered the 2nd most fantasy points to receivers at 52.1 FPts/G and have also allowed the third most yards. Brown was solid against the Raiders (6-68) and tied for the team lead with 11 targets. They have been looking for him, but the connection hasnít exploded. Yet. Somebody has to get this offense going, so let Brown light that fuse!

On the Fence: TE Zach Ertz

With the Cardinals struggling to find available pass-catchers the first two weeks, Ertz seems to be thriving with the attention he has been getting. He led the team with 11 targets, 8 catches and 75 yards in the chaotic fourth quarter and OT win in Vegas. This story tracks as he is fifth overall in TE scoring and tied for seventh in targets. This will be put to the test against the Rams, who have allowed four receptions total to TEs in the first two games. Overall, LA gives up a stingy 3.45 FPts/G to the position, second best in the league. I think Ertz can bust that trend, just donít expect the numbers to come in the first three quarters. Where is the drama in that?

Fade: RB James Conner

His ankle injury places him on this list. How healthy will that ankle be? Darrel Williams (8-59-1) and Eno Benjamin (8-31) split carries in his absence with Benjamin racking up 3 catches for 20 yards. It might be moot as the Rams allow 10.7 FPts/G to RBs, the third-least in the league and is one of 11 teams that havenít surrendered a rushing TD. At full strength, I would give him a punchers chance, but in this scenario, I am throwing in the towel.

Prediction: Rams 30, Cardinals-24 ^ Top

Packers at Buccaneers - (Ilchuk)
Line: TB -1.0
Total: 42.0

TB FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.30
TB FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.31
TB FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.22
TB FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.15

No Brainers: RB Aaron Jones

Favorite: RB AJ Dillon

Dillon has actually out-carried Aaron Jones to this point, 28-20. Jones has been explosive, averaging a ridiculous 9.1 yards per carry, but Dillon continues to be the battering ram in this offense, and will be a primary red zone and goal line runner. The run game will come into play this week against a Bucs defense that is surprisingly allowing 4.5 yards per carry. Get Dillon on your roster and heíll give you some volume and scoring opportunities.

On the Fence: TE Robert Tonyan

The feel-good story of the Packers season two years ago, Tonyan came back to earth in 2021 and then suffered a torn ACL. But he has made a nice return to form over the first two weeks, actually ranking third on the team in targets. With QB Aaron Rodgers working with a re-vamped receiving corps, he has looked to Tonyan, especially in the red zone. Expect that to continue early in the season as Rodgers develops some chemistry with the new guys, but also recognize that Rodgers is trying to find ďthat guyĒ and is spreading the ball to a lot of receivers, which will put a ceiling on Tonyanís target share.

Fade: QB Aaron Rodgers

Rodgers is searching for some chemistry with a large group of new receivers and playing behind an offensive line will see the debut of left tackle David Bakhtiari. Rodgers has already been sacked 7 times on 59 pass attempts, a rate more than twice of what he took last year. That could make for a tough day against Tampaís league leading pass rush (13 sacks). Expect a run-first approach from the Pack this week, and donít be surprised if it takes a few more weeks for Aaron Rodgers to look like Aaron Rodgers again.

GB FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.24
GB FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.21
GB FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.28
GB FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.29

No Brainers: RB Leonard Fournette

Favorite: WR Russell Gage

WRís Chris Godwin (out) and Julio Jones (knee) are both battling injuries and Mike Evans is suspended as a result of his on-field fight with Marshon Lattimore last week. That leaves Gage in the ďnext man upĒ spot. This past offseason we heard a lot about the chemistry that was building between Gage and Tom Brady. Well, weíre about to find out. I expect a heavy emphasis on the run, but Gage should be the first option in the passing game this week. Heís been in this spot before in Atlanta when he took over as WR1 when the Falcons lost Jones and Calvin Ridley and he responded well.

On the Fence: WR Breshad Perriman

With so few receivers available, everyone was asked to step up last week and Perriman did with three catches for 45 yards and a touchdown. He can be explosive and has averaged over 16 yards per catch over the last four years. Again, Iím looking for a heavy dose of the run from the Bucs this week, and I donít know that Perriman is a high-volume target, but if the Packers start overplaying the run, QB Tom Brady wonít be afraid to take a couple shots over the top to Perriman.

Fade: QB Tom Brady

Brady hasn’t been bad in my mind by any stretch. I would call his early season performance a bit workman-like. I think that’s just knocking off the early season rust, and I expect it will continue for another game or two. But with most of his regular receiving corps sidelined, and the struggles this Green Bay defense has had against the run, I see a focus on the ground game this week with Brady filling in the blanks with an efficient passing attack. If you have him, you’re starting him, and if you need one, he’s probably a high end QB2 this week.

Prediction: Buccaneers 28, Packers 24 ^ Top

49ers @ Broncos - (Collins)
Line: SF -1.0
Total: 44.5



DEN FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.28
DEN FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.32
DEN FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.32
DEN FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.3

No Brainers: N/A

Favorite: WR Deebo Samuel

I wish Trey Lance a quick and healthy recovery, but if there is a silver lining, I think the change at QB should jumpstart Deeboís season. Week 1 was hard to gauge due to all the rain. Last week, he seemed get it going. He claimed a 22 percent target share, broke off a 51-yard run and snared 4 catches for 53 yards. His PFF grade jumped 23 points to 73.3 and he looked like the weapon he was last year. He will need all his tools as Denverís defensive backfield allows 28.6 FPts/G to WRs, the ninth lowest number in the league, although they might be without Patrick Surtain II. The offense will find a way to scheme him open and Jimmy G will help bring back the continuity from last year. I think he is back!

