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Favorites & Fades


Week 7

By: Nick Caron | HC Green | John Fessel | Michael O'Hara
Updated: 10/20/24

Thursday:

DEN @ NO


Sunday Early:

NE @ JAX | TEN @ BUF | MIA @ IND | DET @ MIN

CIN @ CLE | HOU @ GB | SEA @ ATL | PHI @ NYG


Sunday Late:

CAR @ WAS | LV @ LAR | KC @ SF

NYJ @ PIT

Monday:

BAL @ TB | LAC @ ARI

Notes:
- Green highlight indicates plus matchup (top eight)
- Red highlight indicates negative matchup (bottom eight)
- Lines and totals updated Sunday morning

Broncos @ Saints - (O'Hara)
Line: DEN -2.5
Total: 37.5

NO FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.21
NO FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.9
NO FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.11
NO FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.13

No Brainers: N/A

Favorites: N/A

On the Fence: QB Bo Nix, WR Courtland Sutton

Bo Nix has come on as a legitimate fantasy asset in the last month. He’s the QB12 over the last four weeks and is averaging 17.7 FPts/G during this stretch. This is all while averaging just 174.5 passing yards and 1.25 passing touchdowns per game. How is it possible that Nix has been a fantasy QB1 with this sort of aerial production? Nix is one of football’s most underrated dual-threat quarterbacks. He’s averaging 6.0 FPts/G on the ground and 36 percent of his fantasy scoring this year has come as a rusher. His rushing ability makes him a reasonable option as a bye week fill-in.

Based on Nix’s 174.5 passing yards per game, you’d likely be able to guess that Denver’s receivers aren’t making the biggest impact. Courtland Sutton is the most utilized receiver in this offense by a wide margin but is the WR47 in points per game. Sutton has drawn a target on 25 percent of his routes which has amounted to 7.7 targets per game. So how is he averaging just 10.1 PPR points per game? Well, out of 76 pass catchers with 25-plus targets, Sutton ranks 75th in catchable target rate. A catch has been possible on just 59 percent of his targets. Sutton is tempting to start given his volume, but it’s hard to do so given Nix’s struggles as a passer.

Fade: RB Javonte Williams

Javonte Williams’ role has steadily improved in recent weeks. Over the last three games, Williams has played 63 percent of snaps and held a 61 percent opportunity share. For most backs, this is enough to sustain fantasy-relevant production. It isn’t for Williams; he’s averaging just 10.2 FPts/G with this usage. Williams’ quality of play and the Broncos’ offensive environment both play a role in his struggles. Until one of those factors improves, he belongs on the bench.

DEN FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.29
DEN FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.19
DEN FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.32
DEN FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.12

No Brainers: RB Alvin Kamara

Favorites: N/A

On the Fence: N/A

Fade: WR Bub Means

A barrage of injuries to the Saints’ offense has left Spencer Rattler as the starting quarterback and Bub Means as the WR1. Some may be tempted to start Means because of his new role, but this is just an offense to avoid. With Rattler under center last week, the Saints’ offense averaged just 4.6 yards per play and could not sustain a drive. They had more drives that resulted in negative offensive yardage than drives of over 50 yards. Given the state of this offense, it’s impossible to start anyone other than Kamara.

Prediction: Broncos 20, Saints 16 ^ Top

Patriots @ Jaguars - (O'Hara)
Line: JAX -6.5
Total: 42.5

JAC FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.1
JAC FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.7
JAC FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.2
JAC FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.9

No Brainers: N/A

Favorites: WR Demario Douglas, RB Rhamondre Stevenson (foot)

The New England offense is entering a new era under Drake Maye. This offense now seems capable of supporting multiple fantasy-relevant weapons. Through the air, that weapon is slot receiver Demario Douglas. He has separated himself from the pack in the New England receiver room. He’s now seen at least a 23-percent target share in three of his last four games. Douglas has been a WR3 or better in all three of these games, including a WR8 finish in Maye’s first start. With Maye under center, a high-volume role provides Douglas with Flex appeal.

Assuming he’s able to play, Rhamondre Stevenson (foot), is a locked-in RB2 this week. Keep an eye on the injury report as he missed practice Wednesday and Thursday. As we all know, fantasy value for running backs is highly correlated to total volume. Stevenson is averaging 15.8 weighted opportunities per game and comes in as the RB9 in this metric. The elevated offensive environment under Maye further boosts Stevenson’s fantasy outlook. Against a Jacksonville defense that ranks 26th in fantasy points allowed to running backs and 31st in scoring defense, this is a good spot for Stevenson.

On the Fence: QB Drake Maye

As highlighted in the outlooks for Douglas and Stevenson, Drake Maye has changed the outlook of this offense in just one game. He threw for three touchdowns and showed an ability to create explosive plays, something this offense has been lacking. The most appealing aspect of Maye’s game actually comes on the ground. He rushed five times for 38 yards in Week 6. It’s a small sample size, but Maye ranks second among QBs in scramble rate, behind only Jayden Daniels. Given that this offense ranks first in quarterback pressure rate, the lofty scramble rate should hold in future weeks. His arm talent and willingness to rush make him a viable streamer.

Fade: N/A

NE FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.25
NE FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.5
NE FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.17
NE FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.19

No Brainers: WR Brian Thomas Jr., TE Evan Engram

Favorites: N/A

On the Fence: WR Christian Kirk

Christian Kirk’s fantasy value is primarily driven by the high-volume role that he holds in the Jacksonville offense. His best two games of the year (Week 2 & Week 3) came on the back of 22- and 36-percent target shares. However, that voluminous role was only able to take him so far. Even in a week where Kirk accounted for 36 percent of the targets (and scored), he was unable to crack the top 12 receivers.

That high-volume role may have disappeared into thin air with the return of Evan Engram. After missing four games with a hamstring injury, Engram returned to the lineup to soak up all the dump-off targets from Trevor Lawrence. He saw 10 targets in Week 6, compared to six for Kirk. The fluctuating volume for Kirk makes it hard to rely on him on a weekly basis.

Fade: RB Travis Etienne (hamstring), RB Tank Bigsby

Travis Etienne was originally labeled as week-to-week after suffering a hamstring injury in London against the Bears. Miraculously, he logged a limited practice both Wednesday and Thursday, opening the door for him to play in Week 7. If he’s able to play, this is likely a very messy backfield that will struggle to support consistent production from a single running back. A string of injuries for Etienne in recent weeks makes it hard to look into previous snap shares, but the play of Tank Bigsby has made it seem that this is quickly turning into a committee backfield. With the quality of this offense, it’s hard to imagine there will be a top-24 back in Jacksonville if they’re only playing 50-60 percent of the snaps.

Prediction: Jaguars 24, Patriots 20 ^ Top

Titans @ Bills - (Caron)
Line: BUF -9.0
Total: 41.5

BUF FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.15
BUF FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.2
BUF FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.25
BUF FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.24

Update: Mason Rudolph will start at QB for Tennessee.

No Brainers: N/A

Favorites: RB Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard is in a prime position to deliver strong fantasy production in Week 7, especially with Tyjae Spears dealing with a hamstring injury that has kept him out of practice. While Pollard has already been seeing around two-thirds of the Titans' offensive snaps, Spears' potential absence would remove a player who typically handles about nine touches per game. This opens up more opportunities for Pollard, both in terms of volume and upside.

