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Inside the Matchup

Week 13

By: Andy Swanson | Jason Katz | Nick Caron | HC Green

Sunday Early:



Sunday Late:

LAR @ ARI | NYG @ SEA | PHI @ GB | NE @ LAC | DEN @ KC


WAS @ PIT | BUF @ ARI-49ers



- Green highllight indicates plus matchup (top eight)
- Red highlight indicates negative matchup (bottom eight)

Saints @ Falcons - (Swanson)
Line: NO -3.0
Total: 45.5

Passing Game Thoughts: Taysom Hill and the New Orleans Saints head to Atlanta to take on the Falcons at the Mercedes Benz Stadium. In two games as a starter, Hill has a pair of rushing touchdowns and topped 20 points against both the Falcons back in Week 11 and the Broncos in Denver last Sunday.

After completing an impressive 78% of his passes against the Falcons in his first start, Hill struggled to pass the ball against the Broncos, with 78 yards on nine of 16 passing. Look for Hill to put up numbers closer to what he did in his first start vs. Atlanta, with around 200 passing yards to go with at least one rushing touchdown, making him a solid QB1 play.

Michael Thomas had his first 100-yard game of the season against Atlanta in Week 11, with nine catches for 104 yards on 12 targets. If he gets that type of volume again this week, he will finish as a WR1. If the Saints defense shuts down Matt Ryan and the passing game, Thomas and the other passing options could disappoint.

From a matchup standpoint, the Falcons entered last week’s game against the Raiders allowing the most points to quarterbacks. Those poor souls who streamed Derek Carr can attest that the Falcons are playing much better defense as of late and the season-long points against stat is a little misleading.

Guard Andrus Peat missed the Bronco game due to a concussion that he sustained against the Falcons in Week 11. If he is cleared in the concussion protocol and can return to the field, he would give a boost to both the passing and rushing game for the Saints.

Starting Jared Cook or any Saints tight end with Hill under center is not advised. Tight ends have logged 35 total receiving yards in the last two games, effectively making Cook a must-bench until Drew Brees returns.

ATL FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.2
ATL FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.29
ATL FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.2
ATL FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.1

Running Game Thoughts: The Saints running backs have combined to score the most fantasy points at the position, with Alvin Kamara and Latavius Murray combining to score 16 total touchdowns and just over 2000 total yards.

Murray rushed for a season-high 124 yards and a pair of scores against the Broncos, while Kamara was seldom used for 11 carries for 54 yards, as the dynamic runner continues to nurse a nagging foot injury.

Kamara owners cannot be happy with the transition to Hill and a running quarterback, as Kamara posted his two lowest-scoring games of the season in Weeks 11 and 12. Those owners should continue to play Kamara with the upside of a score, but his one reception for negative two yards in those games is striking.

Value Meter:
QB1: Taysom Hill (Low-End)
RB1: Alvin Kamara (Low-End)
WR2: Michael Thomas (Low-End)
WR3: Emmanuel Sanders (Low-End)
TE2: Jared Cook (High-End)

Passing Game Thoughts: The New Orleans Saints DST leads the league in fantasy points scored over the past three weeks, with an average of 10.3 fantasy points. Their 13 sacks are tied with the Seahawks for the most during that span, and no other team has more interceptions (7) since Week 9.

Matt Ryan and the Falcons helped boost the scoring for New Orleans with eight saves and two interceptions in the 24-9 shellacking at the Super Dome in Week 11. Ryan was under constant pressure, and the Saints shut down the rushing attack of Todd Gurley and Brian Hill.

No other team has given up fewer points to opposing running backs in 2020, leaving Matt Ryan and the passing game as the only viable way to beat the Saints. Atlanta will need to figure out their protection scheme and move to a short passing attack to mitigate the New Orleans pass rush.

It would also help to run screen passes and quick throws to running backs out of the backfield, but for some reason, the Falcons have not done well throwing to running backs. They are one of only five teams who have yet to post a receiving touchdown to a running back.

The Falcons passing offense is not the same without Julio Jones. Jones missed last week’s game against the Raiders with a hamstring injury. Interim head coach Raheem Morris told reporters on Monday that he is hopeful to have both Jones and Gurley back for the Saints, but he is not certain they will be on the field this Sunday.

Both Julio and Gurley did not practice on Thursday after logging limited practices on Wednesday. Keep a close eye on both players, as they are likely going to be game-time decisions on Sunday morning.

NO FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.27
NO FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.32
NO FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.22
NO FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.18

Running Game Thoughts: With Gurley on the sidelines, the Falcons used both Ito Smith and Brian Hill in an even timeshare, with Smith scoring the lone rushing touchdown.

Unless you are hoping for Gurley to play and get a rushing touchdown, this is a backfield to avoid most weeks, and certainly one to avoid against the league’s best rush defense in the Saints.

New Orleans has yet to give up a 100-yard rusher, and no opposing back has scored a touchdown, receiving or rushing, since Adrian Peterson reached the end zone in Week 4. Unless you are desperate, you should strongly consider other options in what could be another lopsided loss for the Falcons and a rough game on the ground for Gurley if he can return to the field.

Value Meter:
QB2: Matt Ryan (High-End)
RB2: Todd Gurley (Low-End)
WR1: Julio Jones (Low-End)
WR2: Calvin Ridley (Low-End)
TE2: Hayden Hurst (High-End)

Prediction: New Orleans 24, Atlanta 7 ^ Top

Lions @ Bears - (Green)
Line: CHI -3.0
Total: 45.0

Passing Game Thoughts: Forced to play without Kenny Golladay (hip), D'Andre Swift (concussion) and Danny Amendola (hip) for a second straight game, Matthew Stafford passed for 295 yards, a touchdown and an interception in a Thanksgiving loss that signaled the end of the Matt Patricia Era. That moves Darrell Bevell into the top job, though it's unclear how much will change for Stafford. He threw for 297 yards, 1 TD and 1 INT against Chicago in Week 1, which seems like a reasonable projection for the rematch and keeps Stafford in QB2 territory.

Golladay missed the Week 1 meeting and looks likely to miss the rematch as he hasn't been able to practice this week due to an ongoing hip injury that dates back to Nov. 1. Assuming he doesn't go, Marvin Jones (6-48-0) should be the primary receiver and a middling WR3. He'll likely be joined by Amendola, who appears set to return after a hip issue kept him out of the action the past two games. T.J. Hockenson (5-89-0) is the passing game's top weapon with Golladay out and is a solid TE1.

Entering play last Sunday night, the Bears had allowed just 12 TD passes all season. They gave up four to Aaron Rodgers in by far their worst showing of 2020, allowing 41 points through three quarters (their previous high points allowed for the year was 26). Look for the Bears and their 11th-ranked pass defense to be fired up this Sunday.

CHI FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.30
CHI FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.24
CHI FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.30
CHI FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.2

Running Game Thoughts: Facing one of the worst run defenses in football, the Lions turned to Adrian Peterson (15-55-2) and Kerryon Johnson (11-46-0) with Swift out due to a concussion. Swift has since cleared protocol but is now dealing with a non-COVID illness. Assuming he's able to work through it he should be the primary back and an RB2 against the Bears. Chicago's run defense had no answers against Green Bay, giving up 182 yards on the ground, but they hope to get anchor Akiem Hicks (hamstring) back from injury. For the year, the Bears have allowed 121.2 rushing yards per game.

Value Meter:
QB2: Matthew Stafford
RB2: D'Andre Swift (inj)
WR3: Marvin Jones
TE1: T.J. Hockenson
Bench: Kenny Golladay (inj), Adrian Peterson

Passing Game Thoughts: Back in the saddle for the first time since being benched in Week 3, Mitchell Trubisky delivered about what we've come to expect. He threw a pair of interceptions and had a fumble returned for a touchdown before rallying in garbage time to post a respectable 242 yards and three TD passes against the Packers. While he's normally the type of quarterback you want to avoid in fantasy leagues, Trubisky has had Detroit's number over the years, including a 242-yard, three-TD outing against the Lions in Week 1 -- it was his third consecutive game with three TD passes versus Detroit.

It doesn't matter who is delivering the ball, Allen Robinson is the Bears passing attack. He caught eight passes for 74 yards and two TDs against the Packers on Sunday night and now has a 71-829-5 line for the year; Darnell Mooney is second on the team in receiving with 385 yards, less than half of Robinson's total. Jimmy Graham (3-32-0) remains on a downward trajectory after a solid start and has scored just once in his last six games. Outside of Robinson as a WR1 you can safely avoid the rest of Chicago's receivers and tight ends.

If you watched on Thanksgiving you got a pretty good idea of Detroit's struggles in the secondary as Deshaun Watson passed for 318 yards and four TDs on 17 completions. The Lions have since placed nominal top CB Desmond Trufant (hamstring) on IR, which further weakens an already shaky group. If there was ever a week to roll the dice on Trubisky as a risky upside play, this is it.

DET FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.7
DET FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.1
DET FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.9
DET FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.26

Running Game Thoughts: David Montgomery returned to action last Sunday after missing the last game before the bye with a concussion. He turned a simple run up the middle into a 57-yard gain to jumpstart his best game of 2020, finishing with 143 total yards and a touchdown. While not a top talent, Montgomery runs hard and should hold RB2 appeal against the Lions, which sit 28th in the NFL in run defense with 133.4 yards per game allowed.

