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Favorites & Fades


Week 8

By: Mike Krueger | Ken Ilchuk | Nick Caron | HC Green
Updated: 10/28/22

Thursday:

BAL @ TB


Sunday Early:

DEN @ JAX | ARI @ MIN | MIA @ DET | CHI @ DAL

LV @ NO | CAR @ ATL | NE @ NYJ | PIT @ PHI


Sunday Late:

TEN @ HOU | NYG @ SEA | SF @ LAR | WAS @ IND

GB @ BUF


Monday:

CIN @ CLE

Notes:
- Green highlight indicates plus matchup (top eight)
- Red highlight indicates negative matchup (bottom eight)
- Lines and totals updated Sunday morning

Ravens @ Buccaneers - (Ilchuk)
Line: BAL -1.5
Total: 46.5



TB FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.18
TB FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.27
TB FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.18
TB FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.11

No Brainers: N/A

Favorite: RB Gus Edwards

Edwards averaged over 4.1 yards per carry and rushed for two touchdowns last week in his first action of the season. With a week under his belt, a stranglehold on the job thanks to J.K. Dobbinsí injury, and the Ravens seemingly re-focused on establishing the run, I think we could see more of Edwards on a short week. The Bucs have been yielding almost 4.5 yards per carry and 21 points per game, so I think youíll also see Lamar Jackson and Devin Duvernay involved in the run game, but Edwards is the RB1 in a run-first attack.

On the Fence: QB Lamar Jackson

Lamar has turned in some poor passing numbers of late. He hasnít thrown for 300 yards in a game since Week 2 and hasnít thrown multiple touchdowns since Week 3. His rushing numbers have kept him viable, but unless heís already your starter, he might not be in play until he starts finding the end zone on a regular basis. Against a Bucs defense that is among the best in the NFL in sacks and interceptions, look for Jackson to be on the move with his legs.

Fade: TE Mark Andrews (knee)

Normally after an 0-fer week, Iíd expect a player of Andrewsí stature to pop on the rebound. But Andrews is playing through a painful knee injury and hardly practicing, and despite being Lamar Jacksonís go-to guy in the passing game, playing on a short week makes it hard for me to believe that heís going to be a primary focus of the game plan against Tampa. Stranger things have happened, but I would expect a run-heavy attack this week.

BAL FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.4
BAL FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.10
BAL FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.6
BAL FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.14

No Brainers: WR Mike Evans, WR Chris Godwin

Favorite: QB Tom Brady

Weíve all heard the narrative Ė Brady hasnít been Brady this year. But even with just one TD pass in two frustrating losses over the last two weeks, heís completing nearly 65% of his passes in that span, almost eclipsed 300 passing yards last week for the first time in a month, and is averaging almost 50 pass attempts a game over the last four. Godwin and Evans are playing and the Ravens are allowing 25 fantasy points per game to QBís (4th worst in the NFL). Itís a bounce back week for Brady.

On the Fence: RB Leonard Fournette, TE Cade Otton

Bottom line – Lenny is getting tired. Last week was a tough one (8-19 rushing), but truth be told, he’s only averaged 4.0 yards per carry or more in two games this season, and he has just one rushing touchdown on the year. He’s got some value as a receiver, but Rachaad White keeps cutting in on his touches. Brady is salivating at the site of this Ravens defense this week. It’s going to be pass-heavy on offense and Fournette is no more than an RB2.

Otton caught four balls for 64 yards in place of the injured Cameron Brate last week, and teams have been throwing the ball all over the yard against this Ravens secondary. But he’s still the third receiving option in Tampa at best, and no TE not named Gronkowski has been able to maintain any sort of consistent role in this offense with Brady at the helm. Some prognosticators have him as a strong streaming option, but I’m not sure.

Fade: N/A

Prediction: Ravens 24, Buccaneers 23 ^ Top

Broncos @ Jaguars (London) - (Ilchuk)
Line: JAx -2.5
Total: 39.5

JAC FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.13
JAC FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.7
JAC FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.16
JAC FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.25

No Brainers: None

Favorite: QB Russell Wilson

There hasnít been much to like about this offense, with or without Wilson. But after a week off, I expect Wilson to be back near QB1 form. Letís face it, heís not flying all the way to London to hand the ball off or dump it to the TE. Look for a dynamic passing game and a bump for all the Broncos receivers.

On the Fence: TE Greg Dulcich

The rookie 3rd round pick is getting some TE1 buzz this week after a strong showing last week with Brett Rypien at QB. But letís pump the brakes. Heís only played in two games! With Russell Wilson back under center this week, Iím not sure Dulcich is as big a factor in this attack.

Fade: RB Melvin Gordon

Over the last month, Gordonís workload has been inconsistent, and he hasnít averaged 4.0 yards per carry in a game since Week 2. With Latavius Murray cutting in on his touches and getting most of the goal line work, Gordon is barely a RB3 consideration. Throw in the fact that Jacksonvilleís defense is ranked 4th in the NFL against the run, and Gordon can be left on the fantasy bench.

DEN FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.32
DEN FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.18
DEN FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.31
DEN FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.19

No Brainers: N/A

Favorite: RB Travis Etienne

Etienne is on a tear, averaging an incredible 8.1 yards on 34 carries over the last three games, while also catching six balls on 12 targets. With James Robinson now off to the Jets, Etienne is the alpha in the backfield. QB Trevor Lawrenceís struggles will only mean good things for Etienneís fantasy production as well.

On the Fence: WR Christian Kirk

Before last weekís breakout against the Giants, Kirk had posted three straight games of single-digit fantasy points. If this game turns into a shootout, he has a chance at another pretty good day, but QB Trevor Lawrenceís accuracy issues are going to keep a lid on Kirkís ceiling. On the negative side, Patrick Surtain has put a lock down on No.1 wide receivers and the Broncos have given up just 1 TD to a wide receiver this season.