Even if Spears is able to play, Pollard is still in a great matchup against the Buffalo Bills' defense, which has allowed the second-most fantasy points per game to opposing running backs. Recent monster performances by backs like Breece Hall, Derrick Henry, De'Von Achane, and even Justice Hill show that the Bills can be exploited on the ground.

Pollard has been a consistent performer in 2024, scoring between 15 and 19 fantasy points in all but one game. He's a solid RB1 this week with a high floor, and if Spears sits, Pollard's ceiling could push him into mid-range RB1 territory.

On the Fence: WR DeAndre Hopkins

DeAndre Hopkins has had a frustrating start to the 2024 season, hampered by injuries and an underperforming Tennessee Titans offense led by Will Levis, who has struggled to establish consistency. Despite this, there are signs that Hopkins could be trending in the right direction for Week 7 against the Buffalo Bills.

Hopkins played a season-high 76 percent of the team’s offensive snaps in Week 6, indicating that he’s finally getting healthy after being limited earlier in the year. Though his production has been inconsistent, his Week 6 target share of 22 percent is promising, suggesting that he could be more involved in the offense moving forward. Hopkins still managed to stay close to Calvin Ridley in fantasy production despite his limited snaps, which shows his potential if he can stay on the field.

The Titans' passing game is still unreliable, but given the Bills' defensive struggles this season, particularly against receivers, this could be a good opportunity for Hopkins to reassert himself as the team's top wideout. While he's not an elite WR option right now, he’s worth considering as a WR3 or flex play in deeper leagues, especially in matchups where the Titans may need to throw to keep up with the opposition.

Fade: WR Calvin Ridley

Calvin Ridley has had a rough stretch in 2024, and his production has been very disappointing for fantasy managers. His chemistry with Will Levis appears to be off, as shown by the poor connection on targets—just two catches on 14 targets over the past three games. Ridley does lead the Titans in targets with 27, but the overall inefficiency of the passing game has made him nearly unplayable in fantasy formats.

The Titans' offense hasn't been passing enough to support Ridley's fantasy value, and the lack of rhythm between him and Levis limits any upside he may have. The matchup against the Buffalo Bills is also difficult, as they rank in the top 10 in fewest fantasy points allowed to wide receivers.

For Week 7, Ridley is a low-floor WR4, and unless the Titans' offense shows significant improvement, he's best left on the bench, especially in tough matchups like this one against Buffalo.

TEN FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.27
TEN FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.24
TEN FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.31
TEN FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.32

No Brainers: QB Josh Allen

Favorites: RB Ray Davis

Ray Davis made the most of his opportunity in Week 6, impressively taking over the Bills' backfield with 23 touches for 152 total yards. With James Cook nursing a toe injury, Davis capitalized, playing 58% of the snaps and outperforming veteran Ty Johnson. While Davis didn't find the end zone, his strong showing puts him on the radar for fantasy managers, especially if Cook remains limited or inactive.

That said, Cook’s participation in practice suggests he may be active for Week 7, which could limit Davis' workload. If Cook is healthy, Davis' value drops significantly, making him more of a low-end RB3 or a bench option. However, if Cook is inactive or limited, Davis would be an appealing RB2/FLEX play, particularly in a potential blowout where the Bills might lean on the running game late.

Monitor the situation closely leading up to game day, as Davis' role hinges heavily on Cook's availability.

On the Fence: WR Amari Cooper, RB James Cook, TE Dalton Kincaid

Amari Cooper's recent move to Buffalo presents a unique opportunity for both him and the Bills. With the team looking for a primary target following the offseason departures of Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis, Cooper could step into a significant role. However, it's essential to temper expectations in his first game with the team. While Cooper has struggled at times this season, largely due to a difficult situation in Cleveland, he brings undeniable talent to the table.

In his debut, expect Cooper to be involved but not necessarily in a full-scale capacity. He might play enough snaps to earn a WR3 designation, with some potential for big plays as he acclimates to the new offense. Keep an eye on how the coaching staff plans to utilize him, but don't be surprised if his full impact develops over time rather than immediately.

James Cook’s situation is more complex due to his lingering toe injury, which sidelined him in Week 6. When healthy, Cook has demonstrated solid low-end RB1 potential, making him a viable start if active. However, the emergence of rookie Ray Davis adds a layer of uncertainty regarding Cook's workload. Davis performed well in Cook’s absence and could command a share of carries even if Cook returns. Additionally, with quarterback Josh Allen often handling goal-line duties, Cook's opportunities for touchdowns may be limited, which impacts his fantasy value. If Cook is active, he should be considered for lineups, but be cautious about his overall ceiling this week.

Dalton Kincaid has been a disappointment thus far, hovering at the edge of TE1 rankings in a season where the tight end landscape is particularly bleak. He remains a starter for many fantasy managers due to the lack of quality options, especially with players like Jake Ferguson and Cole Kmet on bye. Kincaid has consistently seen at least five targets over the past four games, providing a semblance of reliability. However, the matchup against the Titans poses a significant challenge. Tennessee has been exceptionally tough on tight ends, allowing the fewest receptions and yards while not conceding a single touchdown to the position this season. Despite this tough matchup, Kincaid's target volume keeps him relevant in fantasy lineups, though expectations should be tempered.

Fade: WR Keon Coleman, WR Khalil Shakir, WR Mack Hollins

Keon Coleman has shown flashes of potential this season, but his inconsistency in target share and overall production limits his viability as a fantasy option. With the addition of Amari Cooper, Coleman's path to a significant role in the Bills’ passing game becomes even more challenging. The presence of a proven veteran like Cooper likely pushes Coleman further down the depth chart, reducing his opportunities even if he has displayed talent in past games. For fantasy managers, Coleman is best viewed as a bench stash for deeper leagues rather than a startable option, especially in a week with so many uncertainties.

Khalil Shakir has had moments where he’s flashed ability, but similar to Coleman, he hasn't established himself as a reliable target for Josh Allen. The arrival of Cooper complicates matters even further, likely relegating Shakir to a minimal role in the offense. The Bills have struggled to get consistent production from their wide receivers, but with a new alpha in Cooper, it’s hard to envision Shakir having enough opportunities to warrant a start in fantasy lineups. Like Coleman, Shakir is best kept on the bench unless you are in a very deep league or dealing with significant injury issues among your wideouts.

Mack Hollins has had some opportunities this season, yet he has not been able to make a substantial impact. His inconsistent play and lack of consistent targets make him a risky proposition for fantasy managers. With Cooper joining the Bills, Hollins’ chances of seeing meaningful targets further diminish. He’s unlikely to be a significant factor in the offense, as the Bills will likely prioritize getting the ball to Cooper and possibly others before turning to Hollins. As such, he should be avoided in standard fantasy lineups.

Prediction: Bills 24, Titans 16 ^ Top

Dolphins @ Colts - (O'Hara)
Line: IND -3.0
Total: 43.5

IND FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.5
IND FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.12
IND FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.9
IND FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.4

No Brainers: N/A

Favorites: RB De’Von Achane, WR Tyreek Hill, WR Jaylen Waddle

Based on the fantasy output and peripheral metrics of De’Von Achane, Tyreek Hill, and Jaylen Waddle in recent weeks, none of them look like players who can be trusted in fantasy lineups. The talent of this trio is unquestioned; it’s quite clearly been poor quarterback play that’s holding them back. Among 36 quarterbacks with at least 50 passing attempts on the year, Tyler “Snoop” Huntley ranks 32nd in yards per attempt and 28th in completion percentage over expected.