Value Meter:
QB2: Mitchell Trubisky
RB2: David Montgomery
WR1: Allen Robinson
Bench: Darnell Mooney, Jimmy Graham

Prediction: Bears 27, Lions 21 ^ Top

Colts @ Texans - (Swanson)
Line: IND -3.0
Total: 51.0

Passing Game Thoughts: Philip Rivers and the Indianapolis Colts head to Houston this week, licking their wounds after getting beat up by Derrick Henry, Ryan Tannehill, and the Titans. The Titans took advantage of injuries to the defensive front of the Colts and exposed the Colts in the secondary.

The good news for Rivers and the Colts is they now play a Texans defense that ranks 20th in fantasy points allowed to quarterbacks and is one of the worst rush defenses in the league. Look for the Colts to get back to running the ball this week with Jonathan Taylor returning from the COVID-IR list. Only the Lions give up more fantasy points to running backs than the Texans, and the Texans will be without their best wide receiver and cornerback.

For the passing game, the Texans losing Bradley Roby is a hit to an already suspect secondary. We still do not like Rivers for fantasy purposes, but we do think the tight ends for the Colts, and Michael Pittman Jr. are interesting options.

Pittman Jr. burned fantasy owners last week with two catches for 28 yards. While that is obviously terrible production, the fact that he got nine targets is reassuring, and the Texans have given up a whopping 15 receiving touchdowns to wide receivers this season. It would not surprise us to see Pittman Jr. reach the end zone, with around five catches for 80 yards.

Of the tight ends, Trey Burton continues to lead the bunch in targets and is the one to play in this game.

An area of concern for the Colts is the loss of starting left tackle Anthony Castonzo to a sprained knee. J.J Watt is not the same player he was a few years ago, but he is certainly capable of making Rivers’ life miserable with Chaz Green playing in place of Castonzo.

HOU FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.19
HOU FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.2
HOU FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.11
HOU FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.16

Running Game Thoughts: For a team that many considered to have the best offensive line, the Colts have been shockingly inept and running the ball in 2020. As a team, the Colts rank 15th in total rushing yards by a unit, with just seven rushing touchdowns.

What has saved them from a fantasy perspective has been a few breakout games by Nyheim Hines, including 115 total yards and two scores against the Titans back in Week 10. Although the Texans have given up just one receiving touchdown to tight ends, they have allowed nearly 500 receiving yards and 53 catches to backs.

Fire up Hines, and hope he has one of those monster games both on the ground and in the air.

If there were ever a game for Taylor to excel, this would be it. The Texans cannot stop anyone on the ground with eight different players topping ten fantasy points this season. The latest is Adrian Peterson, who scored two rushing touchdowns against Houston on Thanksgiving.

The absence of Castonzo on outside zone rushing plays will hurt Taylor a bit, and the fact that the team uses a hot-hand approach coach once again limit his value if Hines goes off. But regardless of both issues, if you have held onto Taylor this long, this is the game for you to start him.

Value Meter:
QB2: Philip Rivers (Mid-Range)
RB2: Jonathan Taylor (Low-End)
RB2: Nyheim Hines (Low-End)
WR3: Michael Pittman Jr. (High-End)
WR4: T.Y. Hilton (High-End)
TE1: Trey Burton (Low-End)

Passing Game Thoughts: After a slow start to the season that included tough matchups against the Steelers, Ravens, and Chiefs, Deshaun Watson has been on fire as of late, with back-to-back 34-point games against the Patriots and Lions.

During that span, only Patrick Mahomes has more passing yards and points. This week’s matchup against a Colts defense that gave up back-to-back big performances to Aaron Rodgers and Ryan Tannehill would have been a good play; however, top wide receiver Will Fuller is out for the remainder of the season for failing the league’s policy on performance-enhancing drugs.

The team moved on from veteran Kenny Stills, and Randall Cobb is out with an injury. That leaves Keke Coutee and Brandin Cooks as the only two remaining starters for Watson. Both are talented wide receivers with fantasy value, but they both are not as effective without the threat of Fuller in the lineup.

Pass-catching tight end Jordan Akins could get a nice boost in volume with Fuller out of the picture. Akins did nothing against the Lions last week, but he was very active vs. New England, with five catches for 83 yards and a score. If you are a Gronk owner looking for a bye-week fill-in, Akins might be your guy.

The Texans have no injuries outside of Cobb that would affect the outcome of this game for fantasy purposes. The Colts, on the other hand, have injuries to starting strong safety Khari Willis and backup nickel-corner Isaiah Rodgers. Willis suffered a quad injury as is going to play through it, but could be limited in his coverage abilities on deep passes to Cooks.

IND FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.29
IND FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.20
IND FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.26
IND FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.30

Running Game Thoughts: Starting running back David Johnson is eligible to return off of IR and is still trying to come back from a concussion. We did not know at this time if he will be able to play and start, and Duke Johnson would get the majority of carries again if David Johnson is out.

Duke Johnson had a nice game last week against the Lions, with 80 total yards and a receiving touchdown. He did share carries with C.J. Prosise, who also posted a receiving touchdown from Deshaun Watson.

One of the reasons why the Titans found so much success running the ball against the Colts, outside of the fact that Derrick Henry is a beast, was the absence of DeForest Buckner in the middle of the defensive line. According to head coach Frank Reich, Buckner is making good progress, but he is not certain if he will play this week.

Value Meter:
QB1: Deshaun Watson (Mid-Range)
RB2: David Johnson (Low-End)
RB3: Duke Johnson (Low-End)
WR2: Brandin Cooks (High-End)
WR3: Keke Coutee (High-End)
TE1: Jordan Akins (Low-End)

Prediction: Indianapolis 28, Houston 21 ^ Top

Raiders at Jets - (Katz)
Line: LV -8.0
Total: 47.5

Passing Game Thoughts: Derek Carr is coming off one of the most embarrassing quarterback performances of the season. He failed to throw for a touchdown against the worst pass defense in the NFL and somehow managed to lose three fumbles on top of throwing an interception. He did not score a single fantasy point.

With that being said, fantasy managers, like Carr, would be wise to have a short memory as the Jets are the ideal bounce back spot. No team allows more fantasy points per game to quarterbacks than the Falcons, but the Jets are a close third.

In addition to Carr, Darren Waller could be in line for a big game. The Jets allow 0.82 touchdowns per game to the tight end position, the highest rate in the league. Hunter Renfrow was back to being the most targeted wide receiver last week, but I still prefer Nelson Agholor (ankle). He has the higher ceiling and has 15 targets over the past two weeks. Just be sure to check the practice reports as Agholor did not practice Wednesday or Thursday. Henry Ruggs III is nothing more than a burner. Bryan Edwards was up to 30% of the snaps last week, but he’s not taking on a more significant role anytime soon.

NYJ FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.4
NYJ FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.9
NYJ FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.6
NYJ FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.6

Running Game Thoughts: Josh Jacobs came out of last week’s game with an ankle sprain. It’s considered minor and as of now, but I have a feeling he’s not going to play. Devontae Booker has looked just as good as Jacobs in a relief role and would be an RB1 if Jacobs were to sit. Whichever back starts this week has a great matchup against a Jets defense that allows 25 fantasy points per game to running backs. Jets’ opponents also tend to target running backs a lot, doing so 23% of the time. Jacobs has never been a big factor in the passing game, targeted three times or fewer in six games this season, but throwing to running backs could be part of the game plan. Projected positive game script will also benefit the running backs. The Jets have allowed 12 rushing scores this season and are a good bet to surrender another one this week.

Value Meter:
QB1: Derek Carr (low end)
RB1: Josh Jacobs or Devontae Booker (low end)
WR3: Nelson Agholor (if he plays)
TE1: Darren Waller (high end)
Flex: Hunter Renfrow (if Agholor sits)
Bench: Booker (if Jacobs plays), Bryan Edwards

Passing Game Thoughts: The only thing standing between the definitive certainty that Sam Darnold is a bust is the fact that history has proven Adam Gase ruins everything. Darnold hasn’t thrown a touchdown since Week 3. His season high in passing yards is 230 and he’s thrown for more than 200 yards just twice. That naturally caps the upside for any Jets’ receiver. Even so, Denzel Mims is a sneaky play this week. He’s been a 90% snap share player since returning from injury and has at least seven targets in four of his five games.

With that being said, the Raiders struggle at defending the slot, so this could be a bounce back week for Jamison Crowder, who was on fire to start the season, but has since cooled off considerably. Crowder is averaging just under four targets over his past three games. That could increase considerably this week. Breshad Perriman isn’t getting big volume, but he’s averaging 16 yards per reception. There are talented pieces here that could be fantasy viable if Darnold could just improve a little bit.

LV FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.10
LV FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.4
LV FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.14
LV FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.19

Running Game Thoughts: We live in a world where Frank Gore touched the ball 21 times. He’s only a playing a little more than half the snaps, but he’s dominating touches. Without a touchdown, Gore is nothing more than a floor play; a “he won’t get you zero” guy, but you could do worse in a pinch. The Raiders allow just 113 rushing yards per game, but 17% of their receiving yards allowed have gone to running backs. Gore is typically a zero in the passing game, but he does have seven receptions over his past three games. That’s not much, but it’s more than he usually gets. Despite Gore’s sub 60% snap share, no other running back picks up the rest of the snaps, as the Jets just go without a running back. Ty Johnson probably deserves a chance at the primary role because what do the Jets have to lose (besides every game), but Adam Gase is playing 4D chess using an 89 year-old running back in a lost season.