Fade: QB Trevor Lawrence

It wouldnít be unreasonable to call Lawrenceís 300-yard day against the Giants a turning of the corner. But what I saw was a QB still struggling with accuracy and inconsistent delivery of the ball. He averaged just 7.2 yards per attempt and has only thrown one touchdown pass in the last three games. He does have three rushing TDís in the last two games, but those will be hard to come by against a very solid Broncos defense

Prediction: Jaguars 17, Broncos 15 ^ Top

Cardinals @ Vikings - (Green)
Line: MIN -3.5
Total: 48.5

MIN FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.11
MIN FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.15
MIN FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.12
MIN FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.7

No Brainers: Kyler Murray, DeAndre Hopkins

Favorite: TE Zach Ertz

Ertz is coming off his worst game of the season, catching just two passes for 21 yards against the Saints -- he had two grabs for 14 yards in Week 1 but one of those was a TD. Donít overreact. Ertz averaged 57 yards over his previous five outings and had at least six receptions in each of those games. The Vikings have had their issues defending the tight end position in 2022, including their last game when Mike Gesicki posted a 6-69-2 line and hit arguably the worldís worst griddy. For reference, the Dolphins TE has 12 receptions combined in his other six games this year. Start Ertz as a strong TE1.

On the Fence: RB Eno Benjamin

Critically, Benjaminís value hinges on the health of James Conner (ribs), who has missed the past two games with a rib injury. If heís back, even at a reduced percentage, heíll eat into Benjaminís snaps. The Arizona State product isnít a workhorse at the best of times, logging 34 combined touches in Connerís absence, meaning heíll need to make the most of his chances like he did in Week 7 (113 yards and a TD). If Conner sits, you can pencil Benjamin in as a flex/low-end RB3.

Fade: WRs Rondale Moore and Robbie Anderson

In Hopkinsí return, he was targeted 14 times. In comparison, Moore (2) and Anderson (1) were targeted on three passes. Thatís not a huge surprise for Anderson, who was acquired just days before the Thursday night affair, but itís not encouraging for Moore, who had 13 receptions combined in the previous two games. Assuming that Hopkins and Ertz will be Murrayís top targets, Moore is left as a fringe flex option, and Anderson should not be in lineups.

ARI FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.7
ARI FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.23
ARI FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.17
ARI FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.2

No Brainers: RB Dalvin Cook, WR Justin Jefferson

Favorite: N/A

On the Fence: QB Kirk Cousins

With the Cardinals featuring a bottom-10 pass defense, allowing 258.6 yards per game and applying limited pressure (11 sacks; T-27th), there is hope that Cousins can put together a big game in Week 8. We havenít seen it yet from the veteran this season, though, with Cousins averaging a pedestrian 250 yards and 1.5 TDs per game. Then again, given the sad state of the quarterback position for fantasy purposes this year, Cousinsí potential here makes him a borderline top-10 play.

Fade: N/A

Prediction: Vikings 24, Cardinals 21 ^ Top

Dolphins @ Lions - (Green)
Line: MIA -3.5
Total: 51.5

DET FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.8
DET FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.2
DET FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.13
DET FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.5

No Brainers: RB Raheem Mostert, WR Tyreek Hill, WR Jaylen Waddle

Favorite: QB Tua Tagovailoa

Back in the saddle after missing two games due to a concussion, which you may or may not have heard something about, Tagovailoa started hot but petered out last Sunday night in a 16-10 win over the Steelers. For the game, the southpaw threw for 261 yards and a touchdown. Perhaps that served to get the rust off -- he referenced getting back up to game speed in post-game comments -- and a game with the Lions, which are ranked last in scoring defense, will get him fully back on track. Even though Tagovailoa has only had one big game this season, his selection of weapons combined with a plus matchup give him midrange QB1 appeal here.

On the Fence: RB Chase Edmonds

Despite getting the bigger contract in the offseason, Edmonds has fallen well behind Mostert in the backfield pecking order. In fact, heís played fewer than 20 snaps in four of the last five games. So why canít he be summarily written off? Miami is facing the Lions, which have allowed 32.3 points per game (last) this season and 162.8 yards per game on the ground (31st). If there ever was a week where you could roll the dice on Edmonds as a flex with some potential, this is it.

Fade: N/A

MIA FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.6
MIA FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.17
MIA FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.11
MIA FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.6

No Brainers: RB DíAndre Swift (ankle/shoulder), WR Amon-Ra St. Brown (concussion)

Favorite: TE T.J. Hockenson

Given how shaky the tight end position has been this season, Hockenson is close to a no-brainer. His production hasnít borne that out, however, as heís only topped 50 yards in a game once this season, and heís finished below 30 in three of the last five. With D.J. Chark (ankle) on IR, and St. Brownís status up in the air, Hockenson and Josh Reynolds could end up as the top two options in the passing game. With Miami ranking 24th in pass defense, Hockenson looks like a midrange TE1.

On the Fence: RB Jamaal Williams

With Swift having missed the last three games due to injury, Williams has stepped in as the primary back. Following a strong start, he has tailed off the past two games, running for 135 yards, catching one pass, scoring no TDs, and losing a critical fumble. If Swift can return in Week 8, Williamsí role might shrink more than you might expect. Of course, if Swift misses a fourth straight, Williams will continue to serve as the top back. Heís a strong RB3 if Swift is out or a middling flex if Swift is up.

Fade: Jared Goff

Goff opened the 2022 season by throwing for 11 TDs in his first four games. In the two games since, the Lions have scored six points combined with Goff turning the ball over six times. Itís been a brutal performance by any standard, and although some of the teamís struggles can be blamed on injuries to key playmakers, itís far from clear heíll be getting them back in Week 8. Keep Goff away from your lineup this Sunday.