However, Week 7 presents a matchup that even Huntley should be able to take advantage of. The Indianapolis defense ranks 7th in yards allowed per play, 13th in EPA per play, and 12th in fantasy points allowed to wide receivers and running backs. They have allowed three 300-yard passers, three 100-yard rushers, and three 110-yard receivers. If there’s a bounce-back spot where the talent of Achane, Hill, and Waddle can prevail, it’s against the Colts.

On the Fence: N/A

Fade: N/A

MIA FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.32
MIA FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.3
MIA FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.30
MIA FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.30

No Brainers: N/A

Favorites: N/A

On the Fence: WR Josh Downs, QB Anthony Richardson

After being somewhat of a surprise scratch in Week 6, Anthony Richardson appears to be well on his way to playing this week. Even for people who drafted Richardson with the highest of hopes, it’s hard to feel comfortable with him in your lineup. He started the season off with a bang, scoring 27.1 fantasy points while completing just nine passes. Things quickly began to fall apart. He combined for just 20 points across his next two matchups before getting injured in the first quarter of Week 4. Still, there are some bright spots to look at. Richardson did show a very clear ceiling in Week 1 and he’s been effective with his opportunities, ranking 5th in fantasy points per dropback. However, his struggles as a passer make it hard to rely on him moving forward. Ideally, he’d be able to remain on benches this week while evaluating his play in his first game back.

Richardson’s issues with accuracy have created serious problems for the receivers in Indianapolis. When a quarterback is completing just 51 percent of their passes, it’s hard for receivers to maintain any sort of fantasy value. This is especially disappointing for Josh Downs, who’s looked primed for a breakout sophomore season. Through four games this year, Downs has been targeted on 34 percent of his routes and hit a 23-percent target share in all four contests. Will Richardson be able to maintain Downs’ breakout trajectory? It’s hard to feel confident.

Fade: Michael Pittman Jr.

Essentially everything mentioned about Downs is why Michael Pittman Jr. becomes a fade this week. The return of Richardson negatively impacts all receivers in Indianapolis, including Pittman. The rise of Josh Downs also complicates Pittman’s future outlook. Pittman’s ability to earn targets in droves allowed him to finish as WR13 finish last year. He ranked top 10 in targets, target share, and receptions last season. With Downs back in the fray this season, Pittman has now seen a sub-16-percent target share in two of four games. If Pittman isn’t the clear alpha, he should be benched in an offense led by Anthony Richardson.

Prediction: Dolphins 20, Colts 17 ^ Top

Lions @ Vikings - (Green)
Line: MIN -1.0
Total: 50.5

MIN FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.12
MIN FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.31
MIN FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.3
MIN FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.8

No Brainers: RB Jahmyr Gibbs, RB David Montgomery, WR Amon-Ra St. Brown

Favorites: N/A

On the Fence: TE Sam LaPorta

LaPorta entered the season not just as a starting fantasy tight end, but as someone viewed by many as the No. 1 overall option at the position ahead of guys like Jason Kelce and Trey McBride. Through five games, he’s managed 13 receptions for 199 yards and a touchdown; that’s a 44-677-3 pace, well below the 86-889-10 line he posted as a rookie -- and even that modest pace is boosted greatly by his 52-yard touchdown in Week 6, which came off a trick play. For better or worse, the offense has become more receiver focused with St. Brown (42) and Jameson Williams (29) accounting for almost half of the 149 targeted passes. You must think at some point, the Lions will try to get LaPorta more involved. Maybe it starts Sunday. The Vikings are 30th in pass defense, and their pass rush could make shorter and intermediate options, like LaPorta and St. Brown, more appealing.

Fade: QB Jared Goff

It may seem a little unusual to fade the starting quarterback in a matchup against a team with the 30th-ranked pass defense (263 yards per game), but Minnesota’s other metrics don’t bode as well for Goff. Only two teams have more sacks than the Vikings (20), and both have played one more game, and no one has more INTs (11). Plus, half of the eight TD passes allowed by the Vikings this year came courtesy of Jordan Love, so they’ve allowed just four in their other four games combined. Despite Minnesota’s success defending the run, it wouldn’t be surprising to see the Lions unleash the combo of Gibbs and Montgomery in Week 7.

DET FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.19
DET FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.29
DET FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.4
DET FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.28

No Brainers: RB Aaron Jones (hip), WR Justin Jefferson

Favorites: N/A

On the Fence: WR Jordan Addison

An ankle injury has limited Addison to three games this year. The USC product has three catches in each of them. Twice, he’s finished with less than 40 yards. In the other one, he had 72 yards and scored a pair of TDs, including one on a seven-yard run. There’s little doubt the way to attack the Lions is through the air -- they rank third against the run and 27th against the pass -- and that may be doubly true with the loss of Aidan Hutchinson (leg) to a broken tibia. While Jefferson will clearly be the focal point of Minnesota’s passing attack, Addison could see more opportunities this Sunday. He’d be worth using as a No. 3 receiver with some juice.

Fade: QB Sam Darnold

As with Goff, Darnold finds himself with a fade designation despite facing a defense that has allowed 246.2 yards per game to opposing passers. Detroit’s TD-to-INT rate is among the best in the NFL, however, allowing four TDs while intercepting seven passes, and they just got done throttling the potent combo of Dak Prescott and CeeDee Lamb. There are also some questions about Darnold. Over his last six quarters, Darnold has thrown zero TD passes while turning the ball over four times. It’s got a whiff of Carolina circa 2021 as well, when he played four really good games for the Panthers, which went 3-1, and then went on to win just once more over his final eight starts while throwing 4 TDs and 10 INTs. Just something to chew on.

Prediction: Lions 24, Vikings 20 ^ Top

Bengals @ Browns - (Green)
Line: CIN -5.5
Total: 41.5

CLE FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.24
CLE FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.20
CLE FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.10
CLE FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.27

No Brainers: QB Joe Burrow, WR Ja’Marr Chase, WR Tee Higgins

Favorites: RB Chase Brown

In the preseason, word was it was going to be an even split between Brown and Zack Moss. Those first three games, we saw more of Moss (33 carries to 13). In Week 4, it was almost even (19 for Moss, 17 for Brown). Over the last two weeks, however, it’s been Brown getting more work, logging 27 touches to Moss’ 19. He’s been the more effective runner on the year, averaging 5.5 yards per carry with 3 TDs while Moss has managed just 3.6 YPC and 2 scores. Cleveland was a lock down run defense in 2023, but that hasn’t been the case this year, as they rank 21st at 137.3 yards per game allowed. With Brown trending up, he’d make a nice No. 3 fantasy back this Sunday against the team that bears his surname.

On the Fence: RB Zack Moss

As noted above, Moss has seen his role shrink a bit recently, and he’s coming off by far his worst game of the season: 7 touches, 14 yards, and a lost fumble. Ball security is a sure way to lose snaps if you’re not a top guy, and Moss is, at best, part of a committee with Brown. Cleveland’s issues with run defense could create an opportunity for Moss to bounce back this Sunday, presenting him with a positive matchup. The question is whether he’ll see enough opportunities to deliver value to fantasy owners. As a flex candidate, maybe Moss is worth taking a chance on.