Value Meter:
WR3: Denzel Mims
Flex: Jamison Crowder, Frank Gore
Bench: Sam Darnold, Breshad Perriman

Prediction: Raiders 28, Jets 17 ^ Top

Browns @ Titans - (Swanson)
Line: TEN -6.0
Total: 54.0

Passing Game Thoughts: After hanging on to beat Mike Glennon and the Jacksonville Jaguars 27-25 in Week 12, the Browns face a much more difficult matchup this week against Derrick Henry and the Tennessee Titans.

The Titans boast the leagues’ top running back in Henry and a budding superstar in wide receiver A.J. Brown. Ryan Tannehill continues to be a viable QB1, and Corey Davis has quietly put together a solid season.

One thing the Titans do not have is a strong defense when it comes to limiting fantasy production. Tennessee is one of a few teams who rank in the bottom seven in points allowed to both quarterbacks and running backs. Eight quarterbacks have posted at least 20 fantasy points vs. the Titans, including Gardner Minshew scoring 30 points back in Week 2.

At this point in the season, it may be difficult to start Baker Mayfield if you are in the playoff hunt, but his outlook does make it easier to plug in the receiving options of Jarvis Landry and Austin Hooper.

The Browns are a run-first team and want to keep the Titans offense off the field. But chances are that Tannehill and Henry will have a ton of success against Cleveland and will force Kevin Stefanski to throw the ball more than he would like.

The Titans have given up a touchdown to a tight end in each of their last three games. Austin Hooper is someone who should be in play this week and could end up as a top-5 tight end vs. Tennessee.

TEN FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.5
TEN FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.7
TEN FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.4
TEN FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.7

Running Game Thoughts: This game features two of the league’s best rushing attacks, with Derrick Henry going against the tandem of Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt.

Hunt and Chubb are both on pace to rush for 1000 yards, with the latter averaging a ridiculous 6.3 yards per carry. Chubb’s 16-game pace puts him at 1,643 yards and 14 touchdowns, making him easily one of the best pure runners in the game.

Hunt has not been as efficient as a runner compared to Chubb, but his 22 receptions for 151 yards and four receiving touchdowns makes up for his 4.5 rushing average. Both players are excellent plays in this game and should be in your lineup.

If the Titans steamroll the Browns defense like they did last week against the Colts, look for Hunt to get more passing work than usual. Chubb is still a must start and could continue his streak of three-straight 100-yard games against a defense that gives up an average of 92 yards per game.

Two injuries to keep an eye on are tackle Jack Conklin and center JC Tretter, two of the best offensive linemen on the team. Both are dealing with knee injuries, and both posted limited practice sessions on Thursday.

Value Meter:
QB2: Baker Mayfield (High-End)
RB1: Nick Chubb (High-End)
RB2: Kareem Hunt (High-End)
WR2: Jarvis Landry (Low-End)
TE1: Austin Hooper (High-End)

Passing Game Thoughts: Ryan Tannehill threw for 221 yards and a score and rushed for another touchdown to score 21.4 fantasy points against the Colts. Tannehill is the No. 9 ranked QB in fantasy points and is quietly posting the best season of his career.

The Browns defense presents an excellent matchup for Tannehill and all of the passing options on the Titans. Cleveland ranks 8th on the season in points allowed to quarterbacks and will likely be without their top cornerback in Denzel Ward.

If Carson Went and Mike Glennon can reach 20 fantasy points vs. the Browns, the chances are that Ryan Tannehill can do the same.

Fire up A.J. Brown with confidence. The second-year wide receiver has a score in all but two of his games this season and continues to be one of the more consistent players at the position. His 12.4 points per game are fifth on the season, and his 66.67% average for WR1 performances his third best.

If you need a secondary option with upside, you should consider Corey Davis. The Browns have given up big games to No.2 or No.3 wide receivers like Collin Johnson, Tee Higgins, Dontrell Inman, and Willie Snead.

Davis has 250 yards receiving in his last three games, including 113 yards against the Ravens two weeks ago. Don’t be surprised to see him finish with around 80 yards and a score.

The usage of tight end Jonnu Smith has been a head-scratcher for both fantasy managers and Titans fans. Just when it looked like Smith would become a star, with five touchdowns in his first four games, only to post three games in a row with less than 30 receiving yards and zero touchdowns.

He is a risky play with upside, and the Browns do give up the 6th-most points to opposing tight ends.

CLE FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.8
CLE FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.23
CLE FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.10
CLE FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.4

Running Game Thoughts: Derrick Henry continues to make all fantasy analysts look silly for not ranking him as the No.2 running back after CMC. Heck, Henry should have garnered more consideration as the No.1 player in drafts.

King Henry leads the league with 1257 rushing yards on 256 carries, with 12 rushing touchdowns. His 207 points trail only Dalvin Cook, and he has just two games of less than ten fantasy points.

You are starting Henry regardless of matchup, and he should have a field day against a defense that just gave up 150 total yards and a rushing touchdown to James Robinson.

Henry is a lock for at least 80 yards and a score, with the upside of another monster multi-touchdown game like he dropped on the Colts last week.

Value Meter:
QB1: Ryan Tannehill (Mid-Range)
RB1: Derrick Henry (Elite)
WR1: A.J. Brown (High-End)
WR3: Corey Davis (High-End)
TE1: Jonnu Smith (High-End)

Prediction: Tennessee 30, Cleveland 21 ^ Top

Bengals at Dolphins - (Katz)
Line: MIA -11.5
Total: 42.0

Passing Game Thoughts: It was not Ryan Finley, but Brandon Allen who started last week in the Bengals’ narrow loss to the Giants. Allen was about as bad as we could’ve imagined, throwing for just 136 yards. He evenly distributed targets between Tee Higgins, Tyler Boyd, and checkdown option Drew Sample. Higgins salvaged his day with a late touchdown, but it’s very clear that neither Higgins nor any Bengal is trustworthy anymore. Even against a Dolphins team that sees 70% of the targets against it go to wide receivers, Higgins, as well as Boyd, are risky starts in the post Joe Burrow era. It’s difficult to envision Allen exceeding 200 passing yards so there just aren’t enough yards to go around. Boyd’s three catches for 15 yards were both season lows. He previously had at least four receptions in every game. As for Sample, I wouldn’t make much of this five target effort. He’s not fantasy viable. My sources continue to tell me A.J. Green is rostered in fantasy leagues and I continue to not understand why.

MIA FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.16
MIA FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.16
MIA FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.15
MIA FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.25

Running Game Thoughts: The problem with Giovani Bernard is not so much Samaje Perine – it’s the Bengals offense. Without Burrow, this team is going to struggle to score any points or sustain any drives. Bernard has totaled 55 yards or fewer in his last three games, so he wasn’t really producing even with Burrow. He did play a season high 78% of the snaps last week, but he’s nothing more than a volume based floor play. The Dolphins allow just a 17% target share to running backs and are middle of the road in defending the ground game. There is no ceiling with Bernard. He’s not good enough and this offense isn’t good enough. We are not going to be seeing Joe Mixon until 2021.

Value Meter:
WR3: Tee Higgins
WR3: Tyler Boyd
Flex: Giovani Bernard
Bench: Brandon Allen, A.J. Green, Samaje Perine

Passing Game Thoughts: The Dolphins probably never should’ve benched Ryan Fitzpatrick in the first place. He picked up right where he left off with a shellacking of the Jets. I expect Tua Tagovailoa to remain on the bench as long as Fitzpatrick keeps winning, especially with Brian Flores having the built in excuse of blaming an injury, when, in reality, Fitzpatrick is just the better quarterback right now. Excluding Week 1, Fitzpatrick has scored at least 18 fantasy points in all of his starts.

The Bengals are a pass funnel defense that particularly struggles to defend wide receivers. DeVante Parker is setup to absolutely smash this week. He’s coming off his best game of the season with 8-119 on a season high 14 targets. The Dolphins are currently bereft of pass catchers so Parker is going to get all the targets he can handle.

Second on the team in targets with just five was Mike Gesicki. Normally, I’d dismiss Gesicki because he’s not good, but the Bengals have allowed a league high 25% of receiving yards against them to go to the tight end position. Given the state of the position in fantasy, Gesicki is bordering on a must start if you have him. Jakeem Grant and Mack Hollins are not fantasy relevant.

CIN FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.14
CIN FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.18
CIN FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.13
CIN FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.5

Running Game Thoughts: The only thing we can be sure of in the Dolphins backfield is the answer is never Matt Breida. DeAndre Washington (hamstring) had played all of four snaps prior to last week’s 48% snap share. He carried the ball 13 times and saw five targets. cannot return this week. Given how close Myles Gaskin was to playing last week, I do expect him to be active and back in his pre-injury role. Salvon Ahmed (shoulder) certainly proved capable in Gaskin’s absence, but his status is also uncertain. The Bengals may be a pass funnel defense, but as we saw with the Giants last week, that’s not necessarily a negative for the running backs, as efficient passing opens up scoring opportunities. If Gaskin plays, I like him enough to start him. If not, this is probably a backfield to avoid.

Value Meter:
QB1: Ryan Fitzpatrick (low end)
RB2: Myles Gaskin (low end, if he plays)
WR1: DeVante Parker (low end)
TE1: Mike Gesicki (mid-range)
Flex: Salvon Ahmed (if Gaskin doesn’t play)
Bench: Matt Breida, DeAndre Washington, Jakeem Grant

Prediction: Dolphins 27, Bengals 10 ^ Top

Jaguars @ Vikings - (Green)
Line: MIN -10.0
Total: 52.0

Passing Game Thoughts: With Gardner Minshew still bothered by a thumb injury and Jake Luton playing like a sixth-round rookie, the Jaguars turned to Mike Glennon last Sunday. Making his first start since 2017, the journeyman passed for 235 yards and a pair of touchdowns while nearly leading his club to an upset win over Cleveland. It was enough that Doug Marrone has elected to stick with Glennon even though Minshew has been deemed ready to return.

