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Doug Orth | Archive | Email |
Staff Writer


Top 200 Big Board, Half-Point PPR
Preseason Matchup Analysis
Posted: 8/24/19; Updated: 8/28/19

Half-Point PPR | PPR | Non-PPR

For the second straight year, I was invited to the King's Classic at the Pro Football Hall of Fame last weekend in Canton, Ohio. Just like the first edition of the event in 2018, two drafts (one auction and one snake) were conducted across two divisions. Unlike last year, the size of both divisions was increased from 12 to 14 teams. I frankly cannot remember a draft in which every single owner seemed to walk out of the room unhappy, but that seemed to be the mood after the morning auction was over. So, don't sweat it, kids … even the industry pros get a bid jaded at times.

Now onto the business at hand, delivering a Big Board that allows owners to start the season out on the right foot …

For anyone unfamiliar with my Big Boards, allow me to explain the SSI concept as well as the color-coding system before we start:

SSI (Success Score Index) - A rankings metric that incorporates my fantasy-point projections and includes a weight to my matchup analysis score. It also considers league size. In other words, it allows me to compare apples to oranges across positions.

Red – For lower-level players, a red matchup is the most difficult one a player can face. For a second- or third-tier player, drop your expectations for them at least one grade that week (i.e. from WR2 to WR3). For elite players, expect them to perform one level lower than their usual status (i.e. RB1 performs like an RB2).

Yellow – For lower-level players, he is a borderline start at best. For a second- or third-tier player, the slight edge goes to the defense in what is essentially a toss-up. For the elite players, expect slightly better than average production.

White – This one can go either way, but I favor the player over the matchup. In some cases, I just don’t feel like I have a good feel yet for this matchup. Generally speaking, these matchups are winnable for all levels of players.

Green – For non-elite players, the stage is set for a player to have a productive day. For the elite player, this matchup could produce special numbers.

Black – Player is either on a bye week or is expected to miss due to injury or suspension.

Note: Players with a next to their name have some degree of injury/character/holdout concern. Players with a * next to their name have a higher than normal chance of losing their job at some point during the season.

ALSO, PLEASE NOTE EACH BIG BOARD ASSUMES THE FOLLOWING STARTING LINEUP REQUIREMENTS: 1-2-3-1 (QB, RB, WR, TE). Lineups requiring more/fewer starters at certain positions will obviously affect where they land on the Big Boards.

In the coming days, I will present my final rankings for kickers and defense/special teams as well. Next week will feature Top 200 Big Boards for The Fantasy Championship (TFC) and the Fantasy Football Players Championship (FFPC).

Here is the scoring system that I used to rank the players in the Half-Point PPR format:

 Half Point PPR Big Board - Top 200
Rank Pos Player Tm Age FPts SSI 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
1 RB1 Alvin Kamara NO 24 329.6 200.6
2 RB2 Saquon Barkley NYG 22 338.1 198.1
3 RB3 Christian McCaffrey CAR 23 315.7 187.7
4 RB4 David Johnson ARI 27 280.9 142.9
5 RB5 James Conner PIT 24 276.6 142.6
6 WR1 DeAndre Hopkins HOU 27 273.2 137.2
7 WR2 Julio Jones ATL 30 260.9 136.9
8 WR3 Davante Adams GB 26 257.8 135.8
9 RB6 Nick Chubb CLE 23 269.9 126.9
10 WR4 JuJu Smith-Schuster PIT 22 257.5 121.5
11 RB7 Dalvin Cook MIN 24 251.4 121.4
12 RB8 Ezekiel Elliott DAL 24 260.4 120.4
13 RB9 Todd Gurley LAR 25 246.0 111.0
14 RB10 Le'Veon Bell NYJ 27 246.8 110.8
15 WR5 Tyreek Hill KC 25 239.5 108.5
16 WR6 Michael Thomas NO 26 223.3 100.3
17 TE1 Travis Kelce KC 29 231.9 98.9
18 RB11 Chris Carson SEA 24 242.6 98.6
19 RB12 Joe Mixon CIN 23 239.7 91.7
20 WR7 Odell Beckham Jr. CLE 26 233.4 89.4
21 WR8 Mike Evans TB 26 230.1 88.1
22 RB13 David Montgomery CHI 22 222.2 86.2
23 RB14 Leonard Fournette JAC 24 232.3 85.3
24 WR9 Adam Thielen MIN 29 208.6 84.6
25 RB15 Devonta Freeman ATL 27 226.5 82.5
26 WR10 Chris Godwin TB 23 198.7 79.7
27 RB16 Derrick Henry TEN 25 225.8 77.8
28 RB17 Kerryon Johnson DET 22 222.7 76.7
29 WR11 Stefon Diggs MIN 25 212.5 76.5
30 RB18 Mark Ingram BAL 29 213.5 76.5
31 RB19 Aaron Jones GB 24 220.5 75.5
32 WR12 Antonio Brown OAK 31 197.4 75.4
33 TE2 George Kittle SF 25 198.4 75.4
34 WR13 Keenan Allen LAC 27 202.4 74.4
35 RB20 Damien Williams KC 27 210.3 70.3
36 WR14 Amari Cooper DAL 25 208.5 69.5
37 RB21 Josh Jacobs OAK 21 223.2 67.2
38 TE3 Zach Ertz PHI 28 191.9 62.9
39 QB1 Patrick Mahomes KC 23 419.2 62.2
40 WR15 Robert Woods LAR 27 185.4 61.4
41 RB22 Marlon Mack IND 23 202.6 58.6
42 WR16 Brandin Cooks LAR 25 199.4 55.4
43 WR17 Mike Williams LAC 24 185.1 54.1
44 WR18 Tyler Lockett SEA 26 184.4 52.4
45 WR19 T.Y. Hilton IND 29 182.3 52.3
46 RB23 Sony Michel NE 24 192.7 51.7
47 WR20 Cooper Kupp LAR 26 166.1 51.1
48 WR21 Julian Edelman NE 33 172.0 51.0
49 WR22 D.J. Moore CAR 22 186.7 50.7
50 WR23 Kenny Golladay DET 25 191.4 50.4
51 TE4 O.J. Howard TB 24 174.1 49.1
52 QB2 Aaron Rodgers GB 35 402.5 49.0
53 WR24 Tyler Boyd CIN 24 182.4 47.4
54 QB3 Deshaun Watson HOU 23 403.3 47.3
55 WR25 Calvin Ridley ATL 24 173.6 46.6
56 RB24 Duke Johnson HOU 25 204.4 44.4
57 RB25 Melvin Gordon LAC 26 190.2 43.2
58 RB26 James White NE 27 180.1 42.1
59 WR26 Curtis Samuel CAR 23 175.1 42.1
60 RB27 Kenyan Drake MIA 25 177.8 38.8
61 WR27 Allen Robinson CHI 26 180.7 35.7
62 WR28 Alshon Jeffery PHI 29 175.6 35.6
63 RB28 Phillip Lindsay DEN 25 181.9 32.9
64 RB29 Miles Sanders PHI 22 163.3 30.3
65 WR29 Dede Westbrook JAC 25 162.4 29.4
66 WR30 Larry Fitzgerald ARI 35 156.1 29.1
67 WR31 Christian Kirk ARI 22 166.4 27.4
68 WR32 Jarvis Landry CLE 26 157.9 24.9
69 RB30 Tarik Cohen CHI 24 160.7 24.7
70 TE5 Jared Cook NO 32 153.3 24.3