Fade: N/A

CIN FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.6
CIN FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.14
CIN FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.20
CIN FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.10

No Brainers: N/A

Favorites: TE David Njoku

With Amari Cooper gone, somebody is going to have to step in as the top option in Cleveland’s passing game. With apologies to Jerry Jeudy, Njoku seems best positioned to fill that role. The tight end posted an 81-882-6 line last year, leading the team in catches and finishing second to Cooper in receiving yards, and he paced Cleveland last Sunday with five grabs, albeit for only 31 yards. He’s still rounding into form after missing nearly a month with an ankle injury, but the upside is there. Given how shaky the position has been this year across the NFL, Njoku is someone you can justify taking a chance on unless you have one of the small handful of studs.

On the Fence: RB Nick Chubb

It’s been over a year since Chubb (knee) suffered a horrific knee injury that some thought would end his career. He’s back at practice, though, and the expectation is he’ll be activated from the PUP and return to the field in Week 7. It comes at a good time as Jerome Ford (hamstring) is expected to miss time with a hamstring injury. The Browns have D’Onta Foreman and Pierre Strong, but the opportunity is there for Chubb. That’s what we know. What we don’t know is whether Chubb will resemble the player he was before the injury. For those that have forgotten, the former Bulldog had put together four straight 1,000-yard seasons before his injury and was one of the toughest backs in the NFL. While it seems unlikely that he'd jump right back in with a full workload, if the team feels he’s healthy they might just turn him loose. If you wanted to gamble on Chubb as your flex, it could pay off.

Fade: WR Jerry Jeudy

Acquired during the offseason to give the Browns a quality No. 2 receiver alongside Cooper, Jeudy is now WR1 in Cleveland. For now, it doesn’t matter. Deshaun Watson has yet to pass for 200 yards in a game, and Jeudy has logged exactly one catch in each of his last two games. It’s probable he’ll see an uptick in targets, but we’re obviously leaning toward Njoku being the primary beneficiary. Jeudy should remain on your bench until we see more production.

Prediction: Bengals 23, Browns 15 ^ Top

Texans @ Packers - (Green)
Line: GB -3.0
Total: 48.5

GB FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.14
GB FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.18
GB FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.15
GB FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.3

No Brainers: QB C.J. Stroud, RB Joe Mixon, WR Stefon Diggs

Favorites: WR Tank Dell

Coming into the season, the question for Houston’s offense was how Stroud would distribute the ball to a talented trio of receivers. For the first five weeks, the answer was to minimize Dell, who had 13 catches, 136 yards, and no TDs in that time (he appeared in four games, missing one due to injury). With Nico Collins (hamstring) landing on IR before Week 6, however, Dell was back in the mix, being targeted a team-high nine times and finishing with a 7-57-1 line. His speed and shiftiness, along with his ability to work out of the slot, makes him the type of receiver the Packers tend to struggle with. Facing a Green Bay defense that ranks 25th versus the pass, Dell is a strong WR3 that could push into WR2 territory.

On the Fence: TE Dalton Schultz

Collins’ injury also led to the busiest day of the year for Schultz, who was targeted a season-high eight times. That’s the good news. It resulted in just four catches for 27 yards, though, and the veteran tight end has yet to top 35 yards in a game this year. Maybe he can top that number in Week 7. As noted, the Packers are No. 25 against the pass (228.7 yards per game), and they had all kinds of trouble dealing with Trey McBride last Sunday as he caught eight passes for 96 yards. The week before, Colby Parkinson put up a 7-52-0 line. If you’re searching for a tight end streaming option, Schultz offers more potential than many.

Fade: N/A

HOU FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.9
HOU FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.27
HOU FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.16
HOU FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.29

No Brainers: QB Jordan Love, RB Josh Jacobs, WR Jayden Reed

Favorites: TE Tucker Kraft (groin)

While the season-to-date numbers don’t jump off the page, Kraft has been an ascending part of Green Bay’s offense. In Weeks 4 and 5, he totaled 10 receptions, 141 yards, and 3 TDs, which included a team-high 4-88-2 effort in Los Angeles. With Christian Watson and Romeo Doubs back last Sunday, Kraft settled for 15 yards on three touches. Don’t be discouraged. Much has been made about Green Bay’s passing attack not having a true No. 1 option, and the offshoot of that is it’s going to be different guys each week -- though we’d argue that Reed has become a reliable weekly play. The opposing tight end has finished in the top three in terms of receiving yards for three straight games versus Houston, including Hunter Henry last Sunday, who scored his first TD of the season. Kraft is worth viewing as a low-end TE1.

On the Fence: WRs Romeo Doubs / Christian Watson

Back after a one-game suspension, Doubs turned three receptions into 49 yards and a pair of touchdowns. Watson, returning after missing Week 5 with an ankle injury, had three catches for 68 yards and a score. Both guys delivered for fantasy owners bold enough to put them in their lineup. Can they do it again? Sure, but it’s far from a certainty given what was written above concerning the way Green Bay’s offense is structured. If Dontayvion Wicks (shoulder) sits with a shoulder injury, their odds of posting decent fantasy numbers increases. Still, when you look at a box score where Love targets 10 different players and none of them more than six times you see how dicey that road to fantasy value really is. You can try either one as a flex or even WR3, just know the risks.

Fade: N/A

Prediction: Packers 30, Texans 24 ^ Top

Seahawks @ Falcons - (O'Hara)
Line: ATL -3.0
Total: 51.5

ATL FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.16
ATL FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.28
ATL FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.13
ATL FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.15

Update: Kenneth Walker (Questionable) was added to the injury report with an illness.

No Brainers: RB Kenneth Walker, WR DK Metcalf

Favorites: N/A

On the Fence: QB Geno Smith

Geno Smith has been nothing more than average to above average in terms of his efficiency this season. He ranks between 7th and 15th in yards per attempt, EPA per play, and completion percentage. However, he’s been able to deliver four top-10 weeks on the back of immense volume. Smith leads the league in total pass attempts and Seattle ranks first in pass rate over expectation. Out of his four top-10 finishes, all but one have required over 40 pass attempts. He rushed for a touchdown in Week 1 which allowed him to finish as the QB7. In a game that features a 51-point total, 40 pass attempts and a QB1 performance are certainly possible, but it’s not something you want to be banking on.

Fade: WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba

After a few promising weeks, Jaxon Smith-Njigba has looked a whole lot like his rookie-season self over the last month. In his last four games, Smith-Njigba has failed to score 15-plus PPR points, has hit a 20-percent target share just once, and is averaging 0.99 yards per route run. These are all marks of a pedestrian receiver and Smith-Njigba belongs on benches until he proves to be something more.

SEA FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.23
SEA FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.11
SEA FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.22
SEA FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.5

No Brainers: WR Drake London, RB Bijan Robinson

Favorites: TE Kyle Pitts

The underlying usage for Kyle Pitts is pretty discouraging. 0.17 targets per route run, 69-percent route participation, and cracking a 15-percent target share just once in six games. However, he’s shown the ability to generate explosive plays that make him a far more appealing option than any routes-based bets at tight end. Pitts has a reception of 30-plus yards in three games this season and offers a ceiling that isn’t attainable by streaming options. Unless this aspect of his game disappears, he’s a low-end TE1.