Prediction: Dolphins 31, Lions 20 ^ Top

Bears @ Cowboys - (Caron)
Line: DAL -9.5
Total: 42.5

DAL FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.29
DAL FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.32
DAL FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.19
DAL FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.22

No Brainers: N/A

Favorite: QB Justin Fields

Weíve all had our fun at the expense of Justin Fields and the Bears this season, but itís time that we give the second-year quarterback some credit as heís now been a QB1 in three straight weeks. Fieldsí passing numbers continue to be near the leagueís worst, but heís now exceeded 80 rushing yards in back-to-back games which has allowed him to produce where we care most - on the fantasy scoreboard. With Fields at full strength and the Bears seemingly giving him the green light to take off and run, thereís no reason to think that he wonít continue deliver for fantasy managers, even in tougher matchups like the one he faces this week against the Cowboys. Heís still available in far too many leagues and heís an excellent bye week replacement.

On the Fence: RB David Montgomery

We saw an interesting trend this past week when Khalil Herbert nearly matched Montgomery in touches while also finishing just 11 snaps behind him for the game. Herbert has admittedly been the more effective back on a per-touch basis and we may be inching closer to a 50/50 backfield split. However, the game script this past week was not like any other game the Bears have played in, as they not only won, but did so in dominant fashion. The game script allowed the Bears to take their foot off the gas pedal offensively and it likely also contributed to Herbert seeing an uptick in touches. Weíll likely be reanalyzing this backfield toward the end of the season, but for now, trust that Montgomery is going to remain the teamís top back. Itís a tough matchup against a Dallas defense that has given up the fewest points per game to opposing running backs so far this season, but he should see enough volume to at least give fantasy managers some value this week.

Fade: RB Khalil Herbert

As stated above, Herbert has been out-playing Montgomery so far this season, but as long as the coaches donít see it that way, thereís not much we can do as fantasy managers. Heíll likely need a long run to give us any return against the Cowboys and thatís just way too risky to bank on when a player is the ďBĒ side in a committee backfield. Hold on to Herbert and understand that better days are ahead, but this is a week where youíll want him on your bench.

CHI FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.25
CHI FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.8
CHI FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.29
CHI FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.28

No Brainers: WR CeeDee Lamb

Favorite: RB Tony Pollard

With Ezekiel Elliott (knee) seemingly trending toward not playing this week, we may finally be getting an opportunity to see Tony Pollard in lead back role this season. Pollard has been electric this season, averaging 5.6 yards per carry on the ground while also contributing nearly 10 yards per reception. A 20-touch game for him is not unlikely if Elliott plays and that makes him an extremely strong play against a Bears defense that ranks in the top 10 in fantasy points per game allowed to opposing running backs.

On the Fence: QB Dak Prescott

Dak Prescottís return to the lineup had us salivating about the Cowboysí potential to have a huge offensive explosion against the Lions in Week 7, but it turned out to be less than we expected. Dallas still scored 24 and won the game easily so itís tough to really blame the offense too much, but Prescott barely averaged 10 yards per completion in the contest and he threw for just one touchdown while also not contributing anything on the ground. This week he faces a Bears defense that ranks eighth-best in containing opposing quarterbacks. Itís probably tough to bench him for most teams, but this is not a great matchup and the Cowboys offense just doesnít appear to be firing on all cylinders, so if you have another decent option, this might be the week to bench Dak.

Fade: WR Michael Gallup

While CeeDee Lamb has been a bit disappointing for fantasy, heís still delivered a double-digit PPR game in all six straight games, making him the only Cowboys pass catcher whoís really making fantasy owners happy thus far. Meanwhile, teammate Michael Gallup has been absolutely dreadful since making his return to the lineup in Week 4. The receiver caught a touchdown in that first game back, but has totaled just eight total catches for 86 yards in his four contests while not scoring another touchdown since. Heís a talented player who the Cowboys are invested in, so we should expect him to get more involved again once Dak is playing like himself again, but the recent trends tell us that Gallup is someone who we can safely bench in a matchup like this.

Prediction: Cowboys 27, Bears 17 ^ Top

Raiders @ Saints - (Ilchuk)
Line: LV -1.5
Total: 49.5

NO FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.15
NO FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.21
NO FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.5
NO FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.31

No Brainers: WR Davante Adams

Favorite: RB Josh Jacobs

With three straight games of 20+ carries and 140+ rushing yards, Jacobs has become the Raiders offense. In that same three-game span he has rushed for 6 TDs and averaged nearly 7.0 yards per carry while also catching 13 of 15 targets in the passing game. The Raiders are the answer to 2021s Philadelphia Eagles as the best rushing team in the league, the Saints are giving up more than 4.5 yards per rush and Jacobs is a stud RB1 in all formats.

On the Fence: QB Derek Carr

Carrís yards and attempts have steadily decreased over the last month as the Raiders move towards a more run-heavy attack, so the QBís fantasy value has taken a hit, especially in light of Carrís general lack of running ability. But the Raiders will still throw to score it sems as he has three TD passes over the last two games. With Davante Adams still very much alive and well, Carr still has some TD-dependent value and could be played as a bottom end QB1 if needed, or as a bye week replacement. A normally stout New Orleans secondary has been reeling in recent weeks, so HC Josh McDaniels might be convinced to take some shots with his Carr-to-Adams combo this week.

Fade: WR Hunter Renfrow

Renfrow has had more than four catches in a game exactly once this season, and last week was on the field for just a little more than half the teamís offensive snaps. He is buried behind Davante Adams, Mack Hollins, Darren Waller (when healthy), and maybe even Josh Jacobs in this attack. This is not last yearís Hunter Renfrow.