Glennon's moderate success was made all the more impressive by the fact that he did it without top receiver D.J. Chark (hip) and Chris Conley (hip). Both have practiced in limited fashion this week, so there's hope they could return. Chark would be the big one, as he provides a downfield threat that nobody else in Jacksonville can match. The team did get Laviska Shenault back with the rookie accounting for 37 yards in his return from a hamstring injury. Collin Johnson (4-96-1) actually led the way, but he'd need to show more before we advocate he be plucked off waivers.

Secondary play has been a season-long issue for the Vikings, which is why they've given up the second-most touchdown passes in the NFL this season. They fare a little better in yardage (261.3 per game; 25th), but this is an area that's ripe for exploitation. If Chark can go he'd be a WR3 with decent upside with Shenault as an intriguing flex play; if the DJ can't answer the ball elevate Shenault to WR3 and give Keelan Cole consideration in that flex area.

MIN FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.12
MIN FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.19
MIN FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.3
MIN FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.22

Running Game Thoughts: There aren't many bright spots on a 1-10 team, but by far the brightest for the 2020 Jags has been the play of James Robinson. Over his last five games, the undrafted rookie out of Illinois State has averaged a shade over 120 total yards per game and scored four times. His play has more than justified the team's decision to move on from Leonard Fournette. Minnesota is 19th in the NFL against the run (120.7 yards per game, 4.3 per carry). You can pencil Robinson in as an RB1.

Value Meter:
RB1: James Robinson
WR3: D.J. Chark (inj)
Flex: Laviska Shenault
Bench: Keelan Cole

Passing Game Thoughts: Whatever the Vikings' coaching staff did over the past month-plus to turn Kirk Cousins around has worked. Cousins was terrible in his first six games and came out of the bye completely marginalized. Week by week they've amped up his involvement, culminating in him going 34-for-45 for 307 yards and three TDs in a one-point win over Carolina last Sunday. That he did it without Adam Thielen (COVID) and Irv Smith (back) just speaks to his resurgence. He's a legitimate QB1 in Week 13.

Thielen was unavailable against the Panthers but has been cleared and will be good to go this weekend. His return pushes everyone down a peg, and with a renewed focus on the passing game you can deploy Thielen as a WR1. Justin Jefferson (7-70-2) was one of four Vikings to catch seven passes in Week 12, but he's the only one to care about in the weeks ahead as Bisi Johnson and Chad Beebe are likely to see little work with Thielen back in the lineup. Consider Jefferson a solid WR2.

When it comes to pass defense, Jacksonville is definitely cut from the same cloth as the Vikings, ranking 29th in yards allowed (279.5 per game) and allowing the same number of touchdowns. This is a plus matchup for everyone involved in Minnesota's passing game, though you can never have full confidence because Mike Zimmer's preference is to run the ball, and on that front the Jags provide little resistance.

JAC FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.3
JAC FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.5
JAC FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.8
JAC FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.8

Running Game Thoughts: For the second straight week, Dalvin Cook had to be helped off the field after losing a fumble. And for the second straight week he came back. This time it was an ankle injury, and Cook claims he's ready to roll this Sunday. Still, the attrition of such heavy usage is taking a toll on a player who has had durability issues since he entered the league. Still, Jacksonville has a poor run defense, yielding 136.2 yards per game, and Cook should be in for a big game.

Value Meter:
QB1: Kirk Cousins
RB1: Dalvin Cook
WR1/WR2: Adam Thielen
WR2: Justin Jefferson
Bench: Alexander Mattison

Prediction: Vikings 31, Jaguars 20 ^ Top

Rams at Cardinals - (Caron)
Line: LAR -3.0
Total: 48.5

Passing Game Thoughts: Jared Goff is coming off of the worst game of his season after throwing for just 198 yards and no touchdowns with two interceptions. That performance marked the first time this season that he’s been held to fewer than double-digit fantasy points so it’s not exactly something that we should come to expect, but Goff has now been held to fewer than 12 fantasy points in five of his 11 starts. His lack of upside this season has also made him fall out of the weekly QB1 conversation as he’s become more of a situational starter.

Even in a down week for Goff, though, Robert Woods continued to show why he’s one of the most reliable players in all of fantasy football. Woods was targeted 12 times against the 49ers, catching seven of those passes for 80 yards. He also continues to see carries in the running game which has provided some unexpected upside here in 2020. Woods has been targeted at least five times in every game this season, but it’s the 27 targets he’s seen over the past two weeks that should give us some added confidence heading into this week’s game against the Cardinals. Woods, however, will likely be matched up regularly with star cornerback Patrick Peterson. That does hurt his upside in this matchup, although he moves around enough that he shouldn’t face Peterson on every snap.

Cooper Kupp disappointed in Week 12 against the 49ers as he caught just two passes on five targets, but he could be in line for a return to fantasy prominence here in Week 13. Kupp is still playing the majority of his snaps out of the slot which will allow him to avoid Peterson and he’s been feasting in some of the matchups the Rams have had when opposing defenses have been focused more on stopping Woods. Prior to his down week in Week 12, Kupp had been targeted a ridiculous 40 times over his previous three games. Look for him to again return to be a strong WR2 in this matchup against the Cardinals who’ve really struggled against slot receivers this season.

Tight ends Tyler Higbee and Gerald Everett, along with depth receivers Josh Reynolds and Van Jefferson need to remain benched in seasonal leagues until we see them getting more involved in the offense and doing more with the opportunities they are getting.

ARI FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.18
ARI FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.21
ARI FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.12
ARI FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.27

Running Game Thoughts: The Rams backfield has been ugly throughout most of the season but we might finally be witnessing the emergence of rookie running back Cam Akers. While it was Darrell Henderson who led the team with 10 carries against the 49ers in Week 12, it was Akers who stood out, rushing for 84 yards on just nine carries, including a touchdown. Perhaps most importantly, Malcolm Brown has been less involved in recent weeks, having touched the ball fewer than 10 times in three straight contests.

We’ve been misled by this backfield multiple times throughout the season already but if we’re to trust the team’s “hot hand” approach then it would appear that Akers should be in line for additional carries this week against the Cardinals. Unfortunately, Akers - and really every back for the Rams - is pretty much an afterthought in the passing game. They simply aren’t seeing enough targets to help prop up their floors on a week to week basis, making them risky touchdown-or-bust options in most contests.

The Cardinals aren’t a bad run defense but they have been conceding quite a few touchdowns to the position as of late. We’ll give Akers the nod as the top back in LA for the moment but understand that this is likely still a committee situation so don’t go all-in.

Value Meter:
QB2: Jared Goff
WR2: Cooper Kupp, Robert Woods
Flex: Cam Akers (low-end)
Bench: Darrell Henderson, Malcolm Brown, Josh Reynolds, Van Jefferson, Tyler Higbee, Gerald Everett

Passing Game Thoughts: Kyler Murray had been consistently dropping 20-plus fantasy points each week this season so it was a huge surprise to everyone when he was held in check by the Patriots in Week 12. We’ll write off that performance as a blip on the radar during an otherwise MVP-level fantasy season from Murray, but it’s worth noting that he has another difficult matchup this week as he and the Cardinals host the Rams. Los Angeles has held opposing quarterbacks to the league’s fewest fantasy points per game this season so this might not be the week to deploy Murray for DFS purposes.

With that said, Murray should remain a QB1 for standard seasonal leagues even in difficult matchups like this one. His combination of floor and upside as a passer, along with the tremendous effort he’s putting in on the ground this season, make him one of the safest options from week to week.

Where we should have a little bit of concern is that top wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins has another difficult matchup here in Week 13. Last week he saw plenty of attention from star cornerback Stephon Gilmore and he was only able to put together a five catch, 55-yard day. That’s not disastrous from a fantasy standpoint, but we had been getting WR1 performances most weeks from Hopkins so it’s always a bit disappointing when he doesn’t see the volume to finish in that range. This week Hopkins gets Rams cornerback Jalen Ramsey, who remains one of the league’s top shadow corners. While Hopkins is certainly capable of feasting in any matchup, it’s always more difficult to trust him - or any receiver - when they’re matched up with Ramsey. We’ll still rank Hopkins as a WR1, but temper your expectations a bit this week.

With Larry Fitzgerald on the COVID-IR and not really performing anyway, the only other pass catcher in Arizona that we should have any interest in this week is Christian Kirk. Kirk has been disappointing as of late, catching just 11 passes for 96 total yards and no touchdowns over his past three games combined. That stretch comes immediately following a huge three game stretch prior to that wherein he scored four touchdowns. The reality is that Kirk just isn’t seeing the type of volume needed to produce as a reliable fantasy option. He hasn’t reached double-digit targets in any game and while he’s seeing the ball come his way between six to eight times in most contests, he needs to be very efficient with his targets if he’s going to be producing anything more than WR3/Flex scores. He could see a bit of an uptick in targets this week with Hopkins dealing with Ramsey, but it’s probably wise to leave him on your bench in most leagues unless you’re very thin in which case you might be able to find a spot for him in your lineup as a Flex.