On the Fence: TE George Kittle

Everyone wants George Kittle (groin) back on the field, unless you are playing against him. Maybe Denver doesnít want him back so soon either. I can see why. They are 30th against TEs, allowing 19.8 FPts/G and surrender the fourth most receptions. If Kittle is held out again, Ross Dwelley might be a streaming option. He had one catch last week, but he turned it into a 33-yard TD. Keep an eye on the medicals for Kittle. It looks like he is creeping closer to a return.

Fade: RB Jeff Wilson

I swear Iím not a ghoul by saying injuries have helped some players, but they have. Wilson turned in a solid performance (18-84) and caught two passes for 19 yards as the lead dog Sunday. Tyrion Davis-Price did carve out a role with 14 carries, but he suffered a high ankle sprain which will sideline him for the next few weeks. Jordan Mason and Marlon Mack will now back Wilson up, so it looks like Wilson is back in business. Denver will look to shut him down, as they allow 10.2 FPts/G to RBs, the second fewest in the league. Wilson will get the attention as the number one back, if he likes it or not.



SF FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.31
SF FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.26
SF FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.29
SF FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.32

No Brainers: Jokes about time management, not about Javonte Williams

Favorite: WR Courtland Sutton

After Jerry Jeudy took the lead role in Week 1, Sutton took his star turn Sunday. He had a great line (7-122) and a 33% target share after Jeudy went down early with a rib injury. If Jeudy canít go, look for Sutton to corral the team lead in targets once again. He will earn those stats against the 49ers, who allow 27.3 FPts/G to WRs, the fourth lowest amount. Russell Wilson and the offense are looking for some consistency, and Sutton has been the only constant this year. He is the best bet through the air, so he is a must play.

On the Fence: None

Fade: WR KJ Hamler (groin)

If Jeudy is out, Hamler will continue to round back into form after a knee injury ended last season for him. He will fill the slot role and hope to have a bigger impact than he did in Week 1, where he received one target and did not record a catch. So you are saying there is some room for improvement? You hate to compare players, but Russell Wilsonís connection with Tyler Lockett should give Hamler some optimism. SF is stingy against WRs, and have only given up 18 catches to them all year, tied for the fewest in the league. You can be optimistic, but also be realistic and let him pass this week.

Prediction: 49ers 31, Broncos 27 ^ Top

Cowboys @ Giants - (Caron)
Line: NYG -0.5
Total: 39.0

NYG FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.21
NYG FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.12
NYG FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.31
NYG FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.24

No Brainers: N/A

Favorite: WR CeeDee Lamb

The Cowboys might not be completely dead quite yet, but thereís really only one player in this offense who fantasy managers can have any real confidence in right now and thatís wide receiver CeeDee Lamb. Yes, his 4.9-point performance against the Bucs in Week 1 was a disaster, but the 11 targets he saw gave us hope that he might be able to bounce back despite the quarterback downgrade. We got our answer in Week 2 as Lamb again saw 11 targets, this time catching seven of them for 75 yards. While heís failed to get into the end zone, Lambís 22 targets still leave him in the top 10 at the position so far and there remains very little competition for him in this Dallas offense. He does face a Giants defense in Week 3 that has done a great job against opposing wide receivers, but Lambís monster target share should give him an opportunity to deliver start-worthy fantasy numbers, even if heís not going to be the top five option that we had hoped for during draft season.

On the Fence: TE Dalton Schultz (knee)

In addition to injuries along the offensive line, a banged-up wide receiver group, and being without their starting quarterback, we can now add tight end Dalton Schultz to the list of injuries to this Cowboys offense. Schultz is dealing with a PCL sprain in his right knee and fantasy managers will need to be careful as he could be ruled out. This game will be played on Monday night, so that makes things even more dangerous. The backup whoís played the most snaps for the Cowboys thus far is Jake Ferguson, but heís yet to record a target in 2022 so thatíd be an extraordinarily desperate add. Pay close attention to the practice reports later this week and any news that we get heading into Sundayís games, but Schultz is a weekly starter at fantasy tight end if heís healthy.

Fade: RB Ezekiel Elliott

A blowout Cowboys loss in Week 1 meant that fantasy managers could largely write off Elliottís low usage due to game script. Unfortunately, even though he got 16 touches in a Week 2 victory over the Bengals, Elliott failed to deliver for fantasy purposes, rushing for just 52 yards while catching just one pass for the second straight week. Elliott is simply conceding way too much passing game work to Tony Pollard and the offense is not good enough to give him his old 20-plus carry games. Jerry Jones came out this week and essentially said that he wants the team to ďFeed Zeke,Ē so thereís some hope here, but this looks like another disappointing game for Elliott against a Giants defense that just got done locking up Dalvin Cook in Week 2.

DAL FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.25
DAL FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.25
DAL FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.12
DAL FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.26

No Brainers: RB Saquon Barkley

Favorite: WR Sterling Shepard

There was a lot of off-season discussion about which Giants wide receiver would emerge to start the season, but very few expected that veteran Sterling Shepard would be that player. Shepard was all but written off due to his season-ending Achillesí injury in 2021, but heís been the Giantsí best pass-catching weapon thus far. His 14 targets lead the team and heís the only Giants wideout whoís caught a touchdown thus far. This is still a low-volume passing game and theyíre facing a very good Cowboys defense, but Shepard is a solid WR3 option as long as heís healthy.

On the Fence: N/A

Fade: QB Daniel Jones

The Cowboys have been very good against opposing quarterbacks thus far in 2022 despite playing against Tom Brady and Joe Burrow, and now they get to face a quarterback in Daniel Jones who has struggled so far in 2022 and really throughout most of his NFL career. Jones still has those occasional huge performances, but this looks like a game that’s likely to be a low-scoring, defensive battle and we typically want to avoid that for fantasy.

Prediction: Giants 20, Cowboys 17 ^ Top