LV FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.1
LV FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.9
LV FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.10
LV FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.4

No Brainers: RB Alvin Kamara

Favorite: WR Chris Olave

With Michael Thomas and Jarvis Landry continuing to battle injuries Olave is the clear target monster in this offense, though with check-down champion Andy Dalton under center, Alvin Kamara will certainly cut into Olaveís load. New Orleans is going to throw the ball, especially against a Raiders defense that is allowing barely 4.0 yards per rush, and Olave is going to see a high volume, making him an easy WR1 play again this week.

On the Fence: QB Andy Dalton

I donít know if Andy Dalton can help the Saints win games, especially when he throws three picks in a game, two returned for TDís, against the Cardinals last week. But hereís what I do know. HC Dennis Allen has named Dalton the starter and he seems determined to open this offense up. Dalton has 80 pass attempts over the last two weeks and threw for 381 yards and four scores a week ago. The volume is there, the skills players are there, and the Raiders are allowing teams to pass at a 72% clip for more than 7.0 yards per attempt. They also are allowing a league-high 26+ fantasy points per game to QBís this season. For those worried about the interceptions, Dalton only threw one in his previous three appearances.

Fade: TE Juwan Johnson

Johnson had a big day in Week 7 with two scores, but with Taysom Hill and Adam Trautman (if healthy) still cutting into his snaps, and Chris Olave and Alvin Kamara clearly ahead of him in the pecking order, I just donít think his role is sustainable week to week. Donít get caught up in the hype off one strong outing.

Prediction: Raiders 31, Saints 27 ^ Top

Panthers @ Falcons - (Ilchuk)
Line: ATL -4.0
Total: 41.0

ATL FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.3
ATL FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.22
ATL FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.1
ATL FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.3

No Brainers: None

Favorite: WR D.J. Moore

In an offense without a true starting QB, it probably seems odd to see a receiver here. But with P.J. Walker seemingly solidified as the QB in Carolina moving forward (at least for the time being), Moore has seen a bigger role in an otherwise limited offensive attack. With Christian McCaffrey gone to San Francisco, Moore became the focus with a season-high seven catches on 10 targets, the most heís had since Week 4. Against a Falcons defense that is allowing a league-high 30 fantasy points per game to receivers, Moore should once again be a significant contributor.

On the Fence: WR Terrace Marshall Jr.

Walker threw just six passes to receivers other than D.J. Moore last week and Marshall got three of them. Heís best out of the slot, but can align anywhere, and with Walkerís athleticism and arm strength, there is the ability to push the ball downfield where Marshall makes his money. As the deep threat in this lineup heís a bit boom or bust, but could find a bigger role moving forward if the QB situation doesnít change, especially against a bad Falcons defense this week.

Fade: WR Laviska Shenault

Shenault has just three targets all season. Coming out of Colorado as a rookie he showed so much promise with a wide-ranging versatile skill set. But now four head coaches and two teams later, he hasnít been able to produce. Heís an after-thought in every sense of the word.

CAR FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.21
CAR FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.14
CAR FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.7
CAR FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.23

No Brainers: None

Favorite: RB Tyler Allgeier

As I predicted back in the preseason, Allgeier has emerged as the lead dog in this backfield. With Cordarrelle Pattereson still a week away from coming off the injured list and Damien Williams out of the picture, Allgeier is getting the bulk of the work in what isnít even a run-first offense. Itís a run no matter what offense. Down 21-0 in the 2nd quarter the Falcons stuck to the run. The Panthers have been pretty stingy against the run, but on volume alone, Allgeier is an RB3 in standing.

On the Fence: TE Kyle Pitts

QB Marcus Mariota hasnít had 30 attempts in a game since Week 1. He hasnít had even 15 in either of the last two games! As a result, Pittsí production is clearly affected. His five targets last week were the most heís seen in the month of October, and two of them came in the red zone, so thereís some touchdown upside, but heís barely TE1 worthy right now despite a world of talent.

Fade: WR Drake London

London has four catches on five targets for 49 yards and no touchdowns TOTAL over the last two games. That is not a typo. Atlanta has attempted just 27 passes in that span. Until the Falcons let Marcus Mariota throw the ball, or until they find someone who can, London will be yet another talented receiver with no opportunity to produce.

Prediction: Falcons 13, Panthers 10 ^ Top

Patriots @ Jets - (Caron)
Line: NE -2.5
Total: 40.5

NYJ FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.17
NYJ FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.20
NYJ FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.25
NYJ FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.13

No Brainers: N/A

Favorite: RB Rhamondre Stevenson

Damien Harris returned this past week, but it was still the Rhamondre Stevenson show in New England as the second-year running back ran the ball 11 times, including scoring a touchdown, and also caught eight passes. The surprisingly negative game script certainly benefited Stevenson who is the much better passing game back, but Harrisí four total touches and nine total snaps should indicate pretty strongly that this is still Stevensonís backfield. Heís an RB1 until he shows us otherwise.

On the Fence: WR Jakobi Meyers

He may not be particularly exciting, but Jakobi Meyers remains a very high-floor option as a WR3/Flex for fantasy managers. Heís produced double-digit PPR fantasy points in every game this season and he should continue to be the focal point of the New England passing game, especially with some of the other Patriots pass catchers dealing with some nagging injuries. Meyers isnít likely to give you a huge game, but he hasnít hurt us yet this year.

Fade: QB Mac Jones

Mac Jonesí return from injury couldnít have gone much worse this past week as he got absolutely humiliated by the Bears, leading to the Patriots deciding to bench him midway through the contests. We found out this week that Jones will again be given the starting job here in Week 8, but fantasy managers need to tread extremely lightly with this situation, as thereís a very real chance that he struggles again and the team opts to turn to rookie Bailey Zappe. Even if Jones does play all the way through the contest, heís facing a Jets defense that has allowed just one passing touchdown over their past four contests, so this isnít a great matchup for him.