On the Fence: WR Darnell Mooney

Drake London is the clear No.1 in Atlanta, but at times, this has seemed to be an offense that can support multiple fantasy-relevant receivers. Mooney has been that second receiver with three finishes as the WR27 or better. He has also seen healthy usage in the offense, accounting for 20 percent of the targets and 32 percent of the air yards. Thanks to what should be a high-scoring matchup, Mooney can be a Flex option who pays off if this turns into a track meet.

Fade: N/A

Prediction: Falcons 27, Seahawks 20 ^ Top

Eagles @ Giants - (Caron)
Line: PHI -3.0
Total: 42.5

NYG FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.17
NYG FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.22
NYG FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.19
NYG FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.25

No Brainers: RB Saquon Barkley, WR A.J. Brown

Favorites: QB Jalen Hurts

Jalen Hurts has a promising matchup against the Giants, who have been middle-of-the-pack in terms of fantasy points allowed to opposing quarterbacks. However, they’ve struggled significantly against mobile quarterbacks, giving up 200 rushing yards to QBs already, the third-most in the league. This opens the door for Hurts to exploit his rushing ability, which is a major part of his fantasy value.

Historically, Hurts has struggled against the Giants, throwing more interceptions (6) than touchdowns (5) in his eight career starts against them. Despite this, he performed well in their last matchup on Christmas Day in 2023, throwing for 301 yards and a touchdown while also contributing 34 yards and a score on the ground.

Though Hurts' rushing touchdowns from the "tush push" play have been less frequent in 2024, the Eagles' offense is getting healthier, which should lead to more scoring opportunities. Hurts remains a top fantasy option due to his dual-threat capability, and with the Giants’ weakness against rushing quarterbacks, this could be a high-upside game for him in Week 7.

On the Fence: WR DeVonta Smith

DeVonta Smith is coming off a decent Week 6 performance where he scored a touchdown on three receptions for 64 yards, despite being limited to just four targets. While it's encouraging that he played every offensive snap, the low target share may reflect the Eagles' growing emphasis on feeding A.J. Brown in the passing game. Brown has been heavily prioritized, making it a bit challenging for Smith to consistently produce top-tier numbers.

That said, Smith remains a solid WR2/3 option most weeks, particularly in this favorable matchup against the Giants. Historically, he has averaged over 62 yards per game and scored touchdowns in 60% of his games against them, indicating a decent floor for this contest. With the Eagles' offense getting healthier and likely returning to its high-scoring form, Smith should have ample opportunity to deliver WR2 value in Week 7.

Fade: TE Dallas Goedert (hamstring)

Dallas Goedert has had a promising start to the season but finds himself in a tough situation heading into Week 7. After suffering a hamstring injury that knocked him out early in Week 6, Goedert's availability is in doubt, as he's missed practices early in the week. Even if he does suit up, this might not be the ideal week to rely on him for fantasy production.

Goedert has struggled against the Giants historically, having never scored a touchdown in five career games against them. With both A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith returning to health, Goedert’s target share is likely to drop, limiting his opportunities. Additionally, the Eagles' passing game has been inconsistent this season, and if Goedert is not at full strength, it's hard to imagine him getting the red-zone looks needed to boost his fantasy value.

Given these factors, Goedert is a risky play this week, and fantasy managers may want to consider other options, especially with his injury situation still up in the air.

PHI FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.22
PHI FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.21
PHI FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.6
PHI FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.31

No Brainers: WR Malik Nabers (concussion)

Favorites: WR Wan’Dale Robinson

Wan’Dale Robinson has been a consistent performer in PPR formats this season, scoring double-digit points in all but one game. His role in the Giants' offense has expanded recently, taking full advantage of Malik Nabers' absence with 20 targets over the past two weeks. This heavy involvement has made Robinson a reliable option, particularly in PPR leagues.

With Nabers expected to return this week, Robinson's upside may be somewhat capped, but his connection with Daniel Jones and consistent target volume still make him a solid PPR WR3 option. Even with fewer opportunities, his ability to convert targets into fantasy points keeps him in the conversation for a starting spot in deeper leagues, especially in PPR formats.

On the Fence: RB Tyrone Tracy Jr.

Tyrone Tracy has shown potential as a valuable fantasy asset, particularly in Devin Singletary's absence. In Week 6, Tracy dominated the Giants' backfield, playing 84% of the snaps, carrying the ball 17 times, and adding six receptions for 57 yards. His ability to contribute in both the rushing and passing game, even in a blowout loss, made him a strong fantasy performer.

With Singletary potentially returning this week, Tracy's role may shrink into more of a timeshare situation, limiting his fantasy value. However, if Singletary is out or significantly limited, Tracy becomes a compelling PPR RB2 option due to his involvement in the passing game and ability to handle a near-full workload.

Monitor Singletary's status closely. If he's inactive, Tracy should be a solid starter in most formats. If Singletary plays, it's best to approach Tracy cautiously, as his upside would be diminished in a split backfield.

Fade: RB Devin Singletary (groin)

Devin Singletary is nearing a return from a groin injury that sidelined him for the past two games, but there are several factors complicating his fantasy outlook for Week 7. First, Tyrone Tracy's emergence as a productive back in Singletary's absence creates uncertainty about the backfield split moving forward. Even if Singletary returns as the "1A" option, Tracy will likely continue to see work, reducing Singletary's overall touches in what is already a low-volume offense.

Singletary's groin injury adds further risk, as it’s unlikely he will see a full workload even if he suits up. Additionally, the matchup against the Eagles' defense is unfavorable—Philadelphia has allowed just one touchdown to opposing running backs this season, making scoring opportunities scarce.

Given these concerns, Singletary should be viewed as a risky flex play at best, and it may be wise to look for other options this week, especially in PPR formats.

Prediction: Eagles 23, Giants 16 ^ Top

Panthers @ Commanders - (Caron)
Line: WAS -9.5
Total: 51.5

WAS FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.10
WAS FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.13
WAS FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.5
WAS FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.14

No Brainers: N/A

Favorites: WR Diontae Johnson (Ribs), RB Chuba Hubbard

Diontae Johnson has emerged as a key player in the Carolina offense since the shift to Andy Dalton, showcasing impressive production over the past four games with 24 receptions for 306 yards and three touchdowns. His staggering 26 percent target share underlines his importance in a struggling offense where no other receiver has surpassed a 12 percent share.

This week, he faces a favorable matchup against the Washington Commanders, who have allowed a league-high 10 receiving touchdowns to wide receivers this season and are yielding an average of 40 points per game to the position. Although Johnson may not carry the same name recognition as some top-tier receivers, his elite usage and the favorable matchup position him as a sneaky WR1 candidate for Week 7. Fantasy managers should consider starting Johnson confidently, especially given the potential for a high-scoring game against a poor secondary.

Chuba Hubbard has also become a standout player for the Panthers, demonstrating impressive consistency and production throughout the season. Currently sitting among the top five scorers at the running back position, Hubbard has averaged at least 90 rushing yards in four consecutive games and has been heavily involved in the passing game, recording at least four receptions in five straight contests.

Despite the overall struggles of the Panthers’ offense, Hubbard’s role as a bell cow running back offers a strong foundation for his fantasy value. His ability to contribute both on the ground and through the air makes him a reliable RB2 option. While the lack of offensive scoring may limit his touchdown potential, his significant usage and recent performances suggest he can continue to deliver solid fantasy production as long as he maintains this level of involvement.