LAR FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.32
LAR FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.25
LAR FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.32
LAR FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.20

Running Game Thoughts: A 24-touch game from Kenyan Drake in Week 12 should have fantasy owners feeling quite satisfied and confident that their running back has re-taken control in the Arizona backfield. Drake scored twice on the ground and has now out-touched Chase Edmonds in each of the three games he’s played in since returning from injury.

The Arizona offense is one of the league’s most explosive so getting significant touches within it gives Drake some huge upside down the stretch here in 2020. Unfortunately for him, this week Drake faces one of the league’s top defenses anchored by defensive lineman Aaron Donald and the unit has conceded the fifth-fewest fantasy points per game to opposing running backs so far this season. For that reason Drake is going to find himself down in the RB2 range this week, but understand that he’s quite capable of finding the end zone multiple times - as he did against the Patriots - which would easily catapult him into an RB1 finish.

Edmonds has still been involved in the Arizona offense to an extent, particularly in the passing game where he’s caught at least three passes in all but two Cardinals games this season, but he’s now seen just 16 total carries over his past three games since Drake returned to the active roster. That low carry volume really limits his upside and makes him only a low-end Flex play in PPR formats.

Value Meter:
QB1: Kyler Murray
RB2: Kenyan Drake
WR1: DeAndre Hopkins
Flex: Christian Kirk, Chase Edmonds (low-end, PPR only)
Bench: Larry Fitzgerald, Andy Isabella, KeeSean Johnson

Prediction: Cardinals 27, Rams 24 ^ Top

Giants at Seahawks - (Caron)
Line: SEA -10.0
Total: 46.5

Passing Game Thoughts: A hamstring injury knocked Giants quarterback Daniel Jones out of his Week 12 game against the Bengals and it’s now threatening his status for this weekend’s contest with reports indicating that he’s more likely to sit than to play. If he does play, Jones has an excellent matchup against a truly awful Seattle secondary that has given up more fantasy points per game to opposing quarterbacks than any other defense this season.

Jones himself has been pretty bad as of late, having thrown just one touchdown pass over his past three games combined. He does still possess some rushing ability so that helps, but his leg injury is likely to limit him so he is going to need to start moving the Giants down the field through the air if we’re going to trust him as anything more than a QB2 even in great matchups like this one. If Jones is unable to play, it’ll be veteran Colt McCoy behind center again. McCoy is a low-upside, low-floor option who would be one of the worst plays on the board.

What we do like, however, is the Giants’ top two pass catchers. Sterling Shepard has been a reliable PPR contributor since he came back from injury in Week 7, having caught at least six passes in every game since. He’s only found the end zone once over that stretch and he hasn’t reached even 75 yards in any contest, but he does have a nice, reliable floor with upside this week against the Seahawks’ terrible defense. Meanwhile, Darius Slayton has been the exact opposite of consistent, having caught zero passes against the Bengals in Week 12 after a five catch, 93-yard performance in his previous game against the Eagles. Then the week before that he was held to just one catch for six yards. Slayton might be the most physically talented of the bunch at this point but he’s simply way too inconsistent for us to trust in anything other than DFS tournaments. Golden Tate remains a solid depth contributor for Jones but the days of him being fantasy relevant are over.

Tight end Evan Engram is really the player who we should probably be most excited about right now in this New York passing game. He’s been targeted at least nine times in four of his past five games, culminating in a six-catch, 129-yard performance this past week against the Bengals. Engram hasn’t been an excellent fantasy contributor for most of the season, but the talent is still there and the Giants seem to be making a concerted effort to get the ball into his hands. He’s a solid TE1 play this week against the Seahawks who allowed touchdowns to both Philadelphia tight ends Dallas Goedert and Richard Rodgers this past week. They’ve also given up five total touchdowns to opposing tight ends over their past five games.

SEA FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.1
SEA FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.14
SEA FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.1
SEA FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.21

Running Game Thoughts: With Devonta Freeman sidelined, it’s been the Wayne Gallman show as of late and Gallman has actually been surprisingly - and very quietly - productive in his new workhorse role. Gallman has now scored a touchdown in five straight games. His rushing totals haven’t been spectacular, but he did reach 94 rushing yards against the Bengals in Week 12.

Unfortunately for Gallman, he’s starting at what is actually a pretty difficult matchup here in Week 13 against the Seahawks. Seattle hasn’t allowed an opposing running back to surpass even 40 rushing yards against them since all the way back in Week 7 when Chase Edmonds did it because of a long run. While opposing backs have been getting into the end zone against them, it’s been in large part lucky due to pass catchers getting stopped near the goal line which has led to some fairly easy goal line rushing touchdowns.

Gallman isn’t an extremely strong play, but he’s a solid RB2 this week due to his workload and the Giants’ willingness to feed him near the goal line.

Value Meter:
QB2: Daniel Jones
RB2: Wayne Gallman
WR2: Sterling Shepard
TE1: Evan Engram
Bench: Darius Slayton, Golden Tate

Passing Game Thoughts: The Seattle passing game started off extremely strong this season and while wide receivers DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett have remained fairly good starts most weeks, the quiet reality is that things haven’t been excellent for quarterback Russell Wilson as of late. It hasn’t been disastrous, but the team has definitely been leaning more on their running game which has led to some low volume games for Wilson who has now failed to reach 250 passing yards in three straight contests while throwing just three total touchdown passes over that stretch. He’s continuing to contribute some fantasy production on the ground but the MVP discussion is quickly dissipating.

Wilson has to still be a QB1 for fantasy given the positional woes throughout the league. This week he’ll be up against a Giants defense that has actually been quite good at containing opposing quarterbacks so far this season. Much of it has been due to game script, but the Giants have held all but three quarterbacks they’ve faced to 280 passing yards and they haven’t allowed more than two passing touchdowns against them since they faced Ben Roethlisberger back in Week 1.

It’s not the best matchup, but the Seahawks’ top two pass catchers have just been too good to bench at this point. Lockett was held to just three catches for 23 yards against the Eagles this past week, but he had previously had an excellent game against the Cardinals in Week 11. He’s been more boom-or-bust than Metcalf, surprisingly, but Lockett has been good enough to be a WR2 even in matchups like this.

Metcalf has had a few big games on national stages already throughout his career, but his one this past week against the Eagles was one to remember. Metcalf caught 10 passes for 177 yards on 13 targets and he’s now averaging 22 PPR fantasy points per game over his past five contests. He’s been one of the league’s top performers and there’s really no reason that anyone should be looking at him as anything other than a fantasy WR1.

NYG FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.28
NYG FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.11
NYG FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.16
NYG FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.23

Running Game Thoughts: We often hear that players will be “eased back” into the lineup which causes fantasy owners to overreact and bench studs, but it actually happened this past week when Seattle running back Chris Carson returned from a four game hiatus. Carson carried the ball just eight times on the night and while he ended up getting into the end zone, he was clearly playing behind veteran Carlos Hyde who got 15 carries. Carson was, however, by far the more productive back on a per-carry basis, so it would stand to reason that the Seahawks would get back to giving him a bigger share of the workload here in Week 13.

Assuming Carson is back to shouldering at least close to his usual workload, he should be back in fantasy lineups as at least a low-end RB1 against the Giants. While New York has held opposing running backs to fewer than 4.0 yards per carry to opposing backs this season, they’ve had the benefit of facing some pretty weak rushing attacks. Seattle should be able to move the ball against the Giants which will give Carson a higher-than-usual chance to get into the end zone.

Value Meter:
QB1: Russell Wilson
RB1: Chris Carson (low-end)
WR1: DK Metcalf
WR2: Tyler Lockett
Bench: Carlos Hyde, DeeJay Dallas, David Moore, Jacob Hollister, Will Dissly

Prediction: Seahawks 28, Giants 17 ^ Top

Eagles @ Packers - (Green)
Line: GB -9.0
Total: 47.5

Passing Game Thoughts: Even as skill players have gotten out of the trainer's room and back onto the field, Carson Wentz has continued to struggle. The state of the offensive line is a big part of the issue, leading to a league-high 46 sacks of Wentz, including six to Seattle on Monday. His final numbers (215 yards passing, 2 TDs, 1 INT) were helped by a late Hail Mary pass, and it's hard to see where dramatic improvement will come. Wentz played well in Green Bay last year but isn't more than a low-end QB2 this weekend.

Tight ends drive the passing game in Philly, led by Dallas Goedert (7-75-1) and former Packer Richard Rodgers (3-53-1), who caught last week's Hail Mary. The Eagles also activated Zach Ertz (ankle) from IR, but it's unclear if he'll play in Week 13; even if he does, he'll likely be on a snap count. Travis Fulgham (2-16-0) was a nice story, but he only has four catches in the last three games. Alshon Jeffery also returned recently but is still acclimating. Of this group, only Goedert is a surefire fantasy option as a TE1.

Green Bay is 15th in the NFL against the pass, allowing 230.5 yards per game; they also rank in the bottom half of the league in TDs (20). There are some caveats, though, as they've played in a few blowout wins where they gave up significant garbage production (like Sunday night), and CB tandem Jaire Alexander and Kevin King have only played a handful of games together this year. They're healthy now, though, and with the pass rush trending up this could be a tough matchup for Philly.

GB FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.26
GB FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.3
GB FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.24
GB FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.28

Running Game Thoughts: Despite Miles Sanders' status as the team's most explosive player, he only got eight combined touches against Seattle for 22 yards. That's not going to cut it, so expect him to get more work in Lambeau in an effort to keep the NFL's top scoring offense off of the field. The Packers have struggled with power-based ground attacks despite their respectable 14th-place standing (114.5 yards per game), which is enough to give Sanders RB1 potential.