NE FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.12
NE FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.26
NE FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.23
NE FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.15

No Brainers: N/A

Favorite: RB Michael Carter

The injury to Breece Hall was catastrophic for many fantasy managers, but those who had or were able to acquire Michael Carter should be in good shape, at least for this one week. Carter touched the ball 15 times this past week and should be close to bell cow-levels against the Patriots while James Robinson becomes acquainted with the offense. The Patriots have been very good against opposing running backs so far this season, but they did just get done conceding 124 yards on the ground to the Chicago duo of David Montgomery and Khalil Herbert, so Carter should have an opportunity to be a decent RB2 this week.

On the Fence: WR Garrett Wilson

Rookie wide receiver Garrett Wilson has frankly been terrible since his explosive Week 2 performance, but he should have a real opportunity to operate as the Jetsí WR1 in Week 8. Corey Davis hasnít practiced as of Thursday and while Elijah Moore is expected to play, heís clearly deep in the dog house and might end up being traded very soon, so the Jets are unlikely to suddenly feature him and risk an injury. Wilson hasnít been able to get on the same page with quarterback Zach Wilson, but this is about as good of an opportunity as youíre going to find to get him back in your lineup.

Fade: RB James Robinson

It can be tempting to start a player whoís been given a new opportunity right away, but the Jetsí acquisition of James Robinson is a dangerous one for fantasy owners - at least for this week. Certainly, the Jets plan to utilize Robinson and perhaps he does end up becoming the teamís new primary back, but we saw this past week that even top-level running backs like Christian McCaffrey donít always see significant playing time in their first game with a new team. Robinson is a solid player, but he hasnít been explosive this season so a limited touch share doesnít lend itself to a very high fantasy upside in this game.

Prediction: Jets 23, Patriots 20 ^ Top

Steelers @ Eagles - (Caron)
Line: PHI -10.0
Total: 43.0

PHI FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.27
PHI FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.19
PHI FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.22
PHI FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.20

No Brainers: TE Pat Freiermuth

Favorite: WR George Pickens

His targets remain minimal, but rookie wide receiver George Pickens is reeling in almost everything thrown in his direction as of late. Heís finished with 14 or more fantasy points in three of his past four games, including this past week when he scored a season-high 18.1 points while scoring the first touchdown of his professional career. The Eagles are a good defense, but theyíre giving up the 11th-most fantasy points per game to opposing wide receivers, so hopefully the hot streak continues for Pickens.

On the Fence: RB Najee Harris

No first-round fantasy pick has been worse than running back Najee Harris this season. Still, the Steelers bell cow continues to get fed touches every week and heís typically been able to give fantasy managers just enough points to continue using him on a weekly basis. He does face the Eagles defense this week in a matchup that could potentially lead to a negative game script so thereís some risk here, but Harris should be in most lineups especially given the high number of injuries that weíre seeing throughout the league.

Fade: WR Diontae Johnson

The targets continue to be there for Diontae Johnson as heís seen double-digit passes come his way in five of the Steelersí seven contests so far in 2022. Unfortunately, all that opportunity has led to zero 100-yard games and zero touchdowns, making Johnson an extremely low ceiling play who has now failed to exceed 11 fantasy points in four straight contests. That stretch corresponds with when Kenny Pickett became the starting quarterback in Pittsburgh, so we shouldnít expect that things are going to get much better anytime soon. Add in the fact that heíll likely see quite a bit of coverage from Darius Slay and this just doesnít look like the game where Johnson suddenly breaks out.

PIT FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.9
PIT FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.13
PIT FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.3
PIT FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.26

No Brainers: QB Jalen Hurts, WR A.J. Brown, TE Dallas Goedert

Favorite: RB Miles Sanders

With at least 16 touches in every game this season, Miles Sanders continues to prove that he is indeed the bell cow back in Philadelphia. Unlike Najee Harris on the other sideline in this game, Sanders has actually given fantasy managers a couple of spike weeks already and heíll now face a Pittsburgh defense that has surrendered back-to-back 100 total-yard games to Raheem Mostert and Leonard Fournette. Heís a high floor play who also has a decent ceiling especially if the Eagles get out to an early lead.

On the Fence: WR DeVonta Smith

The 2022 season has been an interesting one for wide receiver DeVonta Smith. He started off the year with a zero-catch performance against the hapless Lions secondary, but heís since given fantasy managers four 15-plus-point fantasy days in his other five opportunities. However, weíve seen him held below eight targets in all but two games and that should be concerning for fantasy managers this week as the Eagles are more than a 10-point home favorite against the Steelers, which could mean a positive game script in Philadelphia and thus a lower-than-usual passing-to-run ratio. Smith is capable of producing on not so many opportunities so we canít completely count him out, but this juicy matchup against a bad Pittsburgh secondary might not give us as many fantasy points as weíd hope for.

Fade: N/A

Prediction: Eagles 27, Steelers 18 ^ Top

Titans @ Texans - (Ilchuk)
Line: TEN -2.0
Total: 40.5

HOU FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.23
HOU FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.1
HOU FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.21
HOU FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.18

No Brainers: N/A

Favorite: RB Derrick Henry

Thereís not much to talk about here. Henry IS the Titans offense. Heís coming off three straight 100-yard rushing efforts and he actually has eight catches for nearly 75 yards in the same span as well. We wish the Titans would score more touchdowns, and we wish they would call Derrickís number more often when they do. But other than that, thereís not much to like offensively in Tennessee.