On the Fence: N/A

Fade: QB Andy Dalton, WR Xavier Legette

While Andy Dalton is set to start against a struggling Washington secondary, he may not be the answer for fantasy managers seeking a difference-making quarterback. His performance has been inconsistent, with only four touchdowns and four interceptions in his last three games, following an initial success against a weak Las Vegas defense in Week 3. Dalton lacks rushing ability, which further limits his fantasy upside. With only two teams on bye this week, it's likely that more appealing quarterback options are available on the waiver wire, making Dalton an easy fade for fantasy purposes.

Rookie wide receiver Xavier Legette has shown flashes of potential, including scoring his second touchdown in three games against the Falcons. However, his overall usage has been underwhelming, with just five total targets in the last two games and failing to exceed five targets in four of the Panthers' first six contests. While Legette could be a future WR1 for the Panthers, he’s currently battling a shoulder injury that may limit his effectiveness. As a low-volume, touchdown-dependent option in a struggling offense, he is not a reliable fantasy asset and should be avoided this week.

CAR FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.13
CAR FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.1
CAR FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.12
CAR FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.7

No Brainers: QB Jayden Daniels, WR Terry McLaurin

Favorites: RB Brian Robinson Jr. (knee)

Robinson missed Week 6 with a knee injury, but he got back onto the practice field this Wednesday and appears to be trending toward playing this weekend. Prior to his injury, Robinson had been performing as a borderline elite RB1 through the first four games of the season and he had already scored two touchdowns before he suffered the knee injury against the Browns in Week 5. While Austin Ekeler was still getting on the field at times, Robinson was seeing near elite-level usage and producing with those opportunities, so there’s little reason to believe that the Commanders will change anything up going forward. As long as he’s active, Robinson is at least an RB2 and he has real RB1 upside in most matchups. Against the Panthers and their pathetic league-worst run defense, though, Robinson has the potential to finish as the overall RB1 for the week. Get him in your lineups!

On the Fence: WR Noah Brown

This one is admittedly only an option in very deep leagues, but if you’re looking for a sneaky player who’s beginning to get more involved in a productive offense then look no further than wide receiver Noah Brown. Brown was a nonfactor in the first few weeks of the season and he missed Week 5 due to a groin injury, but he’s now played 67 percent and 64 percent of the Commanders’ offensive snaps over his past two games, far exceeding all other Washington wide receivers other than Terry McLaurin. Even more interesting is that Brown saw a season-high eight targets this past week against a good Baltimore defense. The Panthers are a top-12 matchup for opposing wide receivers this season and there are a ton of injuries and question marks at the position, so fantasy managers who are in a tough spot in deep leagues could give Brown a chance here in Week 7.

Fade: RB Austin Ekeler

Austin Ekeler was initially expected to be a passing down specialist for the Commanders this season, raising concerns about Brian Robinson's upside. However, Robinson has emerged as the team’s standout running back, limiting Ekeler’s potential impact. Throughout the season, Ekeler has consistently scored between 10 to 12 fantasy points per game. In Week 6, when Robinson was sidelined due to injury, expectations were high for Ekeler, but he managed just nine carries for 21 yards, salvaging his performance with four receptions for 47 yards. With Robinson expected to return, Ekeler’s chances for a breakout performance are significantly reduced, as the Commanders will likely revert to their primary strategy that heavily features Robinson. While Ekeler can be considered a bye-week or injury replacement in deep PPR formats, he carries a low upside and could underperform if the team opts for a passing strategy.

Prediction: Commanders 27, Panthers 20 ^ Top

Raiders @ Rams - (Fessel)
Line: LAR -7.0
Total: 43.5

LAR FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.7
LAR FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.6
LAR FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.14
LAR FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.2

No Brainers: TE Brock Bowers

Favorites: N/A

Update: Jakobi Meyers has been ruled Out.

On the Fence: WR Jakobi Meyers (ankle), WR Tre Tucker, RB Alexander Mattison

Having missed both practices to start the week, things do not look good for Jakobi Meyers availability this weekend. If he’s somehow able to give it a go as the Raiders defacto No.1 wide receiver and the second best target to Brock Bowers, he’s got WR3 appeal. If Meyers can’t go, Tre Tucker would stand to be a benefactor, and should carry some value in deeper leagues where WR4’s are in play.

Running back Alexander Mattison continued to carry the bulk of the work with Zamir White out of action, posting an 14-33-1 on the ground and 5-32-0 in the passing game last week, making him a winner from a volume stand point. Aside from a recent bump in volume, Mattison has relied on heavy usage in the red zone and 4 cash-ins at the goal line to create fantasy relevance.

This week, White is practicing and appears ready to return, meaning Mattison may go back to relying exclusively on scoring to create fantasy production. The Raiders don’t have a lot of ways to sustain drives, but the Rams are vulnerable to the run, including having given up 6 scores on the ground, making Mattison a viable touchdown dependent deep play.

Fade: QB Aidan O’Connell, RB Zamir White

While it was all but a done deal, the official nail in the coffin of Aidan O’Connell (or Gardner Minshew) came with the news that Davante Adams was shipped to the New York Jets. Being without Jakobi Meyers would only make it harder for O’Connell, who is once again the Raiders starter. It’s difficult to expect much from the Raiders offense while they go through another rebuild. Facing the Rams and the 9 yards per attempt they’ve surrendered probably makes O’Connell an option as a second QB in large superflex leagues, but otherwise he’s worth a sit.

Zamir White, meanwhile, returns to an offense where Alexander Mattison has staked out goal line opportunities and opponents don’t have to fear the passing game. White was struggling to find space before his injury, and while the Rams have given up 120 yards on the ground per game, the Raiders haven’t been able to take advantage of opportunities like this in 2024. Throw in the fact that White’s potential volume is totally up in the air and he can safely be avoided in Week 7.

LV FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.11
LV FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.8
LV FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.24
LV FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.23

No Brainers: RB Kyren Williams

Favorites: N/A

Update: Cooper Kupp is not expected to play.

On the Fence: QB Matthew Stafford, WR Cooper Kupp (ankle), WR Jordan Whittington (shoulder)

So much for the Rams success hinges on Cooper Kupp’s return this week. Arguably, Matthew Stafford (outside the Top 30 in fantasy points per game at QB) is an easy fade without Kupp, and wide receiver Jordan Whittington - 18 targets over the last two weeks – is in the WR2 mix against the Raiders, assuming he’s active after practicing in a limited fashion.

Kupp is back at practice, also on a limited basis, and his status is perhaps the most critical to follow in all of fantasy football this week. His return brings Stafford at least into the QB conversation in deep leagues, and would likely push Whittington aside while making Kupp no less than a WR2 right out of the gate. Whittington could still be a deeper league play, in such an event.

Fade: WR Demarcus Robinson

It was good to see Demarcus reel in a touchdown in Week 5, but he’s still yet to produce more than 50 yards in a game, and his main value at this point is in very deep leagues (hinging on Kupp’s status, as well).

Prediction: Rams 20, Raiders 16 ^ Top

Chiefs @ 49ers - (Fessel)
Line: SF -2.0
Total: 47.5

SF FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.18
SF FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.16
SF FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.21
SF FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.22

No Brainers: N/A

Favorites: TE Travis Kelce, RB Kareem Hunt

After a sluggish start, Travis Kelce has returned to form following Rashee Rice’s season-ending injury, even though he has yet to score a touchdown. With 19 targets, 16 receptions and 159 yards receiving over the last two weeks, he’s a must start.