Value Meter:
QB2: Carson Wentz (low-end)
RB1: Miles Sanders
TE1: Dallas Goedert
Bench: Jalen Reagor, Travis Fulgham, Zach Ertz (inj)

Passing Game Thoughts: Pitted against two of the NFL's better defenses over the past two weeks, Aaron Rodgers has passed for a combined 522 yards and seven TDs with one interception. He was in complete control on Sunday night, staying a step ahead of the Bears by mixing the pass and run. It wasn't a great approach from a yardage standpoint -- his 211 yards passing were his second-lowest total of 2020 -- but by the end of the third quarter the Packers had hung 41 points on the Bears, which hadn't allowed more than 26 in any other game this season.

Another reason Rodgers' yards were down was a tough game from Davante Adams (6-61-1), who dropped a ball on a free play and also failed to come up with a couple of other downfield catches that he normally makes. Expect an angry Adams this week against a team he posted 180 receiving yards against last season. Fresh off a game in which he had a crucial fumble, Marquez Valdes-Scantling didn't see the ball in 56 snaps as Alan Lazard (4-23-1) got more involved before taking a vicious hit and watching from the sidelines. While Adams is a clear WR1, Lazard is a shaky flex play and MVS is nothing more than a lottery ticket for desperate owners.

One big difference between the 2019 Packers and this year's version is the growth of Robert Tonyan (5-67-1), who now has seven touchdown receptions this season. He has emerged as a low-end TE1 going forward. Philly ranks a solid eighth in pass defense, allowing 210.7 yards per game. Their hope lies in getting pressure on Rodgers, which is something only Tampa Bay did consistently this season. Keep Rodgers in your lineup as a QB1 this Sunday.

PHI FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.24
PHI FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.27
PHI FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.19
PHI FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.11

Running Game Thoughts: With the Packers working from the front for almost the entire game, Aaron Jones (17-90-0) and Jamaal Williams (17-73-1) each got 17 carries with neither player playing a role in the passing game. Green Bay has been judicious with Jones' workload from Week 1, a luxury afforded to them by the talent of Williams in the complementary role. The Eagles stymied Seattle's ground game, but they still rank 24th in the NFL (128.2 yards per game) and their 16 rushing scores allowed are fewer than only Detroit and Las Vegas. Consider Jones an RB1 and Williams a solid flex.

Value Meter:
QB1: Aaron Rodgers
RB1: Aaron Jones
RB3/Flex: Jamaal Williams
WR1: Davante Adams
Flex: Allen Lazard
TE1: Robert Tonyan (low-end)
Bench: Marquez Valdes-Scantling

Prediction: Packers 34, Eagles 17 ^ Top

Patriots at Chargers - (Caron)
Line: Pk
Total: 47.0

Passing Game Thoughts: Another rough performance for Cam Newton in Week 12 has to make fantasy owners even more reluctant to start him in fantasy right now. Newton started the season off red hot but has cooled off significantly as of late, having thrown just two touchdown passes over his past seven games. He’s continued to contribute on the ground, particularly near the end zone, which has propped up his fantasy value to the point that he’s at least been usable as a QB2 most weeks, but he’s turned in couple of truly awful fantasy performances when he’s failed to get into the end zone on the ground. While Newton is one of the players who we can trust more than almost anyone to score a rushing touchdown, it’s still tough to rely on that.

In Week 13 Newton faces a Chargers defense that has done a pretty good job of containing opposing quarterbacks as of late. While they’ve given up multiple touchdown passes in four of their past five games, they’ve been rather unlucky in that regard because they’ve held every one of those passing games to fewer than 250 yards through the air.

With Newton being a low-volume passer to begin with, this becomes a very difficult matchup to trust him in. Newton could make some lineups as a low-end QB1, but we’re really banking on rushing from him in this one.

Newton’s top pass catcher remains Jakobi Meyers, who has caught at least three passes in six straight games. The lack of red zone passing proficiency has led to him still being held out of the end zone this season, but he’s consistently producing as the top pass catcher in this offense. That still makes him only a WR3, but it’s the best this offense has.

LAC FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.11
LAC FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.10
LAC FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.28
LAC FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.9

Running Game Thoughts: Ohhh Patriots...just when we thought that Damien Harris had finally taken over as the lead back in New England and someone we could have some faith in from a fantasy standpoint, in steps James White to swipe away two goal line touchdowns from him. While Harris is still the top back in New England, this was a cold reminder of the uncertainty in the New England backfield and why we need to be careful trusting any of them.

On the bright side, Harris has now seen double-digit carries in six straight games. He’s clearly the team’s between-the-tackles grinder, but the flip side of that is that he’s practically completely worthless in the passing game. Harris has just three total catches on the season, meanwhile White has three separate games where he’s caught six or more passes. White, however, doesn’t have a single game this season where he’s carried the ball more than five times, making him a low-upside option himself.

The Patriots backs do have a good matchup this week, though, against a Chargers defense that has struggled even against lesser-talented backfields like the Jets, Bills and Dolphins as of late. While we can’t trust Harris as much more than a low-end RB2 or Flex option, he’s a good bet to touch the ball 15 or more times this week which should give him a good chance to find the end zone.

Value Meter:
QB2: Cam Newton (high-end)
RB2: Damien Harris (low-end)
WR3: Jakobi Meyers
Bench: James White, Sony Michel, Rex Burkhead, Damiere Byrd

Passing Game Thoughts: Some truly bizarre play calling led to a surprisingly high number of short passes from rookie quarterback Justin Herbert this past week as he and the Chargers fell short on the road against the Bills. Herbert himself still had a decent enough fantasy day as he was able to reach the 300-yard mark for the third time over his past four games, but we have to be a bit concerned that his upside might have been cut into with the return of Austin Ekeler given the way that the coaching staff decided to utilize him.

Still, there’s enough reason to remain optimistic about Hebert as a fantasy QB1 this week even in a not-so-great matchup against the Patriots. New England ranks in the top 10 in fewest fantasy points given up to opposing quarterbacks this season but they have also been less than stellar as of late. In fact, prior to containing Kyler Murray in Week 12, they had given up three straight multi-passing-touchdown days to opposing QBs. Herbert has thrown the ball at least 32 times in seven straight games, including a season high 52 pass attempts this past week, so look for him to have plenty of opportunities to produce fantasy points again here in Week 13.

Keenan Allen’s monster fantasy season just continues to roll on as the wideout has now scored in five straight games. Better yet, he’s being targeted at an absolutely crazy pace, having seen at least 10 targets in all but three contests this season. Allen moves all over the field which should allow him to avoid shadow coverage from the Patriots’ excellent outside corners, making him one of the top fantasy options on the board here in Week 13.

Mike Williams has been an up-and-down receiver throughout his career and this looks like more of a “down” than an “up.” With Keenan Allen playing roughly half of his snaps from the slot this season, Williams remains almost exclusively an outside receiver, which means he’ll almost certainly be lined up against either Stephon Gilmore or J.C. Jackson on practically every snap. Williams is capable of making some highlight reel catches in tough coverage, but the target volume won’t likely be there, so he’s going to have to be extremely efficient and that’s not something we should have much faith in.

Tight end Hunter Henry has been hitting his stride as of late, having scored double-digit PPR fantasy points in three straight games. He’s still a low-upside option, but he’s a relatively high floor option given the uncertainty at the position throughout the league.

NE FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.23
NE FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.17
NE FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.20
NE FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.29

Running Game Thoughts: Many of us expected that Austin Ekeler would be eased back into the Chargers offense this past week after he missed six straight games due to injury, but that certainly was not the case. The Chargers back immediately took over his duties as the bell cow back in Los Angeles, carrying the ball 14 times, albeit for only 44 yards. Where he truly shined, though, was in the passing game as he caught a ridiculous 11 passes for 85 more yards.

We can’t expect that Ekeler is going to get quite that much work in the passing game on a week to week basis, but what this game showed us is that Ekeler is back and healthy enough that the Chargers coaching staff trusts him enough to make him a focal point of their offense. That’s enough for fantasy owners to immediately get back to relying on him as one of the top backs in fantasy football as well.

Ekeler does get a somewhat difficult matchup against a New England defense that has mostly been good against opposing running backs as of late, but they did get exposed a bit this past week by Arizona running back Kenyan Drake who got into the end zone twice against them. There will be better matchups for Ekeler down the stretch, but he’s essentially game script proof at this point and that makes him an easy RB1 this week.

For those in deeper leagues, rookie Joshua Kelley did remain at least somewhat involved this past week and he did score a goal line touchdown, but he hasn’t reached double-digit carries in a game since all the way back in Week 7. He’s capable of stealing a goal line carry or two, but it’s probably best to keep him on your bench especially now that Ekeler is back.

Value Meter:
QB1: Justin Herbert
RB1: Austin Ekeler
WR1: Keenan Allen
TE1: Hunter Henry
Bench: Joshua Kelley, Mike Williams, Jalen Guyton, Tyron Johnson

Prediction: Chargers 30, Patriots 19 ^ Top

Broncos at Chiefs - (Caron)
Line: KC -14.0
Total: 50.5

Passing Game Thoughts: We can talk about the Kendall Hinton Experience, but what good would that really do for anyone? Let’s move on and talk about their usual quarterback play which, coincidentally, has also been awful this season. Drew Lock should be back on the field, but he should remain out of fantasy lineups even in what projects to be a potentially high-volume day against the Chiefs. Lock has only produced two multi-touchdown games all season and he was held without a passing touchdown when he faced the Chiefs at home back in Week 7 so we’re not going to bother with him on the road in this one.