71 WR33 Will Fuller HOU 25 160.4 23.4
72 RB31 Tevin Coleman SF 26 161.4 23.4
73 WR34 DeSean Jackson PHI 32 150.2 23.2
74 WR35 Jamison Crowder NYJ 26 156.7 22.7
75 TE6 Hunter Henry LAC 24 163.0 22.0
76 WR36 Robby Anderson NYJ 26 171.6 21.6
77 WR37 Anthony Miller CHI 24 153.6 21.6
78 RB32 Austin Ekeler LAC 24 169.7 20.7
79 RB33 Matt Breida SF 24 158.1 20.1
80 WR38 Marvin Jones DET 29 154.4 19.4
81 QB4 Carson Wentz PHI 26 372.4 18.9
82 WR39 Sammy Watkins KC 26 155.6 18.6
83 TE7 Evan Engram NYG 24 155.7 17.7
84 WR40 Sterling Shepard NYG 26 160.8 15.8
85 TE8 Vance McDonald PIT 29 152.4 15.4
86 QB5 Jameis Winston TB 25 368.4 12.9
87 RB34 Latavius Murray NO 29 168.6 12.6
88 WR41 Courtland Sutton DEN 23 162.3 12.3
89 WR42 Geronimo Allison GB 25 138.1 11.1
90 QB6 Baker Mayfield CLE 24 370.4 10.4
91 QB7 Russell Wilson SEA 30 363.0 9.5
92 QB8 Cam Newton CAR 30 362.8 8.8
93 WR43 Donte Moncrief PIT 26 153.7 8.7
94 QB9 Matt Ryan ATL 34 362.2 7.7
95 RB35 Rashaad Penny SEA 23 151.6 7.6
96 RB36 Darwin Thompson KC 22 147.4 7.4
97 WR44 Marquez Valdes-Scantling GB 24 142.2 7.2
98 TE9 Darren Waller OAK 26 148.2 6.2
99 RB37 Jordan Howard* PHI 24 150.3 3.3
100 WR45 A.J. Green CIN 31 147.3 3.3
101 WR46 Corey Davis TEN 24 153.1 3.1
102 RB38 Royce Freeman DEN 23 151.7 2.7
103 QB10 Kyler Murray ARI 22 356.5 2.5
104 TE10 David Njoku CLE 23 141.5 0.5
105 WR47 Dante Pettis* SF 23 136.0 -1.0
106 QB11 Jared Goff LAR 24 349.7 -3.8
107 WR48 Michael Gallup DAL 23 129.0 -4.0
108 WR49 Josh Gordon NE 28 128.8 -4.2
109 WR50 Emmanuel Sanders DEN 32 137.6 -4.4
110 TE11 Delanie Walker TEN 35 131.9 -5.1
111 TE12 Mark Andrews BAL 23 132.5 -6.5
112 WR51 Keke Coutee HOU 22 125.7 -7.3
113 RB39 Derrius Guice WAS 22 150.4 -7.6
114 TE13 Austin Hooper ATL 24 134.0 -8.0
115 RB40 Justice Hill BAL 21 130.9 -8.1
116 RB41 Alexander Mattison MIN 21 140.9 -8.1
117 WR52 Tyrell Williams OAK 27 131.3 -8.7
118 WR53 John Brown BUF 29 149.3 -8.7
119 RB42 Dion Lewis TEN 28 141.9 -9.1
120 RB43 LeSean McCoy BUF 31 150.3 -9.7
121 TE14 Jordan Reed WAS 29 128.2 -11.8
122 RB44 Kalen Ballage MIA 23 145.0 -12.0
123 WR54 Golden Tate NYG 31 123.4 -12.6
124 QB12 Ben Roethlisberger PIT 37 343.7 -13.3
125 RB45 Darrell Henderson LAR 22 126.7 -14.3
126 QB13 Lamar Jackson BAL 22 344.0 -14.5
127 TE15 Eric Ebron IND 26 114.2 -14.8
128 TE16 Chris Herndon NYJ 23 116.5 -15.5
129 WR55 Mohamed Sanu ATL 29 123.4 -15.6
130 QB14 Dak Prescott DAL 26 340.9 -15.6
131 WR56 Trey Quinn WAS 23 115.8 -17.2
132 QB15 Drew Brees NO 40 336.7 -17.8
133 RB46 Jaylen Samuels PIT 23 124.9 -19.1
134 RB47 Ronald Jones TB 22 137.7 -19.3
135 WR57 DeVante Parker MIA 26 129.3 -19.7
136 RB48 Giovani Bernard CIN 27 132.8 -21.2
137 WR58 Albert Wilson MIA 27 113.8 -22.2
138 WR59 Nelson Agholor PHI 26 112.9 -23.1
139 RB49 Adrian Peterson* WAS 34 134.5 -23.5
140 RB50 Tony Pollard DAL 22 130.5 -23.5