On the Fence: TE Austin Hooper

When given the chance, like last week when he caught all three of his targets for 56 yards, Hooper has shown himself to be a capable receiver with playmaking ability. He just doesnít seem to get that chance very often, at least since leaving Atlanta several years ago when he was a considerable weapon in a formidable passing attack. He and QB Ryan Tannehill actually havenít mis-connected on a target since Week 2, and the Tampa 2 defense Texans Lovie Smith still employs in Houston will give up some plays to the TE on the seam. Hooper could have another solid outing this week, or he could split time with two other TEís and get his usual two targets per game. Itís a toss-up.

Fade: WR Robert Woods

Woods has surpassed 40 receiving yards in a game just once this year, and hasnít had more than four catches in a game all season despite being the clear WR1 on this team. Even with Treylon Burks out and no one else stepping up, Woods has vanished, another victim of the Derrick Henry show.



TEN FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.5
TEN FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.25
TEN FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.2
TEN FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.8

No Brainers: N/A

Favorite: RB Dameon Pierce

The big question on Pierce coming into the season as a rookie was whether he could handle the RB1 load, having never been a starter in college. Consider the question answered. Heís coming off four-straight 100-yard rushing efforts and has been a factor as a receiver out of the backfield as well. He appears to be the driving force behind this offense which makes him a low-end RB1 in my book.

On the Fence: QB Davis Mills

Mills is a guy people are always talking about replacing in Houston, but he has been surprisingly solid, even, maybe especially as a fantasy option. He has had at least 30 attempts in all but one game this season, threw for 300 yards last week, and has multiple TD passes in three of his six games. The Titans are yielding the 5th most QB fantasy points per game this season (24.5), so you could do a lot worse than Mills as a bye week fill in.

Fade: WR Brandin Cooks

Even not knowing what the Texans offense would really be this season, I expected Cooks to be better. He has no competition for targets on this team, and as we mentioned above, the QB is doing a pretty nice job. So why has Cooks produced just one touchdown and one game of 60 yards or more? I donít know, and I donít really care. He's off my radar, even with Nico Collins out.

Prediction: Titans 21, Texans 20 ^ Top

Giants @ Seahawks - (Krueger)
Line: SEA -3.0
Total: 44.5

SEA FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.10
SEA FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.5
SEA FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.27
SEA FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.1

No Brainers: RB Saquon Barkley

Favorite: WR WaníDale Robinson

After missing much of the season with a knee injury suffered in Week 1, Robison got his feet wet in Week 6 with a 3-37-0 line against the Ravens on 23% of the snaps. In Week 7, his snap share increased to 69% and he was heavily involved in the first half finishing with a 6-50-0 line on 8 targets against the Jaguars. With the Giants void of playmakers on the outside, Robinson is going to be the target hog when Daniel Jones and Barkley arenít using their legs.

On the Fence: QB Daniel Jones

The Giants quarterback turned in his best fantasy performance of the season last week going 202-1-0 through the air and 11-107-1 on the ground. Heís third among quarterbacks in rushing yards (343) and matches up against a Seahawks team that has been relatively generous to the position, including allowing Kyler Murray to run for 100 yards back in Week 6. Passing volume is a concern for Jones who doesnít have many playmakers on the outside and he just lost his best tight end (Daniel Bellinger) to an eye injury.

Fade: N/A

NYG FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.20
NYG FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.24
NYG FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.30
NYG FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.12

No Brainers: RB Kenneth Walker

Favorite: WR Tyler Lockett (hamstring)

The Seahawks are going to need Lockettís A-game this week with fellow wideout DK Metcalf expected to miss with a knee injury. Lockett has been limited in practice this week with an injury of his own but heís been the on the field the last two week with this ailment and should be out there again barring a setback. Lockett has two 100-yard games under his belt (@SF, @NO) and is probably a lock for 10 targets in this game as the clear No.1 for option Geno Smith.

On the Fence: QB Geno Smith

The health of DK Metcalf (knee) is a big issue for Geno. Despite Pete Carroll not willing to rule out Metcalf, we donít expect him to play leaving only Tyler Lockett (hamstring) and Marquise Goodwin as Genoís top two wideouts against a Giants defense thatís been serviceable against quarterbacks. Trevor Lawrence did throw for 300 yards against this unit last week, the only 300-yard game allowed by the G-men. The Seattle QB has played above expectation this season but I wouldnít expect the trend to continue missing his best outside weapon.

Fade: N/A

Prediction: Seahawks 26, Giants 23 ^ Top

49ers @ Rams - (Krueger)
Line: SF -1.5
Total: 42.5

SF FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.24
SF FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.28
SF FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.15
SF FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.24

No Brainers: TE George Kittle

Favorite: RB Christian McCaffrey

With just a couple days to get acquainted with his new team and the 49ers playbook, McCaffrey turned in a solid performance (8-38-0, 2-24-0) last week against the Chiefs playing only 28% of the snaps. He didnít see any usage on third downs or in the two-minute offense. Expect his usage to increase this week as he gets deeper into the playbook and Shanahan gets more comfortable with his new weapon. The Rams represent a negative matchup for running backs but we donít typically worry about matchups for McCaffrey and Jeff Wilson did have 74 yards and a TD against this bunch back in Week 4. The 49ers do everything fullback Kyle Juszczyk (finger) is expected to miss this game.

On the Fence: WR Deebo Samuel (hamstring)

Deebo torched the Rams back in Week 4 with a 6-115-1 line, his only 100-yard receiving game of the season. His rushing production has taken a drop with only 33 rushing yards since Week 3 and with McCaffrey in the mix, it may not be getting better anytime soon. Still, Deebo is one of the best playmakers on this team and assuming his hamstring checks out, should be a focal point in this game. The Rams are a neutral matchup for the 49ers passing game.

Fade: RB Jeff Wilson

Unfortunately for Wilson thereís a new alpha in town which will relegate him to the No.2 option in the running game. Tyrion Davis-Price seems to be back in the mix (17% snap share last week), further cutting into any Flex value Wilson may have. If we get a hint this weekend that McCaffrey may not see a full workload, Wilson could claw back some of that Flex value but otherwise, he can be safely be left on your bench.