In Week 5, Kareem Hunt followed up a successful return to the Chiefs with a 28-touch effort, producing 117 total yards and a touchdown. The Chiefs may have more RB depth this week, but it’s likely that Hunt has secured status as the team’s top back. The 49ers have been middling against the run and Hunt has enough history as a receiving back to remain involved if the 49ers push ahead on the scoreboard. He’s a fair RB2 for Week 7.

On the Fence: QB Patrick Mahomes, WR JuJu Smith-Schuster, WR Xavier Worthy

It’s difficult to give up on Patrick Mahomes as a top fantasy QB as he’s done more at times with fewer weapons than he has now. But it’s tough to envision him as more than a QB2 in all but the friendliest matchups at this time. Mahomes has just a 70-passer rating on attempts going Kelce’s way (including 2 interceptions). While the 49ers defense hasn’t been stellar this season, they can still make life hard on a QB who is thin on offensive weapons. With at least 1 interception thrown in each game this season and only 1 total touchdown in the two weeks without Rice, Mahomes is a starter superflex leagues, but not the must start he has been in the past in typical 1-QB leagues.

Juju Smith-Schuster (7-130-0) became the first wide receiver to step forward in Rashee Rice’s absence, posting numbers last week that harken back to 2018 and his time in Pittsburgh. Can he repeat it? He only had 4 targets and 2 receptions (1 TD) prior to last game, and his snap rate in Week 5 (67%) was respectable but hardly ideal for a fantasy starter. Smith-Schuster’s previous moment of fantasy relevance came for these very Chiefs in 2022, when he found himself in a similar spot following Tyreek Hill’s departure and posted numbers in the flex realm (78-933-3). A couple of years older, such production is probably more of his ceiling than his mid-range outcome, and he should be viewed as a boom-or-bust candidate while the dust settles for Kansas City’s receiving corps.

Xavier Worthy found is way to a respectable fantasy day by reaching the end zone in @Week 5. The score came on a 3-yard run, and was his second rushing touchdown of the season. In total, he has 4 touchdowns and appears to be the biggest scoring threat the Chiefs have right now. That being said, even without Rashee Rice, Worthy has yet to surpass 3 receptions in a game and has only broken 50 yards receiving once this season. The rushing ability improves both his floor and his ceiling, but with Worthy having 30 or less total yards in three of five contests thus far, he still carries a lot of bust potential. That makes him a fence play as he continues to gain experience.

Fade: RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire

It’s been a while since Clyde Edwards-Helaire has seen the field, and far longer since he has carried fantasy football value. The former looks like it may come to an end this week, as Edwards-Helaire has been activated and is back at practice. But it’s unlikely his fantasy relevance will follow suit. Perhaps he takes on a change-of-pace role and cuts into Hunt’s workload. Beyond that, he’s not worthy of your starting lineup for the time being.

KC FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.20
KC FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.32
KC FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.26
KC FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.1

No Brainers: TE George Kittle

Favorites: QB Brock Purdy, WR Brandon Aiyuk, WR Deebo Samuel (wrist)

Currently ranked 11th in points per game at quarterback, Brock Purdy is facing a Chiefs team that he’s quite familiar with. Throwing the ball 38 times in last year’s Super Bowl – his second most pass attempts of his career, to that point – he threw for 255 yards, rushed for 12 and threw 1 touchdown against no turnovers.

There are some injury statuses to watch, some favorable to Purdy throwing more (Jordan Mason’s status) and some less favorable (ie. Jauan Jennings’ status). The Chiefs remain one the better defenses in the league even though they traded away star corner L’Jarius Sneed this off season. But while this isn’t a great matchup, it’s unlikely to be one that threatens Purdy’s status as a back end QB1. The home crowd shouldn’t hurt either.

Last week, Brandon Aiyuk (2-37-0 on 4 tgts) failed to springboard off of his breakout performance in Week 5, but he still leads the 49ers in targets and it’s likely that Jauan Jennings will miss Week 7 with a hip injury, meaning there should be more targets to go around for Aiyuk.

Deebo Samuel, meanwhile, has begun the week with limited practices due to a wrist injury, but while his status should be watched, it looks promising that he will play following a big Week 6 performance against Seattle (3-102-1 receiving, 15 rushing yards). Samuel is a threat, both as a receiver and runner but his usage as a runner could spike if Jordan Mason is either inactive or plays limited snaps due to an AC Joint Sprain. Samuel enters WR1 territory against the Chiefs if the 49ers have to dig deeper in the running game, especially without Jennings.

On the Fence: RB Jordan Mason (shoulder), RB Isaac Guerendo

When Jordan Mason went out with an injury last week, Isaac Guerendo got a chance to show what he is capable of behind this 49ers blocking front, breaking off a long run that accounted for 76 of his 99 rushing yards. He still needs polishing, and likely won’t see the full role that Mason has enjoyed sans Christian McCaffrey, as trusty veteran Patrick Taylor and swiss army knife Deebo Samuel should bite into his action, but he’s got that ability to make a fantasy day on just 1 or 2 plays, making him a Flex option even against one of the league’s best run defenses.

Of course, all of this is pending whether Mason plays or not. He has started the week as a limited participant, but it remains to be seen whether the 49ers are playing games with the Chiefs coaching staff, or he really has a chance to play. Even if he plays, he may be limited in usage, so there is a lot risk against a tough opponent. Mason is probably no more than Flex if he plays.

Fade: N/A

Prediction: 49ers 23, Chiefs 20 ^ Top

Jets @ Steelers - (Green)
Line: NYJ -2.0
Total: 39.5

PIT FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.28
PIT FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.25
PIT FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.23
PIT FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.11

No Brainers: RB Breece Hall, WR Davante Adams (hamstring), WR Garrett Wilson

Favorites: N/A

On the Fence: QB Aaron Rodgers

With Todd Downing taking over the play-calling duties from Nathaniel Hackett, the Jets offense looked a little crisper last Monday night. That included Rodgers, who passed for a season-high 294 yards to go with 2 TDs and 1 INT -- one of those touchdowns was even a vintage Hail Mary to Allen Lazard. The Packers connection got even deeper on Tuesday, when the Jets acquired Davante Adams from the Raiders, giving Rodgers perhaps his all-time favorite target. Now, the question becomes how quickly can they get Adams integrated into the offense? The guess here is pretty quick. The Jets run the Hackett system that Adams is familiar with, and he and Rodgers have banked roughly a billion reps together. There’s absolutely a chance that we get a throwback performance from the 40-year-old this Sunday night. There’s also a chance the Steelers beat him up and put the Jets in a 2-5 hole. Still, this could make a fun gamble.

Fade: RB Braelon Allen

One of the key differences between Downing and Hackett in Week 6 was Allen’s usage, as he went from nearly splitting touches with Hall to logging just three carries (Hall had 23 total touches). Adams’ arrival will have a trickle-down effect, and everyone beyond him, Hall, and Wilson may well be fighting over scraps. A few weeks ago, Allen looked like a fourth-round steal. Now, he might end up being an afterthought. It’s best not to use him this week.