What Lock’s return does do, however, is bolster the pass catching weapons in Denver. Rookie Jerry Jeudy has been limited both in practice and on the field due to an ankle injury and that’s really limiting his upside. He was held to just two catches for 20 yards when these teams played earlier this season, so with him still being limited in practice this week it’s probably wise to bench Jeudy this week.

Fellow rookie KJ Hamler has been seeing an increase in playing time and targets but he’s still not producing the numbers we’d need to make us confident in putting him in fantasy lineups quite yet.

Instead, the player who might be flying under the radar right now in this passing game is Tim Patrick. Patrick was coming off of a five catch, 119-yard performance prior to the Broncos’ Week 12 debacle and he had produced double-digit PPR fantasy points in six of his previous seven games. He’s a low-upside play but with Jeudy limited there’s a chance that Patrick leads the team in snaps and targets here in Week 13.

Tight end Noah Fant remains a player who is being started in most leagues but only because the tight end position as a whole is so terribly depleted and underwhelming. Fant has been held to fewer than 10 PPR fantasy points in seven of his past eight games. He has big play potential given his physical skill set but he’s not someone we’re overly excited about.

KC FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.15
KC FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.13
KC FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.29
KC FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.13

Running Game Thoughts: The Denver backfield has essentially become a full blown split between Melvin Gordon and Royce Freeman so an already low-upside situation becomes even worse if it’s not all going to one player. Gordon started off the season quite strong but has been extremely underwhelming as of late and it’s come to the point that we have to stop treating him as a strong RB2. Right now he’s a low-end RB2, bordering on being a Flex, unless Phillip Lindsay is completely out which would likely give him enough touches to be a decent enough RB2 against the Chiefs.

Value Meter:
RB2: Melvin Gordon (low-end)
TE1: Noah Fant (low-end)
Flex: Tim Patrick (low-end)
Bench: Drew Lock, Phillip Lindsay, Royce Freeman, Jerry Jeudy, KJ Hamler

Passing Game Thoughts: Another week, another monster fantasy performance for Kansas City quarterback Patrick Mahomes. Mahomes has thrown multiple touchdown passes in all but one game this season and he’s still only thrown two interceptions all year. While his rushing seems to be less prioritized than in the past, Mahomes is making up for it by slinging the ball down the field for touchdowns -- hey, we’ll take it.

Wide receiver Tyreek Hill produced one of the greatest fantasy performances in NFL history this past week when he obliterated the Buccaneers for 13 catches, 269 yards and three touchdowns. Hill has now seen double-digit targets in four of his past five games and he’s making his case for being the top wide receiver in all of fantasy football. He was held to just 55 yards when these teams met earlier this season, but he’s been red hot as of late and he scored a touchdown in that Week 7 game anyway.

Sammy Watkins made his return to the lineup for the Chiefs in Week 12, quickly returning to a prominent spot in the high-powered Kansas City offense. Watkins finished the day tied with Demarcus Robinson for the second-most snaps at wide receiver behind Hill, but both players significantly out-snapped second-year receiver Mecole Hardman. Watkins finished the day with four catches for 38 yards, but it’s important to note that he was targeted seven times to Robinson’s six and Hardman’s five. Watkins is likely to continue to operate as the second wide receiver in Kansas City, but we know that this can mean some wild swings ranging from high-end fantasy WR2 to complete fantasy irrelevance. He’s a high-risk/high-reward Flex against the Broncos this week.

Tight end Travis Kelce continues to extend his lead on the field and it’s beginning to look like he might not need another point from now through the remainder of the regular season to finish 2020 as the top-scoring fantasy tight end. Don’t worry, though - plenty more scoring is coming from this future Hall of Famer and he’ll look to make up for the dud he dropped against the Broncos when these teams played earlier this season.

DEN FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.20
DEN FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.15
DEN FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.21
DEN FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.24

Running Game Thoughts: The running back situation in Kansas City remains a frustrating one for fantasy owners as Le’Veon Bell has remained involved enough to really cut the upside of rookie Clyde Edwards-Helaire. Edwards-Helaire hasn’t exceeded 15 carries in a game since Week 6 and his usage in the passing game has taken a significant toll since Bell joined the team.

While the upside remains limited, Edwards-Helaire does have touchdown potential in any game and that’s good enough to continue to roll him out as an RB2. He scored against the Broncos when these teams played back in Week 7 and there could be more of that in this contest.

Value Meter:
QB1: Patrick Mahomes (high-end)
RB2: Clyde Edwards-Helaire
WR1: Tyreek Hill (high-end)
Flex: Sammy Watkins
TE1: Travis Kelce (high-end)
Bench: Le’Veon Bell, Demarcus Robinson, Mecole Hardman

Prediction: Chiefs 31, Broncos 16 ^ Top

Washington @ Steelers - (Green)
Line: PIT -7.5
Total: 42.0

Passing Game Thoughts: It doesn't take a statistical deep dive to understand Alex Smith's divergent production this season. When the team is behind, he throws (358 passing yards per game in two losses). When the team is ahead, he doesn't (158 per game in two wins). This Monday those worlds may collide, however, as Pittsburgh is a heavy favorite but also boasts the kind of defense that's unlikely to meekly surrender yardage regardless of game situation. As such, Smith should be benched in Week 13.

One player that can stay active, though, is Terry McLaurin (7-92-0 last Sunday), who has quietly become one of the most dependable receivers in the league. In fact, only once in 11 games has he accounted for fewer than 60 yards receiving -- and in eight of those he went for 80-plus. Logan Thomas (4-20-1) has also emerged as a fringe TE1, which is quite a journey for the one-time Cardinals quarterback.

After shutting down the JV version of the Ravens on Wednesday, the Steelers now lead the NFL in pass defense, allowing just 193.2 yards per game via the air. Their 16 INTs also top the league, and they are one of just two teams, along with the Rams, to have not allowed more TD passes than picks.

PIT FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.31
PIT FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.31
PIT FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.18
PIT FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.32

Running Game Thoughts: After enjoying modest success early on, Antonio Gibson has dialed things up a few notches over the last five games. In that stretch, the rookie has tallied 98 total yards per game and scored eight touchdowns, including at least one in each game. J.D. McKissic works primarily on passing downs, though after catching 16 passes in Weeks 9 and 10 he's totaled just five grabs the past two weeks.

Pittsburgh ranks eighth against the run (105.7 yards per game), but you have to believe that Ron Rivera will try to work the ground game this Monday. With that in mind, you should view Gibson as an RB2 with RB1 upside and McKissic as a flex candidate.

Value Meter:
RB2: Antonio Gibson
Flex: J.D. McKissic
WR1: Terry McLaurin
TE1: Logan Thomas (low-end)
Bench: Alex Smith

Passing Game Thoughts: Pittsburgh's offense has undergone an identity change over the course of the season with Ben Roethlisberger now emphasizing the short passing game as almost an extension of the ground attack. Against the Ravens, Roethlisberger completed 36 of 51 passes for 266 yards and a touchdown; it was the fourth time in six games that his yards-per-attempt average finished below 6.0 (for perspective, his career YPA is 7.7). That approach has made it nearly impossible to sack Big Ben, who is a moderate QB1 against Washington.

At this stage we all know the names. JuJu Smith-Schuster (8-37-1) works primarily on short routes and offers a physical presence. Diontae Johnson (8-46-0) is a quality route-runner that does a bit of everything. Chase Claypool (6-52-0) has been the big-play guy and red-zone aficionado, though most of his downfield work came early on. You can make a case for each of those players to be a low-end WR2 or strong WR3. Eric Ebron (7-54-0) has also emerged as a decent TE1 at a shallow position.

Washington was the team that the Steelers leapfrogged on Wednesday in the passing defense ranks as they're now second at 194.6 yards per game. Don't let that dissuade you, though, as Washington hasn't faced many upper-echelon quarterbacks this season. The last good one they faced was Matthew Stafford, and he threw for 276 yards and three TDs.

WAS FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.21
WAS FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.30
WAS FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.31
WAS FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.15

Running Game Thoughts: With James Conner (COVID) out, Benny Snell (16-60-0) is the lead back in the Steel City. The ground game was already underperforming with Conner in that role, and with the team focused on spotlighting their receiver talent it's unlikely anything will change in that regard. Snell is a competent receiver out of the backfield, which should help him maintain RB2 status against a Washington group that is currently 15th against the run (114.9 yards per game).

Value Meter:
QB1: Ben Roethlisberger
RB2: Benny Snell
WR2: Diontae Johnson
WR2: JuJu Smith-Schuster
WR2/WR3: Chase Claypool
TE1: Eric Ebron
Bench: James Conner (inj)

Prediction: Steelers 31, Washington 19 ^ Top

Bills at 49ers - (Caron)
Line: SF -1.0
Total: 47.5

Passing Game Thoughts: A 157-yard, single touchdown passing day against the Chargers had to be a disappointment for fantasy owners, but Bills quarterback Josh Allen continues to be one of the highest-floor options on a weekly basis primarily due to his rushing ability. Allen contributed 32 rushing yards and a touchdown on the ground and he has now brought his total to six rushing scores on the year. He hasn’t had the huge rushing yardage performances this season, but his passing production has been good enough that he’s been able to make up for it and become a borderline elite option at the position.