141 QB16 Kirk Cousins MIN 31 333.2 -24.8
142 TE17 Jimmy Graham* GB 32 116.6 -26.4
143 QB17 Philip Rivers LAC 37 328.2 -26.8
144 QB18 Mitchell Trubisky CHI 25 332.0 -28.5
145 RB51 Damien Harris NE 22 110.3 -30.7
146 WR60 James Washington PIT 23 114.7 -31.3
147 WR61 Parris Campbell IND 22 103.6 -31.4
148 TE18 Trey Burton CHI 27 113.2 -33.8
149 WR62 Mecole Hardman KC 21 115.0 -34.0
150 RB52 Peyton Barber* TB 25 124.9 -34.1
151 WR63 KeeSean Johnson ARI 22 113.7 -35.3
152 RB53 Justin Jackson LAC 24 111.1 -37.9
153 WR64 Adam Humphries TEN 26 107.6 -38.4
154 TE19 Dallas Goedert PHI 25 90.1 -38.9
155 QB19 Jimmy Garoppolo SF 27 318.9 -39.6
156 WR65 Kenny Stills MIA 27 98.8 -40.2
157 RB54 Chase Edmonds ARI 23 99.3 -40.7
158 TE20 T.J. Hockenson DET 22 104.7 -41.3
159 QB20 Tom Brady NE 42 316.0 -41.5
160 WR66 Marquise Goodwin SF 28 104.0 -42.0
161 WR67 DaeSean Hamilton DEN 24 97.5 -42.5
162 WR68 Chris Conley JAC 26 106.8 -43.2
163 QB21 Jacoby Brissett IND 25 314.4 -44.2
164 WR69 Miles Boykin BAL 22 105.7 -44.3
165 TE21 Noah Fant DEN 21 105.0 -45.0
166 RB55 Devin Singletary BUF 21 114.8 -45.2
167 WR70 Cole Beasley BUF 30 101.7 -45.3
168 WR71 Trent Taylor SF 25 91.7 -45.3
169 WR72 Deebo Samuel SF 23 99.0 -46.0
170 WR73 Devin Funchess* IND 25 89.4 -46.6
171 RB56 Jamaal Williams* GB 24 118.3 -47.7
172 RB57 Mike Davis CHI 26 89.3 -48.7
173 WR74 D.K. Metcalf SEA 21 97.7 -49.3
174 RB58 Kareem Hunt CLE 24 93.1 -50.9
175 WR75 John Ross CIN 23 91.8 -51.2
176 RB59 Malcolm Brown LAR 26 94.0 -53.0
177 RB60 Nyheim Hines IND 22 107.0 -53.0
178 TE22 Kyle Rudolph MIN 29 88.8 -54.2
179 RB61 Chris Thompson WAS 28 98.0 -55.0
180 WR76 Breshad Perriman TB 25 95.7 -55.3
181 WR77 Tre'Quan Smith NO 30 88.6 -57.4
182 TE23 Mike Gesicki MIA 23 88.0 -58.0
183 RB62 Jerick McKinnon SF 27 79.7 -58.3
184 WR78 Danny Amendola DET 33 77.4 -59.6
185 WR79 Josh Doctson WAS 26 104.3 -59.7
186 WR80 Willie Snead BAL 26 78.3 -59.7
187 WR81 Zay Jones BUF 24 90.8 -60.2
188 WR82 Cordarrelle Patterson CHI 28 61.9 -63.1
189 RB63 Damarea Crockett HOU 21 103.9 -63.1
190 WR83 Marqise Lee JAC 27 84.9 -63.1
191 WR84 Randall Cobb DAL 29 78.7 -63.3
192 WR85 Ted Ginn Jr. NO 34 81.9 -64.1
193 QB22 Andy Dalton CIN 31 299.0 -64.5
194 QB23 Sam Darnold NYJ 22 294.5 -64.5
195 RB64 Dare Ogunbowale TB 25 88.4 -64.6
196 RB65 C.J. Anderson DET 28 102.0 -65.0
197 WR86 A.J. Brown TEN 22 79.7 -65.3
198 WR87 Jaron Brown SEA 29 83.5 -65.5
199 QB24 Derek Carr OAK 28 293.0 -66.0
200 RB66 Ito Smith ATL 23 93.9 -67.1


PPR Big Board | Non-PPR Big Board





Doug Orth has written for FF Today since 2006 and been featured in USA TODAY's Fantasy Football Preview magazine since 2010. He is also a high-stakes player who often appears as a guest analyst on a number of national sports radio shows, such as Sirius XM's "Fantasy Drive." Doug is also a member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association.