LAR FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.26
LAR FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.30
LAR FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.9
LAR FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.32

No Brainers: WR Cooper Kupp

Favorite: TE Tyler Higbee

Despite already having his bye, Higbee ranks 4th in receptions among tight ends and is still hovering as a low-end fantasy TE1 despite not scoring a touchdown. In their previous matchup back in Week 4, Higbee posted a 10-73-0 line on 14 targets. Weíre not likely to see that volume again but thereís no reason to believe Higbee wonít be a big part of Sean McVayís gameplan in Week 8.

On the Fence: QB Matthew Stafford

As Patrick Mahomes showed last week (423-3-1), you can rack up some numbers against this 49ers defense despite their lofty rankings. Theyíve had the privilege of playing some less than stellar quarterbacks to date including: Justin Fields, Russell Wilson, Baker Mayfield and Marcus Mariota. Problem is, Matthew Stafford and Sean McVay didnít display any greatness in their previous meeting against the defense back in Week 4 where Stafford passed for just 254 yards and failed to throw a touchdown. With a bye week to prepare, Iím expecting a better showing, making Stafford at least a consideration in Week 8.

Fade: RB Darrell Henderson, RB Malcolm Brown

The Ramsí running attack has been a mess all season averaging just 70.5 rushing yards per game and they ranking dead last in fantasy points scored at the position (13.8 FPts/G Ė PPR). The 49ers represent a negative matchup for running backs allowing the 5th fewest fantasy points to the position. Cam Akers remains away from the team and even if Henderson (71% snap share in Wk 6) gets the bulk of the work, heís a very shaky Flex option given the situation.

Prediction: 49ers 27, Rams 23 ^ Top

Commanders @ Colts - (Ilchuk)
Line: IND -3.0
Total: 39.5

IND FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.22
IND FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.11
IND FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.32
IND FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.10

No Brainers: None

Favorite: RB Brian Robinson Jr.

Robinson has begun to establish himself as the lead dog with 37 carries for 130+ ground yards over the last two games, while former WR Antonio Gibson has still held onto some carries and seems to be stepping into more of a receiving role. The Colts are allowing almost 125 yards on the ground per game, so it feels like a spot where HC Ron Rivera will want to run the ball, not only to set a rhythm for his offense, but to set up play action for QB Taylor Heinickeís downfield shots in the passing game. Robinson is a solid RB2 play this week.

On the Fence: WR Curtis Samuel

Samuel had developed a nice chemistry with Carson Wentz. But with Heinicke now under center, at least initially, he seems to have taken a back seat to Terry McLaurin in the target hunt. Heinicke likes to push the ball down the field, which is McLaurinís domain. Samuel still had a solid 5-53 day last week with his new QB, but he might not get as many looks as heís used to going forward.

Fade: RB J.D. McKissic

It seems that with the emergence of Brian Robinson Jr., the backfield dynamic in Washington has changed. Antonio Gibson took on more of a receiving role last week, leaving McKissic on the outside looking in. After posting at least five catches in three of the first five games, heís been shut out two weeks in a row and hardly even been on the field. Unless the Commanders get into a shootout, or one of the two aforementioned guys gets hurt, McKissic seems destined for some serious bench time.

WAS FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.14
WAS FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.16
WAS FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.8
WAS FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.30

No Brainers: RB Jonathan Taylor

Favorite: QB Sam Ehlinger

Ehlinger is among the top storylines in the NFL this week as he takes the reins from Matt Ryan. Ehlinger actually looked very good in limited snaps this preseason, and what he brings to the table is mobility Ė both in the pocket, and outside the pocket where he has proven to be an accurate passer on the run who can also tuck it and make plays with his legs. Playing behind a shaky o-line, against a Washington defense that has 19 sacks on the season, that element of his game may come in handy.

This is a bit of a flyer pick obviously, but Washington is allowing nearly 7.0 yards per attempt and has given up 14 TDs through the air. How many times have we seen these first-time starters, who donít have a lot of film out there, light it up in their first couple starts? It happens a lot, and Ehlinger has the playmaking ability to make some noise until opposing DCís figure him out.

On the Fence: WR Parris Campbell

Over the last two games, Campbell has been emerging as a focal point of the passing attack with 23 targets over the two contests, far away the leader on the team. But with QB Matt Ryan now on sideline, it remains to be seen how he fits into the offense. As productive as heís been, itís hard to stick with him not knowing what this attack will look like when the ball is in Ehlingerís hands.

Fade: TE Jelani Woods

There had been some talk in the Indy media about an increased role for Woods. It hasnít panned out, and even if it eventually does, heís still sharing snaps not only with Mo Alie-Cox, but with Kylen Granson as well.

Prediction: Colts 31, Commanders 20 ^ Top

Packers @ Bills - (Caron)
Line: BUF -11.0
Total: 48.0

BUF FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.28
BUF FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.29
BUF FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.24
BUF FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.21

No Brainers: N/A

Favorite: RB Aaron Jones

There hasnít been much to be excited about in the Packersí offense this season, but at least Aaron Jones has given fantasy managers an RB1 season up to this point. Many believed that this would be a split backfield with AJ Dillon, but Jones has been by far the more productive player between the two, especially in the passing game, where he caught nine passes this past week, including a pair of touchdowns. Jones does have a very difficult matchup this week against a Bills defense that has given up the fourth-fewest fantasy points per game to opposing running backs so far this season, but Jones has played more than twice as many snaps as Dillon over the past three weeks, so he should be in line for a decent number of opportunities yet again, especially if the Packers fall behind on the scoreboard.