NYJ FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.31
NYJ FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.23
NYJ FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.29
NYJ FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.26

No Brainers: RB Najee Harris

Favorites: N/A

On the Fence: WR George Pickens

Despite operating as the clear No. 1 receiver in the Steel City, Pickens hasn’t scored a touchdown this season and has only topped 60 yards in a game twice. It’s somewhat of a surprise considering he went for 1,140 yards a year ago with guys like Kenny Pickett and Mason Rudolph running the offense -- not to mention a legit WR2 in Diontae Johnson. The truth is, Pittsburgh doesn’t want to throw the ball. They want to lean on the running game to control the clock and let their defense make plays. It’s no coincidence that Pickens’ lone 100-yard game came in Week 4, which is the only time this year the Steelers found themselves in a big hole. The move to Russell Wilson should at least renew interest in Pickens. No, this isn’t the same Wilson we saw in Seattle, but he still throws a nice deep ball, and his No. 1 wideout last year, Courtland Sutton, caught 10 touchdown passes. You could try Pickens as a WR3/flex this week despite the Jets featuring the NFL’s No. 2 pass defense.

Fade: QB Russell Wilson

Bothered by a calf injury that flared up in camp, Wilson served as the team’s emergency quarterback the first five games before being elevated to QB2 last Sunday. Now, it sounds like he’ll be given the starting nod ahead of Justin Fields, who didn’t put up huge numbers but did help Pittsburgh to a 4-2 start. For fantasy owners, it’s a downgrade. For whatever limitations Fields has as a passer, his running ability made him someone you could at least roll the dice on for QB1 value each week. You cannot say the same for Wilson, who’s likely to slot into the same game manager role he filled in Denver (and that Fields filled for Pittsburgh) minus the explosiveness as a runner. He belongs on your bench most weeks, including this one.

Prediction: Jets 23, Steelers 19 ^ Top

Ravens @ Buccaneers - (O'Hara)
Line: BAL -3.5
Total: 49.5

TB FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.2
TB FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.15
TB FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.8
TB FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.18

No Brainers: QB Lamar Jackson, RB Derrick Henry, WR Zay Flowers

Favorites: N/A

On the Fence: N/A

Fade: TE Mark Andrews, TE Isaiah Likely

The Ravens’ tight end rotation is far too unpredictable to rely on in fantasy lineups. Both Isaiah Likely and Mark Andrews are hovering between a 53-55 percent route participation and 10-15 percent target share. It’s incredibly difficult to sustain TE1-level production with this role. The only way for either to be a value in lineups is by scoring a touchdown. There are better options out there than playing the touchdown lottery with this duo.

BAL FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.4
BAL FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.30
BAL FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.1
BAL FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.6

Update: Mike Evans is expected to play.

No Brainers: WR Chris Godwin, WR Mike Evans (leg), QB Baker Mayfield

Favorites: N/A

On the Fence: N/A

Fade: RB Rachaad White (foot), RB Bucky Irving, RB Sean Tucker

With Rachaad White sidelined in Week 6, Sean Tucker burst onto the scene with 192 yards from scrimmage and two touchdowns. To the disappointment of both Rachaad White and Bucky Irving managers, head coach Todd Bowles indicated that Tucker’s play would push this backfield into a three-way committee. The near 50-50 split between White and Irving already made it difficult for them to hit starting lineups. If Tucker sees a legitimate role, this would decimate the fantasy value of all three. It’s best to leave this trio on the bench this week and evaluate the situation.

Prediction: Ravens 27, Buccaneers 24 ^ Top

Chargers @ Cardinals - (Fessel)
Line: LAC -1.5
Total: 44.5

ARI FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.3
ARI FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.10
ARI FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.7
ARI FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.21

No Brainers: N/A

Favorites: RB J.K. Dobbins

The Cardinals have given up the 10th most points per game to running backs and the 2nd most total rushing yards, setting up another good spot for J.K. Dobbins who saw 27 touches last week. The stout Chargers defense is going to be very short-handed this week (more on that shortly), so there’s a greater risk of Los Angeles falling behind and getting away from the run, but Arizona is dealing with some injury question marks themselves, and the most likely scenario is this game stays close into the fourth quarter.

After a healed-up offensive line helped spur Dobbins to a 17.2-point fantasy performance against Denver last week, he’s now just outside the top 12 in points per game at the position and is set up nicely for more borderline RB1 production this week.

On the Fence: WR Ladd McConkey (hip), WR Josh Palmer

McConkey is already positioning himself as the defacto top target in the Chargers offense, with his 32 targets being 10 more than Quentin Johnson. But his 6.4 targets per game only lands him in flex territory. Against a vulnerable Cardinals pass defense, he could move into WR2 territory, but a hip injury is currently threatening his status for Week 7. He’s currently practicing on a limited basis, so watch the reports closely. Even if active for the game, there’s some risk that he’ll play with an injury and it’s best to not elevate him above flex value.

If McConkey does miss Week 7, it’s worth considering Josh Palmer as a flex, if he’s available to you and you need a hand. Especially with the prospects that Quentin Johnston could be out, Palmer would likely see a major boost in targets if he’s stepping into McConkey’s shoes.

Fade: QB Justin Herbert

The mountain that Justin Herbert has to climb to be a fantasy relevant QB may get a little steeper this week, despite facing a very beatable Cardinals defense (4th most points allowed to opposing QB’s). Besides McConkey being limited by a hip injury, Quentin Johnston (ankle) has yet to practice this week, along with starting tight end Hunter Hurst (groin). Even if McConkey plays, it’s probably asking too much to start Herbert as this game could devolve into the kind of run-heavy grinder that coach Jim Harbaugh loves.

LAC FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.26
LAC FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.26
LAC FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.27
LAC FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.16

No Brainers: TE Trey McBride

Favorites: N/A

On the Fence: QB Kyler Murray, WR Marvin Harrison Jr. (concussion), WR Michael Wilson (ankle), WR Greg Dortch, RB James Conner

It’s been a rocky road thus far for Kyler Murray and after failing to throw multiple touchdowns for the 4th consecutive week, he’s currently ranked No.13 among quarterbacks in fantasy points per game. The Chargers have given up the 6th fewest points to opposing quarterbacks, but a myriad of injuries on their defense (including pass rusher Joey Bosa) present a potentially opportunistic moment for the Cardinals passing game. Will he have either of his top to wide receivers, Marvin Harrison Jr. or Michael Wilson? His fantasy day may largely depend on this.

Murray is arguably no more than a high-end QB2 without either of his top wideouts, and a low end QB1 with Wilson. If Harrison Jr. is cleared from his concussion, Murray has mid-QB1 promise. If you have Murray, keep a very close eye on his wideouts at practice on Friday.

Marvin Harrison is absolutely a WR1 if he’s active this weekend, as the Chargers will be rolling inexperienced corners, and he has the talent to make this a huge advantage.

If Wilson can give it a go, he is arguably no worse than a deep flex play. But if he’s active and the Cardinals top pick in 2024 can’t go, Wilson has plenty of WR2 upside for this match-up. In the event that neither Harrison nor Wilson play this weekend, Greg Dortch becomes enough of a benefactor to be grabbed as a WR3/Flex.

Last, but not least, is running back James Conner. It remains to be seen how the Chargers will adapt to cover for inexperience and holes in their pass defense, but to this point they haven’t given up a whole lot to running backs, surrendering the 7th fewest fantasy points per game, just 2 rushing touchdowns and only 4.5 yards per reception. Conner is currently RB23 in points per game, and the match-up threatens his status as an RB2. He’s more reasonably a high-floor, low-ceiling Flex play this week.

Fade: N/A

Prediction: Cardinals 21, Chargers 20 ^ Top