This week he and the Bills face a 49ers defense that has been mostly good against opposing quarterbacks as of late, but they’ve also had the benefit of playing some weak passing attacks. The last time they faced top-level fantasy quarterbacks was in Weeks 8 and 9 when they got smashed for four touchdowns in back-to-back games by Russell Wilson and Aaron Rodgers. Allen isn’t quite the passer that Wilson and Rodgers are but he’s been productive enough for us to consider him a strong QB1 play again this week.

Along with Allen being one of the top QBs in the league, his top pass catching option, Stefon Diggs, remains one of the league’s highest floor options while still having elite upside. Diggs has now been targeted at least eight times in seven straight contests and he hasn’t been targeted fewer than six times in any game with his new team. This has meant that Diggs has produced double-digit PPR fantasy points in every game this season. That type of floor is extremely difficult to find, even amongst elite players, and it’s helped to propel Diggs into the top five conversation at the wide receiver position. He’s an easy start this week against a 49ers defense that has been exposed this season by opposing outside top wide receivers.

With John Brown still out, another player who is somewhat interesting in PPR formats is slot receiver Cole Beasley. While Beasley was only targeted four times against the Chargers in Week 12, he had previously been targeted 13 times in a game against the Cardinals. Unfortunately Beasley doesn’t bring the high floor that some other slot receivers do, but he does possess a surprisingly high ceiling this season which is enough that we should be looking at him as a low-end WR3 or Flex option this week.

Other pass catchers in this offense include wide receiver Gabriel Davis along with tight ends Dawson Knox and Tyler Kroft, but those players are essentially touchdown-or-bust options that are useful only in the deepest of leagues.

SF FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.22
SF FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.26
SF FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.23
SF FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.31

Running Game Thoughts: The full backfield split between running backs Devin Singletary and Zack Moss has continued to cause headaches for fantasy owners and it’s caused both players to be relegated to fantasy insignificance. While they’ve both produced some RB2 weeks, they’re just not seeing enough volume to have RB1 upside, especially given that they’re not even necessarily the top goal line rushing option in the Bills offense due to Josh Allen being behind center.

Things don’t get any easier for the Bills backfield this week as they’ll be facing a San Francisco defense that, although banged up, remains one of the league’s best run defenses. They recently held Alvin Kamara to just 15 rushing yards and they’ve only allowed two running backs to reach even 65 yards on the ground against them. With Singletary and Moss still splitting backfield touches, this simply isn’t a situation we should be excited about from a fantasy standpoint. They’re both Flex options if you’re in a bad spot but don’t expect much upside in this one.

Value Meter:
QB1: Josh Allen
WR1: Stefon Diggs
WR3: Cole Beasley (PPR only)
Flex: Zack Moss, Devin Singletary
Bench: Gabriel Davis, Dawson Knox, Tyler Kroft

Passing Game Thoughts: It’s tough to be excited about a San Francisco passing game that’s missing its starting quarterback, starting tight end, and first round rookie wide receiver. But if there’s one thing that Nick Mullens did this past week that should give us some hope, it’s that he was able to get Deebo Samuel involved in the offense now that he’s back from injury. Samuel was targeted near the line of scrimmage almost exclusively, but he was able to snag 11 of the 13 passes that came his way against the Rams. While he failed to get into the end zone, he was able to turn those 11 catches into an impressive 133 yards.

Samuel broke out as a rookie in 2019 and he’s shown that he can produce even in some ugly offensive situations. That, along with a likely poor game script situation, should make him a quality WR2 option this week for fantasy owners. Samuel will also likely avoid Bills top cornerback Tre’Davious White, who is expected to primarily line up against rookie Brandon Aiyuk now that he’s been activated from the COVID-IR list.

Aiyuk had been operating as the 49ers’ WR1 in recent weeks prior to Samuel being activated but he’ll now have to compete for targets with another young pass catcher who is a bit better suited to make plays closer to the line of scrimmage. Aiyuk can still be put in your lineup as a Flex, but understand that this is a very difficult matchup for him and it could be a disappointing week. Remain confident in Aiyuk going forward, but this is a tough one.

BUF FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.6
BUF FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.12
BUF FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.25
BUF FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.3

Running Game Thoughts: Raheem Mostert returned from injury in Week 12 and immediately regained his role as the 49ers’ lead back. While we saw Jeff Wilson and Jerick McKinnon make contributions, it’s Mostert whose fantasy value is back on the rise.

This week he faces a Buffalo defense that has struggled against opposing running backs as of late. Damien Harris, Kenyan Drake and Austin Ekeler have all contributed 100-total-yard games against the Bills over their past three contests and Mostert could very well be in line to make it four straight. The only real concern about Mostert in this one is that the 49ers could find themselves in a negative game script and needing to pass the ball in this one. Fortunately the Bills are only a small favorite in this one so the 49ers should stay close enough that Mostert won’t be game scripted out, but it’s still something to be aware of.

We’ve seen Mostert produce plenty of RB1 performances in his relatively short amount of time as the lead back in San Francisco, so we should feel confident placing him in our lineups as at least a high-end RB2, if not a low-end RB1.

Value Meter:
RB2: Raheem Mostert (high-end)
WR2: Deebo Samuel
Flex: Brandon Aiyuk
Bench: Nick Mullens, Jerick McKinnon, Jeff Wilson, Kendrick Bourne, Trent Taylor, Jordan Reed

Prediction: Bills 27, 49ers 23 ^ Top

Cowboys @ Ravens - (Green)
Line: N/A
Total: N/A

Passing Game Thoughts: For much of Thanksgiving, the Cowboys played a nip-and-tuck affair with NFC East rival Washington. Then came the disastrous fake punt early in the fourth quarter and a four-point deficit ruptured into a 41-16 defeat in short order. Andy Dalton (25-for-35, 215 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT) was mostly efficient before getting caught up in the late avalanche with a pick six. As a fantasy performer, though, he leaves much to be desired, having authored just one playable outing in four starts.

Amari Cooper (6-112-1) continues to be the focal point of the passing game, operating well ahead of CeeDee Lamb (5-21-0) and Michael Gallup (6-41-0). It's a stark departure from Dak Prescott's work where all three were seemingly interchangeable. Right now Cooper is playable as a steady WR2 with Lamb as a low-end WR3 or flex that boasts some upside since he seems to be more of a weekly priority than Gallup, who should remain on the bench. Check-down guru Dalton Schultz (5-24-0) has a little low-end TE1 appeal, particularly in PPR formats.

Baltimore ranks ninth in the NFL in passing yardage allowed (221.5 per game) and did an admirable job Wednesday against the Steelers' talented trio of JuJu Smith-Schuster, Diontae Johnson and Chase Claypool under difficult circumstances. With more rest and likely more players available they have a chance to make things tough on Dalton.

BAL FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.25
BAL FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.22
BAL FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.27
BAL FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.14

Running Game Thoughts: On the NFL's most disappointing team, Ezekiel Elliott stands alone as the single most disappointing player. Yes, the offensive line has endured a lot of key injuries, but Elliott is paid like a superstar, and his 3.9 yards per carry and six fumbles (five lost) is practice-squad production. Perhaps the extra rest afforded by having the game pushed back will help against a Ravens squad that sits 12th in run defense at 111.6 yards allowed per game. Slot Elliott in as an RB2.

Value Meter:
RB2: Ezekiel Elliott
WR2: Amari Cooper
WR3/Flex: CeeDee Lamb
TE1: Dalton Schultz (low-end)
Bench: Andy Dalton, Tony Pollard, Michael Gallup

Passing Game Thoughts: With Lamar Jackson (COVID) out, Robert Griffin III made the Week 12 start but suffered an early leg injury that further diminished his skill set. His main contributions came on the ground as he threw for just 33 yards before giving way to Trace McSorley, who connected on a 70-yard TD to Marquise Brown to at least add a bit of suspense to their meeting with Pittsburgh. The team is hoping to get Jackson back for their Tuesday night game, and if he does return he should generate QB1 value against one of the league's worst defenses.

While Jackson could return, top target Mark Andrews (COVID) is unlikely to have enough time to clear the NFL protocol and should miss Week 13. Without him, it's debatable whether the Ravens have a single playable receiver. Brown (4-85-1) had 85 of the team's 110 passing yards against Pittsburgh and could be a flex if you're optimistic. Willie Snead (COVID) would be another option, but he's out as well. Veterans like Dez Bryant and TE Luke Willson could fill larger roles, though it's not enough to consider playing them.

Don't read much into Dallas' 12th-place ranking against the pass as it's born out of their deficiency against the run. That they've allowed an NFL-high 25 touchdown passes is a more accurate barometer of their secondary.

DAL FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.17
DAL FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.8
DAL FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.5
DAL FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.17

Running Game Thoughts: Despite finishing their quarantine and being eligible to play against the Steelers, J.K. Dobbins (COVID) and Mark Ingram (COVID) were both inactive, leaving Justice Hill (9-35-0) and Gus Edwards (9-10-1) to carry the load. Look for both to return this Tuesday with Dobbins checking in as an RB3 and Ingram as a shaky flex. Prior to the outbreak Dobbins seemed to be claiming the top spot in the backfield, and he has a nice matchup against the Cowboys; Dallas is dead last in yards allowed (156.4 per game) and yards per carry (4.9).

Value Meter:
QB1: Lamar Jackson (inj)
RB3: J.K. Dobbins (inj)
Flex: Mark Ingram (inj)
Bench: Mark Andrews (inj), Gus Edwards, Marquise Brown

Prediction: Ravens 24, Cowboys 16 ^ Top