On the Fence: WR Romeo Doubs

Rookie wide receiver Romeo Doubs has not been the breakout player that a lot of experts were predicting heading into the season and things got really bad this past week when he was shut out on the scoreboard for the first time in his career, on just four targets. This would normally mean that heíd fall firmly within the ďfadeĒ section of this article, but the Packers may not have many other options to pass the ball to this week. Allen Lazard (shoulder) is not expected to play, Randall Cobb is still out, and fellow rookie Christian Watson and veteran Sammy Watkins are both dealing with hamstring injuries that have limited them in practice. Thereís a real chance that Doubs is clearly the teamís WR1 this week in what is expected to be a negative game script situation, with the Packers being over 10-point underdogs against the Bills. This is more of a hopeful-volume play than anything else, but those in need could do worse than Doubs.

Fade: QB Aaron Rodgers

The Packers are likely going to be very limited at pass catcher this week and while that plays well for the likes of Romeo Doubs, Robert Tonyan and Aaron Jones, thatís not exactly true for the quarterback. Even if Rodgers had all of his pass catchers, though, heís been decidedly average this season and very unlike his back-to-back-MVP self. Certainly, Rodgers is the kind of player who provides a decent weekly floor, but his upside is minimal this week and there are probably players on your leagueís waiver wire who give you a better opportunity to win in Week 8.

GB FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.31
GB FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.12
GB FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.26
GB FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.29

No Brainers: QB Josh Allen, WR Stefon Diggs

Favorite: RB Devin Singletary

Devin Singletary might just be the leagueís most under-the-radar bell cow back this season. The Bills running back played a whopping 63 snaps this past week while rookie James Cook saw the only other snaps running back and was on the field for just 10. Thatís now the third time in four weeks that Singletary has played at least 56 offensive snaps. Not surprisingly, those three games are his all of his best fantasy performances so far this season. Look for Singletary to get another heavy opportunity share this week in what could be a great game script for him if the Bills get out to an early lead.

On the Fence: WR Gabriel Davis

Gabe Davis continues to be a low-volume player who somehow provides big splash plays in the Buffalo offense. He hasnít yet been targeted more than six times in any game, yet heís produced three games of 16 or more fantasy points, including 48.5 fantasy points over his past two games prior to the Billsí Week 7 bye. Itís always tough to fully trust a player who could end up only getting something like three targets in a game, but heís shown us an ability to make fantasy owners happy on very limited opportunities.

Fade: TE Dawson Knox

Anytime you ďfadeĒ a Bills player, youíre risking that player going off for multiple touchdowns, but this seems like a good time to bench tight end Dawson Knox. While heís coming off of his best performance of the season, Knox has still not caught more than four passes in any game yet this year and heís only caught the one touchdown reception that he made in Week 6 against the Chiefs. Knox is another one in the gigantic ďtouchdown-or-bustĒ group at tight end, but there are likely better options on teams that might end up needing to pass the ball more than the Bills will against the Packers.

Prediction: Bills 31, Packers 20 ^ Top

Bengals @ Browns - (Green)
Line: CIN -3.0
Total: 45.0

CLE FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.19
CLE FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.4
CLE FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.20
CLE FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.27

No Brainers: QB Joe Burrow, RB Joe Mixon, WR Tee Higgins

Favorite: N/A

On the Fence: TE Hayden Hurst

With Burrow joining the no-brainers, there are only two players on the Bengals to be considered for spot duty each week. Hurst is one of them. While he hasnít reached the highs of Tyler Boyd, the offseason pickup has been a bit steadier, finishing with five or more receptions in four of the teamís seven games. The Browns are coming off a game in which they blanked Mark Andrews, but donít read too much into that as the Ravens wanted to run the ball with Lamar Jackson attempting just 16 passes. Hurst is a fringe No. 1 tight end option.

Update: With Ja'Marr Chase out, Boyd is now a Flex consideration in most leagues.

Fade: WR Tyler Boyd

In seven games this season, Boyd has delivered meaningful fantasy value twice. That includes last Sunday when he torched the woeful Falcons secondary for eight catches, 155 yards, and a touchdown. The veteran faced the Browns once in 2021 and came away from it with just a single catch for 11 yards. Boyd is something of a lottery ticket each week, so if youíre desperate you can roll him out as your WR3 or flex, but the odds donít appear to be in your favor this Monday.

CIN FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.30
CIN FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.31
CIN FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.28
CIN FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.16

No Brainers: RB Nick Chubb

Favorite: WR Amari Cooper

With David Njoku (ankle) out of action this Monday, Cooper should serve as the clear top target for Jacoby Brissett. The veteran has scored in four of the teamís last six games and outside of a dismal Week 4 effort he has delivered playable value each week during that stretch. The Bengals have been tough against opposing passing games, ranking ninth in the NFL with 202.1 yards allowed contest, but donít let that scare you off Cooper, who could serve as a low-end WR2 or strong WR3.

On the Fence: WR Donovan Peoples-Jones

Once again, we look to the Njoku injury to elevate DPJís usage for Week 8. In fairness, Peoples-Jones has quietly been playing well recently. In his last four games he has topped 70 yards three times, and in the other game he still had a respectable 50 yards on four grabs. The issue is DPJís deep work has dried up. For the season heís averaging 12.9 yards per catch, well down from the 17.6 he averaged last year. He also hasnít caught a touchdown pass since Nov. 7, 2021. Even with that, Peoples-Jones could fill a flex spot with modest upside.

Fade: RB Kareem Hunt

Despite his snap counts remaining fairly consistent, Hunt’s usage has fallen off a cliff over the past two games with the complementary back logging just 10 total touches and being completely phased out of the passing game (three targets, one catch). Hunt missed both games against Cincy last year due to injury, and until he reemerges as a key cog in this offense he shouldn’t be relied on as more than a flex with upside.

Prediction: Bengals 27, Browns 23 ^ Top